TSR Storm Alert - Intense Tropical Cyclone IDAI

S Indian Ocean: Storm Alert issued at 14 Mar, 2019 0:00 GMT

Intense Tropical Cyclone IDAI is currently located near 19.7 S 37.9 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 105 kts (121 mph). IDAI is a category 3 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. IDAI is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Mozambique
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 70% in about 24 hours
        probability for TS is 95% within 12 hours
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Chinde (18.8 S, 36.3 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 50% in about 24 hours
        probability for TS is 95% within 12 hours
    Beira (19.8 S, 34.8 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 45% in about 24 hours
        probability for TS is 75% in about 24 hours
    Nova Sofala (20.1 S, 34.8 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 35% in about 24 hours
        probability for TS is 75% in about 24 hours

Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Machece (19.2 S, 35.5 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% within 12 hours
        probability for TS is 90% within 12 hours
    Quelimane (17.9 S, 36.9 E)
        probability for TS is 75% within 12 hours
    Nova Mambone (21.0 S, 35.0 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 24 hours
        probability for TS is 70% within 12 hours
    Inhassore (21.5 S, 35.1 E)
        probability for TS is 60% in about 24 hours

Note that
    Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

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This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Cyclone IDAI

S Indian Ocean: Storm Alert issued at 13 Mar, 2019 18:00 GMT

Tropical Cyclone IDAI is currently located near 19.5 S 38.5 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 90 kts (104 mph). IDAI is a category 2 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. IDAI is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Mozambique
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 65% in about 24 hours
        probability for TS is 95% in about 24 hours
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Machece (19.2 S, 35.5 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 65% in about 24 hours
        probability for TS is 80% in about 24 hours
    Chinde (18.8 S, 36.3 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 50% in about 24 hours
        probability for TS is 90% within 12 hours
    Beira (19.8 S, 34.8 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 50% in about 36 hours
        probability for TS is 80% in about 36 hours
    Nova Sofala (20.1 S, 34.8 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 40% in about 24 hours
        probability for TS is 75% in about 24 hours

Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Quelimane (17.9 S, 36.9 E)
        probability for TS is 80% in about 24 hours
    Nova Mambone (21.0 S, 35.0 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 24 hours
        probability for TS is 70% in about 24 hours
    Pebane (17.2 S, 38.2 E)
        probability for TS is 55% currently
    Inhassore (21.5 S, 35.1 E)
        probability for TS is 55% in about 24 hours
    Chimoio (19.1 S, 33.5 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 36 hours
        probability for TS is 40% in about 36 hours

Note that
    Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Cyclone IDAI

S Indian Ocean: Storm Alert issued at 13 Mar, 2019 12:00 GMT

Tropical Cyclone IDAI is currently located near 19.5 S 39.0 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 90 kts (104 mph). IDAI is a category 2 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. IDAI is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Mozambique
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 65% in about 36 hours
        probability for TS is 90% in about 24 hours
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Machece (19.2 S, 35.5 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 60% in about 36 hours
        probability for TS is 85% in about 24 hours
    Chinde (18.8 S, 36.3 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 45% in about 24 hours
        probability for TS is 90% in about 24 hours
    Beira (19.8 S, 34.8 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 45% in about 36 hours
        probability for TS is 75% in about 24 hours
    Nova Sofala (20.1 S, 34.8 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 35% in about 36 hours
        probability for TS is 75% in about 36 hours

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Zimbabwe
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 36 hours
        probability for TS is 50% in about 36 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Quelimane (17.9 S, 36.9 E)
        probability for TS is 75% in about 24 hours
    Nova Mambone (21.0 S, 35.0 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 36 hours
        probability for TS is 65% in about 24 hours
    Inhassore (21.5 S, 35.1 E)
        probability for TS is 55% in about 24 hours
    Chimoio (19.1 S, 33.5 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% in about 48 hours
        probability for TS is 55% in about 36 hours

Note that
    Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Cyclone IDAI

S Indian Ocean: Storm Alert issued at 13 Mar, 2019 6:00 GMT

Tropical Cyclone IDAI is currently located near 19.4 S 39.5 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 95 kts (109 mph). IDAI is a category 2 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. IDAI is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Mozambique
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 55% in about 36 hours
        probability for TS is 85% in about 24 hours
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Machece (19.2 S, 35.5 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 55% in about 36 hours
        probability for TS is 75% in about 24 hours
    Beira (19.8 S, 34.8 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 50% in about 36 hours
        probability for TS is 65% in about 36 hours
    Nova Sofala (20.1 S, 34.8 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 50% in about 36 hours
        probability for TS is 65% in about 36 hours
    Chinde (18.8 S, 36.3 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 45% in about 36 hours
        probability for TS is 85% in about 36 hours

Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Quelimane (17.9 S, 36.9 E)
        probability for TS is 70% in about 24 hours
    Nova Mambone (21.0 S, 35.0 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% in about 36 hours
        probability for TS is 60% in about 36 hours
    Chimoio (19.1 S, 33.5 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 48 hours
        probability for TS is 40% in about 48 hours
    Inhassore (21.5 S, 35.1 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 36 hours
        probability for TS is 50% in about 36 hours

Note that
    Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).