TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Cyclone BEJISA

S Indian Ocean: Storm Alert issued at 31 Dec, 2013 18:00 GMT

Tropical Cyclone BEJISA (06S) currently located near 15.2 S 53.5 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Reunion
probability for CAT 1 or above is 40% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 70% in about 36 hours
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
St Pierre (21.3 S, 55.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 35% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 60% in about 36 hours

Green Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Mauritius
probability for TS is 35% in about 36 hours
Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Port Louis (20.2 S, 57.5 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 36 hours

Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

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This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

TSR Storm Alert - Intense Tropical Cyclone BEJISA

S Indian Ocean: Storm Alert issued at 31 Dec, 2013 6:00 GMT

Intense Tropical Cyclone BEJISA (06S) currently located near 13.3 S 53.4 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Reunion
probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 55% in about 48 hours
Mauritius
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 35% in about 72 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
St Pierre (21.3 S, 55.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 45% in about 48 hours
Port Louis (20.2 S, 57.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 35% in about 72 hours

Note that
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

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This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Cyclone BEJISA

S Indian Ocean: Storm Alert issued at 30 Dec, 2013 18:00 GMT

Tropical Cyclone BEJISA (06S) currently located near 12.3 S 52.8 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Reunion
probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 35% in about 72 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
St Pierre (21.3 S, 55.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 35% in about 72 hours

Green Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Madagascar
probability for TS is 35% in about 36 hours

Note that
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

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This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Cyclone CHRISTINE

S Indian Ocean: Storm Alert issued at 30 Dec, 2013 18:00 GMT (Final Warning)

Tropical Cyclone CHRISTINE (05S) currently located near 21.1 S 117.1 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Australia
probability for CAT 1 or above is 100% currently
probability for TS is 100% currently
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Roebourne (20.8 S, 117.2 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 100% currently
probability for TS is 100% currently

Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Pannawonica (21.8 S, 116.3 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% within 12 hours
probability for TS is 95% currently
Tom Price (22.8 S, 117.8 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% within 12 hours
probability for TS is 90% within 12 hours
Port Hedland (20.4 S, 118.6 E)
probability for TS is 60% currently

Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Newman (23.3 S, 119.6 E)
probability for TS is 40% in about 24 hours
Meekatharra (26.5 S, 118.5 E)
probability for TS is 40% in about 24 hours

Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

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This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Cyclone CHRISTINE

S Indian Ocean: Storm Alert issued at 30 Dec, 2013 12:00 GMT

Tropical Cyclone CHRISTINE (05S) currently located near 20.4 S 117.8 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Australia
probability for CAT 1 or above is 100% currently
probability for TS is 100% currently
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Roebourne (20.8 S, 117.2 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 85% within 12 hours
probability for TS is 100% currently

Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Port Hedland (20.4 S, 118.6 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% currently
probability for TS is 100% currently
Tom Price (22.8 S, 117.8 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% within 12 hours
probability for TS is 95% within 12 hours
Marble Bar (21.2 S, 119.8 E)
probability for TS is 90% within 12 hours
Pannawonica (21.8 S, 116.3 E)
probability for TS is 85% within 12 hours
Newman (23.3 S, 119.6 E)
probability for TS is 70% in about 24 hours
Nullagine (21.9 S, 120.1 E)
probability for TS is 60% within 12 hours

Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Meekatharra (26.5 S, 118.5 E)
probability for TS is 40% in about 24 hours

Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

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This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm BEJISA

S Indian Ocean: Storm Alert issued at 30 Dec, 2013 6:00 GMT

Tropical Storm BEJISA (06S) currently located near 11.2 S 52.9 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Mauritius
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 20% in about 72 hours
Reunion
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 25% in about 72 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Port Louis (20.2 S, 57.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 20% in about 72 hours
St Pierre (21.3 S, 55.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 25% in about 72 hours

Note that
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

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This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Cyclone CHRISTINE

S Indian Ocean: Storm Alert issued at 30 Dec, 2013 6:00 GMT

Tropical Cyclone CHRISTINE (05S) currently located near 19.6 S 118.4 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Australia
probability for CAT 1 or above is 90% currently
probability for TS is 100% currently
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Port Hedland (20.4 S, 118.6 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 75% within 12 hours
probability for TS is 100% currently

Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Roebourne (20.8 S, 117.2 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% within 12 hours
probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
Marble Bar (21.2 S, 119.8 E)
probability for TS is 95% within 12 hours
Tom Price (22.8 S, 117.8 E)
probability for TS is 85% within 12 hours
Nullagine (21.9 S, 120.1 E)
probability for TS is 75% in about 24 hours
Newman (23.3 S, 119.6 E)
probability for TS is 75% in about 24 hours
Pannawonica (21.8 S, 116.3 E)
probability for TS is 65% within 12 hours
Wallal Downs (19.8 S, 120.8 E)
probability for TS is 60% currently

Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

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This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Cyclone CHRISTINE

S Indian Ocean: Storm Alert issued at 30 Dec, 2013 0:00 GMT

Tropical Cyclone CHRISTINE (05S) currently located near 18.8 S 118.6 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Australia
probability for CAT 1 or above is 75% within 12 hours
probability for TS is 100% currently
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Port Hedland (20.4 S, 118.6 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 65% within 12 hours
probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours

Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Roebourne (20.8 S, 117.2 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% within 12 hours
probability for TS is 95% within 12 hours
Marble Bar (21.2 S, 119.8 E)
probability for TS is 80% in about 24 hours
Tom Price (22.8 S, 117.8 E)
probability for TS is 75% in about 24 hours
Wallal Downs (19.8 S, 120.8 E)
probability for TS is 65% currently
Pannawonica (21.8 S, 116.3 E)
probability for TS is 60% in about 24 hours
Nullagine (21.9 S, 120.1 E)
probability for TS is 55% in about 36 hours
Newman (23.3 S, 119.6 E)
probability for TS is 55% in about 36 hours

Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

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This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm BEJISA

S Indian Ocean: Storm Alert issued at 29 Dec, 2013 18:00 GMT

Tropical Storm BEJISA (06S) currently located near 10.4 S 52.7 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Mauritius
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
probability for TS is 15% in about 96 hours
Reunion
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
probability for TS is 15% in about 96 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Port Louis (20.2 S, 57.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
probability for TS is 15% in about 96 hours
St Pierre (21.3 S, 55.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
probability for TS is 15% in about 96 hours

Note that
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Cyclone CHRISTINE

S Indian Ocean: Storm Alert issued at 29 Dec, 2013 18:00 GMT

Tropical Cyclone CHRISTINE (05S) currently located near 18.4 S 119.2 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Australia
probability for CAT 1 or above is 75% within 12 hours
probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Port Hedland (20.4 S, 118.6 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 70% in about 24 hours
probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours

Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Wallal Downs (19.8 S, 120.8 E)
probability for TS is 95% within 12 hours
Marble Bar (21.2 S, 119.8 E)
probability for TS is 85% in about 24 hours
Roebourne (20.8 S, 117.2 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 24 hours
probability for TS is 80% in about 24 hours
Nullagine (21.9 S, 120.1 E)
probability for TS is 65% in about 24 hours
Tom Price (22.8 S, 117.8 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 65% in about 24 hours
Anna Plains (19.3 S, 121.6 E)
probability for TS is 60% currently
Newman (23.3 S, 119.6 E)
probability for TS is 60% in about 36 hours

Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Lagrange (18.7 S, 121.8 E)
probability for TS is 45% currently
Pannawonica (21.8 S, 116.3 E)
probability for TS is 40% in about 24 hours

Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

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This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm CHRISTINE

S Indian Ocean: Storm Alert issued at 29 Dec, 2013 12:00 GMT

Tropical Storm CHRISTINE (05S) currently located near 17.7 S 119.3 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Australia
probability for CAT 1 or above is 45% in about 24 hours
probability for TS is 95% within 12 hours
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Port Hedland (20.4 S, 118.6 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 40% in about 24 hours
probability for TS is 90% within 12 hours

Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Marble Bar (21.2 S, 119.8 E)
probability for TS is 80% in about 24 hours
Roebourne (20.8 S, 117.2 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 80% in about 24 hours
Wallal Downs (19.8 S, 120.8 E)
probability for TS is 75% within 12 hours
Tom Price (22.8 S, 117.8 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 70% in about 36 hours
Nullagine (21.9 S, 120.1 E)
probability for TS is 60% in about 36 hours
Newman (23.3 S, 119.6 E)
probability for TS is 60% in about 36 hours

Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Lagrange (18.7 S, 121.8 E)
probability for TS is 50% currently
Pannawonica (21.8 S, 116.3 E)
probability for TS is 50% in about 36 hours
Anna Plains (19.3 S, 121.6 E)
probability for TS is 45% currently

Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm CHRISTINE

S Indian Ocean: Storm Alert issued at 29 Dec, 2013 6:00 GMT

Tropical Storm CHRISTINE (05S) currently located near 17.1 S 119.7 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Australia
probability for CAT 1 or above is 40% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 95% in about 24 hours
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Port Hedland (20.4 S, 118.6 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 40% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 90% in about 24 hours
Roebourne (20.8 S, 117.2 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 35% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 75% in about 36 hours

Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Marble Bar (21.2 S, 119.8 E)
probability for TS is 75% in about 36 hours
Wallal Downs (19.8 S, 120.8 E)
probability for TS is 70% in about 36 hours
Tom Price (22.8 S, 117.8 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 65% in about 48 hours
Nullagine (21.9 S, 120.1 E)
probability for TS is 60% in about 36 hours
Newman (23.3 S, 119.6 E)
probability for TS is 55% in about 48 hours

Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Pannawonica (21.8 S, 116.3 E)
probability for TS is 45% in about 36 hours
Anna Plains (19.3 S, 121.6 E)
probability for TS is 40% within 12 hours

Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm CHRISTINE

S Indian Ocean: Storm Alert issued at 29 Dec, 2013 0:00 GMT

Tropical Storm CHRISTINE (05S) currently located near 16.6 S 120.2 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Australia
probability for CAT 1 or above is 45% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 85% in about 24 hours
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Port Hedland (20.4 S, 118.6 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 45% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 85% in about 36 hours
Roebourne (20.8 S, 117.2 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 35% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 80% in about 36 hours

Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Wallal Downs (19.8 S, 120.8 E)
probability for TS is 75% in about 36 hours
Marble Bar (21.2 S, 119.8 E)
probability for TS is 75% in about 36 hours
Tom Price (22.8 S, 117.8 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 60% in about 48 hours
Lagrange (18.7 S, 121.8 E)
probability for TS is 55% within 12 hours
Nullagine (21.9 S, 120.1 E)
probability for TS is 55% in about 48 hours
Pannawonica (21.8 S, 116.3 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 55% in about 48 hours

Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Anna Plains (19.3 S, 121.6 E)
probability for TS is 50% within 12 hours
Newman (23.3 S, 119.6 E)
probability for TS is 50% in about 48 hours
Broome (18.0 S, 122.2 E)
probability for TS is 40% currently
Lombadina (16.5 S, 122.9 E)
probability for TS is 35% currently

Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm CHRISTINE

S Indian Ocean: Storm Alert issued at 28 Dec, 2013 18:00 GMT

Tropical Storm CHRISTINE (05S) currently located near 16.3 S 120.4 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Australia
probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 55% in about 36 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Roebourne (20.8 S, 117.2 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 40% in about 36 hours
Port Hedland (20.4 S, 118.6 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 50% in about 36 hours

Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Pannawonica (21.8 S, 116.3 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 48 hours

Note that
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

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This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm CHRISTINE

S Indian Ocean: Storm Alert issued at 28 Dec, 2013 12:00 GMT

Tropical Storm CHRISTINE (05S) currently located near 16.2 S 120.6 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Australia
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 45% in about 36 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Port Hedland (20.4 S, 118.6 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 45% in about 36 hours

Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Roebourne (20.8 S, 117.2 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 36 hours

Note that
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

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This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm FIVE

S Indian Ocean: Storm Alert issued at 28 Dec, 2013 6:00 GMT

Tropical Storm FIVE (05S) currently located near 15.6 S 120.7 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Australia
probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 45% in about 48 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Roebourne (20.8 S, 117.2 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 45% in about 48 hours
Port Hedland (20.4 S, 118.6 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 40% in about 48 hours

Note that
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

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This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

TSR Storm Alert - Very Intense TC AMARA

S Indian Ocean: Storm Alert issued at 21 Dec, 2013 18:00 GMT

Very Intense TC AMARA (03S) currently located near 21.2 S 65.6 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Port Mathurin (19.7 S, 63.4 E)
probability for TS is 40% currently

Note that
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

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TSR Storm Alert - Very Intense TC AMARA

S Indian Ocean: Storm Alert issued at 21 Dec, 2013 6:00 GMT

Very Intense TC AMARA (03S) currently located near 20.1 S 64.2 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Port Mathurin (19.7 S, 63.4 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 90% currently
probability for TS is 100% currently

Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

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This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

TSR Storm Alert - Very Intense TC AMARA

S Indian Ocean: Storm Alert issued at 20 Dec, 2013 18:00 GMT

Very Intense TC AMARA (03S) currently located near 19.1 S 64.3 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Port Mathurin (19.7 S, 63.4 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 60% within 12 hours
probability for TS is 100% currently

Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

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This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

TSR Storm Alert - Intense Tropical Cyclone AMARA

S Indian Ocean: Storm Alert issued at 20 Dec, 2013 6:00 GMT

Intense Tropical Cyclone AMARA (03S) currently located near 18.3 S 65.3 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Port Mathurin (19.7 S, 63.4 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 35% in about 24 hours
probability for TS is 90% within 12 hours

Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

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This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

TSR Storm Alert - Intense Tropical Cyclone AMARA

S Indian Ocean: Storm Alert issued at 19 Dec, 2013 18:00 GMT

Intense Tropical Cyclone AMARA (03S) currently located near 18.0 S 66.6 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Port Mathurin (19.7 S, 63.4 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 75% in about 24 hours

Note that
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

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This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

TSR Storm Alert - Intense Tropical Cyclone AMARA

S Indian Ocean: Storm Alert issued at 19 Dec, 2013 6:00 GMT

Intense Tropical Cyclone AMARA (03S) currently located near 17.4 S 68.3 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Port Mathurin (19.7 S, 63.4 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 65% in about 36 hours

Note that
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

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This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

TSR Storm Alert - Intense Tropical Cyclone AMARA

S Indian Ocean: Storm Alert issued at 18 Dec, 2013 18:00 GMT

Intense Tropical Cyclone AMARA (03S) currently located near 16.8 S 69.9 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Port Mathurin (19.7 S, 63.4 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 60% in about 48 hours

Note that
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

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This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Cyclone AMARA

S Indian Ocean: Storm Alert issued at 18 Dec, 2013 6:00 GMT

Tropical Cyclone AMARA (03S) currently located near 16.0 S 70.8 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Port Mathurin (19.7 S, 63.4 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 20% in about 72 hours

Note that
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

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This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm AMARA

S Indian Ocean: Storm Alert issued at 17 Dec, 2013 18:00 GMT

Tropical Storm AMARA (03S) currently located near 16.1 S 71.4 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Port Mathurin (19.7 S, 63.4 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 20% in about 72 hours

Note that
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

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This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm MADI

N Indian Ocean: Storm Alert issued at 11 Dec, 2013 18:00 GMT

Tropical Storm MADI (06B) currently located near 12.9 N 82.7 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Green Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
India
probability for TS is 45% within 12 hours
Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Pondicherry (11.9 N, 79.8 E)
probability for TS is 40% within 12 hours

Note that
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

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This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm MADI

N Indian Ocean: Storm Alert issued at 11 Dec, 2013 12:00 GMT

Tropical Storm MADI (06B) currently located near 13.4 N 83.1 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
India
probability for TS is 60% in about 24 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Madras (13.1 N, 80.2 E)
probability for TS is 60% in about 24 hours
Pondicherry (11.9 N, 79.8 E)
probability for TS is 60% in about 24 hours
Nagappattinam (10.8 N, 79.8 E)
probability for TS is 60% in about 24 hours

Green Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Sri Lanka
probability for TS is 40% in about 24 hours
Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Madurai (9.9 N, 78.1 E)
probability for TS is 40% in about 36 hours
Jaffna (9.7 N, 80.0 E)
probability for TS is 40% in about 36 hours
Rameswaram (9.3 N, 79.3 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 36 hours

Note that
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Severe Cyclonic Storm strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

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This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm MADI

N Indian Ocean: Storm Alert issued at 11 Dec, 2013 6:00 GMT

Tropical Storm MADI (06B) currently located near 13.9 N 83.6 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
India
probability for TS is 60% in about 24 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Pondicherry (11.9 N, 79.8 E)
probability for TS is 55% in about 36 hours

Green Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Sri Lanka
probability for TS is 35% in about 36 hours
Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Madras (13.1 N, 80.2 E)
probability for TS is 50% in about 24 hours
Nagappattinam (10.8 N, 79.8 E)
probability for TS is 40% in about 24 hours
Madurai (9.9 N, 78.1 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 36 hours
Jaffna (9.7 N, 80.0 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 36 hours

Note that
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Severe Cyclonic Storm strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

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This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm MADI

N Indian Ocean: Storm Alert issued at 10 Dec, 2013 12:00 GMT

Tropical Storm MADI (06B) currently located near 15.1 N 84.9 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Green Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
India
probability for TS is 40% in about 48 hours
Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Pondicherry (11.9 N, 79.8 E)
probability for TS is 40% in about 72 hours
Madras (13.1 N, 80.2 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 48 hours
Nagappattinam (10.8 N, 79.8 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 48 hours

Note that
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

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This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

TSR Storm Alert - Severe Cyclonic Storm MADI

N Indian Ocean: Storm Alert issued at 10 Dec, 2013 6:00 GMT

Severe Cyclonic Storm MADI (06B) currently located near 15.4 N 85.3 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Green Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
India
probability for TS is 35% in about 48 hours
Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Madras (13.1 N, 80.2 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 48 hours

Note that
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

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This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm LEHAR

N Indian Ocean: Storm Alert issued at 28 Nov, 2013 6:00 GMT (Final Warning)

Tropical Storm LEHAR (05B) currently located near 15.0 N 81.9 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Green Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
India
probability for TS is 50% within 12 hours

Note that
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

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This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm LEHAR

N Indian Ocean: Storm Alert issued at 28 Nov, 2013 0:00 GMT

Tropical Storm LEHAR (05B) currently located near 14.7 N 82.9 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
India
probability for TS is 65% within 12 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Machilipatnam (16.2 N, 81.2 E)
probability for TS is 60% within 12 hours

Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Kavali (15.0 N, 80.0 E)
probability for TS is 50% within 12 hours
Nellore (14.4 N, 80.0 E)
probability for TS is 40% in about 24 hours

Note that
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Severe Cyclonic Storm strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

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This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm LEHAR

N Indian Ocean: Storm Alert issued at 27 Nov, 2013 18:00 GMT

Tropical Storm LEHAR (05B) currently located near 14.3 N 83.8 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
India
probability for TS is 65% in about 24 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Machilipatnam (16.2 N, 81.2 E)
probability for TS is 55% within 12 hours

Note that
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Severe Cyclonic Storm strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

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This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Depression ALESSIA

S Indian Ocean: Storm Alert issued at 27 Nov, 2013 18:00 GMT (Final Warning)

Tropical Depression ALESSIA (02S) currently located near 16.5 S 137.7 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Australia
probability for TS is 70% currently

Note that
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

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This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm LEHAR

N Indian Ocean: Storm Alert issued at 27 Nov, 2013 12:00 GMT

Tropical Storm LEHAR (05B) currently located near 14.8 N 84.7 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
India
probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Kakinada (17.0 N, 82.3 E)
probability for TS is 95% within 12 hours
Machilipatnam (16.2 N, 81.2 E)
probability for TS is 90% within 12 hours
Vishakhapatnam (17.8 N, 83.3 E)
probability for TS is 70% in about 24 hours
Kavali (15.0 N, 80.0 E)
probability for TS is 60% in about 24 hours

Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Hyderabad (17.4 N, 78.5 E)
probability for TS is 50% in about 24 hours
Nellore (14.4 N, 80.0 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 24 hours

Note that
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Severe Cyclonic Storm strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

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This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm ALESSIA

S Indian Ocean: Storm Alert issued at 27 Nov, 2013 6:00 GMT

Tropical Storm ALESSIA (02S) currently located near 15.8 S 137.6 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Australia
probability for TS is 60% currently

Note that
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

TSR Storm Alert - Severe Cyclonic Storm LEHAR

N Indian Ocean: Storm Alert issued at 27 Nov, 2013 6:00 GMT

Severe Cyclonic Storm LEHAR (05B) currently located near 14.1 N 86.1 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
India
probability for TS is 85% in about 24 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Machilipatnam (16.2 N, 81.2 E)
probability for TS is 85% in about 24 hours
Kakinada (17.0 N, 82.3 E)
probability for TS is 80% in about 24 hours
Vishakhapatnam (17.8 N, 83.3 E)
probability for TS is 55% in about 24 hours

Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Kavali (15.0 N, 80.0 E)
probability for TS is 50% in about 24 hours
Hyderabad (17.4 N, 78.5 E)
probability for TS is 50% in about 36 hours
Nellore (14.4 N, 80.0 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 24 hours

Note that
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Severe Cyclonic Storm strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

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This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

TSR Storm Alert - Severe Cyclonic Storm LEHAR

N Indian Ocean: Storm Alert issued at 27 Nov, 2013 0:00 GMT

Severe Cyclonic Storm LEHAR (05B) currently located near 13.6 N 87.2 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
India
probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 75% in about 36 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Kakinada (17.0 N, 82.3 E)
probability for TS is 60% in about 24 hours
Machilipatnam (16.2 N, 81.2 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 60% in about 24 hours
Kavali (15.0 N, 80.0 E)
probability for TS is 55% in about 36 hours

Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Nellore (14.4 N, 80.0 E)
probability for TS is 45% in about 36 hours
Hyderabad (17.4 N, 78.5 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 36 hours

Note that
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Severe Cyclonic Storm strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

TSR Storm Alert - Severe Cyclonic Storm LEHAR

N Indian Ocean: Storm Alert issued at 26 Nov, 2013 18:00 GMT

Severe Cyclonic Storm LEHAR (05B) currently located near 13.2 N 88.1 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
India
probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 65% in about 36 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Machilipatnam (16.2 N, 81.2 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 65% in about 36 hours
Kavali (15.0 N, 80.0 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 60% in about 36 hours
Kakinada (17.0 N, 82.3 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 55% in about 36 hours
Nellore (14.4 N, 80.0 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 55% in about 48 hours

Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Hyderabad (17.4 N, 78.5 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 48 hours

Note that
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Severe Cyclonic Storm strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

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This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

TSR Storm Alert - Severe Cyclonic Storm LEHAR

N Indian Ocean: Storm Alert issued at 26 Nov, 2013 12:00 GMT

Severe Cyclonic Storm LEHAR (05B) currently located near 12.9 N 88.6 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
India
probability for CAT 1 or above is 40% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 70% in about 36 hours

Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Machilipatnam (16.2 N, 81.2 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 70% in about 48 hours
Kakinada (17.0 N, 82.3 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 60% in about 36 hours

Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Kavali (15.0 N, 80.0 E)
probability for TS is 50% in about 48 hours
Nellore (14.4 N, 80.0 E)
probability for TS is 45% in about 48 hours
Vishakhapatnam (17.8 N, 83.3 E)
probability for TS is 40% in about 36 hours

Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Severe Cyclonic Storm strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

TSR Storm Alert - Severe Cyclonic Storm LEHAR

N Indian Ocean: Storm Alert issued at 26 Nov, 2013 6:00 GMT

Severe Cyclonic Storm LEHAR (05B) currently located near 12.7 N 89.5 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
India
probability for CAT 1 or above is 35% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 65% in about 48 hours
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Machilipatnam (16.2 N, 81.2 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 35% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 65% in about 48 hours

Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Kakinada (17.0 N, 82.3 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 60% in about 48 hours
Kavali (15.0 N, 80.0 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 60% in about 48 hours
Nellore (14.4 N, 80.0 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 55% in about 48 hours

Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Vishakhapatnam (17.8 N, 83.3 E)
probability for TS is 45% in about 48 hours
Hyderabad (17.4 N, 78.5 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 72 hours
Madras (13.1 N, 80.2 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 48 hours

Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Severe Cyclonic Storm strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

TSR Storm Alert - Severe Cyclonic Storm LEHAR

N Indian Ocean: Storm Alert issued at 25 Nov, 2013 18:00 GMT

Severe Cyclonic Storm LEHAR (05B) currently located near 12.2 N 91.1 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
India
probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 60% in about 48 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Kakinada (17.0 N, 82.3 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 55% in about 48 hours
Machilipatnam (16.2 N, 81.2 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 50% in about 48 hours

Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Vishakhapatnam (17.8 N, 83.3 E)
probability for TS is 45% in about 48 hours
Port Blair (11.7 N, 92.8 E)
probability for TS is 35% currently

Note that
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Severe Cyclonic Storm strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

TSR Storm Alert - Severe Cyclonic Storm LEHAR

N Indian Ocean: Storm Alert issued at 25 Nov, 2013 12:00 GMT

Severe Cyclonic Storm LEHAR (05B) currently located near 12.6 N 90.6 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
India
probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 50% in about 48 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Kakinada (17.0 N, 82.3 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 45% in about 48 hours
Machilipatnam (16.2 N, 81.2 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 35% in about 48 hours
Vishakhapatnam (17.8 N, 83.3 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 45% in about 72 hours
Kavali (15.0 N, 80.0 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 25% in about 72 hours

Note that
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Severe Cyclonic Storm strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

TSR Storm Alert - Severe Cyclonic Storm LEHAR

N Indian Ocean: Storm Alert issued at 25 Nov, 2013 6:00 GMT

Severe Cyclonic Storm LEHAR (05B) currently located near 12.3 N 91.3 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
India
probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 30% in about 48 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Kakinada (17.0 N, 82.3 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 30% in about 72 hours
Vishakhapatnam (17.8 N, 83.3 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 30% in about 48 hours
Machilipatnam (16.2 N, 81.2 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 30% in about 72 hours

Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Port Blair (11.7 N, 92.8 E)
probability for TS is 35% currently

Note that
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Severe Cyclonic Storm strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

[Tsunami Message - IOC] NWS-NTWC Tsunami Information Statement

WEXX32 PAAQ 250647
TIBATE

PUBLIC TSUNAMI INFORMATION STATEMENT NUMBER 1
NWS NATIONAL TSUNAMI WARNING CENTER PALMER AK
147 AM EST MON NOV 25 2013

...THIS IS A TSUNAMI INFORMATION STATEMENT FOR THE U.S. AND CANADA
EAST COASTS/ GULF OF MEXICO STATES/PUERTO RICO AND THE VIRGIN
ISLANDS...

EVALUATION
----------
* THERE IS NO TSUNAMI DANGER FOR THE AREAS LISTED ABOVE.

* BASED ON EARTHQUAKE INFORMATION AND HISTORIC TSUNAMI RECORDS
THE EARTHQUAKE IS NOT EXPECTED TO GENERATE A TSUNAMI.

* AN EARTHQUAKE HAS OCCURRED WITH PARAMETERS LISTED BELOW.


PRELIMINARY EARTHQUAKE PARAMETERS
---------------------------------
* MAGNITUDE 6.6
* ORIGIN TIME 0127 EST NOV 25 2013
0027 CST NOV 25 2013
0227 AST NOV 25 2013
0627 UTC NOV 25 2013
* COORDINATES 54.0 SOUTH 54.9 WEST
* DEPTH 1 MILES
* LOCATION SOUTH ATLANTIC OCEAN


NEXT UPDATE AND ADDITIONAL INFORMATION
--------------------------------------
* THIS WILL BE THE ONLY U.S. NATIONAL TSUNAMI WARNING CENTER
MESSAGE FOR THIS EVENT UNLESS ADDITIONAL INFORMATION
BECOMES AVAILABLE.

* REFER TO THE INTERNET SITE NTWC.ARH.NOAA.GOV FOR
ADDITIONAL INFORMATION.

* CARIBBEAN COASTAL REGIONS OUTSIDE PUERTO RICO AND THE VIRGIN
ISLANDS SHOULD REFER TO THE PACIFIC TSUNAMI WARNING CENTER
MESSAGES AT PTWC.WEATHER.GOV.

$$

[Tsunami Message - IOC] Tsunami Information Statement

TSUNAMI STATEMENT NUMBER 1
NWS PACIFIC TSUNAMI WARNING CENTER EWA BEACH HI
0641 UTC MON NOV 25 2013

THIS STATEMENT APPLIES TO COUNTRIES WITHIN AND BORDERING THE
CARIBBEAN SEA...EXCEPT FOR PUERTO RICO...THE U.S. VIRGIN
ISLANDS...AND THE U.K. VIRGIN ISLANDS.

... TSUNAMI INFORMATION STATEMENT ...

THIS MESSAGE IS FOR INFORMATION ONLY.

THIS BULLETIN IS ISSUED AS ADVICE TO GOVERNMENT AGENCIES. ONLY
NATIONAL AND LOCAL GOVERNMENT AGENCIES HAVE THE AUTHORITY TO MAKE
DECISIONS REGARDING THE OFFICIAL STATE OF ALERT IN THEIR AREA AND
ANY ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN IN RESPONSE.

AN EARTHQUAKE HAS OCCURRED WITH THESE PRELIMINARY PARAMETERS

ORIGIN TIME - 0627Z 25 NOV 2013
COORDINATES - 54.0 SOUTH 54.9 WEST
LOCATION - SOUTH ATLANTIC OCEAN
MAGNITUDE - 6.6

EVALUATION

A DESTRUCTIVE WIDESPREAD TSUNAMI THREAT DOES NOT EXIST BASED ON
HISTORICAL EARTHQUAKE AND TSUNAMI DATA.

HOWEVER - THERE IS THE SMALL POSSIBILITY OF A LOCAL OR REGIONAL
TSUNAMI THAT COULD AFFECT COASTS LOCATED USUALLY NO MORE THAN A
FEW HUNDRED KILOMETERS FROM THE EARTHQUAKE EPICENTER. AUTHORITIES
IN THE REGION NEAR THE EPICENTER SHOULD BE MADE AWARE OF THIS
POSSIBILITY.

THIS WILL BE THE ONLY PRODUCT ISSUED BY THE PACIFIC TSUNAMI
WARNING CENTER FOR THIS EVENT UNLESS ADDITIONAL INFORMATION
BECOMES AVAILABLE.

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm LEHAR

N Indian Ocean: Storm Alert issued at 25 Nov, 2013 0:00 GMT

Tropical Storm LEHAR (05B) currently located near 12.1 N 91.9 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
India
probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 45% in about 72 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Port Blair (11.7 N, 92.8 E)
probability for TS is 75% currently
Vishakhapatnam (17.8 N, 83.3 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 45% in about 72 hours
Kakinada (17.0 N, 82.3 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 45% in about 72 hours
Machilipatnam (16.2 N, 81.2 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 40% in about 72 hours
Naupada (18.6 N, 84.2 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 40% in about 72 hours

Note that
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Severe Cyclonic Storm strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm LEHAR

N Indian Ocean: Storm Alert issued at 24 Nov, 2013 18:00 GMT

Tropical Storm LEHAR (05B) currently located near 11.7 N 92.9 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Port Blair (11.7 N, 92.8 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 35% currently
probability for TS is 95% currently

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
India
probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 45% in about 72 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Vishakhapatnam (17.8 N, 83.3 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 45% in about 72 hours
Kakinada (17.0 N, 82.3 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 45% in about 72 hours
Machilipatnam (16.2 N, 81.2 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 40% in about 96 hours
Naupada (18.6 N, 84.2 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 35% in about 72 hours

Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Severe Cyclonic Storm strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm LEHAR

N Indian Ocean: Storm Alert issued at 24 Nov, 2013 12:00 GMT

Tropical Storm LEHAR (05B) currently located near 10.9 N 93.3 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Port Blair (11.7 N, 92.8 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 35% within 12 hours
probability for TS is 85% within 12 hours

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
India
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 35% in about 72 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Vishakhapatnam (17.8 N, 83.3 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 35% in about 72 hours
Kakinada (17.0 N, 82.3 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 35% in about 72 hours
Machilipatnam (16.2 N, 81.2 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 25% in about 72 hours
Naupada (18.6 N, 84.2 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 30% in about 72 hours

Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Severe Cyclonic Storm strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm ALESSIA

S Indian Ocean: Storm Alert issued at 24 Nov, 2013 6:00 GMT (Final Warning)

Tropical Storm ALESSIA (02S) currently located near 13.8 S 129.0 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Australia
probability for TS is 80% currently
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Port Keats (14.2 S, 129.6 E)
probability for TS is 70% currently

Note that
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

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This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm FIVE

N Indian Ocean: Storm Alert issued at 24 Nov, 2013 6:00 GMT

Tropical Storm FIVE (05B) currently located near 10.3 N 94.3 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
India
probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 30% in about 96 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Port Blair (11.7 N, 92.8 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% within 12 hours
probability for TS is 60% within 12 hours
Kakinada (17.0 N, 82.3 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 30% in about 96 hours
Vishakhapatnam (17.8 N, 83.3 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 30% in about 96 hours
Machilipatnam (16.2 N, 81.2 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 30% in about 96 hours
Naupada (18.6 N, 84.2 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 30% in about 120 hours

Note that
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Severe Cyclonic Storm strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.