NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 30 Sep, 2012 18:00 GMT (Final Warning)
Tropical Storm JELAWAT (18W) currently located near 38.6 N 140.9 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Japan
probability for TS is 80% currently
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Sendai (38.3 N, 140.9 E)
probability for TS is 80% currently
Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Sakata (39.0 N, 140.0 E)
probability for TS is 40% currently
Note that
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html.
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 30 Sep, 2012 18:00 GMT (Final Warning)
Tropical Storm JELAWAT (18W) currently located near 38.6 N 140.9 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Japan
probability for TS is 80% currently
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Sendai (38.3 N, 140.9 E)
probability for TS is 80% currently
Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Sakata (39.0 N, 140.0 E)
probability for TS is 40% currently
Note that
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html
.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
Sunday, September 30, 2012
[Tsunami Message - IOC] Tsunami Information Bulletin
TSUNAMI BULLETIN NUMBER 001
PACIFIC TSUNAMI WARNING CENTER/NOAA/NWS
ISSUED AT 1638Z 30 SEP 2012
PACIFIC TSUNAMI WARNING CENTER/NOAA/NWS
ISSUED AT 1638Z 30 SEP 2012
THIS BULLETIN APPLIES TO AREAS WITHIN AND BORDERING THE PACIFIC
OCEAN AND ADJACENT SEAS...EXCEPT ALASKA...BRITISH COLUMBIA...
WASHINGTON...OREGON AND CALIFORNIA.
... TSUNAMI INFORMATION BULLETIN ...
THIS BULLETIN IS FOR INFORMATION ONLY.
THIS BULLETIN IS ISSUED AS ADVICE TO GOVERNMENT AGENCIES. ONLY
NATIONAL AND LOCAL GOVERNMENT AGENCIES HAVE THE AUTHORITY TO MAKE
DECISIONS REGARDING THE OFFICIAL STATE OF ALERT IN THEIR AREA AND
ANY ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN IN RESPONSE.
AN EARTHQUAKE HAS OCCURRED WITH THESE PRELIMINARY PARAMETERS
ORIGIN TIME - 1632Z 30 SEP 2012
COORDINATES - 2.0 NORTH 76.6 WEST
DEPTH - 140 KM
LOCATION - COLOMBIA
MAGNITUDE - 7.4
EVALUATION
A DESTRUCTIVE TSUNAMI WAS NOT GENERATED BASED ON EARTHQUAKE AND
HISTORICAL TSUNAMI DATA.
THIS WILL BE THE ONLY BULLETIN ISSUED FOR THIS EVENT UNLESS
ADDITIONAL INFORMATION BECOMES AVAILABLE.
THE WEST COAST/ALASKA TSUNAMI WARNING CENTER WILL ISSUE PRODUCTS
FOR ALASKA...BRITISH COLUMBIA...WASHINGTON...OREGON...CALIFORNIA.
Celebrate World Teachers' Day 5 October -----------------------------------------
Take a stand for teachers! Join us in celebrating 5 October, World Teachers' Day
http://www.unesco.org/new/en/unesco/events/prizes-and-celebrations/celebrations/international-days/world-teachersday/
Agissons pour les enseignant(e)s ! Le 5 octobre, célébrons ensemble la Journée mondiale des enseignants
http://www.unesco.org/new/en/unesco/events/prizes-and-celebrations/celebrations/international-days/world-teachersday/
TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm JELAWAT
NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 30 Sep, 2012 12:00 GMT
Tropical Storm JELAWAT (18W) currently located near 35.3 N 138.2 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Japan
probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% currently
probability for TS is 95% currently
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Shizuoka (35.0 N, 138.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% currently
probability for TS is 95% currently
Tokyo (35.7 N, 139.8 E)
probability for TS is 65% within 12 hours
Sendai (38.3 N, 140.9 E)
probability for TS is 65% within 12 hours
Iwaki (37.0 N, 140.8 E)
probability for TS is 65% within 12 hours
Miyako (39.7 N, 141.9 E)
probability for TS is 55% within 12 hours
Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Niigata (37.8 N, 139.2 E)
probability for TS is 50% within 12 hours
Nagoya (35.2 N, 136.9 E)
probability for TS is 35% currently
Note that
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html.
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 30 Sep, 2012 12:00 GMT
Tropical Storm JELAWAT (18W) currently located near 35.3 N 138.2 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Japan
probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% currently
probability for TS is 95% currently
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Shizuoka (35.0 N, 138.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% currently
probability for TS is 95% currently
Tokyo (35.7 N, 139.8 E)
probability for TS is 65% within 12 hours
Sendai (38.3 N, 140.9 E)
probability for TS is 65% within 12 hours
Iwaki (37.0 N, 140.8 E)
probability for TS is 65% within 12 hours
Miyako (39.7 N, 141.9 E)
probability for TS is 55% within 12 hours
Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Niigata (37.8 N, 139.2 E)
probability for TS is 50% within 12 hours
Nagoya (35.2 N, 136.9 E)
probability for TS is 35% currently
Note that
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html
.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
Tropical Storm JELAWAT (18W) currently located near 35.3 N 138.2 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Japan
probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% currently
probability for TS is 95% currently
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Shizuoka (35.0 N, 138.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% currently
probability for TS is 95% currently
Tokyo (35.7 N, 139.8 E)
probability for TS is 65% within 12 hours
Sendai (38.3 N, 140.9 E)
probability for TS is 65% within 12 hours
Iwaki (37.0 N, 140.8 E)
probability for TS is 65% within 12 hours
Miyako (39.7 N, 141.9 E)
probability for TS is 55% within 12 hours
Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Niigata (37.8 N, 139.2 E)
probability for TS is 50% within 12 hours
Nagoya (35.2 N, 136.9 E)
probability for TS is 35% currently
Note that
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html.
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 30 Sep, 2012 12:00 GMT
Tropical Storm JELAWAT (18W) currently located near 35.3 N 138.2 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Japan
probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% currently
probability for TS is 95% currently
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Shizuoka (35.0 N, 138.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% currently
probability for TS is 95% currently
Tokyo (35.7 N, 139.8 E)
probability for TS is 65% within 12 hours
Sendai (38.3 N, 140.9 E)
probability for TS is 65% within 12 hours
Iwaki (37.0 N, 140.8 E)
probability for TS is 65% within 12 hours
Miyako (39.7 N, 141.9 E)
probability for TS is 55% within 12 hours
Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Niigata (37.8 N, 139.2 E)
probability for TS is 50% within 12 hours
Nagoya (35.2 N, 136.9 E)
probability for TS is 35% currently
Note that
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html
.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm JELAWAT
NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 30 Sep, 2012 6:00 GMT
Tropical Storm JELAWAT (18W) currently located near 33.0 N 135.8 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Japan
probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% currently
probability for TS is 100% currently
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Nagoya (35.2 N, 136.9 E)
probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
Shizuoka (35.0 N, 138.5 E)
probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
Shiono-misaki (33.5 N, 135.8 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% currently
probability for TS is 100% currently
Sendai (38.3 N, 140.9 E)
probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
Iwaki (37.0 N, 140.8 E)
probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
Tokyo (35.7 N, 139.8 E)
probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
Osaka (34.6 N, 135.5 E)
probability for TS is 95% within 12 hours
Miyako (39.7 N, 141.9 E)
probability for TS is 90% in about 24 hours
Niigata (37.8 N, 139.2 E)
probability for TS is 90% within 12 hours
Obama (35.4 N, 135.8 E)
probability for TS is 80% within 12 hours
Tokushima (34.1 N, 134.6 E)
probability for TS is 80% currently
Sakata (39.0 N, 140.0 E)
probability for TS is 75% within 12 hours
Kanazawa (36.8 N, 136.8 E)
probability for TS is 60% within 12 hours
Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Akita (39.8 N, 140.2 E)
probability for TS is 50% within 12 hours
Kushiro (43.0 N, 144.4 E)
probability for TS is 50% in about 24 hours
Aomori (40.8 N, 140.8 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 24 hours
Note that
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html.
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 30 Sep, 2012 6:00 GMT
Tropical Storm JELAWAT (18W) currently located near 33.0 N 135.8 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Japan
probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% currently
probability for TS is 100% currently
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Nagoya (35.2 N, 136.9 E)
probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
Shizuoka (35.0 N, 138.5 E)
probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
Shiono-misaki (33.5 N, 135.8 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% currently
probability for TS is 100% currently
Sendai (38.3 N, 140.9 E)
probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
Iwaki (37.0 N, 140.8 E)
probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
Tokyo (35.7 N, 139.8 E)
probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
Osaka (34.6 N, 135.5 E)
probability for TS is 95% within 12 hours
Miyako (39.7 N, 141.9 E)
probability for TS is 90% in about 24 hours
Niigata (37.8 N, 139.2 E)
probability for TS is 90% within 12 hours
Obama (35.4 N, 135.8 E)
probability for TS is 80% within 12 hours
Tokushima (34.1 N, 134.6 E)
probability for TS is 80% currently
Sakata (39.0 N, 140.0 E)
probability for TS is 75% within 12 hours
Kanazawa (36.8 N, 136.8 E)
probability for TS is 60% within 12 hours
Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Akita (39.8 N, 140.2 E)
probability for TS is 50% within 12 hours
Kushiro (43.0 N, 144.4 E)
probability for TS is 50% in about 24 hours
Aomori (40.8 N, 140.8 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 24 hours
Note that
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html
.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
Tropical Storm JELAWAT (18W) currently located near 33.0 N 135.8 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Japan
probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% currently
probability for TS is 100% currently
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Nagoya (35.2 N, 136.9 E)
probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
Shizuoka (35.0 N, 138.5 E)
probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
Shiono-misaki (33.5 N, 135.8 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% currently
probability for TS is 100% currently
Sendai (38.3 N, 140.9 E)
probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
Iwaki (37.0 N, 140.8 E)
probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
Tokyo (35.7 N, 139.8 E)
probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
Osaka (34.6 N, 135.5 E)
probability for TS is 95% within 12 hours
Miyako (39.7 N, 141.9 E)
probability for TS is 90% in about 24 hours
Niigata (37.8 N, 139.2 E)
probability for TS is 90% within 12 hours
Obama (35.4 N, 135.8 E)
probability for TS is 80% within 12 hours
Tokushima (34.1 N, 134.6 E)
probability for TS is 80% currently
Sakata (39.0 N, 140.0 E)
probability for TS is 75% within 12 hours
Kanazawa (36.8 N, 136.8 E)
probability for TS is 60% within 12 hours
Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Akita (39.8 N, 140.2 E)
probability for TS is 50% within 12 hours
Kushiro (43.0 N, 144.4 E)
probability for TS is 50% in about 24 hours
Aomori (40.8 N, 140.8 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 24 hours
Note that
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html.
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 30 Sep, 2012 6:00 GMT
Tropical Storm JELAWAT (18W) currently located near 33.0 N 135.8 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Japan
probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% currently
probability for TS is 100% currently
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Nagoya (35.2 N, 136.9 E)
probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
Shizuoka (35.0 N, 138.5 E)
probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
Shiono-misaki (33.5 N, 135.8 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% currently
probability for TS is 100% currently
Sendai (38.3 N, 140.9 E)
probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
Iwaki (37.0 N, 140.8 E)
probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
Tokyo (35.7 N, 139.8 E)
probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
Osaka (34.6 N, 135.5 E)
probability for TS is 95% within 12 hours
Miyako (39.7 N, 141.9 E)
probability for TS is 90% in about 24 hours
Niigata (37.8 N, 139.2 E)
probability for TS is 90% within 12 hours
Obama (35.4 N, 135.8 E)
probability for TS is 80% within 12 hours
Tokushima (34.1 N, 134.6 E)
probability for TS is 80% currently
Sakata (39.0 N, 140.0 E)
probability for TS is 75% within 12 hours
Kanazawa (36.8 N, 136.8 E)
probability for TS is 60% within 12 hours
Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Akita (39.8 N, 140.2 E)
probability for TS is 50% within 12 hours
Kushiro (43.0 N, 144.4 E)
probability for TS is 50% in about 24 hours
Aomori (40.8 N, 140.8 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 24 hours
Note that
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html
.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
Saturday, September 29, 2012
TSR Storm Alert - Typhoon JELAWAT
NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 30 Sep, 2012 0:00 GMT
Typhoon JELAWAT (18W) currently located near 31.6 N 134.3 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Japan
probability for CAT 1 or above is 75% within 12 hours
probability for TS is 100% currently
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Shiono-misaki (33.5 N, 135.8 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 70% within 12 hours
probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Obama (35.4 N, 135.8 E)
probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
Osaka (34.6 N, 135.5 E)
probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
Tokushima (34.1 N, 134.6 E)
probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
Tokyo (35.7 N, 139.8 E)
probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
Nagoya (35.2 N, 136.9 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% within 12 hours
probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
Shizuoka (35.0 N, 138.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% within 12 hours
probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
Niigata (37.8 N, 139.2 E)
probability for TS is 95% within 12 hours
Iwaki (37.0 N, 140.8 E)
probability for TS is 90% within 12 hours
Kanazawa (36.8 N, 136.8 E)
probability for TS is 85% within 12 hours
Akita (39.8 N, 140.2 E)
probability for TS is 70% in about 24 hours
Sakata (39.0 N, 140.0 E)
probability for TS is 70% in about 24 hours
Sendai (38.3 N, 140.9 E)
probability for TS is 70% in about 24 hours
Miyako (39.7 N, 141.9 E)
probability for TS is 70% in about 24 hours
Kushiro (43.0 N, 144.4 E)
probability for TS is 65% in about 24 hours
Aomori (40.8 N, 140.8 E)
probability for TS is 55% in about 24 hours
Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html.
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 30 Sep, 2012 0:00 GMT
Typhoon JELAWAT (18W) currently located near 31.6 N 134.3 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Japan
probability for CAT 1 or above is 75% within 12 hours
probability for TS is 100% currently
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Shiono-misaki (33.5 N, 135.8 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 70% within 12 hours
probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Obama (35.4 N, 135.8 E)
probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
Osaka (34.6 N, 135.5 E)
probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
Tokushima (34.1 N, 134.6 E)
probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
Tokyo (35.7 N, 139.8 E)
probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
Nagoya (35.2 N, 136.9 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% within 12 hours
probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
Shizuoka (35.0 N, 138.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% within 12 hours
probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
Niigata (37.8 N, 139.2 E)
probability for TS is 95% within 12 hours
Iwaki (37.0 N, 140.8 E)
probability for TS is 90% within 12 hours
Kanazawa (36.8 N, 136.8 E)
probability for TS is 85% within 12 hours
Akita (39.8 N, 140.2 E)
probability for TS is 70% in about 24 hours
Sakata (39.0 N, 140.0 E)
probability for TS is 70% in about 24 hours
Sendai (38.3 N, 140.9 E)
probability for TS is 70% in about 24 hours
Miyako (39.7 N, 141.9 E)
probability for TS is 70% in about 24 hours
Kushiro (43.0 N, 144.4 E)
probability for TS is 65% in about 24 hours
Aomori (40.8 N, 140.8 E)
probability for TS is 55% in about 24 hours
Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html
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This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
Typhoon JELAWAT (18W) currently located near 31.6 N 134.3 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Japan
probability for CAT 1 or above is 75% within 12 hours
probability for TS is 100% currently
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Shiono-misaki (33.5 N, 135.8 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 70% within 12 hours
probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Obama (35.4 N, 135.8 E)
probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
Osaka (34.6 N, 135.5 E)
probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
Tokushima (34.1 N, 134.6 E)
probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
Tokyo (35.7 N, 139.8 E)
probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
Nagoya (35.2 N, 136.9 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% within 12 hours
probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
Shizuoka (35.0 N, 138.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% within 12 hours
probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
Niigata (37.8 N, 139.2 E)
probability for TS is 95% within 12 hours
Iwaki (37.0 N, 140.8 E)
probability for TS is 90% within 12 hours
Kanazawa (36.8 N, 136.8 E)
probability for TS is 85% within 12 hours
Akita (39.8 N, 140.2 E)
probability for TS is 70% in about 24 hours
Sakata (39.0 N, 140.0 E)
probability for TS is 70% in about 24 hours
Sendai (38.3 N, 140.9 E)
probability for TS is 70% in about 24 hours
Miyako (39.7 N, 141.9 E)
probability for TS is 70% in about 24 hours
Kushiro (43.0 N, 144.4 E)
probability for TS is 65% in about 24 hours
Aomori (40.8 N, 140.8 E)
probability for TS is 55% in about 24 hours
Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html.
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 30 Sep, 2012 0:00 GMT
Typhoon JELAWAT (18W) currently located near 31.6 N 134.3 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Japan
probability for CAT 1 or above is 75% within 12 hours
probability for TS is 100% currently
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Shiono-misaki (33.5 N, 135.8 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 70% within 12 hours
probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Obama (35.4 N, 135.8 E)
probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
Osaka (34.6 N, 135.5 E)
probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
Tokushima (34.1 N, 134.6 E)
probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
Tokyo (35.7 N, 139.8 E)
probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
Nagoya (35.2 N, 136.9 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% within 12 hours
probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
Shizuoka (35.0 N, 138.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% within 12 hours
probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
Niigata (37.8 N, 139.2 E)
probability for TS is 95% within 12 hours
Iwaki (37.0 N, 140.8 E)
probability for TS is 90% within 12 hours
Kanazawa (36.8 N, 136.8 E)
probability for TS is 85% within 12 hours
Akita (39.8 N, 140.2 E)
probability for TS is 70% in about 24 hours
Sakata (39.0 N, 140.0 E)
probability for TS is 70% in about 24 hours
Sendai (38.3 N, 140.9 E)
probability for TS is 70% in about 24 hours
Miyako (39.7 N, 141.9 E)
probability for TS is 70% in about 24 hours
Kushiro (43.0 N, 144.4 E)
probability for TS is 65% in about 24 hours
Aomori (40.8 N, 140.8 E)
probability for TS is 55% in about 24 hours
Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html
.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
TSR Storm Alert - Typhoon JELAWAT
NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 29 Sep, 2012 18:00 GMT
Typhoon JELAWAT (18W) currently located near 29.8 N 132.6 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Japan
probability for CAT 1 or above is 55% within 12 hours
probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Shiono-misaki (33.5 N, 135.8 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 55% within 12 hours
probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Nagoya (35.2 N, 136.9 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% within 12 hours
probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
Shizuoka (35.0 N, 138.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 24 hours
probability for TS is 100% in about 24 hours
Osaka (34.6 N, 135.5 E)
probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
Tokushima (34.1 N, 134.6 E)
probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
Obama (35.4 N, 135.8 E)
probability for TS is 95% within 12 hours
Niigata (37.8 N, 139.2 E)
probability for TS is 90% in about 24 hours
Iwaki (37.0 N, 140.8 E)
probability for TS is 90% in about 24 hours
Tokyo (35.7 N, 139.8 E)
probability for TS is 90% in about 24 hours
Miyako (39.7 N, 141.9 E)
probability for TS is 90% in about 24 hours
Sendai (38.3 N, 140.9 E)
probability for TS is 90% in about 24 hours
Kanazawa (36.8 N, 136.8 E)
probability for TS is 80% in about 24 hours
Sakata (39.0 N, 140.0 E)
probability for TS is 80% in about 24 hours
Kagoshima (31.5 N, 130.5 E)
probability for TS is 60% currently
Akita (39.8 N, 140.2 E)
probability for TS is 60% in about 24 hours
Kushiro (43.0 N, 144.4 E)
probability for TS is 55% in about 36 hours
Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Aomori (40.8 N, 140.8 E)
probability for TS is 45% in about 24 hours
Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html.
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 29 Sep, 2012 18:00 GMT
Typhoon JELAWAT (18W) currently located near 29.8 N 132.6 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Japan
probability for CAT 1 or above is 55% within 12 hours
probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Shiono-misaki (33.5 N, 135.8 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 55% within 12 hours
probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Nagoya (35.2 N, 136.9 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% within 12 hours
probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
Shizuoka (35.0 N, 138.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 24 hours
probability for TS is 100% in about 24 hours
Osaka (34.6 N, 135.5 E)
probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
Tokushima (34.1 N, 134.6 E)
probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
Obama (35.4 N, 135.8 E)
probability for TS is 95% within 12 hours
Niigata (37.8 N, 139.2 E)
probability for TS is 90% in about 24 hours
Iwaki (37.0 N, 140.8 E)
probability for TS is 90% in about 24 hours
Tokyo (35.7 N, 139.8 E)
probability for TS is 90% in about 24 hours
Miyako (39.7 N, 141.9 E)
probability for TS is 90% in about 24 hours
Sendai (38.3 N, 140.9 E)
probability for TS is 90% in about 24 hours
Kanazawa (36.8 N, 136.8 E)
probability for TS is 80% in about 24 hours
Sakata (39.0 N, 140.0 E)
probability for TS is 80% in about 24 hours
Kagoshima (31.5 N, 130.5 E)
probability for TS is 60% currently
Akita (39.8 N, 140.2 E)
probability for TS is 60% in about 24 hours
Kushiro (43.0 N, 144.4 E)
probability for TS is 55% in about 36 hours
Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Aomori (40.8 N, 140.8 E)
probability for TS is 45% in about 24 hours
Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html
.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
Typhoon JELAWAT (18W) currently located near 29.8 N 132.6 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Japan
probability for CAT 1 or above is 55% within 12 hours
probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Shiono-misaki (33.5 N, 135.8 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 55% within 12 hours
probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Nagoya (35.2 N, 136.9 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% within 12 hours
probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
Shizuoka (35.0 N, 138.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 24 hours
probability for TS is 100% in about 24 hours
Osaka (34.6 N, 135.5 E)
probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
Tokushima (34.1 N, 134.6 E)
probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
Obama (35.4 N, 135.8 E)
probability for TS is 95% within 12 hours
Niigata (37.8 N, 139.2 E)
probability for TS is 90% in about 24 hours
Iwaki (37.0 N, 140.8 E)
probability for TS is 90% in about 24 hours
Tokyo (35.7 N, 139.8 E)
probability for TS is 90% in about 24 hours
Miyako (39.7 N, 141.9 E)
probability for TS is 90% in about 24 hours
Sendai (38.3 N, 140.9 E)
probability for TS is 90% in about 24 hours
Kanazawa (36.8 N, 136.8 E)
probability for TS is 80% in about 24 hours
Sakata (39.0 N, 140.0 E)
probability for TS is 80% in about 24 hours
Kagoshima (31.5 N, 130.5 E)
probability for TS is 60% currently
Akita (39.8 N, 140.2 E)
probability for TS is 60% in about 24 hours
Kushiro (43.0 N, 144.4 E)
probability for TS is 55% in about 36 hours
Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Aomori (40.8 N, 140.8 E)
probability for TS is 45% in about 24 hours
Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html.
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 29 Sep, 2012 18:00 GMT
Typhoon JELAWAT (18W) currently located near 29.8 N 132.6 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Japan
probability for CAT 1 or above is 55% within 12 hours
probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Shiono-misaki (33.5 N, 135.8 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 55% within 12 hours
probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Nagoya (35.2 N, 136.9 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% within 12 hours
probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
Shizuoka (35.0 N, 138.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 24 hours
probability for TS is 100% in about 24 hours
Osaka (34.6 N, 135.5 E)
probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
Tokushima (34.1 N, 134.6 E)
probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
Obama (35.4 N, 135.8 E)
probability for TS is 95% within 12 hours
Niigata (37.8 N, 139.2 E)
probability for TS is 90% in about 24 hours
Iwaki (37.0 N, 140.8 E)
probability for TS is 90% in about 24 hours
Tokyo (35.7 N, 139.8 E)
probability for TS is 90% in about 24 hours
Miyako (39.7 N, 141.9 E)
probability for TS is 90% in about 24 hours
Sendai (38.3 N, 140.9 E)
probability for TS is 90% in about 24 hours
Kanazawa (36.8 N, 136.8 E)
probability for TS is 80% in about 24 hours
Sakata (39.0 N, 140.0 E)
probability for TS is 80% in about 24 hours
Kagoshima (31.5 N, 130.5 E)
probability for TS is 60% currently
Akita (39.8 N, 140.2 E)
probability for TS is 60% in about 24 hours
Kushiro (43.0 N, 144.4 E)
probability for TS is 55% in about 36 hours
Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Aomori (40.8 N, 140.8 E)
probability for TS is 45% in about 24 hours
Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html
.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
TSR Storm Alert - Typhoon JELAWAT
NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 29 Sep, 2012 12:00 GMT
Typhoon JELAWAT (18W) currently located near 28.0 N 130.2 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Japan
probability for CAT 1 or above is 55% in about 24 hours
probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Shiono-misaki (33.5 N, 135.8 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 55% in about 24 hours
probability for TS is 95% in about 24 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Nagoya (35.2 N, 136.9 E)
probability for TS is 95% in about 24 hours
Osaka (34.6 N, 135.5 E)
probability for TS is 95% in about 24 hours
Tokushima (34.1 N, 134.6 E)
probability for TS is 95% in about 24 hours
Tokyo (35.7 N, 139.8 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 24 hours
probability for TS is 95% in about 24 hours
Shizuoka (35.0 N, 138.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% in about 24 hours
probability for TS is 95% in about 24 hours
Kagoshima (31.5 N, 130.5 E)
probability for TS is 85% within 12 hours
Obama (35.4 N, 135.8 E)
probability for TS is 85% in about 24 hours
Miyako (39.7 N, 141.9 E)
probability for TS is 75% in about 36 hours
Sendai (38.3 N, 140.9 E)
probability for TS is 75% in about 36 hours
Niigata (37.8 N, 139.2 E)
probability for TS is 75% in about 36 hours
Iwaki (37.0 N, 140.8 E)
probability for TS is 75% in about 36 hours
Sakata (39.0 N, 140.0 E)
probability for TS is 65% in about 36 hours
Kanazawa (36.8 N, 136.8 E)
probability for TS is 65% in about 24 hours
Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Okinawa (26.3 N, 127.8 E)
probability for TS is 50% currently
Akita (39.8 N, 140.2 E)
probability for TS is 50% in about 36 hours
Kushiro (43.0 N, 144.4 E)
probability for TS is 45% in about 48 hours
Hiroshima (34.4 N, 132.4 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 24 hours
Kumamoto (32.7 N, 130.7 E)
probability for TS is 35% within 12 hours
Aomori (40.8 N, 140.8 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 36 hours
Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html.
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 29 Sep, 2012 12:00 GMT
Typhoon JELAWAT (18W) currently located near 28.0 N 130.2 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Japan
probability for CAT 1 or above is 55% in about 24 hours
probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Shiono-misaki (33.5 N, 135.8 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 55% in about 24 hours
probability for TS is 95% in about 24 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Nagoya (35.2 N, 136.9 E)
probability for TS is 95% in about 24 hours
Osaka (34.6 N, 135.5 E)
probability for TS is 95% in about 24 hours
Tokushima (34.1 N, 134.6 E)
probability for TS is 95% in about 24 hours
Tokyo (35.7 N, 139.8 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 24 hours
probability for TS is 95% in about 24 hours
Shizuoka (35.0 N, 138.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% in about 24 hours
probability for TS is 95% in about 24 hours
Kagoshima (31.5 N, 130.5 E)
probability for TS is 85% within 12 hours
Obama (35.4 N, 135.8 E)
probability for TS is 85% in about 24 hours
Miyako (39.7 N, 141.9 E)
probability for TS is 75% in about 36 hours
Sendai (38.3 N, 140.9 E)
probability for TS is 75% in about 36 hours
Niigata (37.8 N, 139.2 E)
probability for TS is 75% in about 36 hours
Iwaki (37.0 N, 140.8 E)
probability for TS is 75% in about 36 hours
Sakata (39.0 N, 140.0 E)
probability for TS is 65% in about 36 hours
Kanazawa (36.8 N, 136.8 E)
probability for TS is 65% in about 24 hours
Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Okinawa (26.3 N, 127.8 E)
probability for TS is 50% currently
Akita (39.8 N, 140.2 E)
probability for TS is 50% in about 36 hours
Kushiro (43.0 N, 144.4 E)
probability for TS is 45% in about 48 hours
Hiroshima (34.4 N, 132.4 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 24 hours
Kumamoto (32.7 N, 130.7 E)
probability for TS is 35% within 12 hours
Aomori (40.8 N, 140.8 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 36 hours
Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html
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This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
Typhoon JELAWAT (18W) currently located near 28.0 N 130.2 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Japan
probability for CAT 1 or above is 55% in about 24 hours
probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Shiono-misaki (33.5 N, 135.8 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 55% in about 24 hours
probability for TS is 95% in about 24 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Nagoya (35.2 N, 136.9 E)
probability for TS is 95% in about 24 hours
Osaka (34.6 N, 135.5 E)
probability for TS is 95% in about 24 hours
Tokushima (34.1 N, 134.6 E)
probability for TS is 95% in about 24 hours
Tokyo (35.7 N, 139.8 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 24 hours
probability for TS is 95% in about 24 hours
Shizuoka (35.0 N, 138.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% in about 24 hours
probability for TS is 95% in about 24 hours
Kagoshima (31.5 N, 130.5 E)
probability for TS is 85% within 12 hours
Obama (35.4 N, 135.8 E)
probability for TS is 85% in about 24 hours
Miyako (39.7 N, 141.9 E)
probability for TS is 75% in about 36 hours
Sendai (38.3 N, 140.9 E)
probability for TS is 75% in about 36 hours
Niigata (37.8 N, 139.2 E)
probability for TS is 75% in about 36 hours
Iwaki (37.0 N, 140.8 E)
probability for TS is 75% in about 36 hours
Sakata (39.0 N, 140.0 E)
probability for TS is 65% in about 36 hours
Kanazawa (36.8 N, 136.8 E)
probability for TS is 65% in about 24 hours
Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Okinawa (26.3 N, 127.8 E)
probability for TS is 50% currently
Akita (39.8 N, 140.2 E)
probability for TS is 50% in about 36 hours
Kushiro (43.0 N, 144.4 E)
probability for TS is 45% in about 48 hours
Hiroshima (34.4 N, 132.4 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 24 hours
Kumamoto (32.7 N, 130.7 E)
probability for TS is 35% within 12 hours
Aomori (40.8 N, 140.8 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 36 hours
Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html.
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 29 Sep, 2012 12:00 GMT
Typhoon JELAWAT (18W) currently located near 28.0 N 130.2 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Japan
probability for CAT 1 or above is 55% in about 24 hours
probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Shiono-misaki (33.5 N, 135.8 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 55% in about 24 hours
probability for TS is 95% in about 24 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Nagoya (35.2 N, 136.9 E)
probability for TS is 95% in about 24 hours
Osaka (34.6 N, 135.5 E)
probability for TS is 95% in about 24 hours
Tokushima (34.1 N, 134.6 E)
probability for TS is 95% in about 24 hours
Tokyo (35.7 N, 139.8 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 24 hours
probability for TS is 95% in about 24 hours
Shizuoka (35.0 N, 138.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% in about 24 hours
probability for TS is 95% in about 24 hours
Kagoshima (31.5 N, 130.5 E)
probability for TS is 85% within 12 hours
Obama (35.4 N, 135.8 E)
probability for TS is 85% in about 24 hours
Miyako (39.7 N, 141.9 E)
probability for TS is 75% in about 36 hours
Sendai (38.3 N, 140.9 E)
probability for TS is 75% in about 36 hours
Niigata (37.8 N, 139.2 E)
probability for TS is 75% in about 36 hours
Iwaki (37.0 N, 140.8 E)
probability for TS is 75% in about 36 hours
Sakata (39.0 N, 140.0 E)
probability for TS is 65% in about 36 hours
Kanazawa (36.8 N, 136.8 E)
probability for TS is 65% in about 24 hours
Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Okinawa (26.3 N, 127.8 E)
probability for TS is 50% currently
Akita (39.8 N, 140.2 E)
probability for TS is 50% in about 36 hours
Kushiro (43.0 N, 144.4 E)
probability for TS is 45% in about 48 hours
Hiroshima (34.4 N, 132.4 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 24 hours
Kumamoto (32.7 N, 130.7 E)
probability for TS is 35% within 12 hours
Aomori (40.8 N, 140.8 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 36 hours
Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html
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This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
TSR Storm Alert - Typhoon JELAWAT
NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 29 Sep, 2012 6:00 GMT
Typhoon JELAWAT (18W) currently located near 27.0 N 128.5 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Okinawa (26.3 N, 127.8 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 100% currently
probability for TS is 100% currently
Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Japan
probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 24 hours
probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Kagoshima (31.5 N, 130.5 E)
probability for TS is 90% within 12 hours
Shiono-misaki (33.5 N, 135.8 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 24 hours
probability for TS is 90% in about 24 hours
Tokushima (34.1 N, 134.6 E)
probability for TS is 85% in about 24 hours
Osaka (34.6 N, 135.5 E)
probability for TS is 80% in about 24 hours
Nagoya (35.2 N, 136.9 E)
probability for TS is 75% in about 36 hours
Obama (35.4 N, 135.8 E)
probability for TS is 65% in about 24 hours
Kumamoto (32.7 N, 130.7 E)
probability for TS is 55% in about 24 hours
Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Tokyo (35.7 N, 139.8 E)
probability for TS is 50% in about 36 hours
Shizuoka (35.0 N, 138.5 E)
probability for TS is 50% in about 36 hours
Sendai (38.3 N, 140.9 E)
probability for TS is 50% in about 36 hours
Iwaki (37.0 N, 140.8 E)
probability for TS is 50% in about 36 hours
Kanazawa (36.8 N, 136.8 E)
probability for TS is 45% in about 36 hours
Niigata (37.8 N, 139.2 E)
probability for TS is 45% in about 36 hours
Hiroshima (34.4 N, 132.4 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 24 hours
Miyako (39.7 N, 141.9 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 48 hours
Sakata (39.0 N, 140.0 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 36 hours
Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html.
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 29 Sep, 2012 6:00 GMT
Typhoon JELAWAT (18W) currently located near 27.0 N 128.5 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Okinawa (26.3 N, 127.8 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 100% currently
probability for TS is 100% currently
Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Japan
probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 24 hours
probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Kagoshima (31.5 N, 130.5 E)
probability for TS is 90% within 12 hours
Shiono-misaki (33.5 N, 135.8 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 24 hours
probability for TS is 90% in about 24 hours
Tokushima (34.1 N, 134.6 E)
probability for TS is 85% in about 24 hours
Osaka (34.6 N, 135.5 E)
probability for TS is 80% in about 24 hours
Nagoya (35.2 N, 136.9 E)
probability for TS is 75% in about 36 hours
Obama (35.4 N, 135.8 E)
probability for TS is 65% in about 24 hours
Kumamoto (32.7 N, 130.7 E)
probability for TS is 55% in about 24 hours
Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Tokyo (35.7 N, 139.8 E)
probability for TS is 50% in about 36 hours
Shizuoka (35.0 N, 138.5 E)
probability for TS is 50% in about 36 hours
Sendai (38.3 N, 140.9 E)
probability for TS is 50% in about 36 hours
Iwaki (37.0 N, 140.8 E)
probability for TS is 50% in about 36 hours
Kanazawa (36.8 N, 136.8 E)
probability for TS is 45% in about 36 hours
Niigata (37.8 N, 139.2 E)
probability for TS is 45% in about 36 hours
Hiroshima (34.4 N, 132.4 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 24 hours
Miyako (39.7 N, 141.9 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 48 hours
Sakata (39.0 N, 140.0 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 36 hours
Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html
.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
Typhoon JELAWAT (18W) currently located near 27.0 N 128.5 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Okinawa (26.3 N, 127.8 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 100% currently
probability for TS is 100% currently
Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Japan
probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 24 hours
probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Kagoshima (31.5 N, 130.5 E)
probability for TS is 90% within 12 hours
Shiono-misaki (33.5 N, 135.8 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 24 hours
probability for TS is 90% in about 24 hours
Tokushima (34.1 N, 134.6 E)
probability for TS is 85% in about 24 hours
Osaka (34.6 N, 135.5 E)
probability for TS is 80% in about 24 hours
Nagoya (35.2 N, 136.9 E)
probability for TS is 75% in about 36 hours
Obama (35.4 N, 135.8 E)
probability for TS is 65% in about 24 hours
Kumamoto (32.7 N, 130.7 E)
probability for TS is 55% in about 24 hours
Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Tokyo (35.7 N, 139.8 E)
probability for TS is 50% in about 36 hours
Shizuoka (35.0 N, 138.5 E)
probability for TS is 50% in about 36 hours
Sendai (38.3 N, 140.9 E)
probability for TS is 50% in about 36 hours
Iwaki (37.0 N, 140.8 E)
probability for TS is 50% in about 36 hours
Kanazawa (36.8 N, 136.8 E)
probability for TS is 45% in about 36 hours
Niigata (37.8 N, 139.2 E)
probability for TS is 45% in about 36 hours
Hiroshima (34.4 N, 132.4 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 24 hours
Miyako (39.7 N, 141.9 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 48 hours
Sakata (39.0 N, 140.0 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 36 hours
Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html.
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 29 Sep, 2012 6:00 GMT
Typhoon JELAWAT (18W) currently located near 27.0 N 128.5 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Okinawa (26.3 N, 127.8 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 100% currently
probability for TS is 100% currently
Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Japan
probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 24 hours
probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Kagoshima (31.5 N, 130.5 E)
probability for TS is 90% within 12 hours
Shiono-misaki (33.5 N, 135.8 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 24 hours
probability for TS is 90% in about 24 hours
Tokushima (34.1 N, 134.6 E)
probability for TS is 85% in about 24 hours
Osaka (34.6 N, 135.5 E)
probability for TS is 80% in about 24 hours
Nagoya (35.2 N, 136.9 E)
probability for TS is 75% in about 36 hours
Obama (35.4 N, 135.8 E)
probability for TS is 65% in about 24 hours
Kumamoto (32.7 N, 130.7 E)
probability for TS is 55% in about 24 hours
Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Tokyo (35.7 N, 139.8 E)
probability for TS is 50% in about 36 hours
Shizuoka (35.0 N, 138.5 E)
probability for TS is 50% in about 36 hours
Sendai (38.3 N, 140.9 E)
probability for TS is 50% in about 36 hours
Iwaki (37.0 N, 140.8 E)
probability for TS is 50% in about 36 hours
Kanazawa (36.8 N, 136.8 E)
probability for TS is 45% in about 36 hours
Niigata (37.8 N, 139.2 E)
probability for TS is 45% in about 36 hours
Hiroshima (34.4 N, 132.4 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 24 hours
Miyako (39.7 N, 141.9 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 48 hours
Sakata (39.0 N, 140.0 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 36 hours
Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html
.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
Friday, September 28, 2012
TSR Storm Alert - Typhoon JELAWAT
NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 29 Sep, 2012 0:00 GMT
Typhoon JELAWAT (18W) currently located near 26.1 N 127.4 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Japan
probability for CAT 1 or above is 65% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 100% in about 24 hours
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Okinawa (26.3 N, 127.8 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 100% currently
probability for TS is 100% currently
Shiono-misaki (33.5 N, 135.8 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 65% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 85% in about 36 hours
Shizuoka (35.0 N, 138.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 35% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 85% in about 36 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Kagoshima (31.5 N, 130.5 E)
probability for TS is 90% in about 24 hours
Nagoya (35.2 N, 136.9 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 85% in about 36 hours
Osaka (34.6 N, 135.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 85% in about 36 hours
Tokushima (34.1 N, 134.6 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 85% in about 36 hours
Tokyo (35.7 N, 139.8 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 85% in about 36 hours
Obama (35.4 N, 135.8 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 80% in about 36 hours
Kumamoto (32.7 N, 130.7 E)
probability for TS is 65% in about 24 hours
Kanazawa (36.8 N, 136.8 E)
probability for TS is 65% in about 36 hours
Iwaki (37.0 N, 140.8 E)
probability for TS is 65% in about 48 hours
Niigata (37.8 N, 139.2 E)
probability for TS is 60% in about 36 hours
Hiroshima (34.4 N, 132.4 E)
probability for TS is 55% in about 36 hours
Miyako (39.7 N, 141.9 E)
probability for TS is 55% in about 48 hours
Sakata (39.0 N, 140.0 E)
probability for TS is 55% in about 48 hours
Sendai (38.3 N, 140.9 E)
probability for TS is 55% in about 48 hours
Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Akita (39.8 N, 140.2 E)
probability for TS is 45% in about 48 hours
Saga (33.3 N, 130.3 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 24 hours
Nagasaki (32.8 N, 129.9 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 24 hours
Matsue (35.4 N, 133.0 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 36 hours
Aomori (40.8 N, 140.8 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 48 hours
Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html.
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 29 Sep, 2012 0:00 GMT
Typhoon JELAWAT (18W) currently located near 26.1 N 127.4 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Japan
probability for CAT 1 or above is 65% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 100% in about 24 hours
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Okinawa (26.3 N, 127.8 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 100% currently
probability for TS is 100% currently
Shiono-misaki (33.5 N, 135.8 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 65% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 85% in about 36 hours
Shizuoka (35.0 N, 138.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 35% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 85% in about 36 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Kagoshima (31.5 N, 130.5 E)
probability for TS is 90% in about 24 hours
Nagoya (35.2 N, 136.9 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 85% in about 36 hours
Osaka (34.6 N, 135.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 85% in about 36 hours
Tokushima (34.1 N, 134.6 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 85% in about 36 hours
Tokyo (35.7 N, 139.8 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 85% in about 36 hours
Obama (35.4 N, 135.8 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 80% in about 36 hours
Kumamoto (32.7 N, 130.7 E)
probability for TS is 65% in about 24 hours
Kanazawa (36.8 N, 136.8 E)
probability for TS is 65% in about 36 hours
Iwaki (37.0 N, 140.8 E)
probability for TS is 65% in about 48 hours
Niigata (37.8 N, 139.2 E)
probability for TS is 60% in about 36 hours
Hiroshima (34.4 N, 132.4 E)
probability for TS is 55% in about 36 hours
Miyako (39.7 N, 141.9 E)
probability for TS is 55% in about 48 hours
Sakata (39.0 N, 140.0 E)
probability for TS is 55% in about 48 hours
Sendai (38.3 N, 140.9 E)
probability for TS is 55% in about 48 hours
Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Akita (39.8 N, 140.2 E)
probability for TS is 45% in about 48 hours
Saga (33.3 N, 130.3 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 24 hours
Nagasaki (32.8 N, 129.9 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 24 hours
Matsue (35.4 N, 133.0 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 36 hours
Aomori (40.8 N, 140.8 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 48 hours
Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html
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This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
Typhoon JELAWAT (18W) currently located near 26.1 N 127.4 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Japan
probability for CAT 1 or above is 65% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 100% in about 24 hours
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Okinawa (26.3 N, 127.8 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 100% currently
probability for TS is 100% currently
Shiono-misaki (33.5 N, 135.8 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 65% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 85% in about 36 hours
Shizuoka (35.0 N, 138.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 35% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 85% in about 36 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Kagoshima (31.5 N, 130.5 E)
probability for TS is 90% in about 24 hours
Nagoya (35.2 N, 136.9 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 85% in about 36 hours
Osaka (34.6 N, 135.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 85% in about 36 hours
Tokushima (34.1 N, 134.6 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 85% in about 36 hours
Tokyo (35.7 N, 139.8 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 85% in about 36 hours
Obama (35.4 N, 135.8 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 80% in about 36 hours
Kumamoto (32.7 N, 130.7 E)
probability for TS is 65% in about 24 hours
Kanazawa (36.8 N, 136.8 E)
probability for TS is 65% in about 36 hours
Iwaki (37.0 N, 140.8 E)
probability for TS is 65% in about 48 hours
Niigata (37.8 N, 139.2 E)
probability for TS is 60% in about 36 hours
Hiroshima (34.4 N, 132.4 E)
probability for TS is 55% in about 36 hours
Miyako (39.7 N, 141.9 E)
probability for TS is 55% in about 48 hours
Sakata (39.0 N, 140.0 E)
probability for TS is 55% in about 48 hours
Sendai (38.3 N, 140.9 E)
probability for TS is 55% in about 48 hours
Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Akita (39.8 N, 140.2 E)
probability for TS is 45% in about 48 hours
Saga (33.3 N, 130.3 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 24 hours
Nagasaki (32.8 N, 129.9 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 24 hours
Matsue (35.4 N, 133.0 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 36 hours
Aomori (40.8 N, 140.8 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 48 hours
Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html.
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 29 Sep, 2012 0:00 GMT
Typhoon JELAWAT (18W) currently located near 26.1 N 127.4 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Japan
probability for CAT 1 or above is 65% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 100% in about 24 hours
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Okinawa (26.3 N, 127.8 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 100% currently
probability for TS is 100% currently
Shiono-misaki (33.5 N, 135.8 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 65% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 85% in about 36 hours
Shizuoka (35.0 N, 138.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 35% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 85% in about 36 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Kagoshima (31.5 N, 130.5 E)
probability for TS is 90% in about 24 hours
Nagoya (35.2 N, 136.9 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 85% in about 36 hours
Osaka (34.6 N, 135.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 85% in about 36 hours
Tokushima (34.1 N, 134.6 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 85% in about 36 hours
Tokyo (35.7 N, 139.8 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 85% in about 36 hours
Obama (35.4 N, 135.8 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 80% in about 36 hours
Kumamoto (32.7 N, 130.7 E)
probability for TS is 65% in about 24 hours
Kanazawa (36.8 N, 136.8 E)
probability for TS is 65% in about 36 hours
Iwaki (37.0 N, 140.8 E)
probability for TS is 65% in about 48 hours
Niigata (37.8 N, 139.2 E)
probability for TS is 60% in about 36 hours
Hiroshima (34.4 N, 132.4 E)
probability for TS is 55% in about 36 hours
Miyako (39.7 N, 141.9 E)
probability for TS is 55% in about 48 hours
Sakata (39.0 N, 140.0 E)
probability for TS is 55% in about 48 hours
Sendai (38.3 N, 140.9 E)
probability for TS is 55% in about 48 hours
Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Akita (39.8 N, 140.2 E)
probability for TS is 45% in about 48 hours
Saga (33.3 N, 130.3 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 24 hours
Nagasaki (32.8 N, 129.9 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 24 hours
Matsue (35.4 N, 133.0 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 36 hours
Aomori (40.8 N, 140.8 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 48 hours
Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html
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This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
TSR Storm Alert - Typhoon JELAWAT
NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 28 Sep, 2012 18:00 GMT
Typhoon JELAWAT (18W) currently located near 25.1 N 126.0 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Okinawa (26.3 N, 127.8 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 100% within 12 hours
probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Japan
probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 95% in about 36 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Shiono-misaki (33.5 N, 135.8 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 95% in about 36 hours
Tokushima (34.1 N, 134.6 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 85% in about 36 hours
Kagoshima (31.5 N, 130.5 E)
probability for TS is 85% in about 36 hours
Osaka (34.6 N, 135.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 80% in about 36 hours
Tokyo (35.7 N, 139.8 E)
probability for TS is 75% in about 48 hours
Obama (35.4 N, 135.8 E)
probability for TS is 75% in about 48 hours
Nagoya (35.2 N, 136.9 E)
probability for TS is 75% in about 48 hours
Shizuoka (35.0 N, 138.5 E)
probability for TS is 75% in about 48 hours
Iwaki (37.0 N, 140.8 E)
probability for TS is 75% in about 48 hours
Niigata (37.8 N, 139.2 E)
probability for TS is 70% in about 48 hours
Kanazawa (36.8 N, 136.8 E)
probability for TS is 70% in about 48 hours
Sendai (38.3 N, 140.9 E)
probability for TS is 70% in about 48 hours
Kumamoto (32.7 N, 130.7 E)
probability for TS is 65% in about 36 hours
Sakata (39.0 N, 140.0 E)
probability for TS is 60% in about 48 hours
Hiroshima (34.4 N, 132.4 E)
probability for TS is 55% in about 36 hours
Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Nagasaki (32.8 N, 129.9 E)
probability for TS is 45% in about 36 hours
Matsue (35.4 N, 133.0 E)
probability for TS is 45% in about 48 hours
Akita (39.8 N, 140.2 E)
probability for TS is 45% in about 48 hours
Miyako (39.7 N, 141.9 E)
probability for TS is 45% in about 72 hours
Saga (33.3 N, 130.3 E)
probability for TS is 40% in about 36 hours
Aomori (40.8 N, 140.8 E)
probability for TS is 40% in about 72 hours
Kushiro (43.0 N, 144.4 E)
probability for TS is 40% in about 72 hours
Fukuoka (33.6 N, 130.4 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 36 hours
Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html.
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 28 Sep, 2012 18:00 GMT
Typhoon JELAWAT (18W) currently located near 25.1 N 126.0 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Okinawa (26.3 N, 127.8 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 100% within 12 hours
probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Japan
probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 95% in about 36 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Shiono-misaki (33.5 N, 135.8 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 95% in about 36 hours
Tokushima (34.1 N, 134.6 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 85% in about 36 hours
Kagoshima (31.5 N, 130.5 E)
probability for TS is 85% in about 36 hours
Osaka (34.6 N, 135.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 80% in about 36 hours
Tokyo (35.7 N, 139.8 E)
probability for TS is 75% in about 48 hours
Obama (35.4 N, 135.8 E)
probability for TS is 75% in about 48 hours
Nagoya (35.2 N, 136.9 E)
probability for TS is 75% in about 48 hours
Shizuoka (35.0 N, 138.5 E)
probability for TS is 75% in about 48 hours
Iwaki (37.0 N, 140.8 E)
probability for TS is 75% in about 48 hours
Niigata (37.8 N, 139.2 E)
probability for TS is 70% in about 48 hours
Kanazawa (36.8 N, 136.8 E)
probability for TS is 70% in about 48 hours
Sendai (38.3 N, 140.9 E)
probability for TS is 70% in about 48 hours
Kumamoto (32.7 N, 130.7 E)
probability for TS is 65% in about 36 hours
Sakata (39.0 N, 140.0 E)
probability for TS is 60% in about 48 hours
Hiroshima (34.4 N, 132.4 E)
probability for TS is 55% in about 36 hours
Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Nagasaki (32.8 N, 129.9 E)
probability for TS is 45% in about 36 hours
Matsue (35.4 N, 133.0 E)
probability for TS is 45% in about 48 hours
Akita (39.8 N, 140.2 E)
probability for TS is 45% in about 48 hours
Miyako (39.7 N, 141.9 E)
probability for TS is 45% in about 72 hours
Saga (33.3 N, 130.3 E)
probability for TS is 40% in about 36 hours
Aomori (40.8 N, 140.8 E)
probability for TS is 40% in about 72 hours
Kushiro (43.0 N, 144.4 E)
probability for TS is 40% in about 72 hours
Fukuoka (33.6 N, 130.4 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 36 hours
Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html
.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
Typhoon JELAWAT (18W) currently located near 25.1 N 126.0 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Okinawa (26.3 N, 127.8 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 100% within 12 hours
probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Japan
probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 95% in about 36 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Shiono-misaki (33.5 N, 135.8 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 95% in about 36 hours
Tokushima (34.1 N, 134.6 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 85% in about 36 hours
Kagoshima (31.5 N, 130.5 E)
probability for TS is 85% in about 36 hours
Osaka (34.6 N, 135.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 80% in about 36 hours
Tokyo (35.7 N, 139.8 E)
probability for TS is 75% in about 48 hours
Obama (35.4 N, 135.8 E)
probability for TS is 75% in about 48 hours
Nagoya (35.2 N, 136.9 E)
probability for TS is 75% in about 48 hours
Shizuoka (35.0 N, 138.5 E)
probability for TS is 75% in about 48 hours
Iwaki (37.0 N, 140.8 E)
probability for TS is 75% in about 48 hours
Niigata (37.8 N, 139.2 E)
probability for TS is 70% in about 48 hours
Kanazawa (36.8 N, 136.8 E)
probability for TS is 70% in about 48 hours
Sendai (38.3 N, 140.9 E)
probability for TS is 70% in about 48 hours
Kumamoto (32.7 N, 130.7 E)
probability for TS is 65% in about 36 hours
Sakata (39.0 N, 140.0 E)
probability for TS is 60% in about 48 hours
Hiroshima (34.4 N, 132.4 E)
probability for TS is 55% in about 36 hours
Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Nagasaki (32.8 N, 129.9 E)
probability for TS is 45% in about 36 hours
Matsue (35.4 N, 133.0 E)
probability for TS is 45% in about 48 hours
Akita (39.8 N, 140.2 E)
probability for TS is 45% in about 48 hours
Miyako (39.7 N, 141.9 E)
probability for TS is 45% in about 72 hours
Saga (33.3 N, 130.3 E)
probability for TS is 40% in about 36 hours
Aomori (40.8 N, 140.8 E)
probability for TS is 40% in about 72 hours
Kushiro (43.0 N, 144.4 E)
probability for TS is 40% in about 72 hours
Fukuoka (33.6 N, 130.4 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 36 hours
Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html.
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 28 Sep, 2012 18:00 GMT
Typhoon JELAWAT (18W) currently located near 25.1 N 126.0 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Okinawa (26.3 N, 127.8 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 100% within 12 hours
probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Japan
probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 95% in about 36 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Shiono-misaki (33.5 N, 135.8 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 95% in about 36 hours
Tokushima (34.1 N, 134.6 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 85% in about 36 hours
Kagoshima (31.5 N, 130.5 E)
probability for TS is 85% in about 36 hours
Osaka (34.6 N, 135.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 80% in about 36 hours
Tokyo (35.7 N, 139.8 E)
probability for TS is 75% in about 48 hours
Obama (35.4 N, 135.8 E)
probability for TS is 75% in about 48 hours
Nagoya (35.2 N, 136.9 E)
probability for TS is 75% in about 48 hours
Shizuoka (35.0 N, 138.5 E)
probability for TS is 75% in about 48 hours
Iwaki (37.0 N, 140.8 E)
probability for TS is 75% in about 48 hours
Niigata (37.8 N, 139.2 E)
probability for TS is 70% in about 48 hours
Kanazawa (36.8 N, 136.8 E)
probability for TS is 70% in about 48 hours
Sendai (38.3 N, 140.9 E)
probability for TS is 70% in about 48 hours
Kumamoto (32.7 N, 130.7 E)
probability for TS is 65% in about 36 hours
Sakata (39.0 N, 140.0 E)
probability for TS is 60% in about 48 hours
Hiroshima (34.4 N, 132.4 E)
probability for TS is 55% in about 36 hours
Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Nagasaki (32.8 N, 129.9 E)
probability for TS is 45% in about 36 hours
Matsue (35.4 N, 133.0 E)
probability for TS is 45% in about 48 hours
Akita (39.8 N, 140.2 E)
probability for TS is 45% in about 48 hours
Miyako (39.7 N, 141.9 E)
probability for TS is 45% in about 72 hours
Saga (33.3 N, 130.3 E)
probability for TS is 40% in about 36 hours
Aomori (40.8 N, 140.8 E)
probability for TS is 40% in about 72 hours
Kushiro (43.0 N, 144.4 E)
probability for TS is 40% in about 72 hours
Fukuoka (33.6 N, 130.4 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 36 hours
Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html
.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
TSR Storm Alert - Typhoon JELAWAT
NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 28 Sep, 2012 12:00 GMT
Typhoon JELAWAT (18W) currently located near 24.2 N 125.1 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Japan
probability for CAT 1 or above is 35% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 85% in about 36 hours
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Okinawa (26.3 N, 127.8 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 100% in about 24 hours
probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
Shiono-misaki (33.5 N, 135.8 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 35% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 75% in about 48 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Kagoshima (31.5 N, 130.5 E)
probability for TS is 75% in about 36 hours
Nagoya (35.2 N, 136.9 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 75% in about 48 hours
Osaka (34.6 N, 135.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 75% in about 48 hours
Tokushima (34.1 N, 134.6 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 75% in about 48 hours
Obama (35.4 N, 135.8 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 70% in about 48 hours
Shizuoka (35.0 N, 138.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 70% in about 48 hours
Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Kumamoto (32.7 N, 130.7 E)
probability for TS is 50% in about 36 hours
Kanazawa (36.8 N, 136.8 E)
probability for TS is 50% in about 48 hours
Tokyo (35.7 N, 139.8 E)
probability for TS is 50% in about 48 hours
Hiroshima (34.4 N, 132.4 E)
probability for TS is 45% in about 48 hours
Akita (39.8 N, 140.2 E)
probability for TS is 45% in about 72 hours
Sakata (39.0 N, 140.0 E)
probability for TS is 45% in about 72 hours
Sendai (38.3 N, 140.9 E)
probability for TS is 45% in about 72 hours
Niigata (37.8 N, 139.2 E)
probability for TS is 45% in about 72 hours
Iwaki (37.0 N, 140.8 E)
probability for TS is 45% in about 72 hours
Miyako (39.7 N, 141.9 E)
probability for TS is 45% in about 72 hours
Kushiro (43.0 N, 144.4 E)
probability for TS is 40% in about 72 hours
Aomori (40.8 N, 140.8 E)
probability for TS is 40% in about 72 hours
Saga (33.3 N, 130.3 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 48 hours
Nagasaki (32.8 N, 129.9 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 36 hours
Matsue (35.4 N, 133.0 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 48 hours
Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html.
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This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 28 Sep, 2012 12:00 GMT
Typhoon JELAWAT (18W) currently located near 24.2 N 125.1 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Japan
probability for CAT 1 or above is 35% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 85% in about 36 hours
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Okinawa (26.3 N, 127.8 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 100% in about 24 hours
probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
Shiono-misaki (33.5 N, 135.8 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 35% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 75% in about 48 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Kagoshima (31.5 N, 130.5 E)
probability for TS is 75% in about 36 hours
Nagoya (35.2 N, 136.9 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 75% in about 48 hours
Osaka (34.6 N, 135.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 75% in about 48 hours
Tokushima (34.1 N, 134.6 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 75% in about 48 hours
Obama (35.4 N, 135.8 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 70% in about 48 hours
Shizuoka (35.0 N, 138.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 70% in about 48 hours
Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Kumamoto (32.7 N, 130.7 E)
probability for TS is 50% in about 36 hours
Kanazawa (36.8 N, 136.8 E)
probability for TS is 50% in about 48 hours
Tokyo (35.7 N, 139.8 E)
probability for TS is 50% in about 48 hours
Hiroshima (34.4 N, 132.4 E)
probability for TS is 45% in about 48 hours
Akita (39.8 N, 140.2 E)
probability for TS is 45% in about 72 hours
Sakata (39.0 N, 140.0 E)
probability for TS is 45% in about 72 hours
Sendai (38.3 N, 140.9 E)
probability for TS is 45% in about 72 hours
Niigata (37.8 N, 139.2 E)
probability for TS is 45% in about 72 hours
Iwaki (37.0 N, 140.8 E)
probability for TS is 45% in about 72 hours
Miyako (39.7 N, 141.9 E)
probability for TS is 45% in about 72 hours
Kushiro (43.0 N, 144.4 E)
probability for TS is 40% in about 72 hours
Aomori (40.8 N, 140.8 E)
probability for TS is 40% in about 72 hours
Saga (33.3 N, 130.3 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 48 hours
Nagasaki (32.8 N, 129.9 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 36 hours
Matsue (35.4 N, 133.0 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 48 hours
Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html
.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
Typhoon JELAWAT (18W) currently located near 24.2 N 125.1 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Japan
probability for CAT 1 or above is 35% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 85% in about 36 hours
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Okinawa (26.3 N, 127.8 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 100% in about 24 hours
probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
Shiono-misaki (33.5 N, 135.8 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 35% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 75% in about 48 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Kagoshima (31.5 N, 130.5 E)
probability for TS is 75% in about 36 hours
Nagoya (35.2 N, 136.9 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 75% in about 48 hours
Osaka (34.6 N, 135.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 75% in about 48 hours
Tokushima (34.1 N, 134.6 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 75% in about 48 hours
Obama (35.4 N, 135.8 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 70% in about 48 hours
Shizuoka (35.0 N, 138.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 70% in about 48 hours
Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Kumamoto (32.7 N, 130.7 E)
probability for TS is 50% in about 36 hours
Kanazawa (36.8 N, 136.8 E)
probability for TS is 50% in about 48 hours
Tokyo (35.7 N, 139.8 E)
probability for TS is 50% in about 48 hours
Hiroshima (34.4 N, 132.4 E)
probability for TS is 45% in about 48 hours
Akita (39.8 N, 140.2 E)
probability for TS is 45% in about 72 hours
Sakata (39.0 N, 140.0 E)
probability for TS is 45% in about 72 hours
Sendai (38.3 N, 140.9 E)
probability for TS is 45% in about 72 hours
Niigata (37.8 N, 139.2 E)
probability for TS is 45% in about 72 hours
Iwaki (37.0 N, 140.8 E)
probability for TS is 45% in about 72 hours
Miyako (39.7 N, 141.9 E)
probability for TS is 45% in about 72 hours
Kushiro (43.0 N, 144.4 E)
probability for TS is 40% in about 72 hours
Aomori (40.8 N, 140.8 E)
probability for TS is 40% in about 72 hours
Saga (33.3 N, 130.3 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 48 hours
Nagasaki (32.8 N, 129.9 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 36 hours
Matsue (35.4 N, 133.0 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 48 hours
Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html.
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 28 Sep, 2012 12:00 GMT
Typhoon JELAWAT (18W) currently located near 24.2 N 125.1 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Japan
probability for CAT 1 or above is 35% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 85% in about 36 hours
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Okinawa (26.3 N, 127.8 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 100% in about 24 hours
probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
Shiono-misaki (33.5 N, 135.8 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 35% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 75% in about 48 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Kagoshima (31.5 N, 130.5 E)
probability for TS is 75% in about 36 hours
Nagoya (35.2 N, 136.9 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 75% in about 48 hours
Osaka (34.6 N, 135.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 75% in about 48 hours
Tokushima (34.1 N, 134.6 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 75% in about 48 hours
Obama (35.4 N, 135.8 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 70% in about 48 hours
Shizuoka (35.0 N, 138.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 70% in about 48 hours
Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Kumamoto (32.7 N, 130.7 E)
probability for TS is 50% in about 36 hours
Kanazawa (36.8 N, 136.8 E)
probability for TS is 50% in about 48 hours
Tokyo (35.7 N, 139.8 E)
probability for TS is 50% in about 48 hours
Hiroshima (34.4 N, 132.4 E)
probability for TS is 45% in about 48 hours
Akita (39.8 N, 140.2 E)
probability for TS is 45% in about 72 hours
Sakata (39.0 N, 140.0 E)
probability for TS is 45% in about 72 hours
Sendai (38.3 N, 140.9 E)
probability for TS is 45% in about 72 hours
Niigata (37.8 N, 139.2 E)
probability for TS is 45% in about 72 hours
Iwaki (37.0 N, 140.8 E)
probability for TS is 45% in about 72 hours
Miyako (39.7 N, 141.9 E)
probability for TS is 45% in about 72 hours
Kushiro (43.0 N, 144.4 E)
probability for TS is 40% in about 72 hours
Aomori (40.8 N, 140.8 E)
probability for TS is 40% in about 72 hours
Saga (33.3 N, 130.3 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 48 hours
Nagasaki (32.8 N, 129.9 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 36 hours
Matsue (35.4 N, 133.0 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 48 hours
Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html
.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
TSR Storm Alert - Typhoon JELAWAT
NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 28 Sep, 2012 6:00 GMT
Typhoon JELAWAT (18W) currently located near 23.4 N 124.5 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Okinawa (26.3 N, 127.8 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 95% in about 24 hours
probability for TS is 100% in about 24 hours
Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Japan
probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 80% in about 48 hours
Taiwan
probability for TS is 55% currently
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Shiono-misaki (33.5 N, 135.8 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 75% in about 48 hours
Kagoshima (31.5 N, 130.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 70% in about 48 hours
Tokushima (34.1 N, 134.6 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 70% in about 48 hours
Osaka (34.6 N, 135.5 E)
probability for TS is 65% in about 48 hours
Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Hiroshima (34.4 N, 132.4 E)
probability for TS is 50% in about 48 hours
Kumamoto (32.7 N, 130.7 E)
probability for TS is 50% in about 48 hours
Obama (35.4 N, 135.8 E)
probability for TS is 50% in about 72 hours
Niigata (37.8 N, 139.2 E)
probability for TS is 45% in about 72 hours
Kanazawa (36.8 N, 136.8 E)
probability for TS is 45% in about 72 hours
Tokyo (35.7 N, 139.8 E)
probability for TS is 45% in about 72 hours
Nagoya (35.2 N, 136.9 E)
probability for TS is 45% in about 72 hours
Shizuoka (35.0 N, 138.5 E)
probability for TS is 45% in about 72 hours
Akita (39.8 N, 140.2 E)
probability for TS is 45% in about 72 hours
Miyako (39.7 N, 141.9 E)
probability for TS is 45% in about 72 hours
Sakata (39.0 N, 140.0 E)
probability for TS is 45% in about 72 hours
Sendai (38.3 N, 140.9 E)
probability for TS is 45% in about 72 hours
Iwaki (37.0 N, 140.8 E)
probability for TS is 45% in about 72 hours
Aomori (40.8 N, 140.8 E)
probability for TS is 40% in about 72 hours
Saga (33.3 N, 130.3 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 48 hours
Nagasaki (32.8 N, 129.9 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 48 hours
Matsue (35.4 N, 133.0 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 48 hours
Kushiro (43.0 N, 144.4 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 72 hours
Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html.
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 28 Sep, 2012 6:00 GMT
Typhoon JELAWAT (18W) currently located near 23.4 N 124.5 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Okinawa (26.3 N, 127.8 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 95% in about 24 hours
probability for TS is 100% in about 24 hours
Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Japan
probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 80% in about 48 hours
Taiwan
probability for TS is 55% currently
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Shiono-misaki (33.5 N, 135.8 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 75% in about 48 hours
Kagoshima (31.5 N, 130.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 70% in about 48 hours
Tokushima (34.1 N, 134.6 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 70% in about 48 hours
Osaka (34.6 N, 135.5 E)
probability for TS is 65% in about 48 hours
Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Hiroshima (34.4 N, 132.4 E)
probability for TS is 50% in about 48 hours
Kumamoto (32.7 N, 130.7 E)
probability for TS is 50% in about 48 hours
Obama (35.4 N, 135.8 E)
probability for TS is 50% in about 72 hours
Niigata (37.8 N, 139.2 E)
probability for TS is 45% in about 72 hours
Kanazawa (36.8 N, 136.8 E)
probability for TS is 45% in about 72 hours
Tokyo (35.7 N, 139.8 E)
probability for TS is 45% in about 72 hours
Nagoya (35.2 N, 136.9 E)
probability for TS is 45% in about 72 hours
Shizuoka (35.0 N, 138.5 E)
probability for TS is 45% in about 72 hours
Akita (39.8 N, 140.2 E)
probability for TS is 45% in about 72 hours
Miyako (39.7 N, 141.9 E)
probability for TS is 45% in about 72 hours
Sakata (39.0 N, 140.0 E)
probability for TS is 45% in about 72 hours
Sendai (38.3 N, 140.9 E)
probability for TS is 45% in about 72 hours
Iwaki (37.0 N, 140.8 E)
probability for TS is 45% in about 72 hours
Aomori (40.8 N, 140.8 E)
probability for TS is 40% in about 72 hours
Saga (33.3 N, 130.3 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 48 hours
Nagasaki (32.8 N, 129.9 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 48 hours
Matsue (35.4 N, 133.0 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 48 hours
Kushiro (43.0 N, 144.4 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 72 hours
Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html
.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
Typhoon JELAWAT (18W) currently located near 23.4 N 124.5 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Okinawa (26.3 N, 127.8 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 95% in about 24 hours
probability for TS is 100% in about 24 hours
Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Japan
probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 80% in about 48 hours
Taiwan
probability for TS is 55% currently
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Shiono-misaki (33.5 N, 135.8 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 75% in about 48 hours
Kagoshima (31.5 N, 130.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 70% in about 48 hours
Tokushima (34.1 N, 134.6 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 70% in about 48 hours
Osaka (34.6 N, 135.5 E)
probability for TS is 65% in about 48 hours
Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Hiroshima (34.4 N, 132.4 E)
probability for TS is 50% in about 48 hours
Kumamoto (32.7 N, 130.7 E)
probability for TS is 50% in about 48 hours
Obama (35.4 N, 135.8 E)
probability for TS is 50% in about 72 hours
Niigata (37.8 N, 139.2 E)
probability for TS is 45% in about 72 hours
Kanazawa (36.8 N, 136.8 E)
probability for TS is 45% in about 72 hours
Tokyo (35.7 N, 139.8 E)
probability for TS is 45% in about 72 hours
Nagoya (35.2 N, 136.9 E)
probability for TS is 45% in about 72 hours
Shizuoka (35.0 N, 138.5 E)
probability for TS is 45% in about 72 hours
Akita (39.8 N, 140.2 E)
probability for TS is 45% in about 72 hours
Miyako (39.7 N, 141.9 E)
probability for TS is 45% in about 72 hours
Sakata (39.0 N, 140.0 E)
probability for TS is 45% in about 72 hours
Sendai (38.3 N, 140.9 E)
probability for TS is 45% in about 72 hours
Iwaki (37.0 N, 140.8 E)
probability for TS is 45% in about 72 hours
Aomori (40.8 N, 140.8 E)
probability for TS is 40% in about 72 hours
Saga (33.3 N, 130.3 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 48 hours
Nagasaki (32.8 N, 129.9 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 48 hours
Matsue (35.4 N, 133.0 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 48 hours
Kushiro (43.0 N, 144.4 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 72 hours
Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html.
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 28 Sep, 2012 6:00 GMT
Typhoon JELAWAT (18W) currently located near 23.4 N 124.5 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Okinawa (26.3 N, 127.8 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 95% in about 24 hours
probability for TS is 100% in about 24 hours
Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Japan
probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 80% in about 48 hours
Taiwan
probability for TS is 55% currently
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Shiono-misaki (33.5 N, 135.8 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 75% in about 48 hours
Kagoshima (31.5 N, 130.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 70% in about 48 hours
Tokushima (34.1 N, 134.6 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 70% in about 48 hours
Osaka (34.6 N, 135.5 E)
probability for TS is 65% in about 48 hours
Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Hiroshima (34.4 N, 132.4 E)
probability for TS is 50% in about 48 hours
Kumamoto (32.7 N, 130.7 E)
probability for TS is 50% in about 48 hours
Obama (35.4 N, 135.8 E)
probability for TS is 50% in about 72 hours
Niigata (37.8 N, 139.2 E)
probability for TS is 45% in about 72 hours
Kanazawa (36.8 N, 136.8 E)
probability for TS is 45% in about 72 hours
Tokyo (35.7 N, 139.8 E)
probability for TS is 45% in about 72 hours
Nagoya (35.2 N, 136.9 E)
probability for TS is 45% in about 72 hours
Shizuoka (35.0 N, 138.5 E)
probability for TS is 45% in about 72 hours
Akita (39.8 N, 140.2 E)
probability for TS is 45% in about 72 hours
Miyako (39.7 N, 141.9 E)
probability for TS is 45% in about 72 hours
Sakata (39.0 N, 140.0 E)
probability for TS is 45% in about 72 hours
Sendai (38.3 N, 140.9 E)
probability for TS is 45% in about 72 hours
Iwaki (37.0 N, 140.8 E)
probability for TS is 45% in about 72 hours
Aomori (40.8 N, 140.8 E)
probability for TS is 40% in about 72 hours
Saga (33.3 N, 130.3 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 48 hours
Nagasaki (32.8 N, 129.9 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 48 hours
Matsue (35.4 N, 133.0 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 48 hours
Kushiro (43.0 N, 144.4 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 72 hours
Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html
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This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
Thursday, September 27, 2012
TSR Storm Alert - Typhoon JELAWAT
NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 28 Sep, 2012 0:00 GMT
Typhoon JELAWAT (18W) currently located near 22.4 N 124.1 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Okinawa (26.3 N, 127.8 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 85% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 95% in about 24 hours
Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Japan
probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 75% in about 48 hours
Taiwan
probability for TS is 65% currently
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Kagoshima (31.5 N, 130.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 65% in about 48 hours
Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Kumamoto (32.7 N, 130.7 E)
probability for TS is 50% in about 48 hours
Obama (35.4 N, 135.8 E)
probability for TS is 45% in about 72 hours
Nagoya (35.2 N, 136.9 E)
probability for TS is 45% in about 72 hours
Osaka (34.6 N, 135.5 E)
probability for TS is 45% in about 72 hours
Hiroshima (34.4 N, 132.4 E)
probability for TS is 45% in about 72 hours
Tokushima (34.1 N, 134.6 E)
probability for TS is 45% in about 72 hours
Shiono-misaki (33.5 N, 135.8 E)
probability for TS is 45% in about 72 hours
Sendai (38.3 N, 140.9 E)
probability for TS is 45% in about 72 hours
Niigata (37.8 N, 139.2 E)
probability for TS is 45% in about 72 hours
Iwaki (37.0 N, 140.8 E)
probability for TS is 45% in about 72 hours
Kanazawa (36.8 N, 136.8 E)
probability for TS is 45% in about 72 hours
Tokyo (35.7 N, 139.8 E)
probability for TS is 45% in about 72 hours
Shizuoka (35.0 N, 138.5 E)
probability for TS is 45% in about 72 hours
Saga (33.3 N, 130.3 E)
probability for TS is 40% in about 72 hours
Miyako (39.7 N, 141.9 E)
probability for TS is 40% in about 96 hours
Sakata (39.0 N, 140.0 E)
probability for TS is 40% in about 72 hours
Fukuoka (33.6 N, 130.4 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 72 hours
Nagasaki (32.8 N, 129.9 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 48 hours
Matsue (35.4 N, 133.0 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 72 hours
Akita (39.8 N, 140.2 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 72 hours
Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html.
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 28 Sep, 2012 0:00 GMT
Typhoon JELAWAT (18W) currently located near 22.4 N 124.1 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Okinawa (26.3 N, 127.8 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 85% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 95% in about 24 hours
Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Japan
probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 75% in about 48 hours
Taiwan
probability for TS is 65% currently
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Kagoshima (31.5 N, 130.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 65% in about 48 hours
Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Kumamoto (32.7 N, 130.7 E)
probability for TS is 50% in about 48 hours
Obama (35.4 N, 135.8 E)
probability for TS is 45% in about 72 hours
Nagoya (35.2 N, 136.9 E)
probability for TS is 45% in about 72 hours
Osaka (34.6 N, 135.5 E)
probability for TS is 45% in about 72 hours
Hiroshima (34.4 N, 132.4 E)
probability for TS is 45% in about 72 hours
Tokushima (34.1 N, 134.6 E)
probability for TS is 45% in about 72 hours
Shiono-misaki (33.5 N, 135.8 E)
probability for TS is 45% in about 72 hours
Sendai (38.3 N, 140.9 E)
probability for TS is 45% in about 72 hours
Niigata (37.8 N, 139.2 E)
probability for TS is 45% in about 72 hours
Iwaki (37.0 N, 140.8 E)
probability for TS is 45% in about 72 hours
Kanazawa (36.8 N, 136.8 E)
probability for TS is 45% in about 72 hours
Tokyo (35.7 N, 139.8 E)
probability for TS is 45% in about 72 hours
Shizuoka (35.0 N, 138.5 E)
probability for TS is 45% in about 72 hours
Saga (33.3 N, 130.3 E)
probability for TS is 40% in about 72 hours
Miyako (39.7 N, 141.9 E)
probability for TS is 40% in about 96 hours
Sakata (39.0 N, 140.0 E)
probability for TS is 40% in about 72 hours
Fukuoka (33.6 N, 130.4 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 72 hours
Nagasaki (32.8 N, 129.9 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 48 hours
Matsue (35.4 N, 133.0 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 72 hours
Akita (39.8 N, 140.2 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 72 hours
Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html
.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
Typhoon JELAWAT (18W) currently located near 22.4 N 124.1 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Okinawa (26.3 N, 127.8 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 85% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 95% in about 24 hours
Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Japan
probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 75% in about 48 hours
Taiwan
probability for TS is 65% currently
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Kagoshima (31.5 N, 130.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 65% in about 48 hours
Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Kumamoto (32.7 N, 130.7 E)
probability for TS is 50% in about 48 hours
Obama (35.4 N, 135.8 E)
probability for TS is 45% in about 72 hours
Nagoya (35.2 N, 136.9 E)
probability for TS is 45% in about 72 hours
Osaka (34.6 N, 135.5 E)
probability for TS is 45% in about 72 hours
Hiroshima (34.4 N, 132.4 E)
probability for TS is 45% in about 72 hours
Tokushima (34.1 N, 134.6 E)
probability for TS is 45% in about 72 hours
Shiono-misaki (33.5 N, 135.8 E)
probability for TS is 45% in about 72 hours
Sendai (38.3 N, 140.9 E)
probability for TS is 45% in about 72 hours
Niigata (37.8 N, 139.2 E)
probability for TS is 45% in about 72 hours
Iwaki (37.0 N, 140.8 E)
probability for TS is 45% in about 72 hours
Kanazawa (36.8 N, 136.8 E)
probability for TS is 45% in about 72 hours
Tokyo (35.7 N, 139.8 E)
probability for TS is 45% in about 72 hours
Shizuoka (35.0 N, 138.5 E)
probability for TS is 45% in about 72 hours
Saga (33.3 N, 130.3 E)
probability for TS is 40% in about 72 hours
Miyako (39.7 N, 141.9 E)
probability for TS is 40% in about 96 hours
Sakata (39.0 N, 140.0 E)
probability for TS is 40% in about 72 hours
Fukuoka (33.6 N, 130.4 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 72 hours
Nagasaki (32.8 N, 129.9 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 48 hours
Matsue (35.4 N, 133.0 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 72 hours
Akita (39.8 N, 140.2 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 72 hours
Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html.
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 28 Sep, 2012 0:00 GMT
Typhoon JELAWAT (18W) currently located near 22.4 N 124.1 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Okinawa (26.3 N, 127.8 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 85% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 95% in about 24 hours
Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Japan
probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 75% in about 48 hours
Taiwan
probability for TS is 65% currently
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Kagoshima (31.5 N, 130.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 65% in about 48 hours
Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Kumamoto (32.7 N, 130.7 E)
probability for TS is 50% in about 48 hours
Obama (35.4 N, 135.8 E)
probability for TS is 45% in about 72 hours
Nagoya (35.2 N, 136.9 E)
probability for TS is 45% in about 72 hours
Osaka (34.6 N, 135.5 E)
probability for TS is 45% in about 72 hours
Hiroshima (34.4 N, 132.4 E)
probability for TS is 45% in about 72 hours
Tokushima (34.1 N, 134.6 E)
probability for TS is 45% in about 72 hours
Shiono-misaki (33.5 N, 135.8 E)
probability for TS is 45% in about 72 hours
Sendai (38.3 N, 140.9 E)
probability for TS is 45% in about 72 hours
Niigata (37.8 N, 139.2 E)
probability for TS is 45% in about 72 hours
Iwaki (37.0 N, 140.8 E)
probability for TS is 45% in about 72 hours
Kanazawa (36.8 N, 136.8 E)
probability for TS is 45% in about 72 hours
Tokyo (35.7 N, 139.8 E)
probability for TS is 45% in about 72 hours
Shizuoka (35.0 N, 138.5 E)
probability for TS is 45% in about 72 hours
Saga (33.3 N, 130.3 E)
probability for TS is 40% in about 72 hours
Miyako (39.7 N, 141.9 E)
probability for TS is 40% in about 96 hours
Sakata (39.0 N, 140.0 E)
probability for TS is 40% in about 72 hours
Fukuoka (33.6 N, 130.4 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 72 hours
Nagasaki (32.8 N, 129.9 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 48 hours
Matsue (35.4 N, 133.0 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 72 hours
Akita (39.8 N, 140.2 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 72 hours
Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html
.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
TSR Storm Alert - Typhoon JELAWAT
NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 27 Sep, 2012 18:00 GMT
Typhoon JELAWAT (18W) currently located near 21.7 N 123.7 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Japan
probability for CAT 1 or above is 35% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 60% in about 48 hours
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Okinawa (26.3 N, 127.8 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 70% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 95% in about 36 hours
Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Taiwan
probability for TS is 75% within 12 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Kagoshima (31.5 N, 130.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 55% in about 48 hours
Tokushima (34.1 N, 134.6 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 55% in about 72 hours
Obama (35.4 N, 135.8 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 55% in about 72 hours
Nagoya (35.2 N, 136.9 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 55% in about 72 hours
Shizuoka (35.0 N, 138.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 55% in about 72 hours
Osaka (34.6 N, 135.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 55% in about 72 hours
Shiono-misaki (33.5 N, 135.8 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 55% in about 72 hours
Kanazawa (36.8 N, 136.8 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 45% in about 72 hours
Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Kumamoto (32.7 N, 130.7 E)
probability for TS is 50% in about 72 hours
Hiroshima (34.4 N, 132.4 E)
probability for TS is 45% in about 72 hours
Taipei (25.0 N, 121.5 E)
probability for TS is 40% within 12 hours
Saga (33.3 N, 130.3 E)
probability for TS is 40% in about 72 hours
Nagasaki (32.8 N, 129.9 E)
probability for TS is 40% in about 72 hours
Tokyo (35.7 N, 139.8 E)
probability for TS is 40% in about 72 hours
Matsue (35.4 N, 133.0 E)
probability for TS is 40% in about 72 hours
Fukuoka (33.6 N, 130.4 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 72 hours
Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html.
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 27 Sep, 2012 18:00 GMT
Typhoon JELAWAT (18W) currently located near 21.7 N 123.7 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Japan
probability for CAT 1 or above is 35% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 60% in about 48 hours
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Okinawa (26.3 N, 127.8 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 70% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 95% in about 36 hours
Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Taiwan
probability for TS is 75% within 12 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Kagoshima (31.5 N, 130.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 55% in about 48 hours
Tokushima (34.1 N, 134.6 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 55% in about 72 hours
Obama (35.4 N, 135.8 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 55% in about 72 hours
Nagoya (35.2 N, 136.9 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 55% in about 72 hours
Shizuoka (35.0 N, 138.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 55% in about 72 hours
Osaka (34.6 N, 135.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 55% in about 72 hours
Shiono-misaki (33.5 N, 135.8 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 55% in about 72 hours
Kanazawa (36.8 N, 136.8 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 45% in about 72 hours
Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Kumamoto (32.7 N, 130.7 E)
probability for TS is 50% in about 72 hours
Hiroshima (34.4 N, 132.4 E)
probability for TS is 45% in about 72 hours
Taipei (25.0 N, 121.5 E)
probability for TS is 40% within 12 hours
Saga (33.3 N, 130.3 E)
probability for TS is 40% in about 72 hours
Nagasaki (32.8 N, 129.9 E)
probability for TS is 40% in about 72 hours
Tokyo (35.7 N, 139.8 E)
probability for TS is 40% in about 72 hours
Matsue (35.4 N, 133.0 E)
probability for TS is 40% in about 72 hours
Fukuoka (33.6 N, 130.4 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 72 hours
Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html
.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
Typhoon JELAWAT (18W) currently located near 21.7 N 123.7 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Japan
probability for CAT 1 or above is 35% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 60% in about 48 hours
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Okinawa (26.3 N, 127.8 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 70% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 95% in about 36 hours
Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Taiwan
probability for TS is 75% within 12 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Kagoshima (31.5 N, 130.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 55% in about 48 hours
Tokushima (34.1 N, 134.6 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 55% in about 72 hours
Obama (35.4 N, 135.8 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 55% in about 72 hours
Nagoya (35.2 N, 136.9 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 55% in about 72 hours
Shizuoka (35.0 N, 138.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 55% in about 72 hours
Osaka (34.6 N, 135.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 55% in about 72 hours
Shiono-misaki (33.5 N, 135.8 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 55% in about 72 hours
Kanazawa (36.8 N, 136.8 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 45% in about 72 hours
Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Kumamoto (32.7 N, 130.7 E)
probability for TS is 50% in about 72 hours
Hiroshima (34.4 N, 132.4 E)
probability for TS is 45% in about 72 hours
Taipei (25.0 N, 121.5 E)
probability for TS is 40% within 12 hours
Saga (33.3 N, 130.3 E)
probability for TS is 40% in about 72 hours
Nagasaki (32.8 N, 129.9 E)
probability for TS is 40% in about 72 hours
Tokyo (35.7 N, 139.8 E)
probability for TS is 40% in about 72 hours
Matsue (35.4 N, 133.0 E)
probability for TS is 40% in about 72 hours
Fukuoka (33.6 N, 130.4 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 72 hours
Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html.
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 27 Sep, 2012 18:00 GMT
Typhoon JELAWAT (18W) currently located near 21.7 N 123.7 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Japan
probability for CAT 1 or above is 35% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 60% in about 48 hours
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Okinawa (26.3 N, 127.8 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 70% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 95% in about 36 hours
Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Taiwan
probability for TS is 75% within 12 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Kagoshima (31.5 N, 130.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 55% in about 48 hours
Tokushima (34.1 N, 134.6 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 55% in about 72 hours
Obama (35.4 N, 135.8 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 55% in about 72 hours
Nagoya (35.2 N, 136.9 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 55% in about 72 hours
Shizuoka (35.0 N, 138.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 55% in about 72 hours
Osaka (34.6 N, 135.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 55% in about 72 hours
Shiono-misaki (33.5 N, 135.8 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 55% in about 72 hours
Kanazawa (36.8 N, 136.8 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 45% in about 72 hours
Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Kumamoto (32.7 N, 130.7 E)
probability for TS is 50% in about 72 hours
Hiroshima (34.4 N, 132.4 E)
probability for TS is 45% in about 72 hours
Taipei (25.0 N, 121.5 E)
probability for TS is 40% within 12 hours
Saga (33.3 N, 130.3 E)
probability for TS is 40% in about 72 hours
Nagasaki (32.8 N, 129.9 E)
probability for TS is 40% in about 72 hours
Tokyo (35.7 N, 139.8 E)
probability for TS is 40% in about 72 hours
Matsue (35.4 N, 133.0 E)
probability for TS is 40% in about 72 hours
Fukuoka (33.6 N, 130.4 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 72 hours
Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html
.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
TSR Storm Alert - Typhoon JELAWAT
NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 27 Sep, 2012 12:00 GMT
Typhoon JELAWAT (18W) currently located near 21.0 N 124.0 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Okinawa (26.3 N, 127.8 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 65% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 90% in about 36 hours
Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Taiwan
probability for TS is 60% within 12 hours
Japan
probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 50% in about 72 hours
Green Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
the Philippines
probability for TS is 40% currently
Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Kagoshima (31.5 N, 130.5 E)
probability for TS is 50% in about 72 hours
Shiono-misaki (33.5 N, 135.8 E)
probability for TS is 50% in about 72 hours
Kumamoto (32.7 N, 130.7 E)
probability for TS is 45% in about 72 hours
Osaka (34.6 N, 135.5 E)
probability for TS is 45% in about 72 hours
Tokushima (34.1 N, 134.6 E)
probability for TS is 45% in about 72 hours
Obama (35.4 N, 135.8 E)
probability for TS is 40% in about 96 hours
Saga (33.3 N, 130.3 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 72 hours
Nagasaki (32.8 N, 129.9 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 72 hours
Nagoya (35.2 N, 136.9 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 72 hours
Hiroshima (34.4 N, 132.4 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 72 hours
Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html.
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 27 Sep, 2012 12:00 GMT
Typhoon JELAWAT (18W) currently located near 21.0 N 124.0 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Okinawa (26.3 N, 127.8 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 65% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 90% in about 36 hours
Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Taiwan
probability for TS is 60% within 12 hours
Japan
probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 50% in about 72 hours
Green Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
the Philippines
probability for TS is 40% currently
Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Kagoshima (31.5 N, 130.5 E)
probability for TS is 50% in about 72 hours
Shiono-misaki (33.5 N, 135.8 E)
probability for TS is 50% in about 72 hours
Kumamoto (32.7 N, 130.7 E)
probability for TS is 45% in about 72 hours
Osaka (34.6 N, 135.5 E)
probability for TS is 45% in about 72 hours
Tokushima (34.1 N, 134.6 E)
probability for TS is 45% in about 72 hours
Obama (35.4 N, 135.8 E)
probability for TS is 40% in about 96 hours
Saga (33.3 N, 130.3 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 72 hours
Nagasaki (32.8 N, 129.9 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 72 hours
Nagoya (35.2 N, 136.9 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 72 hours
Hiroshima (34.4 N, 132.4 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 72 hours
Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html
.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
Typhoon JELAWAT (18W) currently located near 21.0 N 124.0 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Okinawa (26.3 N, 127.8 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 65% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 90% in about 36 hours
Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Taiwan
probability for TS is 60% within 12 hours
Japan
probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 50% in about 72 hours
Green Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
the Philippines
probability for TS is 40% currently
Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Kagoshima (31.5 N, 130.5 E)
probability for TS is 50% in about 72 hours
Shiono-misaki (33.5 N, 135.8 E)
probability for TS is 50% in about 72 hours
Kumamoto (32.7 N, 130.7 E)
probability for TS is 45% in about 72 hours
Osaka (34.6 N, 135.5 E)
probability for TS is 45% in about 72 hours
Tokushima (34.1 N, 134.6 E)
probability for TS is 45% in about 72 hours
Obama (35.4 N, 135.8 E)
probability for TS is 40% in about 96 hours
Saga (33.3 N, 130.3 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 72 hours
Nagasaki (32.8 N, 129.9 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 72 hours
Nagoya (35.2 N, 136.9 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 72 hours
Hiroshima (34.4 N, 132.4 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 72 hours
Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html.
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 27 Sep, 2012 12:00 GMT
Typhoon JELAWAT (18W) currently located near 21.0 N 124.0 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Okinawa (26.3 N, 127.8 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 65% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 90% in about 36 hours
Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Taiwan
probability for TS is 60% within 12 hours
Japan
probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 50% in about 72 hours
Green Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
the Philippines
probability for TS is 40% currently
Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Kagoshima (31.5 N, 130.5 E)
probability for TS is 50% in about 72 hours
Shiono-misaki (33.5 N, 135.8 E)
probability for TS is 50% in about 72 hours
Kumamoto (32.7 N, 130.7 E)
probability for TS is 45% in about 72 hours
Osaka (34.6 N, 135.5 E)
probability for TS is 45% in about 72 hours
Tokushima (34.1 N, 134.6 E)
probability for TS is 45% in about 72 hours
Obama (35.4 N, 135.8 E)
probability for TS is 40% in about 96 hours
Saga (33.3 N, 130.3 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 72 hours
Nagasaki (32.8 N, 129.9 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 72 hours
Nagoya (35.2 N, 136.9 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 72 hours
Hiroshima (34.4 N, 132.4 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 72 hours
Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html
.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
TSR Storm Alert - Typhoon JELAWAT
NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 27 Sep, 2012 6:00 GMT
Typhoon JELAWAT (18W) currently located near 20.2 N 124.4 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Okinawa (26.3 N, 127.8 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 60% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 80% in about 48 hours
Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
the Philippines
probability for TS is 65% currently
Japan
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 55% in about 72 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Kagoshima (31.5 N, 130.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 50% in about 72 hours
Green Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Taiwan
probability for TS is 50% in about 24 hours
Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Kumamoto (32.7 N, 130.7 E)
probability for TS is 40% in about 72 hours
Nagasaki (32.8 N, 129.9 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 72 hours
Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html.
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 27 Sep, 2012 6:00 GMT
Typhoon JELAWAT (18W) currently located near 20.2 N 124.4 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Okinawa (26.3 N, 127.8 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 60% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 80% in about 48 hours
Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
the Philippines
probability for TS is 65% currently
Japan
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 55% in about 72 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Kagoshima (31.5 N, 130.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 50% in about 72 hours
Green Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Taiwan
probability for TS is 50% in about 24 hours
Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Kumamoto (32.7 N, 130.7 E)
probability for TS is 40% in about 72 hours
Nagasaki (32.8 N, 129.9 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 72 hours
Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html
.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
Typhoon JELAWAT (18W) currently located near 20.2 N 124.4 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Okinawa (26.3 N, 127.8 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 60% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 80% in about 48 hours
Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
the Philippines
probability for TS is 65% currently
Japan
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 55% in about 72 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Kagoshima (31.5 N, 130.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 50% in about 72 hours
Green Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Taiwan
probability for TS is 50% in about 24 hours
Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Kumamoto (32.7 N, 130.7 E)
probability for TS is 40% in about 72 hours
Nagasaki (32.8 N, 129.9 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 72 hours
Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html.
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 27 Sep, 2012 6:00 GMT
Typhoon JELAWAT (18W) currently located near 20.2 N 124.4 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Okinawa (26.3 N, 127.8 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 60% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 80% in about 48 hours
Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
the Philippines
probability for TS is 65% currently
Japan
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 55% in about 72 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Kagoshima (31.5 N, 130.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 50% in about 72 hours
Green Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Taiwan
probability for TS is 50% in about 24 hours
Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Kumamoto (32.7 N, 130.7 E)
probability for TS is 40% in about 72 hours
Nagasaki (32.8 N, 129.9 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 72 hours
Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html
.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
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