TSR Storm Alert - Severe Cyclonic Storm AMPHAN

N Indian Ocean: Storm Alert issued at 20 May, 2020 0:00 GMT

Severe Cyclonic Storm AMPHAN is currently located near 19.2 N 87.4 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 95 kts (109 mph). AMPHAN is a category 2 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. AMPHAN is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    India
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 60% within 12 hours
        probability for TS is 100% currently

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Bangladesh
        probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Baleshwar (21.5 N, 87.0 E)
        probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
    Cuttack (20.5 N, 85.9 E)
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    Puri (19.9 N, 85.9 E)
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    Kolkata (22.5 N, 88.3 E)
        probability for TS is 95% within 12 hours
    Kharagpur (22.4 N, 87.3 E)
        probability for TS is 95% within 12 hours
    Jessore (23.2 N, 89.2 E)
        probability for TS is 85% in about 24 hours
    Khulna (22.9 N, 89.6 E)
        probability for TS is 85% in about 24 hours
    Brahmapur (19.3 N, 84.9 E)
        probability for TS is 85% currently
    Barisal (22.7 N, 90.3 E)
        probability for TS is 80% in about 24 hours
    Rajshahi (24.4 N, 88.6 E)
        probability for TS is 80% in about 24 hours
    Dhaka (23.7 N, 90.4 E)
        probability for TS is 75% in about 24 hours

Note that
    Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Severe Cyclonic Storm strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

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This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

TSR Storm Alert - Severe Cyclonic Storm AMPHAN

N Indian Ocean: Storm Alert issued at 19 May, 2020 18:00 GMT

Severe Cyclonic Storm AMPHAN is currently located near 18.3 N 86.9 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 100 kts (115 mph). AMPHAN is a category 3 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. AMPHAN is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    India
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 80% within 12 hours
        probability for TS is 100% currently
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Baleshwar (21.5 N, 87.0 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 50% in about 24 hours
        probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
    Kharagpur (22.4 N, 87.3 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 40% in about 24 hours
        probability for TS is 90% within 12 hours
    Kolkata (22.5 N, 88.3 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 35% in about 24 hours
        probability for TS is 85% within 12 hours

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Bangladesh
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 24 hours
        probability for TS is 85% within 12 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Cuttack (20.5 N, 85.9 E)
        probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
    Puri (19.9 N, 85.9 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% within 12 hours
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    Brahmapur (19.3 N, 84.9 E)
        probability for TS is 95% currently
    Jessore (23.2 N, 89.2 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 24 hours
        probability for TS is 80% in about 24 hours
    Khulna (22.9 N, 89.6 E)
        probability for TS is 75% in about 24 hours
    Naupada (18.6 N, 84.2 E)
        probability for TS is 65% currently
    Rajshahi (24.4 N, 88.6 E)
        probability for TS is 55% in about 24 hours
    Jamshedpur (22.8 N, 86.2 E)
        probability for TS is 55% in about 24 hours

Note that
    Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Severe Cyclonic Storm strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

TSR Storm Alert - Severe Cyclonic Storm AMPHAN

N Indian Ocean: Storm Alert issued at 19 May, 2020 12:00 GMT

Severe Cyclonic Storm AMPHAN is currently located near 17.4 N 87.0 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 100 kts (115 mph). AMPHAN is a category 3 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. AMPHAN is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    India
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 50% in about 24 hours
        probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Bangladesh
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% in about 24 hours
        probability for TS is 95% in about 24 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Puri (19.9 N, 85.9 E)
        probability for TS is 95% within 12 hours
    Baleshwar (21.5 N, 87.0 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 24 hours
        probability for TS is 90% in about 24 hours
    Kolkata (22.5 N, 88.3 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% in about 24 hours
        probability for TS is 90% in about 24 hours
    Cuttack (20.5 N, 85.9 E)
        probability for TS is 85% within 12 hours
    Jessore (23.2 N, 89.2 E)
        probability for TS is 80% in about 24 hours
    Khulna (22.9 N, 89.6 E)
        probability for TS is 80% in about 24 hours
    Kharagpur (22.4 N, 87.3 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 24 hours
        probability for TS is 80% in about 24 hours
    Brahmapur (19.3 N, 84.9 E)
        probability for TS is 70% within 12 hours
    Barisal (22.7 N, 90.3 E)
        probability for TS is 65% in about 24 hours

Note that
    Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Severe Cyclonic Storm strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

TSR Storm Alert - Severe Cyclonic Storm AMPHAN

N Indian Ocean: Storm Alert issued at 19 May, 2020 6:00 GMT

Severe Cyclonic Storm AMPHAN is currently located near 16.5 N 86.8 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 110 kts (127 mph). AMPHAN is a category 3 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. AMPHAN is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    India
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 45% in about 36 hours
        probability for TS is 95% within 12 hours
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Kolkata (22.5 N, 88.3 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 35% in about 36 hours
        probability for TS is 80% in about 24 hours

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Bangladesh
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 36 hours
        probability for TS is 90% in about 24 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Puri (19.9 N, 85.9 E)
        probability for TS is 90% within 12 hours
    Baleshwar (21.5 N, 87.0 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 36 hours
        probability for TS is 85% in about 24 hours
    Cuttack (20.5 N, 85.9 E)
        probability for TS is 80% in about 24 hours
    Kharagpur (22.4 N, 87.3 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 36 hours
        probability for TS is 80% in about 36 hours
    Brahmapur (19.3 N, 84.9 E)
        probability for TS is 65% within 12 hours
    Jessore (23.2 N, 89.2 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 36 hours
        probability for TS is 65% in about 36 hours
    Khulna (22.9 N, 89.6 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 36 hours
        probability for TS is 65% in about 36 hours
    Barisal (22.7 N, 90.3 E)
        probability for TS is 60% in about 36 hours
    Rajshahi (24.4 N, 88.6 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 36 hours
        probability for TS is 55% in about 36 hours

Note that
    Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Severe Cyclonic Storm strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).