SW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 1 Jul, 2015 0:00 GMT
Tropical Storm RAQUEL (25P) currently located near 6.4 S 159.0 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)the Solomon Islands
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% within 12 hours
probability for TS is 95% within 12 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Kia (7.8 S, 158.8 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% within 12 hours
probability for TS is 95% within 12 hours
Buala (8.2 S, 159.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 85% in about 48 hours
Panggoe (7.0 S, 157.0 E)
probability for TS is 70% in about 24 hours
Seghe (8.4 S, 157.7 E)
probability for TS is 70% in about 24 hours
Kukudu (8.0 S, 157.1 E)
probability for TS is 65% in about 24 hours
Njoroveto (7.8 S, 156.7 E)
probability for TS is 55% in about 24 hours
Note that
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
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This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.