NE Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 12 Oct, 2021 3:00 GMT
Tropical Storm PAMELA is currently located near 17.9 N 108.9 W with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 60kts (69 mph). PAMELA is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Mexico
probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% in about 33 hours
probability for TS is 65% in about 33 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Mazatlan (23.4 N, 106.3 W)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% in about 33 hours
probability for TS is 65% in about 33 hours
Tecuala (22.4 N, 105.5 W)
probability for TS is 60% in about 45 hours
Culiacan (24.8 N, 107.4 W)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 45 hours
probability for TS is 45% in about 33 hours
Note that
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Hurricane strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
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This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).