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Monday, October 11, 2021

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm PAMELA

NE Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 12 Oct, 2021 3:00 GMT

Tropical Storm PAMELA is currently located near 17.9 N 108.9 W with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 60kts (69 mph). PAMELA is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Mexico
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% in about 33 hours
        probability for TS is 65% in about 33 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Mazatlan (23.4 N, 106.3 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% in about 33 hours
        probability for TS is 65% in about 33 hours
    Tecuala (22.4 N, 105.5 W)
        probability for TS is 60% in about 45 hours
    Culiacan (24.8 N, 107.4 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 45 hours
        probability for TS is 45% in about 33 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Hurricane strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm KOMPASU

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 12 Oct, 2021 0:00 GMT

Tropical Storm KOMPASU is currently located near 18.8 N 119.2 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 55kts (63 mph). KOMPASU is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    China
        probability for TS is 100% in about 24 hours
    the Philippines
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    Hong Kong
        probability for TS is 95% in about 24 hours
    Macau
        probability for TS is 95% in about 24 hours
    Vietnam
        probability for TS is 60% in about 72 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Laoag (18.2 N, 120.7 E)
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    Shantou (23.0 N, 116.2 E)
        probability for TS is 95% in about 24 hours
    Hong Kong (22.4 N, 114.2 E)
        probability for TS is 95% in about 24 hours
    Haikou (20.0 N, 110.4 E)
        probability for TS is 95% in about 36 hours
    Qionghai (19.2 N, 110.5 E)
        probability for TS is 95% in about 36 hours
    Vigan (17.5 N, 120.5 E)
        probability for TS is 90% currently
    Zhanjiang (21.2 N, 110.3 E)
        probability for TS is 90% in about 36 hours
    Yaxian (18.4 N, 109.4 E)
        probability for TS is 90% in about 36 hours
    Maoming (21.9 N, 110.9 E)
        probability for TS is 85% in about 36 hours
    Guangzhou (23.1 N, 113.3 E)
        probability for TS is 75% in about 36 hours
    Beihai (21.6 N, 109.2 E)
        probability for TS is 70% in about 36 hours
    Yunxiao (23.9 N, 117.2 E)
        probability for TS is 65% within 12 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm PAMELA

NE Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 11 Oct, 2021 21:00 GMT

Tropical Storm PAMELA is currently located near 17.2 N 108.5 W with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 60kts (69 mph). PAMELA is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Mexico
        probability for TS is 55% in about 33 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Mazatlan (23.4 N, 106.3 W)
        probability for TS is 55% in about 45 hours
    Tecuala (22.4 N, 105.5 W)
        probability for TS is 55% in about 45 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Hurricane strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm KOMPASU

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 11 Oct, 2021 18:00 GMT

Tropical Storm KOMPASU is currently located near 18.8 N 120.5 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 55kts (63 mph). KOMPASU is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    the Philippines
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 35% currently
        probability for TS is 100% currently

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    China
        probability for TS is 95% in about 36 hours
    Hong Kong
        probability for TS is 85% in about 36 hours
    Macau
        probability for TS is 80% in about 36 hours
    Taiwan
        probability for TS is 55% currently
    Vietnam
        probability for TS is 55% in about 48 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Laoag (18.2 N, 120.7 E)
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    Vigan (17.5 N, 120.5 E)
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    Tuguegarao (17.6 N, 121.8 E)
        probability for TS is 95% currently
    Qionghai (19.2 N, 110.5 E)
        probability for TS is 95% in about 36 hours
    Haikou (20.0 N, 110.4 E)
        probability for TS is 90% in about 36 hours
    Hong Kong (22.4 N, 114.2 E)
        probability for TS is 80% in about 36 hours
    Zhanjiang (21.2 N, 110.3 E)
        probability for TS is 75% in about 36 hours
    Maoming (21.9 N, 110.9 E)
        probability for TS is 70% in about 48 hours
    Yaxian (18.4 N, 109.4 E)
        probability for TS is 70% in about 36 hours
    Santiago (16.7 N, 121.5 E)
        probability for TS is 65% currently
    Shantou (23.0 N, 116.2 E)
        probability for TS is 60% in about 24 hours
    Beihai (21.6 N, 109.2 E)
        probability for TS is 60% in about 48 hours

Note that
    Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm PAMELA

NE Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 11 Oct, 2021 15:00 GMT

Tropical Storm PAMELA is currently located near 16.8 N 108.1 W with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 55kts (63 mph). PAMELA is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Mexico
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% in about 45 hours
        probability for TS is 60% in about 45 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Mazatlan (23.4 N, 106.3 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% in about 45 hours
        probability for TS is 60% in about 45 hours
    Culiacan (24.8 N, 107.4 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 45 hours
        probability for TS is 50% in about 45 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Hurricane strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm KOMPASU

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 11 Oct, 2021 12:00 GMT

Tropical Storm KOMPASU is currently located near 18.9 N 121.6 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 55kts (63 mph). KOMPASU is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Taiwan
        probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
    the Philippines
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% within 12 hours
        probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
    China
        probability for TS is 95% in about 24 hours
    Hong Kong
        probability for TS is 95% in about 36 hours
    Macau
        probability for TS is 90% in about 36 hours
    Vietnam
        probability for TS is 65% in about 48 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Laoag (18.2 N, 120.7 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% within 12 hours
        probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
    Vigan (17.5 N, 120.5 E)
        probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
    Kao-hsiung (22.6 N, 120.3 E)
        probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
    Shantou (23.0 N, 116.2 E)
        probability for TS is 90% within 12 hours
    Hong Kong (22.4 N, 114.2 E)
        probability for TS is 90% in about 36 hours
    Haikou (20.0 N, 110.4 E)
        probability for TS is 90% in about 48 hours
    T'aichung (24.1 N, 120.7 E)
        probability for TS is 85% within 12 hours
    Zhanjiang (21.2 N, 110.3 E)
        probability for TS is 85% in about 48 hours
    Qionghai (19.2 N, 110.5 E)
        probability for TS is 85% in about 36 hours
    Yaxian (18.4 N, 109.4 E)
        probability for TS is 85% in about 48 hours
    Maoming (21.9 N, 110.9 E)
        probability for TS is 80% in about 48 hours
    Yunxiao (23.9 N, 117.2 E)
        probability for TS is 75% in about 24 hours
    Beihai (21.6 N, 109.2 E)
        probability for TS is 75% in about 48 hours
    Santiago (16.7 N, 121.5 E)
        probability for TS is 65% within 12 hours
    Guangzhou (23.1 N, 113.3 E)
        probability for TS is 65% in about 36 hours
    Tuguegarao (17.6 N, 121.8 E)
        probability for TS is 60% currently
    Zhangzhou (24.5 N, 117.8 E)
        probability for TS is 60% in about 24 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

[Tsunami Message - IOC] PTWC TSUNAMI INFORMATION STATEMENT

TSUNAMI INFORMATION STATEMENT NUMBER 1
NWS PACIFIC TSUNAMI WARNING CENTER HONOLULU HI
0917 UTC MON OCT 11 2021

..PTWC TSUNAMI INFORMATION STATEMENT...


**** NOTICE **** NOTICE **** NOTICE **** NOTICE **** NOTICE *****

THIS STATEMENT IS ISSUED FOR INFORMATION ONLY IN SUPPORT OF THE
UNESCO/IOC PACIFIC TSUNAMI WARNING AND MITIGATION SYSTEM AND IS
MEANT FOR NATIONAL AUTHORITIES IN EACH COUNTRY OF THAT SYSTEM.

NATIONAL AUTHORITIES WILL DETERMINE THE APPROPRIATE LEVEL OF
ALERT FOR EACH COUNTRY AND MAY ISSUE ADDITIONAL OR MORE REFINED
INFORMATION.

**** NOTICE **** NOTICE **** NOTICE **** NOTICE **** NOTICE *****


PRELIMINARY EARTHQUAKE PARAMETERS
---------------------------------

* MAGNITUDE 6.8
* ORIGIN TIME 0910 UTC OCT 11 2021
* COORDINATES 56.3 NORTH 156.5 WEST
* DEPTH 40 KM / 25 MILES
* LOCATION ALASKA PENINSULA


EVALUATION
----------

* AN EARTHQUAKE WITH A PRELIMINARY MAGNITUDE OF 6.8 OCCURRED IN
THE ALASKA PENINSULA AT 0910 UTC ON MONDAY OCTOBER 11 2021.

* BASED ON ALL AVAILABLE DATA... THERE IS NO TSUNAMI THREAT
FROM THIS EARTHQUAKE.


RECOMMENDED ACTIONS
-------------------

* NO ACTION IS REQUIRED.


NEXT UPDATE AND ADDITIONAL INFORMATION
--------------------------------------

* THIS WILL BE THE ONLY STATEMENT ISSUED FOR THIS EVENT UNLESS
ADDITIONAL DATA ARE RECEIVED OR THE SITUATION CHANGES.

* AUTHORITATIVE INFORMATION ABOUT THE EARTHQUAKE FROM THE U.S.
GEOLOGICAL SURVEY CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT
EARTHQUAKE.USGS.GOV.

* FURTHER INFORMATION ABOUT THIS EVENT MAY BE FOUND AT
WWW.TSUNAMI.GOV.

* COASTAL REGIONS OF HAWAII... AMERICAN SAMOA... GUAM... AND
CNMI SHOULD REFER TO PACIFIC TSUNAMI WARNING CENTER MESSAGES
SPECIFICALLY FOR THOSE PLACES THAT CAN BE FOUND AT
WWW.TSUNAMI.GOV.

* COASTAL REGIONS OF CALIFORNIA... OREGON... WASHINGTON...
BRITISH COLUMBIA AND ALASKA SHOULD ONLY REFER TO U.S.
NATIONAL TSUNAMI WARNING CENTER MESSAGES THAT CAN BE FOUND
AT WWW.TSUNAMI.GOV.

$$

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm KOMPASU

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 11 Oct, 2021 6:00 GMT

Tropical Storm KOMPASU is currently located near 18.9 N 123.1 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 50kts (58 mph). KOMPASU is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    the Philippines
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% within 12 hours
        probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
    Taiwan
        probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
    China
        probability for TS is 85% in about 36 hours
    Hong Kong
        probability for TS is 85% in about 48 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Tuguegarao (17.6 N, 121.8 E)
        probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
    Kao-hsiung (22.6 N, 120.3 E)
        probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
    Laoag (18.2 N, 120.7 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% within 12 hours
        probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
    Vigan (17.5 N, 120.5 E)
        probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
    Santiago (16.7 N, 121.5 E)
        probability for TS is 90% within 12 hours
    Haikou (20.0 N, 110.4 E)
        probability for TS is 85% in about 48 hours
    Qionghai (19.2 N, 110.5 E)
        probability for TS is 85% in about 48 hours
    Shantou (23.0 N, 116.2 E)
        probability for TS is 80% in about 36 hours
    Hong Kong (22.4 N, 114.2 E)
        probability for TS is 80% in about 48 hours
    Zhanjiang (21.2 N, 110.3 E)
        probability for TS is 75% in about 48 hours
    Yaxian (18.4 N, 109.4 E)
        probability for TS is 75% in about 48 hours
    Maoming (21.9 N, 110.9 E)
        probability for TS is 70% in about 72 hours
    T'aichung (24.1 N, 120.7 E)
        probability for TS is 65% within 12 hours
    San Jose (15.8 N, 121.0 E)
        probability for TS is 65% within 12 hours
    Yunxiao (23.9 N, 117.2 E)
        probability for TS is 60% in about 24 hours
    Guangzhou (23.1 N, 113.3 E)
        probability for TS is 55% in about 48 hours
    Beihai (21.6 N, 109.2 E)
        probability for TS is 55% in about 48 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm PAMELA

NE Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 11 Oct, 2021 9:00 GMT

Tropical Storm PAMELA is currently located near 16.2 N 107.6 W with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 45kts (52 mph). PAMELA is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Mexico
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 45 hours
        probability for TS is 45% in about 45 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    San Lucas (22.9 N, 109.9 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 45 hours
        probability for TS is 45% in about 45 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Hurricane strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).