NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 9 Nov, 2020 12:00 GMT
Tropical Depression VAMCO is currently located near 12.3 N 129.9 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 30kts (35 mph). VAMCO is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s) the Philippines
probability for CAT 1 or above is 35% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 80% in about 48 hours
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s) Daet (14.2 N, 122.9 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 35% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 80% in about 48 hours
Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s) Vietnam
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
probability for TS is 20% in about 96 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s) Sorsogon (13.0 N, 124.1 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 70% in about 48 hours
Santiago (16.7 N, 121.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 65% in about 48 hours
San Jose (15.8 N, 121.0 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 65% in about 48 hours
Manila (14.6 N, 121.0 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 65% in about 72 hours
Mamburao (13.2 N, 120.7 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 60% in about 72 hours
Tuguegarao (17.6 N, 121.8 E)
probability for TS is 55% in about 72 hours
Vigan (17.5 N, 120.5 E)
probability for TS is 55% in about 72 hours
Da Nang (16.1 N, 108.2 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
probability for TS is 20% in about 120 hours
Quang Ngai (15.1 N, 108.8 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
probability for TS is 20% in about 96 hours
Kon Tum (14.3 N, 108.0 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
probability for TS is 20% in about 120 hours
Qui Nhon (13.8 N, 109.2 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
probability for TS is 20% in about 96 hours
Tuy Hoa (13.1 N, 109.3 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
probability for TS is 20% in about 96 hours
Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
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This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).
