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Sunday, October 8, 2023

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm LIDIA

NE Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 9 Oct, 2023 3:00 GMT

Tropical Storm LIDIA is currently located near 18.2 N 112.6 W with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 60kts (69 mph). LIDIA is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Mexico
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 45 hours
        probability for TS is 70% in about 45 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Tecuala (22.4 N, 105.5 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 45 hours
        probability for TS is 60% in about 45 hours
    Tepic (21.5 N, 104.9 W)
        probability for TS is 55% in about 45 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Hurricane strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm LIDIA

NE Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 9 Oct, 2023 0:00 GMT

Tropical Storm LIDIA is currently located near 17.9 N 112.7 W with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 60kts (69 mph). LIDIA is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Mexico
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 48 hours
        probability for TS is 70% in about 48 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Tecuala (22.4 N, 105.5 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 48 hours
        probability for TS is 60% in about 48 hours
    Tepic (21.5 N, 104.9 W)
        probability for TS is 55% in about 48 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Hurricane strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm BOLAVEN

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 9 Oct, 2023 0:00 GMT

Tropical Storm BOLAVEN is currently located near 10.8 N 150.3 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 55kts (63 mph). BOLAVEN is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    the Northern Mariana Islands
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 36 hours
        probability for TS is 85% in about 36 hours
    Guam
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 36 hours
        probability for TS is 75% in about 36 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Hagatna (13.5 N, 144.8 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 36 hours
        probability for TS is 70% in about 36 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm KOINU

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 9 Oct, 2023 0:00 GMT

Tropical Storm KOINU is currently located near 21.7 N 113.2 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 60kts (69 mph). KOINU is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    China
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% currently
        probability for TS is 80% currently
    Macau
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% currently
        probability for TS is 65% currently

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

[Tsunami Message - IOC] PTWC TSUNAMI INFORMATION STATEMENT

TSUNAMI INFORMATION STATEMENT NUMBER 1
NWS PACIFIC TSUNAMI WARNING CENTER HONOLULU HI
2339 UTC SUN OCT 8 2023

...PTWC TSUNAMI INFORMATION STATEMENT...


**** NOTICE **** NOTICE **** NOTICE **** NOTICE **** NOTICE *****

THIS STATEMENT IS ISSUED FOR INFORMATION ONLY IN SUPPORT OF THE
UNESCO/IOC PACIFIC TSUNAMI WARNING AND MITIGATION SYSTEM AND IS
MEANT FOR NATIONAL AUTHORITIES IN EACH COUNTRY OF THAT SYSTEM.

NATIONAL AUTHORITIES WILL DETERMINE THE APPROPRIATE LEVEL OF
ALERT FOR EACH COUNTRY AND MAY ISSUE ADDITIONAL OR MORE REFINED
INFORMATION.

**** NOTICE **** NOTICE **** NOTICE **** NOTICE **** NOTICE *****


PRELIMINARY EARTHQUAKE PARAMETERS - FROM JMA
--------------------------------------------

* MAGNITUDE 5.0
* ORIGIN TIME 2026 UTC OCT 8 2023
* COORDINATES 29.7 NORTH 139.9 EAST
* DEPTH 0 KM / 0 MILES
* LOCATION IZU ISLANDS JAPAN REGION


EVALUATION
----------

* AN EARTHQUAKE WITH A PRELIMINARY MAGNITUDE OF 5.0 OCCURRED IN
THE IZU ISLANDS, JAPAN REGION AT 2026 UTC ON SUNDAY OCTOBER
8 2023.

* BASED ON ALL AVAILABLE DATA A TSUNAMI WAS GENERATED AT
APPROXIMATELY THE TIME AND LOCATION OF THIS EARTHQUAKE.

* TSUNAMI THREAT LIMITED TO IZU ISLANDS AND JAPAN.

* JMA REPORTED MAXIMUM WAVEHEIGHT OF 60CM AT HACHIJOJIMA.


RECOMMENDED ACTIONS
-------------------

* NO ACTION IS REQUIRED.


TSUNAMI OBSERVATIONS
--------------------

* THE FOLLOWING ARE TSUNAMI WAVE OBSERVATIONS FROM COASTAL
AND/OR DEEP-OCEAN SEA LEVEL GAUGES AT THE INDICATED
LOCATIONS. THE MAXIMUM TSUNAMI HEIGHT IS MEASURED WITH
RESPECT TO THE NORMAL TIDE LEVEL.

GAUGE TIME OF MAXIMUM WAVE
COORDINATES MEASURE TSUNAMI PERIOD
GAUGE LOCATION LAT LON (UTC) HEIGHT (MIN)
-------------------------------------------------------------
TOSASHIMIZU SHIKOKU 32.8N 133.0E 2310 0.28M/ 0.9FT 04
CHICHIJIMA JP 27.1N 142.2E 2221 0.13M/ 0.4FT 04
MERA JP 34.9N 139.8E 2239 0.15M/ 0.5FT 06
KUSHIMOTO JP 33.5N 135.8E 2220 0.12M/ 0.4FT 12


NEXT UPDATE AND ADDITIONAL INFORMATION
--------------------------------------

* THIS WILL BE THE ONLY STATEMENT ISSUED FOR THIS EVENT UNLESS
ADDITIONAL DATA ARE RECEIVED OR THE SITUATION CHANGES.

* AUTHORITATIVE INFORMATION ABOUT THE EARTHQUAKE FROM THE U.S.
GEOLOGICAL SURVEY CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT
EARTHQUAKE.USGS.GOV.

* FURTHER INFORMATION ABOUT THIS EVENT MAY BE FOUND AT
WWW.TSUNAMI.GOV.

$$

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm LIDIA

NE Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 8 Oct, 2023 21:00 GMT

Tropical Storm LIDIA is currently located near 17.6 N 112.8 W with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 60kts (69 mph). LIDIA is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Mexico
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 69 hours
        probability for TS is 55% in about 69 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Tecuala (22.4 N, 105.5 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 69 hours
        probability for TS is 45% in about 69 hours
    Tepic (21.5 N, 104.9 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 69 hours
        probability for TS is 45% in about 69 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Hurricane strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

TSR Storm Alert (CORRECTION) - Tropical Storm LIDIA

NE Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 8 Oct, 2023 15:00 GMT

Tropical Storm LIDIA is currently located near 16.9 N 112.8 W with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 60kts (69 mph). LIDIA is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Mexico
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 75 hours
        probability for TS is 55% in about 75 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Tecuala (22.4 N, 105.5 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 75 hours
        probability for TS is 45% in about 75 hours
    Tepic (21.5 N, 104.9 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 75 hours
        probability for TS is 45% in about 75 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Hurricane strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm BOLAVEN

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 8 Oct, 2023 18:00 GMT

Tropical Storm BOLAVEN is currently located near 10.7 N 151.5 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 50kts (58 mph). BOLAVEN is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    the Northern Mariana Islands
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 48 hours
        probability for TS is 85% in about 48 hours
    Guam
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 48 hours
        probability for TS is 65% in about 36 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Hagatna (13.5 N, 144.8 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 48 hours
        probability for TS is 60% in about 36 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

TSR Storm Alert - Typhoon KOINU

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 8 Oct, 2023 18:00 GMT

Typhoon KOINU is currently located near 21.7 N 113.7 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 75 kts (86 mph). KOINU is a category 1 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. KOINU is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    China
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 45% within 12 hours
        probability for TS is 75% currently

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Hong Kong
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% currently
        probability for TS is 70% currently
    Macau
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% currently
        probability for TS is 70% currently

Note that
    Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm BOLAVEN

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 8 Oct, 2023 12:00 GMT

Tropical Storm BOLAVEN is currently located near 9.8 N 152.0 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 45kts (52 mph). BOLAVEN is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    the Northern Mariana Islands
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 48 hours
        probability for TS is 75% in about 48 hours
    Guam
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 48 hours
        probability for TS is 60% in about 48 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Hagatna (13.5 N, 144.8 E)
        probability for TS is 55% in about 48 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

TSR Storm Alert - Typhoon KOINU

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 8 Oct, 2023 12:00 GMT

Typhoon KOINU is currently located near 21.6 N 114.1 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 70 kts (81 mph). KOINU is a category 1 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. KOINU is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Hong Kong
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% currently
        probability for TS is 80% currently
    China
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% within 12 hours
        probability for TS is 65% currently
    Macau
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% within 12 hours
        probability for TS is 60% currently
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Hong Kong (22.4 N, 114.2 E)
        probability for TS is 65% currently

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm BOLAVEN

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 8 Oct, 2023 6:00 GMT

Tropical Storm BOLAVEN is currently located near 9.6 N 152.5 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 40kts (46 mph). BOLAVEN is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    the Northern Mariana Islands
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 72 hours
        probability for TS is 65% in about 72 hours
    Guam
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 48 hours
        probability for TS is 50% in about 48 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Hagatna (13.5 N, 144.8 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 48 hours
        probability for TS is 45% in about 48 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

TSR Storm Alert - Typhoon KOINU

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 8 Oct, 2023 6:00 GMT

Typhoon KOINU is currently located near 21.5 N 114.3 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 75 kts (86 mph). KOINU is a category 1 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. KOINU is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Hong Kong
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% currently
        probability for TS is 90% currently
    China
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% within 12 hours
        probability for TS is 80% within 12 hours
    Macau
        probability for TS is 75% within 12 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Hong Kong (22.4 N, 114.2 E)
        probability for TS is 75% currently

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).