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Friday, December 13, 2024

TSR Storm Alert - Very Intense TC CHIDO

S Indian Ocean: Storm Alert issued at 14 Dec, 2024 0:00 GMT

Very Intense TC CHIDO is currently located near 12.1 S 46.7 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 115 kts (132 mph). CHIDO is a category 4 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. CHIDO is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Mayotte
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 85% within 12 hours
        probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
    Comoros
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 65% within 12 hours
        probability for TS is 95% within 12 hours
    Mozambique
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 40% in about 36 hours
        probability for TS is 85% in about 36 hours
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Dzaoudzi (12.8 S, 45.3 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 85% within 12 hours
        probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
    Pemba (13.0 S, 40.5 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 35% in about 36 hours
        probability for TS is 80% in about 36 hours

Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Memba (14.2 S, 40.5 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 36 hours
        probability for TS is 80% in about 36 hours
    Moroni (11.7 S, 43.2 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 24 hours
        probability for TS is 65% in about 24 hours
    Ibo (12.4 S, 40.5 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 36 hours
        probability for TS is 65% in about 24 hours
    Mocambique (15.0 S, 40.7 E)
        probability for TS is 55% in about 36 hours

Note that
    Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

Please note: This is a no reply e-mail address which cannot receive mail. For assistance and enquiries please contact TSRenquiries@tropicalstormrisk.com

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please contact TSRenquiries@tropicalstormrisk.com

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form here.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Cyclone CHIDO

S Indian Ocean: Storm Alert issued at 13 Dec, 2024 18:00 GMT

Tropical Cyclone CHIDO is currently located near 11.9 S 47.6 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 90 kts (104 mph). CHIDO is a category 2 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. CHIDO is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Mayotte
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 90% within 12 hours
        probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
    Comoros
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 60% in about 24 hours
        probability for TS is 95% in about 24 hours
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Dzaoudzi (12.8 S, 45.3 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 90% within 12 hours
        probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Madagascar
        probability for TS is 80% currently
    Mozambique
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% in about 36 hours
        probability for TS is 65% in about 36 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Moroni (11.7 S, 43.2 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 24 hours
        probability for TS is 65% in about 24 hours
    Hell-Ville (13.3 S, 48.3 E)
        probability for TS is 60% currently
    Memba (14.2 S, 40.5 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 36 hours
        probability for TS is 60% in about 36 hours
    Pemba (13.0 S, 40.5 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 36 hours
        probability for TS is 55% in about 36 hours
    Ibo (12.4 S, 40.5 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 36 hours
        probability for TS is 40% in about 36 hours

Note that
    Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

Please note: This is a no reply e-mail address which cannot receive mail. For assistance and enquiries please contact TSRenquiries@tropicalstormrisk.com

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please contact TSRenquiries@tropicalstormrisk.com

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form here.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

TSR Storm Alert - Intense Tropical Cyclone CHIDO

S Indian Ocean: Storm Alert issued at 13 Dec, 2024 12:00 GMT

Intense Tropical Cyclone CHIDO is currently located near 11.6 S 48.8 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 105 kts (121 mph). CHIDO is a category 3 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. CHIDO is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Madagascar
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 60% currently
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    Mayotte
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 35% in about 24 hours
        probability for TS is 75% in about 24 hours
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Dzaoudzi (12.8 S, 45.3 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 35% in about 24 hours
        probability for TS is 75% in about 24 hours

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Comoros
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 24 hours
        probability for TS is 55% in about 24 hours
    Mozambique
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 48 hours
        probability for TS is 40% in about 48 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Antseranana (12.4 S, 49.3 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% currently
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    Ambilobe (13.0 S, 49.1 E)
        probability for TS is 70% currently
    Hell-Ville (13.3 S, 48.3 E)
        probability for TS is 60% within 12 hours
    Pemba (13.0 S, 40.5 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 48 hours
        probability for TS is 35% in about 48 hours
    Memba (14.2 S, 40.5 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 48 hours
        probability for TS is 35% in about 48 hours
    Ibo (12.4 S, 40.5 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 48 hours
        probability for TS is 25% in about 48 hours

Note that
    Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

Please note: This is a no reply e-mail address which cannot receive mail. For assistance and enquiries please contact TSRenquiries@tropicalstormrisk.com

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please contact TSRenquiries@tropicalstormrisk.com

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form here.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

TSR Storm Alert - Intense Tropical Cyclone CHIDO

S Indian Ocean: Storm Alert issued at 13 Dec, 2024 6:00 GMT

Intense Tropical Cyclone CHIDO is currently located near 11.1 S 49.9 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 105 kts (121 mph). CHIDO is a category 3 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. CHIDO is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Madagascar
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 45% within 12 hours
        probability for TS is 95% within 12 hours

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Comoros
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 36 hours
        probability for TS is 65% in about 36 hours
    Mayotte
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 36 hours
        probability for TS is 65% in about 36 hours
    Mozambique
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 48 hours
        probability for TS is 35% in about 48 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Antseranana (12.4 S, 49.3 E)
        probability for TS is 80% within 12 hours
    Dzaoudzi (12.8 S, 45.3 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 36 hours
        probability for TS is 65% in about 36 hours
    Moroni (11.7 S, 43.2 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 36 hours
        probability for TS is 40% in about 36 hours
    Ibo (12.4 S, 40.5 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 48 hours
        probability for TS is 30% in about 48 hours
    Pemba (13.0 S, 40.5 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 48 hours
        probability for TS is 35% in about 48 hours

Note that
    Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

Please note: This is a no reply e-mail address which cannot receive mail. For assistance and enquiries please contact TSRenquiries@tropicalstormrisk.com

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please contact TSRenquiries@tropicalstormrisk.com

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form here.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).