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Tuesday, September 6, 2016

TSR Storm Alert - Hurricane NEWTON

NE Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 7 Sep, 2016 3:00 GMT

Hurricane NEWTON is currently located near 27.3 N 112.0 W with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 65 kts (75 mph). NEWTON is a category 1 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. NEWTON is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Mexico
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 100% currently
        probability for TS is 100% currently
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Rosarito (26.5 N, 111.7 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 35% currently
        probability for TS is 100% currently

Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Hermosillo (29.1 N, 111.0 W)
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    Guaymas (28.0 N, 111.0 W)
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    La Poza (25.9 N, 112.0 W)
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    Navojoa (27.6 N, 109.5 W)
        probability for TS is 90% currently
    Don (26.5 N, 109.0 W)
        probability for TS is 85% currently
    Los Mochis (25.8 N, 109.0 W)
        probability for TS is 70% currently
    Caborca (30.7 N, 112.2 W)
        probability for TS is 65% within 9 hours
    La Paz (24.2 N, 110.3 W)
        probability for TS is 55% currently

Note that
    Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Hurricane strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm HERMINE

N Atlantic: Storm Alert issued at 6 Sep, 2016 18:00 GMT (Final Warning)

Tropical Storm HERMINE is currently located near 39.4 N 72.3 W with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 45kts (52 mph). HERMINE is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    the United States
        probability for TS is 65% in about 18 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Hurricane strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

TSR Storm Alert - Hurricane NEWTON

NE Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 6 Sep, 2016 15:00 GMT

Hurricane NEWTON is currently located near 24.1 N 111.1 W with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 70 kts (81 mph). NEWTON is a category 1 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. NEWTON is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Mexico
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 100% currently
        probability for TS is 100% currently

Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Rosarito (26.5 N, 111.7 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% within 9 hours
        probability for TS is 100% within 9 hours
    La Paz (24.2 N, 110.3 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% currently
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    San Lucas (22.9 N, 109.9 W)
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    La Poza (25.9 N, 112.0 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% within 9 hours
        probability for TS is 95% within 9 hours
    Guaymas (28.0 N, 111.0 W)
        probability for TS is 85% within 9 hours
    Los Mochis (25.8 N, 109.0 W)
        probability for TS is 80% currently
    Navojoa (27.6 N, 109.5 W)
        probability for TS is 65% within 9 hours
    Don (26.5 N, 109.0 W)
        probability for TS is 65% within 9 hours

Note that
    Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Hurricane strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm HERMINE

N Atlantic: Storm Alert issued at 6 Sep, 2016 15:00 GMT

Tropical Storm HERMINE is currently located near 39.5 N 71.9 W with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 50kts (58 mph). HERMINE is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    the United States
        probability for TS is 90% currently
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Montauk (41.0 N, 72.2 W)
        probability for TS is 85% currently

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Hurricane strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

TSR Storm Alert - Hurricane NEWTON

NE Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 6 Sep, 2016 9:00 GMT

Hurricane NEWTON is currently located near 22.8 N 109.9 W with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 80 kts (92 mph). NEWTON is a category 1 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. NEWTON is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Mexico
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 100% currently
        probability for TS is 100% currently
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    San Lucas (22.9 N, 109.9 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 100% currently
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    La Paz (24.2 N, 110.3 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 85% within 9 hours
        probability for TS is 100% within 9 hours
    Rosarito (26.5 N, 111.7 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 50% in about 21 hours
        probability for TS is 90% in about 21 hours
    Guaymas (28.0 N, 111.0 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 35% in about 21 hours
        probability for TS is 90% in about 21 hours

Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Los Mochis (25.8 N, 109.0 W)
        probability for TS is 95% within 9 hours
    La Poza (25.9 N, 112.0 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% in about 21 hours
        probability for TS is 90% in about 21 hours
    Don (26.5 N, 109.0 W)
        probability for TS is 80% within 9 hours
    Hermosillo (29.1 N, 111.0 W)
        probability for TS is 75% in about 21 hours
    Navojoa (27.6 N, 109.5 W)
        probability for TS is 75% in about 21 hours

Note that
    Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Hurricane strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm HERMINE

N Atlantic: Storm Alert issued at 6 Sep, 2016 9:00 GMT

Tropical Storm HERMINE is currently located near 39.6 N 71.6 W with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 55kts (63 mph). HERMINE is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    the United States
        probability for TS is 100% currently
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Montauk (41.0 N, 72.2 W)
        probability for TS is 100% in about 21 hours
    Hartford (41.5 N, 72.7 W)
        probability for TS is 80% in about 33 hours
    New York (40.7 N, 73.9 W)
        probability for TS is 70% within 9 hours
    Belmar (40.1 N, 74.1 W)
        probability for TS is 70% within 9 hours
    Providence (41.8 N, 71.4 W)
        probability for TS is 65% currently
    Siasconset (41.2 N, 70.2 W)
        probability for TS is 65% currently

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Hurricane strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.