NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 1 Aug, 2013 0:00 GMT
Tropical Storm JEBI (09W) currently located near 15.5 N 114.0 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Green Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
China
probability for TS is 50% in about 36 hours
Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Qionghai (19.2 N, 110.5 E)
probability for TS is 50% in about 36 hours
Haikou (20.0 N, 110.4 E)
probability for TS is 45% in about 36 hours
Yaxian (18.4 N, 109.4 E)
probability for TS is 45% in about 36 hours
Note that
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
Wednesday, July 31, 2013
TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm JEBI
NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 31 Jul, 2013 18:00 GMT
Tropical Storm JEBI (09W) currently located near 15.3 N 114.5 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Green Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
China
probability for TS is 45% in about 36 hours
Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Qionghai (19.2 N, 110.5 E)
probability for TS is 45% in about 48 hours
Note that
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
Tropical Storm JEBI (09W) currently located near 15.3 N 114.5 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Green Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
China
probability for TS is 45% in about 36 hours
Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Qionghai (19.2 N, 110.5 E)
probability for TS is 45% in about 48 hours
Note that
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Depression JEBI
NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 31 Jul, 2013 6:00 GMT
Tropical Depression JEBI (09W) currently located near 15.2 N 115.5 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Green Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
China
probability for TS is 35% in about 48 hours
Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Qionghai (19.2 N, 110.5 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 48 hours
Note that
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
Tropical Depression JEBI (09W) currently located near 15.2 N 115.5 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Green Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
China
probability for TS is 35% in about 48 hours
Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Qionghai (19.2 N, 110.5 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 48 hours
Note that
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
Tuesday, July 30, 2013
Eastern Pacific Special Tropical Weather Outlook
|
You are subscribed to NHC Tropical Weather Outlook (East Pac, specials) for NOAA's National Weather Service. 07/30/2013 03:59 PM EDT 000 ABPZ20 KNHC 301958 TWOEP SPECIAL TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 100 PM PDT TUE JUL 30 2013 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL DEPRESSION SEVEN-E...LOCATED WELL OFFSHORE OF THE SOUTHWEST COAST OF MEXICO. THE AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER LOCATED ABOUT 750 MILES SOUTH OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA HAS BECOME BETTER ORGANIZED OVER THE PAST FEW HOURS. THIS SYSTEM NOW HAS A MEDIUM CHANCE...40 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS...AS IT MOVES GENERALLY WESTWARD AT 10 TO 15 MPH. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. && PUBLIC ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL DEPRESSION SEVEN-E ARE ISSUED UNDER WMO HEADER WTPZ32 KNHC AND UNDER AWIPS HEADER MIATCPEP2. FORECAST/ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL DEPRESSION SEVEN-E ARE ISSUED UNDER WMO HEADER WTPZ22 KNHC AND UNDER AWIPS HEADER MIATCMEP2. $$ FORECASTER PASCH/AVILA
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Monday, July 29, 2013
Atlantic Special Tropical Weather Outlook
|
You are subscribed to NHC Tropical Weather Outlook (Atlantic, specials) for NOAA's National Weather Service. 07/29/2013 03:54 PM EDT 000 ABNT20 KNHC 291954 TWOAT SPECIAL TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 355 PM EDT MON JUL 29 2013 FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO... DATA FROM THE AIR FORCE RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT INVESTIGATING THE REMNANTS OF DORIAN...LOCATED A COUPLE OF HUNDRED MILES NORTH OF PUERTO RICO...CONFIRM THAT THE SYSTEM DOES NOT HAVE A CLOSED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION. IN ADDITION...THE DISTURBANCE IS POORLY ORGANIZED WITH THE LOWEST SURFACE PRESSURES WELL REMOVED FROM THE MAIN AREA OF THUNDERSTORMS. UPPER-LEVEL WINDS ARE NOT PARTICULARLY CONDUCIVE FOR REGENERATION TO OCCUR. THIS SYSTEM HAS A MEDIUM CHANCE...30 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. THE REMNANTS OF DORIAN ARE EXPECTED TO MOVE WEST-NORTHWESTWARD OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. SHOWERS AND GUSTY WINDS TO NEAR GALE FORCE IN SQUALLS ARE EXPECTED TO STAY WELL TO THE NORTH OF PUERTO RICO TODAY...AND COULD SPREAD ACROSS THE TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS AND PORTIONS OF THE BAHAMAS TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY. ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON THIS SYSTEM CAN BE FOUND IN HIGH SEAS FORECASTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. && HIGH SEAS FORECASTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ARE FOUND UNDER AWIPS HEADER NFDHSFAT1 AND WMO HEADER FZNT01 KWBC. $$ FORECASTER BERG/FRANKLIN
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Sunday, July 28, 2013
Atlantic Special Tropical Weather Outlook
|
You are subscribed to NHC Tropical Weather Outlook (Atlantic, specials) for NOAA's National Weather Service. 07/28/2013 03:47 PM EDT 000 ABNT20 KNHC 281947 TWOAT SPECIAL TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 350 PM EDT SUN JUL 28 2013 FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO... DATA FROM AN AIR FORCE RECONNAISSANCE MISSION IN THE REMNANTS OF DORIAN...LOCATED A COUPLE HUNDRED MILES NORTH OF THE LEEWARD ISLANDS...INDICATE THAT THE DISTURBANCE DOES NOT HAVE A WELL- DEFINED CENTER OF CIRCULATION AND CONSISTS OF A SHARP SURFACE TROUGH. THE SYSTEM IS PRODUCING WINDS TO GALE FORCE WELL NORTH OF THE LEEWARD ISLANDS...HOWEVER THE ASSOCIATED SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY HAS WEAKENED DURING THE PAST FEW HOURS. ENVIRONMENTAL WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BE ONLY MARGINALLY CONDUCIVE FOR REGENERATION DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. THIS SYSTEM HAS A MEDIUM CHANCE...30 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS AS IT MOVES WESTWARD TO WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT AROUND 20 MPH...PASSING NORTH OF THE LEEWARD ISLANDS AND PUERTO RICO THROUGH MONDAY...AND MOVING OVER THE TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS AND SOUTHERN BAHAMAS ON TUESDAY. ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON THIS SYSTEM CAN BE FOUND IN HIGH SEAS FORECASTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE...UNDER AWIPS HEADER NFDHSFAT1 AND WMO HEADER FZNT01 KWBC. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. $$ FORECASTER BERG
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Wednesday, July 24, 2013
Atlantic Special Tropical Weather Outlook
You are subscribed to NHC Tropical Weather Outlook (Atlantic, specials) for NOAA's National Weather Service.
GovDelivery provides this service using unaltered NOAA/NWS products.
07/23/2013 10:40 PM EDT
000
ABNT20 KNHC 240240
TWOAT
SPECIAL TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1040 PM EDT TUE JUL 23 2013
FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...
SATELLITE-DERIVED WIND DATA INDICATE THAT THE SURFACE LOW PRESSURE
SYSTEM LOCATED ABOUT 150 MILES SOUTHWEST OF THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS
IS PRODUCING WINDS TO NEAR GALE FORCE. HOWEVER...THE ASSOCIATED
THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY REMAINS SOMEWHAT LIMITED AND HAS NOT YET BEEN
PERSISTENT ENOUGH FOR THE LOW TO BE DESIGNATED AS A TROPICAL
CYCLONE. IF THE THUNDERSTORMS INCREASE AND PERSIST...THEN THE LOW
COULD BECOME A TROPICAL DEPRESSION OR TROPICAL STORM ON WEDNESDAY
AS IT MOVES WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT ABOUT 20 MPH. THIS SYSTEM HAS A
HIGH CHANCE...70 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING
THE NEXT 48 HOURS.
ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.
$$
FORECASTER BERG
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The use of the logo does not imply an endorsement by the NOAA/NWS
| GovDelivery provides this service using unaltered NOAA/NWS products. · 1-800-439-1420 |  |
Sunday, July 21, 2013
[Tsunami Message - IOC] NWS-WCATWC Tsunami Information Statement
WEAK53 PAAQ 210518
TIBAK1
PUBLIC TSUNAMI INFORMATION STATEMENT NUMBER 1
NWS WEST COAST/ALASKA TSUNAMI WARNING CENTER PALMER AK
1018 PM PDT SAT JUL 20 2013
...THIS IS A TSUNAMI INFORMATION STATEMENT FOR ALASKA/ BRITISH
COLUMBIA/ WASHINGTON/ OREGON AND CALIFORNIA...
EVALUATION
----------
* THERE IS NO TSUNAMI DANGER FOR THE AREAS LISTED ABOVE.
* THIS EVALUATION IS BASED ON EARTHQUAKE INFORMATION AND
HISTORIC TSUNAMI RECORDS.
* AN EARTHQUAKE HAS OCCURRED WITH PARAMETERS LISTED BELOW.
PRELIMINARY EARTHQUAKE PARAMETERS
---------------------------------
* MAGNITUDE 6.9
* ORIGIN TIME 2110 AKDT JUL 20 2013
2210 PDT JUL 20 2013
0510 UTC JUL 21 2013
* COORDINATES 42.0 SOUTH 174.9 EAST
* DEPTH 19 MILES
* LOCATION OFF E. COAST OF S. ISLAND N.Z.
NEXT UPDATE AND ADDITIONAL INFORMATION
--------------------------------------
* THIS WILL BE THE ONLY WCATWC MESSAGE FOR THIS EVENT
UNLESS ADDITIONAL INFORMATION BECOMES AVAILABLE.
* REFER TO THE INTERNET SITE WCATWC.ARH.NOAA.GOV FOR
ADDITIONAL INFORMATION.
* PACIFIC COASTAL REGIONS OUTSIDE CALIFORNIA... OREGON...
WASHINGTON... BRITISH COLUMBIA AND ALASKA SHOULD REFER TO THE
PACIFIC TSUNAMI WARNING CENTER MESSAGES AT PTWC.WEATHER.GOV.
$$
TIBAK1
PUBLIC TSUNAMI INFORMATION STATEMENT NUMBER 1
NWS WEST COAST/ALASKA TSUNAMI WARNING CENTER PALMER AK
1018 PM PDT SAT JUL 20 2013
...THIS IS A TSUNAMI INFORMATION STATEMENT FOR ALASKA/ BRITISH
COLUMBIA/ WASHINGTON/ OREGON AND CALIFORNIA...
EVALUATION
----------
* THERE IS NO TSUNAMI DANGER FOR THE AREAS LISTED ABOVE.
* THIS EVALUATION IS BASED ON EARTHQUAKE INFORMATION AND
HISTORIC TSUNAMI RECORDS.
* AN EARTHQUAKE HAS OCCURRED WITH PARAMETERS LISTED BELOW.
PRELIMINARY EARTHQUAKE PARAMETERS
---------------------------------
* MAGNITUDE 6.9
* ORIGIN TIME 2110 AKDT JUL 20 2013
2210 PDT JUL 20 2013
0510 UTC JUL 21 2013
* COORDINATES 42.0 SOUTH 174.9 EAST
* DEPTH 19 MILES
* LOCATION OFF E. COAST OF S. ISLAND N.Z.
NEXT UPDATE AND ADDITIONAL INFORMATION
--------------------------------------
* THIS WILL BE THE ONLY WCATWC MESSAGE FOR THIS EVENT
UNLESS ADDITIONAL INFORMATION BECOMES AVAILABLE.
* REFER TO THE INTERNET SITE WCATWC.ARH.NOAA.GOV FOR
ADDITIONAL INFORMATION.
* PACIFIC COASTAL REGIONS OUTSIDE CALIFORNIA... OREGON...
WASHINGTON... BRITISH COLUMBIA AND ALASKA SHOULD REFER TO THE
PACIFIC TSUNAMI WARNING CENTER MESSAGES AT PTWC.WEATHER.GOV.
$$
[Tsunami Message - IOC] Tsunami Information Bulletin
TSUNAMI BULLETIN NUMBER 001
PACIFIC TSUNAMI WARNING CENTER/NOAA/NWS
ISSUED AT 0517Z 21 JUL 2013
THIS BULLETIN APPLIES TO AREAS WITHIN AND BORDERING THE PACIFIC
OCEAN AND ADJACENT SEAS...EXCEPT ALASKA...BRITISH COLUMBIA...
WASHINGTON...OREGON AND CALIFORNIA.
... TSUNAMI INFORMATION BULLETIN ...
THIS BULLETIN IS FOR INFORMATION ONLY.
THIS BULLETIN IS ISSUED AS ADVICE TO GOVERNMENT AGENCIES. ONLY
NATIONAL AND LOCAL GOVERNMENT AGENCIES HAVE THE AUTHORITY TO MAKE
DECISIONS REGARDING THE OFFICIAL STATE OF ALERT IN THEIR AREA AND
ANY ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN IN RESPONSE.
AN EARTHQUAKE HAS OCCURRED WITH THESE PRELIMINARY PARAMETERS
ORIGIN TIME - 0510Z 21 JUL 2013
COORDINATES - 42.0 SOUTH 174.9 EAST
DEPTH - 31 KM
LOCATION - OFF EAST COAST OF THE SOUTH ISLAND N.Z.
MAGNITUDE - 6.9
EVALUATION
NO DESTRUCTIVE WIDESPREAD TSUNAMI THREAT EXISTS BASED ON
HISTORICAL EARTHQUAKE AND TSUNAMI DATA.
HOWEVER - EARTHQUAKES OF THIS SIZE SOMETIMES GENERATE LOCAL
TSUNAMIS THAT CAN BE DESTRUCTIVE ALONG COASTS LOCATED WITHIN
A HUNDRED KILOMETERS OF THE EARTHQUAKE EPICENTER. AUTHORITIES
IN THE REGION OF THE EPICENTER SHOULD BE AWARE OF THIS
POSSIBILITY AND TAKE APPROPRIATE ACTION.
THIS WILL BE THE ONLY BULLETIN ISSUED FOR THIS EVENT UNLESS
ADDITIONAL INFORMATION BECOMES AVAILABLE.
THE WEST COAST/ALASKA TSUNAMI WARNING CENTER WILL ISSUE PRODUCTS
FOR ALASKA...BRITISH COLUMBIA...WASHINGTON...OREGON...CALIFORNIA.
PACIFIC TSUNAMI WARNING CENTER/NOAA/NWS
ISSUED AT 0517Z 21 JUL 2013
THIS BULLETIN APPLIES TO AREAS WITHIN AND BORDERING THE PACIFIC
OCEAN AND ADJACENT SEAS...EXCEPT ALASKA...BRITISH COLUMBIA...
WASHINGTON...OREGON AND CALIFORNIA.
... TSUNAMI INFORMATION BULLETIN ...
THIS BULLETIN IS FOR INFORMATION ONLY.
THIS BULLETIN IS ISSUED AS ADVICE TO GOVERNMENT AGENCIES. ONLY
NATIONAL AND LOCAL GOVERNMENT AGENCIES HAVE THE AUTHORITY TO MAKE
DECISIONS REGARDING THE OFFICIAL STATE OF ALERT IN THEIR AREA AND
ANY ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN IN RESPONSE.
AN EARTHQUAKE HAS OCCURRED WITH THESE PRELIMINARY PARAMETERS
ORIGIN TIME - 0510Z 21 JUL 2013
COORDINATES - 42.0 SOUTH 174.9 EAST
DEPTH - 31 KM
LOCATION - OFF EAST COAST OF THE SOUTH ISLAND N.Z.
MAGNITUDE - 6.9
EVALUATION
NO DESTRUCTIVE WIDESPREAD TSUNAMI THREAT EXISTS BASED ON
HISTORICAL EARTHQUAKE AND TSUNAMI DATA.
HOWEVER - EARTHQUAKES OF THIS SIZE SOMETIMES GENERATE LOCAL
TSUNAMIS THAT CAN BE DESTRUCTIVE ALONG COASTS LOCATED WITHIN
A HUNDRED KILOMETERS OF THE EARTHQUAKE EPICENTER. AUTHORITIES
IN THE REGION OF THE EPICENTER SHOULD BE AWARE OF THIS
POSSIBILITY AND TAKE APPROPRIATE ACTION.
THIS WILL BE THE ONLY BULLETIN ISSUED FOR THIS EVENT UNLESS
ADDITIONAL INFORMATION BECOMES AVAILABLE.
THE WEST COAST/ALASKA TSUNAMI WARNING CENTER WILL ISSUE PRODUCTS
FOR ALASKA...BRITISH COLUMBIA...WASHINGTON...OREGON...CALIFORNIA.
Thursday, July 18, 2013
TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm CIMARON
NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 18 Jul, 2013 12:00 GMT (Final Warning)
Tropical Storm CIMARON (08W) currently located near 23.5 N 117.1 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
China
probability for TS is 85% currently
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Yunxiao (23.9 N, 117.2 E)
probability for TS is 85% within 12 hours
Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Shantou (23.0 N, 116.2 E)
probability for TS is 50% currently
Zhangzhou (24.5 N, 117.8 E)
probability for TS is 40% currently
Note that
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
Tropical Storm CIMARON (08W) currently located near 23.5 N 117.1 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
China
probability for TS is 85% currently
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Yunxiao (23.9 N, 117.2 E)
probability for TS is 85% within 12 hours
Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Shantou (23.0 N, 116.2 E)
probability for TS is 50% currently
Zhangzhou (24.5 N, 117.8 E)
probability for TS is 40% currently
Note that
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm CIMARON
NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 18 Jul, 2013 6:00 GMT
Tropical Storm CIMARON (08W) currently located near 23.1 N 116.8 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
China
probability for TS is 80% currently
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Shantou (23.0 N, 116.2 E)
probability for TS is 60% currently
Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Yunxiao (23.9 N, 117.2 E)
probability for TS is 50% currently
Note that
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
Tropical Storm CIMARON (08W) currently located near 23.1 N 116.8 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
China
probability for TS is 80% currently
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Shantou (23.0 N, 116.2 E)
probability for TS is 60% currently
Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Yunxiao (23.9 N, 117.2 E)
probability for TS is 50% currently
Note that
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
Wednesday, July 17, 2013
TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm CIMARON
NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 18 Jul, 2013 0:00 GMT
Tropical Storm CIMARON (08W) currently located near 22.7 N 117.3 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
China
probability for TS is 65% currently
Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Yunxiao (23.9 N, 117.2 E)
probability for TS is 40% within 12 hours
Note that
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
Tropical Storm CIMARON (08W) currently located near 22.7 N 117.3 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
China
probability for TS is 65% currently
Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Yunxiao (23.9 N, 117.2 E)
probability for TS is 40% within 12 hours
Note that
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html
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This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm CIMARON
NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 17 Jul, 2013 18:00 GMT
Tropical Storm CIMARON (08W) currently located near 21.5 N 118.1 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Green Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
China
probability for TS is 40% within 12 hours
Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Yunxiao (23.9 N, 117.2 E)
probability for TS is 40% within 12 hours
Shantou (23.0 N, 116.2 E)
probability for TS is 40% within 12 hours
Note that
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
Tropical Storm CIMARON (08W) currently located near 21.5 N 118.1 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Green Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
China
probability for TS is 40% within 12 hours
Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Yunxiao (23.9 N, 117.2 E)
probability for TS is 40% within 12 hours
Shantou (23.0 N, 116.2 E)
probability for TS is 40% within 12 hours
Note that
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm CIMARON
NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 17 Jul, 2013 6:00 GMT
Tropical Storm CIMARON (08W) currently located near 19.5 N 121.2 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Green Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
China
probability for TS is 35% in about 24 hours
Note that
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
Tropical Storm CIMARON (08W) currently located near 19.5 N 121.2 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Green Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
China
probability for TS is 35% in about 24 hours
Note that
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
Tuesday, July 16, 2013
TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Depression EIGHT
NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 17 Jul, 2013 0:00 GMT
Tropical Depression EIGHT (08W) currently located near 18.1 N 122.4 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
the Philippines
probability for TS is 60% currently
Green Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Taiwan
probability for TS is 35% in about 24 hours
Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Kao-hsiung (22.6 N, 120.3 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 24 hours
Note that
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
Tropical Depression EIGHT (08W) currently located near 18.1 N 122.4 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
the Philippines
probability for TS is 60% currently
Green Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Taiwan
probability for TS is 35% in about 24 hours
Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Kao-hsiung (22.6 N, 120.3 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 24 hours
Note that
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Depression EIGHT
NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 16 Jul, 2013 12:00 GMT
Tropical Depression EIGHT (08W) currently located near 16.3 N 123.6 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Green Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Taiwan
probability for TS is 40% in about 36 hours
Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Kao-hsiung (22.6 N, 120.3 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 36 hours
Note that
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
Tropical Depression EIGHT (08W) currently located near 16.3 N 123.6 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Green Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Taiwan
probability for TS is 40% in about 36 hours
Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Kao-hsiung (22.6 N, 120.3 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 36 hours
Note that
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Depression EIGHT
NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 16 Jul, 2013 6:00 GMT
Tropical Depression EIGHT (08W) currently located near 15.6 N 124.2 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Green Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
the Philippines
probability for TS is 40% in about 24 hours
Note that
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
Tropical Depression EIGHT (08W) currently located near 15.6 N 124.2 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Green Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
the Philippines
probability for TS is 40% in about 24 hours
Note that
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
Monday, July 15, 2013
[Tsunami Message - IOC] NWS-WCATWC Tsunami Information Statement
WEXX32 PAAQ 151420
TIBATE
PUBLIC TSUNAMI INFORMATION STATEMENT NUMBER 1
NWS WEST COAST/ALASKA TSUNAMI WARNING CENTER PALMER AK
1020 AM EDT MON JUL 15 2013
...THIS IS A TSUNAMI INFORMATION STATEMENT FOR THE U.S. AND CANADA
EAST COASTS/ GULF OF MEXICO STATES/PUERTO RICO AND THE VIRGIN
ISLANDS...
EVALUATION
----------
* THERE IS NO TSUNAMI DANGER FOR THE AREAS LISTED ABOVE.
* EARTHQUAKES OF THIS SIZE ARE KNOWN TO GENERATE TSUNAMIS
DANGEROUS TO SHORELINES NEAR THE SOURCE.
* AN EARTHQUAKE HAS OCCURRED WITH PARAMETERS LISTED BELOW.
PRELIMINARY EARTHQUAKE PARAMETERS
---------------------------------
* MAGNITUDE 7.2
* ORIGIN TIME 1004 EDT JUL 15 2013
0904 CDT JUL 15 2013
1004 AST JUL 15 2013
1404 UTC JUL 15 2013
* COORDINATES 60.6 SOUTH 25.4 WEST
* DEPTH 19 MILES
* LOCATION SOUTH SANDWICH ISLANDS REGION
NEXT UPDATE AND ADDITIONAL INFORMATION
--------------------------------------
* THIS WILL BE THE ONLY WCATWC MESSAGE FOR THIS EVENT
UNLESS ADDITIONAL INFORMATION BECOMES AVAILABLE.
* REFER TO THE INTERNET SITE WCATWC.ARH.NOAA.GOV FOR
ADDITIONAL INFORMATION.
* CARIBBEAN COASTAL REGIONS OUTSIDE PUERTO RICO AND THE VIRGIN
ISLANDS SHOULD REFER TO THE PACIFIC TSUNAMI WARNING CENTER
MESSAGES AT PTWC.WEATHER.GOV.
$$
TIBATE
PUBLIC TSUNAMI INFORMATION STATEMENT NUMBER 1
NWS WEST COAST/ALASKA TSUNAMI WARNING CENTER PALMER AK
1020 AM EDT MON JUL 15 2013
...THIS IS A TSUNAMI INFORMATION STATEMENT FOR THE U.S. AND CANADA
EAST COASTS/ GULF OF MEXICO STATES/PUERTO RICO AND THE VIRGIN
ISLANDS...
EVALUATION
----------
* THERE IS NO TSUNAMI DANGER FOR THE AREAS LISTED ABOVE.
* EARTHQUAKES OF THIS SIZE ARE KNOWN TO GENERATE TSUNAMIS
DANGEROUS TO SHORELINES NEAR THE SOURCE.
* AN EARTHQUAKE HAS OCCURRED WITH PARAMETERS LISTED BELOW.
PRELIMINARY EARTHQUAKE PARAMETERS
---------------------------------
* MAGNITUDE 7.2
* ORIGIN TIME 1004 EDT JUL 15 2013
0904 CDT JUL 15 2013
1004 AST JUL 15 2013
1404 UTC JUL 15 2013
* COORDINATES 60.6 SOUTH 25.4 WEST
* DEPTH 19 MILES
* LOCATION SOUTH SANDWICH ISLANDS REGION
NEXT UPDATE AND ADDITIONAL INFORMATION
--------------------------------------
* THIS WILL BE THE ONLY WCATWC MESSAGE FOR THIS EVENT
UNLESS ADDITIONAL INFORMATION BECOMES AVAILABLE.
* REFER TO THE INTERNET SITE WCATWC.ARH.NOAA.GOV FOR
ADDITIONAL INFORMATION.
* CARIBBEAN COASTAL REGIONS OUTSIDE PUERTO RICO AND THE VIRGIN
ISLANDS SHOULD REFER TO THE PACIFIC TSUNAMI WARNING CENTER
MESSAGES AT PTWC.WEATHER.GOV.
$$
[Tsunami Message - IOC] Tsunami Information Statement
TSUNAMI STATEMENT NUMBER 1
NWS PACIFIC TSUNAMI WARNING CENTER EWA BEACH HI
1418 UTC MON JUL 15 2013
THIS STATEMENT APPLIES TO COUNTRIES WITHIN AND BORDERING THE
CARIBBEAN SEA...EXCEPT FOR PUERTO RICO AND THE VIRGIN ISLANDS.
... TSUNAMI INFORMATION STATEMENT ...
THIS MESSAGE IS FOR INFORMATION ONLY.
THIS BULLETIN IS ISSUED AS ADVICE TO GOVERNMENT AGENCIES. ONLY
NATIONAL AND LOCAL GOVERNMENT AGENCIES HAVE THE AUTHORITY TO MAKE
DECISIONS REGARDING THE OFFICIAL STATE OF ALERT IN THEIR AREA AND
ANY ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN IN RESPONSE.
AN EARTHQUAKE HAS OCCURRED WITH THESE PRELIMINARY PARAMETERS
ORIGIN TIME - 1404Z 15 JUL 2013
COORDINATES - 60.6 SOUTH 25.4 WEST
LOCATION - SOUTH SANDWICH ISLANDS REGION
MAGNITUDE - 7.2
EVALUATION
A DESTRUCTIVE WIDESPREAD TSUNAMI THREAT DOES NOT EXIST BASED ON
HISTORICAL EARTHQUAKE AND TSUNAMI DATA.
HOWEVER - THERE IS THE SMALL POSSIBILITY OF A LOCAL OR REGIONAL
TSUNAMI THAT COULD AFFECT COASTS LOCATED USUALLY NO MORE THAN A
FEW HUNDRED KILOMETERS FROM THE EARTHQUAKE EPICENTER. AUTHORITIES
IN THE REGION NEAR THE EPICENTER SHOULD BE MADE AWARE OF THIS
POSSIBILITY.
THIS WILL BE THE ONLY PRODUCT ISSUED BY THE PACIFIC TSUNAMI
WARNING CENTER FOR THIS EVENT UNLESS ADDITIONAL INFORMATION
BECOMES AVAILABLE.
NWS PACIFIC TSUNAMI WARNING CENTER EWA BEACH HI
1418 UTC MON JUL 15 2013
THIS STATEMENT APPLIES TO COUNTRIES WITHIN AND BORDERING THE
CARIBBEAN SEA...EXCEPT FOR PUERTO RICO AND THE VIRGIN ISLANDS.
... TSUNAMI INFORMATION STATEMENT ...
THIS MESSAGE IS FOR INFORMATION ONLY.
THIS BULLETIN IS ISSUED AS ADVICE TO GOVERNMENT AGENCIES. ONLY
NATIONAL AND LOCAL GOVERNMENT AGENCIES HAVE THE AUTHORITY TO MAKE
DECISIONS REGARDING THE OFFICIAL STATE OF ALERT IN THEIR AREA AND
ANY ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN IN RESPONSE.
AN EARTHQUAKE HAS OCCURRED WITH THESE PRELIMINARY PARAMETERS
ORIGIN TIME - 1404Z 15 JUL 2013
COORDINATES - 60.6 SOUTH 25.4 WEST
LOCATION - SOUTH SANDWICH ISLANDS REGION
MAGNITUDE - 7.2
EVALUATION
A DESTRUCTIVE WIDESPREAD TSUNAMI THREAT DOES NOT EXIST BASED ON
HISTORICAL EARTHQUAKE AND TSUNAMI DATA.
HOWEVER - THERE IS THE SMALL POSSIBILITY OF A LOCAL OR REGIONAL
TSUNAMI THAT COULD AFFECT COASTS LOCATED USUALLY NO MORE THAN A
FEW HUNDRED KILOMETERS FROM THE EARTHQUAKE EPICENTER. AUTHORITIES
IN THE REGION NEAR THE EPICENTER SHOULD BE MADE AWARE OF THIS
POSSIBILITY.
THIS WILL BE THE ONLY PRODUCT ISSUED BY THE PACIFIC TSUNAMI
WARNING CENTER FOR THIS EVENT UNLESS ADDITIONAL INFORMATION
BECOMES AVAILABLE.
Saturday, July 13, 2013
TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm SOULIK
NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 13 Jul, 2013 12:00 GMT (Final Warning)
Tropical Storm SOULIK (07W) currently located near 26.8 N 119.1 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
China
probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% currently
probability for TS is 100% currently
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Fu'an (27.1 N, 119.7 E)
probability for TS is 95% currently
Fuzhou (26.1 N, 119.3 E)
probability for TS is 95% currently
Putian (25.6 N, 119.0 E)
probability for TS is 70% currently
Quzhou (29.0 N, 119.0 E)
probability for TS is 60% within 12 hours
Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Wenzhou (27.5 N, 120.5 E)
probability for TS is 50% currently
Note that
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
Tropical Storm SOULIK (07W) currently located near 26.8 N 119.1 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
China
probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% currently
probability for TS is 100% currently
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Fu'an (27.1 N, 119.7 E)
probability for TS is 95% currently
Fuzhou (26.1 N, 119.3 E)
probability for TS is 95% currently
Putian (25.6 N, 119.0 E)
probability for TS is 70% currently
Quzhou (29.0 N, 119.0 E)
probability for TS is 60% within 12 hours
Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Wenzhou (27.5 N, 120.5 E)
probability for TS is 50% currently
Note that
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
TSR Storm Alert - Typhoon SOULIK
NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 13 Jul, 2013 6:00 GMT
Typhoon SOULIK (07W) currently located near 25.8 N 120.1 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
China
probability for CAT 1 or above is 100% currently
probability for TS is 100% currently
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Fuzhou (26.1 N, 119.3 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 100% within 12 hours
probability for TS is 100% currently
Fu'an (27.1 N, 119.7 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 65% within 12 hours
probability for TS is 100% currently
Putian (25.6 N, 119.0 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 40% within 12 hours
probability for TS is 100% currently
Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Taiwan
probability for TS is 100% currently
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Jinhua (29.2 N, 120.0 E)
probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
Quzhou (29.0 N, 119.0 E)
probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
Wenling (28.4 N, 121.4 E)
probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
Wenzhou (27.5 N, 120.5 E)
probability for TS is 100% currently
Taipei (25.0 N, 121.5 E)
probability for TS is 100% currently
T'aichung (24.1 N, 120.7 E)
probability for TS is 100% currently
Quanzhou (25.0 N, 118.5 E)
probability for TS is 95% currently
Wuhu (31.5 N, 118.5 E)
probability for TS is 85% in about 24 hours
Hangzhou (30.3 N, 120.2 E)
probability for TS is 75% in about 24 hours
Nanjing (32.0 N, 118.8 E)
probability for TS is 70% in about 24 hours
Hefei (32.0 N, 117.0 E)
probability for TS is 70% in about 24 hours
Zhangzhou (24.5 N, 117.8 E)
probability for TS is 55% within 12 hours
Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Ningbo (29.7 N, 121.5 E)
probability for TS is 50% in about 24 hours
Nanchang (28.7 N, 115.9 E)
probability for TS is 50% in about 24 hours
Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
Typhoon SOULIK (07W) currently located near 25.8 N 120.1 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
China
probability for CAT 1 or above is 100% currently
probability for TS is 100% currently
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Fuzhou (26.1 N, 119.3 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 100% within 12 hours
probability for TS is 100% currently
Fu'an (27.1 N, 119.7 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 65% within 12 hours
probability for TS is 100% currently
Putian (25.6 N, 119.0 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 40% within 12 hours
probability for TS is 100% currently
Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Taiwan
probability for TS is 100% currently
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Jinhua (29.2 N, 120.0 E)
probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
Quzhou (29.0 N, 119.0 E)
probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
Wenling (28.4 N, 121.4 E)
probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
Wenzhou (27.5 N, 120.5 E)
probability for TS is 100% currently
Taipei (25.0 N, 121.5 E)
probability for TS is 100% currently
T'aichung (24.1 N, 120.7 E)
probability for TS is 100% currently
Quanzhou (25.0 N, 118.5 E)
probability for TS is 95% currently
Wuhu (31.5 N, 118.5 E)
probability for TS is 85% in about 24 hours
Hangzhou (30.3 N, 120.2 E)
probability for TS is 75% in about 24 hours
Nanjing (32.0 N, 118.8 E)
probability for TS is 70% in about 24 hours
Hefei (32.0 N, 117.0 E)
probability for TS is 70% in about 24 hours
Zhangzhou (24.5 N, 117.8 E)
probability for TS is 55% within 12 hours
Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Ningbo (29.7 N, 121.5 E)
probability for TS is 50% in about 24 hours
Nanchang (28.7 N, 115.9 E)
probability for TS is 50% in about 24 hours
Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
Friday, July 12, 2013
TSR Storm Alert - Typhoon SOULIK
NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 13 Jul, 2013 0:00 GMT
Typhoon SOULIK (07W) currently located near 24.7 N 120.8 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Taiwan
probability for CAT 1 or above is 100% currently
probability for TS is 100% currently
China
probability for CAT 1 or above is 80% within 12 hours
probability for TS is 100% currently
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Taipei (25.0 N, 121.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 100% currently
probability for TS is 100% currently
T'aichung (24.1 N, 120.7 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 100% currently
probability for TS is 100% currently
Fuzhou (26.1 N, 119.3 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 55% within 12 hours
probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
Putian (25.6 N, 119.0 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 55% within 12 hours
probability for TS is 100% currently
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Fu'an (27.1 N, 119.7 E)
probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
Quanzhou (25.0 N, 118.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% within 12 hours
probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
Wenzhou (27.5 N, 120.5 E)
probability for TS is 95% within 12 hours
Quzhou (29.0 N, 119.0 E)
probability for TS is 85% in about 24 hours
Kao-hsiung (22.6 N, 120.3 E)
probability for TS is 80% currently
Zhangzhou (24.5 N, 117.8 E)
probability for TS is 60% within 12 hours
Jinhua (29.2 N, 120.0 E)
probability for TS is 60% in about 24 hours
Nanchang (28.7 N, 115.9 E)
probability for TS is 55% in about 24 hours
Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Wenling (28.4 N, 121.4 E)
probability for TS is 45% in about 24 hours
Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
Typhoon SOULIK (07W) currently located near 24.7 N 120.8 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Taiwan
probability for CAT 1 or above is 100% currently
probability for TS is 100% currently
China
probability for CAT 1 or above is 80% within 12 hours
probability for TS is 100% currently
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Taipei (25.0 N, 121.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 100% currently
probability for TS is 100% currently
T'aichung (24.1 N, 120.7 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 100% currently
probability for TS is 100% currently
Fuzhou (26.1 N, 119.3 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 55% within 12 hours
probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
Putian (25.6 N, 119.0 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 55% within 12 hours
probability for TS is 100% currently
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Fu'an (27.1 N, 119.7 E)
probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
Quanzhou (25.0 N, 118.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% within 12 hours
probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
Wenzhou (27.5 N, 120.5 E)
probability for TS is 95% within 12 hours
Quzhou (29.0 N, 119.0 E)
probability for TS is 85% in about 24 hours
Kao-hsiung (22.6 N, 120.3 E)
probability for TS is 80% currently
Zhangzhou (24.5 N, 117.8 E)
probability for TS is 60% within 12 hours
Jinhua (29.2 N, 120.0 E)
probability for TS is 60% in about 24 hours
Nanchang (28.7 N, 115.9 E)
probability for TS is 55% in about 24 hours
Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Wenling (28.4 N, 121.4 E)
probability for TS is 45% in about 24 hours
Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
TSR Storm Alert - Typhoon SOULIK
NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 12 Jul, 2013 18:00 GMT
Typhoon SOULIK (07W) currently located near 24.8 N 122.3 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Taiwan
probability for CAT 1 or above is 100% currently
probability for TS is 100% currently
China
probability for CAT 1 or above is 90% within 12 hours
probability for TS is 100% currently
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Taipei (25.0 N, 121.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 100% within 12 hours
probability for TS is 100% currently
Fuzhou (26.1 N, 119.3 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 90% within 12 hours
probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
Putian (25.6 N, 119.0 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 60% within 12 hours
probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
Fu'an (27.1 N, 119.7 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 40% within 12 hours
probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Wenzhou (27.5 N, 120.5 E)
probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
T'aichung (24.1 N, 120.7 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% within 12 hours
probability for TS is 100% currently
Jinhua (29.2 N, 120.0 E)
probability for TS is 95% in about 24 hours
Wenling (28.4 N, 121.4 E)
probability for TS is 95% in about 24 hours
Quzhou (29.0 N, 119.0 E)
probability for TS is 95% in about 24 hours
Quanzhou (25.0 N, 118.5 E)
probability for TS is 80% within 12 hours
Nanchang (28.7 N, 115.9 E)
probability for TS is 75% in about 36 hours
Hefei (32.0 N, 117.0 E)
probability for TS is 70% in about 36 hours
Hangzhou (30.3 N, 120.2 E)
probability for TS is 65% in about 36 hours
Wuhu (31.5 N, 118.5 E)
probability for TS is 65% in about 36 hours
Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Ningbo (29.7 N, 121.5 E)
probability for TS is 50% in about 36 hours
Nanjing (32.0 N, 118.8 E)
probability for TS is 50% in about 36 hours
Kao-hsiung (22.6 N, 120.3 E)
probability for TS is 40% within 12 hours
Wuhan (30.6 N, 114.3 E)
probability for TS is 40% in about 36 hours
Zhangzhou (24.5 N, 117.8 E)
probability for TS is 35% within 12 hours
Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
Typhoon SOULIK (07W) currently located near 24.8 N 122.3 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Taiwan
probability for CAT 1 or above is 100% currently
probability for TS is 100% currently
China
probability for CAT 1 or above is 90% within 12 hours
probability for TS is 100% currently
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Taipei (25.0 N, 121.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 100% within 12 hours
probability for TS is 100% currently
Fuzhou (26.1 N, 119.3 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 90% within 12 hours
probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
Putian (25.6 N, 119.0 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 60% within 12 hours
probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
Fu'an (27.1 N, 119.7 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 40% within 12 hours
probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Wenzhou (27.5 N, 120.5 E)
probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
T'aichung (24.1 N, 120.7 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% within 12 hours
probability for TS is 100% currently
Jinhua (29.2 N, 120.0 E)
probability for TS is 95% in about 24 hours
Wenling (28.4 N, 121.4 E)
probability for TS is 95% in about 24 hours
Quzhou (29.0 N, 119.0 E)
probability for TS is 95% in about 24 hours
Quanzhou (25.0 N, 118.5 E)
probability for TS is 80% within 12 hours
Nanchang (28.7 N, 115.9 E)
probability for TS is 75% in about 36 hours
Hefei (32.0 N, 117.0 E)
probability for TS is 70% in about 36 hours
Hangzhou (30.3 N, 120.2 E)
probability for TS is 65% in about 36 hours
Wuhu (31.5 N, 118.5 E)
probability for TS is 65% in about 36 hours
Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Ningbo (29.7 N, 121.5 E)
probability for TS is 50% in about 36 hours
Nanjing (32.0 N, 118.8 E)
probability for TS is 50% in about 36 hours
Kao-hsiung (22.6 N, 120.3 E)
probability for TS is 40% within 12 hours
Wuhan (30.6 N, 114.3 E)
probability for TS is 40% in about 36 hours
Zhangzhou (24.5 N, 117.8 E)
probability for TS is 35% within 12 hours
Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
TSR Storm Alert - Typhoon SOULIK
NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 12 Jul, 2013 12:00 GMT
Typhoon SOULIK (07W) currently located near 23.8 N 123.8 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Taiwan
probability for CAT 1 or above is 95% within 12 hours
probability for TS is 100% currently
China
probability for CAT 1 or above is 45% in about 24 hours
probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Taipei (25.0 N, 121.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 90% within 12 hours
probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
T'aichung (24.1 N, 120.7 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 45% within 12 hours
probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Wenzhou (27.5 N, 120.5 E)
probability for TS is 95% in about 24 hours
Fu'an (27.1 N, 119.7 E)
probability for TS is 95% in about 24 hours
Fuzhou (26.1 N, 119.3 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% in about 24 hours
probability for TS is 95% in about 24 hours
Putian (25.6 N, 119.0 E)
probability for TS is 95% in about 24 hours
Quanzhou (25.0 N, 118.5 E)
probability for TS is 85% in about 24 hours
Quzhou (29.0 N, 119.0 E)
probability for TS is 70% in about 36 hours
Jinhua (29.2 N, 120.0 E)
probability for TS is 65% in about 48 hours
Wenling (28.4 N, 121.4 E)
probability for TS is 65% in about 36 hours
Kao-hsiung (22.6 N, 120.3 E)
probability for TS is 55% within 12 hours
Nanchang (28.7 N, 115.9 E)
probability for TS is 55% in about 36 hours
Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Zhangzhou (24.5 N, 117.8 E)
probability for TS is 50% in about 24 hours
Hefei (32.0 N, 117.0 E)
probability for TS is 45% in about 48 hours
Wuhu (31.5 N, 118.5 E)
probability for TS is 40% in about 48 hours
Hangzhou (30.3 N, 120.2 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 72 hours
Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
Typhoon SOULIK (07W) currently located near 23.8 N 123.8 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Taiwan
probability for CAT 1 or above is 95% within 12 hours
probability for TS is 100% currently
China
probability for CAT 1 or above is 45% in about 24 hours
probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Taipei (25.0 N, 121.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 90% within 12 hours
probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
T'aichung (24.1 N, 120.7 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 45% within 12 hours
probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Wenzhou (27.5 N, 120.5 E)
probability for TS is 95% in about 24 hours
Fu'an (27.1 N, 119.7 E)
probability for TS is 95% in about 24 hours
Fuzhou (26.1 N, 119.3 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% in about 24 hours
probability for TS is 95% in about 24 hours
Putian (25.6 N, 119.0 E)
probability for TS is 95% in about 24 hours
Quanzhou (25.0 N, 118.5 E)
probability for TS is 85% in about 24 hours
Quzhou (29.0 N, 119.0 E)
probability for TS is 70% in about 36 hours
Jinhua (29.2 N, 120.0 E)
probability for TS is 65% in about 48 hours
Wenling (28.4 N, 121.4 E)
probability for TS is 65% in about 36 hours
Kao-hsiung (22.6 N, 120.3 E)
probability for TS is 55% within 12 hours
Nanchang (28.7 N, 115.9 E)
probability for TS is 55% in about 36 hours
Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Zhangzhou (24.5 N, 117.8 E)
probability for TS is 50% in about 24 hours
Hefei (32.0 N, 117.0 E)
probability for TS is 45% in about 48 hours
Wuhu (31.5 N, 118.5 E)
probability for TS is 40% in about 48 hours
Hangzhou (30.3 N, 120.2 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 72 hours
Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
TSR Storm Alert - Typhoon SOULIK
NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 12 Jul, 2013 6:00 GMT
Typhoon SOULIK (07W) currently located near 23.2 N 124.9 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Taiwan
probability for CAT 1 or above is 90% within 12 hours
probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
China
probability for CAT 1 or above is 65% in about 24 hours
probability for TS is 100% in about 24 hours
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Taipei (25.0 N, 121.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 85% in about 24 hours
probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
T'aichung (24.1 N, 120.7 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 65% in about 24 hours
probability for TS is 100% in about 24 hours
Fuzhou (26.1 N, 119.3 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 55% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 100% in about 24 hours
Putian (25.6 N, 119.0 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 45% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 95% in about 24 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Fu'an (27.1 N, 119.7 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 90% in about 24 hours
Wenzhou (27.5 N, 120.5 E)
probability for TS is 85% in about 24 hours
Quanzhou (25.0 N, 118.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 85% in about 24 hours
Kao-hsiung (22.6 N, 120.3 E)
probability for TS is 70% in about 24 hours
Quzhou (29.0 N, 119.0 E)
probability for TS is 65% in about 36 hours
Zhangzhou (24.5 N, 117.8 E)
probability for TS is 65% in about 36 hours
Wenling (28.4 N, 121.4 E)
probability for TS is 55% in about 36 hours
Jinhua (29.2 N, 120.0 E)
probability for TS is 55% in about 48 hours
Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Nanchang (28.7 N, 115.9 E)
probability for TS is 50% in about 48 hours
Yunxiao (23.9 N, 117.2 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 36 hours
Hefei (32.0 N, 117.0 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 48 hours
Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
Typhoon SOULIK (07W) currently located near 23.2 N 124.9 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Taiwan
probability for CAT 1 or above is 90% within 12 hours
probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
China
probability for CAT 1 or above is 65% in about 24 hours
probability for TS is 100% in about 24 hours
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Taipei (25.0 N, 121.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 85% in about 24 hours
probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
T'aichung (24.1 N, 120.7 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 65% in about 24 hours
probability for TS is 100% in about 24 hours
Fuzhou (26.1 N, 119.3 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 55% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 100% in about 24 hours
Putian (25.6 N, 119.0 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 45% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 95% in about 24 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Fu'an (27.1 N, 119.7 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 90% in about 24 hours
Wenzhou (27.5 N, 120.5 E)
probability for TS is 85% in about 24 hours
Quanzhou (25.0 N, 118.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 85% in about 24 hours
Kao-hsiung (22.6 N, 120.3 E)
probability for TS is 70% in about 24 hours
Quzhou (29.0 N, 119.0 E)
probability for TS is 65% in about 36 hours
Zhangzhou (24.5 N, 117.8 E)
probability for TS is 65% in about 36 hours
Wenling (28.4 N, 121.4 E)
probability for TS is 55% in about 36 hours
Jinhua (29.2 N, 120.0 E)
probability for TS is 55% in about 48 hours
Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Nanchang (28.7 N, 115.9 E)
probability for TS is 50% in about 48 hours
Yunxiao (23.9 N, 117.2 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 36 hours
Hefei (32.0 N, 117.0 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 48 hours
Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
Thursday, July 11, 2013
TSR Storm Alert - Typhoon SOULIK
NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 12 Jul, 2013 0:00 GMT
Typhoon SOULIK (07W) currently located near 22.7 N 125.9 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Taiwan
probability for CAT 1 or above is 85% in about 24 hours
probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
China
probability for CAT 1 or above is 55% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 95% in about 24 hours
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Taipei (25.0 N, 121.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 80% in about 24 hours
probability for TS is 100% in about 24 hours
T'aichung (24.1 N, 120.7 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 70% in about 24 hours
probability for TS is 100% in about 24 hours
Fuzhou (26.1 N, 119.3 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 40% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 85% in about 24 hours
Putian (25.6 N, 119.0 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 35% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 85% in about 24 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Wenzhou (27.5 N, 120.5 E)
probability for TS is 80% in about 36 hours
Fu'an (27.1 N, 119.7 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 80% in about 36 hours
Quanzhou (25.0 N, 118.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 80% in about 36 hours
Kao-hsiung (22.6 N, 120.3 E)
probability for TS is 70% in about 24 hours
Zhangzhou (24.5 N, 117.8 E)
probability for TS is 65% in about 36 hours
Quzhou (29.0 N, 119.0 E)
probability for TS is 55% in about 48 hours
Nanchang (28.7 N, 115.9 E)
probability for TS is 55% in about 48 hours
Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Wenling (28.4 N, 121.4 E)
probability for TS is 50% in about 48 hours
Jinhua (29.2 N, 120.0 E)
probability for TS is 45% in about 48 hours
Yunxiao (23.9 N, 117.2 E)
probability for TS is 40% in about 36 hours
Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
Typhoon SOULIK (07W) currently located near 22.7 N 125.9 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Taiwan
probability for CAT 1 or above is 85% in about 24 hours
probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
China
probability for CAT 1 or above is 55% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 95% in about 24 hours
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Taipei (25.0 N, 121.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 80% in about 24 hours
probability for TS is 100% in about 24 hours
T'aichung (24.1 N, 120.7 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 70% in about 24 hours
probability for TS is 100% in about 24 hours
Fuzhou (26.1 N, 119.3 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 40% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 85% in about 24 hours
Putian (25.6 N, 119.0 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 35% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 85% in about 24 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Wenzhou (27.5 N, 120.5 E)
probability for TS is 80% in about 36 hours
Fu'an (27.1 N, 119.7 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 80% in about 36 hours
Quanzhou (25.0 N, 118.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 80% in about 36 hours
Kao-hsiung (22.6 N, 120.3 E)
probability for TS is 70% in about 24 hours
Zhangzhou (24.5 N, 117.8 E)
probability for TS is 65% in about 36 hours
Quzhou (29.0 N, 119.0 E)
probability for TS is 55% in about 48 hours
Nanchang (28.7 N, 115.9 E)
probability for TS is 55% in about 48 hours
Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Wenling (28.4 N, 121.4 E)
probability for TS is 50% in about 48 hours
Jinhua (29.2 N, 120.0 E)
probability for TS is 45% in about 48 hours
Yunxiao (23.9 N, 117.2 E)
probability for TS is 40% in about 36 hours
Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
TSR Storm Alert - Typhoon SOULIK
NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 11 Jul, 2013 18:00 GMT
Typhoon SOULIK (07W) currently located near 22.5 N 126.9 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Taiwan
probability for CAT 1 or above is 85% in about 24 hours
probability for TS is 100% in about 24 hours
China
probability for CAT 1 or above is 60% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 80% in about 36 hours
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Taipei (25.0 N, 121.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 80% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 100% in about 24 hours
T'aichung (24.1 N, 120.7 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 65% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 95% in about 24 hours
Fuzhou (26.1 N, 119.3 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 50% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 80% in about 36 hours
Putian (25.6 N, 119.0 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 50% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 80% in about 36 hours
Fu'an (27.1 N, 119.7 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 40% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 80% in about 36 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Quanzhou (25.0 N, 118.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 75% in about 36 hours
Kao-hsiung (22.6 N, 120.3 E)
probability for TS is 70% in about 24 hours
Wenzhou (27.5 N, 120.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 70% in about 36 hours
Zhangzhou (24.5 N, 117.8 E)
probability for TS is 55% in about 36 hours
Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Quzhou (29.0 N, 119.0 E)
probability for TS is 50% in about 48 hours
Nanchang (28.7 N, 115.9 E)
probability for TS is 50% in about 48 hours
Jinhua (29.2 N, 120.0 E)
probability for TS is 40% in about 48 hours
Wenling (28.4 N, 121.4 E)
probability for TS is 40% in about 36 hours
Yunxiao (23.9 N, 117.2 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 36 hours
Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
Typhoon SOULIK (07W) currently located near 22.5 N 126.9 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Taiwan
probability for CAT 1 or above is 85% in about 24 hours
probability for TS is 100% in about 24 hours
China
probability for CAT 1 or above is 60% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 80% in about 36 hours
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Taipei (25.0 N, 121.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 80% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 100% in about 24 hours
T'aichung (24.1 N, 120.7 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 65% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 95% in about 24 hours
Fuzhou (26.1 N, 119.3 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 50% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 80% in about 36 hours
Putian (25.6 N, 119.0 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 50% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 80% in about 36 hours
Fu'an (27.1 N, 119.7 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 40% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 80% in about 36 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Quanzhou (25.0 N, 118.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 75% in about 36 hours
Kao-hsiung (22.6 N, 120.3 E)
probability for TS is 70% in about 24 hours
Wenzhou (27.5 N, 120.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 70% in about 36 hours
Zhangzhou (24.5 N, 117.8 E)
probability for TS is 55% in about 36 hours
Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Quzhou (29.0 N, 119.0 E)
probability for TS is 50% in about 48 hours
Nanchang (28.7 N, 115.9 E)
probability for TS is 50% in about 48 hours
Jinhua (29.2 N, 120.0 E)
probability for TS is 40% in about 48 hours
Wenling (28.4 N, 121.4 E)
probability for TS is 40% in about 36 hours
Yunxiao (23.9 N, 117.2 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 36 hours
Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
TSR Storm Alert - Typhoon SOULIK
NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 11 Jul, 2013 12:00 GMT
Typhoon SOULIK (07W) currently located near 22.4 N 128.4 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Taiwan
probability for CAT 1 or above is 70% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 95% in about 24 hours
China
probability for CAT 1 or above is 45% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 85% in about 36 hours
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Taipei (25.0 N, 121.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 65% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 90% in about 36 hours
T'aichung (24.1 N, 120.7 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 45% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 90% in about 36 hours
Fuzhou (26.1 N, 119.3 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 40% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 80% in about 36 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Fu'an (27.1 N, 119.7 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 75% in about 36 hours
Putian (25.6 N, 119.0 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 75% in about 48 hours
Wenzhou (27.5 N, 120.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 70% in about 36 hours
Quanzhou (25.0 N, 118.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 65% in about 48 hours
Kao-hsiung (22.6 N, 120.3 E)
probability for TS is 60% in about 36 hours
Wenling (28.4 N, 121.4 E)
probability for TS is 55% in about 72 hours
Quzhou (29.0 N, 119.0 E)
probability for TS is 55% in about 48 hours
Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Zhangzhou (24.5 N, 117.8 E)
probability for TS is 50% in about 48 hours
Jinhua (29.2 N, 120.0 E)
probability for TS is 50% in about 72 hours
Yunxiao (23.9 N, 117.2 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 48 hours
Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
Typhoon SOULIK (07W) currently located near 22.4 N 128.4 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Taiwan
probability for CAT 1 or above is 70% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 95% in about 24 hours
China
probability for CAT 1 or above is 45% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 85% in about 36 hours
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Taipei (25.0 N, 121.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 65% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 90% in about 36 hours
T'aichung (24.1 N, 120.7 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 45% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 90% in about 36 hours
Fuzhou (26.1 N, 119.3 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 40% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 80% in about 36 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Fu'an (27.1 N, 119.7 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 75% in about 36 hours
Putian (25.6 N, 119.0 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 75% in about 48 hours
Wenzhou (27.5 N, 120.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 70% in about 36 hours
Quanzhou (25.0 N, 118.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 65% in about 48 hours
Kao-hsiung (22.6 N, 120.3 E)
probability for TS is 60% in about 36 hours
Wenling (28.4 N, 121.4 E)
probability for TS is 55% in about 72 hours
Quzhou (29.0 N, 119.0 E)
probability for TS is 55% in about 48 hours
Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Zhangzhou (24.5 N, 117.8 E)
probability for TS is 50% in about 48 hours
Jinhua (29.2 N, 120.0 E)
probability for TS is 50% in about 72 hours
Yunxiao (23.9 N, 117.2 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 48 hours
Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
TSR Storm Alert - Typhoon SOULIK
NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 11 Jul, 2013 6:00 GMT
Typhoon SOULIK (07W) currently located near 22.3 N 129.7 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Taiwan
probability for CAT 1 or above is 60% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 90% in about 36 hours
China
probability for CAT 1 or above is 40% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 80% in about 48 hours
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Taipei (25.0 N, 121.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 60% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 90% in about 36 hours
T'aichung (24.1 N, 120.7 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 40% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 80% in about 48 hours
Fuzhou (26.1 N, 119.3 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 40% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 75% in about 48 hours
Fu'an (27.1 N, 119.7 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 35% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 75% in about 48 hours
Putian (25.6 N, 119.0 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 35% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 75% in about 48 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Wenzhou (27.5 N, 120.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 75% in about 48 hours
Quanzhou (25.0 N, 118.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 65% in about 48 hours
Kao-hsiung (22.6 N, 120.3 E)
probability for TS is 55% in about 48 hours
Wenling (28.4 N, 121.4 E)
probability for TS is 55% in about 48 hours
Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Jinhua (29.2 N, 120.0 E)
probability for TS is 45% in about 48 hours
Quzhou (29.0 N, 119.0 E)
probability for TS is 45% in about 48 hours
Zhangzhou (24.5 N, 117.8 E)
probability for TS is 45% in about 48 hours
Hangzhou (30.3 N, 120.2 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 72 hours
Ningbo (29.7 N, 121.5 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 72 hours
Hefei (32.0 N, 117.0 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 72 hours
Wuhu (31.5 N, 118.5 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 72 hours
Nanchang (28.7 N, 115.9 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 72 hours
Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
Typhoon SOULIK (07W) currently located near 22.3 N 129.7 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Taiwan
probability for CAT 1 or above is 60% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 90% in about 36 hours
China
probability for CAT 1 or above is 40% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 80% in about 48 hours
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Taipei (25.0 N, 121.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 60% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 90% in about 36 hours
T'aichung (24.1 N, 120.7 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 40% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 80% in about 48 hours
Fuzhou (26.1 N, 119.3 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 40% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 75% in about 48 hours
Fu'an (27.1 N, 119.7 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 35% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 75% in about 48 hours
Putian (25.6 N, 119.0 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 35% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 75% in about 48 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Wenzhou (27.5 N, 120.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 75% in about 48 hours
Quanzhou (25.0 N, 118.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 65% in about 48 hours
Kao-hsiung (22.6 N, 120.3 E)
probability for TS is 55% in about 48 hours
Wenling (28.4 N, 121.4 E)
probability for TS is 55% in about 48 hours
Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Jinhua (29.2 N, 120.0 E)
probability for TS is 45% in about 48 hours
Quzhou (29.0 N, 119.0 E)
probability for TS is 45% in about 48 hours
Zhangzhou (24.5 N, 117.8 E)
probability for TS is 45% in about 48 hours
Hangzhou (30.3 N, 120.2 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 72 hours
Ningbo (29.7 N, 121.5 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 72 hours
Hefei (32.0 N, 117.0 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 72 hours
Wuhu (31.5 N, 118.5 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 72 hours
Nanchang (28.7 N, 115.9 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 72 hours
Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
Wednesday, July 10, 2013
TSR Storm Alert - Typhoon SOULIK
NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 11 Jul, 2013 0:00 GMT
Typhoon SOULIK (07W) currently located near 22.1 N 131.0 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Taiwan
probability for CAT 1 or above is 50% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 80% in about 48 hours
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Taipei (25.0 N, 121.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 45% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 80% in about 48 hours
Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
China
probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 75% in about 48 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
T'aichung (24.1 N, 120.7 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 75% in about 48 hours
Fuzhou (26.1 N, 119.3 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 65% in about 48 hours
Putian (25.6 N, 119.0 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 65% in about 72 hours
Wenzhou (27.5 N, 120.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 60% in about 48 hours
Fu'an (27.1 N, 119.7 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 60% in about 48 hours
Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Quanzhou (25.0 N, 118.5 E)
probability for TS is 50% in about 48 hours
Kao-hsiung (22.6 N, 120.3 E)
probability for TS is 50% in about 48 hours
Wenling (28.4 N, 121.4 E)
probability for TS is 45% in about 48 hours
Zhangzhou (24.5 N, 117.8 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 72 hours
Hangzhou (30.3 N, 120.2 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 96 hours
Jinhua (29.2 N, 120.0 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 72 hours
Quzhou (29.0 N, 119.0 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 72 hours
Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html
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This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
Typhoon SOULIK (07W) currently located near 22.1 N 131.0 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Taiwan
probability for CAT 1 or above is 50% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 80% in about 48 hours
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Taipei (25.0 N, 121.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 45% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 80% in about 48 hours
Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
China
probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 75% in about 48 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
T'aichung (24.1 N, 120.7 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 75% in about 48 hours
Fuzhou (26.1 N, 119.3 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 65% in about 48 hours
Putian (25.6 N, 119.0 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 65% in about 72 hours
Wenzhou (27.5 N, 120.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 60% in about 48 hours
Fu'an (27.1 N, 119.7 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 60% in about 48 hours
Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Quanzhou (25.0 N, 118.5 E)
probability for TS is 50% in about 48 hours
Kao-hsiung (22.6 N, 120.3 E)
probability for TS is 50% in about 48 hours
Wenling (28.4 N, 121.4 E)
probability for TS is 45% in about 48 hours
Zhangzhou (24.5 N, 117.8 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 72 hours
Hangzhou (30.3 N, 120.2 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 96 hours
Jinhua (29.2 N, 120.0 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 72 hours
Quzhou (29.0 N, 119.0 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 72 hours
Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
TSR Storm Alert - Typhoon SOULIK
NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 10 Jul, 2013 18:00 GMT
Typhoon SOULIK (07W) currently located near 22.0 N 132.2 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Taiwan
probability for CAT 1 or above is 45% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 80% in about 48 hours
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Taipei (25.0 N, 121.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 45% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 80% in about 48 hours
Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
China
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 60% in about 48 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
T'aichung (24.1 N, 120.7 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 75% in about 48 hours
Kao-hsiung (22.6 N, 120.3 E)
probability for TS is 55% in about 48 hours
Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Wenzhou (27.5 N, 120.5 E)
probability for TS is 45% in about 48 hours
Fuzhou (26.1 N, 119.3 E)
probability for TS is 45% in about 48 hours
Putian (25.6 N, 119.0 E)
probability for TS is 45% in about 48 hours
Fu'an (27.1 N, 119.7 E)
probability for TS is 40% in about 48 hours
Wenling (28.4 N, 121.4 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 72 hours
Jinhua (29.2 N, 120.0 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 72 hours
Quzhou (29.0 N, 119.0 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 72 hours
Quanzhou (25.0 N, 118.5 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 72 hours
Zhangzhou (24.5 N, 117.8 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 72 hours
Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
Typhoon SOULIK (07W) currently located near 22.0 N 132.2 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Taiwan
probability for CAT 1 or above is 45% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 80% in about 48 hours
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Taipei (25.0 N, 121.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 45% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 80% in about 48 hours
Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
China
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 60% in about 48 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
T'aichung (24.1 N, 120.7 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 75% in about 48 hours
Kao-hsiung (22.6 N, 120.3 E)
probability for TS is 55% in about 48 hours
Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Wenzhou (27.5 N, 120.5 E)
probability for TS is 45% in about 48 hours
Fuzhou (26.1 N, 119.3 E)
probability for TS is 45% in about 48 hours
Putian (25.6 N, 119.0 E)
probability for TS is 45% in about 48 hours
Fu'an (27.1 N, 119.7 E)
probability for TS is 40% in about 48 hours
Wenling (28.4 N, 121.4 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 72 hours
Jinhua (29.2 N, 120.0 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 72 hours
Quzhou (29.0 N, 119.0 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 72 hours
Quanzhou (25.0 N, 118.5 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 72 hours
Zhangzhou (24.5 N, 117.8 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 72 hours
Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
TSR Storm Alert - Typhoon SOULIK
NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 10 Jul, 2013 12:00 GMT
Typhoon SOULIK (07W) currently located near 21.8 N 133.5 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Taiwan
probability for CAT 1 or above is 50% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 80% in about 72 hours
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Taipei (25.0 N, 121.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 45% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 75% in about 72 hours
Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
China
probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 35% in about 48 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
T'aichung (24.1 N, 120.7 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 60% in about 48 hours
Fu'an (27.1 N, 119.7 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 35% in about 72 hours
Fuzhou (26.1 N, 119.3 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 35% in about 72 hours
Wenzhou (27.5 N, 120.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 35% in about 72 hours
Putian (25.6 N, 119.0 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 35% in about 72 hours
Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Okinawa (26.3 N, 127.8 E)
probability for TS is 45% in about 36 hours
Kao-hsiung (22.6 N, 120.3 E)
probability for TS is 40% in about 48 hours
Quzhou (29.0 N, 119.0 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 72 hours
Wenling (28.4 N, 121.4 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 72 hours
Quanzhou (25.0 N, 118.5 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 72 hours
Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
Typhoon SOULIK (07W) currently located near 21.8 N 133.5 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Taiwan
probability for CAT 1 or above is 50% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 80% in about 72 hours
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Taipei (25.0 N, 121.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 45% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 75% in about 72 hours
Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
China
probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 35% in about 48 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
T'aichung (24.1 N, 120.7 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 60% in about 48 hours
Fu'an (27.1 N, 119.7 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 35% in about 72 hours
Fuzhou (26.1 N, 119.3 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 35% in about 72 hours
Wenzhou (27.5 N, 120.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 35% in about 72 hours
Putian (25.6 N, 119.0 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 35% in about 72 hours
Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Okinawa (26.3 N, 127.8 E)
probability for TS is 45% in about 36 hours
Kao-hsiung (22.6 N, 120.3 E)
probability for TS is 40% in about 48 hours
Quzhou (29.0 N, 119.0 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 72 hours
Wenling (28.4 N, 121.4 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 72 hours
Quanzhou (25.0 N, 118.5 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 72 hours
Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
TSR Storm Alert - Typhoon SOULIK
NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 10 Jul, 2013 6:00 GMT
Typhoon SOULIK (07W) currently located near 21.4 N 134.6 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Taiwan
probability for CAT 1 or above is 45% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 55% in about 48 hours
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Taipei (25.0 N, 121.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 45% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 50% in about 72 hours
Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
China
probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 50% in about 72 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Fuzhou (26.1 N, 119.3 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 50% in about 72 hours
Putian (25.6 N, 119.0 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 50% in about 72 hours
T'aichung (24.1 N, 120.7 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 50% in about 72 hours
Fu'an (27.1 N, 119.7 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 50% in about 72 hours
Quanzhou (25.0 N, 118.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 45% in about 72 hours
Wenzhou (27.5 N, 120.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 45% in about 72 hours
Zhangzhou (24.5 N, 117.8 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 40% in about 72 hours
Kao-hsiung (22.6 N, 120.3 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 45% in about 72 hours
Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Okinawa (26.3 N, 127.8 E)
probability for TS is 40% in about 36 hours
Wenling (28.4 N, 121.4 E)
probability for TS is 40% in about 72 hours
Quzhou (29.0 N, 119.0 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 72 hours
Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
Typhoon SOULIK (07W) currently located near 21.4 N 134.6 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Taiwan
probability for CAT 1 or above is 45% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 55% in about 48 hours
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Taipei (25.0 N, 121.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 45% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 50% in about 72 hours
Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
China
probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 50% in about 72 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Fuzhou (26.1 N, 119.3 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 50% in about 72 hours
Putian (25.6 N, 119.0 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 50% in about 72 hours
T'aichung (24.1 N, 120.7 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 50% in about 72 hours
Fu'an (27.1 N, 119.7 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 50% in about 72 hours
Quanzhou (25.0 N, 118.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 45% in about 72 hours
Wenzhou (27.5 N, 120.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 45% in about 72 hours
Zhangzhou (24.5 N, 117.8 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 40% in about 72 hours
Kao-hsiung (22.6 N, 120.3 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 45% in about 72 hours
Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Okinawa (26.3 N, 127.8 E)
probability for TS is 40% in about 36 hours
Wenling (28.4 N, 121.4 E)
probability for TS is 40% in about 72 hours
Quzhou (29.0 N, 119.0 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 72 hours
Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
Tuesday, July 9, 2013
TSR Storm Alert - Typhoon SOULIK
NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 10 Jul, 2013 0:00 GMT
Typhoon SOULIK (07W) currently located near 21.1 N 135.8 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Taiwan
probability for CAT 1 or above is 45% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 55% in about 72 hours
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Taipei (25.0 N, 121.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 45% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 55% in about 72 hours
Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
China
probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 55% in about 72 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Wenzhou (27.5 N, 120.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 55% in about 72 hours
Fu'an (27.1 N, 119.7 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 55% in about 72 hours
Fuzhou (26.1 N, 119.3 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 55% in about 72 hours
Putian (25.6 N, 119.0 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 55% in about 96 hours
T'aichung (24.1 N, 120.7 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 55% in about 72 hours
Wenling (28.4 N, 121.4 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 45% in about 72 hours
Quanzhou (25.0 N, 118.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 45% in about 72 hours
Kao-hsiung (22.6 N, 120.3 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 45% in about 72 hours
Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Okinawa (26.3 N, 127.8 E)
probability for TS is 40% in about 72 hours
Jinhua (29.2 N, 120.0 E)
probability for TS is 40% in about 72 hours
Quzhou (29.0 N, 119.0 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 72 hours
Zhangzhou (24.5 N, 117.8 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 72 hours
Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
Typhoon SOULIK (07W) currently located near 21.1 N 135.8 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Taiwan
probability for CAT 1 or above is 45% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 55% in about 72 hours
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Taipei (25.0 N, 121.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 45% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 55% in about 72 hours
Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
China
probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 55% in about 72 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Wenzhou (27.5 N, 120.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 55% in about 72 hours
Fu'an (27.1 N, 119.7 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 55% in about 72 hours
Fuzhou (26.1 N, 119.3 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 55% in about 72 hours
Putian (25.6 N, 119.0 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 55% in about 96 hours
T'aichung (24.1 N, 120.7 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 55% in about 72 hours
Wenling (28.4 N, 121.4 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 45% in about 72 hours
Quanzhou (25.0 N, 118.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 45% in about 72 hours
Kao-hsiung (22.6 N, 120.3 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 45% in about 72 hours
Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Okinawa (26.3 N, 127.8 E)
probability for TS is 40% in about 72 hours
Jinhua (29.2 N, 120.0 E)
probability for TS is 40% in about 72 hours
Quzhou (29.0 N, 119.0 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 72 hours
Zhangzhou (24.5 N, 117.8 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 72 hours
Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
TSR Storm Alert - Typhoon SOULIK
NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 9 Jul, 2013 18:00 GMT
Typhoon SOULIK (07W) currently located near 20.6 N 137.2 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Taiwan
probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 60% in about 72 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Taipei (25.0 N, 121.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 60% in about 72 hours
T'aichung (24.1 N, 120.7 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 55% in about 72 hours
Green Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
China
probability for TS is 45% in about 96 hours
Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Okinawa (26.3 N, 127.8 E)
probability for TS is 50% in about 72 hours
Kao-hsiung (22.6 N, 120.3 E)
probability for TS is 40% in about 72 hours
Wenzhou (27.5 N, 120.5 E)
probability for TS is 40% in about 72 hours
Wenling (28.4 N, 121.4 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 72 hours
Fu'an (27.1 N, 119.7 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 72 hours
Fuzhou (26.1 N, 119.3 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 72 hours
Putian (25.6 N, 119.0 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 72 hours
Note that
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
Typhoon SOULIK (07W) currently located near 20.6 N 137.2 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Taiwan
probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 60% in about 72 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Taipei (25.0 N, 121.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 60% in about 72 hours
T'aichung (24.1 N, 120.7 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 55% in about 72 hours
Green Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
China
probability for TS is 45% in about 96 hours
Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Okinawa (26.3 N, 127.8 E)
probability for TS is 50% in about 72 hours
Kao-hsiung (22.6 N, 120.3 E)
probability for TS is 40% in about 72 hours
Wenzhou (27.5 N, 120.5 E)
probability for TS is 40% in about 72 hours
Wenling (28.4 N, 121.4 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 72 hours
Fu'an (27.1 N, 119.7 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 72 hours
Fuzhou (26.1 N, 119.3 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 72 hours
Putian (25.6 N, 119.0 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 72 hours
Note that
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
TSR Storm Alert - Typhoon SOULIK
NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 9 Jul, 2013 12:00 GMT
Typhoon SOULIK (07W) currently located near 20.3 N 138.1 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Taiwan
probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 45% in about 72 hours
China
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 25% in about 72 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Taipei (25.0 N, 121.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 40% in about 72 hours
T'aichung (24.1 N, 120.7 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 30% in about 72 hours
Hangzhou (30.3 N, 120.2 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
probability for TS is 25% in about 96 hours
Ningbo (29.7 N, 121.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 25% in about 96 hours
Jinhua (29.2 N, 120.0 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 25% in about 96 hours
Quzhou (29.0 N, 119.0 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 25% in about 96 hours
Wenling (28.4 N, 121.4 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 25% in about 96 hours
Wenzhou (27.5 N, 120.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 25% in about 96 hours
Fu'an (27.1 N, 119.7 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 25% in about 96 hours
Fuzhou (26.1 N, 119.3 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 25% in about 96 hours
Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Okinawa (26.3 N, 127.8 E)
probability for TS is 45% in about 72 hours
Note that
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
Typhoon SOULIK (07W) currently located near 20.3 N 138.1 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Taiwan
probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 45% in about 72 hours
China
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 25% in about 72 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Taipei (25.0 N, 121.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 40% in about 72 hours
T'aichung (24.1 N, 120.7 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 30% in about 72 hours
Hangzhou (30.3 N, 120.2 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
probability for TS is 25% in about 96 hours
Ningbo (29.7 N, 121.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 25% in about 96 hours
Jinhua (29.2 N, 120.0 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 25% in about 96 hours
Quzhou (29.0 N, 119.0 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 25% in about 96 hours
Wenling (28.4 N, 121.4 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 25% in about 96 hours
Wenzhou (27.5 N, 120.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 25% in about 96 hours
Fu'an (27.1 N, 119.7 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 25% in about 96 hours
Fuzhou (26.1 N, 119.3 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 25% in about 96 hours
Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Okinawa (26.3 N, 127.8 E)
probability for TS is 45% in about 72 hours
Note that
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
TSR Storm Alert - Typhoon SOULIK
NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 9 Jul, 2013 6:00 GMT
Typhoon SOULIK (07W) currently located near 19.9 N 139.4 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Taiwan
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 35% in about 96 hours
China
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 25% in about 96 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Taipei (25.0 N, 121.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 30% in about 96 hours
Wenling (28.4 N, 121.4 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 25% in about 96 hours
Wenzhou (27.5 N, 120.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 25% in about 96 hours
Okinawa (26.3 N, 127.8 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 45% in about 72 hours
Ningbo (29.7 N, 121.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 25% in about 96 hours
Jinhua (29.2 N, 120.0 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 25% in about 96 hours
Fu'an (27.1 N, 119.7 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 25% in about 96 hours
Fuzhou (26.1 N, 119.3 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 25% in about 96 hours
Note that
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
Typhoon SOULIK (07W) currently located near 19.9 N 139.4 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Taiwan
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 35% in about 96 hours
China
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 25% in about 96 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Taipei (25.0 N, 121.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 30% in about 96 hours
Wenling (28.4 N, 121.4 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 25% in about 96 hours
Wenzhou (27.5 N, 120.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 25% in about 96 hours
Okinawa (26.3 N, 127.8 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 45% in about 72 hours
Ningbo (29.7 N, 121.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 25% in about 96 hours
Jinhua (29.2 N, 120.0 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 25% in about 96 hours
Fu'an (27.1 N, 119.7 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 25% in about 96 hours
Fuzhou (26.1 N, 119.3 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 25% in about 96 hours
Note that
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
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