WEAK53 PAAQ 281414
TIBAK1
PUBLIC TSUNAMI INFORMATION STATEMENT NUMBER 1
NWS WEST COAST/ALASKA TSUNAMI WARNING CENTER PALMER AK
614 AM PST THU FEB 28 2013
...THIS IS A TSUNAMI INFORMATION STATEMENT FOR ALASKA/ BRITISH
COLUMBIA/ WASHINGTON/ OREGON AND CALIFORNIA...
EVALUATION
----------
* THERE IS NO TSUNAMI DANGER FOR THE AREAS LISTED ABOVE.
* THIS EVALUATION IS BASED ON EARTHQUAKE INFORMATION AND
HISTORIC TSUNAMI RECORDS.
* AN EARTHQUAKE HAS OCCURRED WITH PARAMETERS LISTED BELOW.
PRELIMINARY EARTHQUAKE PARAMETERS
---------------------------------
* MAGNITUDE 6.9
* ORIGIN TIME 0506 AKST FEB 28 2013
0606 PST FEB 28 2013
1406 UTC FEB 28 2013
* COORDINATES 50.8 NORTH 157.5 EAST
* DEPTH 29 MILES
* LOCATION 455 MILES SW OF BERING I. KOMANDORSKI
160 MILES SW OF PETROPAVLOVSK KAMCHATKA
NEXT UPDATE AND ADDITIONAL INFORMATION
--------------------------------------
* THIS WILL BE THE ONLY WCATWC MESSAGE FOR THIS EVENT
UNLESS ADDITIONAL INFORMATION BECOMES AVAILABLE.
* REFER TO THE INTERNET SITE WCATWC.ARH.NOAA.GOV FOR
ADDITIONAL INFORMATION.
* PACIFIC COASTAL REGIONS OUTSIDE CALIFORNIA... OREGON...
WASHINGTON... BRITISH COLUMBIA AND ALASKA SHOULD REFER TO THE
PACIFIC TSUNAMI WARNING CENTER MESSAGES AT PTWC.WEATHER.GOV.
$$
Thursday, February 28, 2013
[Tsunami Message - IOC] Tsunami Information Bulletin
TSUNAMI BULLETIN NUMBER 001
PACIFIC TSUNAMI WARNING CENTER/NOAA/NWS
ISSUED AT 1413Z 28 FEB 2013
THIS BULLETIN APPLIES TO AREAS WITHIN AND BORDERING THE PACIFIC
OCEAN AND ADJACENT SEAS...EXCEPT ALASKA...BRITISH COLUMBIA...
WASHINGTON...OREGON AND CALIFORNIA.
... TSUNAMI INFORMATION BULLETIN ...
THIS BULLETIN IS FOR INFORMATION ONLY.
THIS BULLETIN IS ISSUED AS ADVICE TO GOVERNMENT AGENCIES. ONLY
NATIONAL AND LOCAL GOVERNMENT AGENCIES HAVE THE AUTHORITY TO MAKE
DECISIONS REGARDING THE OFFICIAL STATE OF ALERT IN THEIR AREA AND
ANY ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN IN RESPONSE.
AN EARTHQUAKE HAS OCCURRED WITH THESE PRELIMINARY PARAMETERS
ORIGIN TIME - 1406Z 28 FEB 2013
COORDINATES - 50.8 NORTH 157.5 EAST
DEPTH - 46 KM
LOCATION - KURIL ISLANDS
MAGNITUDE - 6.9
EVALUATION
NO DESTRUCTIVE WIDESPREAD TSUNAMI THREAT EXISTS BASED ON
HISTORICAL EARTHQUAKE AND TSUNAMI DATA.
HOWEVER - EARTHQUAKES OF THIS SIZE SOMETIMES GENERATE LOCAL
TSUNAMIS THAT CAN BE DESTRUCTIVE ALONG COASTS LOCATED WITHIN
A HUNDRED KILOMETERS OF THE EARTHQUAKE EPICENTER. AUTHORITIES
IN THE REGION OF THE EPICENTER SHOULD BE AWARE OF THIS
POSSIBILITY AND TAKE APPROPRIATE ACTION.
THIS WILL BE THE ONLY BULLETIN ISSUED FOR THIS EVENT UNLESS
ADDITIONAL INFORMATION BECOMES AVAILABLE.
THE JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY MAY ALSO ISSUE TSUNAMI MESSAGES
FOR THIS EVENT TO COUNTRIES IN THE NORTHWEST PACIFIC AND SOUTH
CHINA SEA REGION. IN CASE OF CONFLICTING INFORMATION... THE
MORE CONSERVATIVE INFORMATION SHOULD BE USED FOR SAFETY.
THE WEST COAST/ALASKA TSUNAMI WARNING CENTER WILL ISSUE PRODUCTS
FOR ALASKA...BRITISH COLUMBIA...WASHINGTON...OREGON...CALIFORNIA.
PACIFIC TSUNAMI WARNING CENTER/NOAA/NWS
ISSUED AT 1413Z 28 FEB 2013
THIS BULLETIN APPLIES TO AREAS WITHIN AND BORDERING THE PACIFIC
OCEAN AND ADJACENT SEAS...EXCEPT ALASKA...BRITISH COLUMBIA...
WASHINGTON...OREGON AND CALIFORNIA.
... TSUNAMI INFORMATION BULLETIN ...
THIS BULLETIN IS FOR INFORMATION ONLY.
THIS BULLETIN IS ISSUED AS ADVICE TO GOVERNMENT AGENCIES. ONLY
NATIONAL AND LOCAL GOVERNMENT AGENCIES HAVE THE AUTHORITY TO MAKE
DECISIONS REGARDING THE OFFICIAL STATE OF ALERT IN THEIR AREA AND
ANY ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN IN RESPONSE.
AN EARTHQUAKE HAS OCCURRED WITH THESE PRELIMINARY PARAMETERS
ORIGIN TIME - 1406Z 28 FEB 2013
COORDINATES - 50.8 NORTH 157.5 EAST
DEPTH - 46 KM
LOCATION - KURIL ISLANDS
MAGNITUDE - 6.9
EVALUATION
NO DESTRUCTIVE WIDESPREAD TSUNAMI THREAT EXISTS BASED ON
HISTORICAL EARTHQUAKE AND TSUNAMI DATA.
HOWEVER - EARTHQUAKES OF THIS SIZE SOMETIMES GENERATE LOCAL
TSUNAMIS THAT CAN BE DESTRUCTIVE ALONG COASTS LOCATED WITHIN
A HUNDRED KILOMETERS OF THE EARTHQUAKE EPICENTER. AUTHORITIES
IN THE REGION OF THE EPICENTER SHOULD BE AWARE OF THIS
POSSIBILITY AND TAKE APPROPRIATE ACTION.
THIS WILL BE THE ONLY BULLETIN ISSUED FOR THIS EVENT UNLESS
ADDITIONAL INFORMATION BECOMES AVAILABLE.
THE JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY MAY ALSO ISSUE TSUNAMI MESSAGES
FOR THIS EVENT TO COUNTRIES IN THE NORTHWEST PACIFIC AND SOUTH
CHINA SEA REGION. IN CASE OF CONFLICTING INFORMATION... THE
MORE CONSERVATIVE INFORMATION SHOULD BE USED FOR SAFETY.
THE WEST COAST/ALASKA TSUNAMI WARNING CENTER WILL ISSUE PRODUCTS
FOR ALASKA...BRITISH COLUMBIA...WASHINGTON...OREGON...CALIFORNIA.
Wednesday, February 27, 2013
TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Cyclone RUSTY
S Indian Ocean: Storm Alert issued at 27 Feb, 2013 12:00 GMT (Final Warning)
Tropical Cyclone RUSTY (17S) currently located near 20.3 S 119.8 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Australia
probability for CAT 1 or above is 100% currently
probability for TS is 100% currently
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Marble Bar (21.2 S, 119.8 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 60% within 12 hours
probability for TS is 95% currently
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Wallal Downs (19.8 S, 120.8 E)
probability for TS is 95% currently
Port Hedland (20.4 S, 118.6 E)
probability for TS is 85% currently
Nullagine (21.9 S, 120.1 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% within 12 hours
probability for TS is 80% within 12 hours
Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Anna Plains (19.3 S, 121.6 E)
probability for TS is 40% currently
Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html.
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
S Indian Ocean: Storm Alert issued at 27 Feb, 2013 12:00 GMT (Final Warning)
Tropical Cyclone RUSTY (17S) currently located near 20.3 S 119.8 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Australia
probability for CAT 1 or above is 100% currently
probability for TS is 100% currently
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Marble Bar (21.2 S, 119.8 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 60% within 12 hours
probability for TS is 95% currently
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Wallal Downs (19.8 S, 120.8 E)
probability for TS is 95% currently
Port Hedland (20.4 S, 118.6 E)
probability for TS is 85% currently
Nullagine (21.9 S, 120.1 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% within 12 hours
probability for TS is 80% within 12 hours
Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Anna Plains (19.3 S, 121.6 E)
probability for TS is 40% currently
Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
Tropical Cyclone RUSTY (17S) currently located near 20.3 S 119.8 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Australia
probability for CAT 1 or above is 100% currently
probability for TS is 100% currently
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Marble Bar (21.2 S, 119.8 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 60% within 12 hours
probability for TS is 95% currently
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Wallal Downs (19.8 S, 120.8 E)
probability for TS is 95% currently
Port Hedland (20.4 S, 118.6 E)
probability for TS is 85% currently
Nullagine (21.9 S, 120.1 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% within 12 hours
probability for TS is 80% within 12 hours
Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Anna Plains (19.3 S, 121.6 E)
probability for TS is 40% currently
Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html.
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
S Indian Ocean: Storm Alert issued at 27 Feb, 2013 12:00 GMT (Final Warning)
Tropical Cyclone RUSTY (17S) currently located near 20.3 S 119.8 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Australia
probability for CAT 1 or above is 100% currently
probability for TS is 100% currently
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Marble Bar (21.2 S, 119.8 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 60% within 12 hours
probability for TS is 95% currently
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Wallal Downs (19.8 S, 120.8 E)
probability for TS is 95% currently
Port Hedland (20.4 S, 118.6 E)
probability for TS is 85% currently
Nullagine (21.9 S, 120.1 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% within 12 hours
probability for TS is 80% within 12 hours
Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Anna Plains (19.3 S, 121.6 E)
probability for TS is 40% currently
Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Cyclone RUSTY
S Indian Ocean: Storm Alert issued at 27 Feb, 2013 6:00 GMT
Tropical Cyclone RUSTY (17S) currently located near 19.7 S 119.4 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Australia
probability for CAT 1 or above is 100% currently
probability for TS is 100% currently
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Port Hedland (20.4 S, 118.6 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% within 12 hours
probability for TS is 95% currently
Wallal Downs (19.8 S, 120.8 E)
probability for TS is 90% currently
Marble Bar (21.2 S, 119.8 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 24 hours
probability for TS is 85% within 12 hours
Nullagine (21.9 S, 120.1 E)
probability for TS is 60% in about 24 hours
Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Anna Plains (19.3 S, 121.6 E)
probability for TS is 40% currently
Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html.
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
S Indian Ocean: Storm Alert issued at 27 Feb, 2013 6:00 GMT
Tropical Cyclone RUSTY (17S) currently located near 19.7 S 119.4 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Australia
probability for CAT 1 or above is 100% currently
probability for TS is 100% currently
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Port Hedland (20.4 S, 118.6 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% within 12 hours
probability for TS is 95% currently
Wallal Downs (19.8 S, 120.8 E)
probability for TS is 90% currently
Marble Bar (21.2 S, 119.8 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 24 hours
probability for TS is 85% within 12 hours
Nullagine (21.9 S, 120.1 E)
probability for TS is 60% in about 24 hours
Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Anna Plains (19.3 S, 121.6 E)
probability for TS is 40% currently
Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
Tropical Cyclone RUSTY (17S) currently located near 19.7 S 119.4 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Australia
probability for CAT 1 or above is 100% currently
probability for TS is 100% currently
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Port Hedland (20.4 S, 118.6 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% within 12 hours
probability for TS is 95% currently
Wallal Downs (19.8 S, 120.8 E)
probability for TS is 90% currently
Marble Bar (21.2 S, 119.8 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 24 hours
probability for TS is 85% within 12 hours
Nullagine (21.9 S, 120.1 E)
probability for TS is 60% in about 24 hours
Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Anna Plains (19.3 S, 121.6 E)
probability for TS is 40% currently
Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html.
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
S Indian Ocean: Storm Alert issued at 27 Feb, 2013 6:00 GMT
Tropical Cyclone RUSTY (17S) currently located near 19.7 S 119.4 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Australia
probability for CAT 1 or above is 100% currently
probability for TS is 100% currently
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Port Hedland (20.4 S, 118.6 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% within 12 hours
probability for TS is 95% currently
Wallal Downs (19.8 S, 120.8 E)
probability for TS is 90% currently
Marble Bar (21.2 S, 119.8 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 24 hours
probability for TS is 85% within 12 hours
Nullagine (21.9 S, 120.1 E)
probability for TS is 60% in about 24 hours
Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Anna Plains (19.3 S, 121.6 E)
probability for TS is 40% currently
Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
Tuesday, February 26, 2013
TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Cyclone RUSTY
S Indian Ocean: Storm Alert issued at 26 Feb, 2013 18:00 GMT
Tropical Cyclone RUSTY (17S) currently located near 19.3 S 119.1 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Australia
probability for CAT 1 or above is 90% currently
probability for TS is 100% currently
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Port Hedland (20.4 S, 118.6 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 60% within 12 hours
probability for TS is 95% currently
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Wallal Downs (19.8 S, 120.8 E)
probability for TS is 70% currently
Marble Bar (21.2 S, 119.8 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 70% in about 24 hours
Nullagine (21.9 S, 120.1 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 50% in about 36 hours
Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Anna Plains (19.3 S, 121.6 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 24 hours
Roebourne (20.8 S, 117.2 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 24 hours
Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html.
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
S Indian Ocean: Storm Alert issued at 26 Feb, 2013 18:00 GMT
Tropical Cyclone RUSTY (17S) currently located near 19.3 S 119.1 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Australia
probability for CAT 1 or above is 90% currently
probability for TS is 100% currently
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Port Hedland (20.4 S, 118.6 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 60% within 12 hours
probability for TS is 95% currently
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Wallal Downs (19.8 S, 120.8 E)
probability for TS is 70% currently
Marble Bar (21.2 S, 119.8 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 70% in about 24 hours
Nullagine (21.9 S, 120.1 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 50% in about 36 hours
Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Anna Plains (19.3 S, 121.6 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 24 hours
Roebourne (20.8 S, 117.2 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 24 hours
Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
Tropical Cyclone RUSTY (17S) currently located near 19.3 S 119.1 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Australia
probability for CAT 1 or above is 90% currently
probability for TS is 100% currently
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Port Hedland (20.4 S, 118.6 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 60% within 12 hours
probability for TS is 95% currently
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Wallal Downs (19.8 S, 120.8 E)
probability for TS is 70% currently
Marble Bar (21.2 S, 119.8 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 70% in about 24 hours
Nullagine (21.9 S, 120.1 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 50% in about 36 hours
Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Anna Plains (19.3 S, 121.6 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 24 hours
Roebourne (20.8 S, 117.2 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 24 hours
Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html.
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
S Indian Ocean: Storm Alert issued at 26 Feb, 2013 18:00 GMT
Tropical Cyclone RUSTY (17S) currently located near 19.3 S 119.1 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Australia
probability for CAT 1 or above is 90% currently
probability for TS is 100% currently
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Port Hedland (20.4 S, 118.6 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 60% within 12 hours
probability for TS is 95% currently
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Wallal Downs (19.8 S, 120.8 E)
probability for TS is 70% currently
Marble Bar (21.2 S, 119.8 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 70% in about 24 hours
Nullagine (21.9 S, 120.1 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 50% in about 36 hours
Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Anna Plains (19.3 S, 121.6 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 24 hours
Roebourne (20.8 S, 117.2 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 24 hours
Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Cyclone RUSTY
S Indian Ocean: Storm Alert issued at 26 Feb, 2013 6:00 GMT
Tropical Cyclone RUSTY (17S) currently located near 19.4 S 119.2 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Australia
probability for CAT 1 or above is 90% in about 24 hours
probability for TS is 100% currently
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Port Hedland (20.4 S, 118.6 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 60% within 12 hours
probability for TS is 95% within 12 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Marble Bar (21.2 S, 119.8 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% in about 24 hours
probability for TS is 75% in about 24 hours
Wallal Downs (19.8 S, 120.8 E)
probability for TS is 70% currently
Nullagine (21.9 S, 120.1 E)
probability for TS is 55% in about 24 hours
Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Roebourne (20.8 S, 117.2 E)
probability for TS is 40% in about 36 hours
Tom Price (22.8 S, 117.8 E)
probability for TS is 40% in about 36 hours
Newman (23.3 S, 119.6 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 36 hours
Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html.
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
S Indian Ocean: Storm Alert issued at 26 Feb, 2013 6:00 GMT
Tropical Cyclone RUSTY (17S) currently located near 19.4 S 119.2 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Australia
probability for CAT 1 or above is 90% in about 24 hours
probability for TS is 100% currently
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Port Hedland (20.4 S, 118.6 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 60% within 12 hours
probability for TS is 95% within 12 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Marble Bar (21.2 S, 119.8 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% in about 24 hours
probability for TS is 75% in about 24 hours
Wallal Downs (19.8 S, 120.8 E)
probability for TS is 70% currently
Nullagine (21.9 S, 120.1 E)
probability for TS is 55% in about 24 hours
Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Roebourne (20.8 S, 117.2 E)
probability for TS is 40% in about 36 hours
Tom Price (22.8 S, 117.8 E)
probability for TS is 40% in about 36 hours
Newman (23.3 S, 119.6 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 36 hours
Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
Tropical Cyclone RUSTY (17S) currently located near 19.4 S 119.2 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Australia
probability for CAT 1 or above is 90% in about 24 hours
probability for TS is 100% currently
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Port Hedland (20.4 S, 118.6 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 60% within 12 hours
probability for TS is 95% within 12 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Marble Bar (21.2 S, 119.8 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% in about 24 hours
probability for TS is 75% in about 24 hours
Wallal Downs (19.8 S, 120.8 E)
probability for TS is 70% currently
Nullagine (21.9 S, 120.1 E)
probability for TS is 55% in about 24 hours
Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Roebourne (20.8 S, 117.2 E)
probability for TS is 40% in about 36 hours
Tom Price (22.8 S, 117.8 E)
probability for TS is 40% in about 36 hours
Newman (23.3 S, 119.6 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 36 hours
Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html.
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
S Indian Ocean: Storm Alert issued at 26 Feb, 2013 6:00 GMT
Tropical Cyclone RUSTY (17S) currently located near 19.4 S 119.2 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Australia
probability for CAT 1 or above is 90% in about 24 hours
probability for TS is 100% currently
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Port Hedland (20.4 S, 118.6 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 60% within 12 hours
probability for TS is 95% within 12 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Marble Bar (21.2 S, 119.8 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% in about 24 hours
probability for TS is 75% in about 24 hours
Wallal Downs (19.8 S, 120.8 E)
probability for TS is 70% currently
Nullagine (21.9 S, 120.1 E)
probability for TS is 55% in about 24 hours
Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Roebourne (20.8 S, 117.2 E)
probability for TS is 40% in about 36 hours
Tom Price (22.8 S, 117.8 E)
probability for TS is 40% in about 36 hours
Newman (23.3 S, 119.6 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 36 hours
Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
Monday, February 25, 2013
TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Cyclone RUSTY
S Indian Ocean: Storm Alert issued at 25 Feb, 2013 18:00 GMT
Tropical Cyclone RUSTY (17S) currently located near 18.8 S 119.4 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Australia
probability for CAT 1 or above is 70% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Port Hedland (20.4 S, 118.6 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 55% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 95% in about 24 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Wallal Downs (19.8 S, 120.8 E)
probability for TS is 85% within 12 hours
Marble Bar (21.2 S, 119.8 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 80% in about 24 hours
Nullagine (21.9 S, 120.1 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 70% in about 72 hours
Roebourne (20.8 S, 117.2 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 65% in about 48 hours
Tom Price (22.8 S, 117.8 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 50% in about 48 hours
Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Anna Plains (19.3 S, 121.6 E)
probability for TS is 40% currently
Newman (23.3 S, 119.6 E)
probability for TS is 40% in about 48 hours
Pannawonica (21.8 S, 116.3 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 72 hours
Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html.
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
S Indian Ocean: Storm Alert issued at 25 Feb, 2013 18:00 GMT
Tropical Cyclone RUSTY (17S) currently located near 18.8 S 119.4 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Australia
probability for CAT 1 or above is 70% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Port Hedland (20.4 S, 118.6 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 55% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 95% in about 24 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Wallal Downs (19.8 S, 120.8 E)
probability for TS is 85% within 12 hours
Marble Bar (21.2 S, 119.8 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 80% in about 24 hours
Nullagine (21.9 S, 120.1 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 70% in about 72 hours
Roebourne (20.8 S, 117.2 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 65% in about 48 hours
Tom Price (22.8 S, 117.8 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 50% in about 48 hours
Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Anna Plains (19.3 S, 121.6 E)
probability for TS is 40% currently
Newman (23.3 S, 119.6 E)
probability for TS is 40% in about 48 hours
Pannawonica (21.8 S, 116.3 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 72 hours
Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
Tropical Cyclone RUSTY (17S) currently located near 18.8 S 119.4 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Australia
probability for CAT 1 or above is 70% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Port Hedland (20.4 S, 118.6 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 55% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 95% in about 24 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Wallal Downs (19.8 S, 120.8 E)
probability for TS is 85% within 12 hours
Marble Bar (21.2 S, 119.8 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 80% in about 24 hours
Nullagine (21.9 S, 120.1 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 70% in about 72 hours
Roebourne (20.8 S, 117.2 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 65% in about 48 hours
Tom Price (22.8 S, 117.8 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 50% in about 48 hours
Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Anna Plains (19.3 S, 121.6 E)
probability for TS is 40% currently
Newman (23.3 S, 119.6 E)
probability for TS is 40% in about 48 hours
Pannawonica (21.8 S, 116.3 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 72 hours
Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html.
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
S Indian Ocean: Storm Alert issued at 25 Feb, 2013 18:00 GMT
Tropical Cyclone RUSTY (17S) currently located near 18.8 S 119.4 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Australia
probability for CAT 1 or above is 70% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Port Hedland (20.4 S, 118.6 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 55% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 95% in about 24 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Wallal Downs (19.8 S, 120.8 E)
probability for TS is 85% within 12 hours
Marble Bar (21.2 S, 119.8 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 80% in about 24 hours
Nullagine (21.9 S, 120.1 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 70% in about 72 hours
Roebourne (20.8 S, 117.2 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 65% in about 48 hours
Tom Price (22.8 S, 117.8 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 50% in about 48 hours
Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Anna Plains (19.3 S, 121.6 E)
probability for TS is 40% currently
Newman (23.3 S, 119.6 E)
probability for TS is 40% in about 48 hours
Pannawonica (21.8 S, 116.3 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 72 hours
Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Cyclone RUSTY
S Indian Ocean: Storm Alert issued at 25 Feb, 2013 6:00 GMT
Tropical Cyclone RUSTY (17S) currently located near 18.2 S 119.0 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Australia
probability for CAT 1 or above is 65% in about 24 hours
probability for TS is 95% within 12 hours
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Port Hedland (20.4 S, 118.6 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 50% in about 24 hours
probability for TS is 95% in about 24 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Wallal Downs (19.8 S, 120.8 E)
probability for TS is 80% in about 24 hours
Marble Bar (21.2 S, 119.8 E)
probability for TS is 80% in about 24 hours
Roebourne (20.8 S, 117.2 E)
probability for TS is 60% in about 24 hours
Nullagine (21.9 S, 120.1 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 60% in about 36 hours
Anna Plains (19.3 S, 121.6 E)
probability for TS is 55% in about 24 hours
Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Tom Price (22.8 S, 117.8 E)
probability for TS is 45% in about 48 hours
Newman (23.3 S, 119.6 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 48 hours
Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html.
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
S Indian Ocean: Storm Alert issued at 25 Feb, 2013 6:00 GMT
Tropical Cyclone RUSTY (17S) currently located near 18.2 S 119.0 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Australia
probability for CAT 1 or above is 65% in about 24 hours
probability for TS is 95% within 12 hours
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Port Hedland (20.4 S, 118.6 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 50% in about 24 hours
probability for TS is 95% in about 24 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Wallal Downs (19.8 S, 120.8 E)
probability for TS is 80% in about 24 hours
Marble Bar (21.2 S, 119.8 E)
probability for TS is 80% in about 24 hours
Roebourne (20.8 S, 117.2 E)
probability for TS is 60% in about 24 hours
Nullagine (21.9 S, 120.1 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 60% in about 36 hours
Anna Plains (19.3 S, 121.6 E)
probability for TS is 55% in about 24 hours
Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Tom Price (22.8 S, 117.8 E)
probability for TS is 45% in about 48 hours
Newman (23.3 S, 119.6 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 48 hours
Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
Tropical Cyclone RUSTY (17S) currently located near 18.2 S 119.0 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Australia
probability for CAT 1 or above is 65% in about 24 hours
probability for TS is 95% within 12 hours
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Port Hedland (20.4 S, 118.6 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 50% in about 24 hours
probability for TS is 95% in about 24 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Wallal Downs (19.8 S, 120.8 E)
probability for TS is 80% in about 24 hours
Marble Bar (21.2 S, 119.8 E)
probability for TS is 80% in about 24 hours
Roebourne (20.8 S, 117.2 E)
probability for TS is 60% in about 24 hours
Nullagine (21.9 S, 120.1 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 60% in about 36 hours
Anna Plains (19.3 S, 121.6 E)
probability for TS is 55% in about 24 hours
Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Tom Price (22.8 S, 117.8 E)
probability for TS is 45% in about 48 hours
Newman (23.3 S, 119.6 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 48 hours
Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html.
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
S Indian Ocean: Storm Alert issued at 25 Feb, 2013 6:00 GMT
Tropical Cyclone RUSTY (17S) currently located near 18.2 S 119.0 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Australia
probability for CAT 1 or above is 65% in about 24 hours
probability for TS is 95% within 12 hours
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Port Hedland (20.4 S, 118.6 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 50% in about 24 hours
probability for TS is 95% in about 24 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Wallal Downs (19.8 S, 120.8 E)
probability for TS is 80% in about 24 hours
Marble Bar (21.2 S, 119.8 E)
probability for TS is 80% in about 24 hours
Roebourne (20.8 S, 117.2 E)
probability for TS is 60% in about 24 hours
Nullagine (21.9 S, 120.1 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 60% in about 36 hours
Anna Plains (19.3 S, 121.6 E)
probability for TS is 55% in about 24 hours
Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Tom Price (22.8 S, 117.8 E)
probability for TS is 45% in about 48 hours
Newman (23.3 S, 119.6 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 48 hours
Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
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This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
Sunday, February 24, 2013
TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm RUSTY
S Indian Ocean: Storm Alert issued at 24 Feb, 2013 18:00 GMT
Tropical Storm RUSTY (17S) currently located near 17.7 S 118.2 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Australia
probability for CAT 1 or above is 50% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 70% in about 36 hours
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Port Hedland (20.4 S, 118.6 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 50% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 65% in about 48 hours
Roebourne (20.8 S, 117.2 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 35% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 55% in about 48 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Marble Bar (21.2 S, 119.8 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 45% in about 48 hours
Pannawonica (21.8 S, 116.3 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 30% in about 48 hours
Tom Price (22.8 S, 117.8 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 25% in about 48 hours
Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Wallal Downs (19.8 S, 120.8 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 36 hours
Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
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This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
S Indian Ocean: Storm Alert issued at 24 Feb, 2013 18:00 GMT
Tropical Storm RUSTY (17S) currently located near 17.7 S 118.2 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Australia
probability for CAT 1 or above is 50% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 70% in about 36 hours
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Port Hedland (20.4 S, 118.6 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 50% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 65% in about 48 hours
Roebourne (20.8 S, 117.2 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 35% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 55% in about 48 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Marble Bar (21.2 S, 119.8 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 45% in about 48 hours
Pannawonica (21.8 S, 116.3 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 30% in about 48 hours
Tom Price (22.8 S, 117.8 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 25% in about 48 hours
Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Wallal Downs (19.8 S, 120.8 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 36 hours
Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
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This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
Tropical Storm RUSTY (17S) currently located near 17.7 S 118.2 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Australia
probability for CAT 1 or above is 50% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 70% in about 36 hours
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Port Hedland (20.4 S, 118.6 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 50% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 65% in about 48 hours
Roebourne (20.8 S, 117.2 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 35% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 55% in about 48 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Marble Bar (21.2 S, 119.8 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 45% in about 48 hours
Pannawonica (21.8 S, 116.3 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 30% in about 48 hours
Tom Price (22.8 S, 117.8 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 25% in about 48 hours
Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Wallal Downs (19.8 S, 120.8 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 36 hours
Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html.
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This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
S Indian Ocean: Storm Alert issued at 24 Feb, 2013 18:00 GMT
Tropical Storm RUSTY (17S) currently located near 17.7 S 118.2 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Australia
probability for CAT 1 or above is 50% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 70% in about 36 hours
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Port Hedland (20.4 S, 118.6 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 50% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 65% in about 48 hours
Roebourne (20.8 S, 117.2 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 35% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 55% in about 48 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Marble Bar (21.2 S, 119.8 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 45% in about 48 hours
Pannawonica (21.8 S, 116.3 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 30% in about 48 hours
Tom Price (22.8 S, 117.8 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 25% in about 48 hours
Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Wallal Downs (19.8 S, 120.8 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 36 hours
Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html
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This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm EIGHTEEN
S Indian Ocean: Storm Alert issued at 24 Feb, 2013 12:00 GMT
Tropical Storm EIGHTEEN (18S) currently located near 12.6 S 97.4 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Home Is. (12.2 S, 96.8 E)
probability for TS is 60% currently
Note that
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html.
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This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
S Indian Ocean: Storm Alert issued at 24 Feb, 2013 12:00 GMT
Tropical Storm EIGHTEEN (18S) currently located near 12.6 S 97.4 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Home Is. (12.2 S, 96.8 E)
probability for TS is 60% currently
Note that
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html
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This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
Tropical Storm EIGHTEEN (18S) currently located near 12.6 S 97.4 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Home Is. (12.2 S, 96.8 E)
probability for TS is 60% currently
Note that
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html.
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This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
S Indian Ocean: Storm Alert issued at 24 Feb, 2013 12:00 GMT
Tropical Storm EIGHTEEN (18S) currently located near 12.6 S 97.4 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Home Is. (12.2 S, 96.8 E)
probability for TS is 60% currently
Note that
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html
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This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm RUSTY
S Indian Ocean: Storm Alert issued at 24 Feb, 2013 12:00 GMT
Tropical Storm RUSTY (17S) currently located near 17.4 S 117.9 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Australia
probability for CAT 1 or above is 35% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 50% in about 48 hours
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Port Hedland (20.4 S, 118.6 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 35% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 45% in about 48 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Roebourne (20.8 S, 117.2 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 40% in about 48 hours
Marble Bar (21.2 S, 119.8 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 35% in about 72 hours
Wallal Downs (19.8 S, 120.8 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 30% in about 72 hours
Pannawonica (21.8 S, 116.3 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 25% in about 72 hours
Nullagine (21.9 S, 120.1 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 30% in about 96 hours
Tom Price (22.8 S, 117.8 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 25% in about 72 hours
Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html.
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This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
S Indian Ocean: Storm Alert issued at 24 Feb, 2013 12:00 GMT
Tropical Storm RUSTY (17S) currently located near 17.4 S 117.9 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Australia
probability for CAT 1 or above is 35% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 50% in about 48 hours
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Port Hedland (20.4 S, 118.6 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 35% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 45% in about 48 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Roebourne (20.8 S, 117.2 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 40% in about 48 hours
Marble Bar (21.2 S, 119.8 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 35% in about 72 hours
Wallal Downs (19.8 S, 120.8 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 30% in about 72 hours
Pannawonica (21.8 S, 116.3 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 25% in about 72 hours
Nullagine (21.9 S, 120.1 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 30% in about 96 hours
Tom Price (22.8 S, 117.8 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 25% in about 72 hours
Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
Tropical Storm RUSTY (17S) currently located near 17.4 S 117.9 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Australia
probability for CAT 1 or above is 35% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 50% in about 48 hours
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Port Hedland (20.4 S, 118.6 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 35% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 45% in about 48 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Roebourne (20.8 S, 117.2 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 40% in about 48 hours
Marble Bar (21.2 S, 119.8 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 35% in about 72 hours
Wallal Downs (19.8 S, 120.8 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 30% in about 72 hours
Pannawonica (21.8 S, 116.3 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 25% in about 72 hours
Nullagine (21.9 S, 120.1 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 30% in about 96 hours
Tom Price (22.8 S, 117.8 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 25% in about 72 hours
Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html.
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
S Indian Ocean: Storm Alert issued at 24 Feb, 2013 12:00 GMT
Tropical Storm RUSTY (17S) currently located near 17.4 S 117.9 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Australia
probability for CAT 1 or above is 35% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 50% in about 48 hours
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Port Hedland (20.4 S, 118.6 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 35% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 45% in about 48 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Roebourne (20.8 S, 117.2 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 40% in about 48 hours
Marble Bar (21.2 S, 119.8 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 35% in about 72 hours
Wallal Downs (19.8 S, 120.8 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 30% in about 72 hours
Pannawonica (21.8 S, 116.3 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 25% in about 72 hours
Nullagine (21.9 S, 120.1 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 30% in about 96 hours
Tom Price (22.8 S, 117.8 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 25% in about 72 hours
Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
Saturday, February 23, 2013
TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm SEVENTEEN
S Indian Ocean: Storm Alert issued at 24 Feb, 2013 0:00 GMT
Tropical Storm SEVENTEEN (17S) currently located near 16.7 S 118.1 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Australia
probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 50% in about 72 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Port Hedland (20.4 S, 118.6 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 45% in about 48 hours
Roebourne (20.8 S, 117.2 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 30% in about 48 hours
Marble Bar (21.2 S, 119.8 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 30% in about 48 hours
Nullagine (21.9 S, 120.1 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 25% in about 72 hours
Note that
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html.
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
S Indian Ocean: Storm Alert issued at 24 Feb, 2013 0:00 GMT
Tropical Storm SEVENTEEN (17S) currently located near 16.7 S 118.1 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Australia
probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 50% in about 72 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Port Hedland (20.4 S, 118.6 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 45% in about 48 hours
Roebourne (20.8 S, 117.2 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 30% in about 48 hours
Marble Bar (21.2 S, 119.8 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 30% in about 48 hours
Nullagine (21.9 S, 120.1 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 25% in about 72 hours
Note that
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html
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This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
Tropical Storm SEVENTEEN (17S) currently located near 16.7 S 118.1 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Australia
probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 50% in about 72 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Port Hedland (20.4 S, 118.6 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 45% in about 48 hours
Roebourne (20.8 S, 117.2 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 30% in about 48 hours
Marble Bar (21.2 S, 119.8 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 30% in about 48 hours
Nullagine (21.9 S, 120.1 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 25% in about 72 hours
Note that
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html.
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This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
S Indian Ocean: Storm Alert issued at 24 Feb, 2013 0:00 GMT
Tropical Storm SEVENTEEN (17S) currently located near 16.7 S 118.1 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Australia
probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 50% in about 72 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Port Hedland (20.4 S, 118.6 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 45% in about 48 hours
Roebourne (20.8 S, 117.2 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 30% in about 48 hours
Marble Bar (21.2 S, 119.8 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 30% in about 48 hours
Nullagine (21.9 S, 120.1 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 25% in about 72 hours
Note that
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html
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This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm HARUNA
S Indian Ocean: Storm Alert issued at 23 Feb, 2013 12:00 GMT
Tropical Storm HARUNA (16S) currently located near 25.4 S 48.6 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Madagascar
probability for TS is 55% currently
Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Tolanaro (25.0 S, 47.0 E)
probability for TS is 35% currently
Note that
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html.
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This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
S Indian Ocean: Storm Alert issued at 23 Feb, 2013 12:00 GMT
Tropical Storm HARUNA (16S) currently located near 25.4 S 48.6 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Madagascar
probability for TS is 55% currently
Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Tolanaro (25.0 S, 47.0 E)
probability for TS is 35% currently
Note that
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html
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This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
Tropical Storm HARUNA (16S) currently located near 25.4 S 48.6 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Madagascar
probability for TS is 55% currently
Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Tolanaro (25.0 S, 47.0 E)
probability for TS is 35% currently
Note that
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html.
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
S Indian Ocean: Storm Alert issued at 23 Feb, 2013 12:00 GMT
Tropical Storm HARUNA (16S) currently located near 25.4 S 48.6 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Madagascar
probability for TS is 55% currently
Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Tolanaro (25.0 S, 47.0 E)
probability for TS is 35% currently
Note that
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html
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This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
Friday, February 22, 2013
TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm HARUNA
S Indian Ocean: Storm Alert issued at 23 Feb, 2013 0:00 GMT
Tropical Storm HARUNA (16S) currently located near 24.3 S 46.3 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Madagascar
probability for CAT 1 or above is 35% currently
probability for TS is 100% currently
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Betroka (23.2 S, 46.1 E)
probability for TS is 90% currently
Tolanaro (25.0 S, 47.0 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% within 12 hours
probability for TS is 90% within 12 hours
Ambovombe (25.2 S, 46.1 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% within 12 hours
probability for TS is 90% currently
Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Farafangana (22.8 S, 47.8 E)
probability for TS is 40% within 12 hours
Ihosy (22.3 S, 46.1 E)
probability for TS is 35% currently
Betioky (23.7 S, 44.4 E)
probability for TS is 35% currently
Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html.
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This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
S Indian Ocean: Storm Alert issued at 23 Feb, 2013 0:00 GMT
Tropical Storm HARUNA (16S) currently located near 24.3 S 46.3 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Madagascar
probability for CAT 1 or above is 35% currently
probability for TS is 100% currently
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Betroka (23.2 S, 46.1 E)
probability for TS is 90% currently
Tolanaro (25.0 S, 47.0 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% within 12 hours
probability for TS is 90% within 12 hours
Ambovombe (25.2 S, 46.1 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% within 12 hours
probability for TS is 90% currently
Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Farafangana (22.8 S, 47.8 E)
probability for TS is 40% within 12 hours
Ihosy (22.3 S, 46.1 E)
probability for TS is 35% currently
Betioky (23.7 S, 44.4 E)
probability for TS is 35% currently
Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html
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This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
Tropical Storm HARUNA (16S) currently located near 24.3 S 46.3 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Madagascar
probability for CAT 1 or above is 35% currently
probability for TS is 100% currently
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Betroka (23.2 S, 46.1 E)
probability for TS is 90% currently
Tolanaro (25.0 S, 47.0 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% within 12 hours
probability for TS is 90% within 12 hours
Ambovombe (25.2 S, 46.1 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% within 12 hours
probability for TS is 90% currently
Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Farafangana (22.8 S, 47.8 E)
probability for TS is 40% within 12 hours
Ihosy (22.3 S, 46.1 E)
probability for TS is 35% currently
Betioky (23.7 S, 44.4 E)
probability for TS is 35% currently
Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html.
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This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
S Indian Ocean: Storm Alert issued at 23 Feb, 2013 0:00 GMT
Tropical Storm HARUNA (16S) currently located near 24.3 S 46.3 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Madagascar
probability for CAT 1 or above is 35% currently
probability for TS is 100% currently
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Betroka (23.2 S, 46.1 E)
probability for TS is 90% currently
Tolanaro (25.0 S, 47.0 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% within 12 hours
probability for TS is 90% within 12 hours
Ambovombe (25.2 S, 46.1 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% within 12 hours
probability for TS is 90% currently
Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Farafangana (22.8 S, 47.8 E)
probability for TS is 40% within 12 hours
Ihosy (22.3 S, 46.1 E)
probability for TS is 35% currently
Betioky (23.7 S, 44.4 E)
probability for TS is 35% currently
Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html
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This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Cyclone HARUNA
S Indian Ocean: Storm Alert issued at 22 Feb, 2013 12:00 GMT
Tropical Cyclone HARUNA (16S) currently located near 23.0 S 43.9 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Madagascar
probability for CAT 1 or above is 100% currently
probability for TS is 100% currently
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Toliara (23.4 S, 43.7 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 95% currently
probability for TS is 100% currently
Betioky (23.7 S, 44.4 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 90% within 12 hours
probability for TS is 100% currently
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Morombe (21.8 S, 43.4 E)
probability for TS is 95% currently
Betroka (23.2 S, 46.1 E)
probability for TS is 85% within 12 hours
Ambovombe (25.2 S, 46.1 E)
probability for TS is 65% in about 24 hours
Tolanaro (25.0 S, 47.0 E)
probability for TS is 65% in about 24 hours
Ihosy (22.3 S, 46.1 E)
probability for TS is 55% within 12 hours
Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html.
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This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
S Indian Ocean: Storm Alert issued at 22 Feb, 2013 12:00 GMT
Tropical Cyclone HARUNA (16S) currently located near 23.0 S 43.9 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Madagascar
probability for CAT 1 or above is 100% currently
probability for TS is 100% currently
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Toliara (23.4 S, 43.7 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 95% currently
probability for TS is 100% currently
Betioky (23.7 S, 44.4 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 90% within 12 hours
probability for TS is 100% currently
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Morombe (21.8 S, 43.4 E)
probability for TS is 95% currently
Betroka (23.2 S, 46.1 E)
probability for TS is 85% within 12 hours
Ambovombe (25.2 S, 46.1 E)
probability for TS is 65% in about 24 hours
Tolanaro (25.0 S, 47.0 E)
probability for TS is 65% in about 24 hours
Ihosy (22.3 S, 46.1 E)
probability for TS is 55% within 12 hours
Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
Tropical Cyclone HARUNA (16S) currently located near 23.0 S 43.9 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Madagascar
probability for CAT 1 or above is 100% currently
probability for TS is 100% currently
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Toliara (23.4 S, 43.7 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 95% currently
probability for TS is 100% currently
Betioky (23.7 S, 44.4 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 90% within 12 hours
probability for TS is 100% currently
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Morombe (21.8 S, 43.4 E)
probability for TS is 95% currently
Betroka (23.2 S, 46.1 E)
probability for TS is 85% within 12 hours
Ambovombe (25.2 S, 46.1 E)
probability for TS is 65% in about 24 hours
Tolanaro (25.0 S, 47.0 E)
probability for TS is 65% in about 24 hours
Ihosy (22.3 S, 46.1 E)
probability for TS is 55% within 12 hours
Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html.
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
S Indian Ocean: Storm Alert issued at 22 Feb, 2013 12:00 GMT
Tropical Cyclone HARUNA (16S) currently located near 23.0 S 43.9 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Madagascar
probability for CAT 1 or above is 100% currently
probability for TS is 100% currently
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Toliara (23.4 S, 43.7 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 95% currently
probability for TS is 100% currently
Betioky (23.7 S, 44.4 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 90% within 12 hours
probability for TS is 100% currently
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Morombe (21.8 S, 43.4 E)
probability for TS is 95% currently
Betroka (23.2 S, 46.1 E)
probability for TS is 85% within 12 hours
Ambovombe (25.2 S, 46.1 E)
probability for TS is 65% in about 24 hours
Tolanaro (25.0 S, 47.0 E)
probability for TS is 65% in about 24 hours
Ihosy (22.3 S, 46.1 E)
probability for TS is 55% within 12 hours
Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
Thursday, February 21, 2013
TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Cyclone HARUNA
S Indian Ocean: Storm Alert issued at 22 Feb, 2013 0:00 GMT
Tropical Cyclone HARUNA (16S) currently located near 22.2 S 43.0 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Madagascar
probability for CAT 1 or above is 100% currently
probability for TS is 100% currently
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Morombe (21.8 S, 43.4 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 100% currently
probability for TS is 100% currently
Toliara (23.4 S, 43.7 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 60% within 12 hours
probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
Betioky (23.7 S, 44.4 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 35% within 12 hours
probability for TS is 100% in about 24 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Betroka (23.2 S, 46.1 E)
probability for TS is 65% in about 24 hours
Ambovombe (25.2 S, 46.1 E)
probability for TS is 60% in about 24 hours
Ihosy (22.3 S, 46.1 E)
probability for TS is 55% in about 24 hours
Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Tolanaro (25.0 S, 47.0 E)
probability for TS is 50% in about 36 hours
Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html.
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This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
S Indian Ocean: Storm Alert issued at 22 Feb, 2013 0:00 GMT
Tropical Cyclone HARUNA (16S) currently located near 22.2 S 43.0 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Madagascar
probability for CAT 1 or above is 100% currently
probability for TS is 100% currently
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Morombe (21.8 S, 43.4 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 100% currently
probability for TS is 100% currently
Toliara (23.4 S, 43.7 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 60% within 12 hours
probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
Betioky (23.7 S, 44.4 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 35% within 12 hours
probability for TS is 100% in about 24 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Betroka (23.2 S, 46.1 E)
probability for TS is 65% in about 24 hours
Ambovombe (25.2 S, 46.1 E)
probability for TS is 60% in about 24 hours
Ihosy (22.3 S, 46.1 E)
probability for TS is 55% in about 24 hours
Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Tolanaro (25.0 S, 47.0 E)
probability for TS is 50% in about 36 hours
Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
Tropical Cyclone HARUNA (16S) currently located near 22.2 S 43.0 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Madagascar
probability for CAT 1 or above is 100% currently
probability for TS is 100% currently
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Morombe (21.8 S, 43.4 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 100% currently
probability for TS is 100% currently
Toliara (23.4 S, 43.7 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 60% within 12 hours
probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
Betioky (23.7 S, 44.4 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 35% within 12 hours
probability for TS is 100% in about 24 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Betroka (23.2 S, 46.1 E)
probability for TS is 65% in about 24 hours
Ambovombe (25.2 S, 46.1 E)
probability for TS is 60% in about 24 hours
Ihosy (22.3 S, 46.1 E)
probability for TS is 55% in about 24 hours
Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Tolanaro (25.0 S, 47.0 E)
probability for TS is 50% in about 36 hours
Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html.
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
S Indian Ocean: Storm Alert issued at 22 Feb, 2013 0:00 GMT
Tropical Cyclone HARUNA (16S) currently located near 22.2 S 43.0 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Madagascar
probability for CAT 1 or above is 100% currently
probability for TS is 100% currently
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Morombe (21.8 S, 43.4 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 100% currently
probability for TS is 100% currently
Toliara (23.4 S, 43.7 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 60% within 12 hours
probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
Betioky (23.7 S, 44.4 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 35% within 12 hours
probability for TS is 100% in about 24 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Betroka (23.2 S, 46.1 E)
probability for TS is 65% in about 24 hours
Ambovombe (25.2 S, 46.1 E)
probability for TS is 60% in about 24 hours
Ihosy (22.3 S, 46.1 E)
probability for TS is 55% in about 24 hours
Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Tolanaro (25.0 S, 47.0 E)
probability for TS is 50% in about 36 hours
Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
TSR Storm Alert - Intense Tropical Cyclone HARUNA
S Indian Ocean: Storm Alert issued at 21 Feb, 2013 12:00 GMT
Intense Tropical Cyclone HARUNA (16S) currently located near 22.3 S 41.9 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Madagascar
probability for CAT 1 or above is 85% in about 24 hours
probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Toliara (23.4 S, 43.7 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 55% in about 24 hours
probability for TS is 90% within 12 hours
Betioky (23.7 S, 44.4 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 35% in about 24 hours
probability for TS is 85% in about 24 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Morombe (21.8 S, 43.4 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% within 12 hours
probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
Ambovombe (25.2 S, 46.1 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 65% in about 48 hours
Betroka (23.2 S, 46.1 E)
probability for TS is 55% in about 36 hours
Tolanaro (25.0 S, 47.0 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 45% in about 36 hours
Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Ihosy (22.3 S, 46.1 E)
probability for TS is 40% in about 24 hours
Morondava (20.3 S, 44.3 E)
probability for TS is 35% within 12 hours
Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html.
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
S Indian Ocean: Storm Alert issued at 21 Feb, 2013 12:00 GMT
Intense Tropical Cyclone HARUNA (16S) currently located near 22.3 S 41.9 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Madagascar
probability for CAT 1 or above is 85% in about 24 hours
probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Toliara (23.4 S, 43.7 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 55% in about 24 hours
probability for TS is 90% within 12 hours
Betioky (23.7 S, 44.4 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 35% in about 24 hours
probability for TS is 85% in about 24 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Morombe (21.8 S, 43.4 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% within 12 hours
probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
Ambovombe (25.2 S, 46.1 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 65% in about 48 hours
Betroka (23.2 S, 46.1 E)
probability for TS is 55% in about 36 hours
Tolanaro (25.0 S, 47.0 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 45% in about 36 hours
Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Ihosy (22.3 S, 46.1 E)
probability for TS is 40% in about 24 hours
Morondava (20.3 S, 44.3 E)
probability for TS is 35% within 12 hours
Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
Intense Tropical Cyclone HARUNA (16S) currently located near 22.3 S 41.9 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Madagascar
probability for CAT 1 or above is 85% in about 24 hours
probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Toliara (23.4 S, 43.7 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 55% in about 24 hours
probability for TS is 90% within 12 hours
Betioky (23.7 S, 44.4 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 35% in about 24 hours
probability for TS is 85% in about 24 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Morombe (21.8 S, 43.4 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% within 12 hours
probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
Ambovombe (25.2 S, 46.1 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 65% in about 48 hours
Betroka (23.2 S, 46.1 E)
probability for TS is 55% in about 36 hours
Tolanaro (25.0 S, 47.0 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 45% in about 36 hours
Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Ihosy (22.3 S, 46.1 E)
probability for TS is 40% in about 24 hours
Morondava (20.3 S, 44.3 E)
probability for TS is 35% within 12 hours
Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html.
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
S Indian Ocean: Storm Alert issued at 21 Feb, 2013 12:00 GMT
Intense Tropical Cyclone HARUNA (16S) currently located near 22.3 S 41.9 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Madagascar
probability for CAT 1 or above is 85% in about 24 hours
probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Toliara (23.4 S, 43.7 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 55% in about 24 hours
probability for TS is 90% within 12 hours
Betioky (23.7 S, 44.4 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 35% in about 24 hours
probability for TS is 85% in about 24 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Morombe (21.8 S, 43.4 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% within 12 hours
probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
Ambovombe (25.2 S, 46.1 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 65% in about 48 hours
Betroka (23.2 S, 46.1 E)
probability for TS is 55% in about 36 hours
Tolanaro (25.0 S, 47.0 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 45% in about 36 hours
Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Ihosy (22.3 S, 46.1 E)
probability for TS is 40% in about 24 hours
Morondava (20.3 S, 44.3 E)
probability for TS is 35% within 12 hours
Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
Wednesday, February 20, 2013
TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Cyclone HARUNA
S Indian Ocean: Storm Alert issued at 21 Feb, 2013 0:00 GMT
Tropical Cyclone HARUNA (16S) currently located near 22.5 S 41.4 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Madagascar
probability for CAT 1 or above is 45% in about 24 hours
probability for TS is 90% within 12 hours
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Toliara (23.4 S, 43.7 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 45% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 80% in about 24 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Morombe (21.8 S, 43.4 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 24 hours
probability for TS is 80% within 12 hours
Betioky (23.7 S, 44.4 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 65% in about 36 hours
Ambovombe (25.2 S, 46.1 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 35% in about 48 hours
Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html.
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
S Indian Ocean: Storm Alert issued at 21 Feb, 2013 0:00 GMT
Tropical Cyclone HARUNA (16S) currently located near 22.5 S 41.4 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Madagascar
probability for CAT 1 or above is 45% in about 24 hours
probability for TS is 90% within 12 hours
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Toliara (23.4 S, 43.7 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 45% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 80% in about 24 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Morombe (21.8 S, 43.4 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 24 hours
probability for TS is 80% within 12 hours
Betioky (23.7 S, 44.4 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 65% in about 36 hours
Ambovombe (25.2 S, 46.1 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 35% in about 48 hours
Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
Tropical Cyclone HARUNA (16S) currently located near 22.5 S 41.4 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Madagascar
probability for CAT 1 or above is 45% in about 24 hours
probability for TS is 90% within 12 hours
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Toliara (23.4 S, 43.7 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 45% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 80% in about 24 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Morombe (21.8 S, 43.4 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 24 hours
probability for TS is 80% within 12 hours
Betioky (23.7 S, 44.4 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 65% in about 36 hours
Ambovombe (25.2 S, 46.1 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 35% in about 48 hours
Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html.
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
S Indian Ocean: Storm Alert issued at 21 Feb, 2013 0:00 GMT
Tropical Cyclone HARUNA (16S) currently located near 22.5 S 41.4 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Madagascar
probability for CAT 1 or above is 45% in about 24 hours
probability for TS is 90% within 12 hours
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Toliara (23.4 S, 43.7 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 45% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 80% in about 24 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Morombe (21.8 S, 43.4 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 24 hours
probability for TS is 80% within 12 hours
Betioky (23.7 S, 44.4 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 65% in about 36 hours
Ambovombe (25.2 S, 46.1 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 35% in about 48 hours
Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Cyclone HARUNA
S Indian Ocean: Storm Alert issued at 20 Feb, 2013 12:00 GMT
Tropical Cyclone HARUNA (16S) currently located near 22.1 S 40.7 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Madagascar
probability for CAT 1 or above is 35% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 65% in about 24 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Morombe (21.8 S, 43.4 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 60% in about 24 hours
Toliara (23.4 S, 43.7 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 60% in about 36 hours
Betioky (23.7 S, 44.4 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 45% in about 36 hours
Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html.
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
S Indian Ocean: Storm Alert issued at 20 Feb, 2013 12:00 GMT
Tropical Cyclone HARUNA (16S) currently located near 22.1 S 40.7 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Madagascar
probability for CAT 1 or above is 35% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 65% in about 24 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Morombe (21.8 S, 43.4 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 60% in about 24 hours
Toliara (23.4 S, 43.7 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 60% in about 36 hours
Betioky (23.7 S, 44.4 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 45% in about 36 hours
Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
Tropical Cyclone HARUNA (16S) currently located near 22.1 S 40.7 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Madagascar
probability for CAT 1 or above is 35% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 65% in about 24 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Morombe (21.8 S, 43.4 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 60% in about 24 hours
Toliara (23.4 S, 43.7 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 60% in about 36 hours
Betioky (23.7 S, 44.4 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 45% in about 36 hours
Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html.
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
S Indian Ocean: Storm Alert issued at 20 Feb, 2013 12:00 GMT
Tropical Cyclone HARUNA (16S) currently located near 22.1 S 40.7 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Madagascar
probability for CAT 1 or above is 35% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 65% in about 24 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Morombe (21.8 S, 43.4 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 60% in about 24 hours
Toliara (23.4 S, 43.7 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 60% in about 36 hours
Betioky (23.7 S, 44.4 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 45% in about 36 hours
Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
Tuesday, February 19, 2013
TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm HARUNA
S Indian Ocean: Storm Alert issued at 20 Feb, 2013 0:00 GMT
Tropical Storm HARUNA (16S) currently located near 21.4 S 40.7 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Madagascar
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 30% in about 36 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Toliara (23.4 S, 43.7 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 25% in about 48 hours
Note that
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html.
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
S Indian Ocean: Storm Alert issued at 20 Feb, 2013 0:00 GMT
Tropical Storm HARUNA (16S) currently located near 21.4 S 40.7 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Madagascar
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 30% in about 36 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Toliara (23.4 S, 43.7 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 25% in about 48 hours
Note that
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
Tropical Storm HARUNA (16S) currently located near 21.4 S 40.7 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Madagascar
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 30% in about 36 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Toliara (23.4 S, 43.7 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 25% in about 48 hours
Note that
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html.
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
S Indian Ocean: Storm Alert issued at 20 Feb, 2013 0:00 GMT
Tropical Storm HARUNA (16S) currently located near 21.4 S 40.7 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Madagascar
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 30% in about 36 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Toliara (23.4 S, 43.7 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 25% in about 48 hours
Note that
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm HARUNA
S Indian Ocean: Storm Alert issued at 19 Feb, 2013 12:00 GMT
Tropical Storm HARUNA (16S) currently located near 21.3 S 40.8 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Green Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Madagascar
probability for TS is 35% in about 48 hours
Note that
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html.
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
S Indian Ocean: Storm Alert issued at 19 Feb, 2013 12:00 GMT
Tropical Storm HARUNA (16S) currently located near 21.3 S 40.8 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Green Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Madagascar
probability for TS is 35% in about 48 hours
Note that
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
Tropical Storm HARUNA (16S) currently located near 21.3 S 40.8 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Green Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Madagascar
probability for TS is 35% in about 48 hours
Note that
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html.
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
S Indian Ocean: Storm Alert issued at 19 Feb, 2013 12:00 GMT
Tropical Storm HARUNA (16S) currently located near 21.3 S 40.8 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Green Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Madagascar
probability for TS is 35% in about 48 hours
Note that
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
Monday, February 18, 2013
TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm SIXTEEN
S Indian Ocean: Storm Alert issued at 19 Feb, 2013 0:00 GMT
Tropical Storm SIXTEEN (16S) currently located near 20.0 S 41.2 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Madagascar
probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 40% in about 36 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Morombe (21.8 S, 43.4 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 40% in about 36 hours
Toliara (23.4 S, 43.7 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 35% in about 48 hours
Note that
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html.
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
S Indian Ocean: Storm Alert issued at 19 Feb, 2013 0:00 GMT
Tropical Storm SIXTEEN (16S) currently located near 20.0 S 41.2 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Madagascar
probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 40% in about 36 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Morombe (21.8 S, 43.4 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 40% in about 36 hours
Toliara (23.4 S, 43.7 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 35% in about 48 hours
Note that
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
Tropical Storm SIXTEEN (16S) currently located near 20.0 S 41.2 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Madagascar
probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 40% in about 36 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Morombe (21.8 S, 43.4 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 40% in about 36 hours
Toliara (23.4 S, 43.7 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 35% in about 48 hours
Note that
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html.
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
S Indian Ocean: Storm Alert issued at 19 Feb, 2013 0:00 GMT
Tropical Storm SIXTEEN (16S) currently located near 20.0 S 41.2 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Madagascar
probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 40% in about 36 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Morombe (21.8 S, 43.4 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 40% in about 36 hours
Toliara (23.4 S, 43.7 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 35% in about 48 hours
Note that
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
Thursday, February 14, 2013
[Tsunami Message - IOC] NWS-WCATWC Tsunami Information Statement
WEAK53 PAAQ 141325
TIBAK1
PUBLIC TSUNAMI INFORMATION STATEMENT NUMBER 1
NWS WEST COAST/ALASKA TSUNAMI WARNING CENTER PALMER AK
525 AM PST THU FEB 14 2013
...THIS IS A TSUNAMI INFORMATION STATEMENT FOR ALASKA AND
THE CANADIAN ARCTIC REGION...
EVALUATION
----------
* THERE IS NO TSUNAMI DANGER FOR THE AREAS LISTED ABOVE.
* THIS EVALUATION IS BASED ON EARTHQUAKE INFORMATION AND
HISTORIC TSUNAMI RECORDS.
* AN EARTHQUAKE HAS OCCURRED WITH PARAMETERS LISTED BELOW.
PRELIMINARY EARTHQUAKE PARAMETERS
---------------------------------
* MAGNITUDE 6.9
* ORIGIN TIME 0414 AKST FEB 14 2013
0514 PST FEB 14 2013
1314 UTC FEB 14 2013
* COORDINATES 67.7 NORTH 142.5 EAST
* DEPTH 12 MILES
* LOCATION EASTERN SIBERIA RUSSIA
NEXT UPDATE AND ADDITIONAL INFORMATION
--------------------------------------
* THIS WILL BE THE ONLY WCATWC MESSAGE FOR THIS EVENT
UNLESS ADDITIONAL INFORMATION BECOMES AVAILABLE.
* REFER TO THE INTERNET SITE WCATWC.ARH.NOAA.GOV FOR
ADDITIONAL INFORMATION.
* PACIFIC COASTAL REGIONS OUTSIDE CALIFORNIA... OREGON...
WASHINGTON... BRITISH COLUMBIA AND ALASKA SHOULD REFER TO THE
PACIFIC TSUNAMI WARNING CENTER MESSAGES AT PTWC.WEATHER.GOV.
$$
TIBAK1
PUBLIC TSUNAMI INFORMATION STATEMENT NUMBER 1
NWS WEST COAST/ALASKA TSUNAMI WARNING CENTER PALMER AK
525 AM PST THU FEB 14 2013
...THIS IS A TSUNAMI INFORMATION STATEMENT FOR ALASKA AND
THE CANADIAN ARCTIC REGION...
EVALUATION
----------
* THERE IS NO TSUNAMI DANGER FOR THE AREAS LISTED ABOVE.
* THIS EVALUATION IS BASED ON EARTHQUAKE INFORMATION AND
HISTORIC TSUNAMI RECORDS.
* AN EARTHQUAKE HAS OCCURRED WITH PARAMETERS LISTED BELOW.
PRELIMINARY EARTHQUAKE PARAMETERS
---------------------------------
* MAGNITUDE 6.9
* ORIGIN TIME 0414 AKST FEB 14 2013
0514 PST FEB 14 2013
1314 UTC FEB 14 2013
* COORDINATES 67.7 NORTH 142.5 EAST
* DEPTH 12 MILES
* LOCATION EASTERN SIBERIA RUSSIA
NEXT UPDATE AND ADDITIONAL INFORMATION
--------------------------------------
* THIS WILL BE THE ONLY WCATWC MESSAGE FOR THIS EVENT
UNLESS ADDITIONAL INFORMATION BECOMES AVAILABLE.
* REFER TO THE INTERNET SITE WCATWC.ARH.NOAA.GOV FOR
ADDITIONAL INFORMATION.
* PACIFIC COASTAL REGIONS OUTSIDE CALIFORNIA... OREGON...
WASHINGTON... BRITISH COLUMBIA AND ALASKA SHOULD REFER TO THE
PACIFIC TSUNAMI WARNING CENTER MESSAGES AT PTWC.WEATHER.GOV.
$$
[Tsunami Message - IOC] Tsunami Information Bulletin
TSUNAMI BULLETIN NUMBER 001
PACIFIC TSUNAMI WARNING CENTER/NOAA/NWS
ISSUED AT 1323Z 14 FEB 2013
THIS BULLETIN APPLIES TO AREAS WITHIN AND BORDERING THE PACIFIC
OCEAN AND ADJACENT SEAS...EXCEPT ALASKA...BRITISH COLUMBIA...
WASHINGTON...OREGON AND CALIFORNIA.
... TSUNAMI INFORMATION BULLETIN ...
THIS BULLETIN IS FOR INFORMATION ONLY.
THIS BULLETIN IS ISSUED AS ADVICE TO GOVERNMENT AGENCIES. ONLY
NATIONAL AND LOCAL GOVERNMENT AGENCIES HAVE THE AUTHORITY TO MAKE
DECISIONS REGARDING THE OFFICIAL STATE OF ALERT IN THEIR AREA AND
ANY ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN IN RESPONSE.
AN EARTHQUAKE HAS OCCURRED WITH THESE PRELIMINARY PARAMETERS
ORIGIN TIME - 1314Z 14 FEB 2013
COORDINATES - 67.7 NORTH 142.5 EAST
DEPTH - 21 KM
LOCATION - EASTERN SIBERIA RUSSIA
MAGNITUDE - 6.9
EVALUATION
A DESTRUCTIVE TSUNAMI WAS NOT GENERATED BASED ON EARTHQUAKE AND
HISTORICAL TSUNAMI DATA.
THIS WILL BE THE ONLY BULLETIN ISSUED FOR THIS EVENT UNLESS
ADDITIONAL INFORMATION BECOMES AVAILABLE.
THE WEST COAST/ALASKA TSUNAMI WARNING CENTER WILL ISSUE PRODUCTS
FOR ALASKA...BRITISH COLUMBIA...WASHINGTON...OREGON...CALIFORNIA.
PACIFIC TSUNAMI WARNING CENTER/NOAA/NWS
ISSUED AT 1323Z 14 FEB 2013
THIS BULLETIN APPLIES TO AREAS WITHIN AND BORDERING THE PACIFIC
OCEAN AND ADJACENT SEAS...EXCEPT ALASKA...BRITISH COLUMBIA...
WASHINGTON...OREGON AND CALIFORNIA.
... TSUNAMI INFORMATION BULLETIN ...
THIS BULLETIN IS FOR INFORMATION ONLY.
THIS BULLETIN IS ISSUED AS ADVICE TO GOVERNMENT AGENCIES. ONLY
NATIONAL AND LOCAL GOVERNMENT AGENCIES HAVE THE AUTHORITY TO MAKE
DECISIONS REGARDING THE OFFICIAL STATE OF ALERT IN THEIR AREA AND
ANY ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN IN RESPONSE.
AN EARTHQUAKE HAS OCCURRED WITH THESE PRELIMINARY PARAMETERS
ORIGIN TIME - 1314Z 14 FEB 2013
COORDINATES - 67.7 NORTH 142.5 EAST
DEPTH - 21 KM
LOCATION - EASTERN SIBERIA RUSSIA
MAGNITUDE - 6.9
EVALUATION
A DESTRUCTIVE TSUNAMI WAS NOT GENERATED BASED ON EARTHQUAKE AND
HISTORICAL TSUNAMI DATA.
THIS WILL BE THE ONLY BULLETIN ISSUED FOR THIS EVENT UNLESS
ADDITIONAL INFORMATION BECOMES AVAILABLE.
THE WEST COAST/ALASKA TSUNAMI WARNING CENTER WILL ISSUE PRODUCTS
FOR ALASKA...BRITISH COLUMBIA...WASHINGTON...OREGON...CALIFORNIA.
Sunday, February 10, 2013
TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm HALEY
SW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 10 Feb, 2013 12:00 GMT
Tropical Storm HALEY (14P) currently located near 23.1 S 151.5 W is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Mataura (23.4 S, 149.4 W)
probability for TS is 55% within 12 hours
Note that
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html.
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
SW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 10 Feb, 2013 12:00 GMT
Tropical Storm HALEY (14P) currently located near 23.1 S 151.5 W is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Mataura (23.4 S, 149.4 W)
probability for TS is 55% within 12 hours
Note that
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
Tropical Storm HALEY (14P) currently located near 23.1 S 151.5 W is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Mataura (23.4 S, 149.4 W)
probability for TS is 55% within 12 hours
Note that
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html.
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
SW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 10 Feb, 2013 12:00 GMT
Tropical Storm HALEY (14P) currently located near 23.1 S 151.5 W is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Mataura (23.4 S, 149.4 W)
probability for TS is 55% within 12 hours
Note that
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
Saturday, February 9, 2013
TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm HALEY
SW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 10 Feb, 2013 0:00 GMT
Tropical Storm HALEY (14P) currently located near 21.7 S 153.4 W is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Mataura (23.4 S, 149.4 W)
probability for TS is 35% in about 24 hours
Note that
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html.
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
SW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 10 Feb, 2013 0:00 GMT
Tropical Storm HALEY (14P) currently located near 21.7 S 153.4 W is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Mataura (23.4 S, 149.4 W)
probability for TS is 35% in about 24 hours
Note that
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
Tropical Storm HALEY (14P) currently located near 21.7 S 153.4 W is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Mataura (23.4 S, 149.4 W)
probability for TS is 35% in about 24 hours
Note that
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html.
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
SW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 10 Feb, 2013 0:00 GMT
Tropical Storm HALEY (14P) currently located near 21.7 S 153.4 W is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Mataura (23.4 S, 149.4 W)
probability for TS is 35% in about 24 hours
Note that
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
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