N Indian Ocean: Storm Alert issued at 12 Dec, 2016 0:00 GMT
Severe Cyclonic Storm VARDAH is currently located near 13.2 N 81.5 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 75 kts (86 mph). VARDAH is a category 1 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. VARDAH is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
India
probability for CAT 1 or above is 55% within 12 hours
probability for TS is 95% within 12 hours
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Madras (13.1 N, 80.2 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 55% within 12 hours
probability for TS is 85% within 12 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Nellore (14.4 N, 80.0 E)
probability for TS is 70% within 12 hours
Pondicherry (11.9 N, 79.8 E)
probability for TS is 55% in about 24 hours
Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Severe Cyclonic Storm strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
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This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
