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Tuesday, December 14, 2021

TSR Storm Alert - Typhoon RAI

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 15 Dec, 2021 0:00 GMT

Typhoon RAI is currently located near 8.9 N 132.3 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 65 kts (75 mph). RAI is a category 1 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. RAI is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    the Philippines
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 50% in about 36 hours
        probability for TS is 95% in about 24 hours
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Surigao (9.7 N, 125.5 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 50% in about 36 hours
        probability for TS is 90% in about 36 hours
    Cebu (10.3 N, 123.8 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 45% in about 36 hours
        probability for TS is 90% in about 48 hours
    San Juan (10.3 N, 125.2 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 45% in about 36 hours
        probability for TS is 90% in about 36 hours
    Tacloban (11.2 N, 125.2 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 40% in about 36 hours
        probability for TS is 90% in about 36 hours
    Lianga (8.7 N, 126.1 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 35% in about 36 hours
        probability for TS is 85% in about 36 hours

Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Oras (12.1 N, 125.4 E)
        probability for TS is 90% in about 36 hours
    Iloilo (10.9 N, 122.5 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% in about 48 hours
        probability for TS is 75% in about 48 hours
    Dumaguete (9.3 N, 123.3 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% in about 48 hours
        probability for TS is 75% in about 48 hours
    Taytay (10.8 N, 119.5 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% in about 72 hours
        probability for TS is 75% in about 72 hours
    Puerto Princesa (9.8 N, 118.7 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% in about 72 hours
        probability for TS is 75% in about 72 hours
    Bislig (8.2 N, 126.3 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 36 hours
        probability for TS is 70% in about 36 hours
    Sorsogon (13.0 N, 124.1 E)
        probability for TS is 70% in about 48 hours
    Dipolog (8.7 N, 123.5 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 48 hours
        probability for TS is 70% in about 48 hours
    Mamburao (13.2 N, 120.7 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 72 hours
        probability for TS is 70% in about 72 hours
    Bonobono (8.7 N, 117.6 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 72 hours
        probability for TS is 55% in about 72 hours

Note that
    Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm RAI

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 14 Dec, 2021 18:00 GMT

Tropical Storm RAI is currently located near 8.8 N 133.3 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 60kts (69 mph). RAI is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    the Philippines
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 40% in about 36 hours
        probability for TS is 90% in about 36 hours
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    San Juan (10.3 N, 125.2 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 40% in about 36 hours
        probability for TS is 90% in about 48 hours
    Tacloban (11.2 N, 125.2 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 35% in about 36 hours
        probability for TS is 90% in about 48 hours
    Surigao (9.7 N, 125.5 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 35% in about 36 hours
        probability for TS is 85% in about 36 hours

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Vietnam
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
        probability for TS is 40% in about 96 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Oras (12.1 N, 125.4 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 48 hours
        probability for TS is 85% in about 36 hours
    Cebu (10.3 N, 123.8 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% in about 48 hours
        probability for TS is 75% in about 48 hours
    Iloilo (10.9 N, 122.5 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% in about 48 hours
        probability for TS is 75% in about 48 hours
    Dumaguete (9.3 N, 123.3 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% in about 48 hours
        probability for TS is 70% in about 48 hours
    Lianga (8.7 N, 126.1 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 36 hours
        probability for TS is 70% in about 36 hours
    Sorsogon (13.0 N, 124.1 E)
        probability for TS is 65% in about 48 hours
    Mamburao (13.2 N, 120.7 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 72 hours
        probability for TS is 65% in about 72 hours
    Taytay (10.8 N, 119.5 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% in about 72 hours
        probability for TS is 65% in about 72 hours
    Bislig (8.2 N, 126.3 E)
        probability for TS is 60% in about 36 hours
    Dipolog (8.7 N, 123.5 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 48 hours
        probability for TS is 60% in about 48 hours
    Puerto Princesa (9.8 N, 118.7 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 72 hours
        probability for TS is 60% in about 72 hours
    Bonobono (8.7 N, 117.6 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 72 hours
        probability for TS is 45% in about 72 hours
    Qui Nhon (13.8 N, 109.2 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
        probability for TS is 40% in about 96 hours
    Tuy Hoa (13.1 N, 109.3 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
        probability for TS is 40% in about 96 hours
    Quang Ngai (15.1 N, 108.8 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
        probability for TS is 35% in about 96 hours

Note that
    Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm RAI

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 14 Dec, 2021 12:00 GMT

Tropical Storm RAI is currently located near 8.5 N 134.5 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 55kts (63 mph). RAI is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    the Philippines
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 45% in about 48 hours
        probability for TS is 80% in about 36 hours
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    San Juan (10.3 N, 125.2 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 45% in about 48 hours
        probability for TS is 80% in about 48 hours
    Tacloban (11.2 N, 125.2 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 40% in about 48 hours
        probability for TS is 80% in about 48 hours
    Surigao (9.7 N, 125.5 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 40% in about 48 hours
        probability for TS is 80% in about 48 hours
    Cebu (10.3 N, 123.8 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 40% in about 72 hours
        probability for TS is 75% in about 48 hours
    Iloilo (10.9 N, 122.5 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 35% in about 72 hours
        probability for TS is 60% in about 72 hours

Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Oras (12.1 N, 125.4 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% in about 48 hours
        probability for TS is 80% in about 48 hours
    Lianga (8.7 N, 126.1 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 48 hours
        probability for TS is 70% in about 48 hours
    Sorsogon (13.0 N, 124.1 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 72 hours
        probability for TS is 65% in about 48 hours
    Bislig (8.2 N, 126.3 E)
        probability for TS is 60% in about 48 hours
    Dumaguete (9.3 N, 123.3 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% in about 72 hours
        probability for TS is 60% in about 72 hours
    Manila (14.6 N, 121.0 E)
        probability for TS is 60% in about 96 hours
    Mamburao (13.2 N, 120.7 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 72 hours
        probability for TS is 60% in about 72 hours
    Taytay (10.8 N, 119.5 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% in about 72 hours
        probability for TS is 60% in about 72 hours
    Daet (14.2 N, 122.9 E)
        probability for TS is 55% in about 72 hours
    Dipolog (8.7 N, 123.5 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 72 hours
        probability for TS is 55% in about 72 hours
    Puerto Princesa (9.8 N, 118.7 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 96 hours
        probability for TS is 55% in about 96 hours

Note that
    Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm RAI

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 14 Dec, 2021 6:00 GMT

Tropical Storm RAI is currently located near 7.6 N 135.3 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 55kts (63 mph). RAI is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    the Philippines
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 35% in about 48 hours
        probability for TS is 80% in about 48 hours
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Koror (7.3 N, 134.5 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 35% within 12 hours
        probability for TS is 90% within 12 hours
    Surigao (9.7 N, 125.5 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 35% in about 48 hours
        probability for TS is 80% in about 48 hours
    Lianga (8.7 N, 126.1 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 35% in about 48 hours
        probability for TS is 75% in about 48 hours

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Vietnam
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
        probability for TS is 30% in about 120 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    San Juan (10.3 N, 125.2 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% in about 48 hours
        probability for TS is 80% in about 48 hours
    Tacloban (11.2 N, 125.2 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% in about 72 hours
        probability for TS is 75% in about 48 hours
    Bislig (8.2 N, 126.3 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 48 hours
        probability for TS is 70% in about 48 hours
    Oras (12.1 N, 125.4 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 72 hours
        probability for TS is 70% in about 48 hours
    Cebu (10.3 N, 123.8 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% in about 72 hours
        probability for TS is 65% in about 72 hours
    Sorsogon (13.0 N, 124.1 E)
        probability for TS is 55% in about 72 hours
    Iloilo (10.9 N, 122.5 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% in about 72 hours
        probability for TS is 55% in about 72 hours
    Dumaguete (9.3 N, 123.3 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% in about 72 hours
        probability for TS is 55% in about 72 hours
    Dipolog (8.7 N, 123.5 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% in about 72 hours
        probability for TS is 55% in about 72 hours
    Mamburao (13.2 N, 120.7 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 96 hours
        probability for TS is 55% in about 96 hours
    Taytay (10.8 N, 119.5 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% in about 96 hours
        probability for TS is 55% in about 96 hours
    Puerto Princesa (9.8 N, 118.7 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% in about 96 hours
        probability for TS is 55% in about 96 hours
    Pagadian (7.9 N, 123.5 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 72 hours
        probability for TS is 50% in about 72 hours
    Bonobono (8.7 N, 117.6 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
        probability for TS is 45% in about 96 hours
    Qui Nhon (13.8 N, 109.2 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
        probability for TS is 30% in about 120 hours
    Tuy Hoa (13.1 N, 109.3 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
        probability for TS is 30% in about 120 hours
    Nha Trang (12.2 N, 109.2 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
        probability for TS is 30% in about 120 hours

Note that
    Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm RUBY

SW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 14 Dec, 2021 6:00 GMT

Tropical Storm RUBY is currently located near 22.0 S 167.4 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 45kts (52 mph). RUBY is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    New Caledonia
        probability for TS is 75% currently
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Tadine (21.5 S, 167.9 E)
        probability for TS is 75% currently

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).