N Indian Ocean: Storm Alert issued at 17 May, 2020 0:00 GMT
Tropical Storm AMPHAN is currently located near 10.9 N 86.3 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 60kts (69 mph). AMPHAN is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
India
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 60% in about 72 hours
Bangladesh
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 60% in about 72 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Khulna (22.9 N, 89.6 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 45% in about 72 hours
Barisal (22.7 N, 90.3 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 45% in about 72 hours
Kolkata (22.5 N, 88.3 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 45% in about 72 hours
Dhaka (23.7 N, 90.4 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 30% in about 72 hours
Comilla (23.4 N, 91.2 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 30% in about 72 hours
Jessore (23.2 N, 89.2 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 40% in about 72 hours
Note that
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Severe Cyclonic Storm strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
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This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).
