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Tuesday, June 30, 2015

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm RAQUEL

SW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 1 Jul, 2015 0:00 GMT

Tropical Storm RAQUEL (25P) currently located near 6.4 S 159.0 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    the Solomon Islands
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% within 12 hours
        probability for TS is 95% within 12 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Kia (7.8 S, 158.8 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% within 12 hours
        probability for TS is 95% within 12 hours
    Buala (8.2 S, 159.5 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 48 hours
        probability for TS is 85% in about 48 hours
    Panggoe (7.0 S, 157.0 E)
        probability for TS is 70% in about 24 hours
    Seghe (8.4 S, 157.7 E)
        probability for TS is 70% in about 24 hours
    Kukudu (8.0 S, 157.1 E)
        probability for TS is 65% in about 24 hours
    Njoroveto (7.8 S, 156.7 E)
        probability for TS is 55% in about 24 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm CHAN-HOM

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 1 Jul, 2015 0:00 GMT

Tropical Storm CHAN-HOM (09W) currently located near 10.9 N 156.9 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Guam
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 72 hours
        probability for TS is 45% in about 72 hours
    the Northern Mariana Islands
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 72 hours
        probability for TS is 40% in about 72 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Hagatna (13.5 N, 144.8 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 72 hours
        probability for TS is 45% in about 72 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm CHAN-HOM

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 30 Jun, 2015 18:00 GMT

Tropical Storm CHAN-HOM (09W) currently located near 10.0 N 159.6 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    the Northern Mariana Islands
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
        probability for TS is 25% in about 96 hours
    Guam
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
        probability for TS is 25% in about 96 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Hagatna (13.5 N, 144.8 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
        probability for TS is 25% in about 96 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Depression TWENTYFIVE

SW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 30 Jun, 2015 12:00 GMT

Tropical Depression TWENTYFIVE (25P) currently located near 5.3 S 160.0 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    the Solomon Islands
        probability for TS is 80% within 12 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Kia (7.8 S, 158.8 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 36 hours
        probability for TS is 80% in about 24 hours
    Buala (8.2 S, 159.5 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 36 hours
        probability for TS is 75% in about 24 hours
    Seghe (8.4 S, 157.7 E)
        probability for TS is 60% in about 36 hours
    Honiara (9.5 S, 160.0 E)
        probability for TS is 60% in about 36 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Depression CHAN-HOM

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 30 Jun, 2015 12:00 GMT

Tropical Depression CHAN-HOM (09W) currently located near 9.6 N 160.3 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    the Northern Mariana Islands
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
        probability for TS is 20% in about 96 hours
    Guam
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
        probability for TS is 15% in about 96 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Hagatna (13.5 N, 144.8 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
        probability for TS is 15% in about 96 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.