NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 16 Dec, 2015 0:00 GMT
Typhoon MELOR (28W) currently located near 14.3 N 119.5 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)the Philippines
probability for CAT 1 or above is 45% currently
probability for TS is 100% currently
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Manila (14.6 N, 121.0 E)
probability for TS is 80% currently
Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
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This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
