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Tuesday, September 13, 2016

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm MALAKAS

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 14 Sep, 2016 0:00 GMT

Tropical Storm MALAKAS is currently located near 15.5 N 133.0 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 60kts (69 mph). MALAKAS is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Taiwan
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 72 hours
        probability for TS is 50% in about 72 hours
    China
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 72 hours
        probability for TS is 40% in about 72 hours
    Japan
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
        probability for TS is 25% in about 96 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Taipei (25.0 N, 121.5 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 72 hours
        probability for TS is 45% in about 72 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

TSR Storm Alert - Super Typhoon MERANTI

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 14 Sep, 2016 0:00 GMT

Super Typhoon MERANTI is currently located near 21.6 N 120.7 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 155 kts (178 mph). MERANTI is a category 5 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. MERANTI is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Taiwan
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 100% currently
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    China
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 70% in about 24 hours
        probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Kao-hsiung (22.6 N, 120.3 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 100% currently
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    Zhangzhou (24.5 N, 117.8 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 55% in about 24 hours
        probability for TS is 90% in about 24 hours

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    the Philippines
        probability for TS is 60% currently
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    T'aichung (24.1 N, 120.7 E)
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    Taipei (25.0 N, 121.5 E)
        probability for TS is 90% within 12 hours
    Quanzhou (25.0 N, 118.5 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% in about 24 hours
        probability for TS is 90% within 12 hours
    Putian (25.6 N, 119.0 E)
        probability for TS is 85% within 12 hours
    Yunxiao (23.9 N, 117.2 E)
        probability for TS is 85% within 12 hours
    Fuzhou (26.1 N, 119.3 E)
        probability for TS is 80% in about 24 hours

Note that
    Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm MALAKAS

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 13 Sep, 2016 18:00 GMT

Tropical Storm MALAKAS is currently located near 14.9 N 134.5 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 60kts (69 mph). MALAKAS is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Taiwan
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 72 hours
        probability for TS is 45% in about 72 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Taipei (25.0 N, 121.5 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 72 hours
        probability for TS is 40% in about 72 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

TSR Storm Alert - Super Typhoon MERANTI

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 13 Sep, 2016 18:00 GMT

Super Typhoon MERANTI is currently located near 20.8 N 121.8 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 165 kts (190 mph). MERANTI is a category 5 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. MERANTI is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Taiwan
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 100% within 12 hours
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    China
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 70% in about 36 hours
        probability for TS is 95% in about 24 hours
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Kao-hsiung (22.6 N, 120.3 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 100% within 12 hours
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    Yunxiao (23.9 N, 117.2 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 60% in about 36 hours
        probability for TS is 80% in about 24 hours
    Zhangzhou (24.5 N, 117.8 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 45% in about 36 hours
        probability for TS is 85% in about 24 hours

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    the Philippines
        probability for TS is 95% currently
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    T'aichung (24.1 N, 120.7 E)
        probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
    Quanzhou (25.0 N, 118.5 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% in about 36 hours
        probability for TS is 85% in about 24 hours
    Taipei (25.0 N, 121.5 E)
        probability for TS is 75% in about 24 hours
    Putian (25.6 N, 119.0 E)
        probability for TS is 75% in about 24 hours
    Fuzhou (26.1 N, 119.3 E)
        probability for TS is 60% in about 24 hours
    Shantou (23.0 N, 116.2 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 36 hours
        probability for TS is 45% in about 24 hours

Note that
    Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm MALAKAS

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 13 Sep, 2016 12:00 GMT

Tropical Storm MALAKAS is currently located near 14.7 N 135.5 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 50kts (58 mph). MALAKAS is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Okinawa (26.3 N, 127.8 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 96 hours
        probability for TS is 30% in about 72 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

TSR Storm Alert - Super Typhoon MERANTI

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 13 Sep, 2016 12:00 GMT

Super Typhoon MERANTI is currently located near 20.5 N 122.7 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 160 kts (184 mph). MERANTI is a category 5 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. MERANTI is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Taiwan
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 100% within 12 hours
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    China
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 55% in about 36 hours
        probability for TS is 100% in about 24 hours
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Kao-hsiung (22.6 N, 120.3 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 95% in about 24 hours
        probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
    Yunxiao (23.9 N, 117.2 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 40% in about 36 hours
        probability for TS is 95% in about 24 hours

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    the Philippines
        probability for TS is 95% currently
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    T'aichung (24.1 N, 120.7 E)
        probability for TS is 100% in about 24 hours
    Zhangzhou (24.5 N, 117.8 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% in about 36 hours
        probability for TS is 95% in about 24 hours
    Quanzhou (25.0 N, 118.5 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 36 hours
        probability for TS is 90% in about 24 hours
    Putian (25.6 N, 119.0 E)
        probability for TS is 85% in about 36 hours
    Shantou (23.0 N, 116.2 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 36 hours
        probability for TS is 75% in about 24 hours
    Taipei (25.0 N, 121.5 E)
        probability for TS is 70% in about 24 hours
    Fuzhou (26.1 N, 119.3 E)
        probability for TS is 65% in about 24 hours

Note that
    Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm MALAKAS

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 13 Sep, 2016 6:00 GMT

Tropical Storm MALAKAS is currently located near 14.5 N 136.8 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 45kts (52 mph). MALAKAS is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Okinawa (26.3 N, 127.8 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 96 hours
        probability for TS is 35% in about 96 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

TSR Storm Alert - Super Typhoon MERANTI

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 13 Sep, 2016 6:00 GMT

Super Typhoon MERANTI is currently located near 20.2 N 124.2 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 160 kts (184 mph). MERANTI is a category 5 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. MERANTI is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Taiwan
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 90% in about 24 hours
        probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
    China
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 45% in about 36 hours
        probability for TS is 90% in about 36 hours
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Kao-hsiung (22.6 N, 120.3 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 80% in about 24 hours
        probability for TS is 100% in about 24 hours
    Yunxiao (23.9 N, 117.2 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 40% in about 36 hours
        probability for TS is 90% in about 36 hours

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    the Philippines
        probability for TS is 80% within 12 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    T'aichung (24.1 N, 120.7 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 36 hours
        probability for TS is 90% in about 24 hours
    Zhangzhou (24.5 N, 117.8 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% in about 36 hours
        probability for TS is 90% in about 36 hours
    Quanzhou (25.0 N, 118.5 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 36 hours
        probability for TS is 85% in about 36 hours
    Shantou (23.0 N, 116.2 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 36 hours
        probability for TS is 75% in about 36 hours
    Putian (25.6 N, 119.0 E)
        probability for TS is 70% in about 36 hours
    Ganzhou (25.7 N, 115.0 E)
        probability for TS is 60% in about 72 hours
    Taipei (25.0 N, 121.5 E)
        probability for TS is 55% in about 36 hours
    Fuzhou (26.1 N, 119.3 E)
        probability for TS is 55% in about 36 hours

Note that
    Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.