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Wednesday, October 4, 2023

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm PHILIPPE

N Atlantic: Storm Alert issued at 5 Oct, 2023 3:00 GMT

Tropical Storm PHILIPPE is currently located near 23.8 N 66.1 W with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 35kts (40 mph). PHILIPPE is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Bermuda
        probability for TS is 90% in about 45 hours
    Canada
        probability for TS is 85% in about 69 hours
    the United States
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 93 hours
        probability for TS is 85% in about 93 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Hamilton (32.3 N, 64.8 W)
        probability for TS is 85% in about 33 hours
    Fredericton (45.9 N, 66.7 W)
        probability for TS is 80% in about 93 hours
    Saint John (45.3 N, 66.1 W)
        probability for TS is 80% in about 93 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Hurricane strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm PHILIPPE

N Atlantic: Storm Alert issued at 5 Oct, 2023 0:00 GMT

Tropical Storm PHILIPPE is currently located near 23.1 N 66.0 W with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 35kts (40 mph). PHILIPPE is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Bermuda
        probability for TS is 90% in about 48 hours
    Canada
        probability for TS is 85% in about 72 hours
    the United States
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
        probability for TS is 85% in about 96 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Hamilton (32.3 N, 64.8 W)
        probability for TS is 85% in about 36 hours
    Fredericton (45.9 N, 66.7 W)
        probability for TS is 80% in about 96 hours
    Saint John (45.3 N, 66.1 W)
        probability for TS is 80% in about 96 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Hurricane strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

TSR Storm Alert - Typhoon KOINU

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 5 Oct, 2023 0:00 GMT

Typhoon KOINU is currently located near 22.0 N 120.8 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 110 kts (127 mph). KOINU is a category 3 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. KOINU is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Taiwan
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 100% currently
        probability for TS is 100% currently
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Kao-hsiung (22.6 N, 120.3 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 95% currently
        probability for TS is 100% currently

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    China
        probability for TS is 70% in about 24 hours
    Hong Kong
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 72 hours
        probability for TS is 25% in about 72 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    T'aichung (24.1 N, 120.7 E)
        probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
    Shantou (23.0 N, 116.2 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 48 hours
        probability for TS is 40% in about 48 hours
    Yunxiao (23.9 N, 117.2 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 36 hours
        probability for TS is 50% in about 36 hours

Note that
    Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

TSR Storm Alert - Typhoon KOINU

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 4 Oct, 2023 18:00 GMT

Typhoon KOINU is currently located near 21.9 N 121.2 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 120 kts (138 mph). KOINU is a category 4 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. KOINU is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Taiwan
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 100% currently
        probability for TS is 100% currently
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Kao-hsiung (22.6 N, 120.3 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 90% within 12 hours
        probability for TS is 100% currently

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    China
        probability for TS is 70% in about 24 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    T'aichung (24.1 N, 120.7 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% within 12 hours
        probability for TS is 80% within 12 hours
    Shantou (23.0 N, 116.2 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 48 hours
        probability for TS is 40% in about 48 hours
    Yunxiao (23.9 N, 117.2 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 48 hours
        probability for TS is 50% in about 48 hours

Note that
    Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm PHILIPPE

N Atlantic: Storm Alert issued at 4 Oct, 2023 21:00 GMT

Tropical Storm PHILIPPE is currently located near 22.6 N 65.9 W with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 35kts (40 mph). PHILIPPE is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Bermuda
        probability for TS is 90% in about 45 hours
    Canada
        probability for TS is 90% in about 93 hours
    the United States
        probability for TS is 75% in about 93 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Hamilton (32.3 N, 64.8 W)
        probability for TS is 90% in about 45 hours
    Fredericton (45.9 N, 66.7 W)
        probability for TS is 85% in about 93 hours
    Saint John (45.3 N, 66.1 W)
        probability for TS is 85% in about 93 hours
    Sept-Iles (50.3 N, 66.4 W)
        probability for TS is 75% in about 93 hours
    Halifax (44.6 N, 63.6 W)
        probability for TS is 70% in about 93 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Hurricane strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm PHILIPPE

N Atlantic: Storm Alert issued at 4 Oct, 2023 18:00 GMT

Tropical Storm PHILIPPE is currently located near 22.0 N 65.8 W with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 40kts (46 mph). PHILIPPE is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Bermuda
        probability for TS is 90% in about 48 hours
    Canada
        probability for TS is 90% in about 96 hours
    the United States
        probability for TS is 75% in about 96 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Hamilton (32.3 N, 64.8 W)
        probability for TS is 90% in about 48 hours
    Fredericton (45.9 N, 66.7 W)
        probability for TS is 85% in about 96 hours
    Saint John (45.3 N, 66.1 W)
        probability for TS is 85% in about 96 hours
    Sept-Iles (50.3 N, 66.4 W)
        probability for TS is 75% in about 96 hours
    Halifax (44.6 N, 63.6 W)
        probability for TS is 70% in about 96 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Hurricane strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm PHILIPPE

N Atlantic: Storm Alert issued at 4 Oct, 2023 15:00 GMT

Tropical Storm PHILIPPE is currently located near 21.2 N 65.7 W with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 40kts (46 mph). PHILIPPE is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Bermuda
        probability for TS is 90% in about 69 hours
    Canada
        probability for TS is 90% in about 93 hours
    the United States
        probability for TS is 80% in about 93 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Hamilton (32.3 N, 64.8 W)
        probability for TS is 90% in about 69 hours
    Saint John (45.3 N, 66.1 W)
        probability for TS is 90% in about 93 hours
    Fredericton (45.9 N, 66.7 W)
        probability for TS is 85% in about 93 hours
    Halifax (44.6 N, 63.6 W)
        probability for TS is 65% in about 93 hours
    Sept-Iles (50.3 N, 66.4 W)
        probability for TS is 60% in about 117 hours
    Bangor (44.5 N, 68.5 W)
        probability for TS is 55% in about 93 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Hurricane strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

TSR Storm Alert (CORRECTION) - Tropical Storm PHILIPPE

N Atlantic: Storm Alert issued at 4 Oct, 2023 9:00 GMT

Tropical Storm PHILIPPE is currently located near 20.5 N 65.5 W with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 40kts (46 mph). PHILIPPE is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Bermuda
        probability for TS is 90% in about 75 hours
    Canada
        probability for TS is 90% in about 99 hours
    the United States
        probability for TS is 80% in about 99 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Hamilton (32.3 N, 64.8 W)
        probability for TS is 90% in about 75 hours
    Saint John (45.3 N, 66.1 W)
        probability for TS is 90% in about 99 hours
    Fredericton (45.9 N, 66.7 W)
        probability for TS is 85% in about 99 hours
    Halifax (44.6 N, 63.6 W)
        probability for TS is 65% in about 99 hours
    Sept-Iles (50.3 N, 66.4 W)
        probability for TS is 60% in about 123 hours
    Bangor (44.5 N, 68.5 W)
        probability for TS is 55% in about 99 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Hurricane strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

TSR Storm Alert - Typhoon KOINU

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 4 Oct, 2023 12:00 GMT

Typhoon KOINU is currently located near 22.0 N 122.0 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 115 kts (132 mph). KOINU is a category 4 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. KOINU is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Taiwan
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 75% within 12 hours
        probability for TS is 100% currently
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Kao-hsiung (22.6 N, 120.3 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 35% in about 24 hours
        probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    China
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 48 hours
        probability for TS is 70% in about 36 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    T'aichung (24.1 N, 120.7 E)
        probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
    Quanzhou (25.0 N, 118.5 E)
        probability for TS is 60% in about 36 hours
    Putian (25.6 N, 119.0 E)
        probability for TS is 55% in about 36 hours
    Zhangzhou (24.5 N, 117.8 E)
        probability for TS is 55% in about 48 hours
    Shantou (23.0 N, 116.2 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 48 hours
        probability for TS is 35% in about 48 hours
    Yunxiao (23.9 N, 117.2 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 48 hours
        probability for TS is 50% in about 36 hours

Note that
    Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm PHILIPPE

N Atlantic: Storm Alert issued at 4 Oct, 2023 9:00 GMT

Tropical Storm PHILIPPE is currently located near 20.5 N 65.5 W with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 40kts (46 mph). PHILIPPE is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Bermuda
        probability for TS is 85% in about 69 hours
    Canada
        probability for TS is 85% in about 93 hours
    the United States
        probability for TS is 75% in about 117 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Hamilton (32.3 N, 64.8 W)
        probability for TS is 85% in about 69 hours
    Fredericton (45.9 N, 66.7 W)
        probability for TS is 80% in about 117 hours
    Saint John (45.3 N, 66.1 W)
        probability for TS is 80% in about 117 hours
    Halifax (44.6 N, 63.6 W)
        probability for TS is 65% in about 93 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Hurricane strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

TSR Storm Alert - Typhoon KOINU

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 4 Oct, 2023 6:00 GMT

Typhoon KOINU is currently located near 22.1 N 122.7 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 115 kts (132 mph). KOINU is a category 4 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. KOINU is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Taiwan
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 70% in about 24 hours
        probability for TS is 100% currently
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Kao-hsiung (22.6 N, 120.3 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 45% in about 24 hours
        probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    China
        probability for TS is 70% in about 24 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    T'aichung (24.1 N, 120.7 E)
        probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
    Taipei (25.0 N, 121.5 E)
        probability for TS is 55% within 12 hours
    Quanzhou (25.0 N, 118.5 E)
        probability for TS is 55% in about 24 hours
    Zhangzhou (24.5 N, 117.8 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 48 hours
        probability for TS is 55% in about 36 hours
    Yunxiao (23.9 N, 117.2 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 48 hours
        probability for TS is 50% in about 36 hours
    Shantou (23.0 N, 116.2 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 48 hours
        probability for TS is 35% in about 72 hours

Note that
    Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).