TSR Storm Alert - Severe Cyclonic Storm LEHAR

N Indian Ocean: Storm Alert issued at 27 Nov, 2013 0:00 GMT

Severe Cyclonic Storm LEHAR (05B) currently located near 13.6 N 87.2 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
India
probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 75% in about 36 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Kakinada (17.0 N, 82.3 E)
probability for TS is 60% in about 24 hours
Machilipatnam (16.2 N, 81.2 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 60% in about 24 hours
Kavali (15.0 N, 80.0 E)
probability for TS is 55% in about 36 hours

Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Nellore (14.4 N, 80.0 E)
probability for TS is 45% in about 36 hours
Hyderabad (17.4 N, 78.5 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 36 hours

Note that
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Severe Cyclonic Storm strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

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This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

TSR Storm Alert - Severe Cyclonic Storm LEHAR

N Indian Ocean: Storm Alert issued at 26 Nov, 2013 18:00 GMT

Severe Cyclonic Storm LEHAR (05B) currently located near 13.2 N 88.1 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
India
probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 65% in about 36 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Machilipatnam (16.2 N, 81.2 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 65% in about 36 hours
Kavali (15.0 N, 80.0 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 60% in about 36 hours
Kakinada (17.0 N, 82.3 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 55% in about 36 hours
Nellore (14.4 N, 80.0 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 55% in about 48 hours

Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Hyderabad (17.4 N, 78.5 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 48 hours

Note that
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Severe Cyclonic Storm strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

TSR Storm Alert - Severe Cyclonic Storm LEHAR

N Indian Ocean: Storm Alert issued at 26 Nov, 2013 12:00 GMT

Severe Cyclonic Storm LEHAR (05B) currently located near 12.9 N 88.6 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
India
probability for CAT 1 or above is 40% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 70% in about 36 hours

Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Machilipatnam (16.2 N, 81.2 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 70% in about 48 hours
Kakinada (17.0 N, 82.3 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 60% in about 36 hours

Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Kavali (15.0 N, 80.0 E)
probability for TS is 50% in about 48 hours
Nellore (14.4 N, 80.0 E)
probability for TS is 45% in about 48 hours
Vishakhapatnam (17.8 N, 83.3 E)
probability for TS is 40% in about 36 hours

Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Severe Cyclonic Storm strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

TSR Storm Alert - Severe Cyclonic Storm LEHAR

N Indian Ocean: Storm Alert issued at 26 Nov, 2013 6:00 GMT

Severe Cyclonic Storm LEHAR (05B) currently located near 12.7 N 89.5 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
India
probability for CAT 1 or above is 35% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 65% in about 48 hours
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Machilipatnam (16.2 N, 81.2 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 35% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 65% in about 48 hours

Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Kakinada (17.0 N, 82.3 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 60% in about 48 hours
Kavali (15.0 N, 80.0 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 60% in about 48 hours
Nellore (14.4 N, 80.0 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 55% in about 48 hours

Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Vishakhapatnam (17.8 N, 83.3 E)
probability for TS is 45% in about 48 hours
Hyderabad (17.4 N, 78.5 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 72 hours
Madras (13.1 N, 80.2 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 48 hours

Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Severe Cyclonic Storm strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.