TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Cyclone OLWYN

S Indian Ocean: Storm Alert issued at 13 Mar, 2015 0:00 GMT

Tropical Cyclone OLWYN (19S) currently located near 23.6 S 113.6 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Australia
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 100% currently
        probability for TS is 100% currently
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Carnarvon (24.8 S, 113.8 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 95% within 12 hours
        probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
    Cardabia (23.0 S, 113.9 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 80% currently
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    Useless Loop (26.3 S, 113.4 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 80% within 12 hours
        probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours

Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Kalbarri (27.7 S, 114.2 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% within 12 hours
        probability for TS is 95% within 12 hours
    Gascoyne Junction (25.0 S, 115.2 E)
        probability for TS is 85% within 12 hours
    Exmouth (22.0 S, 114.2 E)
        probability for TS is 75% currently
    Northampton (28.4 S, 114.6 E)
        probability for TS is 65% in about 24 hours
    Geraldton (28.8 S, 114.6 E)
        probability for TS is 65% in about 24 hours
    Green Head (30.1 S, 115.0 E)
        probability for TS is 65% in about 24 hours
    Moora (30.7 S, 116.0 E)
        probability for TS is 65% in about 24 hours

Note that
    Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

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This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

TSR Storm Alert - Very Intense TC PAM

SW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 13 Mar, 2015 0:00 GMT

Very Intense TC PAM (17P) currently located near 15.9 S 169.3 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Vanuatu
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 85% in about 24 hours
        probability for TS is 100% currently
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Lenakel (19.5 S, 169.3 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 70% in about 24 hours
        probability for TS is 100% in about 24 hours

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    New Caledonia
        probability for TS is 65% in about 24 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Tasmaori (14.9 S, 168.1 E)
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    Norsup (16.0 S, 167.4 E)
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    Lamen (16.6 S, 168.2 E)
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    Port Vila (17.7 S, 168.3 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% within 12 hours
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    Luganville (15.5 S, 167.2 E)
        probability for TS is 95% currently
    Onetar (14.3 S, 167.4 E)
        probability for TS is 85% currently
    Foreas (13.9 S, 167.5 E)
        probability for TS is 80% currently
    Taktak (14.9 S, 166.6 E)
        probability for TS is 60% currently
    Tadine (21.5 S, 167.9 E)
        probability for TS is 60% in about 24 hours

Note that
    Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm NATHAN

SW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 12 Mar, 2015 18:00 GMT

Tropical Storm NATHAN (18P) currently located near 13.4 S 145.1 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Australia
        probability for TS is 70% currently
    Papua New Guinea
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 72 hours
        probability for TS is 25% in about 72 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

TSR Storm Alert - Very Intense TC PAM

SW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 12 Mar, 2015 18:00 GMT

Very Intense TC PAM (17P) currently located near 15.0 S 169.6 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Vanuatu
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 70% in about 24 hours
        probability for TS is 100% currently
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Lenakel (19.5 S, 169.3 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 55% in about 24 hours
        probability for TS is 100% in about 24 hours

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    New Caledonia
        probability for TS is 60% in about 36 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Tasmaori (14.9 S, 168.1 E)
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    Lamen (16.6 S, 168.2 E)
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    Port Vila (17.7 S, 168.3 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 24 hours
        probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
    Onetar (14.3 S, 167.4 E)
        probability for TS is 95% currently
    Norsup (16.0 S, 167.4 E)
        probability for TS is 95% currently
    Foreas (13.9 S, 167.5 E)
        probability for TS is 90% currently
    Luganville (15.5 S, 167.2 E)
        probability for TS is 90% currently
    Tadine (21.5 S, 167.9 E)
        probability for TS is 55% in about 36 hours

Note that
    Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Cyclone OLWYN

S Indian Ocean: Storm Alert issued at 12 Mar, 2015 18:00 GMT

Tropical Cyclone OLWYN (19S) currently located near 22.3 S 113.8 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Australia
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 100% currently
        probability for TS is 100% currently
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Exmouth (22.0 S, 114.2 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 100% currently
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    Cardabia (23.0 S, 113.9 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 100% within 12 hours
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    Carnarvon (24.8 S, 113.8 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 70% within 12 hours
        probability for TS is 95% within 12 hours

Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Onslow (21.7 S, 115.0 E)
        probability for TS is 90% currently
    Useless Loop (26.3 S, 113.4 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 24 hours
        probability for TS is 80% in about 24 hours
    Gascoyne Junction (25.0 S, 115.2 E)
        probability for TS is 75% in about 24 hours
    Kalbarri (27.7 S, 114.2 E)
        probability for TS is 65% in about 24 hours
    Northampton (28.4 S, 114.6 E)
        probability for TS is 65% in about 24 hours
    Geraldton (28.8 S, 114.6 E)
        probability for TS is 65% in about 24 hours

Note that
    Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Cyclone OLWYN

S Indian Ocean: Storm Alert issued at 12 Mar, 2015 12:00 GMT

Tropical Cyclone OLWYN (19S) currently located near 21.3 S 114.1 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Australia
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 100% currently
        probability for TS is 100% currently
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Exmouth (22.0 S, 114.2 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 95% within 12 hours
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    Cardabia (23.0 S, 113.9 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 55% within 12 hours
        probability for TS is 95% within 12 hours

Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Onslow (21.7 S, 115.0 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% currently
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    Carnarvon (24.8 S, 113.8 E)
        probability for TS is 85% within 12 hours
    Gascoyne Junction (25.0 S, 115.2 E)
        probability for TS is 75% in about 24 hours
    Useless Loop (26.3 S, 113.4 E)
        probability for TS is 75% in about 24 hours
    Kalbarri (27.7 S, 114.2 E)
        probability for TS is 70% in about 24 hours

Note that
    Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

TSR Storm Alert - Very Intense TC PAM

SW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 12 Mar, 2015 12:00 GMT

Very Intense TC PAM (17P) currently located near 14.2 S 169.9 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Vanuatu
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 65% in about 24 hours
        probability for TS is 100% currently
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Lenakel (19.5 S, 169.3 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 65% in about 36 hours
        probability for TS is 95% in about 36 hours

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    New Caledonia
        probability for TS is 60% in about 36 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Tasmaori (14.9 S, 168.1 E)
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    Lamen (16.6 S, 168.2 E)
        probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
    Port Vila (17.7 S, 168.3 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 24 hours
        probability for TS is 95% in about 24 hours
    Foreas (13.9 S, 167.5 E)
        probability for TS is 90% currently
    Onetar (14.3 S, 167.4 E)
        probability for TS is 90% currently
    Norsup (16.0 S, 167.4 E)
        probability for TS is 85% within 12 hours
    Luganville (15.5 S, 167.2 E)
        probability for TS is 80% within 12 hours
    Tadine (21.5 S, 167.9 E)
        probability for TS is 55% in about 36 hours

Note that
    Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm NATHAN

SW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 12 Mar, 2015 6:00 GMT

Tropical Storm NATHAN (18P) currently located near 13.3 S 145.5 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Papua New Guinea
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 72 hours
        probability for TS is 30% in about 72 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Cyclone OLWYN

S Indian Ocean: Storm Alert issued at 12 Mar, 2015 6:00 GMT

Tropical Cyclone OLWYN (19S) currently located near 19.8 S 114.8 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Australia
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 85% within 12 hours
        probability for TS is 100% currently
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Exmouth (22.0 S, 114.2 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 85% within 12 hours
        probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
    Cardabia (23.0 S, 113.9 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 80% in about 24 hours
        probability for TS is 95% within 12 hours
    Onslow (21.7 S, 115.0 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 75% within 12 hours
        probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
    Carnarvon (24.8 S, 113.8 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 50% in about 24 hours
        probability for TS is 80% in about 24 hours

Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Gascoyne Junction (25.0 S, 115.2 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 24 hours
        probability for TS is 75% in about 24 hours
    Pannawonica (21.8 S, 116.3 E)
        probability for TS is 65% within 12 hours
    Useless Loop (26.3 S, 113.4 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 36 hours
        probability for TS is 55% in about 24 hours
    Kalbarri (27.7 S, 114.2 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 36 hours
        probability for TS is 55% in about 36 hours
    Northampton (28.4 S, 114.6 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 36 hours
        probability for TS is 55% in about 36 hours
    Geraldton (28.8 S, 114.6 E)
        probability for TS is 55% in about 36 hours

Note that
    Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

TSR Storm Alert - Very Intense TC PAM

SW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 12 Mar, 2015 6:00 GMT

Very Intense TC PAM (17P) currently located near 13.4 S 170.1 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Vanuatu
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 65% in about 36 hours
        probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Lenakel (19.5 S, 169.3 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 55% in about 36 hours
        probability for TS is 95% in about 36 hours

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    New Caledonia
        probability for TS is 55% in about 48 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Tasmaori (14.9 S, 168.1 E)
        probability for TS is 95% within 12 hours
    Lamen (16.6 S, 168.2 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 24 hours
        probability for TS is 95% in about 24 hours
    Port Vila (17.7 S, 168.3 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 36 hours
        probability for TS is 90% in about 24 hours
    Foreas (13.9 S, 167.5 E)
        probability for TS is 80% within 12 hours
    Onetar (14.3 S, 167.4 E)
        probability for TS is 80% within 12 hours
    Norsup (16.0 S, 167.4 E)
        probability for TS is 80% in about 24 hours
    Luganville (15.5 S, 167.2 E)
        probability for TS is 70% in about 24 hours

Note that
    Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.