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Wednesday, August 21, 2013

TSR Storm Alert - Typhoon TRAMI

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 21 Aug, 2013 18:00 GMT (Final Warning)

Typhoon TRAMI (12W) currently located near 25.6 N 119.6 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
China
probability for CAT 1 or above is 100% currently
probability for TS is 100% currently
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Fuzhou (26.1 N, 119.3 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 100% currently
probability for TS is 100% currently
Putian (25.6 N, 119.0 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 100% currently
probability for TS is 100% currently

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Taiwan
probability for TS is 70% currently
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Fu'an (27.1 N, 119.7 E)
probability for TS is 80% currently
Quanzhou (25.0 N, 118.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% within 12 hours
probability for TS is 75% currently

Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Zhangzhou (24.5 N, 117.8 E)
probability for TS is 50% within 12 hours
T'aichung (24.1 N, 120.7 E)
probability for TS is 50% currently
Ganzhou (25.7 N, 115.0 E)
probability for TS is 40% in about 24 hours
Wenzhou (27.5 N, 120.5 E)
probability for TS is 35% currently
Taipei (25.0 N, 121.5 E)
probability for TS is 35% currently

Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

TSR Storm Alert - Typhoon TRAMI

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 21 Aug, 2013 12:00 GMT

Typhoon TRAMI (12W) currently located near 25.8 N 121.2 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Taiwan
probability for CAT 1 or above is 95% currently
probability for TS is 100% currently
China
probability for CAT 1 or above is 75% within 12 hours
probability for TS is 90% currently
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Fuzhou (26.1 N, 119.3 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 60% within 12 hours
probability for TS is 75% within 12 hours

Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Taipei (25.0 N, 121.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% currently
probability for TS is 95% currently
Wenzhou (27.5 N, 120.5 E)
probability for TS is 75% within 12 hours
Fu'an (27.1 N, 119.7 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% within 12 hours
probability for TS is 75% within 12 hours
Putian (25.6 N, 119.0 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% within 12 hours
probability for TS is 75% within 12 hours

Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Quanzhou (25.0 N, 118.5 E)
probability for TS is 45% within 12 hours
T'aichung (24.1 N, 120.7 E)
probability for TS is 40% currently
Nanchang (28.7 N, 115.9 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 24 hours

Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

TSR Storm Alert - Typhoon TRAMI

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 21 Aug, 2013 6:00 GMT

Typhoon TRAMI (12W) currently located near 25.7 N 122.9 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
China
probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% within 12 hours
probability for TS is 90% within 12 hours
Taiwan
probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% within 12 hours
probability for TS is 90% within 12 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Taipei (25.0 N, 121.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% within 12 hours
probability for TS is 90% within 12 hours
Fu'an (27.1 N, 119.7 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% within 12 hours
probability for TS is 90% within 12 hours
Wenzhou (27.5 N, 120.5 E)
probability for TS is 85% within 12 hours
Fuzhou (26.1 N, 119.3 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% within 12 hours
probability for TS is 85% within 12 hours
Putian (25.6 N, 119.0 E)
probability for TS is 55% within 12 hours

Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Quanzhou (25.0 N, 118.5 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 24 hours

Note that
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.