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Friday, December 15, 2017

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm KAI-TAK

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 16 Dec, 2017 0:00 GMT

Tropical Storm KAI-TAK is currently located near 12.5 N 126.3 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 50kts (58 mph). KAI-TAK is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    the Philippines
        probability for TS is 100% currently
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Oras (12.1 N, 125.4 E)
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    Sorsogon (13.0 N, 124.1 E)
        probability for TS is 95% within 12 hours
    Tacloban (11.2 N, 125.2 E)
        probability for TS is 90% within 12 hours
    Daet (14.2 N, 122.9 E)
        probability for TS is 60% in about 36 hours
    Iloilo (10.9 N, 122.5 E)
        probability for TS is 60% in about 24 hours
    Mamburao (13.2 N, 120.7 E)
        probability for TS is 55% in about 36 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm KAI-TAK

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 15 Dec, 2017 18:00 GMT

Tropical Storm KAI-TAK is currently located near 12.1 N 127.1 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 45kts (52 mph). KAI-TAK is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    the Philippines
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% within 12 hours
        probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Sorsogon (13.0 N, 124.1 E)
        probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
    Oras (12.1 N, 125.4 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 24 hours
        probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
    Tacloban (11.2 N, 125.2 E)
        probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
    San Jose (15.8 N, 121.0 E)
        probability for TS is 100% in about 48 hours
    Manila (14.6 N, 121.0 E)
        probability for TS is 100% in about 36 hours
    Daet (14.2 N, 122.9 E)
        probability for TS is 100% in about 36 hours
    Mamburao (13.2 N, 120.7 E)
        probability for TS is 100% in about 36 hours
    Santiago (16.7 N, 121.5 E)
        probability for TS is 90% in about 36 hours
    San Juan (10.3 N, 125.2 E)
        probability for TS is 80% in about 24 hours
    Iloilo (10.9 N, 122.5 E)
        probability for TS is 70% in about 36 hours
    Tuguegarao (17.6 N, 121.8 E)
        probability for TS is 70% in about 36 hours
    Vigan (17.5 N, 120.5 E)
        probability for TS is 70% in about 48 hours
    Cebu (10.3 N, 123.8 E)
        probability for TS is 65% in about 36 hours
    Taytay (10.8 N, 119.5 E)
        probability for TS is 65% in about 72 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

[Tsunami Message - IOC] IOTWMS TSP-INDIA TEST PUBLIC bulletin for 6.8 Earthquake at Java, Indonesia

WEIO21 DEMS 151712
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
PUBLIC TSUNAMI BULLETIN NUMBER 2
IOTWMS TSUNAMI SERVICE PROVIDER INDIA (ITEWC)
issued at 1712 UTC Friday 15 December 2017
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
... NO TSUNAMI THREAT IN THE INDIAN OCEAN ...

This bulletin applies to areas within and bordering the Indian Ocean
and is issued by Tsunami Service Provider INDIA in support of the
UNESCO/IOC Indian Ocean Tsunami Warning and Mitigation System (IOTWMS).

1. EARTHQUAKE INFORMATION
IOTWMS-TSP INDIA has detected an earthquake with the following details:

Magnitude : 6.8 M
Depth : 113 km
Date : 15 Dec 2017
Origin Time: 1647UTC
Latitude : 7.95 S
Longitude : 108.02 E
Location : Java, Indonesia

2. EVALUATION
Based on pre-run model scenarios, there is NO THREAT to countries in
the Indian Ocean. No further bulletins will be issued unless the
situation changes.

3. ADVICE
This bulletin is being issued as advice. Only national/state/local
authorities and disaster management officers have the authority to
make decisions regarding the official threat and warning status in
their coastal areas and any action to be taken in response.

For more detailed information, please refer to the tsunami advisory
bulletins issued by the National Tsunami Warning Centres (NTWCs) of
Indian Ocean countries. The tsunami warning status reported by NTWCs
For their countries can be found at:
http://www.incois.gov.in/Incois/tsunami/NTWCFeedbackStatus.jsp

4. UPDATES
No further bulletins will be issued by IOTWMS-TSP INDIA for this event unless
other information becomes available.


Other IOTWMS-TSPs may issue additional information at:
IOTWMS-TSP AUSTRALIA: http://www.bom.gov.au/tsunami/IOTWMS/
IOTWMS-TSP
INDONESIA: http://rtsp.bmkg.go.id

5. CONTACT INFORMATION
IOTWMS-TSP INDIA:
Indian Tsunami Early Warning Centre (ITEWC)
Indian National Centre for Ocean Information Services (INCOIS)
Address: "Ocean Valley", Pragathi Nagar (BO), Nizampet (SO),
Hyderabad - 500 090, India
Tel: 91-40-23895011
Fax: 91-40-23895012
Email: tsunami@incois.gov.in
Website: www.incois.gov.in

6. TSUNAMI WARNING SYSTEMS OUTSIDE THE INDIAN OCEAN

Pacific Tsunami Warning and Mitigation System (PTWS):
----------------------------------------------------
Pacific Tsunami Warning Centre (PTWC)
http://ptwc.weather.gov/

North West Pacific Tsunami Advisory Centre (NWPTAC)
http://www.jma.go.jp/en/tsunami/

US National Tsunami Warning Centre (US NTWC)
http://wcatwc.arh.noaa.gov/

Joint Australian Tsunami Warning Centre (JATWC)
http://www.bom.gov.au/tsunami/

Northeast Atlantic, Mediterranean and Connected Seas (NEAMTWS):
--------------------------------------------------------------
French National Tsunami Warning Centre (CENALT)
http://www.info-tsunami.fr

Institute of Geodynamics, National Observatory of Athens
http://www.gein.noa.gr/en/

Kandilli Observatory and Earthquake Research Institute, Turkey
http://www.koeri.boun.edu.tr/2/en/

Caribbean and Adjacent Regions (CARIBE EWS):
-------------------------------------------
Pacific Tsunami Warning Centre (PTWC)
http://ptwc.weather.gov/

END OF BULLETIN
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

[Tsunami Message - IOC] IOTWMS TSP-INDIA PUBLIC bulletin for 6.8 Earthquake at Java, Indonesia

WEIO21 DEMS 151657
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
PUBLIC TSUNAMI BULLETIN NUMBER 1
IOTWMS TSUNAMI SERVICE PROVIDER INDIA (ITEWC)
issued at 1657 UTC FRIDAY 15 DECEMBER 2017
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
... EARTHQUAKE BULLETIN ...

This bulletin applies to areas within and bordering the Indian Ocean
and is issued by Tsunami Service Provider INDIA in support of the
UNESCO/IOC Indian Ocean Tsunami Warning and Mitigation System (IOTWMS).

1. EARTHQUAKE INFORMATION
IOTWMS-TSP INDIA has detected an earthquake with the following
preliminary information:
Magnitude : 6.8 M
Depth : 113 km
Date : 15 DEC 2017
Origin Time: 1647UTC
Latitude : 7.95 S
Longitude : 108.02 E
Location : JAVA, INDONESIA

2. EVALUATION
Based on historical data and tsunami modeling, this earthquake may be capable of generating a tsunami affecting the Indian Ocean region. IOTWMS-TSP INDIA will monitor the situation to determine if a tsunami was generated and will issue further bulletins as information becomes available.Further information on this event will be available at: http://www.incois.gov.in/Incois/tsunami/eqevents.jsp

Further information on this event will be available at:
http://www.incois.gov.in/tsunami/eqevents.jsp

3. ADVICE
This bulletin is being issued as advice. Only national/state/local
authorities and disaster management officers have the authority to
make decisions regarding the official threat and warning status in
their coastal areas and any action to be taken in response.

For more detailed information, please refer to the tsunami advisory
bulletins issued by the National Tsunami Warning Centres (NTWCs) of
Indian Ocean countries. The tsunami warning status reported by NTWCs
For their countries can be found at:
http://www.incois.gov.in/Incois/tsunami/NTWCFeedbackStatus.jsp

4. OTHER INDIAN OCEAN TSUNAMI SERVICE PROVIDERS:
Other IOTWMS-TSPs may issue additional information at:
IOTWMS-TSP AUSTRALIA: http://www.bom.gov.au/tsunami/IOTWMS/
IOTWMS-TSP
INDONESIA: http://rtsp.bmkg.go.id

5. CONTACT INFORMATION
IOTWMS-TSP INDIA:
Indian Tsunami Early Warning Centre (ITEWC)
Indian National Centre for Ocean Information Services (INCOIS)
Address: "Ocean Valley", Pragathi Nagar (BO), Nizampet (SO),
Hyderabad - 500 090, India
Tel: 91-40-23895011
Fax: 91-40-23895012
Email: tsunami@incois.gov.in
Website: www.incois.gov.in

6. TSUNAMI WARNING SYSTEMS OUTSIDE THE INDIAN OCEAN

Pacific Tsunami Warning and Mitigation System (PTWS):
----------------------------------------------------
Pacific Tsunami Warning Centre (PTWC)
http://ptwc.weather.gov/

North West Pacific Tsunami Advisory Centre (NWPTAC)
http://www.jma.go.jp/en/tsunami/

US National Tsunami Warning Centre (US NTWC)
http://wcatwc.arh.noaa.gov/

Joint Australian Tsunami Warning Centre (JATWC)
http://www.bom.gov.au/tsunami/

Northeast Atlantic, Mediterranean and Connected Seas (NEAMTWS):
--------------------------------------------------------------
French National Tsunami Warning Centre (CENALT)
http://www.info-tsunami.fr

Institute of Geodynamics, National Observatory of Athens
http://www.gein.noa.gr/en/

Kandilli Observatory and Earthquake Research Institute, Turkey
http://www.koeri.boun.edu.tr/2/en/

Caribbean and Adjacent Regions (CARIBE EWS):
-------------------------------------------
Pacific Tsunami Warning Centre (PTWC)
http://ptwc.weather.gov/

END OF BULLETIN
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm KAI-TAK

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 15 Dec, 2017 12:00 GMT

Tropical Storm KAI-TAK is currently located near 11.6 N 127.8 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 45kts (52 mph). KAI-TAK is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    the Philippines
        probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Oras (12.1 N, 125.4 E)
        probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
    Tacloban (11.2 N, 125.2 E)
        probability for TS is 95% in about 24 hours
    Sorsogon (13.0 N, 124.1 E)
        probability for TS is 95% in about 24 hours
    Daet (14.2 N, 122.9 E)
        probability for TS is 80% in about 48 hours
    San Juan (10.3 N, 125.2 E)
        probability for TS is 75% within 12 hours
    Mamburao (13.2 N, 120.7 E)
        probability for TS is 65% in about 48 hours
    Surigao (9.7 N, 125.5 E)
        probability for TS is 60% in about 24 hours
    Manila (14.6 N, 121.0 E)
        probability for TS is 60% in about 48 hours
    Iloilo (10.9 N, 122.5 E)
        probability for TS is 60% in about 48 hours
    Cebu (10.3 N, 123.8 E)
        probability for TS is 55% in about 48 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm KAI-TAK

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 15 Dec, 2017 6:00 GMT

Tropical Storm KAI-TAK is currently located near 11.7 N 127.6 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 45kts (52 mph). KAI-TAK is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    the Philippines
        probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Oras (12.1 N, 125.4 E)
        probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
    Sorsogon (13.0 N, 124.1 E)
        probability for TS is 95% in about 24 hours
    Tacloban (11.2 N, 125.2 E)
        probability for TS is 95% in about 24 hours
    Daet (14.2 N, 122.9 E)
        probability for TS is 95% in about 36 hours
    Manila (14.6 N, 121.0 E)
        probability for TS is 95% in about 48 hours
    San Jose (15.8 N, 121.0 E)
        probability for TS is 90% in about 48 hours
    Mamburao (13.2 N, 120.7 E)
        probability for TS is 90% in about 48 hours
    Santiago (16.7 N, 121.5 E)
        probability for TS is 85% in about 48 hours
    San Juan (10.3 N, 125.2 E)
        probability for TS is 70% in about 24 hours
    Vigan (17.5 N, 120.5 E)
        probability for TS is 70% in about 72 hours
    Tuguegarao (17.6 N, 121.8 E)
        probability for TS is 65% in about 48 hours
    Surigao (9.7 N, 125.5 E)
        probability for TS is 55% in about 24 hours
    Iloilo (10.9 N, 122.5 E)
        probability for TS is 55% in about 72 hours
    Laoag (18.2 N, 120.7 E)
        probability for TS is 55% in about 48 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).