NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 5 Jul, 2015 12:00 GMT
Tropical Storm CHAN-HOM (09W) currently located near 15.0 N 144.3 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s) the Northern Mariana Islands
probability for TS is 80% currently
Guam
probability for TS is 55% currently
China
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 120 hours
probability for TS is 20% in about 120 hours
Taiwan
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
probability for TS is 20% in about 96 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s) Hagatna (13.5 N, 144.8 E)
probability for TS is 55% currently
Okinawa (26.3 N, 127.8 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 35% in about 96 hours
Ningbo (29.7 N, 121.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 120 hours
probability for TS is 20% in about 120 hours
Jinhua (29.2 N, 120.0 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 120 hours
probability for TS is 20% in about 120 hours
Wenling (28.4 N, 121.4 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 120 hours
probability for TS is 20% in about 120 hours
Wenzhou (27.5 N, 120.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 120 hours
probability for TS is 20% in about 120 hours
Taipei (25.0 N, 121.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
probability for TS is 20% in about 96 hours
Shanghai (31.2 N, 121.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
probability for TS is 20% in about 120 hours
Hangzhou (30.3 N, 120.2 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
probability for TS is 20% in about 120 hours
Quzhou (29.0 N, 119.0 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
probability for TS is 20% in about 120 hours
Fu'an (27.1 N, 119.7 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
probability for TS is 20% in about 120 hours
Fuzhou (26.1 N, 119.3 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
probability for TS is 20% in about 120 hours
Note that
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
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This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
