InaRTSP PRELIMINARY SERVICE - SYSTEM IN REVIEW PHASE - InaRTSP PRELIMINARY SERVICE
RTSP-InaTEWS-20121028-0434-002
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
TSUNAMI BULLETIN NUMBER 2
REGIONAL TSUNAMI SERVICE PROVIDER - RTSP INDONESIA (InaTEWS-BMKG)
issued at 0434 UTC Sunday 28 October 2012
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
... NO TSUNAMI THREAT IN THE INDIAN OCEAN ...
1. EARTHQUAKE INFORMATION
RTSP INDONESIA has detected an earthquake with the following details:
Magnitude: 7.3 Mwp
Depth: 19km
Date: 28 Oct 2012
Origin Time: 0304 UTC
Latitude: 52.78N
Longitude: 131.04W
Location: QueenCharlotteIslandsRegion
2. EVALUATION
Based on pre-run model scenarios, there is NO THREAT to countries in the Indian
Ocean.
3. ADVICE
This bulletin is being issued as advice. Only national/state/local authorities
and disaster management officers have the authority to make decisions regarding
the official threat and warning status in their coastal areas and any action to
be taken in response.
4. UPDATES
No further bulletins will be issued by RTSP INDONESIA for this event unless
additional information becomes available.
Other RTSPs may issue additional information at:
RTSP AUSTRALIA: http://reg.bom.gov.au/tsunami/rtsp/
RTSP INDIA: http://www.incois.gov.in/Incois/tsunami/eqevents.jsp
In case of conflicting information from RTSPs or the IAS (PTWC, JMA), the more
conservative information should be used for safety.
5. CONTACT INFORMATION
METEOROLOGICAL CLIMATOLOGICAL AND GEOPHYSICAL AGENCY (BMKG)
InaTEWS - Indonesian Tsunami Early Warning System
Address: Jl. Angkasa I no.2 Kemayoran, Jakarta, Indonesia, 10720
Tel.: +62 (21) 4246321/6546316
Fax: +62 (21) 6546316/4246703
P.O. Box 3540 Jakarta
Website: http://www.bmkg.go.id
http://inatews.bmkg.go.id
E-Mail: inartsp@bmkg.go.id
monitrtwp@bmkg.go.id
END OF BULLETIN
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
InaRTSP PRELIMINARY SERVICE - SYSTEM IN REVIEW PHASE - InaRTSP PRELIMINARY SERVICE
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Saturday, October 27, 2012
[Tsunami Message - IOC] RTSP INDONESIA PUBLIC BULLETIN 1 ISSUED:EQ 0304 UTC 28 Oct 2012 Mag: 7.3 QueenCharlotteIslandsRegion , Lat: 52.78N, Lon: 131.04W See http://rtsp.bmkg.go.id
InaRTSP PRELIMINARY SERVICE - SYSTEM IN REVIEW PHASE - InaRTSP PRELIMINARY SERVICE
RTSP-InaTEWS-20121028-0423-001
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
TSUNAMI BULLETIN NUMBER 1
REGIONAL TSUNAMI SERVICE PROVIDER - RTSP INDONESIA (InaTEWS-BMKG)
issued at 0423 UTC Sunday 28 October 2012
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
... EARTHQUAKE INFORMATION BULLETIN ...
1. EARTHQUAKE INFORMATION
RTSP INDONESIA has detected an earthquake with the following preliminary
information:
Magnitude: 7.3 Mwp
Depth: 19km
Date: 28 Oct 2012
Origin Time: 0304 UTC
Latitude: 52.78N
Longitude: 131.04W
Location: QueenCharlotteIslandsRegion
2. EVALUATION
RTSP INDONESIA is evaluating this earthquake to determine if a tsunami has
been generated.
Further information on this event will be available at:
http://rtsp.bmkg.go.id
3. ADVICE
This bulletin is being issued as advice. Only national/state/local authorities
and disaster management officers have the authority to make decisions regarding
the official threat and warning status in their coastal areas and any action to
be taken in response.
4. UPDATES
Additional bulletins will be issued by RTSP INDONESIA for this event as more
information becomes available.
Other RTSPs may issue additional information at:
RTSP AUSTRALIA: http://reg.bom.gov.au/tsunami/rtsp/
RTSP INDIA: http://www.incois.gov.in/Incois/tsunami/eqevents.jsp
In case of conflicting information from RTSPs or the IAS (PTWC, JMA), the more
conservative information should be used for safety.
5. CONTACT INFORMATION
METEOROLOGICAL CLIMATOLOGICAL AND GEOPHYSICAL AGENCY (BMKG)
InaTEWS - Indonesian Tsunami Early Warning System
Address: Jl. Angkasa I no.2 Kemayoran, Jakarta, Indonesia, 10720
Tel.: +62 (21) 4246321/6546316
Fax: +62 (21) 6546316/4246703
P.O. Box 3540 Jakarta
Website: http://www.bmkg.go.id
http://inatews.bmkg.go.id
E-Mail: inartsp@bmkg.go.id
monitrtwp@bmkg.go.id
END OF BULLETIN
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
InaRTSP PRELIMINARY SERVICE - SYSTEM IN REVIEW PHASE - InaRTSP PRELIMINARY SERVICE
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RTSP-InaTEWS-20121028-0423-001
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
TSUNAMI BULLETIN NUMBER 1
REGIONAL TSUNAMI SERVICE PROVIDER - RTSP INDONESIA (InaTEWS-BMKG)
issued at 0423 UTC Sunday 28 October 2012
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
... EARTHQUAKE INFORMATION BULLETIN ...
1. EARTHQUAKE INFORMATION
RTSP INDONESIA has detected an earthquake with the following preliminary
information:
Magnitude: 7.3 Mwp
Depth: 19km
Date: 28 Oct 2012
Origin Time: 0304 UTC
Latitude: 52.78N
Longitude: 131.04W
Location: QueenCharlotteIslandsRegion
2. EVALUATION
RTSP INDONESIA is evaluating this earthquake to determine if a tsunami has
been generated.
Further information on this event will be available at:
http://rtsp.bmkg.go.id
3. ADVICE
This bulletin is being issued as advice. Only national/state/local authorities
and disaster management officers have the authority to make decisions regarding
the official threat and warning status in their coastal areas and any action to
be taken in response.
4. UPDATES
Additional bulletins will be issued by RTSP INDONESIA for this event as more
information becomes available.
Other RTSPs may issue additional information at:
RTSP AUSTRALIA: http://reg.bom.gov.au/tsunami/rtsp/
RTSP INDIA: http://www.incois.gov.in/Incois/tsunami/eqevents.jsp
In case of conflicting information from RTSPs or the IAS (PTWC, JMA), the more
conservative information should be used for safety.
5. CONTACT INFORMATION
METEOROLOGICAL CLIMATOLOGICAL AND GEOPHYSICAL AGENCY (BMKG)
InaTEWS - Indonesian Tsunami Early Warning System
Address: Jl. Angkasa I no.2 Kemayoran, Jakarta, Indonesia, 10720
Tel.: +62 (21) 4246321/6546316
Fax: +62 (21) 6546316/4246703
P.O. Box 3540 Jakarta
Website: http://www.bmkg.go.id
http://inatews.bmkg.go.id
E-Mail: inartsp@bmkg.go.id
monitrtwp@bmkg.go.id
END OF BULLETIN
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
InaRTSP PRELIMINARY SERVICE - SYSTEM IN REVIEW PHASE - InaRTSP PRELIMINARY SERVICE
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[Tsunami Message - IOC] Tsunami Information Bulletin
TSUNAMI BULLETIN NUMBER 003
PACIFIC TSUNAMI WARNING CENTER/NOAA/NWS
ISSUED AT 0341Z 28 OCT 2012
THIS BULLETIN APPLIES TO AREAS WITHIN AND BORDERING THE PACIFIC
OCEAN AND ADJACENT SEAS...EXCEPT ALASKA...BRITISH COLUMBIA...
WASHINGTON...OREGON AND CALIFORNIA.
... TSUNAMI INFORMATION BULLETIN ...
THIS BULLETIN IS FOR INFORMATION ONLY.
THIS BULLETIN IS ISSUED AS ADVICE TO GOVERNMENT AGENCIES. ONLY
NATIONAL AND LOCAL GOVERNMENT AGENCIES HAVE THE AUTHORITY TO MAKE
DECISIONS REGARDING THE OFFICIAL STATE OF ALERT IN THEIR AREA AND
ANY ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN IN RESPONSE.
AN EARTHQUAKE HAS OCCURRED WITH THESE PRELIMINARY PARAMETERS
ORIGIN TIME - 0304Z 28 OCT 2012
COORDINATES - 52.9 NORTH 131.9 WEST
DEPTH - 10 KM
LOCATION - QUEEN CHARLOTTE ISLANDS REGION
MAGNITUDE - 7.7
EVALUATION
NO DESTRUCTIVE WIDESPREAD TSUNAMI THREAT EXISTS BASED ON
HISTORICAL EARTHQUAKE AND TSUNAMI DATA.
HOWEVER - THE WEST COAST/ALASKA TSUNAMI WARNING CENTER HAS
ISSUED A REGIONAL WARNING FOR COASTS LOCATED NEAR THE EARTHQUAKE.
THIS CENTER WILL CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE SITUATION BUT DOES NOT
EXPECT A WIDER THREAT TO OCCUR.
THIS WILL BE THE ONLY BULLETIN ISSUED FOR THIS EVENT UNLESS
ADDITIONAL INFORMATION BECOMES AVAILABLE.
THE WEST COAST/ALASKA TSUNAMI WARNING CENTER WILL ISSUE PRODUCTS
FOR ALASKA...BRITISH COLUMBIA...WASHINGTON...OREGON...CALIFORNIA.
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PACIFIC TSUNAMI WARNING CENTER/NOAA/NWS
ISSUED AT 0341Z 28 OCT 2012
THIS BULLETIN APPLIES TO AREAS WITHIN AND BORDERING THE PACIFIC
OCEAN AND ADJACENT SEAS...EXCEPT ALASKA...BRITISH COLUMBIA...
WASHINGTON...OREGON AND CALIFORNIA.
... TSUNAMI INFORMATION BULLETIN ...
THIS BULLETIN IS FOR INFORMATION ONLY.
THIS BULLETIN IS ISSUED AS ADVICE TO GOVERNMENT AGENCIES. ONLY
NATIONAL AND LOCAL GOVERNMENT AGENCIES HAVE THE AUTHORITY TO MAKE
DECISIONS REGARDING THE OFFICIAL STATE OF ALERT IN THEIR AREA AND
ANY ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN IN RESPONSE.
AN EARTHQUAKE HAS OCCURRED WITH THESE PRELIMINARY PARAMETERS
ORIGIN TIME - 0304Z 28 OCT 2012
COORDINATES - 52.9 NORTH 131.9 WEST
DEPTH - 10 KM
LOCATION - QUEEN CHARLOTTE ISLANDS REGION
MAGNITUDE - 7.7
EVALUATION
NO DESTRUCTIVE WIDESPREAD TSUNAMI THREAT EXISTS BASED ON
HISTORICAL EARTHQUAKE AND TSUNAMI DATA.
HOWEVER - THE WEST COAST/ALASKA TSUNAMI WARNING CENTER HAS
ISSUED A REGIONAL WARNING FOR COASTS LOCATED NEAR THE EARTHQUAKE.
THIS CENTER WILL CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE SITUATION BUT DOES NOT
EXPECT A WIDER THREAT TO OCCUR.
THIS WILL BE THE ONLY BULLETIN ISSUED FOR THIS EVENT UNLESS
ADDITIONAL INFORMATION BECOMES AVAILABLE.
THE WEST COAST/ALASKA TSUNAMI WARNING CENTER WILL ISSUE PRODUCTS
FOR ALASKA...BRITISH COLUMBIA...WASHINGTON...OREGON...CALIFORNIA.
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[Tsunami Message - IOC] Tsunami Information Bulletin
TSUNAMI BULLETIN NUMBER 002
PACIFIC TSUNAMI WARNING CENTER/NOAA/NWS
ISSUED AT 0320Z 28 OCT 2012
THIS BULLETIN APPLIES TO AREAS WITHIN AND BORDERING THE PACIFIC
OCEAN AND ADJACENT SEAS...EXCEPT ALASKA...BRITISH COLUMBIA...
WASHINGTON...OREGON AND CALIFORNIA.
... TSUNAMI INFORMATION BULLETIN ...
THIS BULLETIN IS FOR INFORMATION ONLY.
THIS BULLETIN IS ISSUED AS ADVICE TO GOVERNMENT AGENCIES. ONLY
NATIONAL AND LOCAL GOVERNMENT AGENCIES HAVE THE AUTHORITY TO MAKE
DECISIONS REGARDING THE OFFICIAL STATE OF ALERT IN THEIR AREA AND
ANY ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN IN RESPONSE.
AN EARTHQUAKE HAS OCCURRED WITH THESE PRELIMINARY PARAMETERS
NOTE WITH REVISED MAGNITUDE!
ORIGIN TIME - 0304Z 28 OCT 2012
COORDINATES - 52.9 NORTH 131.9 WEST
DEPTH - 10 KM
LOCATION - QUEEN CHARLOTTE ISLANDS REGION
MAGNITUDE - 7.1
EVALUATION
A WIDESPREAD DESTRUCTIVE TSUNAMI THREAT DOES NOT EXIST BASED ON
HISTORICAL EARTHQUAKE AND TSUNAMI DATA.
THE WEST COAST AND ALASKA TSUNAMI WARNING CENTER WILL ISSUE
INFORMATION REGARDING ANY LOCAL TSUNAMI THREAT TO COASTS NEAR
THE EARTHQUAKE EPICENTER.
THIS WILL BE THE ONLY BULLETIN ISSUED FOR THIS EVENT UNLESS
ADDITIONAL INFORMATION BECOMES AVAILABLE.
THE WEST COAST/ALASKA TSUNAMI WARNING CENTER WILL ISSUE PRODUCTS
FOR ALASKA...BRITISH COLUMBIA...WASHINGTON...OREGON...CALIFORNIA.
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PACIFIC TSUNAMI WARNING CENTER/NOAA/NWS
ISSUED AT 0320Z 28 OCT 2012
THIS BULLETIN APPLIES TO AREAS WITHIN AND BORDERING THE PACIFIC
OCEAN AND ADJACENT SEAS...EXCEPT ALASKA...BRITISH COLUMBIA...
WASHINGTON...OREGON AND CALIFORNIA.
... TSUNAMI INFORMATION BULLETIN ...
THIS BULLETIN IS FOR INFORMATION ONLY.
THIS BULLETIN IS ISSUED AS ADVICE TO GOVERNMENT AGENCIES. ONLY
NATIONAL AND LOCAL GOVERNMENT AGENCIES HAVE THE AUTHORITY TO MAKE
DECISIONS REGARDING THE OFFICIAL STATE OF ALERT IN THEIR AREA AND
ANY ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN IN RESPONSE.
AN EARTHQUAKE HAS OCCURRED WITH THESE PRELIMINARY PARAMETERS
NOTE WITH REVISED MAGNITUDE!
ORIGIN TIME - 0304Z 28 OCT 2012
COORDINATES - 52.9 NORTH 131.9 WEST
DEPTH - 10 KM
LOCATION - QUEEN CHARLOTTE ISLANDS REGION
MAGNITUDE - 7.1
EVALUATION
A WIDESPREAD DESTRUCTIVE TSUNAMI THREAT DOES NOT EXIST BASED ON
HISTORICAL EARTHQUAKE AND TSUNAMI DATA.
THE WEST COAST AND ALASKA TSUNAMI WARNING CENTER WILL ISSUE
INFORMATION REGARDING ANY LOCAL TSUNAMI THREAT TO COASTS NEAR
THE EARTHQUAKE EPICENTER.
THIS WILL BE THE ONLY BULLETIN ISSUED FOR THIS EVENT UNLESS
ADDITIONAL INFORMATION BECOMES AVAILABLE.
THE WEST COAST/ALASKA TSUNAMI WARNING CENTER WILL ISSUE PRODUCTS
FOR ALASKA...BRITISH COLUMBIA...WASHINGTON...OREGON...CALIFORNIA.
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[Tsunami Message - IOC] Tsunami Information Bulletin
TSUNAMI BULLETIN NUMBER 001
PACIFIC TSUNAMI WARNING CENTER/NOAA/NWS
ISSUED AT 0313Z 28 OCT 2012
THIS BULLETIN APPLIES TO AREAS WITHIN AND BORDERING THE PACIFIC
OCEAN AND ADJACENT SEAS...EXCEPT ALASKA...BRITISH COLUMBIA...
WASHINGTON...OREGON AND CALIFORNIA.
... TSUNAMI INFORMATION BULLETIN ...
THIS BULLETIN IS FOR INFORMATION ONLY.
THIS BULLETIN IS ISSUED AS ADVICE TO GOVERNMENT AGENCIES. ONLY
NATIONAL AND LOCAL GOVERNMENT AGENCIES HAVE THE AUTHORITY TO MAKE
DECISIONS REGARDING THE OFFICIAL STATE OF ALERT IN THEIR AREA AND
ANY ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN IN RESPONSE.
AN EARTHQUAKE HAS OCCURRED WITH THESE PRELIMINARY PARAMETERS
ORIGIN TIME - 0304Z 28 OCT 2012
COORDINATES - 52.9 NORTH 131.9 WEST
DEPTH - 10 KM
LOCATION - QUEEN CHARLOTTE ISLANDS REGION
MAGNITUDE - 7.1
EVALUATION
A WIDESPREAD DESTRUCTIVE TSUNAMI THREAT DOES NOT EXIST BASED ON
HISTORICAL EARTHQUAKE AND TSUNAMI DATA.
THE WEST COAST AND ALASKA TSUNAMI WARNING CENTER WILL ISSUE
INFORMATION REGARDING ANY LOCAL TSUNAMI THREAT TO COASTS NEAR
THE EARTHQUAKE EPICENTER.
THIS WILL BE THE ONLY BULLETIN ISSUED FOR THIS EVENT UNLESS
ADDITIONAL INFORMATION BECOMES AVAILABLE.
THE WEST COAST/ALASKA TSUNAMI WARNING CENTER WILL ISSUE PRODUCTS
FOR ALASKA...BRITISH COLUMBIA...WASHINGTON...OREGON...CALIFORNIA.
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PACIFIC TSUNAMI WARNING CENTER/NOAA/NWS
ISSUED AT 0313Z 28 OCT 2012
THIS BULLETIN APPLIES TO AREAS WITHIN AND BORDERING THE PACIFIC
OCEAN AND ADJACENT SEAS...EXCEPT ALASKA...BRITISH COLUMBIA...
WASHINGTON...OREGON AND CALIFORNIA.
... TSUNAMI INFORMATION BULLETIN ...
THIS BULLETIN IS FOR INFORMATION ONLY.
THIS BULLETIN IS ISSUED AS ADVICE TO GOVERNMENT AGENCIES. ONLY
NATIONAL AND LOCAL GOVERNMENT AGENCIES HAVE THE AUTHORITY TO MAKE
DECISIONS REGARDING THE OFFICIAL STATE OF ALERT IN THEIR AREA AND
ANY ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN IN RESPONSE.
AN EARTHQUAKE HAS OCCURRED WITH THESE PRELIMINARY PARAMETERS
ORIGIN TIME - 0304Z 28 OCT 2012
COORDINATES - 52.9 NORTH 131.9 WEST
DEPTH - 10 KM
LOCATION - QUEEN CHARLOTTE ISLANDS REGION
MAGNITUDE - 7.1
EVALUATION
A WIDESPREAD DESTRUCTIVE TSUNAMI THREAT DOES NOT EXIST BASED ON
HISTORICAL EARTHQUAKE AND TSUNAMI DATA.
THE WEST COAST AND ALASKA TSUNAMI WARNING CENTER WILL ISSUE
INFORMATION REGARDING ANY LOCAL TSUNAMI THREAT TO COASTS NEAR
THE EARTHQUAKE EPICENTER.
THIS WILL BE THE ONLY BULLETIN ISSUED FOR THIS EVENT UNLESS
ADDITIONAL INFORMATION BECOMES AVAILABLE.
THE WEST COAST/ALASKA TSUNAMI WARNING CENTER WILL ISSUE PRODUCTS
FOR ALASKA...BRITISH COLUMBIA...WASHINGTON...OREGON...CALIFORNIA.
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TSR Storm Alert - Typhoon SON-TINH
NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 28 Oct, 2012 0:00 GMT
Typhoon SON-TINH (24W) currently located near 18.4 N 107.2 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Vietnam
probability for CAT 1 or above is 95% currently
probability for TS is 95% currently
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Thanh Hoa (19.8 N, 105.8 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 60% in about 24 hours
probability for TS is 85% within 12 hours
Vinh (18.7 N, 105.7 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 55% within 12 hours
probability for TS is 80% within 12 hours
Thai Binh (20.5 N, 106.3 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 45% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 85% within 12 hours
Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
China
probability for TS is 80% currently
Laos
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 24 hours
probability for TS is 65% within 12 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Dong Hoi (17.5 N, 106.6 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% currently
probability for TS is 80% currently
Dong Ha (16.8 N, 107.1 E)
probability for TS is 60% currently
Hanoi (21.0 N, 105.8 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 24 hours
probability for TS is 45% within 12 hours
Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html.
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 28 Oct, 2012 0:00 GMT
Typhoon SON-TINH (24W) currently located near 18.4 N 107.2 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Vietnam
probability for CAT 1 or above is 95% currently
probability for TS is 95% currently
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Thanh Hoa (19.8 N, 105.8 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 60% in about 24 hours
probability for TS is 85% within 12 hours
Vinh (18.7 N, 105.7 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 55% within 12 hours
probability for TS is 80% within 12 hours
Thai Binh (20.5 N, 106.3 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 45% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 85% within 12 hours
Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
China
probability for TS is 80% currently
Laos
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 24 hours
probability for TS is 65% within 12 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Dong Hoi (17.5 N, 106.6 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% currently
probability for TS is 80% currently
Dong Ha (16.8 N, 107.1 E)
probability for TS is 60% currently
Hanoi (21.0 N, 105.8 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 24 hours
probability for TS is 45% within 12 hours
Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html
.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
Typhoon SON-TINH (24W) currently located near 18.4 N 107.2 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Vietnam
probability for CAT 1 or above is 95% currently
probability for TS is 95% currently
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Thanh Hoa (19.8 N, 105.8 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 60% in about 24 hours
probability for TS is 85% within 12 hours
Vinh (18.7 N, 105.7 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 55% within 12 hours
probability for TS is 80% within 12 hours
Thai Binh (20.5 N, 106.3 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 45% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 85% within 12 hours
Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
China
probability for TS is 80% currently
Laos
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 24 hours
probability for TS is 65% within 12 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Dong Hoi (17.5 N, 106.6 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% currently
probability for TS is 80% currently
Dong Ha (16.8 N, 107.1 E)
probability for TS is 60% currently
Hanoi (21.0 N, 105.8 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 24 hours
probability for TS is 45% within 12 hours
Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html.
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 28 Oct, 2012 0:00 GMT
Typhoon SON-TINH (24W) currently located near 18.4 N 107.2 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Vietnam
probability for CAT 1 or above is 95% currently
probability for TS is 95% currently
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Thanh Hoa (19.8 N, 105.8 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 60% in about 24 hours
probability for TS is 85% within 12 hours
Vinh (18.7 N, 105.7 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 55% within 12 hours
probability for TS is 80% within 12 hours
Thai Binh (20.5 N, 106.3 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 45% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 85% within 12 hours
Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
China
probability for TS is 80% currently
Laos
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 24 hours
probability for TS is 65% within 12 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Dong Hoi (17.5 N, 106.6 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% currently
probability for TS is 80% currently
Dong Ha (16.8 N, 107.1 E)
probability for TS is 60% currently
Hanoi (21.0 N, 105.8 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 24 hours
probability for TS is 45% within 12 hours
Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html
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This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
TSR Storm Alert - Typhoon SON-TINH
NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 27 Oct, 2012 18:00 GMT
Typhoon SON-TINH (24W) currently located near 18.1 N 107.8 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Vietnam
probability for CAT 1 or above is 90% within 12 hours
probability for TS is 90% within 12 hours
China
probability for CAT 1 or above is 65% currently
probability for TS is 100% currently
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Thanh Hoa (19.8 N, 105.8 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 75% in about 24 hours
probability for TS is 85% within 12 hours
Vinh (18.7 N, 105.7 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 70% within 12 hours
probability for TS is 80% within 12 hours
Thai Binh (20.5 N, 106.3 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 55% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 85% within 12 hours
Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Laos
probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 24 hours
probability for TS is 70% within 12 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Dong Hoi (17.5 N, 106.6 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% within 12 hours
probability for TS is 90% within 12 hours
Dong Ha (16.8 N, 107.1 E)
probability for TS is 75% currently
Yaxian (18.4 N, 109.4 E)
probability for TS is 70% currently
Hanoi (21.0 N, 105.8 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% in about 24 hours
probability for TS is 45% within 12 hours
Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html.
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 27 Oct, 2012 18:00 GMT
Typhoon SON-TINH (24W) currently located near 18.1 N 107.8 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Vietnam
probability for CAT 1 or above is 90% within 12 hours
probability for TS is 90% within 12 hours
China
probability for CAT 1 or above is 65% currently
probability for TS is 100% currently
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Thanh Hoa (19.8 N, 105.8 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 75% in about 24 hours
probability for TS is 85% within 12 hours
Vinh (18.7 N, 105.7 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 70% within 12 hours
probability for TS is 80% within 12 hours
Thai Binh (20.5 N, 106.3 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 55% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 85% within 12 hours
Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Laos
probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 24 hours
probability for TS is 70% within 12 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Dong Hoi (17.5 N, 106.6 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% within 12 hours
probability for TS is 90% within 12 hours
Dong Ha (16.8 N, 107.1 E)
probability for TS is 75% currently
Yaxian (18.4 N, 109.4 E)
probability for TS is 70% currently
Hanoi (21.0 N, 105.8 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% in about 24 hours
probability for TS is 45% within 12 hours
Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html
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This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
Typhoon SON-TINH (24W) currently located near 18.1 N 107.8 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Vietnam
probability for CAT 1 or above is 90% within 12 hours
probability for TS is 90% within 12 hours
China
probability for CAT 1 or above is 65% currently
probability for TS is 100% currently
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Thanh Hoa (19.8 N, 105.8 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 75% in about 24 hours
probability for TS is 85% within 12 hours
Vinh (18.7 N, 105.7 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 70% within 12 hours
probability for TS is 80% within 12 hours
Thai Binh (20.5 N, 106.3 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 55% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 85% within 12 hours
Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Laos
probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 24 hours
probability for TS is 70% within 12 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Dong Hoi (17.5 N, 106.6 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% within 12 hours
probability for TS is 90% within 12 hours
Dong Ha (16.8 N, 107.1 E)
probability for TS is 75% currently
Yaxian (18.4 N, 109.4 E)
probability for TS is 70% currently
Hanoi (21.0 N, 105.8 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% in about 24 hours
probability for TS is 45% within 12 hours
Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html.
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 27 Oct, 2012 18:00 GMT
Typhoon SON-TINH (24W) currently located near 18.1 N 107.8 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Vietnam
probability for CAT 1 or above is 90% within 12 hours
probability for TS is 90% within 12 hours
China
probability for CAT 1 or above is 65% currently
probability for TS is 100% currently
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Thanh Hoa (19.8 N, 105.8 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 75% in about 24 hours
probability for TS is 85% within 12 hours
Vinh (18.7 N, 105.7 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 70% within 12 hours
probability for TS is 80% within 12 hours
Thai Binh (20.5 N, 106.3 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 55% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 85% within 12 hours
Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Laos
probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 24 hours
probability for TS is 70% within 12 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Dong Hoi (17.5 N, 106.6 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% within 12 hours
probability for TS is 90% within 12 hours
Dong Ha (16.8 N, 107.1 E)
probability for TS is 75% currently
Yaxian (18.4 N, 109.4 E)
probability for TS is 70% currently
Hanoi (21.0 N, 105.8 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% in about 24 hours
probability for TS is 45% within 12 hours
Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html
.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
TSR Storm Alert - Typhoon SON-TINH
NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 27 Oct, 2012 12:00 GMT
Typhoon SON-TINH (24W) currently located near 17.5 N 108.8 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
China
probability for CAT 1 or above is 75% within 12 hours
probability for TS is 100% currently
Vietnam
probability for CAT 1 or above is 65% within 12 hours
probability for TS is 90% within 12 hours
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Thanh Hoa (19.8 N, 105.8 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 45% in about 24 hours
probability for TS is 85% in about 24 hours
Yaxian (18.4 N, 109.4 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 35% currently
probability for TS is 95% currently
Vinh (18.7 N, 105.7 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 35% in about 24 hours
probability for TS is 80% in about 24 hours
Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Laos
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 75% in about 24 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Dong Hoi (17.5 N, 106.6 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% within 12 hours
probability for TS is 85% within 12 hours
Thai Binh (20.5 N, 106.3 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% in about 24 hours
probability for TS is 80% in about 24 hours
Dong Ha (16.8 N, 107.1 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% within 12 hours
probability for TS is 75% within 12 hours
Hanoi (21.0 N, 105.8 E)
probability for TS is 70% in about 24 hours
Da Nang (16.1 N, 108.2 E)
probability for TS is 55% currently
Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Yen Bai (21.7 N, 104.9 E)
probability for TS is 45% in about 48 hours
Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html.
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 27 Oct, 2012 12:00 GMT
Typhoon SON-TINH (24W) currently located near 17.5 N 108.8 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
China
probability for CAT 1 or above is 75% within 12 hours
probability for TS is 100% currently
Vietnam
probability for CAT 1 or above is 65% within 12 hours
probability for TS is 90% within 12 hours
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Thanh Hoa (19.8 N, 105.8 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 45% in about 24 hours
probability for TS is 85% in about 24 hours
Yaxian (18.4 N, 109.4 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 35% currently
probability for TS is 95% currently
Vinh (18.7 N, 105.7 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 35% in about 24 hours
probability for TS is 80% in about 24 hours
Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Laos
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 75% in about 24 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Dong Hoi (17.5 N, 106.6 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% within 12 hours
probability for TS is 85% within 12 hours
Thai Binh (20.5 N, 106.3 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% in about 24 hours
probability for TS is 80% in about 24 hours
Dong Ha (16.8 N, 107.1 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% within 12 hours
probability for TS is 75% within 12 hours
Hanoi (21.0 N, 105.8 E)
probability for TS is 70% in about 24 hours
Da Nang (16.1 N, 108.2 E)
probability for TS is 55% currently
Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Yen Bai (21.7 N, 104.9 E)
probability for TS is 45% in about 48 hours
Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html
.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
Typhoon SON-TINH (24W) currently located near 17.5 N 108.8 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
China
probability for CAT 1 or above is 75% within 12 hours
probability for TS is 100% currently
Vietnam
probability for CAT 1 or above is 65% within 12 hours
probability for TS is 90% within 12 hours
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Thanh Hoa (19.8 N, 105.8 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 45% in about 24 hours
probability for TS is 85% in about 24 hours
Yaxian (18.4 N, 109.4 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 35% currently
probability for TS is 95% currently
Vinh (18.7 N, 105.7 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 35% in about 24 hours
probability for TS is 80% in about 24 hours
Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Laos
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 75% in about 24 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Dong Hoi (17.5 N, 106.6 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% within 12 hours
probability for TS is 85% within 12 hours
Thai Binh (20.5 N, 106.3 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% in about 24 hours
probability for TS is 80% in about 24 hours
Dong Ha (16.8 N, 107.1 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% within 12 hours
probability for TS is 75% within 12 hours
Hanoi (21.0 N, 105.8 E)
probability for TS is 70% in about 24 hours
Da Nang (16.1 N, 108.2 E)
probability for TS is 55% currently
Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Yen Bai (21.7 N, 104.9 E)
probability for TS is 45% in about 48 hours
Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html.
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 27 Oct, 2012 12:00 GMT
Typhoon SON-TINH (24W) currently located near 17.5 N 108.8 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
China
probability for CAT 1 or above is 75% within 12 hours
probability for TS is 100% currently
Vietnam
probability for CAT 1 or above is 65% within 12 hours
probability for TS is 90% within 12 hours
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Thanh Hoa (19.8 N, 105.8 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 45% in about 24 hours
probability for TS is 85% in about 24 hours
Yaxian (18.4 N, 109.4 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 35% currently
probability for TS is 95% currently
Vinh (18.7 N, 105.7 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 35% in about 24 hours
probability for TS is 80% in about 24 hours
Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Laos
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 75% in about 24 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Dong Hoi (17.5 N, 106.6 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% within 12 hours
probability for TS is 85% within 12 hours
Thai Binh (20.5 N, 106.3 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% in about 24 hours
probability for TS is 80% in about 24 hours
Dong Ha (16.8 N, 107.1 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% within 12 hours
probability for TS is 75% within 12 hours
Hanoi (21.0 N, 105.8 E)
probability for TS is 70% in about 24 hours
Da Nang (16.1 N, 108.2 E)
probability for TS is 55% currently
Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Yen Bai (21.7 N, 104.9 E)
probability for TS is 45% in about 48 hours
Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html
.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
TSR Storm Alert - Typhoon SON-TINH
NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 27 Oct, 2012 6:00 GMT
Typhoon SON-TINH (24W) currently located near 17.0 N 109.7 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Vietnam
probability for CAT 1 or above is 45% in about 24 hours
probability for TS is 85% in about 24 hours
China
probability for CAT 1 or above is 40% within 12 hours
probability for TS is 95% within 12 hours
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Thanh Hoa (19.8 N, 105.8 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 35% in about 24 hours
probability for TS is 85% in about 24 hours
Vinh (18.7 N, 105.7 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 35% in about 24 hours
probability for TS is 80% in about 24 hours
Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Laos
probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 24 hours
probability for TS is 75% in about 24 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Yaxian (18.4 N, 109.4 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% within 12 hours
probability for TS is 95% within 12 hours
Dong Hoi (17.5 N, 106.6 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% in about 24 hours
probability for TS is 85% in about 24 hours
Dong Ha (16.8 N, 107.1 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% within 12 hours
probability for TS is 75% within 12 hours
Thai Binh (20.5 N, 106.3 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 75% in about 24 hours
Da Nang (16.1 N, 108.2 E)
probability for TS is 65% within 12 hours
Hanoi (21.0 N, 105.8 E)
probability for TS is 60% in about 24 hours
Green Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Thailand
probability for TS is 35% in about 24 hours
Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Yen Bai (21.7 N, 104.9 E)
probability for TS is 40% in about 36 hours
Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html.
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 27 Oct, 2012 6:00 GMT
Typhoon SON-TINH (24W) currently located near 17.0 N 109.7 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Vietnam
probability for CAT 1 or above is 45% in about 24 hours
probability for TS is 85% in about 24 hours
China
probability for CAT 1 or above is 40% within 12 hours
probability for TS is 95% within 12 hours
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Thanh Hoa (19.8 N, 105.8 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 35% in about 24 hours
probability for TS is 85% in about 24 hours
Vinh (18.7 N, 105.7 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 35% in about 24 hours
probability for TS is 80% in about 24 hours
Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Laos
probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 24 hours
probability for TS is 75% in about 24 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Yaxian (18.4 N, 109.4 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% within 12 hours
probability for TS is 95% within 12 hours
Dong Hoi (17.5 N, 106.6 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% in about 24 hours
probability for TS is 85% in about 24 hours
Dong Ha (16.8 N, 107.1 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% within 12 hours
probability for TS is 75% within 12 hours
Thai Binh (20.5 N, 106.3 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 75% in about 24 hours
Da Nang (16.1 N, 108.2 E)
probability for TS is 65% within 12 hours
Hanoi (21.0 N, 105.8 E)
probability for TS is 60% in about 24 hours
Green Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Thailand
probability for TS is 35% in about 24 hours
Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Yen Bai (21.7 N, 104.9 E)
probability for TS is 40% in about 36 hours
Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html
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This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
Typhoon SON-TINH (24W) currently located near 17.0 N 109.7 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Vietnam
probability for CAT 1 or above is 45% in about 24 hours
probability for TS is 85% in about 24 hours
China
probability for CAT 1 or above is 40% within 12 hours
probability for TS is 95% within 12 hours
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Thanh Hoa (19.8 N, 105.8 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 35% in about 24 hours
probability for TS is 85% in about 24 hours
Vinh (18.7 N, 105.7 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 35% in about 24 hours
probability for TS is 80% in about 24 hours
Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Laos
probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 24 hours
probability for TS is 75% in about 24 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Yaxian (18.4 N, 109.4 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% within 12 hours
probability for TS is 95% within 12 hours
Dong Hoi (17.5 N, 106.6 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% in about 24 hours
probability for TS is 85% in about 24 hours
Dong Ha (16.8 N, 107.1 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% within 12 hours
probability for TS is 75% within 12 hours
Thai Binh (20.5 N, 106.3 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 75% in about 24 hours
Da Nang (16.1 N, 108.2 E)
probability for TS is 65% within 12 hours
Hanoi (21.0 N, 105.8 E)
probability for TS is 60% in about 24 hours
Green Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Thailand
probability for TS is 35% in about 24 hours
Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Yen Bai (21.7 N, 104.9 E)
probability for TS is 40% in about 36 hours
Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html.
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 27 Oct, 2012 6:00 GMT
Typhoon SON-TINH (24W) currently located near 17.0 N 109.7 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Vietnam
probability for CAT 1 or above is 45% in about 24 hours
probability for TS is 85% in about 24 hours
China
probability for CAT 1 or above is 40% within 12 hours
probability for TS is 95% within 12 hours
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Thanh Hoa (19.8 N, 105.8 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 35% in about 24 hours
probability for TS is 85% in about 24 hours
Vinh (18.7 N, 105.7 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 35% in about 24 hours
probability for TS is 80% in about 24 hours
Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Laos
probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 24 hours
probability for TS is 75% in about 24 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Yaxian (18.4 N, 109.4 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% within 12 hours
probability for TS is 95% within 12 hours
Dong Hoi (17.5 N, 106.6 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% in about 24 hours
probability for TS is 85% in about 24 hours
Dong Ha (16.8 N, 107.1 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% within 12 hours
probability for TS is 75% within 12 hours
Thai Binh (20.5 N, 106.3 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 75% in about 24 hours
Da Nang (16.1 N, 108.2 E)
probability for TS is 65% within 12 hours
Hanoi (21.0 N, 105.8 E)
probability for TS is 60% in about 24 hours
Green Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Thailand
probability for TS is 35% in about 24 hours
Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Yen Bai (21.7 N, 104.9 E)
probability for TS is 40% in about 36 hours
Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html
.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
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