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Saturday, December 31, 2011

[Tsunami Message - IOC] Tsunami Information Bulletin

TSUNAMI BULLETIN NUMBER 001
PACIFIC TSUNAMI WARNING CENTER/NOAA/NWS
ISSUED AT 0536Z 01 JAN 2012

THIS BULLETIN APPLIES TO AREAS WITHIN AND BORDERING THE PACIFIC
OCEAN AND ADJACENT SEAS...EXCEPT ALASKA...BRITISH COLUMBIA...
WASHINGTON...OREGON AND CALIFORNIA.

... TSUNAMI INFORMATION BULLETIN ...

THIS BULLETIN IS FOR INFORMATION ONLY.

THIS BULLETIN IS ISSUED AS ADVICE TO GOVERNMENT AGENCIES. ONLY
NATIONAL AND LOCAL GOVERNMENT AGENCIES HAVE THE AUTHORITY TO MAKE
DECISIONS REGARDING THE OFFICIAL STATE OF ALERT IN THEIR AREA AND
ANY ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN IN RESPONSE.

AN EARTHQUAKE HAS OCCURRED WITH THESE PRELIMINARY PARAMETERS
REPORTED BY THE JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.

ORIGIN TIME - 0528Z 01 JAN 2012
COORDINATES - 31.4 NORTH 138.6 EAST
DEPTH - 371 KM
LOCATION - SOUTHEAST OF HONSHU JAPAN
MAGNITUDE - 7.0

EVALUATION

A DESTRUCTIVE TSUNAMI WAS NOT GENERATED BASED ON EARTHQUAKE AND
HISTORICAL TSUNAMI DATA.

THIS WILL BE THE ONLY BULLETIN ISSUED FOR THIS EVENT UNLESS
ADDITIONAL INFORMATION BECOMES AVAILABLE.

THE JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY MAY ALSO ISSUE TSUNAMI MESSAGES
FOR THIS EVENT TO COUNTRIES IN THE NORTHWEST PACIFIC AND SOUTH
CHINA SEA REGION. IN CASE OF CONFLICTING INFORMATION... THE
MORE CONSERVATIVE INFORMATION SHOULD BE USED FOR SAFETY.

THE WEST COAST/ALASKA TSUNAMI WARNING CENTER WILL ISSUE PRODUCTS
FOR ALASKA...BRITISH COLUMBIA...WASHINGTON...OREGON...CALIFORNIA.

Friday, December 30, 2011

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm THANE

N Indian Ocean: Storm Alert issued at 30 Dec, 2011 6:00 GMT (Final Warning)

Tropical Storm THANE (06B) is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
India
probability for TS is 90% currently
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Pondicherry (11.9 N, 79.8 E)
probability for TS is 80% currently

Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Nagappattinam (10.8 N, 79.8 E)
probability for TS is 50% currently

Note that
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Severe Cyclonic Storm strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html.

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, RSA Insurance Group, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

N Indian Ocean: Storm Alert issued at 30 Dec, 2011 6:00 GMT (Final Warning)

Tropical Storm THANE (06B) is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
India
probability for TS is 90% currently
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Pondicherry (11.9 N, 79.8 E)
probability for TS is 80% currently

Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Nagappattinam (10.8 N, 79.8 E)
probability for TS is 50% currently

Note that
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Severe Cyclonic Storm strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html
.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, RSA Insurance Group, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

Thursday, December 29, 2011

TSR Storm Alert - Severe Cyclonic Storm THANE

N Indian Ocean: Storm Alert issued at 30 Dec, 2011 0:00 GMT

Severe Cyclonic Storm THANE (06B) is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
India
probability for CAT 1 or above is 100% currently
probability for TS is 100% currently
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Pondicherry (11.9 N, 79.8 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 100% currently
probability for TS is 100% currently

Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Nagappattinam (10.8 N, 79.8 E)
probability for TS is 65% within 12 hours

Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Madras (13.1 N, 80.2 E)
probability for TS is 40% currently

Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Severe Cyclonic Storm strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html.

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, RSA Insurance Group, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

N Indian Ocean: Storm Alert issued at 30 Dec, 2011 0:00 GMT

Severe Cyclonic Storm THANE (06B) is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
India
probability for CAT 1 or above is 100% currently
probability for TS is 100% currently
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Pondicherry (11.9 N, 79.8 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 100% currently
probability for TS is 100% currently

Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Nagappattinam (10.8 N, 79.8 E)
probability for TS is 65% within 12 hours

Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Madras (13.1 N, 80.2 E)
probability for TS is 40% currently

Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Severe Cyclonic Storm strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html
.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, RSA Insurance Group, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm THANE

N Indian Ocean: Storm Alert issued at 29 Dec, 2011 18:00 GMT

Tropical Storm THANE (06B) is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
India
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% currently
probability for TS is 80% currently
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Pondicherry (11.9 N, 79.8 E)
probability for TS is 70% currently

Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Madras (13.1 N, 80.2 E)
probability for TS is 35% currently
Nagappattinam (10.8 N, 79.8 E)
probability for TS is 35% currently

Note that
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Severe Cyclonic Storm strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html.

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, RSA Insurance Group, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

N Indian Ocean: Storm Alert issued at 29 Dec, 2011 18:00 GMT

Tropical Storm THANE (06B) is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
India
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% currently
probability for TS is 80% currently
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Pondicherry (11.9 N, 79.8 E)
probability for TS is 70% currently

Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Madras (13.1 N, 80.2 E)
probability for TS is 35% currently
Nagappattinam (10.8 N, 79.8 E)
probability for TS is 35% currently

Note that
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Severe Cyclonic Storm strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html
.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, RSA Insurance Group, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

TSR Storm Alert - Severe Cyclonic Storm THANE

N Indian Ocean: Storm Alert issued at 29 Dec, 2011 12:00 GMT

Severe Cyclonic Storm THANE (06B) is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
India
probability for CAT 1 or above is 40% within 12 hours
probability for TS is 95% currently
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Pondicherry (11.9 N, 79.8 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 40% within 12 hours
probability for TS is 95% within 12 hours

Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Madras (13.1 N, 80.2 E)
probability for TS is 90% within 12 hours
Nagappattinam (10.8 N, 79.8 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% within 12 hours
probability for TS is 90% within 12 hours

Green Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Sri Lanka
probability for TS is 50% within 12 hours
Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Bangalore (13.0 N, 77.6 E)
probability for TS is 50% in about 24 hours
Jaffna (9.7 N, 80.0 E)
probability for TS is 35% within 12 hours

Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Severe Cyclonic Storm strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html.

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, RSA Insurance Group, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

N Indian Ocean: Storm Alert issued at 29 Dec, 2011 12:00 GMT

Severe Cyclonic Storm THANE (06B) is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
India
probability for CAT 1 or above is 40% within 12 hours
probability for TS is 95% currently
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Pondicherry (11.9 N, 79.8 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 40% within 12 hours
probability for TS is 95% within 12 hours

Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Madras (13.1 N, 80.2 E)
probability for TS is 90% within 12 hours
Nagappattinam (10.8 N, 79.8 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% within 12 hours
probability for TS is 90% within 12 hours

Green Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Sri Lanka
probability for TS is 50% within 12 hours
Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Bangalore (13.0 N, 77.6 E)
probability for TS is 50% in about 24 hours
Jaffna (9.7 N, 80.0 E)
probability for TS is 35% within 12 hours

Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Severe Cyclonic Storm strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html
.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, RSA Insurance Group, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

TSR Storm Alert - Severe Cyclonic Storm THANE

N Indian Ocean: Storm Alert issued at 29 Dec, 2011 6:00 GMT

Severe Cyclonic Storm THANE (06B) is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
India
probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% within 12 hours
probability for TS is 75% within 12 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Pondicherry (11.9 N, 79.8 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% within 12 hours
probability for TS is 75% within 12 hours
Madras (13.1 N, 80.2 E)
probability for TS is 65% within 12 hours
Nagappattinam (10.8 N, 79.8 E)
probability for TS is 55% in about 24 hours

Note that
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Severe Cyclonic Storm strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html.

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, RSA Insurance Group, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

N Indian Ocean: Storm Alert issued at 29 Dec, 2011 6:00 GMT

Severe Cyclonic Storm THANE (06B) is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
India
probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% within 12 hours
probability for TS is 75% within 12 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Pondicherry (11.9 N, 79.8 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% within 12 hours
probability for TS is 75% within 12 hours
Madras (13.1 N, 80.2 E)
probability for TS is 65% within 12 hours
Nagappattinam (10.8 N, 79.8 E)
probability for TS is 55% in about 24 hours

Note that
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Severe Cyclonic Storm strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html
.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, RSA Insurance Group, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

Wednesday, December 28, 2011

TSR Storm Alert - Severe Cyclonic Storm THANE

N Indian Ocean: Storm Alert issued at 29 Dec, 2011 0:00 GMT

Severe Cyclonic Storm THANE (06B) is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
India
probability for TS is 95% within 12 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Madras (13.1 N, 80.2 E)
probability for TS is 85% within 12 hours
Pondicherry (11.9 N, 79.8 E)
probability for TS is 85% within 12 hours
Nagappattinam (10.8 N, 79.8 E)
probability for TS is 70% within 12 hours

Green Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Sri Lanka
probability for TS is 40% in about 24 hours
Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Nellore (14.4 N, 80.0 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 24 hours
Bangalore (13.0 N, 77.6 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 36 hours
Jaffna (9.7 N, 80.0 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 24 hours

Note that
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Severe Cyclonic Storm strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html.

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, RSA Insurance Group, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

N Indian Ocean: Storm Alert issued at 29 Dec, 2011 0:00 GMT

Severe Cyclonic Storm THANE (06B) is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
India
probability for TS is 95% within 12 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Madras (13.1 N, 80.2 E)
probability for TS is 85% within 12 hours
Pondicherry (11.9 N, 79.8 E)
probability for TS is 85% within 12 hours
Nagappattinam (10.8 N, 79.8 E)
probability for TS is 70% within 12 hours

Green Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Sri Lanka
probability for TS is 40% in about 24 hours
Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Nellore (14.4 N, 80.0 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 24 hours
Bangalore (13.0 N, 77.6 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 36 hours
Jaffna (9.7 N, 80.0 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 24 hours

Note that
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Severe Cyclonic Storm strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html
.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, RSA Insurance Group, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

TSR Storm Alert - Severe Cyclonic Storm THANE

N Indian Ocean: Storm Alert issued at 28 Dec, 2011 18:00 GMT

Severe Cyclonic Storm THANE (06B) is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
India
probability for CAT 1 or above is 35% in about 24 hours
probability for TS is 80% in about 24 hours
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Pondicherry (11.9 N, 79.8 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 35% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 80% in about 24 hours

Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Madras (13.1 N, 80.2 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 24 hours
probability for TS is 80% in about 24 hours
Nagappattinam (10.8 N, 79.8 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 24 hours
probability for TS is 60% in about 24 hours

Green Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Sri Lanka
probability for TS is 35% in about 24 hours
Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Nellore (14.4 N, 80.0 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 24 hours
Jaffna (9.7 N, 80.0 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 36 hours

Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Severe Cyclonic Storm strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html.

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, RSA Insurance Group, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

N Indian Ocean: Storm Alert issued at 28 Dec, 2011 18:00 GMT

Severe Cyclonic Storm THANE (06B) is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
India
probability for CAT 1 or above is 35% in about 24 hours
probability for TS is 80% in about 24 hours
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Pondicherry (11.9 N, 79.8 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 35% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 80% in about 24 hours

Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Madras (13.1 N, 80.2 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 24 hours
probability for TS is 80% in about 24 hours
Nagappattinam (10.8 N, 79.8 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 24 hours
probability for TS is 60% in about 24 hours

Green Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Sri Lanka
probability for TS is 35% in about 24 hours
Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Nellore (14.4 N, 80.0 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 24 hours
Jaffna (9.7 N, 80.0 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 36 hours

Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Severe Cyclonic Storm strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html
.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, RSA Insurance Group, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

TSR Storm Alert - Severe Cyclonic Storm THANE

N Indian Ocean: Storm Alert issued at 28 Dec, 2011 12:00 GMT

Severe Cyclonic Storm THANE (06B) is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
India
probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 75% in about 24 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Madras (13.1 N, 80.2 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 70% in about 24 hours
Pondicherry (11.9 N, 79.8 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 65% in about 24 hours
Nagappattinam (10.8 N, 79.8 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 55% in about 36 hours

Green Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Sri Lanka
probability for TS is 40% in about 36 hours
Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Jaffna (9.7 N, 80.0 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 36 hours

Note that
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Severe Cyclonic Storm strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html.

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, RSA Insurance Group, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

N Indian Ocean: Storm Alert issued at 28 Dec, 2011 12:00 GMT

Severe Cyclonic Storm THANE (06B) is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
India
probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 75% in about 24 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Madras (13.1 N, 80.2 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 70% in about 24 hours
Pondicherry (11.9 N, 79.8 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 65% in about 24 hours
Nagappattinam (10.8 N, 79.8 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 55% in about 36 hours

Green Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Sri Lanka
probability for TS is 40% in about 36 hours
Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Jaffna (9.7 N, 80.0 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 36 hours

Note that
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Severe Cyclonic Storm strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html
.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, RSA Insurance Group, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

TSR Storm Alert - Severe Cyclonic Storm THANE

N Indian Ocean: Storm Alert issued at 28 Dec, 2011 6:00 GMT

Severe Cyclonic Storm THANE (06B) is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
India
probability for TS is 60% in about 36 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Madras (13.1 N, 80.2 E)
probability for TS is 55% in about 36 hours
Pondicherry (11.9 N, 79.8 E)
probability for TS is 55% in about 36 hours

Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Nagappattinam (10.8 N, 79.8 E)
probability for TS is 45% in about 36 hours
Nellore (14.4 N, 80.0 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 48 hours

Note that
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Severe Cyclonic Storm strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html.

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, RSA Insurance Group, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

N Indian Ocean: Storm Alert issued at 28 Dec, 2011 6:00 GMT

Severe Cyclonic Storm THANE (06B) is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
India
probability for TS is 60% in about 36 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Madras (13.1 N, 80.2 E)
probability for TS is 55% in about 36 hours
Pondicherry (11.9 N, 79.8 E)
probability for TS is 55% in about 36 hours

Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Nagappattinam (10.8 N, 79.8 E)
probability for TS is 45% in about 36 hours
Nellore (14.4 N, 80.0 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 48 hours

Note that
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Severe Cyclonic Storm strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html
.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, RSA Insurance Group, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

Tuesday, December 27, 2011

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm THANE

N Indian Ocean: Storm Alert issued at 28 Dec, 2011 0:00 GMT

Tropical Storm THANE (06B) is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Green Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
India
probability for TS is 40% in about 36 hours
Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Madras (13.1 N, 80.2 E)
probability for TS is 40% in about 36 hours

Note that
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html.

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, RSA Insurance Group, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

N Indian Ocean: Storm Alert issued at 28 Dec, 2011 0:00 GMT

Tropical Storm THANE (06B) is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Green Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
India
probability for TS is 40% in about 36 hours
Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Madras (13.1 N, 80.2 E)
probability for TS is 40% in about 36 hours

Note that
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html
.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, RSA Insurance Group, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm THANE

N Indian Ocean: Storm Alert issued at 27 Dec, 2011 18:00 GMT

Tropical Storm THANE (06B) is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Green Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
India
probability for TS is 45% in about 48 hours
Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Madras (13.1 N, 80.2 E)
probability for TS is 45% in about 72 hours
Nellore (14.4 N, 80.0 E)
probability for TS is 40% in about 48 hours
Pondicherry (11.9 N, 79.8 E)
probability for TS is 40% in about 72 hours
Kavali (15.0 N, 80.0 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 48 hours

Note that
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html.

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, RSA Insurance Group, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

N Indian Ocean: Storm Alert issued at 27 Dec, 2011 18:00 GMT

Tropical Storm THANE (06B) is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Green Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
India
probability for TS is 45% in about 48 hours
Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Madras (13.1 N, 80.2 E)
probability for TS is 45% in about 72 hours
Nellore (14.4 N, 80.0 E)
probability for TS is 40% in about 48 hours
Pondicherry (11.9 N, 79.8 E)
probability for TS is 40% in about 72 hours
Kavali (15.0 N, 80.0 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 48 hours

Note that
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html
.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, RSA Insurance Group, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm THANE

N Indian Ocean: Storm Alert issued at 27 Dec, 2011 12:00 GMT

Tropical Storm THANE (06B) is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Green Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
India
probability for TS is 40% in about 48 hours
Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Madras (13.1 N, 80.2 E)
probability for TS is 40% in about 48 hours
Nellore (14.4 N, 80.0 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 48 hours
Pondicherry (11.9 N, 79.8 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 72 hours

Note that
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html.

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, RSA Insurance Group, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

N Indian Ocean: Storm Alert issued at 27 Dec, 2011 12:00 GMT

Tropical Storm THANE (06B) is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Green Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
India
probability for TS is 40% in about 48 hours
Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Madras (13.1 N, 80.2 E)
probability for TS is 40% in about 48 hours
Nellore (14.4 N, 80.0 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 48 hours
Pondicherry (11.9 N, 79.8 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 72 hours

Note that
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html
.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, RSA Insurance Group, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm THANE

N Indian Ocean: Storm Alert issued at 27 Dec, 2011 6:00 GMT

Tropical Storm THANE (06B) is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Green Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
India
probability for TS is 35% in about 48 hours
Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Madras (13.1 N, 80.2 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 48 hours

Note that
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html.

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, RSA Insurance Group, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

N Indian Ocean: Storm Alert issued at 27 Dec, 2011 6:00 GMT

Tropical Storm THANE (06B) is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Green Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
India
probability for TS is 35% in about 48 hours
Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Madras (13.1 N, 80.2 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 48 hours

Note that
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html
.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, RSA Insurance Group, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

Sunday, December 25, 2011

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm GRANT

S Indian Ocean: Storm Alert issued at 25 Dec, 2011 12:00 GMT

Tropical Storm GRANT (03S) is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Australia
probability for TS is 85% currently
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Murgenella (11.6 S, 133.0 E)
probability for TS is 85% currently
Oenpelli (12.3 S, 133.0 E)
probability for TS is 60% currently

Note that
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html.

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, RSA Insurance Group, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

S Indian Ocean: Storm Alert issued at 25 Dec, 2011 12:00 GMT

Tropical Storm GRANT (03S) is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Australia
probability for TS is 85% currently
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Murgenella (11.6 S, 133.0 E)
probability for TS is 85% currently
Oenpelli (12.3 S, 133.0 E)
probability for TS is 60% currently

Note that
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html
.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, RSA Insurance Group, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

Saturday, December 24, 2011

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm GRANT

S Indian Ocean: Storm Alert issued at 25 Dec, 2011 0:00 GMT

Tropical Storm GRANT (03S) is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Australia
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% within 12 hours
probability for TS is 80% currently
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Murgenella (11.6 S, 133.0 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% within 12 hours
probability for TS is 70% within 12 hours

Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Oenpelli (12.3 S, 133.0 E)
probability for TS is 45% within 12 hours

Note that
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html.

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, RSA Insurance Group, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

S Indian Ocean: Storm Alert issued at 25 Dec, 2011 0:00 GMT

Tropical Storm GRANT (03S) is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Australia
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% within 12 hours
probability for TS is 80% currently
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Murgenella (11.6 S, 133.0 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% within 12 hours
probability for TS is 70% within 12 hours

Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Oenpelli (12.3 S, 133.0 E)
probability for TS is 45% within 12 hours

Note that
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html
.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, RSA Insurance Group, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

Saturday, December 17, 2011

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm WASHI

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 17 Dec, 2011 18:00 GMT

Tropical Storm WASHI (27W) is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
the Philippines
probability for TS is 85% currently
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Puerto Princesa (9.8 N, 118.7 E)
probability for TS is 80% currently
Taytay (10.8 N, 119.5 E)
probability for TS is 75% currently

Note that
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html.

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, RSA Insurance Group, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 17 Dec, 2011 18:00 GMT

Tropical Storm WASHI (27W) is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
the Philippines
probability for TS is 85% currently
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Puerto Princesa (9.8 N, 118.7 E)
probability for TS is 80% currently
Taytay (10.8 N, 119.5 E)
probability for TS is 75% currently

Note that
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html
.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, RSA Insurance Group, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm WASHI

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 17 Dec, 2011 12:00 GMT

Tropical Storm WASHI (27W) is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
the Philippines
probability for TS is 65% currently
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Taytay (10.8 N, 119.5 E)
probability for TS is 65% within 12 hours
Puerto Princesa (9.8 N, 118.7 E)
probability for TS is 65% within 12 hours

Note that
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html.

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, RSA Insurance Group, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 17 Dec, 2011 12:00 GMT

Tropical Storm WASHI (27W) is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
the Philippines
probability for TS is 65% currently
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Taytay (10.8 N, 119.5 E)
probability for TS is 65% within 12 hours
Puerto Princesa (9.8 N, 118.7 E)
probability for TS is 65% within 12 hours

Note that
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html
.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, RSA Insurance Group, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm WASHI

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 17 Dec, 2011 6:00 GMT

Tropical Storm WASHI (27W) is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
the Philippines
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% within 12 hours
probability for TS is 80% within 12 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Puerto Princesa (9.8 N, 118.7 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% within 12 hours
probability for TS is 80% within 12 hours
Taytay (10.8 N, 119.5 E)
probability for TS is 65% within 12 hours
Bonobono (8.7 N, 117.6 E)
probability for TS is 60% in about 24 hours

Note that
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html.

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This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, RSA Insurance Group, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 17 Dec, 2011 6:00 GMT

Tropical Storm WASHI (27W) is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
the Philippines
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% within 12 hours
probability for TS is 80% within 12 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Puerto Princesa (9.8 N, 118.7 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% within 12 hours
probability for TS is 80% within 12 hours
Taytay (10.8 N, 119.5 E)
probability for TS is 65% within 12 hours
Bonobono (8.7 N, 117.6 E)
probability for TS is 60% in about 24 hours

Note that
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html
.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, RSA Insurance Group, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

Friday, December 16, 2011

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm WASHI

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 17 Dec, 2011 0:00 GMT

Tropical Storm WASHI (27W) is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
the Philippines
probability for CAT 1 or above is 35% currently
probability for TS is 90% currently

Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Dumaguete (9.3 N, 123.3 E)
probability for TS is 75% currently
Puerto Princesa (9.8 N, 118.7 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% within 12 hours
probability for TS is 75% within 12 hours
Taytay (10.8 N, 119.5 E)
probability for TS is 65% in about 24 hours
Bonobono (8.7 N, 117.6 E)
probability for TS is 55% in about 24 hours

Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Dipolog (8.7 N, 123.5 E)
probability for TS is 45% currently

Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html.

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, RSA Insurance Group, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 17 Dec, 2011 0:00 GMT

Tropical Storm WASHI (27W) is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
the Philippines
probability for CAT 1 or above is 35% currently
probability for TS is 90% currently

Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Dumaguete (9.3 N, 123.3 E)
probability for TS is 75% currently
Puerto Princesa (9.8 N, 118.7 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% within 12 hours
probability for TS is 75% within 12 hours
Taytay (10.8 N, 119.5 E)
probability for TS is 65% in about 24 hours
Bonobono (8.7 N, 117.6 E)
probability for TS is 55% in about 24 hours

Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Dipolog (8.7 N, 123.5 E)
probability for TS is 45% currently

Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html
.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, RSA Insurance Group, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm WASHI

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 16 Dec, 2011 18:00 GMT

Tropical Storm WASHI (27W) is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
the Philippines
probability for TS is 90% currently
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Dipolog (8.7 N, 123.5 E)
probability for TS is 90% currently
Dumaguete (9.3 N, 123.3 E)
probability for TS is 75% within 12 hours
Pagadian (7.9 N, 123.5 E)
probability for TS is 65% currently
Puerto Princesa (9.8 N, 118.7 E)
probability for TS is 55% in about 24 hours

Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Bonobono (8.7 N, 117.6 E)
probability for TS is 50% in about 24 hours
Taytay (10.8 N, 119.5 E)
probability for TS is 40% in about 24 hours

Note that
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html.

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, RSA Insurance Group, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 16 Dec, 2011 18:00 GMT

Tropical Storm WASHI (27W) is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
the Philippines
probability for TS is 90% currently
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Dipolog (8.7 N, 123.5 E)
probability for TS is 90% currently
Dumaguete (9.3 N, 123.3 E)
probability for TS is 75% within 12 hours
Pagadian (7.9 N, 123.5 E)
probability for TS is 65% currently
Puerto Princesa (9.8 N, 118.7 E)
probability for TS is 55% in about 24 hours

Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Bonobono (8.7 N, 117.6 E)
probability for TS is 50% in about 24 hours
Taytay (10.8 N, 119.5 E)
probability for TS is 40% in about 24 hours

Note that
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html
.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, RSA Insurance Group, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm WASHI

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 16 Dec, 2011 12:00 GMT

Tropical Storm WASHI (27W) is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
the Philippines
probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% currently
probability for TS is 85% currently
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Lianga (8.7 N, 126.1 E)
probability for TS is 75% currently
Dumaguete (9.3 N, 123.3 E)
probability for TS is 65% within 12 hours
Dipolog (8.7 N, 123.5 E)
probability for TS is 65% within 12 hours
Pagadian (7.9 N, 123.5 E)
probability for TS is 65% within 12 hours
Bislig (8.2 N, 126.3 E)
probability for TS is 60% currently

Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Surigao (9.7 N, 125.5 E)
probability for TS is 50% within 12 hours
Taytay (10.8 N, 119.5 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 36 hours
Puerto Princesa (9.8 N, 118.7 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 24 hours
Bonobono (8.7 N, 117.6 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 36 hours

Note that
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html.

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, RSA Insurance Group, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 16 Dec, 2011 12:00 GMT

Tropical Storm WASHI (27W) is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
the Philippines
probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% currently
probability for TS is 85% currently
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Lianga (8.7 N, 126.1 E)
probability for TS is 75% currently
Dumaguete (9.3 N, 123.3 E)
probability for TS is 65% within 12 hours
Dipolog (8.7 N, 123.5 E)
probability for TS is 65% within 12 hours
Pagadian (7.9 N, 123.5 E)
probability for TS is 65% within 12 hours
Bislig (8.2 N, 126.3 E)
probability for TS is 60% currently

Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Surigao (9.7 N, 125.5 E)
probability for TS is 50% within 12 hours
Taytay (10.8 N, 119.5 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 36 hours
Puerto Princesa (9.8 N, 118.7 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 24 hours
Bonobono (8.7 N, 117.6 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 36 hours

Note that
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html
.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, RSA Insurance Group, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm WASHI

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 16 Dec, 2011 6:00 GMT

Tropical Storm WASHI (27W) is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
the Philippines
probability for TS is 85% currently
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Bislig (8.2 N, 126.3 E)
probability for TS is 80% currently
Lianga (8.7 N, 126.1 E)
probability for TS is 70% currently
Mati (7.0 N, 126.3 E)
probability for TS is 55% within 12 hours
Dipolog (8.7 N, 123.5 E)
probability for TS is 55% within 12 hours

Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Davao (7.1 N, 125.5 E)
probability for TS is 50% within 12 hours
Pagadian (7.9 N, 123.5 E)
probability for TS is 50% in about 24 hours
Dumaguete (9.3 N, 123.3 E)
probability for TS is 40% in about 24 hours

Note that
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html.

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, RSA Insurance Group, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 16 Dec, 2011 6:00 GMT

Tropical Storm WASHI (27W) is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
the Philippines
probability for TS is 85% currently
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Bislig (8.2 N, 126.3 E)
probability for TS is 80% currently
Lianga (8.7 N, 126.1 E)
probability for TS is 70% currently
Mati (7.0 N, 126.3 E)
probability for TS is 55% within 12 hours
Dipolog (8.7 N, 123.5 E)
probability for TS is 55% within 12 hours

Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Davao (7.1 N, 125.5 E)
probability for TS is 50% within 12 hours
Pagadian (7.9 N, 123.5 E)
probability for TS is 50% in about 24 hours
Dumaguete (9.3 N, 123.3 E)
probability for TS is 40% in about 24 hours

Note that
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html
.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, RSA Insurance Group, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

Thursday, December 15, 2011

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm WASHI

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 16 Dec, 2011 0:00 GMT

Tropical Storm WASHI (27W) is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Green Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
the Philippines
probability for TS is 35% in about 48 hours
Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Puerto Princesa (9.8 N, 118.7 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 48 hours
Bonobono (8.7 N, 117.6 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 48 hours

Note that
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html.

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, RSA Insurance Group, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 16 Dec, 2011 0:00 GMT

Tropical Storm WASHI (27W) is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Green Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
the Philippines
probability for TS is 35% in about 48 hours
Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Puerto Princesa (9.8 N, 118.7 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 48 hours
Bonobono (8.7 N, 117.6 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 48 hours

Note that
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html
.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, RSA Insurance Group, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm WASHI

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 15 Dec, 2011 18:00 GMT

Tropical Storm WASHI (27W) is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
the Philippines
probability for TS is 70% within 12 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Lianga (8.7 N, 126.1 E)
probability for TS is 70% within 12 hours
Bislig (8.2 N, 126.3 E)
probability for TS is 70% within 12 hours
Mati (7.0 N, 126.3 E)
probability for TS is 55% within 12 hours

Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Davao (7.1 N, 125.5 E)
probability for TS is 45% within 12 hours
Surigao (9.7 N, 125.5 E)
probability for TS is 35% within 12 hours

Note that
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html.

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, RSA Insurance Group, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 15 Dec, 2011 18:00 GMT

Tropical Storm WASHI (27W) is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
the Philippines
probability for TS is 70% within 12 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Lianga (8.7 N, 126.1 E)
probability for TS is 70% within 12 hours
Bislig (8.2 N, 126.3 E)
probability for TS is 70% within 12 hours
Mati (7.0 N, 126.3 E)
probability for TS is 55% within 12 hours

Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Davao (7.1 N, 125.5 E)
probability for TS is 45% within 12 hours
Surigao (9.7 N, 125.5 E)
probability for TS is 35% within 12 hours

Note that
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html
.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, RSA Insurance Group, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm WASHI

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 15 Dec, 2011 12:00 GMT

Tropical Storm WASHI (27W) is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Green Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
the Philippines
probability for TS is 45% in about 24 hours
Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Surigao (9.7 N, 125.5 E)
probability for TS is 45% in about 24 hours
Lianga (8.7 N, 126.1 E)
probability for TS is 45% in about 24 hours
Bislig (8.2 N, 126.3 E)
probability for TS is 45% in about 24 hours
Mati (7.0 N, 126.3 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 24 hours
Cebu (10.3 N, 123.8 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 36 hours
San Juan (10.3 N, 125.2 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 24 hours
Dumaguete (9.3 N, 123.3 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 36 hours
Dipolog (8.7 N, 123.5 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 36 hours
Pagadian (7.9 N, 123.5 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 36 hours

Note that
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html.

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, RSA Insurance Group, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 15 Dec, 2011 12:00 GMT

Tropical Storm WASHI (27W) is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Green Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
the Philippines
probability for TS is 45% in about 24 hours
Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Surigao (9.7 N, 125.5 E)
probability for TS is 45% in about 24 hours
Lianga (8.7 N, 126.1 E)
probability for TS is 45% in about 24 hours
Bislig (8.2 N, 126.3 E)
probability for TS is 45% in about 24 hours
Mati (7.0 N, 126.3 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 24 hours
Cebu (10.3 N, 123.8 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 36 hours
San Juan (10.3 N, 125.2 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 24 hours
Dumaguete (9.3 N, 123.3 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 36 hours
Dipolog (8.7 N, 123.5 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 36 hours
Pagadian (7.9 N, 123.5 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 36 hours

Note that
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html
.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, RSA Insurance Group, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm WASHI

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 15 Dec, 2011 6:00 GMT

Tropical Storm WASHI (27W) is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Green Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
the Philippines
probability for TS is 45% in about 24 hours
Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Lianga (8.7 N, 126.1 E)
probability for TS is 45% in about 24 hours
Bislig (8.2 N, 126.3 E)
probability for TS is 45% in about 24 hours
Surigao (9.7 N, 125.5 E)
probability for TS is 40% in about 24 hours
Cebu (10.3 N, 123.8 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 36 hours
San Juan (10.3 N, 125.2 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 36 hours
Dumaguete (9.3 N, 123.3 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 36 hours
Dipolog (8.7 N, 123.5 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 36 hours

Note that
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html.

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, RSA Insurance Group, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 15 Dec, 2011 6:00 GMT

Tropical Storm WASHI (27W) is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Green Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
the Philippines
probability for TS is 45% in about 24 hours
Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Lianga (8.7 N, 126.1 E)
probability for TS is 45% in about 24 hours
Bislig (8.2 N, 126.3 E)
probability for TS is 45% in about 24 hours
Surigao (9.7 N, 125.5 E)
probability for TS is 40% in about 24 hours
Cebu (10.3 N, 123.8 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 36 hours
San Juan (10.3 N, 125.2 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 36 hours
Dumaguete (9.3 N, 123.3 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 36 hours
Dipolog (8.7 N, 123.5 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 36 hours

Note that
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html
.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, RSA Insurance Group, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

Wednesday, December 14, 2011

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Depression TWENTYSEVEN

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 15 Dec, 2011 0:00 GMT

Tropical Depression TWENTYSEVEN (27W) is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Koror (7.3 N, 134.5 E)
probability for TS is 70% currently

Green Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
the Philippines
probability for TS is 50% in about 36 hours
Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
San Juan (10.3 N, 125.2 E)
probability for TS is 50% in about 36 hours
Surigao (9.7 N, 125.5 E)
probability for TS is 50% in about 36 hours
Lianga (8.7 N, 126.1 E)
probability for TS is 45% in about 36 hours
Tacloban (11.2 N, 125.2 E)
probability for TS is 45% in about 36 hours
Oras (12.1 N, 125.4 E)
probability for TS is 40% in about 48 hours
Iloilo (10.9 N, 122.5 E)
probability for TS is 40% in about 48 hours
Cebu (10.3 N, 123.8 E)
probability for TS is 40% in about 48 hours
Dumaguete (9.3 N, 123.3 E)
probability for TS is 40% in about 48 hours
Bislig (8.2 N, 126.3 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 36 hours
Dipolog (8.7 N, 123.5 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 48 hours

Note that
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html.

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, RSA Insurance Group, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 15 Dec, 2011 0:00 GMT

Tropical Depression TWENTYSEVEN (27W) is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Koror (7.3 N, 134.5 E)
probability for TS is 70% currently

Green Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
the Philippines
probability for TS is 50% in about 36 hours
Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
San Juan (10.3 N, 125.2 E)
probability for TS is 50% in about 36 hours
Surigao (9.7 N, 125.5 E)
probability for TS is 50% in about 36 hours
Lianga (8.7 N, 126.1 E)
probability for TS is 45% in about 36 hours
Tacloban (11.2 N, 125.2 E)
probability for TS is 45% in about 36 hours
Oras (12.1 N, 125.4 E)
probability for TS is 40% in about 48 hours
Iloilo (10.9 N, 122.5 E)
probability for TS is 40% in about 48 hours
Cebu (10.3 N, 123.8 E)
probability for TS is 40% in about 48 hours
Dumaguete (9.3 N, 123.3 E)
probability for TS is 40% in about 48 hours
Bislig (8.2 N, 126.3 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 36 hours
Dipolog (8.7 N, 123.5 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 48 hours

Note that
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html
.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, RSA Insurance Group, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.