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Tuesday, September 15, 2020

TSR Storm Alert - Hurricane SALLY

N Atlantic: Storm Alert issued at 16 Sep, 2020 3:00 GMT

Hurricane SALLY is currently located near 29.8 N 87.8 W with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 75 kts (86 mph). SALLY is a category 1 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. SALLY is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    the United States
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 100% currently
        probability for TS is 100% currently
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Pensacola (30.7 N, 87.0 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 65% within 9 hours
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    Mobile (30.7 N, 88.1 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 45% within 9 hours
        probability for TS is 95% currently

Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Montgomery (32.4 N, 86.3 W)
        probability for TS is 60% in about 21 hours

Note that
    Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Hurricane strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm NOUL

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 16 Sep, 2020 0:00 GMT

Tropical Storm NOUL is currently located near 13.1 N 117.6 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 40kts (46 mph). NOUL is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Vietnam
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 48 hours
        probability for TS is 80% in about 48 hours
    China
        probability for TS is 75% in about 48 hours
    Laos
        probability for TS is 65% in about 48 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Quang Ngai (15.1 N, 108.8 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 48 hours
        probability for TS is 75% in about 48 hours
    Da Nang (16.1 N, 108.2 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 48 hours
        probability for TS is 75% in about 48 hours
    Yaxian (18.4 N, 109.4 E)
        probability for TS is 70% in about 48 hours
    Dong Ha (16.9 N, 107.1 E)
        probability for TS is 65% in about 72 hours
    Qui Nhon (13.8 N, 109.2 E)
        probability for TS is 55% in about 48 hours
    Qionghai (19.2 N, 110.5 E)
        probability for TS is 55% in about 48 hours
    Kon Tum (14.3 N, 108.0 E)
        probability for TS is 55% in about 48 hours
    Dong Hoi (17.5 N, 106.6 E)
        probability for TS is 55% in about 72 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

TSR Storm Alert - Hurricane SALLY

N Atlantic: Storm Alert issued at 15 Sep, 2020 21:00 GMT

Hurricane SALLY is currently located near 29.5 N 88.1 W with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 70 kts (81 mph). SALLY is a category 1 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. SALLY is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    the United States
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 85% currently
        probability for TS is 100% currently
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Mobile (30.7 N, 88.1 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 50% within 9 hours
        probability for TS is 95% currently

Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Pensacola (30.7 N, 87.0 W)
        probability for TS is 90% within 9 hours

Note that
    Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Hurricane strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm THIRTEEN

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 15 Sep, 2020 18:00 GMT

Tropical Storm THIRTEEN is currently located near 12.8 N 118.4 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 35kts (40 mph). THIRTEEN is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Vietnam
        probability for TS is 70% in about 48 hours
    the Philippines
        probability for TS is 60% currently
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Quang Ngai (15.1 N, 108.8 E)
        probability for TS is 65% in about 48 hours
    Qui Nhon (13.8 N, 109.2 E)
        probability for TS is 60% in about 48 hours
    Da Nang (16.1 N, 108.2 E)
        probability for TS is 55% in about 72 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Depression THIRTEEN

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 15 Sep, 2020 12:00 GMT

Tropical Depression THIRTEEN is currently located near 12.8 N 119.0 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 25kts (29 mph). THIRTEEN is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Vietnam
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 72 hours
        probability for TS is 45% in about 72 hours
    China
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 72 hours
        probability for TS is 45% in about 72 hours
    Laos
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 72 hours
        probability for TS is 45% in about 72 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Yaxian (18.4 N, 109.4 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 72 hours
        probability for TS is 45% in about 72 hours
    Dong Hoi (17.5 N, 106.6 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 72 hours
        probability for TS is 45% in about 72 hours
    Dong Ha (16.9 N, 107.1 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 72 hours
        probability for TS is 45% in about 72 hours
    Da Nang (16.1 N, 108.2 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 72 hours
        probability for TS is 45% in about 72 hours
    Quang Ngai (15.1 N, 108.8 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 72 hours
        probability for TS is 45% in about 72 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

TSR Storm Alert - Hurricane SALLY

N Atlantic: Storm Alert issued at 15 Sep, 2020 9:00 GMT

Hurricane SALLY is currently located near 28.9 N 88.1 W with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 75 kts (86 mph). SALLY is a category 1 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. SALLY is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    the United States
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 40% in about 21 hours
        probability for TS is 95% currently

Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Mobile (30.7 N, 88.1 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% in about 21 hours
        probability for TS is 80% within 9 hours
    Pensacola (30.7 N, 87.0 W)
        probability for TS is 60% currently

Note that
    Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Hurricane strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).