TSR Storm Alert - Intense Hurricane NICOLE

N Atlantic: Storm Alert issued at 13 Oct, 2016 3:00 GMT

Intense Hurricane NICOLE is currently located near 30.1 N 66.4 W with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 115 kts (132 mph). NICOLE is a category 4 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. NICOLE is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Bermuda
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 95% in about 21 hours
        probability for TS is 100% within 9 hours
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Hamilton (32.3 N, 64.8 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 95% in about 21 hours
        probability for TS is 100% within 9 hours

Note that
    Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
    CAT 1 means Hurricane strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

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This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Depression AERE

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 13 Oct, 2016 0:00 GMT

Tropical Depression AERE is currently located near 16.5 N 110.5 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 25kts (29 mph). AERE is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    China
        probability for TS is 75% in about 24 hours
    Vietnam
        probability for TS is 75% in about 24 hours
    Laos
        probability for TS is 60% in about 24 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Da Nang (16.1 N, 108.2 E)
        probability for TS is 75% in about 24 hours
    Yaxian (18.4 N, 109.4 E)
        probability for TS is 70% in about 24 hours
    Dong Ha (16.8 N, 107.1 E)
        probability for TS is 65% in about 24 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Depression TWENTYFOUR

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 13 Oct, 2016 0:00 GMT

Tropical Depression TWENTYFOUR is currently located near 12.7 N 129.7 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 30kts (35 mph). TWENTYFOUR is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    the Philippines
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% in about 48 hours
        probability for TS is 60% in about 36 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Oras (12.1 N, 125.4 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 48 hours
        probability for TS is 60% in about 48 hours
    Daet (14.2 N, 122.9 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 72 hours
        probability for TS is 60% in about 72 hours
    Sorsogon (13.0 N, 124.1 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 72 hours
        probability for TS is 60% in about 72 hours
    San Jose (15.8 N, 121.0 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 96 hours
        probability for TS is 50% in about 96 hours
    Manila (14.6 N, 121.0 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 96 hours
        probability for TS is 45% in about 72 hours
    Santiago (16.7 N, 121.5 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
        probability for TS is 50% in about 72 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Depression TWENTYFOUR

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 12 Oct, 2016 18:00 GMT

Tropical Depression TWENTYFOUR is currently located near 12.5 N 130.0 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 30kts (35 mph). TWENTYFOUR is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    the Philippines
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% in about 48 hours
        probability for TS is 60% in about 48 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Sorsogon (13.0 N, 124.1 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 72 hours
        probability for TS is 55% in about 72 hours
    Daet (14.2 N, 122.9 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 72 hours
        probability for TS is 45% in about 72 hours
    San Jose (15.8 N, 121.0 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 96 hours
        probability for TS is 35% in about 72 hours
    Manila (14.6 N, 121.0 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 96 hours
        probability for TS is 35% in about 72 hours
    Tuguegarao (17.6 N, 121.8 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
        probability for TS is 30% in about 72 hours
    Santiago (16.7 N, 121.5 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
        probability for TS is 35% in about 72 hours
    Vigan (17.5 N, 120.5 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
        probability for TS is 25% in about 72 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

TSR Storm Alert - Hurricane NICOLE

N Atlantic: Storm Alert issued at 12 Oct, 2016 21:00 GMT

Hurricane NICOLE is currently located near 29.2 N 66.6 W with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 95 kts (109 mph). NICOLE is a category 2 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. NICOLE is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Bermuda
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 75% in about 21 hours
        probability for TS is 95% in about 21 hours
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Hamilton (32.3 N, 64.8 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 70% in about 21 hours
        probability for TS is 95% in about 21 hours

Note that
    Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
    CAT 1 means Hurricane strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

TSR Storm Alert - Hurricane NICOLE

N Atlantic: Storm Alert issued at 12 Oct, 2016 15:00 GMT

Hurricane NICOLE is currently located near 28.4 N 66.9 W with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 85 kts (98 mph). NICOLE is a category 2 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. NICOLE is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Bermuda
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 60% in about 33 hours
        probability for TS is 95% in about 21 hours
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Hamilton (32.3 N, 64.8 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 60% in about 33 hours
        probability for TS is 95% in about 21 hours

Note that
    Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
    CAT 1 means Hurricane strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Depression TWENTYFOUR

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 12 Oct, 2016 12:00 GMT

Tropical Depression TWENTYFOUR is currently located near 13.1 N 129.9 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 25kts (29 mph). TWENTYFOUR is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    the Philippines
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 72 hours
        probability for TS is 40% in about 72 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Daet (14.2 N, 122.9 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 72 hours
        probability for TS is 40% in about 72 hours
    Sorsogon (13.0 N, 124.1 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 72 hours
        probability for TS is 35% in about 72 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

TSR Storm Alert - Hurricane NICOLE

N Atlantic: Storm Alert issued at 12 Oct, 2016 9:00 GMT

Hurricane NICOLE is currently located near 27.9 N 67.0 W with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 85 kts (98 mph). NICOLE is a category 2 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. NICOLE is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Bermuda
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 45% in about 33 hours
        probability for TS is 85% in about 33 hours
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Hamilton (32.3 N, 64.8 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 45% in about 33 hours
        probability for TS is 85% in about 33 hours

Note that
    Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
    CAT 1 means Hurricane strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.