N Atlantic: Storm Alert issued at 3 Aug, 2016 3:00 GMT
Tropical Storm EARL is currently located near 16.4 N 83.0 W with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 50kts (58 mph). EARL is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Honduras
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 21 hours
probability for TS is 60% within 9 hours
Belize
probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 21 hours
probability for TS is 55% in about 21 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Roatan (16.3 N, 86.5 W)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 21 hours
probability for TS is 55% in about 21 hours
Belize City (17.5 N, 88.2 W)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 21 hours
probability for TS is 45% in about 21 hours
Note that
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Hurricane strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
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This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
