SW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 1 Jan, 2013 0:00 GMT
Tropical Cyclone FREDA (05P) currently located near 18.6 S 161.5 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Green Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
New Caledonia
probability for TS is 35% in about 36 hours
Note that
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html.
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This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
SW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 1 Jan, 2013 0:00 GMT
Tropical Cyclone FREDA (05P) currently located near 18.6 S 161.5 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Green Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
New Caledonia
probability for TS is 35% in about 36 hours
Note that
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html
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This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
Monday, December 31, 2012
TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm SEVEN
S Indian Ocean: Storm Alert issued at 31 Dec, 2012 18:00 GMT
Tropical Storm SEVEN (07S) currently located near 11.9 S 56.4 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Reunion
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 35% in about 72 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
St Pierre (21.3 S, 55.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 35% in about 72 hours
Note that
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html.
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
S Indian Ocean: Storm Alert issued at 31 Dec, 2012 18:00 GMT
Tropical Storm SEVEN (07S) currently located near 11.9 S 56.4 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Reunion
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 35% in about 72 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
St Pierre (21.3 S, 55.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 35% in about 72 hours
Note that
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html
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This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
Tropical Storm SEVEN (07S) currently located near 11.9 S 56.4 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Reunion
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 35% in about 72 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
St Pierre (21.3 S, 55.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 35% in about 72 hours
Note that
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html.
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
S Indian Ocean: Storm Alert issued at 31 Dec, 2012 18:00 GMT
Tropical Storm SEVEN (07S) currently located near 11.9 S 56.4 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Reunion
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 35% in about 72 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
St Pierre (21.3 S, 55.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 35% in about 72 hours
Note that
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html
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This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm SEVEN
S Indian Ocean: Storm Alert issued at 31 Dec, 2012 18:00 GMT
Tropical Storm SEVEN (07S) currently located near 11.9 S 56.4 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Reunion
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 35% in about 72 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
St Pierre (21.3 S, 55.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 35% in about 72 hours
Note that
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html.
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
S Indian Ocean: Storm Alert issued at 31 Dec, 2012 18:00 GMT
Tropical Storm SEVEN (07S) currently located near 11.9 S 56.4 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Reunion
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 35% in about 72 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
St Pierre (21.3 S, 55.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 35% in about 72 hours
Note that
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html
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This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
Tropical Storm SEVEN (07S) currently located near 11.9 S 56.4 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Reunion
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 35% in about 72 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
St Pierre (21.3 S, 55.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 35% in about 72 hours
Note that
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html.
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
S Indian Ocean: Storm Alert issued at 31 Dec, 2012 18:00 GMT
Tropical Storm SEVEN (07S) currently located near 11.9 S 56.4 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Reunion
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 35% in about 72 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
St Pierre (21.3 S, 55.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 35% in about 72 hours
Note that
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html
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This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Cyclone FREDA
SW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 31 Dec, 2012 12:00 GMT
Tropical Cyclone FREDA (05P) currently located near 17.6 S 161.7 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
New Caledonia
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 35% in about 36 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Koumac (20.5 S, 164.3 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 30% in about 48 hours
Kone (21.0 S, 164.8 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 25% in about 48 hours
Note that
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html.
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
SW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 31 Dec, 2012 12:00 GMT
Tropical Cyclone FREDA (05P) currently located near 17.6 S 161.7 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
New Caledonia
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 35% in about 36 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Koumac (20.5 S, 164.3 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 30% in about 48 hours
Kone (21.0 S, 164.8 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 25% in about 48 hours
Note that
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html
.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
Tropical Cyclone FREDA (05P) currently located near 17.6 S 161.7 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
New Caledonia
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 35% in about 36 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Koumac (20.5 S, 164.3 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 30% in about 48 hours
Kone (21.0 S, 164.8 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 25% in about 48 hours
Note that
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html.
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
SW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 31 Dec, 2012 12:00 GMT
Tropical Cyclone FREDA (05P) currently located near 17.6 S 161.7 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
New Caledonia
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 35% in about 36 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Koumac (20.5 S, 164.3 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 30% in about 48 hours
Kone (21.0 S, 164.8 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 25% in about 48 hours
Note that
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html
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This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
Saturday, December 29, 2012
TSR Storm Alert - Intense Tropical Cyclone FREDA
SW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 30 Dec, 2012 0:00 GMT
Intense Tropical Cyclone FREDA (05P) currently located near 14.1 S 160.7 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
New Caledonia
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 15% in about 72 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Koumac (20.5 S, 164.3 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
probability for TS is 15% in about 72 hours
Note that
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html.
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
SW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 30 Dec, 2012 0:00 GMT
Intense Tropical Cyclone FREDA (05P) currently located near 14.1 S 160.7 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
New Caledonia
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 15% in about 72 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Koumac (20.5 S, 164.3 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
probability for TS is 15% in about 72 hours
Note that
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html
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This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
Intense Tropical Cyclone FREDA (05P) currently located near 14.1 S 160.7 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
New Caledonia
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 15% in about 72 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Koumac (20.5 S, 164.3 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
probability for TS is 15% in about 72 hours
Note that
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html.
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
SW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 30 Dec, 2012 0:00 GMT
Intense Tropical Cyclone FREDA (05P) currently located near 14.1 S 160.7 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
New Caledonia
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 15% in about 72 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Koumac (20.5 S, 164.3 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
probability for TS is 15% in about 72 hours
Note that
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html
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This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Cyclone FREDA
SW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 29 Dec, 2012 12:00 GMT
Tropical Cyclone FREDA (05P) currently located near 12.9 S 160.4 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
the Solomon Islands
probability for TS is 80% currently
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Manggautu (11.6 S, 160.1 E)
probability for TS is 65% currently
Note that
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html.
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
SW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 29 Dec, 2012 12:00 GMT
Tropical Cyclone FREDA (05P) currently located near 12.9 S 160.4 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
the Solomon Islands
probability for TS is 80% currently
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Manggautu (11.6 S, 160.1 E)
probability for TS is 65% currently
Note that
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html
.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
Tropical Cyclone FREDA (05P) currently located near 12.9 S 160.4 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
the Solomon Islands
probability for TS is 80% currently
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Manggautu (11.6 S, 160.1 E)
probability for TS is 65% currently
Note that
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html.
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
SW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 29 Dec, 2012 12:00 GMT
Tropical Cyclone FREDA (05P) currently located near 12.9 S 160.4 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
the Solomon Islands
probability for TS is 80% currently
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Manggautu (11.6 S, 160.1 E)
probability for TS is 65% currently
Note that
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html
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This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
Friday, December 28, 2012
TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm FREDA
SW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 29 Dec, 2012 0:00 GMT
Tropical Storm FREDA (05P) currently located near 12.6 S 159.9 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
the Solomon Islands
probability for TS is 75% currently
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Manggautu (11.6 S, 160.1 E)
probability for TS is 60% currently
Note that
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html.
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
SW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 29 Dec, 2012 0:00 GMT
Tropical Storm FREDA (05P) currently located near 12.6 S 159.9 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
the Solomon Islands
probability for TS is 75% currently
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Manggautu (11.6 S, 160.1 E)
probability for TS is 60% currently
Note that
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html
.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
Tropical Storm FREDA (05P) currently located near 12.6 S 159.9 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
the Solomon Islands
probability for TS is 75% currently
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Manggautu (11.6 S, 160.1 E)
probability for TS is 60% currently
Note that
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html.
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
SW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 29 Dec, 2012 0:00 GMT
Tropical Storm FREDA (05P) currently located near 12.6 S 159.9 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
the Solomon Islands
probability for TS is 75% currently
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Manggautu (11.6 S, 160.1 E)
probability for TS is 60% currently
Note that
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html
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This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm FIVE
SW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 28 Dec, 2012 12:00 GMT
Tropical Storm FIVE (05P) currently located near 10.7 S 160.5 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
the Solomon Islands
probability for TS is 85% within 12 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Manggautu (11.6 S, 160.1 E)
probability for TS is 85% within 12 hours
Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Apio (9.7 S, 161.5 E)
probability for TS is 40% currently
Kirakira (10.5 S, 161.9 E)
probability for TS is 35% currently
Note that
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html.
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
SW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 28 Dec, 2012 12:00 GMT
Tropical Storm FIVE (05P) currently located near 10.7 S 160.5 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
the Solomon Islands
probability for TS is 85% within 12 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Manggautu (11.6 S, 160.1 E)
probability for TS is 85% within 12 hours
Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Apio (9.7 S, 161.5 E)
probability for TS is 40% currently
Kirakira (10.5 S, 161.9 E)
probability for TS is 35% currently
Note that
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html
.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
Tropical Storm FIVE (05P) currently located near 10.7 S 160.5 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
the Solomon Islands
probability for TS is 85% within 12 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Manggautu (11.6 S, 160.1 E)
probability for TS is 85% within 12 hours
Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Apio (9.7 S, 161.5 E)
probability for TS is 40% currently
Kirakira (10.5 S, 161.9 E)
probability for TS is 35% currently
Note that
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html.
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
SW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 28 Dec, 2012 12:00 GMT
Tropical Storm FIVE (05P) currently located near 10.7 S 160.5 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
the Solomon Islands
probability for TS is 85% within 12 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Manggautu (11.6 S, 160.1 E)
probability for TS is 85% within 12 hours
Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Apio (9.7 S, 161.5 E)
probability for TS is 40% currently
Kirakira (10.5 S, 161.9 E)
probability for TS is 35% currently
Note that
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html
.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
Wednesday, December 26, 2012
TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm WUKONG
NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 26 Dec, 2012 12:00 GMT
Tropical Storm WUKONG (27W) currently located near 11.8 N 120.8 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
the Philippines
probability for TS is 65% currently
Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Taytay (10.8 N, 119.5 E)
probability for TS is 35% within 12 hours
Note that
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html.
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 26 Dec, 2012 12:00 GMT
Tropical Storm WUKONG (27W) currently located near 11.8 N 120.8 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
the Philippines
probability for TS is 65% currently
Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Taytay (10.8 N, 119.5 E)
probability for TS is 35% within 12 hours
Note that
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html
.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
Tropical Storm WUKONG (27W) currently located near 11.8 N 120.8 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
the Philippines
probability for TS is 65% currently
Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Taytay (10.8 N, 119.5 E)
probability for TS is 35% within 12 hours
Note that
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html.
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 26 Dec, 2012 12:00 GMT
Tropical Storm WUKONG (27W) currently located near 11.8 N 120.8 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
the Philippines
probability for TS is 65% currently
Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Taytay (10.8 N, 119.5 E)
probability for TS is 35% within 12 hours
Note that
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html
.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm WUKONG
NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 26 Dec, 2012 6:00 GMT
Tropical Storm WUKONG (27W) currently located near 11.7 N 121.9 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
the Philippines
probability for TS is 65% currently
Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Taytay (10.8 N, 119.5 E)
probability for TS is 40% within 12 hours
Note that
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html.
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 26 Dec, 2012 6:00 GMT
Tropical Storm WUKONG (27W) currently located near 11.7 N 121.9 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
the Philippines
probability for TS is 65% currently
Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Taytay (10.8 N, 119.5 E)
probability for TS is 40% within 12 hours
Note that
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html
.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
Tropical Storm WUKONG (27W) currently located near 11.7 N 121.9 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
the Philippines
probability for TS is 65% currently
Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Taytay (10.8 N, 119.5 E)
probability for TS is 40% within 12 hours
Note that
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html.
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 26 Dec, 2012 6:00 GMT
Tropical Storm WUKONG (27W) currently located near 11.7 N 121.9 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
the Philippines
probability for TS is 65% currently
Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Taytay (10.8 N, 119.5 E)
probability for TS is 40% within 12 hours
Note that
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html
.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
Tuesday, December 25, 2012
TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm WUKONG
NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 26 Dec, 2012 0:00 GMT
Tropical Storm WUKONG (27W) currently located near 11.6 N 123.1 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
the Philippines
probability for TS is 85% currently
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Iloilo (10.9 N, 122.5 E)
probability for TS is 70% within 12 hours
Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Taytay (10.8 N, 119.5 E)
probability for TS is 50% in about 24 hours
Mamburao (13.2 N, 120.7 E)
probability for TS is 45% within 12 hours
Note that
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html.
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 26 Dec, 2012 0:00 GMT
Tropical Storm WUKONG (27W) currently located near 11.6 N 123.1 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
the Philippines
probability for TS is 85% currently
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Iloilo (10.9 N, 122.5 E)
probability for TS is 70% within 12 hours
Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Taytay (10.8 N, 119.5 E)
probability for TS is 50% in about 24 hours
Mamburao (13.2 N, 120.7 E)
probability for TS is 45% within 12 hours
Note that
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html
.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
Tropical Storm WUKONG (27W) currently located near 11.6 N 123.1 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
the Philippines
probability for TS is 85% currently
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Iloilo (10.9 N, 122.5 E)
probability for TS is 70% within 12 hours
Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Taytay (10.8 N, 119.5 E)
probability for TS is 50% in about 24 hours
Mamburao (13.2 N, 120.7 E)
probability for TS is 45% within 12 hours
Note that
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html.
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 26 Dec, 2012 0:00 GMT
Tropical Storm WUKONG (27W) currently located near 11.6 N 123.1 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
the Philippines
probability for TS is 85% currently
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Iloilo (10.9 N, 122.5 E)
probability for TS is 70% within 12 hours
Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Taytay (10.8 N, 119.5 E)
probability for TS is 50% in about 24 hours
Mamburao (13.2 N, 120.7 E)
probability for TS is 45% within 12 hours
Note that
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html
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This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm WUKONG
NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 25 Dec, 2012 18:00 GMT
Tropical Storm WUKONG (27W) currently located near 11.3 N 124.5 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
the Philippines
probability for TS is 85% currently
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Tacloban (11.2 N, 125.2 E)
probability for TS is 70% currently
Iloilo (10.9 N, 122.5 E)
probability for TS is 60% within 12 hours
Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Oras (12.1 N, 125.4 E)
probability for TS is 50% currently
Mamburao (13.2 N, 120.7 E)
probability for TS is 50% in about 24 hours
Cebu (10.3 N, 123.8 E)
probability for TS is 40% within 12 hours
Taytay (10.8 N, 119.5 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 24 hours
Note that
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html.
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This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 25 Dec, 2012 18:00 GMT
Tropical Storm WUKONG (27W) currently located near 11.3 N 124.5 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
the Philippines
probability for TS is 85% currently
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Tacloban (11.2 N, 125.2 E)
probability for TS is 70% currently
Iloilo (10.9 N, 122.5 E)
probability for TS is 60% within 12 hours
Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Oras (12.1 N, 125.4 E)
probability for TS is 50% currently
Mamburao (13.2 N, 120.7 E)
probability for TS is 50% in about 24 hours
Cebu (10.3 N, 123.8 E)
probability for TS is 40% within 12 hours
Taytay (10.8 N, 119.5 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 24 hours
Note that
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html
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This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
Tropical Storm WUKONG (27W) currently located near 11.3 N 124.5 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
the Philippines
probability for TS is 85% currently
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Tacloban (11.2 N, 125.2 E)
probability for TS is 70% currently
Iloilo (10.9 N, 122.5 E)
probability for TS is 60% within 12 hours
Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Oras (12.1 N, 125.4 E)
probability for TS is 50% currently
Mamburao (13.2 N, 120.7 E)
probability for TS is 50% in about 24 hours
Cebu (10.3 N, 123.8 E)
probability for TS is 40% within 12 hours
Taytay (10.8 N, 119.5 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 24 hours
Note that
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html.
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 25 Dec, 2012 18:00 GMT
Tropical Storm WUKONG (27W) currently located near 11.3 N 124.5 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
the Philippines
probability for TS is 85% currently
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Tacloban (11.2 N, 125.2 E)
probability for TS is 70% currently
Iloilo (10.9 N, 122.5 E)
probability for TS is 60% within 12 hours
Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Oras (12.1 N, 125.4 E)
probability for TS is 50% currently
Mamburao (13.2 N, 120.7 E)
probability for TS is 50% in about 24 hours
Cebu (10.3 N, 123.8 E)
probability for TS is 40% within 12 hours
Taytay (10.8 N, 119.5 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 24 hours
Note that
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html
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This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
Monday, December 24, 2012
TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Depression WUKONG
NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 25 Dec, 2012 0:00 GMT
Tropical Depression WUKONG (27W) currently located near 10.1 N 128.5 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
the Philippines
probability for TS is 75% within 12 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Tacloban (11.2 N, 125.2 E)
probability for TS is 75% within 12 hours
San Juan (10.3 N, 125.2 E)
probability for TS is 70% in about 24 hours
Surigao (9.7 N, 125.5 E)
probability for TS is 55% within 12 hours
Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Oras (12.1 N, 125.4 E)
probability for TS is 50% in about 24 hours
Cebu (10.3 N, 123.8 E)
probability for TS is 50% in about 24 hours
Iloilo (10.9 N, 122.5 E)
probability for TS is 45% in about 24 hours
Sorsogon (13.0 N, 124.1 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 24 hours
Mamburao (13.2 N, 120.7 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 36 hours
Taytay (10.8 N, 119.5 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 48 hours
Note that
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html.
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 25 Dec, 2012 0:00 GMT
Tropical Depression WUKONG (27W) currently located near 10.1 N 128.5 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
the Philippines
probability for TS is 75% within 12 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Tacloban (11.2 N, 125.2 E)
probability for TS is 75% within 12 hours
San Juan (10.3 N, 125.2 E)
probability for TS is 70% in about 24 hours
Surigao (9.7 N, 125.5 E)
probability for TS is 55% within 12 hours
Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Oras (12.1 N, 125.4 E)
probability for TS is 50% in about 24 hours
Cebu (10.3 N, 123.8 E)
probability for TS is 50% in about 24 hours
Iloilo (10.9 N, 122.5 E)
probability for TS is 45% in about 24 hours
Sorsogon (13.0 N, 124.1 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 24 hours
Mamburao (13.2 N, 120.7 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 36 hours
Taytay (10.8 N, 119.5 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 48 hours
Note that
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html
.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
Tropical Depression WUKONG (27W) currently located near 10.1 N 128.5 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
the Philippines
probability for TS is 75% within 12 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Tacloban (11.2 N, 125.2 E)
probability for TS is 75% within 12 hours
San Juan (10.3 N, 125.2 E)
probability for TS is 70% in about 24 hours
Surigao (9.7 N, 125.5 E)
probability for TS is 55% within 12 hours
Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Oras (12.1 N, 125.4 E)
probability for TS is 50% in about 24 hours
Cebu (10.3 N, 123.8 E)
probability for TS is 50% in about 24 hours
Iloilo (10.9 N, 122.5 E)
probability for TS is 45% in about 24 hours
Sorsogon (13.0 N, 124.1 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 24 hours
Mamburao (13.2 N, 120.7 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 36 hours
Taytay (10.8 N, 119.5 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 48 hours
Note that
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html.
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 25 Dec, 2012 0:00 GMT
Tropical Depression WUKONG (27W) currently located near 10.1 N 128.5 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
the Philippines
probability for TS is 75% within 12 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Tacloban (11.2 N, 125.2 E)
probability for TS is 75% within 12 hours
San Juan (10.3 N, 125.2 E)
probability for TS is 70% in about 24 hours
Surigao (9.7 N, 125.5 E)
probability for TS is 55% within 12 hours
Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Oras (12.1 N, 125.4 E)
probability for TS is 50% in about 24 hours
Cebu (10.3 N, 123.8 E)
probability for TS is 50% in about 24 hours
Iloilo (10.9 N, 122.5 E)
probability for TS is 45% in about 24 hours
Sorsogon (13.0 N, 124.1 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 24 hours
Mamburao (13.2 N, 120.7 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 36 hours
Taytay (10.8 N, 119.5 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 48 hours
Note that
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html
.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Depression TWENTY-SEVEN
NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 24 Dec, 2012 18:00 GMT
Tropical Depression TWENTY-SEVEN (27W) currently located near 10.0 N 129.6 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Green Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
the Philippines
probability for TS is 50% in about 24 hours
Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Oras (12.1 N, 125.4 E)
probability for TS is 50% in about 24 hours
Tacloban (11.2 N, 125.2 E)
probability for TS is 50% in about 24 hours
Sorsogon (13.0 N, 124.1 E)
probability for TS is 50% in about 36 hours
San Juan (10.3 N, 125.2 E)
probability for TS is 45% in about 24 hours
Iloilo (10.9 N, 122.5 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 36 hours
Cebu (10.3 N, 123.8 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 36 hours
Mamburao (13.2 N, 120.7 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 36 hours
Note that
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html.
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 24 Dec, 2012 18:00 GMT
Tropical Depression TWENTY-SEVEN (27W) currently located near 10.0 N 129.6 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Green Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
the Philippines
probability for TS is 50% in about 24 hours
Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Oras (12.1 N, 125.4 E)
probability for TS is 50% in about 24 hours
Tacloban (11.2 N, 125.2 E)
probability for TS is 50% in about 24 hours
Sorsogon (13.0 N, 124.1 E)
probability for TS is 50% in about 36 hours
San Juan (10.3 N, 125.2 E)
probability for TS is 45% in about 24 hours
Iloilo (10.9 N, 122.5 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 36 hours
Cebu (10.3 N, 123.8 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 36 hours
Mamburao (13.2 N, 120.7 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 36 hours
Note that
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html
.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
Tropical Depression TWENTY-SEVEN (27W) currently located near 10.0 N 129.6 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Green Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
the Philippines
probability for TS is 50% in about 24 hours
Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Oras (12.1 N, 125.4 E)
probability for TS is 50% in about 24 hours
Tacloban (11.2 N, 125.2 E)
probability for TS is 50% in about 24 hours
Sorsogon (13.0 N, 124.1 E)
probability for TS is 50% in about 36 hours
San Juan (10.3 N, 125.2 E)
probability for TS is 45% in about 24 hours
Iloilo (10.9 N, 122.5 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 36 hours
Cebu (10.3 N, 123.8 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 36 hours
Mamburao (13.2 N, 120.7 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 36 hours
Note that
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html.
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 24 Dec, 2012 18:00 GMT
Tropical Depression TWENTY-SEVEN (27W) currently located near 10.0 N 129.6 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Green Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
the Philippines
probability for TS is 50% in about 24 hours
Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Oras (12.1 N, 125.4 E)
probability for TS is 50% in about 24 hours
Tacloban (11.2 N, 125.2 E)
probability for TS is 50% in about 24 hours
Sorsogon (13.0 N, 124.1 E)
probability for TS is 50% in about 36 hours
San Juan (10.3 N, 125.2 E)
probability for TS is 45% in about 24 hours
Iloilo (10.9 N, 122.5 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 36 hours
Cebu (10.3 N, 123.8 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 36 hours
Mamburao (13.2 N, 120.7 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 36 hours
Note that
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html
.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm FOUR
N Indian Ocean: Storm Alert issued at 24 Dec, 2012 6:00 GMT
Tropical Storm FOUR (04A) currently located near 7.9 N 53.0 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Somalia
probability for TS is 60% within 12 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Eyl (8.0 N, 49.9 E)
probability for TS is 60% within 12 hours
Note that
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Severe Cyclonic Storm strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html.
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
N Indian Ocean: Storm Alert issued at 24 Dec, 2012 6:00 GMT
Tropical Storm FOUR (04A) currently located near 7.9 N 53.0 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Somalia
probability for TS is 60% within 12 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Eyl (8.0 N, 49.9 E)
probability for TS is 60% within 12 hours
Note that
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Severe Cyclonic Storm strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html
.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
Tropical Storm FOUR (04A) currently located near 7.9 N 53.0 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Somalia
probability for TS is 60% within 12 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Eyl (8.0 N, 49.9 E)
probability for TS is 60% within 12 hours
Note that
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Severe Cyclonic Storm strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html.
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
N Indian Ocean: Storm Alert issued at 24 Dec, 2012 6:00 GMT
Tropical Storm FOUR (04A) currently located near 7.9 N 53.0 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Somalia
probability for TS is 60% within 12 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Eyl (8.0 N, 49.9 E)
probability for TS is 60% within 12 hours
Note that
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Severe Cyclonic Storm strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html
.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
Sunday, December 23, 2012
TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm FOUR
N Indian Ocean: Storm Alert issued at 24 Dec, 2012 0:00 GMT
Tropical Storm FOUR (04A) currently located near 8.4 N 54.4 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Green Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Somalia
probability for TS is 45% in about 24 hours
Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Eyl (8.0 N, 49.9 E)
probability for TS is 45% in about 24 hours
Note that
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html.
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
N Indian Ocean: Storm Alert issued at 24 Dec, 2012 0:00 GMT
Tropical Storm FOUR (04A) currently located near 8.4 N 54.4 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Green Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Somalia
probability for TS is 45% in about 24 hours
Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Eyl (8.0 N, 49.9 E)
probability for TS is 45% in about 24 hours
Note that
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html
.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
Tropical Storm FOUR (04A) currently located near 8.4 N 54.4 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Green Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Somalia
probability for TS is 45% in about 24 hours
Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Eyl (8.0 N, 49.9 E)
probability for TS is 45% in about 24 hours
Note that
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html.
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
N Indian Ocean: Storm Alert issued at 24 Dec, 2012 0:00 GMT
Tropical Storm FOUR (04A) currently located near 8.4 N 54.4 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Green Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Somalia
probability for TS is 45% in about 24 hours
Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Eyl (8.0 N, 49.9 E)
probability for TS is 45% in about 24 hours
Note that
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html
.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm FOUR
N Indian Ocean: Storm Alert issued at 23 Dec, 2012 18:00 GMT
Tropical Storm FOUR (04A) currently located near 8.4 N 56.1 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Green Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Somalia
probability for TS is 35% in about 24 hours
Note that
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html.
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
N Indian Ocean: Storm Alert issued at 23 Dec, 2012 18:00 GMT
Tropical Storm FOUR (04A) currently located near 8.4 N 56.1 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Green Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Somalia
probability for TS is 35% in about 24 hours
Note that
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html
.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
Tropical Storm FOUR (04A) currently located near 8.4 N 56.1 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Green Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Somalia
probability for TS is 35% in about 24 hours
Note that
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html.
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
N Indian Ocean: Storm Alert issued at 23 Dec, 2012 18:00 GMT
Tropical Storm FOUR (04A) currently located near 8.4 N 56.1 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Green Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Somalia
probability for TS is 35% in about 24 hours
Note that
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html
.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
Friday, December 21, 2012
[Tsunami Message - IOC] RTSP INDONESIA PUBLIC BULLETIN 1 ISSUED:EQ 2228 UTC 21 Dec 2012 Mag: 6.6 VanuatuIslands , Lat: 14.41S, Lon: 167.27E See http://rtsp.bmkg.go.id
InaRTSP PRELIMINARY SERVICE - SYSTEM IN REVIEW PHASE - InaRTSP PRELIMINARY SERVICE
RTSP-InaTEWS-20121221-2242-001
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
TSUNAMI BULLETIN NUMBER 1
REGIONAL TSUNAMI SERVICE PROVIDER - RTSP INDONESIA (InaTEWS-BMKG)
issued at 2242 UTC Friday 21 December 2012
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
... EARTHQUAKE INFORMATION BULLETIN ...
1. EARTHQUAKE INFORMATION
RTSP INDONESIA has detected an earthquake with the following preliminary
information:
Magnitude: 6.6 Mwp
Depth: 222km
Date: 21 Dec 2012
Origin Time: 2228 UTC
Latitude: 14.41S
Longitude: 167.27E
Location: VanuatuIslands
2. EVALUATION
RTSP INDONESIA is evaluating this earthquake to determine if a tsunami has
been generated.
Further information on this event will be available at:
http://rtsp.bmkg.go.id
3. ADVICE
This bulletin is being issued as advice. Only national/state/local authorities
and disaster management officers have the authority to make decisions regarding
the official threat and warning status in their coastal areas and any action to
be taken in response.
4. UPDATES
Additional bulletins will be issued by RTSP INDONESIA for this event as more
information becomes available.
Other RTSPs may issue additional information at:
RTSP AUSTRALIA: http://reg.bom.gov.au/tsunami/rtsp/
RTSP INDIA: http://www.incois.gov.in/Incois/tsunami/eqevents.jsp
In case of conflicting information from RTSPs or the IAS (PTWC, JMA), the more
conservative information should be used for safety.
5. CONTACT INFORMATION
METEOROLOGICAL CLIMATOLOGICAL AND GEOPHYSICAL AGENCY (BMKG)
InaTEWS - Indonesian Tsunami Early Warning System
Address: Jl. Angkasa I no.2 Kemayoran, Jakarta, Indonesia, 10720
Tel.: +62 (21) 4246321/6546316
Fax: +62 (21) 6546316/4246703
P.O. Box 3540 Jakarta
Website: http://www.bmkg.go.id
http://inatews.bmkg.go.id
E-Mail: inartsp@bmkg.go.id
monitrtwp@bmkg.go.id
END OF BULLETIN
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
InaRTSP PRELIMINARY SERVICE - SYSTEM IN REVIEW PHASE - InaRTSP PRELIMINARY SERVICE
RTSP-InaTEWS-20121221-2242-001
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
TSUNAMI BULLETIN NUMBER 1
REGIONAL TSUNAMI SERVICE PROVIDER - RTSP INDONESIA (InaTEWS-BMKG)
issued at 2242 UTC Friday 21 December 2012
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
... EARTHQUAKE INFORMATION BULLETIN ...
1. EARTHQUAKE INFORMATION
RTSP INDONESIA has detected an earthquake with the following preliminary
information:
Magnitude: 6.6 Mwp
Depth: 222km
Date: 21 Dec 2012
Origin Time: 2228 UTC
Latitude: 14.41S
Longitude: 167.27E
Location: VanuatuIslands
2. EVALUATION
RTSP INDONESIA is evaluating this earthquake to determine if a tsunami has
been generated.
Further information on this event will be available at:
http://rtsp.bmkg.go.id
3. ADVICE
This bulletin is being issued as advice. Only national/state/local authorities
and disaster management officers have the authority to make decisions regarding
the official threat and warning status in their coastal areas and any action to
be taken in response.
4. UPDATES
Additional bulletins will be issued by RTSP INDONESIA for this event as more
information becomes available.
Other RTSPs may issue additional information at:
RTSP AUSTRALIA: http://reg.bom.gov.au/tsunami/rtsp/
RTSP INDIA: http://www.incois.gov.in/Incois/tsunami/eqevents.jsp
In case of conflicting information from RTSPs or the IAS (PTWC, JMA), the more
conservative information should be used for safety.
5. CONTACT INFORMATION
METEOROLOGICAL CLIMATOLOGICAL AND GEOPHYSICAL AGENCY (BMKG)
InaTEWS - Indonesian Tsunami Early Warning System
Address: Jl. Angkasa I no.2 Kemayoran, Jakarta, Indonesia, 10720
Tel.: +62 (21) 4246321/6546316
Fax: +62 (21) 6546316/4246703
P.O. Box 3540 Jakarta
Website: http://www.bmkg.go.id
http://inatews.bmkg.go.id
E-Mail: inartsp@bmkg.go.id
monitrtwp@bmkg.go.id
END OF BULLETIN
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
InaRTSP PRELIMINARY SERVICE - SYSTEM IN REVIEW PHASE - InaRTSP PRELIMINARY SERVICE
[Tsunami Message - IOC] Tsunami Information Bulletin
TSUNAMI BULLETIN NUMBER 001
PACIFIC TSUNAMI WARNING CENTER/NOAA/NWS
ISSUED AT 2236Z 21 DEC 2012
THIS BULLETIN APPLIES TO AREAS WITHIN AND BORDERING THE PACIFIC
OCEAN AND ADJACENT SEAS...EXCEPT ALASKA...BRITISH COLUMBIA...
WASHINGTON...OREGON AND CALIFORNIA.
... TSUNAMI INFORMATION BULLETIN ...
THIS BULLETIN IS FOR INFORMATION ONLY.
THIS BULLETIN IS ISSUED AS ADVICE TO GOVERNMENT AGENCIES. ONLY
NATIONAL AND LOCAL GOVERNMENT AGENCIES HAVE THE AUTHORITY TO MAKE
DECISIONS REGARDING THE OFFICIAL STATE OF ALERT IN THEIR AREA AND
ANY ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN IN RESPONSE.
AN EARTHQUAKE HAS OCCURRED WITH THESE PRELIMINARY PARAMETERS
ORIGIN TIME - 2228Z 21 DEC 2012
COORDINATES - 14.3 SOUTH 167.3 EAST
DEPTH - 185 KM
LOCATION - VANUATU
MAGNITUDE - 6.6
EVALUATION
A DESTRUCTIVE TSUNAMI WAS NOT GENERATED BASED ON EARTHQUAKE AND
HISTORICAL TSUNAMI DATA.
THIS WILL BE THE ONLY BULLETIN ISSUED FOR THIS EVENT UNLESS
ADDITIONAL INFORMATION BECOMES AVAILABLE.
THE WEST COAST/ALASKA TSUNAMI WARNING CENTER WILL ISSUE PRODUCTS
FOR ALASKA...BRITISH COLUMBIA...WASHINGTON...OREGON...CALIFORNIA.
PACIFIC TSUNAMI WARNING CENTER/NOAA/NWS
ISSUED AT 2236Z 21 DEC 2012
THIS BULLETIN APPLIES TO AREAS WITHIN AND BORDERING THE PACIFIC
OCEAN AND ADJACENT SEAS...EXCEPT ALASKA...BRITISH COLUMBIA...
WASHINGTON...OREGON AND CALIFORNIA.
... TSUNAMI INFORMATION BULLETIN ...
THIS BULLETIN IS FOR INFORMATION ONLY.
THIS BULLETIN IS ISSUED AS ADVICE TO GOVERNMENT AGENCIES. ONLY
NATIONAL AND LOCAL GOVERNMENT AGENCIES HAVE THE AUTHORITY TO MAKE
DECISIONS REGARDING THE OFFICIAL STATE OF ALERT IN THEIR AREA AND
ANY ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN IN RESPONSE.
AN EARTHQUAKE HAS OCCURRED WITH THESE PRELIMINARY PARAMETERS
ORIGIN TIME - 2228Z 21 DEC 2012
COORDINATES - 14.3 SOUTH 167.3 EAST
DEPTH - 185 KM
LOCATION - VANUATU
MAGNITUDE - 6.6
EVALUATION
A DESTRUCTIVE TSUNAMI WAS NOT GENERATED BASED ON EARTHQUAKE AND
HISTORICAL TSUNAMI DATA.
THIS WILL BE THE ONLY BULLETIN ISSUED FOR THIS EVENT UNLESS
ADDITIONAL INFORMATION BECOMES AVAILABLE.
THE WEST COAST/ALASKA TSUNAMI WARNING CENTER WILL ISSUE PRODUCTS
FOR ALASKA...BRITISH COLUMBIA...WASHINGTON...OREGON...CALIFORNIA.
Tuesday, December 18, 2012
TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Cyclone EVAN
SW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 18 Dec, 2012 6:00 GMT
Tropical Cyclone EVAN (04P) currently located near 21.0 S 177.1 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Fiji
probability for TS is 70% currently
Note that
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html.
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
SW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 18 Dec, 2012 6:00 GMT
Tropical Cyclone EVAN (04P) currently located near 21.0 S 177.1 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Fiji
probability for TS is 70% currently
Note that
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html
.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
Tropical Cyclone EVAN (04P) currently located near 21.0 S 177.1 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Fiji
probability for TS is 70% currently
Note that
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html.
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
SW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 18 Dec, 2012 6:00 GMT
Tropical Cyclone EVAN (04P) currently located near 21.0 S 177.1 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Fiji
probability for TS is 70% currently
Note that
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html
.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
Monday, December 17, 2012
TSR Storm Alert - Intense Tropical Cyclone EVAN
SW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 17 Dec, 2012 18:00 GMT
Intense Tropical Cyclone EVAN (04P) currently located near 19.7 S 177.2 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Fiji
probability for CAT 1 or above is 100% currently
probability for TS is 100% currently
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Nadi (17.8 S, 177.4 E)
probability for TS is 80% currently
Suva (18.1 S, 178.4 E)
probability for TS is 80% currently
Tavua (17.4 S, 177.9 E)
probability for TS is 55% currently
Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html.
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
SW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 17 Dec, 2012 18:00 GMT
Intense Tropical Cyclone EVAN (04P) currently located near 19.7 S 177.2 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Fiji
probability for CAT 1 or above is 100% currently
probability for TS is 100% currently
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Nadi (17.8 S, 177.4 E)
probability for TS is 80% currently
Suva (18.1 S, 178.4 E)
probability for TS is 80% currently
Tavua (17.4 S, 177.9 E)
probability for TS is 55% currently
Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html
.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
Intense Tropical Cyclone EVAN (04P) currently located near 19.7 S 177.2 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Fiji
probability for CAT 1 or above is 100% currently
probability for TS is 100% currently
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Nadi (17.8 S, 177.4 E)
probability for TS is 80% currently
Suva (18.1 S, 178.4 E)
probability for TS is 80% currently
Tavua (17.4 S, 177.9 E)
probability for TS is 55% currently
Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html.
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
SW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 17 Dec, 2012 18:00 GMT
Intense Tropical Cyclone EVAN (04P) currently located near 19.7 S 177.2 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Fiji
probability for CAT 1 or above is 100% currently
probability for TS is 100% currently
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Nadi (17.8 S, 177.4 E)
probability for TS is 80% currently
Suva (18.1 S, 178.4 E)
probability for TS is 80% currently
Tavua (17.4 S, 177.9 E)
probability for TS is 55% currently
Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html
.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
TSR Storm Alert - Very Intense TC EVAN
SW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 17 Dec, 2012 6:00 GMT
Very Intense TC EVAN (04P) currently located near 17.9 S 177.3 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Fiji
probability for CAT 1 or above is 100% currently
probability for TS is 100% currently
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Tavua (17.4 S, 177.9 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 100% currently
probability for TS is 100% currently
Nadi (17.8 S, 177.4 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 100% currently
probability for TS is 100% currently
Suva (18.1 S, 178.4 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 80% currently
probability for TS is 100% currently
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Naduri (16.4 S, 179.2 E)
probability for TS is 55% currently
Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html.
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
SW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 17 Dec, 2012 6:00 GMT
Very Intense TC EVAN (04P) currently located near 17.9 S 177.3 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Fiji
probability for CAT 1 or above is 100% currently
probability for TS is 100% currently
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Tavua (17.4 S, 177.9 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 100% currently
probability for TS is 100% currently
Nadi (17.8 S, 177.4 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 100% currently
probability for TS is 100% currently
Suva (18.1 S, 178.4 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 80% currently
probability for TS is 100% currently
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Naduri (16.4 S, 179.2 E)
probability for TS is 55% currently
Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html
.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
Very Intense TC EVAN (04P) currently located near 17.9 S 177.3 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Fiji
probability for CAT 1 or above is 100% currently
probability for TS is 100% currently
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Tavua (17.4 S, 177.9 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 100% currently
probability for TS is 100% currently
Nadi (17.8 S, 177.4 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 100% currently
probability for TS is 100% currently
Suva (18.1 S, 178.4 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 80% currently
probability for TS is 100% currently
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Naduri (16.4 S, 179.2 E)
probability for TS is 55% currently
Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html.
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
SW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 17 Dec, 2012 6:00 GMT
Very Intense TC EVAN (04P) currently located near 17.9 S 177.3 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Fiji
probability for CAT 1 or above is 100% currently
probability for TS is 100% currently
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Tavua (17.4 S, 177.9 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 100% currently
probability for TS is 100% currently
Nadi (17.8 S, 177.4 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 100% currently
probability for TS is 100% currently
Suva (18.1 S, 178.4 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 80% currently
probability for TS is 100% currently
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Naduri (16.4 S, 179.2 E)
probability for TS is 55% currently
Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html
.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
Sunday, December 16, 2012
TSR Storm Alert - Very Intense TC EVAN
SW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 16 Dec, 2012 18:00 GMT
Very Intense TC EVAN (04P) currently located near 16.4 S 178.3 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Fiji
probability for CAT 1 or above is 100% currently
probability for TS is 100% currently
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Tavua (17.4 S, 177.9 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 100% within 12 hours
probability for TS is 100% currently
Nadi (17.8 S, 177.4 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 95% within 12 hours
probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
Naduri (16.4 S, 179.2 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 85% currently
probability for TS is 100% currently
Suva (18.1 S, 178.4 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 50% within 12 hours
probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html.
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
SW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 16 Dec, 2012 18:00 GMT
Very Intense TC EVAN (04P) currently located near 16.4 S 178.3 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Fiji
probability for CAT 1 or above is 100% currently
probability for TS is 100% currently
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Tavua (17.4 S, 177.9 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 100% within 12 hours
probability for TS is 100% currently
Nadi (17.8 S, 177.4 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 95% within 12 hours
probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
Naduri (16.4 S, 179.2 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 85% currently
probability for TS is 100% currently
Suva (18.1 S, 178.4 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 50% within 12 hours
probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html
.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
Very Intense TC EVAN (04P) currently located near 16.4 S 178.3 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Fiji
probability for CAT 1 or above is 100% currently
probability for TS is 100% currently
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Tavua (17.4 S, 177.9 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 100% within 12 hours
probability for TS is 100% currently
Nadi (17.8 S, 177.4 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 95% within 12 hours
probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
Naduri (16.4 S, 179.2 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 85% currently
probability for TS is 100% currently
Suva (18.1 S, 178.4 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 50% within 12 hours
probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html.
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
SW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 16 Dec, 2012 18:00 GMT
Very Intense TC EVAN (04P) currently located near 16.4 S 178.3 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Fiji
probability for CAT 1 or above is 100% currently
probability for TS is 100% currently
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Tavua (17.4 S, 177.9 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 100% within 12 hours
probability for TS is 100% currently
Nadi (17.8 S, 177.4 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 95% within 12 hours
probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
Naduri (16.4 S, 179.2 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 85% currently
probability for TS is 100% currently
Suva (18.1 S, 178.4 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 50% within 12 hours
probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html
.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
TSR Storm Alert - Intense Tropical Cyclone EVAN
SW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 16 Dec, 2012 6:00 GMT
Intense Tropical Cyclone EVAN (04P) currently located near 14.9 S 179.9 W is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Fiji
probability for CAT 1 or above is 95% within 12 hours
probability for TS is 100% currently
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Naduri (16.4 S, 179.2 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 95% within 12 hours
probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
Tavua (17.4 S, 177.9 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 85% in about 24 hours
probability for TS is 95% within 12 hours
Nadi (17.8 S, 177.4 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 85% in about 24 hours
probability for TS is 95% in about 24 hours
Suva (18.1 S, 178.4 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 35% in about 24 hours
probability for TS is 90% in about 24 hours
Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html.
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
SW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 16 Dec, 2012 6:00 GMT
Intense Tropical Cyclone EVAN (04P) currently located near 14.9 S 179.9 W is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Fiji
probability for CAT 1 or above is 95% within 12 hours
probability for TS is 100% currently
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Naduri (16.4 S, 179.2 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 95% within 12 hours
probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
Tavua (17.4 S, 177.9 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 85% in about 24 hours
probability for TS is 95% within 12 hours
Nadi (17.8 S, 177.4 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 85% in about 24 hours
probability for TS is 95% in about 24 hours
Suva (18.1 S, 178.4 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 35% in about 24 hours
probability for TS is 90% in about 24 hours
Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html
.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
Intense Tropical Cyclone EVAN (04P) currently located near 14.9 S 179.9 W is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Fiji
probability for CAT 1 or above is 95% within 12 hours
probability for TS is 100% currently
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Naduri (16.4 S, 179.2 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 95% within 12 hours
probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
Tavua (17.4 S, 177.9 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 85% in about 24 hours
probability for TS is 95% within 12 hours
Nadi (17.8 S, 177.4 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 85% in about 24 hours
probability for TS is 95% in about 24 hours
Suva (18.1 S, 178.4 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 35% in about 24 hours
probability for TS is 90% in about 24 hours
Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html.
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
SW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 16 Dec, 2012 6:00 GMT
Intense Tropical Cyclone EVAN (04P) currently located near 14.9 S 179.9 W is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Fiji
probability for CAT 1 or above is 95% within 12 hours
probability for TS is 100% currently
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Naduri (16.4 S, 179.2 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 95% within 12 hours
probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
Tavua (17.4 S, 177.9 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 85% in about 24 hours
probability for TS is 95% within 12 hours
Nadi (17.8 S, 177.4 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 85% in about 24 hours
probability for TS is 95% in about 24 hours
Suva (18.1 S, 178.4 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 35% in about 24 hours
probability for TS is 90% in about 24 hours
Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html
.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
Saturday, December 15, 2012
TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Cyclone EVAN
SW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 15 Dec, 2012 6:00 GMT
Tropical Cyclone EVAN (04P) currently located near 13.0 S 175.6 W is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Fiji
probability for CAT 1 or above is 50% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 80% in about 36 hours
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Mata-Utu (13.3 S, 176.2 W)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 100% currently
probability for TS is 100% currently
Naduri (16.4 S, 179.2 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 40% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 80% in about 36 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Tavua (17.4 S, 177.9 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 60% in about 36 hours
Nadi (17.8 S, 177.4 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 55% in about 48 hours
Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Suva (18.1 S, 178.4 E)
probability for TS is 40% in about 36 hours
Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html.
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
SW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 15 Dec, 2012 6:00 GMT
Tropical Cyclone EVAN (04P) currently located near 13.0 S 175.6 W is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Fiji
probability for CAT 1 or above is 50% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 80% in about 36 hours
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Mata-Utu (13.3 S, 176.2 W)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 100% currently
probability for TS is 100% currently
Naduri (16.4 S, 179.2 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 40% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 80% in about 36 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Tavua (17.4 S, 177.9 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 60% in about 36 hours
Nadi (17.8 S, 177.4 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 55% in about 48 hours
Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Suva (18.1 S, 178.4 E)
probability for TS is 40% in about 36 hours
Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html
.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
Tropical Cyclone EVAN (04P) currently located near 13.0 S 175.6 W is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Fiji
probability for CAT 1 or above is 50% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 80% in about 36 hours
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Mata-Utu (13.3 S, 176.2 W)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 100% currently
probability for TS is 100% currently
Naduri (16.4 S, 179.2 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 40% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 80% in about 36 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Tavua (17.4 S, 177.9 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 60% in about 36 hours
Nadi (17.8 S, 177.4 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 55% in about 48 hours
Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Suva (18.1 S, 178.4 E)
probability for TS is 40% in about 36 hours
Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html.
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
SW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 15 Dec, 2012 6:00 GMT
Tropical Cyclone EVAN (04P) currently located near 13.0 S 175.6 W is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Fiji
probability for CAT 1 or above is 50% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 80% in about 36 hours
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Mata-Utu (13.3 S, 176.2 W)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 100% currently
probability for TS is 100% currently
Naduri (16.4 S, 179.2 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 40% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 80% in about 36 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Tavua (17.4 S, 177.9 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 60% in about 36 hours
Nadi (17.8 S, 177.4 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 55% in about 48 hours
Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Suva (18.1 S, 178.4 E)
probability for TS is 40% in about 36 hours
Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html
.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
Friday, December 14, 2012
TSR Storm Alert - Intense Tropical Cyclone EVAN
SW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 14 Dec, 2012 18:00 GMT
Intense Tropical Cyclone EVAN (04P) currently located near 12.3 S 174.0 W is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Fiji
probability for CAT 1 or above is 35% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 65% in about 36 hours
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Mata-Utu (13.3 S, 176.2 W)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 85% within 12 hours
probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Asau (13.4 S, 172.5 W)
probability for TS is 70% currently
Naduri (16.4 S, 179.2 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 65% in about 48 hours
Tavua (17.4 S, 177.9 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 50% in about 48 hours
Nadi (17.8 S, 177.4 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 40% in about 48 hours
Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Suva (18.1 S, 178.4 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 48 hours
Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html.
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
SW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 14 Dec, 2012 18:00 GMT
Intense Tropical Cyclone EVAN (04P) currently located near 12.3 S 174.0 W is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Fiji
probability for CAT 1 or above is 35% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 65% in about 36 hours
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Mata-Utu (13.3 S, 176.2 W)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 85% within 12 hours
probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Asau (13.4 S, 172.5 W)
probability for TS is 70% currently
Naduri (16.4 S, 179.2 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 65% in about 48 hours
Tavua (17.4 S, 177.9 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 50% in about 48 hours
Nadi (17.8 S, 177.4 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 40% in about 48 hours
Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Suva (18.1 S, 178.4 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 48 hours
Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html
.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
Intense Tropical Cyclone EVAN (04P) currently located near 12.3 S 174.0 W is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Fiji
probability for CAT 1 or above is 35% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 65% in about 36 hours
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Mata-Utu (13.3 S, 176.2 W)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 85% within 12 hours
probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Asau (13.4 S, 172.5 W)
probability for TS is 70% currently
Naduri (16.4 S, 179.2 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 65% in about 48 hours
Tavua (17.4 S, 177.9 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 50% in about 48 hours
Nadi (17.8 S, 177.4 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 40% in about 48 hours
Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Suva (18.1 S, 178.4 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 48 hours
Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html.
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
SW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 14 Dec, 2012 18:00 GMT
Intense Tropical Cyclone EVAN (04P) currently located near 12.3 S 174.0 W is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Fiji
probability for CAT 1 or above is 35% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 65% in about 36 hours
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Mata-Utu (13.3 S, 176.2 W)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 85% within 12 hours
probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Asau (13.4 S, 172.5 W)
probability for TS is 70% currently
Naduri (16.4 S, 179.2 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 65% in about 48 hours
Tavua (17.4 S, 177.9 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 50% in about 48 hours
Nadi (17.8 S, 177.4 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 40% in about 48 hours
Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Suva (18.1 S, 178.4 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 48 hours
Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html
.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
TSR Storm Alert - Intense Tropical Cyclone EVAN
SW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 14 Dec, 2012 12:00 GMT
Intense Tropical Cyclone EVAN (04P) currently located near 12.6 S 173.0 W is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Mata-Utu (13.3 S, 176.2 W)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 80% in about 24 hours
probability for TS is 95% in about 24 hours
Asau (13.4 S, 172.5 W)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 45% currently
probability for TS is 100% currently
Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Fiji
probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 60% in about 48 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Apia (13.8 S, 171.7 W)
probability for TS is 90% currently
Naduri (16.4 S, 179.2 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 60% in about 72 hours
Tavua (17.4 S, 177.9 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 40% in about 72 hours
Nadi (17.8 S, 177.4 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 40% in about 72 hours
Suva (18.1 S, 178.4 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 35% in about 72 hours
Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html.
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
SW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 14 Dec, 2012 12:00 GMT
Intense Tropical Cyclone EVAN (04P) currently located near 12.6 S 173.0 W is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Mata-Utu (13.3 S, 176.2 W)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 80% in about 24 hours
probability for TS is 95% in about 24 hours
Asau (13.4 S, 172.5 W)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 45% currently
probability for TS is 100% currently
Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Fiji
probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 60% in about 48 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Apia (13.8 S, 171.7 W)
probability for TS is 90% currently
Naduri (16.4 S, 179.2 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 60% in about 72 hours
Tavua (17.4 S, 177.9 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 40% in about 72 hours
Nadi (17.8 S, 177.4 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 40% in about 72 hours
Suva (18.1 S, 178.4 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 35% in about 72 hours
Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html
.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
Intense Tropical Cyclone EVAN (04P) currently located near 12.6 S 173.0 W is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Mata-Utu (13.3 S, 176.2 W)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 80% in about 24 hours
probability for TS is 95% in about 24 hours
Asau (13.4 S, 172.5 W)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 45% currently
probability for TS is 100% currently
Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Fiji
probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 60% in about 48 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Apia (13.8 S, 171.7 W)
probability for TS is 90% currently
Naduri (16.4 S, 179.2 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 60% in about 72 hours
Tavua (17.4 S, 177.9 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 40% in about 72 hours
Nadi (17.8 S, 177.4 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 40% in about 72 hours
Suva (18.1 S, 178.4 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 35% in about 72 hours
Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html.
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
SW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 14 Dec, 2012 12:00 GMT
Intense Tropical Cyclone EVAN (04P) currently located near 12.6 S 173.0 W is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Mata-Utu (13.3 S, 176.2 W)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 80% in about 24 hours
probability for TS is 95% in about 24 hours
Asau (13.4 S, 172.5 W)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 45% currently
probability for TS is 100% currently
Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Fiji
probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 60% in about 48 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Apia (13.8 S, 171.7 W)
probability for TS is 90% currently
Naduri (16.4 S, 179.2 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 60% in about 72 hours
Tavua (17.4 S, 177.9 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 40% in about 72 hours
Nadi (17.8 S, 177.4 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 40% in about 72 hours
Suva (18.1 S, 178.4 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 35% in about 72 hours
Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html
.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
TSR Storm Alert - Intense Tropical Cyclone EVAN
SW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 14 Dec, 2012 6:00 GMT
Intense Tropical Cyclone EVAN (04P) currently located near 12.9 S 172.5 W is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Asau (13.4 S, 172.5 W)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 100% currently
probability for TS is 100% currently
Mata-Utu (13.3 S, 176.2 W)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 80% in about 24 hours
probability for TS is 90% in about 24 hours
Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Fiji
probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 50% in about 48 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Apia (13.8 S, 171.7 W)
probability for TS is 95% currently
Naduri (16.4 S, 179.2 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 40% in about 48 hours
Tavua (17.4 S, 177.9 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 35% in about 72 hours
Nadi (17.8 S, 177.4 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 35% in about 72 hours
Suva (18.1 S, 178.4 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 30% in about 72 hours
Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html.
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
SW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 14 Dec, 2012 6:00 GMT
Intense Tropical Cyclone EVAN (04P) currently located near 12.9 S 172.5 W is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Asau (13.4 S, 172.5 W)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 100% currently
probability for TS is 100% currently
Mata-Utu (13.3 S, 176.2 W)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 80% in about 24 hours
probability for TS is 90% in about 24 hours
Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Fiji
probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 50% in about 48 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Apia (13.8 S, 171.7 W)
probability for TS is 95% currently
Naduri (16.4 S, 179.2 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 40% in about 48 hours
Tavua (17.4 S, 177.9 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 35% in about 72 hours
Nadi (17.8 S, 177.4 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 35% in about 72 hours
Suva (18.1 S, 178.4 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 30% in about 72 hours
Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html
.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
Intense Tropical Cyclone EVAN (04P) currently located near 12.9 S 172.5 W is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Asau (13.4 S, 172.5 W)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 100% currently
probability for TS is 100% currently
Mata-Utu (13.3 S, 176.2 W)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 80% in about 24 hours
probability for TS is 90% in about 24 hours
Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Fiji
probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 50% in about 48 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Apia (13.8 S, 171.7 W)
probability for TS is 95% currently
Naduri (16.4 S, 179.2 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 40% in about 48 hours
Tavua (17.4 S, 177.9 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 35% in about 72 hours
Nadi (17.8 S, 177.4 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 35% in about 72 hours
Suva (18.1 S, 178.4 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 30% in about 72 hours
Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html.
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
SW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 14 Dec, 2012 6:00 GMT
Intense Tropical Cyclone EVAN (04P) currently located near 12.9 S 172.5 W is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Asau (13.4 S, 172.5 W)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 100% currently
probability for TS is 100% currently
Mata-Utu (13.3 S, 176.2 W)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 80% in about 24 hours
probability for TS is 90% in about 24 hours
Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Fiji
probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 50% in about 48 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Apia (13.8 S, 171.7 W)
probability for TS is 95% currently
Naduri (16.4 S, 179.2 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 40% in about 48 hours
Tavua (17.4 S, 177.9 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 35% in about 72 hours
Nadi (17.8 S, 177.4 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 35% in about 72 hours
Suva (18.1 S, 178.4 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 30% in about 72 hours
Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html
.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
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