TSR Storm Alert - Very Intense TC KENNETH

S Indian Ocean: Storm Alert issued at 25 Apr, 2019 0:00 GMT

Very Intense TC KENNETH is currently located near 11.3 S 42.7 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 115 kts (132 mph). KENNETH is a category 4 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. KENNETH is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Comoros
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 45% currently
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    Mozambique
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 40% in about 24 hours
        probability for TS is 70% within 12 hours
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Moroni (11.7 S, 43.2 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 45% currently
        probability for TS is 100% currently

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Tanzania
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 24 hours
        probability for TS is 40% within 12 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Ibo (12.4 S, 40.5 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% in about 24 hours
        probability for TS is 70% within 12 hours
    Palma (10.7 S, 40.4 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 24 hours
        probability for TS is 45% within 12 hours
    Pemba (13.0 S, 40.5 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 24 hours
        probability for TS is 45% in about 24 hours

Note that
    Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

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This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

TSR Storm Alert - Intense Tropical Cyclone KENNETH

S Indian Ocean: Storm Alert issued at 24 Apr, 2019 18:00 GMT

Intense Tropical Cyclone KENNETH is currently located near 11.2 S 43.3 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 100 kts (115 mph). KENNETH is a category 3 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. KENNETH is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Comoros
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 100% currently
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    Mozambique
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 50% in about 24 hours
        probability for TS is 90% within 12 hours
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Moroni (11.7 S, 43.2 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 100% currently
        probability for TS is 100% currently

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Tanzania
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 24 hours
        probability for TS is 55% within 12 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Ibo (12.4 S, 40.5 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% in about 24 hours
        probability for TS is 85% within 12 hours
    Pemba (13.0 S, 40.5 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 24 hours
        probability for TS is 70% in about 24 hours
    Palma (10.7 S, 40.4 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 24 hours
        probability for TS is 65% within 12 hours

Note that
    Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Cyclone KENNETH

S Indian Ocean: Storm Alert issued at 24 Apr, 2019 12:00 GMT

Tropical Cyclone KENNETH is currently located near 11.1 S 44.4 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 75 kts (86 mph). KENNETH is a category 1 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. KENNETH is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Comoros
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 90% within 12 hours
        probability for TS is 100% currently
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Moroni (11.7 S, 43.2 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 80% within 12 hours
        probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Mayotte
        probability for TS is 80% currently
    Mozambique
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% in about 24 hours
        probability for TS is 65% in about 24 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Dzaoudzi (12.8 S, 45.3 E)
        probability for TS is 75% currently
    Ibo (12.4 S, 40.5 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% in about 24 hours
        probability for TS is 65% in about 36 hours
    Pemba (13.0 S, 40.5 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 24 hours
        probability for TS is 55% in about 24 hours

Note that
    Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Cyclone KENNETH

S Indian Ocean: Storm Alert issued at 24 Apr, 2019 6:00 GMT

Tropical Cyclone KENNETH is currently located near 10.9 S 45.7 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 70 kts (81 mph). KENNETH is a category 1 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. KENNETH is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Comoros
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 65% within 12 hours
        probability for TS is 95% within 12 hours
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Moroni (11.7 S, 43.2 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 65% within 12 hours
        probability for TS is 95% within 12 hours

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Mayotte
        probability for TS is 80% within 12 hours
    Mozambique
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% in about 36 hours
        probability for TS is 70% in about 36 hours
    Tanzania
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 36 hours
        probability for TS is 45% in about 24 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Dzaoudzi (12.8 S, 45.3 E)
        probability for TS is 75% within 12 hours
    Ibo (12.4 S, 40.5 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 36 hours
        probability for TS is 65% in about 24 hours
    Palma (10.7 S, 40.4 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 36 hours
        probability for TS is 55% in about 36 hours
    Pemba (13.0 S, 40.5 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 36 hours
        probability for TS is 55% in about 24 hours

Note that
    Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).