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Friday, November 30, 2012

Atlantic Special Tropical Weather Outlook

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12/01/2012 12:50 AM EST


000
ABNT20 KNHC 010547
TWOAT

SPECIAL TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1250 AM EST SAT DEC 1 2012

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

SHOWER ACTIVITY ASSOCIATED WITH A BROAD AREA OF LOW PRESSURE...
LOCATED OVER THE CENTRAL ATLANTIC OCEAN ABOUT 1350 MILES
EAST-NORTHEAST OF THE LEEWARD ISLANDS...IS GRADUALLY BECOMING
BETTER ORGANIZED. ADDITIONAL DEVELOPMENT OF THIS LOW IS POSSIBLE
OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS BEFORE IT MERGES WITH A FRONTAL
SYSTEM. THIS SYSTEM HAS A MEDIUM CHANCE...40 PERCENT...OF BECOMING
A TROPICAL OR SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS AS IT
MOVES GENERALLY TO THE NORTH AT 10 TO 15 MPH. ANOTHER SPECIAL
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK WILL BE ISSUED FOR THIS SYSTEM LATER
TODAY...IF NECESSARY.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

$$
FORECASTER BEVEN



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TSR Storm Alert - Typhoon BOPHA

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 1 Dec, 2012 0:00 GMT

Typhoon BOPHA (26W) currently located near 4.7 N 142.0 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Koror (7.3 N, 134.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 50% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 70% in about 36 hours

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
the Philippines
probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 35% in about 72 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Surigao (9.7 N, 125.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 25% in about 72 hours
Lianga (8.7 N, 126.1 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 35% in about 72 hours
Bislig (8.2 N, 126.3 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 35% in about 72 hours
San Juan (10.3 N, 125.2 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 20% in about 72 hours
Davao (7.1 N, 125.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 25% in about 72 hours
Mati (7.0 N, 126.3 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 30% in about 72 hours
Oras (12.1 N, 125.4 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 20% in about 96 hours
Tacloban (11.2 N, 125.2 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 20% in about 96 hours
Iloilo (10.9 N, 122.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 20% in about 96 hours
Cebu (10.3 N, 123.8 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 20% in about 96 hours
Dumaguete (9.3 N, 123.3 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 20% in about 96 hours
Dipolog (8.7 N, 123.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 20% in about 96 hours
Pagadian (7.9 N, 123.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 20% in about 96 hours

Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html.

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 1 Dec, 2012 0:00 GMT

Typhoon BOPHA (26W) currently located near 4.7 N 142.0 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Koror (7.3 N, 134.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 50% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 70% in about 36 hours

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
the Philippines
probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 35% in about 72 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Surigao (9.7 N, 125.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 25% in about 72 hours
Lianga (8.7 N, 126.1 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 35% in about 72 hours
Bislig (8.2 N, 126.3 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 35% in about 72 hours
San Juan (10.3 N, 125.2 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 20% in about 72 hours
Davao (7.1 N, 125.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 25% in about 72 hours
Mati (7.0 N, 126.3 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 30% in about 72 hours
Oras (12.1 N, 125.4 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 20% in about 96 hours
Tacloban (11.2 N, 125.2 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 20% in about 96 hours
Iloilo (10.9 N, 122.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 20% in about 96 hours
Cebu (10.3 N, 123.8 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 20% in about 96 hours
Dumaguete (9.3 N, 123.3 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 20% in about 96 hours
Dipolog (8.7 N, 123.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 20% in about 96 hours
Pagadian (7.9 N, 123.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 20% in about 96 hours

Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html
.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

TSR Storm Alert - Typhoon BOPHA

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 30 Nov, 2012 18:00 GMT

Typhoon BOPHA (26W) currently located near 4.4 N 143.0 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Koror (7.3 N, 134.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 45% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 65% in about 48 hours

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
the Philippines
probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 30% in about 72 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Lianga (8.7 N, 126.1 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 25% in about 72 hours
Surigao (9.7 N, 125.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 20% in about 96 hours
Bislig (8.2 N, 126.3 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 30% in about 72 hours
Mati (7.0 N, 126.3 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 25% in about 72 hours
Tacloban (11.2 N, 125.2 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 20% in about 96 hours
Cebu (10.3 N, 123.8 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 20% in about 96 hours
San Juan (10.3 N, 125.2 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 20% in about 96 hours
Dumaguete (9.3 N, 123.3 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 20% in about 96 hours
Dipolog (8.7 N, 123.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 20% in about 96 hours
Oras (12.1 N, 125.4 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 20% in about 96 hours
Iloilo (10.9 N, 122.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 20% in about 96 hours
Pagadian (7.9 N, 123.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 20% in about 96 hours
Davao (7.1 N, 125.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 20% in about 96 hours

Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html.

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 30 Nov, 2012 18:00 GMT

Typhoon BOPHA (26W) currently located near 4.4 N 143.0 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Koror (7.3 N, 134.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 45% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 65% in about 48 hours

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
the Philippines
probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 30% in about 72 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Lianga (8.7 N, 126.1 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 25% in about 72 hours
Surigao (9.7 N, 125.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 20% in about 96 hours
Bislig (8.2 N, 126.3 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 30% in about 72 hours
Mati (7.0 N, 126.3 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 25% in about 72 hours
Tacloban (11.2 N, 125.2 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 20% in about 96 hours
Cebu (10.3 N, 123.8 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 20% in about 96 hours
San Juan (10.3 N, 125.2 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 20% in about 96 hours
Dumaguete (9.3 N, 123.3 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 20% in about 96 hours
Dipolog (8.7 N, 123.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 20% in about 96 hours
Oras (12.1 N, 125.4 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 20% in about 96 hours
Iloilo (10.9 N, 122.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 20% in about 96 hours
Pagadian (7.9 N, 123.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 20% in about 96 hours
Davao (7.1 N, 125.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 20% in about 96 hours

Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html
.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

TSR Storm Alert - Typhoon BOPHA

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 30 Nov, 2012 12:00 GMT

Typhoon BOPHA (26W) currently located near 4.2 N 144.3 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Koror (7.3 N, 134.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 35% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 55% in about 48 hours

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
the Philippines
probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 25% in about 96 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Tacloban (11.2 N, 125.2 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 120 hours
probability for TS is 25% in about 96 hours
San Juan (10.3 N, 125.2 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 25% in about 96 hours
Surigao (9.7 N, 125.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 25% in about 96 hours
Lianga (8.7 N, 126.1 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 25% in about 96 hours
Bislig (8.2 N, 126.3 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 25% in about 96 hours
Sorsogon (13.0 N, 124.1 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
probability for TS is 15% in about 96 hours
Oras (12.1 N, 125.4 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 25% in about 120 hours
Iloilo (10.9 N, 122.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
probability for TS is 15% in about 96 hours
Cebu (10.3 N, 123.8 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
probability for TS is 20% in about 96 hours
Dumaguete (9.3 N, 123.3 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
probability for TS is 20% in about 96 hours
Dipolog (8.7 N, 123.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
probability for TS is 20% in about 96 hours
Mati (7.0 N, 126.3 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 20% in about 96 hours

Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Yap (9.5 N, 138.0 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 48 hours

Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html.

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 30 Nov, 2012 12:00 GMT

Typhoon BOPHA (26W) currently located near 4.2 N 144.3 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Koror (7.3 N, 134.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 35% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 55% in about 48 hours

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
the Philippines
probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 25% in about 96 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Tacloban (11.2 N, 125.2 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 120 hours
probability for TS is 25% in about 96 hours
San Juan (10.3 N, 125.2 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 25% in about 96 hours
Surigao (9.7 N, 125.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 25% in about 96 hours
Lianga (8.7 N, 126.1 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 25% in about 96 hours
Bislig (8.2 N, 126.3 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 25% in about 96 hours
Sorsogon (13.0 N, 124.1 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
probability for TS is 15% in about 96 hours
Oras (12.1 N, 125.4 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 25% in about 120 hours
Iloilo (10.9 N, 122.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
probability for TS is 15% in about 96 hours
Cebu (10.3 N, 123.8 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
probability for TS is 20% in about 96 hours
Dumaguete (9.3 N, 123.3 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
probability for TS is 20% in about 96 hours
Dipolog (8.7 N, 123.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
probability for TS is 20% in about 96 hours
Mati (7.0 N, 126.3 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 20% in about 96 hours

Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Yap (9.5 N, 138.0 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 48 hours

Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html
.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

TSR Storm Alert - Typhoon BOPHA

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 30 Nov, 2012 6:00 GMT

Typhoon BOPHA (26W) currently located near 3.8 N 145.2 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
the Philippines
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 30% in about 120 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Koror (7.3 N, 134.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 45% in about 72 hours
Lianga (8.7 N, 126.1 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 120 hours
probability for TS is 25% in about 96 hours
Bislig (8.2 N, 126.3 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 120 hours
probability for TS is 25% in about 96 hours
Oras (12.1 N, 125.4 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
probability for TS is 20% in about 96 hours
Tacloban (11.2 N, 125.2 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
probability for TS is 25% in about 96 hours
Cebu (10.3 N, 123.8 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
probability for TS is 15% in about 96 hours
San Juan (10.3 N, 125.2 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 25% in about 96 hours
Surigao (9.7 N, 125.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 25% in about 96 hours
Dumaguete (9.3 N, 123.3 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
probability for TS is 15% in about 96 hours
Sorsogon (13.0 N, 124.1 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
probability for TS is 15% in about 96 hours
Iloilo (10.9 N, 122.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
probability for TS is 15% in about 120 hours

Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Yap (9.5 N, 138.0 E)
probability for TS is 40% in about 48 hours

Note that
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html.

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 30 Nov, 2012 6:00 GMT

Typhoon BOPHA (26W) currently located near 3.8 N 145.2 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
the Philippines
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 30% in about 120 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Koror (7.3 N, 134.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 45% in about 72 hours
Lianga (8.7 N, 126.1 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 120 hours
probability for TS is 25% in about 96 hours
Bislig (8.2 N, 126.3 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 120 hours
probability for TS is 25% in about 96 hours
Oras (12.1 N, 125.4 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
probability for TS is 20% in about 96 hours
Tacloban (11.2 N, 125.2 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
probability for TS is 25% in about 96 hours
Cebu (10.3 N, 123.8 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
probability for TS is 15% in about 96 hours
San Juan (10.3 N, 125.2 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 25% in about 96 hours
Surigao (9.7 N, 125.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 25% in about 96 hours
Dumaguete (9.3 N, 123.3 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
probability for TS is 15% in about 96 hours
Sorsogon (13.0 N, 124.1 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
probability for TS is 15% in about 96 hours
Iloilo (10.9 N, 122.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
probability for TS is 15% in about 120 hours

Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Yap (9.5 N, 138.0 E)
probability for TS is 40% in about 48 hours

Note that
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html
.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

Thursday, November 29, 2012

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm BOPHA

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 30 Nov, 2012 0:00 GMT

Tropical Storm BOPHA (26W) currently located near 3.5 N 146.2 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
the Philippines
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 120 hours
probability for TS is 20% in about 96 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Koror (7.3 N, 134.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 45% in about 72 hours
San Juan (10.3 N, 125.2 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 120 hours
probability for TS is 15% in about 96 hours
Oras (12.1 N, 125.4 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 120 hours
probability for TS is 15% in about 120 hours
Tacloban (11.2 N, 125.2 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 120 hours
probability for TS is 15% in about 96 hours
Surigao (9.7 N, 125.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
probability for TS is 15% in about 96 hours
Lianga (8.7 N, 126.1 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
probability for TS is 20% in about 96 hours
Bislig (8.2 N, 126.3 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
probability for TS is 20% in about 96 hours
Sorsogon (13.0 N, 124.1 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
probability for TS is 15% in about 120 hours
Iloilo (10.9 N, 122.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
probability for TS is 15% in about 120 hours
Cebu (10.3 N, 123.8 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
probability for TS is 15% in about 120 hours
Dumaguete (9.3 N, 123.3 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
probability for TS is 15% in about 120 hours

Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Yap (9.5 N, 138.0 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 72 hours

Note that
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html.

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 30 Nov, 2012 0:00 GMT

Tropical Storm BOPHA (26W) currently located near 3.5 N 146.2 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
the Philippines
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 120 hours
probability for TS is 20% in about 96 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Koror (7.3 N, 134.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 45% in about 72 hours
San Juan (10.3 N, 125.2 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 120 hours
probability for TS is 15% in about 96 hours
Oras (12.1 N, 125.4 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 120 hours
probability for TS is 15% in about 120 hours
Tacloban (11.2 N, 125.2 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 120 hours
probability for TS is 15% in about 96 hours
Surigao (9.7 N, 125.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
probability for TS is 15% in about 96 hours
Lianga (8.7 N, 126.1 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
probability for TS is 20% in about 96 hours
Bislig (8.2 N, 126.3 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
probability for TS is 20% in about 96 hours
Sorsogon (13.0 N, 124.1 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
probability for TS is 15% in about 120 hours
Iloilo (10.9 N, 122.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
probability for TS is 15% in about 120 hours
Cebu (10.3 N, 123.8 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
probability for TS is 15% in about 120 hours
Dumaguete (9.3 N, 123.3 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
probability for TS is 15% in about 120 hours

Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Yap (9.5 N, 138.0 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 72 hours

Note that
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html
.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm BOPHA

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 29 Nov, 2012 18:00 GMT

Tropical Storm BOPHA (26W) currently located near 3.6 N 146.9 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
the Philippines
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
probability for TS is 15% in about 96 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Koror (7.3 N, 134.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 40% in about 72 hours
Yap (9.5 N, 138.0 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 40% in about 72 hours
Oras (12.1 N, 125.4 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
probability for TS is 15% in about 120 hours
Tacloban (11.2 N, 125.2 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
probability for TS is 15% in about 120 hours
San Juan (10.3 N, 125.2 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
probability for TS is 15% in about 120 hours
Surigao (9.7 N, 125.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
probability for TS is 15% in about 120 hours
Lianga (8.7 N, 126.1 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
probability for TS is 15% in about 96 hours
Bislig (8.2 N, 126.3 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
probability for TS is 15% in about 96 hours

Note that
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html.

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 29 Nov, 2012 18:00 GMT

Tropical Storm BOPHA (26W) currently located near 3.6 N 146.9 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
the Philippines
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
probability for TS is 15% in about 96 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Koror (7.3 N, 134.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 40% in about 72 hours
Yap (9.5 N, 138.0 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 40% in about 72 hours
Oras (12.1 N, 125.4 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
probability for TS is 15% in about 120 hours
Tacloban (11.2 N, 125.2 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
probability for TS is 15% in about 120 hours
San Juan (10.3 N, 125.2 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
probability for TS is 15% in about 120 hours
Surigao (9.7 N, 125.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
probability for TS is 15% in about 120 hours
Lianga (8.7 N, 126.1 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
probability for TS is 15% in about 96 hours
Bislig (8.2 N, 126.3 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
probability for TS is 15% in about 96 hours

Note that
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html
.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm BOPHA

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 29 Nov, 2012 12:00 GMT

Tropical Storm BOPHA (26W) currently located near 3.8 N 147.9 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
the Philippines
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
probability for TS is 20% in about 120 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Koror (7.3 N, 134.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 45% in about 72 hours
Lianga (8.7 N, 126.1 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
probability for TS is 20% in about 120 hours
Bislig (8.2 N, 126.3 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
probability for TS is 20% in about 120 hours
Mati (7.0 N, 126.3 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
probability for TS is 15% in about 96 hours
Oras (12.1 N, 125.4 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
probability for TS is 15% in about 120 hours
Tacloban (11.2 N, 125.2 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
probability for TS is 20% in about 120 hours
Cebu (10.3 N, 123.8 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
probability for TS is 15% in about 120 hours
San Juan (10.3 N, 125.2 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
probability for TS is 20% in about 120 hours
Surigao (9.7 N, 125.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
probability for TS is 20% in about 120 hours
Dumaguete (9.3 N, 123.3 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
probability for TS is 15% in about 120 hours
Dipolog (8.7 N, 123.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
probability for TS is 15% in about 120 hours

Note that
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html.

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 29 Nov, 2012 12:00 GMT

Tropical Storm BOPHA (26W) currently located near 3.8 N 147.9 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
the Philippines
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
probability for TS is 20% in about 120 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Koror (7.3 N, 134.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 45% in about 72 hours
Lianga (8.7 N, 126.1 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
probability for TS is 20% in about 120 hours
Bislig (8.2 N, 126.3 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
probability for TS is 20% in about 120 hours
Mati (7.0 N, 126.3 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
probability for TS is 15% in about 96 hours
Oras (12.1 N, 125.4 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
probability for TS is 15% in about 120 hours
Tacloban (11.2 N, 125.2 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
probability for TS is 20% in about 120 hours
Cebu (10.3 N, 123.8 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
probability for TS is 15% in about 120 hours
San Juan (10.3 N, 125.2 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
probability for TS is 20% in about 120 hours
Surigao (9.7 N, 125.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
probability for TS is 20% in about 120 hours
Dumaguete (9.3 N, 123.3 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
probability for TS is 15% in about 120 hours
Dipolog (8.7 N, 123.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
probability for TS is 15% in about 120 hours

Note that
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html
.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm BOPHA

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 29 Nov, 2012 6:00 GMT

Tropical Storm BOPHA (26W) currently located near 4.0 N 148.8 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
the Philippines
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
probability for TS is 20% in about 120 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Koror (7.3 N, 134.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 35% in about 72 hours
Oras (12.1 N, 125.4 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
probability for TS is 15% in about 120 hours
Tacloban (11.2 N, 125.2 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
probability for TS is 15% in about 120 hours
San Juan (10.3 N, 125.2 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
probability for TS is 15% in about 120 hours
Surigao (9.7 N, 125.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
probability for TS is 15% in about 120 hours
Lianga (8.7 N, 126.1 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
probability for TS is 15% in about 120 hours
Bislig (8.2 N, 126.3 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
probability for TS is 15% in about 120 hours

Note that
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html.

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 29 Nov, 2012 6:00 GMT

Tropical Storm BOPHA (26W) currently located near 4.0 N 148.8 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
the Philippines
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
probability for TS is 20% in about 120 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Koror (7.3 N, 134.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 35% in about 72 hours
Oras (12.1 N, 125.4 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
probability for TS is 15% in about 120 hours
Tacloban (11.2 N, 125.2 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
probability for TS is 15% in about 120 hours
San Juan (10.3 N, 125.2 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
probability for TS is 15% in about 120 hours
Surigao (9.7 N, 125.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
probability for TS is 15% in about 120 hours
Lianga (8.7 N, 126.1 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
probability for TS is 15% in about 120 hours
Bislig (8.2 N, 126.3 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
probability for TS is 15% in about 120 hours

Note that
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html
.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

Wednesday, November 28, 2012

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm BOPHA

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 29 Nov, 2012 0:00 GMT

Tropical Storm BOPHA (26W) currently located near 4.1 N 149.6 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
the Philippines
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
probability for TS is 15% in about 120 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Koror (7.3 N, 134.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 30% in about 72 hours
Yap (9.5 N, 138.0 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 30% in about 72 hours
Lianga (8.7 N, 126.1 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
probability for TS is 15% in about 120 hours

Note that
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html.

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 29 Nov, 2012 0:00 GMT

Tropical Storm BOPHA (26W) currently located near 4.1 N 149.6 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
the Philippines
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
probability for TS is 15% in about 120 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Koror (7.3 N, 134.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 30% in about 72 hours
Yap (9.5 N, 138.0 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 30% in about 72 hours
Lianga (8.7 N, 126.1 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
probability for TS is 15% in about 120 hours

Note that
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html
.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm BOPHA

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 28 Nov, 2012 18:00 GMT

Tropical Storm BOPHA (26W) currently located near 4.4 N 150.7 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Koror (7.3 N, 134.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 30% in about 96 hours
Yap (9.5 N, 138.0 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 35% in about 96 hours

Note that
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html.

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 28 Nov, 2012 18:00 GMT

Tropical Storm BOPHA (26W) currently located near 4.4 N 150.7 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Koror (7.3 N, 134.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 30% in about 96 hours
Yap (9.5 N, 138.0 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 35% in about 96 hours

Note that
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html
.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm BOPHA

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 28 Nov, 2012 12:00 GMT

Tropical Storm BOPHA (26W) currently located near 5.0 N 152.1 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Yap (9.5 N, 138.0 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 30% in about 72 hours
Koror (7.3 N, 134.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 25% in about 96 hours

Note that
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html.

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 28 Nov, 2012 12:00 GMT

Tropical Storm BOPHA (26W) currently located near 5.0 N 152.1 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Yap (9.5 N, 138.0 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 30% in about 72 hours
Koror (7.3 N, 134.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 25% in about 96 hours

Note that
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html
.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm BOPHA

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 28 Nov, 2012 6:00 GMT

Tropical Storm BOPHA (26W) currently located near 5.0 N 153.0 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Yap (9.5 N, 138.0 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 30% in about 96 hours
Koror (7.3 N, 134.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 120 hours
probability for TS is 25% in about 96 hours

Note that
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html.

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 28 Nov, 2012 6:00 GMT

Tropical Storm BOPHA (26W) currently located near 5.0 N 153.0 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Yap (9.5 N, 138.0 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 30% in about 96 hours
Koror (7.3 N, 134.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 120 hours
probability for TS is 25% in about 96 hours

Note that
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html
.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

Tuesday, November 27, 2012

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm BOPHA

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 28 Nov, 2012 0:00 GMT

Tropical Storm BOPHA (26W) currently located near 4.7 N 154.4 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Yap (9.5 N, 138.0 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 120 hours
probability for TS is 30% in about 96 hours
Koror (7.3 N, 134.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 120 hours
probability for TS is 25% in about 96 hours

Note that
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html.

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 28 Nov, 2012 0:00 GMT

Tropical Storm BOPHA (26W) currently located near 4.7 N 154.4 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Yap (9.5 N, 138.0 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 120 hours
probability for TS is 30% in about 96 hours
Koror (7.3 N, 134.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 120 hours
probability for TS is 25% in about 96 hours

Note that
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html
.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm BOPHA

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 27 Nov, 2012 12:00 GMT

Tropical Storm BOPHA (26W) currently located near 4.6 N 155.5 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Yap (9.5 N, 138.0 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 25% in about 96 hours
Koror (7.3 N, 134.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
probability for TS is 20% in about 120 hours

Note that
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html.

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 27 Nov, 2012 12:00 GMT

Tropical Storm BOPHA (26W) currently located near 4.6 N 155.5 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Yap (9.5 N, 138.0 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 25% in about 96 hours
Koror (7.3 N, 134.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
probability for TS is 20% in about 120 hours

Note that
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html
.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm BOPHA

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 27 Nov, 2012 6:00 GMT

Tropical Storm BOPHA (26W) currently located near 4.5 N 155.7 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Yap (9.5 N, 138.0 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
probability for TS is 20% in about 120 hours
Koror (7.3 N, 134.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
probability for TS is 15% in about 120 hours

Note that
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html.

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 27 Nov, 2012 6:00 GMT

Tropical Storm BOPHA (26W) currently located near 4.5 N 155.7 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Yap (9.5 N, 138.0 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
probability for TS is 20% in about 120 hours
Koror (7.3 N, 134.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
probability for TS is 15% in about 120 hours

Note that
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html
.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

Monday, November 26, 2012

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Depression TWENTY-SIX

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 26 Nov, 2012 18:00 GMT

Tropical Depression TWENTY-SIX (26W) currently located near 4.2 N 156.0 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Yap (9.5 N, 138.0 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
probability for TS is 15% in about 120 hours

Note that
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html.

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 26 Nov, 2012 18:00 GMT

Tropical Depression TWENTY-SIX (26W) currently located near 4.2 N 156.0 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Yap (9.5 N, 138.0 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
probability for TS is 15% in about 120 hours

Note that
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html
.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Depression TWENTY-SIX

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 26 Nov, 2012 12:00 GMT

Tropical Depression TWENTY-SIX (26W) currently located near 4.7 N 155.4 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Yap (9.5 N, 138.0 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
probability for TS is 15% in about 96 hours

Note that
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html.

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 26 Nov, 2012 12:00 GMT

Tropical Depression TWENTY-SIX (26W) currently located near 4.7 N 155.4 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Yap (9.5 N, 138.0 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
probability for TS is 15% in about 96 hours

Note that
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html
.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

Sunday, November 25, 2012

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Depression TWENTY-SIX

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 25 Nov, 2012 18:00 GMT

Tropical Depression TWENTY-SIX (26W) currently located near 3.6 N 157.0 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Yap (9.5 N, 138.0 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
probability for TS is 15% in about 120 hours

Note that
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html.

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 25 Nov, 2012 18:00 GMT

Tropical Depression TWENTY-SIX (26W) currently located near 3.6 N 157.0 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Yap (9.5 N, 138.0 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
probability for TS is 15% in about 120 hours

Note that
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html
.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

Monday, November 19, 2012

[Tsunami Message - IOC] RTSP INDIA Notification (RevisedEqInfo) for PUBLIC bulletins on IOC Public List Server

----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
NOTIFICATION MESSAGE 2
REGIONAL TSUNAMI ADVISORY SERVICE PROVIDER RTSP INDIA (ITEWC)
ISSUED AT : 1011 UTC Monday 19 November 2012
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------

TO: IOC PUBLIC LIST SERVER
FROM: RTSP INDIA

NOTIFICATION:
RTSP INDIA HAS JUST ISSUED BULLETIN 2 (REVISED EARTHQUAKE INFORMATION)
FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN, BASED ON THE FOLLOWING EARTHQUAKE EVENT:

MAGNITUDE: 5.8 M
DEPTH: 49 km
DATE: 19 Nov 2012
ORIGIN TIME: 0944 UTC
LATITUDE: 5.76 S
LONGITUDE: 151.69 E
LOCATION: New Britain Region, P.N.G.

TO VIEW THE BULLETIN GO TO THE RTSP INDIA WEBSITE AT:
www.incois.gov.in/DSSProducts/Product_RTWP/dss121119094400_index_RTWP_pub.htmNOTE: THIS IS A OPEN-ACCESS WEBSITE FOR GENERAL PUBLIC ACCESS.THIS INFORMATION REQUIRES EXPERT INTERPRETATION AND IS INTENDED AS GUIDANCEINDIAN TSUNAMI EARLY WARNING CENTER (ITEWC)INDIAN NATIONAL CENTRE FOR OCEAN INFORMATION SERVICES (INCOIS)ADDRESS:"OCEAN VALLEY", PRAGATHI NAGAR (BO), NIZAMPET (SO),HYDERABAD - 500 090, INDIA.PHONE: 91-40-23895011FAX: 91-40-23895012EMAIL: TSUNAMI@INCOIS.GOV.INWEB: WWW.INCOIS.GOV.INEND OF NOTIFICATION MESSAGE----------------------------------------------------------------------------------

[Tsunami Message - IOC] RTSP INDIA Notification (EqInfo) for PUBLIC bulletins on IOC Public List Server

This information requires expert interpretation and is intended as guidance

RTSP-INDIA-20121119-0944-001 (TYPE - I)
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
BULLETIN 1
REGIONAL TSUNAMI ADVISORY SERVICE PROVIDER RTSP INDIA (ITEWC)
issued at: 0952 UTC Monday 19 November 2012
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------

... PRELIMINARY EARTHQUAKE INFORMATION ...

1. EARTHQUAKE INFORMATION

RTSP INDIA detected an earthquake with the following preliminary information:

Magnitude: 6.5 Mw(mB) (Moderate)
Depth: 49 km
Date: 19 Nov 2012
Origin Time: 0944 UTC
Latitude: 5.76 S
Longitude: 151.69 E
Location: New Britain Region, P.N.G.

2. EVALUATION

This earthquake happened outside of Indian Ocean Region. ITEWC INCOIS
will monitor sea level changes near epicentral region and report in
case of tsunami threat.


3. ADVICE

This bulletin is being issued as advice. Only national/state/local authorities
and disaster management officers have the authority to make decisions regarding
the official threat and warning status in their coastal areas and any action to
be taken in response.

For more detailed information, please refer to the advisories issued by
respective National Tsunami Warning Centers (NTWCs) of IOTWS member states.
The feedback received from the NTWC for the respective updated threat status
of their area of responsibility can be found at:
http://www.incois.gov.in/Incois/tsunami/NTWCFeedbackStatus.jsp

4. UPDATES

Additional bulletins will be issued by ITEWC INCOIS for this event as more
information becomes available.

Other RTSPs may issue additional information at:
RTSP AUSTRALIA: http://reg.bom.gov.au/tsunami/rtsp
RTSP INDONESIA: http://rtsp.bmkg.go.id

In case of confilicting information from RTSPs or the IAS (PTWC, JMA), the more
conservative information should be used for saftey.

5. CONTACT INFORMATION

Indian Tsunami Early Warning Centre (ITEWC)
Indian National Centre for Ocean Information Services (INCOIS)
Address:"Ocean Valley", Pragathi Nagar (BO), Nizampet (SO),
Hyderabad - 500 090, India.
Tel: 91-40-23895011
Fax: 91-40-23895012
Email: tsunami@incois.gov.in
Website: www.incois.gov.in

END OF BULLETIN
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
NOTIFICATION MESSAGE 1
REGIONAL TSUNAMI ADVISORY SERVICE PROVIDER RTSP INDIA (ITEWC)
ISSUED AT : 0952 UTC Monday 19 November 2012
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------

TO: IOC PUBLIC LIST SERVER
FROM: RTSP INDIA

NOTIFICATION:
RTSP INDIA HAS JUST ISSUED BULLETIN 1 (PRELIMINARY EARTHQUAKE INFORMATION)
FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN, BASED ON THE FOLLOWING EARTHQUAKE EVENT:

MAGNITUDE: 6.5 Mw(mB)
DEPTH: 49 km
DATE: 19 Nov 2012
ORIGIN TIME: 0944 UTC
LATITUDE: 5.76 S
LONGITUDE: 151.69 E
LOCATION: New Britain Region, P.N.G.

TO VIEW THE BULLETIN GO TO THE RTSP INDIA WEBSITE AT:
www.incois.gov.in/DSSProducts/Product_RTWP/dss121119094400_index_RTWP_pub.htm

NOTE: THIS IS A OPEN-ACCESS WEBSITE FOR GENERAL PUBLIC ACCESS.
THIS INFORMATION REQUIRES EXPERT INTERPRETATION AND IS INTENDED AS GUIDANCE


INDIAN TSUNAMI EARLY WARNING CENTER (ITEWC)
INDIAN NATIONAL CENTRE FOR OCEAN INFORMATION SERVICES (INCOIS)
ADDRESS:"OCEAN VALLEY", PRAGATHI NAGAR (BO), NIZAMPET (SO),
HYDERABAD - 500 090, INDIA.
PHONE: 91-40-23895011
FAX: 91-40-23895012
EMAIL: TSUNAMI@INCOIS.GOV.IN
WEB: WWW.INCOIS.GOV.IN

END OF NOTIFICATION MESSAGE
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Friday, November 16, 2012

[Tsunami Message - IOC] RTSP INDIA Notification (EqInfo) for PUBLIC bulletins on IOC Public List Server

This information requires expert interpretation and is intended as guidance

RTSP-INDIA-20121117-0512-001 (TYPE - I)
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
BULLETIN 1
REGIONAL TSUNAMI ADVISORY SERVICE PROVIDER RTSP INDIA (ITEWC)
issued at: 0524 UTC Saturday 17 November 2012
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------

... PRELIMINARY EARTHQUAKE INFORMATION ...

1. EARTHQUAKE INFORMATION

RTSP INDIA detected an earthquake with the following preliminary information:

Magnitude: 6.4 Mw(mB) (Moderate)
Depth: 10 km
Date: 17 Nov 2012
Origin Time: 0512 UTC
Latitude: 18.22 S
Longitude: 171.9 W
Location: Tonga Islands Region

2. EVALUATION

Based on historical earthquake and tsunami data, Tsunami Threat does
not exist for Indian Ocean.


3. ADVICE

This bulletin is being issued as advice. Only national/state/local authorities
and disaster management officers have the authority to make decisions regarding
the official threat and warning status in their coastal areas and any action to
be taken in response.

For more detailed information, please refer to the advisories issued by
respective National Tsunami Warning Centers (NTWCs) of IOTWS member states.
The feedback received from the NTWC for the respective updated threat status
of their area of responsibility can be found at:
http://www.incois.gov.in/Incois/tsunami/NTWCFeedbackStatus.jsp

4. UPDATES

This will be the final bulletin unless additional information becomes
available.

Other RTSPs may issue additional information at:
RTSP AUSTRALIA: http://reg.bom.gov.au/tsunami/rtsp
RTSP INDONESIA: http://rtsp.bmkg.go.id

In case of confilicting information from RTSPs or the IAS (PTWC, JMA), the more
conservative information should be used for saftey.

5. CONTACT INFORMATION

Indian Tsunami Early Warning Centre (ITEWC)
Indian National Centre for Ocean Information Services (INCOIS)
Address:"Ocean Valley", Pragathi Nagar (BO), Nizampet (SO),
Hyderabad - 500 090, India.
Tel: 91-40-23895011
Fax: 91-40-23895012
Email: tsunami@incois.gov.in
Website: www.incois.gov.in

END OF BULLETIN
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NOTIFICATION MESSAGE 1
REGIONAL TSUNAMI ADVISORY SERVICE PROVIDER RTSP INDIA (ITEWC)
ISSUED AT : 0525 UTC Saturday 17 November 2012
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------

TO: IOC PUBLIC LIST SERVER
FROM: RTSP INDIA

NOTIFICATION:
RTSP INDIA HAS JUST ISSUED BULLETIN 1 (PRELIMINARY EARTHQUAKE INFORMATION)
FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN, BASED ON THE FOLLOWING EARTHQUAKE EVENT:

MAGNITUDE: 6.4 Mw(mB)
DEPTH: 10 km
DATE: 17 Nov 2012
ORIGIN TIME: 0512 UTC
LATITUDE: 18.22 S
LONGITUDE: 171.9 W
LOCATION: Tonga Islands Region

TO VIEW THE BULLETIN GO TO THE RTSP INDIA WEBSITE AT:
www.incois.gov.in/DSSProducts/Product_RTWP/dss121117051200_index_RTWP_pub.htm

NOTE: THIS IS A OPEN-ACCESS WEBSITE FOR GENERAL PUBLIC ACCESS.
THIS INFORMATION REQUIRES EXPERT INTERPRETATION AND IS INTENDED AS GUIDANCE


INDIAN TSUNAMI EARLY WARNING CENTER (ITEWC)
INDIAN NATIONAL CENTRE FOR OCEAN INFORMATION SERVICES (INCOIS)
ADDRESS:"OCEAN VALLEY", PRAGATHI NAGAR (BO), NIZAMPET (SO),
HYDERABAD - 500 090, INDIA.
PHONE: 91-40-23895011
FAX: 91-40-23895012
EMAIL: TSUNAMI@INCOIS.GOV.IN
WEB: WWW.INCOIS.GOV.IN

END OF NOTIFICATION MESSAGE
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