NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 17 Dec, 2021 0:00 GMT
Typhoon RAI is currently located near 10.0 N 121.1 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 100 kts (115 mph). RAI is a category 3 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. RAI is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
the Philippines
probability for CAT 1 or above is 95% within 12 hours
probability for TS is 100% currently
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Puerto Princesa (9.8 N, 118.7 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 90% within 12 hours
probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
Taytay (10.8 N, 119.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 80% within 12 hours
probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Vietnam
probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 85% in about 48 hours
Cambodia
probability for TS is 60% in about 72 hours
Laos
probability for TS is 55% in about 48 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Bonobono (8.7 N, 117.6 E)
probability for TS is 85% in about 24 hours
Qui Nhon (13.8 N, 109.2 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 85% in about 48 hours
Tuy Hoa (13.1 N, 109.3 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 85% in about 48 hours
Nha Trang (12.2 N, 109.2 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 85% in about 48 hours
Iloilo (10.9 N, 122.5 E)
probability for TS is 80% currently
Quang Ngai (15.1 N, 108.8 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 75% in about 48 hours
Phan Rang (11.6 N, 109.0 E)
probability for TS is 70% in about 48 hours
Kon Tum (14.3 N, 108.0 E)
probability for TS is 70% in about 72 hours
Da Nang (16.1 N, 108.2 E)
probability for TS is 55% in about 72 hours
Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
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This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).
