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Saturday, March 14, 2020

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm GRETEL

SW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 15 Mar, 2020 0:00 GMT

Tropical Storm GRETEL is currently located near 20.2 S 161.7 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 50kts (58 mph). GRETEL is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    New Caledonia
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    Norfolk Island
        probability for TS is 95% in about 24 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Koumac (20.5 S, 164.3 E)
        probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
    Kone (21.0 S, 164.8 E)
        probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
    Bourail (21.6 S, 165.5 E)
        probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
    Tadine (21.5 S, 167.9 E)
        probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
    Noum'ea (22.2 S, 166.5 E)
        probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
    Kingston (29.1 S, 168.0 E)
        probability for TS is 95% in about 24 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm GRETEL

SW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 14 Mar, 2020 18:00 GMT

Tropical Storm GRETEL is currently located near 18.9 S 160.0 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 40kts (46 mph). GRETEL is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    New Caledonia
        probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
    Norfolk Island
        probability for TS is 90% in about 36 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Koumac (20.5 S, 164.3 E)
        probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
    Kone (21.0 S, 164.8 E)
        probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
    Tadine (21.5 S, 167.9 E)
        probability for TS is 100% in about 24 hours
    Bourail (21.6 S, 165.5 E)
        probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
    Noum'ea (22.2 S, 166.5 E)
        probability for TS is 100% in about 24 hours
    Kingston (29.1 S, 168.0 E)
        probability for TS is 90% in about 36 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Cyclone HEROLD

S Indian Ocean: Storm Alert issued at 14 Mar, 2020 18:00 GMT

Tropical Cyclone HEROLD is currently located near 15.0 S 51.1 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 65 kts (75 mph). HEROLD is a category 1 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. HEROLD is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Madagascar
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 35% currently
        probability for TS is 95% currently

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Mauritius
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 72 hours
        probability for TS is 40% in about 72 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Antalaha (14.9 S, 50.2 E)
        probability for TS is 90% currently
    Port Mathurin (19.7 S, 63.5 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 72 hours
        probability for TS is 40% in about 72 hours

Note that
    Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

[Tsunami Message - IOC] PTWC TSUNAMI INFORMATION STATEMENT

TSUNAMI INFORMATION STATEMENT NUMBER 1
NWS PACIFIC TSUNAMI WARNING CENTER EWA BEACH HI
1009 UTC SAT MAR 14 2020

..PTWC TSUNAMI INFORMATION STATEMENT...


**** NOTICE **** NOTICE **** NOTICE **** NOTICE **** NOTICE *****

THIS STATEMENT IS ISSUED FOR INFORMATION ONLY IN SUPPORT OF THE
UNESCO/IOC PACIFIC TSUNAMI WARNING AND MITIGATION SYSTEM AND IS
MEANT FOR NATIONAL AUTHORITIES IN EACH COUNTRY OF THAT SYSTEM.

NATIONAL AUTHORITIES WILL DETERMINE THE APPROPRIATE LEVEL OF
ALERT FOR EACH COUNTRY AND MAY ISSUE ADDITIONAL OR MORE REFINED
INFORMATION.

**** NOTICE **** NOTICE **** NOTICE **** NOTICE **** NOTICE *****


PRELIMINARY EARTHQUAKE PARAMETERS
---------------------------------

* MAGNITUDE 6.7
* ORIGIN TIME 1001 UTC MAR 14 2020
* COORDINATES 28.0 SOUTH 174.5 WEST
* DEPTH 27 KM / 17 MILES
* LOCATION KERMADEC ISLANDS REGION


EVALUATION
----------

* AN EARTHQUAKE WITH A PRELIMINARY MAGNITUDE OF 6.7 OCCURRED IN
THE KERMADEC ISLANDS REGION AT 1001 UTC ON SATURDAY MARCH 14
2020.

* BASED ON ALL AVAILABLE DATA... THERE IS NO TSUNAMI THREAT
FROM THIS EARTHQUAKE.


RECOMMENDED ACTIONS
-------------------

* NO ACTION IS REQUIRED.


NEXT UPDATE AND ADDITIONAL INFORMATION
--------------------------------------

* THIS WILL BE THE ONLY STATEMENT ISSUED FOR THIS EVENT UNLESS
ADDITIONAL DATA ARE RECEIVED OR THE SITUATION CHANGES.

* AUTHORITATIVE INFORMATION ABOUT THE EARTHQUAKE FROM THE U.S.
GEOLOGICAL SURVEY CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT
EARTHQUAKE.USGS.GOV.

* FURTHER INFORMATION ABOUT THIS EVENT MAY BE FOUND AT
WWW.TSUNAMI.GOV.

* COASTAL REGIONS OF HAWAII... AMERICAN SAMOA... GUAM... AND
CNMI SHOULD REFER TO PACIFIC TSUNAMI WARNING CENTER MESSAGES
SPECIFICALLY FOR THOSE PLACES THAT CAN BE FOUND AT
WWW.TSUNAMI.GOV.

* COASTAL REGIONS OF CALIFORNIA... OREGON... WASHINGTON...
BRITISH COLUMBIA AND ALASKA SHOULD ONLY REFER TO U.S.
NATIONAL TSUNAMI WARNING CENTER MESSAGES THAT CAN BE FOUND
AT WWW.TSUNAMI.GOV.

$$

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm HEROLD

S Indian Ocean: Storm Alert issued at 14 Mar, 2020 6:00 GMT

Tropical Storm HEROLD is currently located near 15.1 S 50.9 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 60kts (69 mph). HEROLD is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Madagascar
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% currently
        probability for TS is 95% currently
    Mauritius
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 72 hours
        probability for TS is 35% in about 72 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Antalaha (14.9 S, 50.2 E)
        probability for TS is 90% currently
    Maroantseta (15.4 S, 49.7 E)
        probability for TS is 60% currently
    Port Louis (20.2 S, 57.5 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 72 hours
        probability for TS is 35% in about 72 hours
    Port Mathurin (19.7 S, 63.5 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
        probability for TS is 25% in about 96 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).