TSR Storm Alert - Intense Hurricane IRMA

N Atlantic: Storm Alert issued at 9 Sep, 2017 3:00 GMT

Intense Hurricane IRMA is currently located near 22.1 N 77.7 W with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 140 kts (161 mph). IRMA is a category 5 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. IRMA is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Cuba
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 100% currently
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    the United States
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 85% in about 33 hours
        probability for TS is 95% in about 21 hours
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Camaguey (21.4 N, 77.9 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 100% currently
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    Santa Clara (22.4 N, 80.0 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 90% in about 21 hours
        probability for TS is 100% in about 21 hours
    Key West (24.7 N, 81.8 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 85% in about 33 hours
        probability for TS is 95% in about 33 hours
    Fort Myers (26.6 N, 81.9 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 60% in about 45 hours
        probability for TS is 95% in about 45 hours
    Miami (25.8 N, 80.3 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 40% in about 33 hours
        probability for TS is 95% in about 33 hours
    Tampa (28.0 N, 82.5 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 35% in about 45 hours
        probability for TS is 95% in about 45 hours

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    the Bahamas
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% within 9 hours
        probability for TS is 100% currently
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    West Palm Beach (26.6 N, 80.1 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% in about 45 hours
        probability for TS is 90% in about 45 hours
    Orlando (29.0 N, 81.5 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 45 hours
        probability for TS is 90% in about 45 hours
    Havana (23.0 N, 82.4 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 21 hours
        probability for TS is 80% in about 33 hours
    Freeport (26.6 N, 78.6 W)
        probability for TS is 70% in about 45 hours
    Nassau (25.1 N, 77.3 W)
        probability for TS is 65% within 9 hours
    Tallahassee (30.4 N, 84.3 W)
        probability for TS is 65% in about 69 hours
    Jacksonville (30.3 N, 81.7 W)
        probability for TS is 65% in about 45 hours
    Savannah (32.0 N, 81.0 W)
        probability for TS is 65% in about 69 hours

Note that
    Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Hurricane strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

TSR Storm Alert - Intense Hurricane JOSE

N Atlantic: Storm Alert issued at 9 Sep, 2017 3:00 GMT

Intense Hurricane JOSE is currently located near 16.9 N 59.3 W with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 135 kts (155 mph). JOSE is a category 4 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. JOSE is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Antigua and Barbuda
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 65% in about 21 hours
        probability for TS is 85% in about 21 hours
    Anguilla
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 50% in about 21 hours
        probability for TS is 75% in about 21 hours
    Guadeloupe
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 45% in about 21 hours
        probability for TS is 70% in about 21 hours
    the Netherlands Antilles
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 40% in about 21 hours
        probability for TS is 65% in about 21 hours

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    the British Virgin Islands
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% in about 33 hours
        probability for TS is 55% in about 33 hours
    St. Kitts and Nevis
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 21 hours
        probability for TS is 50% in about 21 hours
    the Virgin Islands
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 33 hours
        probability for TS is 40% in about 33 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    St. Thomas (18.5 N, 64.7 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 33 hours
        probability for TS is 40% in about 33 hours

Note that
    Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Hurricane strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Depression TWENTY

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 9 Sep, 2017 0:00 GMT

Tropical Depression TWENTY is currently located near 14.8 N 145.3 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 25kts (29 mph). TWENTY is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Taiwan
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 120 hours
        probability for TS is 35% in about 96 hours
    the Philippines
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 96 hours
        probability for TS is 40% in about 96 hours
    China
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 120 hours
        probability for TS is 30% in about 120 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    T'aichung (24.1 N, 120.7 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 120 hours
        probability for TS is 30% in about 120 hours
    Kao-hsiung (22.6 N, 120.3 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 120 hours
        probability for TS is 30% in about 96 hours
    Laoag (18.2 N, 120.7 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 120 hours
        probability for TS is 30% in about 96 hours
    Tuguegarao (17.6 N, 121.8 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 120 hours
        probability for TS is 35% in about 120 hours
    Quanzhou (25.0 N, 118.5 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 120 hours
        probability for TS is 25% in about 120 hours
    Zhangzhou (24.5 N, 117.8 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 120 hours
        probability for TS is 30% in about 120 hours
    Yunxiao (23.9 N, 117.2 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 120 hours
        probability for TS is 30% in about 120 hours
    Shantou (23.0 N, 116.2 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 120 hours
        probability for TS is 25% in about 120 hours
    Vigan (17.5 N, 120.5 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
        probability for TS is 25% in about 96 hours
    Fuzhou (26.1 N, 119.3 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
        probability for TS is 25% in about 120 hours
    Putian (25.6 N, 119.0 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
        probability for TS is 25% in about 120 hours
    Taipei (25.0 N, 121.5 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
        probability for TS is 30% in about 120 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

TSR Storm Alert - Hurricane KATIA

N Atlantic: Storm Alert issued at 9 Sep, 2017 3:00 GMT

Hurricane KATIA is currently located near 20.6 N 97.2 W with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 65 kts (75 mph). KATIA is a category 1 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. KATIA is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Mexico
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 95% currently
        probability for TS is 95% currently
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Tuxpan (21.0 N, 97.4 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 40% currently
        probability for TS is 80% currently

Note that
    Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
    CAT 1 means Hurricane strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

TSR Storm Alert - Intense Hurricane IRMA

N Atlantic: Storm Alert issued at 8 Sep, 2017 21:00 GMT

Intense Hurricane IRMA is currently located near 22.1 N 76.5 W with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 135 kts (155 mph). IRMA is a category 4 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. IRMA is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Cuba
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 100% currently
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    the United States
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 75% in about 33 hours
        probability for TS is 90% in about 33 hours
    the Bahamas
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 45% in about 21 hours
        probability for TS is 100% currently
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Camaguey (21.4 N, 77.9 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 100% within 9 hours
        probability for TS is 100% within 9 hours
    Santa Clara (22.4 N, 80.0 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 85% in about 21 hours
        probability for TS is 95% in about 21 hours
    Key West (24.7 N, 81.8 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 70% in about 33 hours
        probability for TS is 90% in about 45 hours
    Fort Myers (26.6 N, 81.9 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 45% in about 69 hours
        probability for TS is 85% in about 45 hours
    Miami (25.8 N, 80.3 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 40% in about 45 hours
        probability for TS is 85% in about 45 hours

Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Nassau (25.1 N, 77.3 W)
        probability for TS is 80% in about 21 hours
    West Palm Beach (26.6 N, 80.1 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 45 hours
        probability for TS is 80% in about 45 hours
    Tampa (28.0 N, 82.5 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 45 hours
        probability for TS is 75% in about 45 hours
    San Salvador (24.0 N, 74.5 W)
        probability for TS is 70% currently
    Havana (23.0 N, 82.4 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 33 hours
        probability for TS is 70% in about 33 hours
    Santiago De Cuba (20.0 N, 75.8 W)
        probability for TS is 60% currently
    Freeport (26.6 N, 78.6 W)
        probability for TS is 60% in about 69 hours
    Jacksonville (30.3 N, 81.7 W)
        probability for TS is 60% in about 69 hours
    Orlando (29.0 N, 81.5 W)
        probability for TS is 60% in about 69 hours
    Tallahassee (30.4 N, 84.3 W)
        probability for TS is 55% in about 69 hours

Note that
    Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Hurricane strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Depression TWENTY

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 8 Sep, 2017 18:00 GMT

Tropical Depression TWENTY is currently located near 13.4 N 146.9 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 20kts (23 mph). TWENTY is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Taiwan
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 120 hours
        probability for TS is 30% in about 120 hours
    the Philippines
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 120 hours
        probability for TS is 30% in about 120 hours
    China
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
        probability for TS is 25% in about 120 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Kao-hsiung (22.6 N, 120.3 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 120 hours
        probability for TS is 30% in about 120 hours
    Laoag (18.2 N, 120.7 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 120 hours
        probability for TS is 25% in about 120 hours
    T'aichung (24.1 N, 120.7 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 120 hours
        probability for TS is 30% in about 120 hours
    Tuguegarao (17.6 N, 121.8 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
        probability for TS is 25% in about 120 hours
    Quanzhou (25.0 N, 118.5 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
        probability for TS is 25% in about 120 hours
    Taipei (25.0 N, 121.5 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
        probability for TS is 25% in about 120 hours
    Zhangzhou (24.5 N, 117.8 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
        probability for TS is 25% in about 120 hours
    Yunxiao (23.9 N, 117.2 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
        probability for TS is 25% in about 120 hours
    Shantou (23.0 N, 116.2 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
        probability for TS is 25% in about 120 hours
    Vigan (17.5 N, 120.5 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
        probability for TS is 25% in about 120 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

TSR Storm Alert - Intense Hurricane JOSE

N Atlantic: Storm Alert issued at 8 Sep, 2017 21:00 GMT

Intense Hurricane JOSE is currently located near 16.6 N 58.3 W with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 130 kts (150 mph). JOSE is a category 4 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. JOSE is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Antigua and Barbuda
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 55% in about 21 hours
        probability for TS is 80% in about 21 hours
    Anguilla
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 45% in about 33 hours
        probability for TS is 70% in about 21 hours
    Guadeloupe
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 40% in about 33 hours
        probability for TS is 65% in about 21 hours
    the Netherlands Antilles
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 35% in about 33 hours
        probability for TS is 65% in about 33 hours

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    the British Virgin Islands
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% in about 33 hours
        probability for TS is 55% in about 33 hours
    St. Kitts and Nevis
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 21 hours
        probability for TS is 50% in about 21 hours
    Montserrat
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 21 hours
        probability for TS is 45% in about 21 hours
    the Virgin Islands
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 33 hours
        probability for TS is 45% in about 33 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    St. Thomas (18.5 N, 64.7 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 33 hours
        probability for TS is 45% in about 33 hours

Note that
    Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Hurricane strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

TSR Storm Alert - Hurricane KATIA

N Atlantic: Storm Alert issued at 8 Sep, 2017 21:00 GMT

Hurricane KATIA is currently located near 21.0 N 96.5 W with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 90 kts (104 mph). KATIA is a category 2 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. KATIA is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Mexico
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 85% within 9 hours
        probability for TS is 85% currently
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Tuxpan (21.0 N, 97.4 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 70% within 9 hours
        probability for TS is 75% currently

Note that
    Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
    CAT 1 means Hurricane strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

TSR Storm Alert - Intense Hurricane JOSE

N Atlantic: Storm Alert issued at 8 Sep, 2017 15:00 GMT

Intense Hurricane JOSE is currently located near 16.3 N 57.1 W with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 130 kts (150 mph). JOSE is a category 4 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. JOSE is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Antigua and Barbuda
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 40% in about 33 hours
        probability for TS is 75% in about 21 hours

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Anguilla
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% in about 33 hours
        probability for TS is 65% in about 33 hours
    Guadeloupe
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% in about 33 hours
        probability for TS is 60% in about 33 hours
    the Netherlands Antilles
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% in about 33 hours
        probability for TS is 60% in about 33 hours
    St. Kitts and Nevis
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 33 hours
        probability for TS is 50% in about 33 hours
    Montserrat
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 33 hours
        probability for TS is 45% in about 21 hours
    the British Virgin Islands
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 33 hours
        probability for TS is 50% in about 33 hours
    the Virgin Islands
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 45 hours
        probability for TS is 45% in about 45 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    St. Thomas (18.5 N, 64.7 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 45 hours
        probability for TS is 45% in about 45 hours

Note that
    Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Hurricane strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

TSR Storm Alert - Intense Hurricane IRMA

N Atlantic: Storm Alert issued at 8 Sep, 2017 15:00 GMT

Intense Hurricane IRMA is currently located near 22.0 N 75.3 W with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 130 kts (150 mph). IRMA is a category 4 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. IRMA is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    the Bahamas
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 100% currently
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    Cuba
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 100% within 9 hours
        probability for TS is 100% within 9 hours
    the United States
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 60% in about 33 hours
        probability for TS is 90% in about 33 hours
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Camaguey (21.4 N, 77.9 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 75% in about 21 hours
        probability for TS is 90% in about 21 hours
    Santa Clara (22.4 N, 80.0 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 70% in about 33 hours
        probability for TS is 90% in about 33 hours
    Miami (25.8 N, 80.3 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 40% in about 45 hours
        probability for TS is 85% in about 45 hours
    Key West (24.7 N, 81.8 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 40% in about 45 hours
        probability for TS is 85% in about 45 hours

Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    San Salvador (24.0 N, 74.5 W)
        probability for TS is 95% currently
    Nassau (25.1 N, 77.3 W)
        probability for TS is 80% in about 21 hours
    Fort Myers (26.6 N, 81.9 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% in about 69 hours
        probability for TS is 80% in about 45 hours
    West Palm Beach (26.6 N, 80.1 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% in about 69 hours
        probability for TS is 80% in about 45 hours
    Orlando (29.0 N, 81.5 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 69 hours
        probability for TS is 80% in about 69 hours
    Tampa (28.0 N, 82.5 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 69 hours
        probability for TS is 80% in about 69 hours
    Jacksonville (30.3 N, 81.7 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 69 hours
        probability for TS is 80% in about 69 hours
    Santiago De Cuba (20.0 N, 75.8 W)
        probability for TS is 75% within 9 hours
    Freeport (26.6 N, 78.6 W)
        probability for TS is 70% in about 69 hours
    Savannah (32.0 N, 81.0 W)
        probability for TS is 70% in about 93 hours
    Havana (23.0 N, 82.4 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 45 hours
        probability for TS is 65% in about 45 hours
    Tallahassee (30.4 N, 84.3 W)
        probability for TS is 65% in about 69 hours
    Charleston (32.9 N, 80.0 W)
        probability for TS is 55% in about 93 hours

Note that
    Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Hurricane strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

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This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

TSR Storm Alert - Hurricane KATIA

N Atlantic: Storm Alert issued at 8 Sep, 2017 15:00 GMT

Hurricane KATIA is currently located near 21.0 N 95.8 W with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 85 kts (98 mph). KATIA is a category 2 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. KATIA is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Mexico
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% within 9 hours
        probability for TS is 70% within 9 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Hurricane strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

TSR Storm Alert - Intense Hurricane IRMA

N Atlantic: Storm Alert issued at 8 Sep, 2017 9:00 GMT

Intense Hurricane IRMA is currently located near 21.7 N 73.8 W with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 135 kts (155 mph). IRMA is a category 4 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. IRMA is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    the Bahamas
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 100% currently
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    Cuba
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 90% in about 21 hours
        probability for TS is 95% within 9 hours
    the United States
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 50% in about 45 hours
        probability for TS is 90% in about 45 hours
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Santa Clara (22.4 N, 80.0 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 55% in about 33 hours
        probability for TS is 80% in about 33 hours
    Camaguey (21.4 N, 77.9 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 55% in about 21 hours
        probability for TS is 80% in about 21 hours
    Miami (25.8 N, 80.3 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 40% in about 45 hours
        probability for TS is 85% in about 45 hours

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    the Turks & Caicos Islands
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% currently
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    Haiti
        probability for TS is 80% currently
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    San Salvador (24.0 N, 74.5 W)
        probability for TS is 95% within 9 hours
    Key West (24.7 N, 81.8 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% in about 69 hours
        probability for TS is 85% in about 69 hours
    Grand Turk (21.5 N, 71.5 W)
        probability for TS is 80% currently
    Nassau (25.1 N, 77.3 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 33 hours
        probability for TS is 80% in about 21 hours
    West Palm Beach (26.6 N, 80.1 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% in about 69 hours
        probability for TS is 80% in about 45 hours
    Orlando (29.0 N, 81.5 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 69 hours
        probability for TS is 80% in about 69 hours
    Fort Myers (26.6 N, 81.9 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% in about 69 hours
        probability for TS is 80% in about 69 hours
    Freeport (26.6 N, 78.6 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 69 hours
        probability for TS is 75% in about 69 hours
    Tampa (28.0 N, 82.5 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 69 hours
        probability for TS is 75% in about 69 hours
    Jacksonville (30.3 N, 81.7 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 69 hours
        probability for TS is 70% in about 69 hours
    Santiago De Cuba (20.0 N, 75.8 W)
        probability for TS is 60% within 9 hours
    Havana (23.0 N, 82.4 W)
        probability for TS is 60% in about 45 hours

Note that
    Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Hurricane strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

TSR Storm Alert - Hurricane KATIA

N Atlantic: Storm Alert issued at 8 Sep, 2017 9:00 GMT

Hurricane KATIA is currently located near 21.3 N 95.4 W with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 80 kts (92 mph). KATIA is a category 1 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. KATIA is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Mexico
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% in about 21 hours
        probability for TS is 50% within 9 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Tuxpan (21.0 N, 97.4 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 21 hours
        probability for TS is 50% in about 21 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Hurricane strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

TSR Storm Alert - Intense Hurricane JOSE

N Atlantic: Storm Alert issued at 8 Sep, 2017 9:00 GMT

Intense Hurricane JOSE is currently located near 16.0 N 55.3 W with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 110 kts (127 mph). JOSE is a category 3 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. JOSE is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Antigua and Barbuda
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% in about 33 hours
        probability for TS is 55% in about 33 hours
    Anguilla
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 45 hours
        probability for TS is 45% in about 33 hours
    Guadeloupe
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 33 hours
        probability for TS is 45% in about 33 hours
    the Netherlands Antilles
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 45 hours
        probability for TS is 45% in about 45 hours
    St. Kitts and Nevis
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 33 hours
        probability for TS is 40% in about 45 hours
    the British Virgin Islands
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 45 hours
        probability for TS is 40% in about 45 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Hurricane strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.