NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 2 Aug, 2012 0:00 GMT
Typhoon DAMREY (11W) is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
China
probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% within 12 hours
probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
South Korea
probability for TS is 75% currently
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Xiangshui (34.2 N, 119.6 E)
probability for TS is 100% in about 24 hours
Xinpu (34.8 N, 119.0 E)
probability for TS is 85% in about 24 hours
Linyi (35.2 N, 118.3 E)
probability for TS is 70% in about 24 hours
Huaiyin (33.5 N, 119.0 E)
probability for TS is 70% within 12 hours
Qingdao (36.1 N, 120.4 E)
probability for TS is 65% within 12 hours
Taizhou (32.4 N, 119.9 E)
probability for TS is 65% within 12 hours
Cheju (33.5 N, 126.5 E)
probability for TS is 60% currently
Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Weifang (36.8 N, 119.2 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 24 hours
Nanjing (32.0 N, 118.8 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 24 hours
Shanghai (31.2 N, 121.5 E)
probability for TS is 35% within 12 hours
Note that
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html.
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This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, RSA Insurance Group, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 2 Aug, 2012 0:00 GMT
Typhoon DAMREY (11W) is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
China
probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% within 12 hours
probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
South Korea
probability for TS is 75% currently
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Xiangshui (34.2 N, 119.6 E)
probability for TS is 100% in about 24 hours
Xinpu (34.8 N, 119.0 E)
probability for TS is 85% in about 24 hours
Linyi (35.2 N, 118.3 E)
probability for TS is 70% in about 24 hours
Huaiyin (33.5 N, 119.0 E)
probability for TS is 70% within 12 hours
Qingdao (36.1 N, 120.4 E)
probability for TS is 65% within 12 hours
Taizhou (32.4 N, 119.9 E)
probability for TS is 65% within 12 hours
Cheju (33.5 N, 126.5 E)
probability for TS is 60% currently
Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Weifang (36.8 N, 119.2 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 24 hours
Nanjing (32.0 N, 118.8 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 24 hours
Shanghai (31.2 N, 121.5 E)
probability for TS is 35% within 12 hours
Note that
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html
.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, RSA Insurance Group, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
Wednesday, August 1, 2012
TSR Storm Alert - Typhoon SAOLA
NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 2 Aug, 2012 0:00 GMT
Typhoon SAOLA (10W) is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Taiwan
probability for CAT 1 or above is 100% currently
probability for TS is 100% currently
China
probability for CAT 1 or above is 65% in about 24 hours
probability for TS is 95% within 12 hours
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Taipei (25.0 N, 121.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 100% within 12 hours
probability for TS is 100% currently
T'aichung (24.1 N, 120.7 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 90% within 12 hours
probability for TS is 100% currently
Fuzhou (26.1 N, 119.3 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 40% in about 24 hours
probability for TS is 90% within 12 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Wenzhou (27.5 N, 120.5 E)
probability for TS is 85% in about 24 hours
Fu'an (27.1 N, 119.7 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 24 hours
probability for TS is 85% in about 24 hours
Putian (25.6 N, 119.0 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 24 hours
probability for TS is 85% in about 24 hours
Kao-hsiung (22.6 N, 120.3 E)
probability for TS is 75% currently
Quanzhou (25.0 N, 118.5 E)
probability for TS is 70% in about 24 hours
Quzhou (29.0 N, 119.0 E)
probability for TS is 55% in about 24 hours
Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Nanchang (28.7 N, 115.9 E)
probability for TS is 50% in about 36 hours
Jinhua (29.2 N, 120.0 E)
probability for TS is 40% in about 24 hours
Wenling (28.4 N, 121.4 E)
probability for TS is 40% in about 24 hours
Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html.
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, RSA Insurance Group, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 2 Aug, 2012 0:00 GMT
Typhoon SAOLA (10W) is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Taiwan
probability for CAT 1 or above is 100% currently
probability for TS is 100% currently
China
probability for CAT 1 or above is 65% in about 24 hours
probability for TS is 95% within 12 hours
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Taipei (25.0 N, 121.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 100% within 12 hours
probability for TS is 100% currently
T'aichung (24.1 N, 120.7 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 90% within 12 hours
probability for TS is 100% currently
Fuzhou (26.1 N, 119.3 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 40% in about 24 hours
probability for TS is 90% within 12 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Wenzhou (27.5 N, 120.5 E)
probability for TS is 85% in about 24 hours
Fu'an (27.1 N, 119.7 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 24 hours
probability for TS is 85% in about 24 hours
Putian (25.6 N, 119.0 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 24 hours
probability for TS is 85% in about 24 hours
Kao-hsiung (22.6 N, 120.3 E)
probability for TS is 75% currently
Quanzhou (25.0 N, 118.5 E)
probability for TS is 70% in about 24 hours
Quzhou (29.0 N, 119.0 E)
probability for TS is 55% in about 24 hours
Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Nanchang (28.7 N, 115.9 E)
probability for TS is 50% in about 36 hours
Jinhua (29.2 N, 120.0 E)
probability for TS is 40% in about 24 hours
Wenling (28.4 N, 121.4 E)
probability for TS is 40% in about 24 hours
Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html
.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, RSA Insurance Group, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
Typhoon SAOLA (10W) is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Taiwan
probability for CAT 1 or above is 100% currently
probability for TS is 100% currently
China
probability for CAT 1 or above is 65% in about 24 hours
probability for TS is 95% within 12 hours
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Taipei (25.0 N, 121.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 100% within 12 hours
probability for TS is 100% currently
T'aichung (24.1 N, 120.7 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 90% within 12 hours
probability for TS is 100% currently
Fuzhou (26.1 N, 119.3 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 40% in about 24 hours
probability for TS is 90% within 12 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Wenzhou (27.5 N, 120.5 E)
probability for TS is 85% in about 24 hours
Fu'an (27.1 N, 119.7 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 24 hours
probability for TS is 85% in about 24 hours
Putian (25.6 N, 119.0 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 24 hours
probability for TS is 85% in about 24 hours
Kao-hsiung (22.6 N, 120.3 E)
probability for TS is 75% currently
Quanzhou (25.0 N, 118.5 E)
probability for TS is 70% in about 24 hours
Quzhou (29.0 N, 119.0 E)
probability for TS is 55% in about 24 hours
Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Nanchang (28.7 N, 115.9 E)
probability for TS is 50% in about 36 hours
Jinhua (29.2 N, 120.0 E)
probability for TS is 40% in about 24 hours
Wenling (28.4 N, 121.4 E)
probability for TS is 40% in about 24 hours
Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html.
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, RSA Insurance Group, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 2 Aug, 2012 0:00 GMT
Typhoon SAOLA (10W) is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Taiwan
probability for CAT 1 or above is 100% currently
probability for TS is 100% currently
China
probability for CAT 1 or above is 65% in about 24 hours
probability for TS is 95% within 12 hours
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Taipei (25.0 N, 121.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 100% within 12 hours
probability for TS is 100% currently
T'aichung (24.1 N, 120.7 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 90% within 12 hours
probability for TS is 100% currently
Fuzhou (26.1 N, 119.3 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 40% in about 24 hours
probability for TS is 90% within 12 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Wenzhou (27.5 N, 120.5 E)
probability for TS is 85% in about 24 hours
Fu'an (27.1 N, 119.7 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 24 hours
probability for TS is 85% in about 24 hours
Putian (25.6 N, 119.0 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 24 hours
probability for TS is 85% in about 24 hours
Kao-hsiung (22.6 N, 120.3 E)
probability for TS is 75% currently
Quanzhou (25.0 N, 118.5 E)
probability for TS is 70% in about 24 hours
Quzhou (29.0 N, 119.0 E)
probability for TS is 55% in about 24 hours
Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Nanchang (28.7 N, 115.9 E)
probability for TS is 50% in about 36 hours
Jinhua (29.2 N, 120.0 E)
probability for TS is 40% in about 24 hours
Wenling (28.4 N, 121.4 E)
probability for TS is 40% in about 24 hours
Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html
.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, RSA Insurance Group, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
TSR Storm Alert - Typhoon DAMREY
NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 1 Aug, 2012 18:00 GMT
Typhoon DAMREY (11W) is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
South Korea
probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
China
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 24 hours
probability for TS is 90% within 12 hours
Japan
probability for TS is 60% currently
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Cheju (33.5 N, 126.5 E)
probability for TS is 95% within 12 hours
Xiangshui (34.2 N, 119.6 E)
probability for TS is 70% in about 24 hours
Huaiyin (33.5 N, 119.0 E)
probability for TS is 70% in about 24 hours
Taizhou (32.4 N, 119.9 E)
probability for TS is 70% in about 24 hours
Xinpu (34.8 N, 119.0 E)
probability for TS is 65% in about 24 hours
Linyi (35.2 N, 118.3 E)
probability for TS is 60% in about 36 hours
Shanghai (31.2 N, 121.5 E)
probability for TS is 55% in about 24 hours
Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Nanjing (32.0 N, 118.8 E)
probability for TS is 40% in about 24 hours
Note that
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html.
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, RSA Insurance Group, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 1 Aug, 2012 18:00 GMT
Typhoon DAMREY (11W) is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
South Korea
probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
China
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 24 hours
probability for TS is 90% within 12 hours
Japan
probability for TS is 60% currently
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Cheju (33.5 N, 126.5 E)
probability for TS is 95% within 12 hours
Xiangshui (34.2 N, 119.6 E)
probability for TS is 70% in about 24 hours
Huaiyin (33.5 N, 119.0 E)
probability for TS is 70% in about 24 hours
Taizhou (32.4 N, 119.9 E)
probability for TS is 70% in about 24 hours
Xinpu (34.8 N, 119.0 E)
probability for TS is 65% in about 24 hours
Linyi (35.2 N, 118.3 E)
probability for TS is 60% in about 36 hours
Shanghai (31.2 N, 121.5 E)
probability for TS is 55% in about 24 hours
Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Nanjing (32.0 N, 118.8 E)
probability for TS is 40% in about 24 hours
Note that
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html
.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, RSA Insurance Group, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
Typhoon DAMREY (11W) is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
South Korea
probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
China
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 24 hours
probability for TS is 90% within 12 hours
Japan
probability for TS is 60% currently
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Cheju (33.5 N, 126.5 E)
probability for TS is 95% within 12 hours
Xiangshui (34.2 N, 119.6 E)
probability for TS is 70% in about 24 hours
Huaiyin (33.5 N, 119.0 E)
probability for TS is 70% in about 24 hours
Taizhou (32.4 N, 119.9 E)
probability for TS is 70% in about 24 hours
Xinpu (34.8 N, 119.0 E)
probability for TS is 65% in about 24 hours
Linyi (35.2 N, 118.3 E)
probability for TS is 60% in about 36 hours
Shanghai (31.2 N, 121.5 E)
probability for TS is 55% in about 24 hours
Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Nanjing (32.0 N, 118.8 E)
probability for TS is 40% in about 24 hours
Note that
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html.
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, RSA Insurance Group, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 1 Aug, 2012 18:00 GMT
Typhoon DAMREY (11W) is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
South Korea
probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
China
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 24 hours
probability for TS is 90% within 12 hours
Japan
probability for TS is 60% currently
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Cheju (33.5 N, 126.5 E)
probability for TS is 95% within 12 hours
Xiangshui (34.2 N, 119.6 E)
probability for TS is 70% in about 24 hours
Huaiyin (33.5 N, 119.0 E)
probability for TS is 70% in about 24 hours
Taizhou (32.4 N, 119.9 E)
probability for TS is 70% in about 24 hours
Xinpu (34.8 N, 119.0 E)
probability for TS is 65% in about 24 hours
Linyi (35.2 N, 118.3 E)
probability for TS is 60% in about 36 hours
Shanghai (31.2 N, 121.5 E)
probability for TS is 55% in about 24 hours
Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Nanjing (32.0 N, 118.8 E)
probability for TS is 40% in about 24 hours
Note that
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html
.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, RSA Insurance Group, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
TSR Storm Alert - Typhoon SAOLA
NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 1 Aug, 2012 18:00 GMT
Typhoon SAOLA (10W) is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Taiwan
probability for CAT 1 or above is 100% currently
probability for TS is 100% currently
China
probability for CAT 1 or above is 65% in about 24 hours
probability for TS is 95% within 12 hours
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Taipei (25.0 N, 121.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 100% currently
probability for TS is 100% currently
Fu'an (27.1 N, 119.7 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 50% in about 24 hours
probability for TS is 85% within 12 hours
Wenzhou (27.5 N, 120.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 45% in about 24 hours
probability for TS is 90% in about 24 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
T'aichung (24.1 N, 120.7 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% within 12 hours
probability for TS is 100% currently
Fuzhou (26.1 N, 119.3 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 24 hours
probability for TS is 85% in about 24 hours
Putian (25.6 N, 119.0 E)
probability for TS is 75% in about 24 hours
Wenling (28.4 N, 121.4 E)
probability for TS is 70% in about 24 hours
Jinhua (29.2 N, 120.0 E)
probability for TS is 65% in about 24 hours
Quzhou (29.0 N, 119.0 E)
probability for TS is 65% in about 24 hours
Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Quanzhou (25.0 N, 118.5 E)
probability for TS is 40% in about 24 hours
Kao-hsiung (22.6 N, 120.3 E)
probability for TS is 35% currently
Hangzhou (30.3 N, 120.2 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 36 hours
Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html.
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, RSA Insurance Group, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 1 Aug, 2012 18:00 GMT
Typhoon SAOLA (10W) is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Taiwan
probability for CAT 1 or above is 100% currently
probability for TS is 100% currently
China
probability for CAT 1 or above is 65% in about 24 hours
probability for TS is 95% within 12 hours
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Taipei (25.0 N, 121.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 100% currently
probability for TS is 100% currently
Fu'an (27.1 N, 119.7 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 50% in about 24 hours
probability for TS is 85% within 12 hours
Wenzhou (27.5 N, 120.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 45% in about 24 hours
probability for TS is 90% in about 24 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
T'aichung (24.1 N, 120.7 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% within 12 hours
probability for TS is 100% currently
Fuzhou (26.1 N, 119.3 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 24 hours
probability for TS is 85% in about 24 hours
Putian (25.6 N, 119.0 E)
probability for TS is 75% in about 24 hours
Wenling (28.4 N, 121.4 E)
probability for TS is 70% in about 24 hours
Jinhua (29.2 N, 120.0 E)
probability for TS is 65% in about 24 hours
Quzhou (29.0 N, 119.0 E)
probability for TS is 65% in about 24 hours
Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Quanzhou (25.0 N, 118.5 E)
probability for TS is 40% in about 24 hours
Kao-hsiung (22.6 N, 120.3 E)
probability for TS is 35% currently
Hangzhou (30.3 N, 120.2 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 36 hours
Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html
.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, RSA Insurance Group, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
Typhoon SAOLA (10W) is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Taiwan
probability for CAT 1 or above is 100% currently
probability for TS is 100% currently
China
probability for CAT 1 or above is 65% in about 24 hours
probability for TS is 95% within 12 hours
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Taipei (25.0 N, 121.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 100% currently
probability for TS is 100% currently
Fu'an (27.1 N, 119.7 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 50% in about 24 hours
probability for TS is 85% within 12 hours
Wenzhou (27.5 N, 120.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 45% in about 24 hours
probability for TS is 90% in about 24 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
T'aichung (24.1 N, 120.7 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% within 12 hours
probability for TS is 100% currently
Fuzhou (26.1 N, 119.3 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 24 hours
probability for TS is 85% in about 24 hours
Putian (25.6 N, 119.0 E)
probability for TS is 75% in about 24 hours
Wenling (28.4 N, 121.4 E)
probability for TS is 70% in about 24 hours
Jinhua (29.2 N, 120.0 E)
probability for TS is 65% in about 24 hours
Quzhou (29.0 N, 119.0 E)
probability for TS is 65% in about 24 hours
Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Quanzhou (25.0 N, 118.5 E)
probability for TS is 40% in about 24 hours
Kao-hsiung (22.6 N, 120.3 E)
probability for TS is 35% currently
Hangzhou (30.3 N, 120.2 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 36 hours
Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html.
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, RSA Insurance Group, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 1 Aug, 2012 18:00 GMT
Typhoon SAOLA (10W) is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Taiwan
probability for CAT 1 or above is 100% currently
probability for TS is 100% currently
China
probability for CAT 1 or above is 65% in about 24 hours
probability for TS is 95% within 12 hours
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Taipei (25.0 N, 121.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 100% currently
probability for TS is 100% currently
Fu'an (27.1 N, 119.7 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 50% in about 24 hours
probability for TS is 85% within 12 hours
Wenzhou (27.5 N, 120.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 45% in about 24 hours
probability for TS is 90% in about 24 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
T'aichung (24.1 N, 120.7 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% within 12 hours
probability for TS is 100% currently
Fuzhou (26.1 N, 119.3 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 24 hours
probability for TS is 85% in about 24 hours
Putian (25.6 N, 119.0 E)
probability for TS is 75% in about 24 hours
Wenling (28.4 N, 121.4 E)
probability for TS is 70% in about 24 hours
Jinhua (29.2 N, 120.0 E)
probability for TS is 65% in about 24 hours
Quzhou (29.0 N, 119.0 E)
probability for TS is 65% in about 24 hours
Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Quanzhou (25.0 N, 118.5 E)
probability for TS is 40% in about 24 hours
Kao-hsiung (22.6 N, 120.3 E)
probability for TS is 35% currently
Hangzhou (30.3 N, 120.2 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 36 hours
Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html
.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, RSA Insurance Group, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
TSR Storm Alert - Typhoon SAOLA
NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 1 Aug, 2012 12:00 GMT
Typhoon SAOLA (10W) is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Taiwan
probability for CAT 1 or above is 95% within 12 hours
probability for TS is 100% currently
China
probability for CAT 1 or above is 55% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 95% in about 24 hours
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Taipei (25.0 N, 121.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 80% in about 24 hours
probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
Wenzhou (27.5 N, 120.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 50% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 90% in about 24 hours
Fu'an (27.1 N, 119.7 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 35% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 80% in about 24 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
T'aichung (24.1 N, 120.7 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 24 hours
probability for TS is 90% within 12 hours
Wenling (28.4 N, 121.4 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 75% in about 24 hours
Fuzhou (26.1 N, 119.3 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 70% in about 24 hours
Jinhua (29.2 N, 120.0 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 70% in about 36 hours
Quzhou (29.0 N, 119.0 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 70% in about 36 hours
Putian (25.6 N, 119.0 E)
probability for TS is 60% in about 36 hours
Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Ningbo (29.7 N, 121.5 E)
probability for TS is 50% in about 36 hours
Hangzhou (30.3 N, 120.2 E)
probability for TS is 45% in about 36 hours
Quanzhou (25.0 N, 118.5 E)
probability for TS is 40% in about 36 hours
Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html.
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, RSA Insurance Group, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 1 Aug, 2012 12:00 GMT
Typhoon SAOLA (10W) is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Taiwan
probability for CAT 1 or above is 95% within 12 hours
probability for TS is 100% currently
China
probability for CAT 1 or above is 55% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 95% in about 24 hours
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Taipei (25.0 N, 121.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 80% in about 24 hours
probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
Wenzhou (27.5 N, 120.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 50% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 90% in about 24 hours
Fu'an (27.1 N, 119.7 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 35% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 80% in about 24 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
T'aichung (24.1 N, 120.7 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 24 hours
probability for TS is 90% within 12 hours
Wenling (28.4 N, 121.4 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 75% in about 24 hours
Fuzhou (26.1 N, 119.3 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 70% in about 24 hours
Jinhua (29.2 N, 120.0 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 70% in about 36 hours
Quzhou (29.0 N, 119.0 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 70% in about 36 hours
Putian (25.6 N, 119.0 E)
probability for TS is 60% in about 36 hours
Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Ningbo (29.7 N, 121.5 E)
probability for TS is 50% in about 36 hours
Hangzhou (30.3 N, 120.2 E)
probability for TS is 45% in about 36 hours
Quanzhou (25.0 N, 118.5 E)
probability for TS is 40% in about 36 hours
Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html
.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, RSA Insurance Group, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
Typhoon SAOLA (10W) is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Taiwan
probability for CAT 1 or above is 95% within 12 hours
probability for TS is 100% currently
China
probability for CAT 1 or above is 55% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 95% in about 24 hours
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Taipei (25.0 N, 121.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 80% in about 24 hours
probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
Wenzhou (27.5 N, 120.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 50% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 90% in about 24 hours
Fu'an (27.1 N, 119.7 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 35% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 80% in about 24 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
T'aichung (24.1 N, 120.7 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 24 hours
probability for TS is 90% within 12 hours
Wenling (28.4 N, 121.4 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 75% in about 24 hours
Fuzhou (26.1 N, 119.3 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 70% in about 24 hours
Jinhua (29.2 N, 120.0 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 70% in about 36 hours
Quzhou (29.0 N, 119.0 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 70% in about 36 hours
Putian (25.6 N, 119.0 E)
probability for TS is 60% in about 36 hours
Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Ningbo (29.7 N, 121.5 E)
probability for TS is 50% in about 36 hours
Hangzhou (30.3 N, 120.2 E)
probability for TS is 45% in about 36 hours
Quanzhou (25.0 N, 118.5 E)
probability for TS is 40% in about 36 hours
Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html.
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, RSA Insurance Group, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 1 Aug, 2012 12:00 GMT
Typhoon SAOLA (10W) is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Taiwan
probability for CAT 1 or above is 95% within 12 hours
probability for TS is 100% currently
China
probability for CAT 1 or above is 55% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 95% in about 24 hours
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Taipei (25.0 N, 121.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 80% in about 24 hours
probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
Wenzhou (27.5 N, 120.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 50% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 90% in about 24 hours
Fu'an (27.1 N, 119.7 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 35% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 80% in about 24 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
T'aichung (24.1 N, 120.7 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 24 hours
probability for TS is 90% within 12 hours
Wenling (28.4 N, 121.4 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 75% in about 24 hours
Fuzhou (26.1 N, 119.3 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 70% in about 24 hours
Jinhua (29.2 N, 120.0 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 70% in about 36 hours
Quzhou (29.0 N, 119.0 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 70% in about 36 hours
Putian (25.6 N, 119.0 E)
probability for TS is 60% in about 36 hours
Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Ningbo (29.7 N, 121.5 E)
probability for TS is 50% in about 36 hours
Hangzhou (30.3 N, 120.2 E)
probability for TS is 45% in about 36 hours
Quanzhou (25.0 N, 118.5 E)
probability for TS is 40% in about 36 hours
Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html
.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, RSA Insurance Group, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
TSR Storm Alert - Typhoon DAMREY
NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 1 Aug, 2012 12:00 GMT
Typhoon DAMREY (11W) is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Japan
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% currently
probability for TS is 100% currently
South Korea
probability for TS is 95% within 12 hours
China
probability for TS is 80% in about 24 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Cheju (33.5 N, 126.5 E)
probability for TS is 90% within 12 hours
Kagoshima (31.5 N, 130.5 E)
probability for TS is 85% currently
Xiangshui (34.2 N, 119.6 E)
probability for TS is 75% in about 36 hours
Taizhou (32.4 N, 119.9 E)
probability for TS is 75% in about 24 hours
Nagasaki (32.8 N, 129.9 E)
probability for TS is 70% currently
Shanghai (31.2 N, 121.5 E)
probability for TS is 60% in about 24 hours
Huaiyin (33.5 N, 119.0 E)
probability for TS is 60% in about 24 hours
Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Linyi (35.2 N, 118.3 E)
probability for TS is 50% in about 36 hours
Xinpu (34.8 N, 119.0 E)
probability for TS is 50% in about 36 hours
Nanjing (32.0 N, 118.8 E)
probability for TS is 50% in about 36 hours
Kumamoto (32.7 N, 130.7 E)
probability for TS is 40% currently
Wuhu (31.5 N, 118.5 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 36 hours
Note that
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html.
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, RSA Insurance Group, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 1 Aug, 2012 12:00 GMT
Typhoon DAMREY (11W) is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Japan
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% currently
probability for TS is 100% currently
South Korea
probability for TS is 95% within 12 hours
China
probability for TS is 80% in about 24 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Cheju (33.5 N, 126.5 E)
probability for TS is 90% within 12 hours
Kagoshima (31.5 N, 130.5 E)
probability for TS is 85% currently
Xiangshui (34.2 N, 119.6 E)
probability for TS is 75% in about 36 hours
Taizhou (32.4 N, 119.9 E)
probability for TS is 75% in about 24 hours
Nagasaki (32.8 N, 129.9 E)
probability for TS is 70% currently
Shanghai (31.2 N, 121.5 E)
probability for TS is 60% in about 24 hours
Huaiyin (33.5 N, 119.0 E)
probability for TS is 60% in about 24 hours
Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Linyi (35.2 N, 118.3 E)
probability for TS is 50% in about 36 hours
Xinpu (34.8 N, 119.0 E)
probability for TS is 50% in about 36 hours
Nanjing (32.0 N, 118.8 E)
probability for TS is 50% in about 36 hours
Kumamoto (32.7 N, 130.7 E)
probability for TS is 40% currently
Wuhu (31.5 N, 118.5 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 36 hours
Note that
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html
.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, RSA Insurance Group, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
Typhoon DAMREY (11W) is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Japan
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% currently
probability for TS is 100% currently
South Korea
probability for TS is 95% within 12 hours
China
probability for TS is 80% in about 24 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Cheju (33.5 N, 126.5 E)
probability for TS is 90% within 12 hours
Kagoshima (31.5 N, 130.5 E)
probability for TS is 85% currently
Xiangshui (34.2 N, 119.6 E)
probability for TS is 75% in about 36 hours
Taizhou (32.4 N, 119.9 E)
probability for TS is 75% in about 24 hours
Nagasaki (32.8 N, 129.9 E)
probability for TS is 70% currently
Shanghai (31.2 N, 121.5 E)
probability for TS is 60% in about 24 hours
Huaiyin (33.5 N, 119.0 E)
probability for TS is 60% in about 24 hours
Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Linyi (35.2 N, 118.3 E)
probability for TS is 50% in about 36 hours
Xinpu (34.8 N, 119.0 E)
probability for TS is 50% in about 36 hours
Nanjing (32.0 N, 118.8 E)
probability for TS is 50% in about 36 hours
Kumamoto (32.7 N, 130.7 E)
probability for TS is 40% currently
Wuhu (31.5 N, 118.5 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 36 hours
Note that
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html.
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, RSA Insurance Group, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 1 Aug, 2012 12:00 GMT
Typhoon DAMREY (11W) is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Japan
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% currently
probability for TS is 100% currently
South Korea
probability for TS is 95% within 12 hours
China
probability for TS is 80% in about 24 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Cheju (33.5 N, 126.5 E)
probability for TS is 90% within 12 hours
Kagoshima (31.5 N, 130.5 E)
probability for TS is 85% currently
Xiangshui (34.2 N, 119.6 E)
probability for TS is 75% in about 36 hours
Taizhou (32.4 N, 119.9 E)
probability for TS is 75% in about 24 hours
Nagasaki (32.8 N, 129.9 E)
probability for TS is 70% currently
Shanghai (31.2 N, 121.5 E)
probability for TS is 60% in about 24 hours
Huaiyin (33.5 N, 119.0 E)
probability for TS is 60% in about 24 hours
Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Linyi (35.2 N, 118.3 E)
probability for TS is 50% in about 36 hours
Xinpu (34.8 N, 119.0 E)
probability for TS is 50% in about 36 hours
Nanjing (32.0 N, 118.8 E)
probability for TS is 50% in about 36 hours
Kumamoto (32.7 N, 130.7 E)
probability for TS is 40% currently
Wuhu (31.5 N, 118.5 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 36 hours
Note that
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html
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This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, RSA Insurance Group, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
TSR Storm Alert - Typhoon SAOLA
NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 1 Aug, 2012 6:00 GMT
Typhoon SAOLA (10W) is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Taiwan
probability for CAT 1 or above is 75% in about 24 hours
probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
China
probability for CAT 1 or above is 60% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 90% in about 36 hours
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Taipei (25.0 N, 121.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 65% in about 24 hours
probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
Wenzhou (27.5 N, 120.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 60% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 90% in about 36 hours
Wenling (28.4 N, 121.4 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 40% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 85% in about 36 hours
Fu'an (27.1 N, 119.7 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 35% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 80% in about 36 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
T'aichung (24.1 N, 120.7 E)
probability for TS is 85% in about 24 hours
Fuzhou (26.1 N, 119.3 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 65% in about 36 hours
Jinhua (29.2 N, 120.0 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 65% in about 36 hours
Putian (25.6 N, 119.0 E)
probability for TS is 55% in about 36 hours
Ningbo (29.7 N, 121.5 E)
probability for TS is 55% in about 36 hours
Quzhou (29.0 N, 119.0 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 50% in about 36 hours
Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Hangzhou (30.3 N, 120.2 E)
probability for TS is 45% in about 48 hours
Quanzhou (25.0 N, 118.5 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 48 hours
Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html.
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, RSA Insurance Group, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 1 Aug, 2012 6:00 GMT
Typhoon SAOLA (10W) is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Taiwan
probability for CAT 1 or above is 75% in about 24 hours
probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
China
probability for CAT 1 or above is 60% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 90% in about 36 hours
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Taipei (25.0 N, 121.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 65% in about 24 hours
probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
Wenzhou (27.5 N, 120.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 60% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 90% in about 36 hours
Wenling (28.4 N, 121.4 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 40% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 85% in about 36 hours
Fu'an (27.1 N, 119.7 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 35% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 80% in about 36 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
T'aichung (24.1 N, 120.7 E)
probability for TS is 85% in about 24 hours
Fuzhou (26.1 N, 119.3 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 65% in about 36 hours
Jinhua (29.2 N, 120.0 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 65% in about 36 hours
Putian (25.6 N, 119.0 E)
probability for TS is 55% in about 36 hours
Ningbo (29.7 N, 121.5 E)
probability for TS is 55% in about 36 hours
Quzhou (29.0 N, 119.0 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 50% in about 36 hours
Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Hangzhou (30.3 N, 120.2 E)
probability for TS is 45% in about 48 hours
Quanzhou (25.0 N, 118.5 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 48 hours
Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html
.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, RSA Insurance Group, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
Typhoon SAOLA (10W) is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Taiwan
probability for CAT 1 or above is 75% in about 24 hours
probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
China
probability for CAT 1 or above is 60% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 90% in about 36 hours
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Taipei (25.0 N, 121.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 65% in about 24 hours
probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
Wenzhou (27.5 N, 120.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 60% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 90% in about 36 hours
Wenling (28.4 N, 121.4 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 40% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 85% in about 36 hours
Fu'an (27.1 N, 119.7 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 35% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 80% in about 36 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
T'aichung (24.1 N, 120.7 E)
probability for TS is 85% in about 24 hours
Fuzhou (26.1 N, 119.3 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 65% in about 36 hours
Jinhua (29.2 N, 120.0 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 65% in about 36 hours
Putian (25.6 N, 119.0 E)
probability for TS is 55% in about 36 hours
Ningbo (29.7 N, 121.5 E)
probability for TS is 55% in about 36 hours
Quzhou (29.0 N, 119.0 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 50% in about 36 hours
Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Hangzhou (30.3 N, 120.2 E)
probability for TS is 45% in about 48 hours
Quanzhou (25.0 N, 118.5 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 48 hours
Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html.
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, RSA Insurance Group, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 1 Aug, 2012 6:00 GMT
Typhoon SAOLA (10W) is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Taiwan
probability for CAT 1 or above is 75% in about 24 hours
probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
China
probability for CAT 1 or above is 60% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 90% in about 36 hours
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Taipei (25.0 N, 121.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 65% in about 24 hours
probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
Wenzhou (27.5 N, 120.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 60% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 90% in about 36 hours
Wenling (28.4 N, 121.4 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 40% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 85% in about 36 hours
Fu'an (27.1 N, 119.7 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 35% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 80% in about 36 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
T'aichung (24.1 N, 120.7 E)
probability for TS is 85% in about 24 hours
Fuzhou (26.1 N, 119.3 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 65% in about 36 hours
Jinhua (29.2 N, 120.0 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 65% in about 36 hours
Putian (25.6 N, 119.0 E)
probability for TS is 55% in about 36 hours
Ningbo (29.7 N, 121.5 E)
probability for TS is 55% in about 36 hours
Quzhou (29.0 N, 119.0 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 50% in about 36 hours
Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Hangzhou (30.3 N, 120.2 E)
probability for TS is 45% in about 48 hours
Quanzhou (25.0 N, 118.5 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 48 hours
Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html
.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, RSA Insurance Group, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
TSR Storm Alert - Typhoon DAMREY
NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 1 Aug, 2012 6:00 GMT
Typhoon DAMREY (11W) is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Japan
probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% currently
probability for TS is 100% currently
South Korea
probability for TS is 95% within 12 hours
China
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 24 hours
probability for TS is 90% in about 24 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Kagoshima (31.5 N, 130.5 E)
probability for TS is 100% currently
Cheju (33.5 N, 126.5 E)
probability for TS is 95% in about 24 hours
Nagasaki (32.8 N, 129.9 E)
probability for TS is 85% within 12 hours
Kumamoto (32.7 N, 130.7 E)
probability for TS is 70% within 12 hours
Shanghai (31.2 N, 121.5 E)
probability for TS is 70% in about 24 hours
Xinpu (34.8 N, 119.0 E)
probability for TS is 60% in about 36 hours
Xiangshui (34.2 N, 119.6 E)
probability for TS is 60% in about 36 hours
Huaiyin (33.5 N, 119.0 E)
probability for TS is 60% in about 36 hours
Taizhou (32.4 N, 119.9 E)
probability for TS is 60% in about 36 hours
Linyi (35.2 N, 118.3 E)
probability for TS is 55% in about 36 hours
Nanjing (32.0 N, 118.8 E)
probability for TS is 55% in about 36 hours
Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Saga (33.3 N, 130.3 E)
probability for TS is 45% within 12 hours
Wuhu (31.5 N, 118.5 E)
probability for TS is 40% in about 36 hours
Qingdao (36.1 N, 120.4 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 36 hours
Hefei (32.0 N, 117.0 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 48 hours
Note that
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html.
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, RSA Insurance Group, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 1 Aug, 2012 6:00 GMT
Typhoon DAMREY (11W) is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Japan
probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% currently
probability for TS is 100% currently
South Korea
probability for TS is 95% within 12 hours
China
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 24 hours
probability for TS is 90% in about 24 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Kagoshima (31.5 N, 130.5 E)
probability for TS is 100% currently
Cheju (33.5 N, 126.5 E)
probability for TS is 95% in about 24 hours
Nagasaki (32.8 N, 129.9 E)
probability for TS is 85% within 12 hours
Kumamoto (32.7 N, 130.7 E)
probability for TS is 70% within 12 hours
Shanghai (31.2 N, 121.5 E)
probability for TS is 70% in about 24 hours
Xinpu (34.8 N, 119.0 E)
probability for TS is 60% in about 36 hours
Xiangshui (34.2 N, 119.6 E)
probability for TS is 60% in about 36 hours
Huaiyin (33.5 N, 119.0 E)
probability for TS is 60% in about 36 hours
Taizhou (32.4 N, 119.9 E)
probability for TS is 60% in about 36 hours
Linyi (35.2 N, 118.3 E)
probability for TS is 55% in about 36 hours
Nanjing (32.0 N, 118.8 E)
probability for TS is 55% in about 36 hours
Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Saga (33.3 N, 130.3 E)
probability for TS is 45% within 12 hours
Wuhu (31.5 N, 118.5 E)
probability for TS is 40% in about 36 hours
Qingdao (36.1 N, 120.4 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 36 hours
Hefei (32.0 N, 117.0 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 48 hours
Note that
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html
.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, RSA Insurance Group, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
Typhoon DAMREY (11W) is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Japan
probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% currently
probability for TS is 100% currently
South Korea
probability for TS is 95% within 12 hours
China
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 24 hours
probability for TS is 90% in about 24 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Kagoshima (31.5 N, 130.5 E)
probability for TS is 100% currently
Cheju (33.5 N, 126.5 E)
probability for TS is 95% in about 24 hours
Nagasaki (32.8 N, 129.9 E)
probability for TS is 85% within 12 hours
Kumamoto (32.7 N, 130.7 E)
probability for TS is 70% within 12 hours
Shanghai (31.2 N, 121.5 E)
probability for TS is 70% in about 24 hours
Xinpu (34.8 N, 119.0 E)
probability for TS is 60% in about 36 hours
Xiangshui (34.2 N, 119.6 E)
probability for TS is 60% in about 36 hours
Huaiyin (33.5 N, 119.0 E)
probability for TS is 60% in about 36 hours
Taizhou (32.4 N, 119.9 E)
probability for TS is 60% in about 36 hours
Linyi (35.2 N, 118.3 E)
probability for TS is 55% in about 36 hours
Nanjing (32.0 N, 118.8 E)
probability for TS is 55% in about 36 hours
Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Saga (33.3 N, 130.3 E)
probability for TS is 45% within 12 hours
Wuhu (31.5 N, 118.5 E)
probability for TS is 40% in about 36 hours
Qingdao (36.1 N, 120.4 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 36 hours
Hefei (32.0 N, 117.0 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 48 hours
Note that
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html.
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, RSA Insurance Group, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 1 Aug, 2012 6:00 GMT
Typhoon DAMREY (11W) is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Japan
probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% currently
probability for TS is 100% currently
South Korea
probability for TS is 95% within 12 hours
China
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 24 hours
probability for TS is 90% in about 24 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Kagoshima (31.5 N, 130.5 E)
probability for TS is 100% currently
Cheju (33.5 N, 126.5 E)
probability for TS is 95% in about 24 hours
Nagasaki (32.8 N, 129.9 E)
probability for TS is 85% within 12 hours
Kumamoto (32.7 N, 130.7 E)
probability for TS is 70% within 12 hours
Shanghai (31.2 N, 121.5 E)
probability for TS is 70% in about 24 hours
Xinpu (34.8 N, 119.0 E)
probability for TS is 60% in about 36 hours
Xiangshui (34.2 N, 119.6 E)
probability for TS is 60% in about 36 hours
Huaiyin (33.5 N, 119.0 E)
probability for TS is 60% in about 36 hours
Taizhou (32.4 N, 119.9 E)
probability for TS is 60% in about 36 hours
Linyi (35.2 N, 118.3 E)
probability for TS is 55% in about 36 hours
Nanjing (32.0 N, 118.8 E)
probability for TS is 55% in about 36 hours
Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Saga (33.3 N, 130.3 E)
probability for TS is 45% within 12 hours
Wuhu (31.5 N, 118.5 E)
probability for TS is 40% in about 36 hours
Qingdao (36.1 N, 120.4 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 36 hours
Hefei (32.0 N, 117.0 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 48 hours
Note that
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html
.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, RSA Insurance Group, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
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