N Atlantic: Storm Alert issued at 13 Sep, 2023 3:00 GMT
Intense Hurricane LEE is currently located near 25.3 N 66.7 W with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 100 kts (115 mph). LEE is a category 3 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. LEE is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Canada
probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 93 hours
probability for TS is 95% in about 93 hours
the United States
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 93 hours
probability for TS is 90% in about 93 hours
Bermuda
probability for TS is 85% in about 45 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Saint John (45.3 N, 66.1 W)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 93 hours
probability for TS is 95% in about 117 hours
Fredericton (45.9 N, 66.7 W)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 93 hours
probability for TS is 90% in about 117 hours
Hamilton (32.3 N, 64.8 W)
probability for TS is 85% in about 45 hours
Halifax (44.6 N, 63.6 W)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 117 hours
probability for TS is 85% in about 117 hours
Charlottetown (46.2 N, 63.1 W)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 117 hours
probability for TS is 85% in about 117 hours
Bangor (44.5 N, 68.5 W)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 93 hours
probability for TS is 80% in about 93 hours
Sydney (46.1 N, 60.1 W)
probability for TS is 65% in about 117 hours
Augusta (44.3 N, 69.8 W)
probability for TS is 55% in about 93 hours
Chatham (41.7 N, 70.1 W)
probability for TS is 55% in about 93 hours
Siasconset (41.2 N, 70.2 W)
probability for TS is 55% in about 93 hours
Note that
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Hurricane strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
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This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).
