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Saturday, October 28, 2017

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm PHILIPPE

N Atlantic: Storm Alert issued at 29 Oct, 2017 3:00 GMT

Tropical Storm PHILIPPE is currently located near 24.8 N 82.1 W with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 35kts (40 mph). PHILIPPE is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    the United States
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    the Bahamas
        probability for TS is 90% within 9 hours
    Canada
        probability for TS is 70% in about 45 hours
    Cuba
        probability for TS is 55% currently
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Key West (24.7 N, 81.8 W)
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    West Palm Beach (26.6 N, 80.1 W)
        probability for TS is 90% within 9 hours
    Miami (25.8 N, 80.3 W)
        probability for TS is 90% within 9 hours
    Freeport (26.6 N, 78.6 W)
        probability for TS is 90% within 9 hours
    Bangor (44.5 N, 68.5 W)
        probability for TS is 70% in about 45 hours
    Fredericton (45.9 N, 66.7 W)
        probability for TS is 70% in about 45 hours
    Saint John (45.3 N, 66.1 W)
        probability for TS is 70% in about 45 hours
    Augusta (44.3 N, 69.8 W)
        probability for TS is 60% in about 45 hours
    Siasconset (41.2 N, 70.2 W)
        probability for TS is 55% in about 33 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Hurricane strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

TSR Storm Alert - Typhoon SAOLA

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 29 Oct, 2017 0:00 GMT

Typhoon SAOLA is currently located near 31.4 N 132.8 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 65 kts (75 mph). SAOLA is a category 1 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. SAOLA is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Japan
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 75% within 12 hours
        probability for TS is 100% currently
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Shiono-misaki (33.5 N, 135.8 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 70% within 12 hours
        probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
    Shizuoka (35.0 N, 138.5 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 40% within 12 hours
        probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours

Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Obama (35.4 N, 135.8 E)
        probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
    Osaka (34.6 N, 135.5 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% within 12 hours
        probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
    Tokushima (34.1 N, 134.6 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% within 12 hours
        probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
    Miyako (39.7 N, 141.9 E)
        probability for TS is 100% in about 24 hours
    Sakata (39.0 N, 140.0 E)
        probability for TS is 100% in about 24 hours
    Sendai (38.3 N, 140.9 E)
        probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
    Niigata (37.8 N, 139.2 E)
        probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
    Iwaki (37.0 N, 140.8 E)
        probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
    Tokyo (35.7 N, 139.8 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% within 12 hours
        probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
    Nagoya (35.2 N, 136.9 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% within 12 hours
        probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
    Kagoshima (31.5 N, 130.5 E)
        probability for TS is 95% currently
    Kanazawa (36.8 N, 136.8 E)
        probability for TS is 95% within 12 hours
    Kushiro (43.0 N, 144.4 E)
        probability for TS is 95% in about 24 hours
    Akita (39.8 N, 140.2 E)
        probability for TS is 85% in about 24 hours
    Hiroshima (34.4 N, 132.4 E)
        probability for TS is 80% within 12 hours
    Kumamoto (32.7 N, 130.7 E)
        probability for TS is 75% currently
    Aomori (40.8 N, 140.8 E)
        probability for TS is 65% in about 24 hours

Note that
    Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm PHILIPPE

N Atlantic: Storm Alert issued at 28 Oct, 2017 21:00 GMT

Tropical Storm PHILIPPE is currently located near 23.0 N 82.6 W with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 35kts (40 mph). PHILIPPE is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Cuba
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    the United States
        probability for TS is 90% within 9 hours
    the Bahamas
        probability for TS is 80% in about 21 hours
    Canada
        probability for TS is 55% in about 45 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Havana (23.0 N, 82.4 W)
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    Miami (25.8 N, 80.3 W)
        probability for TS is 90% within 9 hours
    Key West (24.7 N, 81.8 W)
        probability for TS is 85% within 9 hours
    West Palm Beach (26.6 N, 80.1 W)
        probability for TS is 80% within 9 hours
    Freeport (26.6 N, 78.6 W)
        probability for TS is 75% in about 21 hours
    Nueva Gerona (21.9 N, 82.8 W)
        probability for TS is 65% currently

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Hurricane strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

TSR Storm Alert - Typhoon SAOLA

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 28 Oct, 2017 18:00 GMT

Typhoon SAOLA is currently located near 30.2 N 131.4 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 75 kts (86 mph). SAOLA is a category 1 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. SAOLA is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Japan
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 100% currently
        probability for TS is 100% currently
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Shiono-misaki (33.5 N, 135.8 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 65% within 12 hours
        probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours

Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Kagoshima (31.5 N, 130.5 E)
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    Sendai (38.3 N, 140.9 E)
        probability for TS is 100% in about 24 hours
    Niigata (37.8 N, 139.2 E)
        probability for TS is 100% in about 24 hours
    Kanazawa (36.8 N, 136.8 E)
        probability for TS is 100% in about 24 hours
    Tokyo (35.7 N, 139.8 E)
        probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
    Obama (35.4 N, 135.8 E)
        probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
    Nagoya (35.2 N, 136.9 E)
        probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
    Shizuoka (35.0 N, 138.5 E)
        probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
    Osaka (34.6 N, 135.5 E)
        probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
    Tokushima (34.1 N, 134.6 E)
        probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
    Miyako (39.7 N, 141.9 E)
        probability for TS is 100% in about 24 hours
    Iwaki (37.0 N, 140.8 E)
        probability for TS is 100% in about 24 hours
    Sakata (39.0 N, 140.0 E)
        probability for TS is 95% in about 24 hours
    Kumamoto (32.7 N, 130.7 E)
        probability for TS is 90% within 12 hours
    Kushiro (43.0 N, 144.4 E)
        probability for TS is 90% in about 24 hours
    Akita (39.8 N, 140.2 E)
        probability for TS is 85% in about 24 hours
    Hiroshima (34.4 N, 132.4 E)
        probability for TS is 80% within 12 hours
    Aomori (40.8 N, 140.8 E)
        probability for TS is 75% in about 24 hours
    Nagasaki (32.8 N, 129.9 E)
        probability for TS is 60% within 12 hours
    Matsue (35.4 N, 133.0 E)
        probability for TS is 55% within 12 hours

Note that
    Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Depression AL18

N Atlantic: Storm Alert issued at 28 Oct, 2017 15:00 GMT

Tropical Depression AL18 is currently located near 20.8 N 82.9 W with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 30kts (35 mph). AL18 is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Cuba
        probability for TS is 85% within 9 hours
    the Bahamas
        probability for TS is 75% in about 21 hours
    the United States
        probability for TS is 70% in about 21 hours
    the Cayman Islands
        probability for TS is 60% currently
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Santa Clara (22.4 N, 80.0 W)
        probability for TS is 75% in about 21 hours
    Freeport (26.6 N, 78.6 W)
        probability for TS is 75% in about 21 hours
    Nassau (25.1 N, 77.3 W)
        probability for TS is 70% in about 21 hours
    Nueva Gerona (21.9 N, 82.8 W)
        probability for TS is 65% within 9 hours
    Miami (25.8 N, 80.3 W)
        probability for TS is 60% in about 21 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Hurricane strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Depression SELMA

NE Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 28 Oct, 2017 15:00 GMT

Tropical Depression SELMA is currently located near 13.7 N 88.5 W with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 30kts (35 mph). SELMA is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Honduras
        probability for TS is 70% currently
    El Salvador
        probability for TS is 70% currently
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    San Salvador (13.7 N, 89.2 W)
        probability for TS is 60% currently

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Hurricane strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

TSR Storm Alert - Typhoon SAOLA

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 28 Oct, 2017 12:00 GMT

Typhoon SAOLA is currently located near 28.5 N 129.7 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 70 kts (81 mph). SAOLA is a category 1 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. SAOLA is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Japan
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 60% in about 24 hours
        probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Shiono-misaki (33.5 N, 135.8 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 55% in about 24 hours
        probability for TS is 100% in about 24 hours
    Shizuoka (35.0 N, 138.5 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 50% in about 24 hours
        probability for TS is 100% in about 24 hours

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    the Russian Federation
        probability for TS is 75% in about 48 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Kumamoto (32.7 N, 130.7 E)
        probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
    Kagoshima (31.5 N, 130.5 E)
        probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
    Nagoya (35.2 N, 136.9 E)
        probability for TS is 100% in about 24 hours
    Osaka (34.6 N, 135.5 E)
        probability for TS is 100% in about 24 hours
    Tokushima (34.1 N, 134.6 E)
        probability for TS is 100% in about 24 hours
    Iwaki (37.0 N, 140.8 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 36 hours
        probability for TS is 100% in about 36 hours
    Tokyo (35.7 N, 139.8 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% in about 24 hours
        probability for TS is 100% in about 24 hours
    Obama (35.4 N, 135.8 E)
        probability for TS is 95% in about 24 hours
    Hiroshima (34.4 N, 132.4 E)
        probability for TS is 95% in about 24 hours
    Sendai (38.3 N, 140.9 E)
        probability for TS is 90% in about 36 hours
    Niigata (37.8 N, 139.2 E)
        probability for TS is 85% in about 36 hours
    Nagasaki (32.8 N, 129.9 E)
        probability for TS is 80% within 12 hours
    Saga (33.3 N, 130.3 E)
        probability for TS is 80% within 12 hours
    Miyako (39.7 N, 141.9 E)
        probability for TS is 75% in about 36 hours
    Kanazawa (36.8 N, 136.8 E)
        probability for TS is 75% in about 24 hours
    Matsue (35.4 N, 133.0 E)
        probability for TS is 70% in about 24 hours
    Fukuoka (33.6 N, 130.4 E)
        probability for TS is 70% within 12 hours
    Sakata (39.0 N, 140.0 E)
        probability for TS is 65% in about 36 hours

Note that
    Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Depression AL18

N Atlantic: Storm Alert issued at 28 Oct, 2017 9:00 GMT

Tropical Depression AL18 is currently located near 19.6 N 84.2 W with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 30kts (35 mph). AL18 is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Cuba
        probability for TS is 85% within 9 hours
    the United States
        probability for TS is 75% in about 21 hours
    the Bahamas
        probability for TS is 70% in about 21 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Nueva Gerona (21.9 N, 82.8 W)
        probability for TS is 85% within 9 hours
    Santa Clara (22.4 N, 80.0 W)
        probability for TS is 75% in about 21 hours
    Freeport (26.6 N, 78.6 W)
        probability for TS is 70% in about 33 hours
    Nassau (25.1 N, 77.3 W)
        probability for TS is 70% in about 33 hours
    Havana (23.0 N, 82.4 W)
        probability for TS is 65% in about 21 hours
    Miami (25.8 N, 80.3 W)
        probability for TS is 60% in about 21 hours
    West Palm Beach (26.6 N, 80.1 W)
        probability for TS is 55% in about 33 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Hurricane strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

TSR Storm Alert - Typhoon SAOLA

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 28 Oct, 2017 6:00 GMT

Typhoon SAOLA is currently located near 27.1 N 128.4 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 65 kts (75 mph). SAOLA is a category 1 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. SAOLA is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Japan
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 60% in about 24 hours
        probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Shiono-misaki (33.5 N, 135.8 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 60% in about 24 hours
        probability for TS is 100% in about 24 hours
    Okinawa (26.3 N, 127.8 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 40% currently
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    Shizuoka (35.0 N, 138.5 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 40% in about 36 hours
        probability for TS is 100% in about 36 hours
    Tokyo (35.7 N, 139.8 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 35% in about 36 hours
        probability for TS is 100% in about 36 hours

Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Tokushima (34.1 N, 134.6 E)
        probability for TS is 100% in about 24 hours
    Kumamoto (32.7 N, 130.7 E)
        probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
    Kagoshima (31.5 N, 130.5 E)
        probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
    Nagoya (35.2 N, 136.9 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 36 hours
        probability for TS is 100% in about 36 hours
    Iwaki (37.0 N, 140.8 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 36 hours
        probability for TS is 100% in about 36 hours
    Nagasaki (32.8 N, 129.9 E)
        probability for TS is 95% within 12 hours
    Obama (35.4 N, 135.8 E)
        probability for TS is 95% in about 36 hours
    Osaka (34.6 N, 135.5 E)
        probability for TS is 95% in about 24 hours
    Sendai (38.3 N, 140.9 E)
        probability for TS is 95% in about 36 hours
    Saga (33.3 N, 130.3 E)
        probability for TS is 90% in about 24 hours
    Niigata (37.8 N, 139.2 E)
        probability for TS is 90% in about 36 hours
    Hiroshima (34.4 N, 132.4 E)
        probability for TS is 85% in about 24 hours
    Fukuoka (33.6 N, 130.4 E)
        probability for TS is 85% in about 24 hours
    Kanazawa (36.8 N, 136.8 E)
        probability for TS is 85% in about 36 hours
    Miyako (39.7 N, 141.9 E)
        probability for TS is 80% in about 36 hours
    Sakata (39.0 N, 140.0 E)
        probability for TS is 70% in about 36 hours
    Matsue (35.4 N, 133.0 E)
        probability for TS is 65% in about 24 hours
    Akita (39.8 N, 140.2 E)
        probability for TS is 55% in about 36 hours

Note that
    Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm SELMA

NE Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 28 Oct, 2017 9:00 GMT

Tropical Storm SELMA is currently located near 13.0 N 88.8 W with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 35kts (40 mph). SELMA is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    El Salvador
        probability for TS is 65% currently

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Hurricane strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).