S Indian Ocean: Storm Alert issued at 19 Jan, 2021 18:00 GMT
Tropical Storm ELOISE is currently located near 15.3 S 50.1 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 45kts (52 mph). ELOISE is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Madagascar
probability for TS is 100% currently
Mozambique
probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 35% in about 72 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Antalaha (14.9 S, 50.2 E)
probability for TS is 100% currently
Maroantseta (15.4 S, 49.7 E)
probability for TS is 100% currently
Ambodifototra (16.9 S, 49.9 E)
probability for TS is 65% within 12 hours
Analalava (14.7 S, 47.8 E)
probability for TS is 60% within 12 hours
Vilanculos (22.0 S, 35.3 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 30% in about 96 hours
Cheline (22.5 S, 35.0 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 30% in about 96 hours
Massinga (23.3 S, 35.4 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 30% in about 96 hours
Inhambane (23.9 S, 35.4 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 30% in about 96 hours
Nova Mambone (21.0 S, 35.0 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 30% in about 96 hours
Inhassore (21.5 S, 35.1 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 30% in about 96 hours
Nova Sofala (20.1 S, 34.8 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 25% in about 96 hours
Xai-Xai (25.0 S, 33.6 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 25% in about 96 hours
Note that
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
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This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).
