NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 27 Oct, 2012 0:00 GMT
Typhoon SON-TINH (24W) currently located near 16.6 N 110.9 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
China
probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% in about 24 hours
probability for TS is 95% within 12 hours
Vietnam
probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% in about 24 hours
probability for TS is 80% in about 24 hours
Laos
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 24 hours
probability for TS is 65% in about 36 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Yaxian (18.4 N, 109.4 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% within 12 hours
probability for TS is 90% within 12 hours
Vinh (18.7 N, 105.7 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 24 hours
probability for TS is 70% in about 24 hours
Dong Hoi (17.5 N, 106.6 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 24 hours
probability for TS is 70% in about 24 hours
Dong Ha (16.8 N, 107.1 E)
probability for TS is 70% in about 24 hours
Thanh Hoa (19.8 N, 105.8 E)
probability for TS is 65% in about 24 hours
Thai Binh (20.5 N, 106.3 E)
probability for TS is 60% in about 24 hours
Da Nang (16.1 N, 108.2 E)
probability for TS is 55% within 12 hours
Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Qionghai (19.2 N, 110.5 E)
probability for TS is 40% within 12 hours
Hanoi (21.0 N, 105.8 E)
probability for TS is 40% in about 72 hours
Note that
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html.
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 27 Oct, 2012 0:00 GMT
Typhoon SON-TINH (24W) currently located near 16.6 N 110.9 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
China
probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% in about 24 hours
probability for TS is 95% within 12 hours
Vietnam
probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% in about 24 hours
probability for TS is 80% in about 24 hours
Laos
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 24 hours
probability for TS is 65% in about 36 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Yaxian (18.4 N, 109.4 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% within 12 hours
probability for TS is 90% within 12 hours
Vinh (18.7 N, 105.7 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 24 hours
probability for TS is 70% in about 24 hours
Dong Hoi (17.5 N, 106.6 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 24 hours
probability for TS is 70% in about 24 hours
Dong Ha (16.8 N, 107.1 E)
probability for TS is 70% in about 24 hours
Thanh Hoa (19.8 N, 105.8 E)
probability for TS is 65% in about 24 hours
Thai Binh (20.5 N, 106.3 E)
probability for TS is 60% in about 24 hours
Da Nang (16.1 N, 108.2 E)
probability for TS is 55% within 12 hours
Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Qionghai (19.2 N, 110.5 E)
probability for TS is 40% within 12 hours
Hanoi (21.0 N, 105.8 E)
probability for TS is 40% in about 72 hours
Note that
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html
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This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
Friday, October 26, 2012
TSR Storm Alert - Typhoon SON-TINH
NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 26 Oct, 2012 18:00 GMT
Typhoon SON-TINH (24W) currently located near 15.9 N 112.3 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
China
probability for CAT 1 or above is 40% in about 24 hours
probability for TS is 85% in about 24 hours
Vietnam
probability for CAT 1 or above is 40% in about 24 hours
probability for TS is 80% in about 24 hours
Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Laos
probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 70% in about 24 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Yaxian (18.4 N, 109.4 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% in about 24 hours
probability for TS is 85% in about 24 hours
Dong Hoi (17.5 N, 106.6 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 80% in about 24 hours
Dong Ha (16.8 N, 107.1 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% in about 24 hours
probability for TS is 75% in about 24 hours
Da Nang (16.1 N, 108.2 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 24 hours
probability for TS is 70% in about 24 hours
Thanh Hoa (19.8 N, 105.8 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 65% in about 36 hours
Vinh (18.7 N, 105.7 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 65% in about 36 hours
Thai Binh (20.5 N, 106.3 E)
probability for TS is 60% in about 36 hours
Green Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Thailand
probability for TS is 40% in about 36 hours
Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Hanoi (21.0 N, 105.8 E)
probability for TS is 50% in about 48 hours
Qionghai (19.2 N, 110.5 E)
probability for TS is 40% in about 24 hours
Quang Ngai (15.1 N, 108.8 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 24 hours
Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html.
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 26 Oct, 2012 18:00 GMT
Typhoon SON-TINH (24W) currently located near 15.9 N 112.3 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
China
probability for CAT 1 or above is 40% in about 24 hours
probability for TS is 85% in about 24 hours
Vietnam
probability for CAT 1 or above is 40% in about 24 hours
probability for TS is 80% in about 24 hours
Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Laos
probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 70% in about 24 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Yaxian (18.4 N, 109.4 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% in about 24 hours
probability for TS is 85% in about 24 hours
Dong Hoi (17.5 N, 106.6 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 80% in about 24 hours
Dong Ha (16.8 N, 107.1 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% in about 24 hours
probability for TS is 75% in about 24 hours
Da Nang (16.1 N, 108.2 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 24 hours
probability for TS is 70% in about 24 hours
Thanh Hoa (19.8 N, 105.8 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 65% in about 36 hours
Vinh (18.7 N, 105.7 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 65% in about 36 hours
Thai Binh (20.5 N, 106.3 E)
probability for TS is 60% in about 36 hours
Green Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Thailand
probability for TS is 40% in about 36 hours
Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Hanoi (21.0 N, 105.8 E)
probability for TS is 50% in about 48 hours
Qionghai (19.2 N, 110.5 E)
probability for TS is 40% in about 24 hours
Quang Ngai (15.1 N, 108.8 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 24 hours
Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html
.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
Typhoon SON-TINH (24W) currently located near 15.9 N 112.3 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
China
probability for CAT 1 or above is 40% in about 24 hours
probability for TS is 85% in about 24 hours
Vietnam
probability for CAT 1 or above is 40% in about 24 hours
probability for TS is 80% in about 24 hours
Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Laos
probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 70% in about 24 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Yaxian (18.4 N, 109.4 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% in about 24 hours
probability for TS is 85% in about 24 hours
Dong Hoi (17.5 N, 106.6 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 80% in about 24 hours
Dong Ha (16.8 N, 107.1 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% in about 24 hours
probability for TS is 75% in about 24 hours
Da Nang (16.1 N, 108.2 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 24 hours
probability for TS is 70% in about 24 hours
Thanh Hoa (19.8 N, 105.8 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 65% in about 36 hours
Vinh (18.7 N, 105.7 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 65% in about 36 hours
Thai Binh (20.5 N, 106.3 E)
probability for TS is 60% in about 36 hours
Green Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Thailand
probability for TS is 40% in about 36 hours
Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Hanoi (21.0 N, 105.8 E)
probability for TS is 50% in about 48 hours
Qionghai (19.2 N, 110.5 E)
probability for TS is 40% in about 24 hours
Quang Ngai (15.1 N, 108.8 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 24 hours
Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html.
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 26 Oct, 2012 18:00 GMT
Typhoon SON-TINH (24W) currently located near 15.9 N 112.3 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
China
probability for CAT 1 or above is 40% in about 24 hours
probability for TS is 85% in about 24 hours
Vietnam
probability for CAT 1 or above is 40% in about 24 hours
probability for TS is 80% in about 24 hours
Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Laos
probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 70% in about 24 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Yaxian (18.4 N, 109.4 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% in about 24 hours
probability for TS is 85% in about 24 hours
Dong Hoi (17.5 N, 106.6 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 80% in about 24 hours
Dong Ha (16.8 N, 107.1 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% in about 24 hours
probability for TS is 75% in about 24 hours
Da Nang (16.1 N, 108.2 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 24 hours
probability for TS is 70% in about 24 hours
Thanh Hoa (19.8 N, 105.8 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 65% in about 36 hours
Vinh (18.7 N, 105.7 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 65% in about 36 hours
Thai Binh (20.5 N, 106.3 E)
probability for TS is 60% in about 36 hours
Green Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Thailand
probability for TS is 40% in about 36 hours
Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Hanoi (21.0 N, 105.8 E)
probability for TS is 50% in about 48 hours
Qionghai (19.2 N, 110.5 E)
probability for TS is 40% in about 24 hours
Quang Ngai (15.1 N, 108.8 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 24 hours
Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html
.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm SON-TINH
NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 26 Oct, 2012 12:00 GMT
Tropical Storm SON-TINH (24W) currently located near 15.4 N 113.6 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
China
probability for CAT 1 or above is 40% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 85% in about 24 hours
Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Vietnam
probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 75% in about 24 hours
Laos
probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 60% in about 36 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Yaxian (18.4 N, 109.4 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% in about 24 hours
probability for TS is 85% in about 24 hours
Da Nang (16.1 N, 108.2 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 24 hours
probability for TS is 70% in about 24 hours
Dong Ha (16.8 N, 107.1 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 70% in about 36 hours
Dong Hoi (17.5 N, 106.6 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 65% in about 36 hours
Vinh (18.7 N, 105.7 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 60% in about 36 hours
Thanh Hoa (19.8 N, 105.8 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 55% in about 48 hours
Green Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Thailand
probability for TS is 40% in about 48 hours
Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Qionghai (19.2 N, 110.5 E)
probability for TS is 45% in about 24 hours
Quang Ngai (15.1 N, 108.8 E)
probability for TS is 45% in about 24 hours
Thai Binh (20.5 N, 106.3 E)
probability for TS is 45% in about 36 hours
Hanoi (21.0 N, 105.8 E)
probability for TS is 40% in about 48 hours
Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html.
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 26 Oct, 2012 12:00 GMT
Tropical Storm SON-TINH (24W) currently located near 15.4 N 113.6 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
China
probability for CAT 1 or above is 40% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 85% in about 24 hours
Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Vietnam
probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 75% in about 24 hours
Laos
probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 60% in about 36 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Yaxian (18.4 N, 109.4 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% in about 24 hours
probability for TS is 85% in about 24 hours
Da Nang (16.1 N, 108.2 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 24 hours
probability for TS is 70% in about 24 hours
Dong Ha (16.8 N, 107.1 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 70% in about 36 hours
Dong Hoi (17.5 N, 106.6 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 65% in about 36 hours
Vinh (18.7 N, 105.7 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 60% in about 36 hours
Thanh Hoa (19.8 N, 105.8 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 55% in about 48 hours
Green Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Thailand
probability for TS is 40% in about 48 hours
Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Qionghai (19.2 N, 110.5 E)
probability for TS is 45% in about 24 hours
Quang Ngai (15.1 N, 108.8 E)
probability for TS is 45% in about 24 hours
Thai Binh (20.5 N, 106.3 E)
probability for TS is 45% in about 36 hours
Hanoi (21.0 N, 105.8 E)
probability for TS is 40% in about 48 hours
Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html
.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
Tropical Storm SON-TINH (24W) currently located near 15.4 N 113.6 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
China
probability for CAT 1 or above is 40% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 85% in about 24 hours
Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Vietnam
probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 75% in about 24 hours
Laos
probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 60% in about 36 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Yaxian (18.4 N, 109.4 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% in about 24 hours
probability for TS is 85% in about 24 hours
Da Nang (16.1 N, 108.2 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 24 hours
probability for TS is 70% in about 24 hours
Dong Ha (16.8 N, 107.1 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 70% in about 36 hours
Dong Hoi (17.5 N, 106.6 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 65% in about 36 hours
Vinh (18.7 N, 105.7 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 60% in about 36 hours
Thanh Hoa (19.8 N, 105.8 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 55% in about 48 hours
Green Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Thailand
probability for TS is 40% in about 48 hours
Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Qionghai (19.2 N, 110.5 E)
probability for TS is 45% in about 24 hours
Quang Ngai (15.1 N, 108.8 E)
probability for TS is 45% in about 24 hours
Thai Binh (20.5 N, 106.3 E)
probability for TS is 45% in about 36 hours
Hanoi (21.0 N, 105.8 E)
probability for TS is 40% in about 48 hours
Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html.
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 26 Oct, 2012 12:00 GMT
Tropical Storm SON-TINH (24W) currently located near 15.4 N 113.6 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
China
probability for CAT 1 or above is 40% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 85% in about 24 hours
Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Vietnam
probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 75% in about 24 hours
Laos
probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 60% in about 36 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Yaxian (18.4 N, 109.4 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% in about 24 hours
probability for TS is 85% in about 24 hours
Da Nang (16.1 N, 108.2 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 24 hours
probability for TS is 70% in about 24 hours
Dong Ha (16.8 N, 107.1 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 70% in about 36 hours
Dong Hoi (17.5 N, 106.6 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 65% in about 36 hours
Vinh (18.7 N, 105.7 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 60% in about 36 hours
Thanh Hoa (19.8 N, 105.8 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 55% in about 48 hours
Green Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Thailand
probability for TS is 40% in about 48 hours
Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Qionghai (19.2 N, 110.5 E)
probability for TS is 45% in about 24 hours
Quang Ngai (15.1 N, 108.8 E)
probability for TS is 45% in about 24 hours
Thai Binh (20.5 N, 106.3 E)
probability for TS is 45% in about 36 hours
Hanoi (21.0 N, 105.8 E)
probability for TS is 40% in about 48 hours
Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html
.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm SON-TINH
NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 26 Oct, 2012 6:00 GMT
Tropical Storm SON-TINH (24W) currently located near 14.8 N 114.5 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Vietnam
probability for CAT 1 or above is 45% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 80% in about 36 hours
Laos
probability for CAT 1 or above is 35% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 75% in about 36 hours
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Dong Hoi (17.5 N, 106.6 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 45% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 80% in about 36 hours
Da Nang (16.1 N, 108.2 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 40% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 80% in about 36 hours
Dong Ha (16.8 N, 107.1 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 40% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 75% in about 36 hours
Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
China
probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 80% in about 24 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Yaxian (18.4 N, 109.4 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 80% in about 36 hours
Quang Ngai (15.1 N, 108.8 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 24 hours
probability for TS is 65% in about 24 hours
Vinh (18.7 N, 105.7 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 65% in about 36 hours
Thanh Hoa (19.8 N, 105.8 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 50% in about 36 hours
Green Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Thailand
probability for TS is 50% in about 48 hours
Cambodia
probability for TS is 35% in about 36 hours
Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Thai Binh (20.5 N, 106.3 E)
probability for TS is 50% in about 48 hours
Qionghai (19.2 N, 110.5 E)
probability for TS is 45% in about 36 hours
Hanoi (21.0 N, 105.8 E)
probability for TS is 45% in about 48 hours
Yen Bai (21.7 N, 104.9 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 48 hours
Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html.
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 26 Oct, 2012 6:00 GMT
Tropical Storm SON-TINH (24W) currently located near 14.8 N 114.5 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Vietnam
probability for CAT 1 or above is 45% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 80% in about 36 hours
Laos
probability for CAT 1 or above is 35% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 75% in about 36 hours
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Dong Hoi (17.5 N, 106.6 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 45% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 80% in about 36 hours
Da Nang (16.1 N, 108.2 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 40% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 80% in about 36 hours
Dong Ha (16.8 N, 107.1 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 40% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 75% in about 36 hours
Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
China
probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 80% in about 24 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Yaxian (18.4 N, 109.4 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 80% in about 36 hours
Quang Ngai (15.1 N, 108.8 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 24 hours
probability for TS is 65% in about 24 hours
Vinh (18.7 N, 105.7 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 65% in about 36 hours
Thanh Hoa (19.8 N, 105.8 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 50% in about 36 hours
Green Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Thailand
probability for TS is 50% in about 48 hours
Cambodia
probability for TS is 35% in about 36 hours
Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Thai Binh (20.5 N, 106.3 E)
probability for TS is 50% in about 48 hours
Qionghai (19.2 N, 110.5 E)
probability for TS is 45% in about 36 hours
Hanoi (21.0 N, 105.8 E)
probability for TS is 45% in about 48 hours
Yen Bai (21.7 N, 104.9 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 48 hours
Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html
.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
Tropical Storm SON-TINH (24W) currently located near 14.8 N 114.5 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Vietnam
probability for CAT 1 or above is 45% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 80% in about 36 hours
Laos
probability for CAT 1 or above is 35% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 75% in about 36 hours
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Dong Hoi (17.5 N, 106.6 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 45% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 80% in about 36 hours
Da Nang (16.1 N, 108.2 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 40% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 80% in about 36 hours
Dong Ha (16.8 N, 107.1 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 40% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 75% in about 36 hours
Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
China
probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 80% in about 24 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Yaxian (18.4 N, 109.4 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 80% in about 36 hours
Quang Ngai (15.1 N, 108.8 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 24 hours
probability for TS is 65% in about 24 hours
Vinh (18.7 N, 105.7 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 65% in about 36 hours
Thanh Hoa (19.8 N, 105.8 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 50% in about 36 hours
Green Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Thailand
probability for TS is 50% in about 48 hours
Cambodia
probability for TS is 35% in about 36 hours
Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Thai Binh (20.5 N, 106.3 E)
probability for TS is 50% in about 48 hours
Qionghai (19.2 N, 110.5 E)
probability for TS is 45% in about 36 hours
Hanoi (21.0 N, 105.8 E)
probability for TS is 45% in about 48 hours
Yen Bai (21.7 N, 104.9 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 48 hours
Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html.
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 26 Oct, 2012 6:00 GMT
Tropical Storm SON-TINH (24W) currently located near 14.8 N 114.5 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Vietnam
probability for CAT 1 or above is 45% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 80% in about 36 hours
Laos
probability for CAT 1 or above is 35% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 75% in about 36 hours
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Dong Hoi (17.5 N, 106.6 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 45% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 80% in about 36 hours
Da Nang (16.1 N, 108.2 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 40% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 80% in about 36 hours
Dong Ha (16.8 N, 107.1 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 40% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 75% in about 36 hours
Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
China
probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 80% in about 24 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Yaxian (18.4 N, 109.4 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 80% in about 36 hours
Quang Ngai (15.1 N, 108.8 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 24 hours
probability for TS is 65% in about 24 hours
Vinh (18.7 N, 105.7 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 65% in about 36 hours
Thanh Hoa (19.8 N, 105.8 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 50% in about 36 hours
Green Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Thailand
probability for TS is 50% in about 48 hours
Cambodia
probability for TS is 35% in about 36 hours
Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Thai Binh (20.5 N, 106.3 E)
probability for TS is 50% in about 48 hours
Qionghai (19.2 N, 110.5 E)
probability for TS is 45% in about 36 hours
Hanoi (21.0 N, 105.8 E)
probability for TS is 45% in about 48 hours
Yen Bai (21.7 N, 104.9 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 48 hours
Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html
.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
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