Pages

Saturday, March 31, 2012

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm PAKHAR

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 1 Apr, 2012 0:00 GMT

Tropical Storm PAKHAR (02W) is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Vietnam
probability for TS is 75% within 12 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Phan Thiet (10.9 N, 108.1 E)
probability for TS is 65% currently

Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Phan Rang (11.6 N, 109.0 E)
probability for TS is 35% currently

Note that
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html.

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, RSA Insurance Group, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 1 Apr, 2012 0:00 GMT

Tropical Storm PAKHAR (02W) is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Vietnam
probability for TS is 75% within 12 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Phan Thiet (10.9 N, 108.1 E)
probability for TS is 65% currently

Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Phan Rang (11.6 N, 109.0 E)
probability for TS is 35% currently

Note that
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html
.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, RSA Insurance Group, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm PAKHAR

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 31 Mar, 2012 18:00 GMT

Tropical Storm PAKHAR (02W) is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Vietnam
probability for TS is 85% within 12 hours
Cambodia
probability for TS is 55% in about 24 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Phan Thiet (10.9 N, 108.1 E)
probability for TS is 85% within 12 hours
Ho Chi Minh City (10.8 N, 106.7 E)
probability for TS is 55% in about 24 hours

Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Phan Rang (11.6 N, 109.0 E)
probability for TS is 50% within 12 hours
Can Tho (10.0 N, 105.8 E)
probability for TS is 40% in about 24 hours
Kracheh (12.5 N, 106.0 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 48 hours

Note that
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html.

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, RSA Insurance Group, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 31 Mar, 2012 18:00 GMT

Tropical Storm PAKHAR (02W) is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Vietnam
probability for TS is 85% within 12 hours
Cambodia
probability for TS is 55% in about 24 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Phan Thiet (10.9 N, 108.1 E)
probability for TS is 85% within 12 hours
Ho Chi Minh City (10.8 N, 106.7 E)
probability for TS is 55% in about 24 hours

Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Phan Rang (11.6 N, 109.0 E)
probability for TS is 50% within 12 hours
Can Tho (10.0 N, 105.8 E)
probability for TS is 40% in about 24 hours
Kracheh (12.5 N, 106.0 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 48 hours

Note that
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html
.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, RSA Insurance Group, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm PAKHAR

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 31 Mar, 2012 12:00 GMT

Tropical Storm PAKHAR (02W) is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Vietnam
probability for TS is 65% within 12 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Phan Thiet (10.9 N, 108.1 E)
probability for TS is 55% within 12 hours
Ho Chi Minh City (10.8 N, 106.7 E)
probability for TS is 55% in about 24 hours

Green Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Cambodia
probability for TS is 45% in about 24 hours
Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Can Tho (10.0 N, 105.8 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 24 hours

Note that
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html.

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, RSA Insurance Group, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 31 Mar, 2012 12:00 GMT

Tropical Storm PAKHAR (02W) is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Vietnam
probability for TS is 65% within 12 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Phan Thiet (10.9 N, 108.1 E)
probability for TS is 55% within 12 hours
Ho Chi Minh City (10.8 N, 106.7 E)
probability for TS is 55% in about 24 hours

Green Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Cambodia
probability for TS is 45% in about 24 hours
Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Can Tho (10.0 N, 105.8 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 24 hours

Note that
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html
.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, RSA Insurance Group, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm PAKHAR

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 31 Mar, 2012 6:00 GMT

Tropical Storm PAKHAR (02W) is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Vietnam
probability for TS is 55% in about 24 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Phan Thiet (10.9 N, 108.1 E)
probability for TS is 55% in about 24 hours

Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Phan Rang (11.6 N, 109.0 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 24 hours
Ho Chi Minh City (10.8 N, 106.7 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 24 hours

Note that
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html.

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, RSA Insurance Group, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 31 Mar, 2012 6:00 GMT

Tropical Storm PAKHAR (02W) is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Vietnam
probability for TS is 55% in about 24 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Phan Thiet (10.9 N, 108.1 E)
probability for TS is 55% in about 24 hours

Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Phan Rang (11.6 N, 109.0 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 24 hours
Ho Chi Minh City (10.8 N, 106.7 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 24 hours

Note that
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html
.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, RSA Insurance Group, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm PAKHAR

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 31 Mar, 2012 0:00 GMT

Tropical Storm PAKHAR (02W) is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Vietnam
probability for TS is 70% within 12 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Phan Thiet (10.9 N, 108.1 E)
probability for TS is 70% in about 24 hours
Phan Rang (11.6 N, 109.0 E)
probability for TS is 55% in about 36 hours

Green Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Cambodia
probability for TS is 45% in about 36 hours
Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Ho Chi Minh City (10.8 N, 106.7 E)
probability for TS is 50% in about 24 hours
Can Tho (10.0 N, 105.8 E)
probability for TS is 45% in about 36 hours
Kracheh (12.5 N, 106.0 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 36 hours
Bac Lieu (9.3 N, 105.7 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 36 hours

Note that
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html.

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, RSA Insurance Group, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 31 Mar, 2012 0:00 GMT

Tropical Storm PAKHAR (02W) is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Vietnam
probability for TS is 70% within 12 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Phan Thiet (10.9 N, 108.1 E)
probability for TS is 70% in about 24 hours
Phan Rang (11.6 N, 109.0 E)
probability for TS is 55% in about 36 hours

Green Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Cambodia
probability for TS is 45% in about 36 hours
Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Ho Chi Minh City (10.8 N, 106.7 E)
probability for TS is 50% in about 24 hours
Can Tho (10.0 N, 105.8 E)
probability for TS is 45% in about 36 hours
Kracheh (12.5 N, 106.0 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 36 hours
Bac Lieu (9.3 N, 105.7 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 36 hours

Note that
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html
.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, RSA Insurance Group, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

Friday, March 30, 2012

TSR Storm Alert - Typhoon PAKHAR

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 30 Mar, 2012 18:00 GMT

Typhoon PAKHAR (02W) is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Vietnam
probability for TS is 75% within 12 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Phan Thiet (10.9 N, 108.1 E)
probability for TS is 70% in about 24 hours
Phan Rang (11.6 N, 109.0 E)
probability for TS is 60% within 12 hours

Green Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Cambodia
probability for TS is 45% in about 36 hours
Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Ho Chi Minh City (10.8 N, 106.7 E)
probability for TS is 45% in about 36 hours
Nha Trang (12.2 N, 109.2 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 36 hours
Can Tho (10.0 N, 105.8 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 36 hours

Note that
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html.

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, RSA Insurance Group, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 30 Mar, 2012 18:00 GMT

Typhoon PAKHAR (02W) is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Vietnam
probability for TS is 75% within 12 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Phan Thiet (10.9 N, 108.1 E)
probability for TS is 70% in about 24 hours
Phan Rang (11.6 N, 109.0 E)
probability for TS is 60% within 12 hours

Green Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Cambodia
probability for TS is 45% in about 36 hours
Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Ho Chi Minh City (10.8 N, 106.7 E)
probability for TS is 45% in about 36 hours
Nha Trang (12.2 N, 109.2 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 36 hours
Can Tho (10.0 N, 105.8 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 36 hours

Note that
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html
.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, RSA Insurance Group, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

TSR Storm Alert - Typhoon PAKHAR

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 30 Mar, 2012 12:00 GMT

Typhoon PAKHAR (02W) is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Vietnam
probability for TS is 80% within 12 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Phan Rang (11.6 N, 109.0 E)
probability for TS is 70% in about 36 hours
Phan Thiet (10.9 N, 108.1 E)
probability for TS is 70% in about 24 hours

Green Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Cambodia
probability for TS is 45% in about 36 hours
Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Ho Chi Minh City (10.8 N, 106.7 E)
probability for TS is 50% in about 36 hours
Nha Trang (12.2 N, 109.2 E)
probability for TS is 40% in about 24 hours
Can Tho (10.0 N, 105.8 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 36 hours

Note that
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html.

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, RSA Insurance Group, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 30 Mar, 2012 12:00 GMT

Typhoon PAKHAR (02W) is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Vietnam
probability for TS is 80% within 12 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Phan Rang (11.6 N, 109.0 E)
probability for TS is 70% in about 36 hours
Phan Thiet (10.9 N, 108.1 E)
probability for TS is 70% in about 24 hours

Green Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Cambodia
probability for TS is 45% in about 36 hours
Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Ho Chi Minh City (10.8 N, 106.7 E)
probability for TS is 50% in about 36 hours
Nha Trang (12.2 N, 109.2 E)
probability for TS is 40% in about 24 hours
Can Tho (10.0 N, 105.8 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 36 hours

Note that
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html
.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, RSA Insurance Group, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

TSR Storm Alert - Typhoon PAKHAR

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 30 Mar, 2012 6:00 GMT

Typhoon PAKHAR (02W) is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Vietnam
probability for CAT 1 or above is 35% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 85% in about 24 hours
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Phan Thiet (10.9 N, 108.1 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 35% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 85% in about 36 hours

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Cambodia
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 45% in about 36 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Phan Rang (11.6 N, 109.0 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 80% in about 24 hours
Nha Trang (12.2 N, 109.2 E)
probability for TS is 60% in about 24 hours
Ho Chi Minh City (10.8 N, 106.7 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 50% in about 36 hours

Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html.

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, RSA Insurance Group, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 30 Mar, 2012 6:00 GMT

Typhoon PAKHAR (02W) is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Vietnam
probability for CAT 1 or above is 35% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 85% in about 24 hours
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Phan Thiet (10.9 N, 108.1 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 35% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 85% in about 36 hours

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Cambodia
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 45% in about 36 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Phan Rang (11.6 N, 109.0 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 80% in about 24 hours
Nha Trang (12.2 N, 109.2 E)
probability for TS is 60% in about 24 hours
Ho Chi Minh City (10.8 N, 106.7 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 50% in about 36 hours

Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html
.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, RSA Insurance Group, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

Thursday, March 29, 2012

TSR Storm Alert - Typhoon PAKHAR

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 30 Mar, 2012 0:00 GMT

Typhoon PAKHAR (02W) is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Vietnam
probability for CAT 1 or above is 35% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 80% in about 48 hours

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Cambodia
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 35% in about 48 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Phan Rang (11.6 N, 109.0 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 70% in about 24 hours
Nha Trang (12.2 N, 109.2 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 55% in about 24 hours
Phan Thiet (10.9 N, 108.1 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 55% in about 24 hours
Ho Chi Minh City (10.8 N, 106.7 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 35% in about 48 hours

Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html.

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, RSA Insurance Group, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 30 Mar, 2012 0:00 GMT

Typhoon PAKHAR (02W) is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Vietnam
probability for CAT 1 or above is 35% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 80% in about 48 hours

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Cambodia
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 35% in about 48 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Phan Rang (11.6 N, 109.0 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 70% in about 24 hours
Nha Trang (12.2 N, 109.2 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 55% in about 24 hours
Phan Thiet (10.9 N, 108.1 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 55% in about 24 hours
Ho Chi Minh City (10.8 N, 106.7 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 35% in about 48 hours

Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html
.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, RSA Insurance Group, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm PAKHAR

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 29 Mar, 2012 18:00 GMT

Tropical Storm PAKHAR (02W) is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Vietnam
probability for CAT 1 or above is 35% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 60% in about 36 hours

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Cambodia
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 40% in about 48 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Phan Rang (11.6 N, 109.0 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 55% in about 36 hours
Phan Thiet (10.9 N, 108.1 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 50% in about 36 hours
Nha Trang (12.2 N, 109.2 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 45% in about 36 hours

Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Ho Chi Minh City (10.8 N, 106.7 E)
probability for TS is 40% in about 96 hours
Tuy Hoa (13.1 N, 109.3 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 48 hours

Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html.

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, RSA Insurance Group, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 29 Mar, 2012 18:00 GMT

Tropical Storm PAKHAR (02W) is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Vietnam
probability for CAT 1 or above is 35% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 60% in about 36 hours

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Cambodia
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 40% in about 48 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Phan Rang (11.6 N, 109.0 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 55% in about 36 hours
Phan Thiet (10.9 N, 108.1 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 50% in about 36 hours
Nha Trang (12.2 N, 109.2 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 45% in about 36 hours

Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Ho Chi Minh City (10.8 N, 106.7 E)
probability for TS is 40% in about 96 hours
Tuy Hoa (13.1 N, 109.3 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 48 hours

Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html
.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, RSA Insurance Group, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm PAKHAR

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 29 Mar, 2012 12:00 GMT

Tropical Storm PAKHAR (02W) is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Vietnam
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 50% in about 48 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Phan Rang (11.6 N, 109.0 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 45% in about 36 hours
Phan Thiet (10.9 N, 108.1 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 40% in about 48 hours

Green Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Cambodia
probability for TS is 35% in about 96 hours
Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Nha Trang (12.2 N, 109.2 E)
probability for TS is 40% in about 48 hours

Note that
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html.

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, RSA Insurance Group, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 29 Mar, 2012 12:00 GMT

Tropical Storm PAKHAR (02W) is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Vietnam
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 50% in about 48 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Phan Rang (11.6 N, 109.0 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 45% in about 36 hours
Phan Thiet (10.9 N, 108.1 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 40% in about 48 hours

Green Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Cambodia
probability for TS is 35% in about 96 hours
Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Nha Trang (12.2 N, 109.2 E)
probability for TS is 40% in about 48 hours

Note that
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html
.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, RSA Insurance Group, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm PAKHAR

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 29 Mar, 2012 6:00 GMT

Tropical Storm PAKHAR (02W) is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Green Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Vietnam
probability for TS is 35% in about 48 hours
Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Phan Rang (11.6 N, 109.0 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 48 hours

Note that
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html.

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, RSA Insurance Group, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 29 Mar, 2012 6:00 GMT

Tropical Storm PAKHAR (02W) is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Green Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Vietnam
probability for TS is 35% in about 48 hours
Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Phan Rang (11.6 N, 109.0 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 48 hours

Note that
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html
.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, RSA Insurance Group, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

Wednesday, March 21, 2012

[Tsunami Message - IOC] Tsunami Information Bulletin

TSUNAMI BULLETIN NUMBER 001
PACIFIC TSUNAMI WARNING CENTER/NOAA/NWS
ISSUED AT 2221Z 21 MAR 2012

THIS BULLETIN APPLIES TO AREAS WITHIN AND BORDERING THE PACIFIC
OCEAN AND ADJACENT SEAS...EXCEPT ALASKA...BRITISH COLUMBIA...
WASHINGTON...OREGON AND CALIFORNIA.

... TSUNAMI INFORMATION BULLETIN ...

THIS BULLETIN IS FOR INFORMATION ONLY.

THIS BULLETIN IS ISSUED AS ADVICE TO GOVERNMENT AGENCIES. ONLY
NATIONAL AND LOCAL GOVERNMENT AGENCIES HAVE THE AUTHORITY TO MAKE
DECISIONS REGARDING THE OFFICIAL STATE OF ALERT IN THEIR AREA AND
ANY ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN IN RESPONSE.

AN EARTHQUAKE HAS OCCURRED WITH THESE PRELIMINARY PARAMETERS

ORIGIN TIME - 2215Z 21 MAR 2012
COORDINATES - 6.2 SOUTH 146.0 EAST
DEPTH - 145 KM
LOCATION - NEW GUINEA PAPUA NEW GUINEA
MAGNITUDE - 6.7

EVALUATION

A DESTRUCTIVE TSUNAMI WAS NOT GENERATED BASED ON EARTHQUAKE AND
HISTORICAL TSUNAMI DATA.

THIS WILL BE THE ONLY BULLETIN ISSUED FOR THIS EVENT UNLESS
ADDITIONAL INFORMATION BECOMES AVAILABLE.

THE JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY MAY ALSO ISSUE TSUNAMI MESSAGES
FOR THIS EVENT TO COUNTRIES IN THE NORTHWEST PACIFIC AND SOUTH
CHINA SEA REGION. IN CASE OF CONFLICTING INFORMATION... THE
MORE CONSERVATIVE INFORMATION SHOULD BE USED FOR SAFETY.

THE WEST COAST/ALASKA TSUNAMI WARNING CENTER WILL ISSUE PRODUCTS
FOR ALASKA...BRITISH COLUMBIA...WASHINGTON...OREGON...CALIFORNIA.

Tuesday, March 20, 2012

[Tsunami Message - IOC] Tsunami Information Bulletin

TSUNAMI BULLETIN NUMBER 001
PACIFIC TSUNAMI WARNING CENTER/NOAA/NWS
ISSUED AT 1813Z 20 MAR 2012

THIS BULLETIN APPLIES TO AREAS WITHIN AND BORDERING THE PACIFIC
OCEAN AND ADJACENT SEAS...EXCEPT ALASKA...BRITISH COLUMBIA...
WASHINGTON...OREGON AND CALIFORNIA.

... TSUNAMI INFORMATION BULLETIN ...

THIS BULLETIN IS FOR INFORMATION ONLY.

THIS BULLETIN IS ISSUED AS ADVICE TO GOVERNMENT AGENCIES. ONLY
NATIONAL AND LOCAL GOVERNMENT AGENCIES HAVE THE AUTHORITY TO MAKE
DECISIONS REGARDING THE OFFICIAL STATE OF ALERT IN THEIR AREA AND
ANY ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN IN RESPONSE.

AN EARTHQUAKE HAS OCCURRED WITH THESE PRELIMINARY PARAMETERS

ORIGIN TIME - 1803Z 20 MAR 2012
COORDINATES - 17.0 NORTH 98.1 WEST
DEPTH - 10 KM
LOCATION - GUERRERO MEXICO
MAGNITUDE - 7.8

EVALUATION

A DESTRUCTIVE WIDESPREAD TSUNAMI WAS NOT GENERATED BASED ON
EARTHQUAKE AND HISTORICAL TSUNAMI DATA. HOWEVER, THERE IS THE
POSSIBILITY OF SOME LOCAL TSUNAMI EFFECTS. THIS EARTHQUAKE IS
LOCATED INLAND FROM THE COAST.

THIS WILL BE THE ONLY BULLETIN ISSUED FOR THIS EVENT UNLESS
ADDITIONAL INFORMATION BECOMES AVAILABLE.

THE WEST COAST/ALASKA TSUNAMI WARNING CENTER WILL ISSUE PRODUCTS
FOR ALASKA...BRITISH COLUMBIA...WASHINGTON...OREGON...CALIFORNIA.

Saturday, March 17, 2012

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm LUA

S Indian Ocean: Storm Alert issued at 17 Mar, 2012 12:00 GMT (Final Warning)

Tropical Storm LUA (17S) is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Australia
probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% currently
probability for TS is 100% currently
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Marble Bar (21.2 S, 119.8 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% currently
probability for TS is 100% currently
Nullagine (21.9 S, 120.1 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% currently
probability for TS is 100% currently
Newman (23.3 S, 119.6 E)
probability for TS is 70% within 12 hours

Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Wallal Downs (19.8 S, 120.8 E)
probability for TS is 40% currently

Note that
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html.

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, RSA Insurance Group, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

S Indian Ocean: Storm Alert issued at 17 Mar, 2012 12:00 GMT (Final Warning)

Tropical Storm LUA (17S) is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Australia
probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% currently
probability for TS is 100% currently
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Marble Bar (21.2 S, 119.8 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% currently
probability for TS is 100% currently
Nullagine (21.9 S, 120.1 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% currently
probability for TS is 100% currently
Newman (23.3 S, 119.6 E)
probability for TS is 70% within 12 hours

Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Wallal Downs (19.8 S, 120.8 E)
probability for TS is 40% currently

Note that
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html
.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, RSA Insurance Group, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Cyclone LUA

S Indian Ocean: Storm Alert issued at 17 Mar, 2012 6:00 GMT

Tropical Cyclone LUA (17S) is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Australia
probability for CAT 1 or above is 100% currently
probability for TS is 100% currently

Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Lagrange (18.7 S, 121.8 E)
probability for TS is 100% currently
Anna Plains (19.3 S, 121.6 E)
probability for TS is 100% currently
Wallal Downs (19.8 S, 120.8 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% currently
probability for TS is 100% currently
Port Hedland (20.4 S, 118.6 E)
probability for TS is 95% within 12 hours
Marble Bar (21.2 S, 119.8 E)
probability for TS is 95% within 12 hours
Nullagine (21.9 S, 120.1 E)
probability for TS is 95% within 12 hours
Broome (18.0 S, 122.2 E)
probability for TS is 80% currently
Telfer (21.7 S, 122.2 E)
probability for TS is 70% within 12 hours
Newman (23.3 S, 119.6 E)
probability for TS is 65% in about 24 hours

Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Roebourne (20.8 S, 117.2 E)
probability for TS is 35% within 12 hours
Tom Price (22.8 S, 117.8 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 24 hours

Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html.

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, RSA Insurance Group, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

S Indian Ocean: Storm Alert issued at 17 Mar, 2012 6:00 GMT

Tropical Cyclone LUA (17S) is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Australia
probability for CAT 1 or above is 100% currently
probability for TS is 100% currently

Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Lagrange (18.7 S, 121.8 E)
probability for TS is 100% currently
Anna Plains (19.3 S, 121.6 E)
probability for TS is 100% currently
Wallal Downs (19.8 S, 120.8 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% currently
probability for TS is 100% currently
Port Hedland (20.4 S, 118.6 E)
probability for TS is 95% within 12 hours
Marble Bar (21.2 S, 119.8 E)
probability for TS is 95% within 12 hours
Nullagine (21.9 S, 120.1 E)
probability for TS is 95% within 12 hours
Broome (18.0 S, 122.2 E)
probability for TS is 80% currently
Telfer (21.7 S, 122.2 E)
probability for TS is 70% within 12 hours
Newman (23.3 S, 119.6 E)
probability for TS is 65% in about 24 hours

Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Roebourne (20.8 S, 117.2 E)
probability for TS is 35% within 12 hours
Tom Price (22.8 S, 117.8 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 24 hours

Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html
.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, RSA Insurance Group, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

Friday, March 16, 2012

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Cyclone LUA

S Indian Ocean: Storm Alert issued at 16 Mar, 2012 18:00 GMT

Tropical Cyclone LUA (17S) is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Australia
probability for CAT 1 or above is 95% within 12 hours
probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Wallal Downs (19.8 S, 120.8 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 75% within 12 hours
probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours

Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Anna Plains (19.3 S, 121.6 E)
probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
Port Hedland (20.4 S, 118.6 E)
probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
Marble Bar (21.2 S, 119.8 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 24 hours
probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
Lagrange (18.7 S, 121.8 E)
probability for TS is 90% within 12 hours
Nullagine (21.9 S, 120.1 E)
probability for TS is 85% in about 24 hours
Newman (23.3 S, 119.6 E)
probability for TS is 80% in about 24 hours
Roebourne (20.8 S, 117.2 E)
probability for TS is 70% within 12 hours
Telfer (21.7 S, 122.2 E)
probability for TS is 65% in about 24 hours
Broome (18.0 S, 122.2 E)
probability for TS is 60% within 12 hours

Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Tom Price (22.8 S, 117.8 E)
probability for TS is 40% in about 24 hours

Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html.

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, RSA Insurance Group, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

S Indian Ocean: Storm Alert issued at 16 Mar, 2012 18:00 GMT

Tropical Cyclone LUA (17S) is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Australia
probability for CAT 1 or above is 95% within 12 hours
probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Wallal Downs (19.8 S, 120.8 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 75% within 12 hours
probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours

Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Anna Plains (19.3 S, 121.6 E)
probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
Port Hedland (20.4 S, 118.6 E)
probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
Marble Bar (21.2 S, 119.8 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 24 hours
probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
Lagrange (18.7 S, 121.8 E)
probability for TS is 90% within 12 hours
Nullagine (21.9 S, 120.1 E)
probability for TS is 85% in about 24 hours
Newman (23.3 S, 119.6 E)
probability for TS is 80% in about 24 hours
Roebourne (20.8 S, 117.2 E)
probability for TS is 70% within 12 hours
Telfer (21.7 S, 122.2 E)
probability for TS is 65% in about 24 hours
Broome (18.0 S, 122.2 E)
probability for TS is 60% within 12 hours

Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Tom Price (22.8 S, 117.8 E)
probability for TS is 40% in about 24 hours

Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html
.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, RSA Insurance Group, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Cyclone LUA

S Indian Ocean: Storm Alert issued at 16 Mar, 2012 6:00 GMT

Tropical Cyclone LUA (17S) is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Australia
probability for CAT 1 or above is 80% in about 24 hours
probability for TS is 100% in about 24 hours
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Port Hedland (20.4 S, 118.6 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 80% in about 24 hours
probability for TS is 100% in about 24 hours
Marble Bar (21.2 S, 119.8 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 65% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 95% in about 24 hours
Nullagine (21.9 S, 120.1 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 50% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 80% in about 24 hours

Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Wallal Downs (19.8 S, 120.8 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% in about 24 hours
probability for TS is 95% in about 24 hours
Anna Plains (19.3 S, 121.6 E)
probability for TS is 80% in about 24 hours
Newman (23.3 S, 119.6 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 80% in about 36 hours
Roebourne (20.8 S, 117.2 E)
probability for TS is 75% in about 24 hours
Lagrange (18.7 S, 121.8 E)
probability for TS is 65% in about 24 hours
Tom Price (22.8 S, 117.8 E)
probability for TS is 65% in about 36 hours

Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Telfer (21.7 S, 122.2 E)
probability for TS is 50% in about 36 hours
Broome (18.0 S, 122.2 E)
probability for TS is 40% in about 24 hours
Meekatharra (26.5 S, 118.5 E)
probability for TS is 40% in about 48 hours

Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html.

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, RSA Insurance Group, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

S Indian Ocean: Storm Alert issued at 16 Mar, 2012 6:00 GMT

Tropical Cyclone LUA (17S) is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Australia
probability for CAT 1 or above is 80% in about 24 hours
probability for TS is 100% in about 24 hours
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Port Hedland (20.4 S, 118.6 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 80% in about 24 hours
probability for TS is 100% in about 24 hours
Marble Bar (21.2 S, 119.8 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 65% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 95% in about 24 hours
Nullagine (21.9 S, 120.1 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 50% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 80% in about 24 hours

Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Wallal Downs (19.8 S, 120.8 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% in about 24 hours
probability for TS is 95% in about 24 hours
Anna Plains (19.3 S, 121.6 E)
probability for TS is 80% in about 24 hours
Newman (23.3 S, 119.6 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 80% in about 36 hours
Roebourne (20.8 S, 117.2 E)
probability for TS is 75% in about 24 hours
Lagrange (18.7 S, 121.8 E)
probability for TS is 65% in about 24 hours
Tom Price (22.8 S, 117.8 E)
probability for TS is 65% in about 36 hours

Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Telfer (21.7 S, 122.2 E)
probability for TS is 50% in about 36 hours
Broome (18.0 S, 122.2 E)
probability for TS is 40% in about 24 hours
Meekatharra (26.5 S, 118.5 E)
probability for TS is 40% in about 48 hours

Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html
.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, RSA Insurance Group, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

Thursday, March 15, 2012

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Cyclone LUA

S Indian Ocean: Storm Alert issued at 15 Mar, 2012 18:00 GMT

Tropical Cyclone LUA (17S) is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Australia
probability for CAT 1 or above is 50% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 80% in about 36 hours
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Port Hedland (20.4 S, 118.6 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 45% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 80% in about 36 hours

Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Wallal Downs (19.8 S, 120.8 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 65% in about 36 hours
Marble Bar (21.2 S, 119.8 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 65% in about 36 hours
Roebourne (20.8 S, 117.2 E)
probability for TS is 55% in about 36 hours

Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Nullagine (21.9 S, 120.1 E)
probability for TS is 50% in about 48 hours
Anna Plains (19.3 S, 121.6 E)
probability for TS is 45% in about 36 hours
Lagrange (18.7 S, 121.8 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 36 hours
Tom Price (22.8 S, 117.8 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 48 hours
Newman (23.3 S, 119.6 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 48 hours

Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html.

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, RSA Insurance Group, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

S Indian Ocean: Storm Alert issued at 15 Mar, 2012 18:00 GMT

Tropical Cyclone LUA (17S) is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Australia
probability for CAT 1 or above is 50% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 80% in about 36 hours
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Port Hedland (20.4 S, 118.6 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 45% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 80% in about 36 hours

Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Wallal Downs (19.8 S, 120.8 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 65% in about 36 hours
Marble Bar (21.2 S, 119.8 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 65% in about 36 hours
Roebourne (20.8 S, 117.2 E)
probability for TS is 55% in about 36 hours

Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Nullagine (21.9 S, 120.1 E)
probability for TS is 50% in about 48 hours
Anna Plains (19.3 S, 121.6 E)
probability for TS is 45% in about 36 hours
Lagrange (18.7 S, 121.8 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 36 hours
Tom Price (22.8 S, 117.8 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 48 hours
Newman (23.3 S, 119.6 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 48 hours

Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html
.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, RSA Insurance Group, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Cyclone LUA

S Indian Ocean: Storm Alert issued at 15 Mar, 2012 6:00 GMT

Tropical Cyclone LUA (17S) is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Australia
probability for CAT 1 or above is 40% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 65% in about 48 hours
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Port Hedland (20.4 S, 118.6 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 40% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 65% in about 48 hours

Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Marble Bar (21.2 S, 119.8 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 60% in about 72 hours
Roebourne (20.8 S, 117.2 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 55% in about 48 hours

Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Wallal Downs (19.8 S, 120.8 E)
probability for TS is 50% in about 48 hours
Nullagine (21.9 S, 120.1 E)
probability for TS is 45% in about 48 hours
Pannawonica (21.8 S, 116.3 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 48 hours
Tom Price (22.8 S, 117.8 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 48 hours

Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html.

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, RSA Insurance Group, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

S Indian Ocean: Storm Alert issued at 15 Mar, 2012 6:00 GMT

Tropical Cyclone LUA (17S) is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Australia
probability for CAT 1 or above is 40% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 65% in about 48 hours
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Port Hedland (20.4 S, 118.6 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 40% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 65% in about 48 hours

Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Marble Bar (21.2 S, 119.8 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 60% in about 72 hours
Roebourne (20.8 S, 117.2 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 55% in about 48 hours

Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Wallal Downs (19.8 S, 120.8 E)
probability for TS is 50% in about 48 hours
Nullagine (21.9 S, 120.1 E)
probability for TS is 45% in about 48 hours
Pannawonica (21.8 S, 116.3 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 48 hours
Tom Price (22.8 S, 117.8 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 48 hours

Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html
.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, RSA Insurance Group, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

Wednesday, March 14, 2012

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm LUA

S Indian Ocean: Storm Alert issued at 14 Mar, 2012 18:00 GMT

Tropical Storm LUA (17S) is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Australia
probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 65% in about 48 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Port Hedland (20.4 S, 118.6 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 65% in about 72 hours

Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Roebourne (20.8 S, 117.2 E)
probability for TS is 50% in about 72 hours
Wallal Downs (19.8 S, 120.8 E)
probability for TS is 45% in about 48 hours
Marble Bar (21.2 S, 119.8 E)
probability for TS is 40% in about 48 hours

Note that
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html.

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, RSA Insurance Group, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

S Indian Ocean: Storm Alert issued at 14 Mar, 2012 18:00 GMT

Tropical Storm LUA (17S) is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Australia
probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 65% in about 48 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Port Hedland (20.4 S, 118.6 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 65% in about 72 hours

Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Roebourne (20.8 S, 117.2 E)
probability for TS is 50% in about 72 hours
Wallal Downs (19.8 S, 120.8 E)
probability for TS is 45% in about 48 hours
Marble Bar (21.2 S, 119.8 E)
probability for TS is 40% in about 48 hours

Note that
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html
.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, RSA Insurance Group, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm LUA

S Indian Ocean: Storm Alert issued at 14 Mar, 2012 12:00 GMT

Tropical Storm LUA (17S) is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Green Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Australia
probability for TS is 35% in about 72 hours

Note that
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html.

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, RSA Insurance Group, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

S Indian Ocean: Storm Alert issued at 14 Mar, 2012 12:00 GMT

Tropical Storm LUA (17S) is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Green Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Australia
probability for TS is 35% in about 72 hours

Note that
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html
.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, RSA Insurance Group, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

[Tsunami Message - IOC] Tsunami Information Bulletin

TSUNAMI BULLETIN NUMBER 001
PACIFIC TSUNAMI WARNING CENTER/NOAA/NWS
ISSUED AT 0917Z 14 MAR 2012

THIS BULLETIN APPLIES TO AREAS WITHIN AND BORDERING THE PACIFIC
OCEAN AND ADJACENT SEAS...EXCEPT ALASKA...BRITISH COLUMBIA...
WASHINGTON...OREGON AND CALIFORNIA.

... TSUNAMI INFORMATION BULLETIN ...

THIS BULLETIN IS FOR INFORMATION ONLY.

THIS BULLETIN IS ISSUED AS ADVICE TO GOVERNMENT AGENCIES. ONLY
NATIONAL AND LOCAL GOVERNMENT AGENCIES HAVE THE AUTHORITY TO MAKE
DECISIONS REGARDING THE OFFICIAL STATE OF ALERT IN THEIR AREA AND
ANY ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN IN RESPONSE.

AN EARTHQUAKE HAS OCCURRED WITH THESE PRELIMINARY PARAMETERS
REPORTED BY THE JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.

ORIGIN TIME - 0908Z 14 MAR 2012
COORDINATES - 40.7 NORTH 145.2 EAST
DEPTH - 10 KM
LOCATION - OFF EAST COAST OF HONSHU JAPAN
MAGNITUDE - 6.8

EVALUATION

NO DESTRUCTIVE WIDESPREAD TSUNAMI THREAT EXISTS BASED ON
HISTORICAL EARTHQUAKE AND TSUNAMI DATA.

HOWEVER - EARTHQUAKES OF THIS SIZE SOMETIMES GENERATE LOCAL
TSUNAMIS THAT CAN BE DESTRUCTIVE ALONG COASTS LOCATED WITHIN
A HUNDRED KILOMETERS OF THE EARTHQUAKE EPICENTER. AUTHORITIES
IN THE REGION OF THE EPICENTER SHOULD BE AWARE OF THIS
POSSIBILITY AND TAKE APPROPRIATE ACTION.

THIS WILL BE THE ONLY BULLETIN ISSUED FOR THIS EVENT UNLESS
ADDITIONAL INFORMATION BECOMES AVAILABLE.

THE JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY MAY ALSO ISSUE TSUNAMI MESSAGES
FOR THIS EVENT TO COUNTRIES IN THE NORTHWEST PACIFIC AND SOUTH
CHINA SEA REGION. IN CASE OF CONFLICTING INFORMATION... THE
MORE CONSERVATIVE INFORMATION SHOULD BE USED FOR SAFETY.

THE WEST COAST/ALASKA TSUNAMI WARNING CENTER WILL ISSUE PRODUCTS
FOR ALASKA...BRITISH COLUMBIA...WASHINGTON...OREGON...CALIFORNIA.

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm LUA

S Indian Ocean: Storm Alert issued at 14 Mar, 2012 6:00 GMT

Tropical Storm LUA (17S) is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Australia
probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 30% in about 72 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Port Hedland (20.4 S, 118.6 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 30% in about 72 hours

Note that
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html.

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, RSA Insurance Group, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

S Indian Ocean: Storm Alert issued at 14 Mar, 2012 6:00 GMT

Tropical Storm LUA (17S) is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Australia
probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 30% in about 72 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Port Hedland (20.4 S, 118.6 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 30% in about 72 hours

Note that
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html
.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, RSA Insurance Group, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

Tuesday, March 13, 2012

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm LUA

S Indian Ocean: Storm Alert issued at 14 Mar, 2012 0:00 GMT

Tropical Storm LUA (17S) is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Australia
probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 35% in about 72 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Port Hedland (20.4 S, 118.6 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 35% in about 72 hours
Wallal Downs (19.8 S, 120.8 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 30% in about 72 hours
Marble Bar (21.2 S, 119.8 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 35% in about 72 hours
Anna Plains (19.3 S, 121.6 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 25% in about 72 hours
Roebourne (20.8 S, 117.2 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 30% in about 72 hours
Nullagine (21.9 S, 120.1 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 25% in about 72 hours

Note that
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html.

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, RSA Insurance Group, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

S Indian Ocean: Storm Alert issued at 14 Mar, 2012 0:00 GMT

Tropical Storm LUA (17S) is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Australia
probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 35% in about 72 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Port Hedland (20.4 S, 118.6 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 35% in about 72 hours
Wallal Downs (19.8 S, 120.8 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 30% in about 72 hours
Marble Bar (21.2 S, 119.8 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 35% in about 72 hours
Anna Plains (19.3 S, 121.6 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 25% in about 72 hours
Roebourne (20.8 S, 117.2 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 30% in about 72 hours
Nullagine (21.9 S, 120.1 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 25% in about 72 hours

Note that
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html
.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, RSA Insurance Group, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm LUA

S Indian Ocean: Storm Alert issued at 13 Mar, 2012 18:00 GMT

Tropical Storm LUA (17S) is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Australia
probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 35% in about 72 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Port Hedland (20.4 S, 118.6 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 35% in about 72 hours
Roebourne (20.8 S, 117.2 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 35% in about 72 hours
Wallal Downs (19.8 S, 120.8 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 25% in about 72 hours
Marble Bar (21.2 S, 119.8 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 30% in about 72 hours

Note that
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html.

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, RSA Insurance Group, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

S Indian Ocean: Storm Alert issued at 13 Mar, 2012 18:00 GMT

Tropical Storm LUA (17S) is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Australia
probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 35% in about 72 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Port Hedland (20.4 S, 118.6 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 35% in about 72 hours
Roebourne (20.8 S, 117.2 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 35% in about 72 hours
Wallal Downs (19.8 S, 120.8 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 25% in about 72 hours
Marble Bar (21.2 S, 119.8 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 30% in about 72 hours

Note that
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html
.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, RSA Insurance Group, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.