TSR Storm Alert - Hurricane HILARY

NE Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 20 Aug, 2023 3:00 GMT

Hurricane HILARY is currently located near 25.3 N 114.6 W with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 80 kts (92 mph). HILARY is a category 1 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. HILARY is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Mexico
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 100% within 9 hours
        probability for TS is 100% currently
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    San Vicente (31.3 N, 116.2 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 45% in about 21 hours
        probability for TS is 100% in about 21 hours

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    the United States
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% in about 21 hours
        probability for TS is 100% in about 21 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Punta Prieta (28.9 N, 114.2 W)
        probability for TS is 100% within 9 hours
    Guerrero Negro (28.0 N, 114.1 W)
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    Rosarito (26.5 N, 111.7 W)
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    La Poza (25.9 N, 112.0 W)
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    San Fernando (30.0 N, 115.2 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% in about 21 hours
        probability for TS is 100% within 9 hours
    San Diego (32.8 N, 117.1 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 21 hours
        probability for TS is 100% in about 21 hours
    Los Angeles (34.0 N, 118.2 W)
        probability for TS is 70% in about 21 hours

Note that
    Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Hurricane strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

TSR Storm Alert - Hurricane HILARY

NE Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 19 Aug, 2023 21:00 GMT

Hurricane HILARY is currently located near 23.8 N 114.1 W with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 95 kts (109 mph). HILARY is a category 2 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. HILARY is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Mexico
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 65% in about 21 hours
        probability for TS is 100% currently

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    the United States
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 33 hours
        probability for TS is 100% in about 21 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Guerrero Negro (28.0 N, 114.1 W)
        probability for TS is 100% within 9 hours
    La Poza (25.9 N, 112.0 W)
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    San Fernando (30.0 N, 115.2 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 21 hours
        probability for TS is 100% in about 21 hours
    Punta Prieta (28.9 N, 114.2 W)
        probability for TS is 100% within 9 hours
    San Vicente (31.3 N, 116.2 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 21 hours
        probability for TS is 100% in about 21 hours
    Rosarito (26.5 N, 111.7 W)
        probability for TS is 95% within 9 hours
    San Diego (32.8 N, 117.1 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 33 hours
        probability for TS is 80% in about 33 hours

Note that
    Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Hurricane strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

TSR Storm Alert - Intense Hurricane HILARY

NE Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 19 Aug, 2023 15:00 GMT

Intense Hurricane HILARY is currently located near 22.3 N 113.5 W with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 110 kts (127 mph). HILARY is a category 3 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. HILARY is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Mexico
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 60% in about 21 hours
        probability for TS is 100% currently

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    the United States
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 33 hours
        probability for TS is 100% in about 33 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    La Poza (25.9 N, 112.0 W)
        probability for TS is 100% within 9 hours
    Punta Prieta (28.9 N, 114.2 W)
        probability for TS is 100% in about 21 hours
    Guerrero Negro (28.0 N, 114.1 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 21 hours
        probability for TS is 100% in about 21 hours
    Rosarito (26.5 N, 111.7 W)
        probability for TS is 100% in about 21 hours
    San Fernando (30.0 N, 115.2 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% in about 33 hours
        probability for TS is 100% in about 33 hours
    San Vicente (31.3 N, 116.2 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 33 hours
        probability for TS is 90% in about 33 hours
    La Paz (24.2 N, 110.3 W)
        probability for TS is 80% within 9 hours
    San Lucas (22.9 N, 109.9 W)
        probability for TS is 80% currently
    San Diego (32.8 N, 117.1 W)
        probability for TS is 65% in about 33 hours

Note that
    Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Hurricane strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

TSR Storm Alert - Intense Hurricane HILARY

NE Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 19 Aug, 2023 9:00 GMT

Intense Hurricane HILARY is currently located near 20.9 N 113.3 W with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 115 kts (132 mph). HILARY is a category 4 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. HILARY is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Mexico
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 40% in about 33 hours
        probability for TS is 100% within 9 hours

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    the United States
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 45 hours
        probability for TS is 95% in about 45 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    La Poza (25.9 N, 112.0 W)
        probability for TS is 100% in about 21 hours
    San Fernando (30.0 N, 115.2 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 33 hours
        probability for TS is 100% in about 33 hours
    Punta Prieta (28.9 N, 114.2 W)
        probability for TS is 100% in about 33 hours
    Guerrero Negro (28.0 N, 114.1 W)
        probability for TS is 100% in about 21 hours
    Rosarito (26.5 N, 111.7 W)
        probability for TS is 85% in about 21 hours
    San Vicente (31.3 N, 116.2 W)
        probability for TS is 85% in about 33 hours
    San Diego (32.8 N, 117.1 W)
        probability for TS is 60% in about 45 hours

Note that
    Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Hurricane strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).