TSR Storm Alert - Typhoon FRANCISCO

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 18 Oct, 2013 0:00 GMT

Typhoon FRANCISCO (26W) currently located near 13.8 N 142.3 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Green Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Guam
probability for TS is 40% currently
Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Hagatna (13.5 N, 144.8 E)
probability for TS is 40% currently

Note that
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

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This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

TSR Storm Alert - Typhoon FRANCISCO

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 17 Oct, 2013 18:00 GMT

Typhoon FRANCISCO (26W) currently located near 13.2 N 142.8 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Guam
probability for TS is 80% currently
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Hagatna (13.5 N, 144.8 E)
probability for TS is 70% currently

Note that
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

TSR Storm Alert - Typhoon FRANCISCO

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 17 Oct, 2013 12:00 GMT

Typhoon FRANCISCO (26W) currently located near 12.1 N 143.0 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Guam
probability for TS is 95% within 12 hours
the Northern Mariana Islands
probability for TS is 75% within 12 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Hagatna (13.5 N, 144.8 E)
probability for TS is 90% within 12 hours

Note that
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

TSR Storm Alert - Typhoon FRANCISCO

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 17 Oct, 2013 6:00 GMT

Typhoon FRANCISCO (26W) currently located near 11.4 N 142.7 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Guam
probability for TS is 65% in about 24 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Hagatna (13.5 N, 144.8 E)
probability for TS is 60% in about 24 hours

Green Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
the Northern Mariana Islands
probability for TS is 40% in about 24 hours

Note that
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.