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Thursday, January 21, 2021

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm THIRTEEN

S Indian Ocean: Storm Alert issued at 22 Jan, 2021 0:00 GMT

Tropical Storm THIRTEEN is currently located near 13.3 S 97.5 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 35kts (40 mph). THIRTEEN is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Home Is. (12.2 S, 96.8 E)
        probability for TS is 100% currently

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm FOURTEEN

S Indian Ocean: Storm Alert issued at 22 Jan, 2021 0:00 GMT (Final Warning)

Tropical Storm FOURTEEN is currently located near 19.7 S 120.6 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 40kts (46 mph). FOURTEEN is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Australia
        probability for TS is 95% currently
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Wallal Downs (19.8 S, 120.8 E)
        probability for TS is 95% currently
    Anna Plains (19.3 S, 121.5 E)
        probability for TS is 70% currently

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm ELOISE

S Indian Ocean: Storm Alert issued at 21 Jan, 2021 18:00 GMT

Tropical Storm ELOISE is currently located near 17.8 S 40.7 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 45kts (52 mph). ELOISE is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Mozambique
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 35% in about 24 hours
        probability for TS is 95% within 12 hours
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Chinde (18.8 S, 36.3 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 35% in about 24 hours
        probability for TS is 90% in about 24 hours
    Machece (19.2 S, 35.5 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 35% in about 36 hours
        probability for TS is 85% in about 24 hours

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Zimbabwe
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 36 hours
        probability for TS is 45% in about 48 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Moma (17.0 S, 39.0 E)
        probability for TS is 95% within 12 hours
    Pebane (17.2 S, 38.2 E)
        probability for TS is 85% within 12 hours
    Quelimane (17.9 S, 36.9 E)
        probability for TS is 85% in about 24 hours
    Angoche (16.2 S, 40.0 E)
        probability for TS is 80% within 12 hours
    Beira (19.8 S, 34.8 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% in about 36 hours
        probability for TS is 70% in about 36 hours
    Nova Sofala (20.1 S, 34.8 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% in about 36 hours
        probability for TS is 65% in about 24 hours
    Nova Mambone (21.0 S, 35.0 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 36 hours
        probability for TS is 65% in about 36 hours
    Inhassore (21.5 S, 35.1 E)
        probability for TS is 60% in about 36 hours
    Vilanculos (22.0 S, 35.3 E)
        probability for TS is 55% in about 36 hours
    Chimoio (19.1 S, 33.5 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 36 hours
        probability for TS is 45% in about 48 hours

Note that
    Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm FOURTEEN

S Indian Ocean: Storm Alert issued at 21 Jan, 2021 18:00 GMT

Tropical Storm FOURTEEN is currently located near 18.8 S 120.4 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 35kts (40 mph). FOURTEEN is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Australia
        probability for TS is 90% currently
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Wallal Downs (19.8 S, 120.8 E)
        probability for TS is 90% within 12 hours
    Anna Plains (19.3 S, 121.5 E)
        probability for TS is 85% within 12 hours
    Lagrange (18.7 S, 121.8 E)
        probability for TS is 65% within 12 hours
    Telfer (21.7 S, 122.2 E)
        probability for TS is 55% in about 36 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm THIRTEEN

S Indian Ocean: Storm Alert issued at 21 Jan, 2021 12:00 GMT

Tropical Storm THIRTEEN is currently located near 12.8 S 97.3 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 35kts (40 mph). THIRTEEN is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Home Is. (12.2 S, 96.8 E)
        probability for TS is 75% currently

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

[Tsunami Message - IOC] PTWC TSUNAMI INFORMATION STATEMENT

TSUNAMI INFORMATION STATEMENT NUMBER 1
NWS PACIFIC TSUNAMI WARNING CENTER EWA BEACH HI
1231 UTC THU JAN 21 2021

..PTWC TSUNAMI INFORMATION STATEMENT...


**** NOTICE **** NOTICE **** NOTICE **** NOTICE **** NOTICE *****

THIS STATEMENT IS ISSUED FOR INFORMATION ONLY IN SUPPORT OF THE
UNESCO/IOC PACIFIC TSUNAMI WARNING AND MITIGATION SYSTEM AND IS
MEANT FOR NATIONAL AUTHORITIES IN EACH COUNTRY OF THAT SYSTEM.

NATIONAL AUTHORITIES WILL DETERMINE THE APPROPRIATE LEVEL OF
ALERT FOR EACH COUNTRY AND MAY ISSUE ADDITIONAL OR MORE REFINED
INFORMATION.

**** NOTICE **** NOTICE **** NOTICE **** NOTICE **** NOTICE *****


PRELIMINARY EARTHQUAKE PARAMETERS
---------------------------------

* MAGNITUDE 7.0
* ORIGIN TIME 1223 UTC JAN 21 2021
* COORDINATES 4.8 NORTH 127.4 EAST
* DEPTH 139 KM / 86 MILES
* LOCATION KEPULAUAN TALAUD INDONESIA


EVALUATION
----------

* AN EARTHQUAKE WITH A PRELIMINARY MAGNITUDE OF 7.0 OCCURRED IN
KEPULAUAN TALAUD, INDONESIA AT 1223 UTC ON THURSDAY JANUARY
21 2021.

* BASED ON ALL AVAILABLE DATA... THERE IS NO TSUNAMI THREAT
FROM THIS EARTHQUAKE.


RECOMMENDED ACTIONS
-------------------

* NO ACTION IS REQUIRED.


NEXT UPDATE AND ADDITIONAL INFORMATION
--------------------------------------

* THIS WILL BE THE ONLY STATEMENT ISSUED FOR THIS EVENT UNLESS
ADDITIONAL DATA ARE RECEIVED OR THE SITUATION CHANGES.

* AUTHORITATIVE INFORMATION ABOUT THE EARTHQUAKE FROM THE U.S.
GEOLOGICAL SURVEY CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT
EARTHQUAKE.USGS.GOV.

* FURTHER INFORMATION ABOUT THIS EVENT MAY BE FOUND AT
WWW.TSUNAMI.GOV.

* COASTAL REGIONS OF HAWAII... AMERICAN SAMOA... GUAM... AND
CNMI SHOULD REFER TO PACIFIC TSUNAMI WARNING CENTER MESSAGES
SPECIFICALLY FOR THOSE PLACES THAT CAN BE FOUND AT
WWW.TSUNAMI.GOV.

* COASTAL REGIONS OF CALIFORNIA... OREGON... WASHINGTON...
BRITISH COLUMBIA AND ALASKA SHOULD ONLY REFER TO U.S.
NATIONAL TSUNAMI WARNING CENTER MESSAGES THAT CAN BE FOUND
AT WWW.TSUNAMI.GOV.

$$

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm ELOISE

S Indian Ocean: Storm Alert issued at 21 Jan, 2021 6:00 GMT

Tropical Storm ELOISE is currently located near 16.6 S 42.7 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 35kts (40 mph). ELOISE is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Mozambique
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 40% in about 36 hours
        probability for TS is 95% within 12 hours
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Chinde (18.8 S, 36.3 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 40% in about 36 hours
        probability for TS is 85% in about 36 hours
    Machece (19.2 S, 35.5 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 40% in about 36 hours
        probability for TS is 85% in about 36 hours

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Madagascar
        probability for TS is 65% currently
    Zimbabwe
        probability for TS is 60% in about 48 hours
    Malawi
        probability for TS is 55% in about 36 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Moma (17.0 S, 39.0 E)
        probability for TS is 95% in about 24 hours
    Pebane (17.2 S, 38.2 E)
        probability for TS is 95% in about 24 hours
    Angoche (16.2 S, 40.0 E)
        probability for TS is 90% within 12 hours
    Quelimane (17.9 S, 36.9 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 36 hours
        probability for TS is 90% in about 24 hours
    Mogincual (15.6 S, 40.5 E)
        probability for TS is 85% within 12 hours
    Beira (19.8 S, 34.8 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% in about 48 hours
        probability for TS is 80% in about 48 hours
    Nova Sofala (20.1 S, 34.8 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% in about 48 hours
        probability for TS is 75% in about 36 hours
    Mocambique (15.0 S, 40.7 E)
        probability for TS is 65% within 12 hours
    Nova Mambone (21.0 S, 35.0 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 48 hours
        probability for TS is 65% in about 36 hours
    Chimoio (19.1 S, 33.5 E)
        probability for TS is 60% in about 48 hours
    Inhassore (21.5 S, 35.1 E)
        probability for TS is 60% in about 48 hours
    Vilanculos (22.0 S, 35.3 E)
        probability for TS is 55% in about 48 hours

Note that
    Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).