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Saturday, October 7, 2023

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm LIDIA

NE Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 8 Oct, 2023 3:00 GMT

Tropical Storm LIDIA is currently located near 16.1 N 112.6 W with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 60kts (69 mph). LIDIA is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Mexico
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 69 hours
        probability for TS is 35% in about 69 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Tecuala (22.4 N, 105.5 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 93 hours
        probability for TS is 25% in about 93 hours
    Tepic (21.5 N, 104.9 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 93 hours
        probability for TS is 30% in about 93 hours
    Tomatlan (19.9 N, 105.2 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 69 hours
        probability for TS is 30% in about 69 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Hurricane strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm BOLAVEN

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 8 Oct, 2023 0:00 GMT

Tropical Storm BOLAVEN is currently located near 9.5 N 153.2 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 35kts (40 mph). BOLAVEN is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    the Northern Mariana Islands
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 72 hours
        probability for TS is 60% in about 72 hours
    Guam
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 72 hours
        probability for TS is 55% in about 72 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Hagatna (13.5 N, 144.8 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 72 hours
        probability for TS is 55% in about 72 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

TSR Storm Alert - Typhoon KOINU

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 8 Oct, 2023 0:00 GMT

Typhoon KOINU is currently located near 21.5 N 114.6 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 85 kts (98 mph). KOINU is a category 2 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. KOINU is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Hong Kong
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% within 12 hours
        probability for TS is 85% currently
    China
        probability for TS is 70% currently
    Macau
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% within 12 hours
        probability for TS is 65% within 12 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Hong Kong (22.4 N, 114.2 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% within 12 hours
        probability for TS is 70% currently

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm BOLAVEN

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 7 Oct, 2023 18:00 GMT

Tropical Storm BOLAVEN is currently located near 10.0 N 153.3 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 35kts (40 mph). BOLAVEN is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    the Northern Mariana Islands
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 72 hours
        probability for TS is 60% in about 72 hours
    Guam
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 72 hours
        probability for TS is 55% in about 72 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Hagatna (13.5 N, 144.8 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 72 hours
        probability for TS is 55% in about 72 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

TSR Storm Alert - Typhoon KOINU

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 7 Oct, 2023 18:00 GMT

Typhoon KOINU is currently located near 21.4 N 114.9 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 95 kts (109 mph). KOINU is a category 2 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. KOINU is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    China
        probability for TS is 65% within 12 hours
    Hong Kong
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% within 12 hours
        probability for TS is 65% currently
    Macau
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 24 hours
        probability for TS is 50% in about 24 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Hong Kong (22.4 N, 114.2 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 24 hours
        probability for TS is 55% within 12 hours
    Maoming (21.9 N, 110.9 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 48 hours
        probability for TS is 40% in about 48 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm LIDIA

NE Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 7 Oct, 2023 15:00 GMT

Tropical Storm LIDIA is currently located near 16.2 N 112.2 W with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 55kts (63 mph). LIDIA is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Mexico
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 93 hours
        probability for TS is 30% in about 93 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Tecuala (22.4 N, 105.5 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 93 hours
        probability for TS is 25% in about 93 hours
    Tepic (21.5 N, 104.9 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 93 hours
        probability for TS is 25% in about 93 hours
    Tomatlan (19.9 N, 105.2 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 93 hours
        probability for TS is 25% in about 93 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Hurricane strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm LIDIA

NE Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 7 Oct, 2023 9:00 GMT

Tropical Storm LIDIA is currently located near 16.0 N 111.9 W with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 55kts (63 mph). LIDIA is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Mexico
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 99 hours
        probability for TS is 30% in about 99 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Tecuala (22.4 N, 105.5 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 99 hours
        probability for TS is 25% in about 99 hours
    Tepic (21.5 N, 104.9 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 99 hours
        probability for TS is 25% in about 99 hours
    Tomatlan (19.9 N, 105.2 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 99 hours
        probability for TS is 25% in about 99 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Hurricane strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm BOLAVEN

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 7 Oct, 2023 12:00 GMT

Tropical Storm BOLAVEN is currently located near 9.8 N 153.2 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 35kts (40 mph). BOLAVEN is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    the Northern Mariana Islands
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 72 hours
        probability for TS is 45% in about 72 hours
    Guam
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 72 hours
        probability for TS is 45% in about 72 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Hagatna (13.5 N, 144.8 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 72 hours
        probability for TS is 40% in about 72 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

TSR Storm Alert - Typhoon KOINU

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 7 Oct, 2023 12:00 GMT

Typhoon KOINU is currently located near 21.3 N 115.1 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 95 kts (109 mph). KOINU is a category 2 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. KOINU is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    China
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 24 hours
        probability for TS is 35% within 12 hours
    Hong Kong
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% within 12 hours
        probability for TS is 45% within 12 hours
    Macau
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 24 hours
        probability for TS is 30% in about 24 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Hong Kong (22.4 N, 114.2 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% within 12 hours
        probability for TS is 35% within 12 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

[Tsunami Message - IOC] PTWC TSUNAMI INFORMATION STATEMENT

TSUNAMI INFORMATION STATEMENT NUMBER 1
NWS PACIFIC TSUNAMI WARNING CENTER HONOLULU HI
0843 UTC SAT OCT 7 2023

...PTWC TSUNAMI INFORMATION STATEMENT...


**** NOTICE **** NOTICE **** NOTICE **** NOTICE **** NOTICE *****

THIS STATEMENT IS ISSUED FOR INFORMATION ONLY IN SUPPORT OF THE
UNESCO/IOC PACIFIC TSUNAMI WARNING AND MITIGATION SYSTEM AND IS
MEANT FOR NATIONAL AUTHORITIES IN EACH COUNTRY OF THAT SYSTEM.

NATIONAL AUTHORITIES WILL DETERMINE THE APPROPRIATE LEVEL OF
ALERT FOR EACH COUNTRY AND MAY ISSUE ADDITIONAL OR MORE REFINED
INFORMATION.

**** NOTICE **** NOTICE **** NOTICE **** NOTICE **** NOTICE *****


PRELIMINARY EARTHQUAKE PARAMETERS
---------------------------------

* MAGNITUDE 7.0
* ORIGIN TIME 0834 UTC OCT 7 2023
* COORDINATES 5.7 SOUTH 146.1 EAST
* DEPTH 72 KM / 45 MILES
* LOCATION EASTERN NEW GUINEA REG PAPUA NEW GUINEA


EVALUATION
----------

* AN EARTHQUAKE WITH A PRELIMINARY MAGNITUDE OF 7.0 OCCURRED IN
THE EASTERN NEW GUINEA REGION, PAPUA NEW GUINEA AT 0834 UTC
ON SATURDAY OCTOBER 7 2023.

* BASED ON ALL AVAILABLE DATA... THERE IS NO TSUNAMI THREAT
FROM THIS EARTHQUAKE.


RECOMMENDED ACTIONS
-------------------

* NO ACTION IS REQUIRED.


NEXT UPDATE AND ADDITIONAL INFORMATION
--------------------------------------

* THIS WILL BE THE ONLY STATEMENT ISSUED FOR THIS EVENT UNLESS
ADDITIONAL DATA ARE RECEIVED OR THE SITUATION CHANGES.

* AUTHORITATIVE INFORMATION ABOUT THE EARTHQUAKE FROM THE U.S.
GEOLOGICAL SURVEY CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT
EARTHQUAKE.USGS.GOV.

* FURTHER INFORMATION ABOUT THIS EVENT MAY BE FOUND AT
WWW.TSUNAMI.GOV.

* COASTAL REGIONS OF HAWAII... AMERICAN SAMOA... GUAM... AND
CNMI SHOULD REFER TO PACIFIC TSUNAMI WARNING CENTER MESSAGES
SPECIFICALLY FOR THOSE PLACES THAT CAN BE FOUND AT
WWW.TSUNAMI.GOV.

* COASTAL REGIONS OF CALIFORNIA... OREGON... WASHINGTON...
BRITISH COLUMBIA AND ALASKA SHOULD ONLY REFER TO U.S.
NATIONAL TSUNAMI WARNING CENTER MESSAGES THAT CAN BE FOUND
AT WWW.TSUNAMI.GOV.

$$

TSR Storm Alert - Typhoon KOINU

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 7 Oct, 2023 6:00 GMT

Typhoon KOINU is currently located near 21.1 N 115.2 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 95 kts (109 mph). KOINU is a category 2 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. KOINU is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    China
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 36 hours
        probability for TS is 25% within 12 hours
    Hong Kong
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 24 hours
        probability for TS is 30% within 12 hours
    Macau
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 24 hours
        probability for TS is 25% in about 24 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Hong Kong (22.4 N, 114.2 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 24 hours
        probability for TS is 25% within 12 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).