TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Cyclone HELLEN

S Indian Ocean: Storm Alert issued at 30 Mar, 2014 0:00 GMT

Tropical Cyclone HELLEN (21S) currently located near 14.1 S 43.9 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Madagascar
probability for CAT 1 or above is 50% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 90% in about 24 hours
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Soalala (16.1 S, 45.3 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 40% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 85% in about 24 hours

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Mayotte
probability for TS is 80% currently
Comoros
probability for TS is 65% currently
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Mahajanga (15.7 S, 46.4 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 75% in about 36 hours
Besalampy (16.7 S, 44.5 E)
probability for TS is 70% in about 24 hours
Dzaoudzi (12.8 S, 45.3 E)
probability for TS is 60% currently

Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

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This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm HELLEN

S Indian Ocean: Storm Alert issued at 29 Mar, 2014 18:00 GMT

Tropical Storm HELLEN (21S) currently located near 13.4 S 43.5 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Comoros
probability for TS is 55% currently
Mayotte
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 24 hours
probability for TS is 50% within 12 hours
Madagascar
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 35% in about 36 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Soalala (16.1 S, 45.3 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 30% in about 36 hours

Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Dzaoudzi (12.8 S, 45.3 E)
probability for TS is 45% in about 24 hours

Note that
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm HELLEN

S Indian Ocean: Storm Alert issued at 29 Mar, 2014 6:00 GMT

Tropical Storm HELLEN (21S) currently located near 13.0 S 42.8 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Comoros
probability for TS is 65% currently

Green Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Mayotte
probability for TS is 40% in about 24 hours
Madagascar
probability for TS is 40% in about 48 hours
Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Moroni (11.7 S, 43.2 E)
probability for TS is 40% currently
Dzaoudzi (12.8 S, 45.3 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 24 hours
Soalala (16.1 S, 45.3 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 36 hours

Note that
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.