Severe Cyclonic Storm THANE (06B) is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
India
probability for TS is 95% within 12 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Madras (13.1 N, 80.2 E)
probability for TS is 85% within 12 hours
Pondicherry (11.9 N, 79.8 E)
probability for TS is 85% within 12 hours
Nagappattinam (10.8 N, 79.8 E)
probability for TS is 70% within 12 hours
Green Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Sri Lanka
probability for TS is 40% in about 24 hours
Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Nellore (14.4 N, 80.0 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 24 hours
Bangalore (13.0 N, 77.6 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 36 hours
Jaffna (9.7 N, 80.0 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 24 hours
Note that
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Severe Cyclonic Storm strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
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This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, RSA Insurance Group, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
N Indian Ocean: Storm Alert issued at 29 Dec, 2011 0:00 GMT
Severe Cyclonic Storm THANE (06B) is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
India
probability for TS is 95% within 12 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Madras (13.1 N, 80.2 E)
probability for TS is 85% within 12 hours
Pondicherry (11.9 N, 79.8 E)
probability for TS is 85% within 12 hours
Nagappattinam (10.8 N, 79.8 E)
probability for TS is 70% within 12 hours
Green Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Sri Lanka
probability for TS is 40% in about 24 hours
Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Nellore (14.4 N, 80.0 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 24 hours
Bangalore (13.0 N, 77.6 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 36 hours
Jaffna (9.7 N, 80.0 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 24 hours
Note that
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Severe Cyclonic Storm strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html
.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, RSA Insurance Group, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
