NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 30 Sep, 2013 12:00 GMT
Tropical Depression TWENTY-TWO (22W) currently located near 13.7 N 132.6 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Okinawa (26.3 N, 127.8 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
probability for TS is 15% in about 96 hours
Note that
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
Monday, September 30, 2013
TSR Storm Alert - Typhoon WUTIP
NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 30 Sep, 2013 12:00 GMT (Final Warning)
Typhoon WUTIP (20W) currently located near 17.8 N 105.9 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Vietnam
probability for CAT 1 or above is 100% currently
probability for TS is 100% currently
Laos
probability for CAT 1 or above is 100% currently
probability for TS is 100% currently
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Dong Hoi (17.5 N, 106.6 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 50% currently
probability for TS is 100% currently
Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Thailand
probability for TS is 95% currently
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Vinh (18.7 N, 105.7 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% currently
probability for TS is 100% currently
Udon Thani (17.4 N, 102.8 E)
probability for TS is 75% within 12 hours
Dong Ha (16.8 N, 107.1 E)
probability for TS is 75% currently
Vientiane (18.0 N, 102.6 E)
probability for TS is 75% within 12 hours
Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Thanh Hoa (19.8 N, 105.8 E)
probability for TS is 50% within 12 hours
Khon Kaen (16.4 N, 102.8 E)
probability for TS is 50% within 12 hours
Yasothon (15.8 N, 104.2 E)
probability for TS is 35% within 12 hours
Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
Typhoon WUTIP (20W) currently located near 17.8 N 105.9 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Vietnam
probability for CAT 1 or above is 100% currently
probability for TS is 100% currently
Laos
probability for CAT 1 or above is 100% currently
probability for TS is 100% currently
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Dong Hoi (17.5 N, 106.6 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 50% currently
probability for TS is 100% currently
Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Thailand
probability for TS is 95% currently
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Vinh (18.7 N, 105.7 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% currently
probability for TS is 100% currently
Udon Thani (17.4 N, 102.8 E)
probability for TS is 75% within 12 hours
Dong Ha (16.8 N, 107.1 E)
probability for TS is 75% currently
Vientiane (18.0 N, 102.6 E)
probability for TS is 75% within 12 hours
Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Thanh Hoa (19.8 N, 105.8 E)
probability for TS is 50% within 12 hours
Khon Kaen (16.4 N, 102.8 E)
probability for TS is 50% within 12 hours
Yasothon (15.8 N, 104.2 E)
probability for TS is 35% within 12 hours
Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
TSR Storm Alert - Typhoon WUTIP
NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 30 Sep, 2013 6:00 GMT
Typhoon WUTIP (20W) currently located near 17.5 N 107.5 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Vietnam
probability for CAT 1 or above is 95% currently
probability for TS is 100% currently
Laos
probability for CAT 1 or above is 80% within 12 hours
probability for TS is 95% currently
Thailand
probability for CAT 1 or above is 45% within 12 hours
probability for TS is 85% within 12 hours
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Dong Hoi (17.5 N, 106.6 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 90% within 12 hours
probability for TS is 100% currently
Dong Ha (16.8 N, 107.1 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 50% currently
probability for TS is 100% currently
Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
China
probability for TS is 80% currently
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Vinh (18.7 N, 105.7 E)
probability for TS is 85% within 12 hours
Da Nang (16.1 N, 108.2 E)
probability for TS is 60% currently
Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Yaxian (18.4 N, 109.4 E)
probability for TS is 50% currently
Vientiane (18.0 N, 102.6 E)
probability for TS is 40% in about 24 hours
Udon Thani (17.4 N, 102.8 E)
probability for TS is 40% in about 24 hours
Khon Kaen (16.4 N, 102.8 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 24 hours
Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
Typhoon WUTIP (20W) currently located near 17.5 N 107.5 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Vietnam
probability for CAT 1 or above is 95% currently
probability for TS is 100% currently
Laos
probability for CAT 1 or above is 80% within 12 hours
probability for TS is 95% currently
Thailand
probability for CAT 1 or above is 45% within 12 hours
probability for TS is 85% within 12 hours
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Dong Hoi (17.5 N, 106.6 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 90% within 12 hours
probability for TS is 100% currently
Dong Ha (16.8 N, 107.1 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 50% currently
probability for TS is 100% currently
Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
China
probability for TS is 80% currently
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Vinh (18.7 N, 105.7 E)
probability for TS is 85% within 12 hours
Da Nang (16.1 N, 108.2 E)
probability for TS is 60% currently
Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Yaxian (18.4 N, 109.4 E)
probability for TS is 50% currently
Vientiane (18.0 N, 102.6 E)
probability for TS is 40% in about 24 hours
Udon Thani (17.4 N, 102.8 E)
probability for TS is 40% in about 24 hours
Khon Kaen (16.4 N, 102.8 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 24 hours
Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
[Tsunami Message - IOC] NWS-WCATWC Tsunami Information Statement
WEAK53 PAAQ 300606
TIBAK1
PUBLIC TSUNAMI INFORMATION STATEMENT NUMBER 1
NWS WEST COAST/ALASKA TSUNAMI WARNING CENTER PALMER AK
1106 PM PDT SUN SEP 29 2013
...THIS IS A TSUNAMI INFORMATION STATEMENT FOR ALASKA/ BRITISH
COLUMBIA/ WASHINGTON/ OREGON AND CALIFORNIA...
EVALUATION
----------
* THERE IS NO TSUNAMI DANGER FOR THE AREAS LISTED ABOVE.
* THIS EVALUATION IS BASED ON EARTHQUAKE INFORMATION AND
HISTORIC TSUNAMI RECORDS.
* AN EARTHQUAKE HAS OCCURRED WITH PARAMETERS LISTED BELOW.
PRELIMINARY EARTHQUAKE PARAMETERS
---------------------------------
* MAGNITUDE 6.7
* ORIGIN TIME 2156 AKDT SEP 29 2013
2256 PDT SEP 29 2013
0556 UTC SEP 30 2013
* COORDINATES 30.9 SOUTH 177.6 WEST
* DEPTH 21 MILES
* LOCATION KERMADEC ISLANDS NEW ZEALAND
NEXT UPDATE AND ADDITIONAL INFORMATION
--------------------------------------
* THIS WILL BE THE ONLY WCATWC MESSAGE FOR THIS EVENT
UNLESS ADDITIONAL INFORMATION BECOMES AVAILABLE.
* REFER TO THE INTERNET SITE WCATWC.ARH.NOAA.GOV FOR
ADDITIONAL INFORMATION.
* PACIFIC COASTAL REGIONS OUTSIDE CALIFORNIA... OREGON...
WASHINGTON... BRITISH COLUMBIA AND ALASKA SHOULD REFER TO THE
PACIFIC TSUNAMI WARNING CENTER MESSAGES AT PTWC.WEATHER.GOV.
$$
A Call for Teachers! Join us in celebrating
World Teachers' Day on 5 October 2013!
http://www.worldteachersday.org/map/main
http://www.unesco.org/new/en/world-teachers-day
TIBAK1
PUBLIC TSUNAMI INFORMATION STATEMENT NUMBER 1
NWS WEST COAST/ALASKA TSUNAMI WARNING CENTER PALMER AK
1106 PM PDT SUN SEP 29 2013
...THIS IS A TSUNAMI INFORMATION STATEMENT FOR ALASKA/ BRITISH
COLUMBIA/ WASHINGTON/ OREGON AND CALIFORNIA...
EVALUATION
----------
* THERE IS NO TSUNAMI DANGER FOR THE AREAS LISTED ABOVE.
* THIS EVALUATION IS BASED ON EARTHQUAKE INFORMATION AND
HISTORIC TSUNAMI RECORDS.
* AN EARTHQUAKE HAS OCCURRED WITH PARAMETERS LISTED BELOW.
PRELIMINARY EARTHQUAKE PARAMETERS
---------------------------------
* MAGNITUDE 6.7
* ORIGIN TIME 2156 AKDT SEP 29 2013
2256 PDT SEP 29 2013
0556 UTC SEP 30 2013
* COORDINATES 30.9 SOUTH 177.6 WEST
* DEPTH 21 MILES
* LOCATION KERMADEC ISLANDS NEW ZEALAND
NEXT UPDATE AND ADDITIONAL INFORMATION
--------------------------------------
* THIS WILL BE THE ONLY WCATWC MESSAGE FOR THIS EVENT
UNLESS ADDITIONAL INFORMATION BECOMES AVAILABLE.
* REFER TO THE INTERNET SITE WCATWC.ARH.NOAA.GOV FOR
ADDITIONAL INFORMATION.
* PACIFIC COASTAL REGIONS OUTSIDE CALIFORNIA... OREGON...
WASHINGTON... BRITISH COLUMBIA AND ALASKA SHOULD REFER TO THE
PACIFIC TSUNAMI WARNING CENTER MESSAGES AT PTWC.WEATHER.GOV.
$$
A Call for Teachers! Join us in celebrating
World Teachers' Day on 5 October 2013!
http://www.worldteachersday.org/map/main
http://www.unesco.org/new/en/world-teachers-day
[Tsunami Message - IOC] Tsunami Information Bulletin
TSUNAMI BULLETIN NUMBER 001
PACIFIC TSUNAMI WARNING CENTER/NOAA/NWS
ISSUED AT 0606Z 30 SEP 2013
THIS BULLETIN APPLIES TO AREAS WITHIN AND BORDERING THE PACIFIC
OCEAN AND ADJACENT SEAS...EXCEPT ALASKA...BRITISH COLUMBIA...
WASHINGTON...OREGON AND CALIFORNIA.
... TSUNAMI INFORMATION BULLETIN ...
THIS BULLETIN IS FOR INFORMATION ONLY.
THIS BULLETIN IS ISSUED AS ADVICE TO GOVERNMENT AGENCIES. ONLY
NATIONAL AND LOCAL GOVERNMENT AGENCIES HAVE THE AUTHORITY TO MAKE
DECISIONS REGARDING THE OFFICIAL STATE OF ALERT IN THEIR AREA AND
ANY ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN IN RESPONSE.
AN EARTHQUAKE HAS OCCURRED WITH THESE PRELIMINARY PARAMETERS
ORIGIN TIME - 0556Z 30 SEP 2013
COORDINATES - 30.9 SOUTH 177.6 WEST
DEPTH - 29 KM
LOCATION - KERMADEC ISLANDS NEW ZEALAND
MAGNITUDE - 6.7
EVALUATION
NO DESTRUCTIVE WIDESPREAD TSUNAMI THREAT EXISTS BASED ON
HISTORICAL EARTHQUAKE AND TSUNAMI DATA.
HOWEVER - EARTHQUAKES OF THIS SIZE SOMETIMES GENERATE LOCAL
TSUNAMIS THAT CAN BE DESTRUCTIVE ALONG COASTS LOCATED WITHIN
A HUNDRED KILOMETERS OF THE EARTHQUAKE EPICENTER. AUTHORITIES
IN THE REGION OF THE EPICENTER SHOULD BE AWARE OF THIS
POSSIBILITY AND TAKE APPROPRIATE ACTION.
THIS WILL BE THE ONLY BULLETIN ISSUED FOR THIS EVENT UNLESS
ADDITIONAL INFORMATION BECOMES AVAILABLE.
THE WEST COAST/ALASKA TSUNAMI WARNING CENTER WILL ISSUE PRODUCTS
FOR ALASKA...BRITISH COLUMBIA...WASHINGTON...OREGON...CALIFORNIA.
A Call for Teachers! Join us in celebrating
World Teachers' Day on 5 October 2013!
http://www.worldteachersday.org/map/main
http://www.unesco.org/new/en/world-teachers-day
PACIFIC TSUNAMI WARNING CENTER/NOAA/NWS
ISSUED AT 0606Z 30 SEP 2013
THIS BULLETIN APPLIES TO AREAS WITHIN AND BORDERING THE PACIFIC
OCEAN AND ADJACENT SEAS...EXCEPT ALASKA...BRITISH COLUMBIA...
WASHINGTON...OREGON AND CALIFORNIA.
... TSUNAMI INFORMATION BULLETIN ...
THIS BULLETIN IS FOR INFORMATION ONLY.
THIS BULLETIN IS ISSUED AS ADVICE TO GOVERNMENT AGENCIES. ONLY
NATIONAL AND LOCAL GOVERNMENT AGENCIES HAVE THE AUTHORITY TO MAKE
DECISIONS REGARDING THE OFFICIAL STATE OF ALERT IN THEIR AREA AND
ANY ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN IN RESPONSE.
AN EARTHQUAKE HAS OCCURRED WITH THESE PRELIMINARY PARAMETERS
ORIGIN TIME - 0556Z 30 SEP 2013
COORDINATES - 30.9 SOUTH 177.6 WEST
DEPTH - 29 KM
LOCATION - KERMADEC ISLANDS NEW ZEALAND
MAGNITUDE - 6.7
EVALUATION
NO DESTRUCTIVE WIDESPREAD TSUNAMI THREAT EXISTS BASED ON
HISTORICAL EARTHQUAKE AND TSUNAMI DATA.
HOWEVER - EARTHQUAKES OF THIS SIZE SOMETIMES GENERATE LOCAL
TSUNAMIS THAT CAN BE DESTRUCTIVE ALONG COASTS LOCATED WITHIN
A HUNDRED KILOMETERS OF THE EARTHQUAKE EPICENTER. AUTHORITIES
IN THE REGION OF THE EPICENTER SHOULD BE AWARE OF THIS
POSSIBILITY AND TAKE APPROPRIATE ACTION.
THIS WILL BE THE ONLY BULLETIN ISSUED FOR THIS EVENT UNLESS
ADDITIONAL INFORMATION BECOMES AVAILABLE.
THE WEST COAST/ALASKA TSUNAMI WARNING CENTER WILL ISSUE PRODUCTS
FOR ALASKA...BRITISH COLUMBIA...WASHINGTON...OREGON...CALIFORNIA.
A Call for Teachers! Join us in celebrating
World Teachers' Day on 5 October 2013!
http://www.worldteachersday.org/map/main
http://www.unesco.org/new/en/world-teachers-day
Sunday, September 29, 2013
TSR Storm Alert - Typhoon WUTIP
NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 30 Sep, 2013 0:00 GMT
Typhoon WUTIP (20W) currently located near 17.2 N 108.5 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Vietnam
probability for CAT 1 or above is 85% within 12 hours
probability for TS is 95% within 12 hours
Laos
probability for CAT 1 or above is 75% within 12 hours
probability for TS is 90% within 12 hours
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Dong Hoi (17.5 N, 106.6 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 80% within 12 hours
probability for TS is 90% within 12 hours
Dong Ha (16.8 N, 107.1 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 80% within 12 hours
probability for TS is 90% within 12 hours
Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
China
probability for TS is 90% currently
Thailand
probability for TS is 65% within 12 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Da Nang (16.1 N, 108.2 E)
probability for TS is 85% currently
Vinh (18.7 N, 105.7 E)
probability for TS is 80% within 12 hours
Yaxian (18.4 N, 109.4 E)
probability for TS is 80% currently
Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Udon Thani (17.4 N, 102.8 E)
probability for TS is 50% in about 24 hours
Vientiane (18.0 N, 102.6 E)
probability for TS is 50% in about 24 hours
Thanh Hoa (19.8 N, 105.8 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 24 hours
Khon Kaen (16.4 N, 102.8 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 24 hours
Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
Typhoon WUTIP (20W) currently located near 17.2 N 108.5 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Vietnam
probability for CAT 1 or above is 85% within 12 hours
probability for TS is 95% within 12 hours
Laos
probability for CAT 1 or above is 75% within 12 hours
probability for TS is 90% within 12 hours
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Dong Hoi (17.5 N, 106.6 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 80% within 12 hours
probability for TS is 90% within 12 hours
Dong Ha (16.8 N, 107.1 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 80% within 12 hours
probability for TS is 90% within 12 hours
Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
China
probability for TS is 90% currently
Thailand
probability for TS is 65% within 12 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Da Nang (16.1 N, 108.2 E)
probability for TS is 85% currently
Vinh (18.7 N, 105.7 E)
probability for TS is 80% within 12 hours
Yaxian (18.4 N, 109.4 E)
probability for TS is 80% currently
Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Udon Thani (17.4 N, 102.8 E)
probability for TS is 50% in about 24 hours
Vientiane (18.0 N, 102.6 E)
probability for TS is 50% in about 24 hours
Thanh Hoa (19.8 N, 105.8 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 24 hours
Khon Kaen (16.4 N, 102.8 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 24 hours
Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
TSR Storm Alert - Typhoon WUTIP
NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 29 Sep, 2013 18:00 GMT
Typhoon WUTIP (20W) currently located near 17.0 N 109.9 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Vietnam
probability for CAT 1 or above is 65% within 12 hours
probability for TS is 95% within 12 hours
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Dong Ha (16.8 N, 107.1 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 65% within 12 hours
probability for TS is 95% within 12 hours
Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
China
probability for TS is 95% within 12 hours
Laos
probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% within 12 hours
probability for TS is 85% within 12 hours
Thailand
probability for TS is 55% in about 24 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Yaxian (18.4 N, 109.4 E)
probability for TS is 90% within 12 hours
Dong Hoi (17.5 N, 106.6 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% in about 24 hours
probability for TS is 90% within 12 hours
Da Nang (16.1 N, 108.2 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% within 12 hours
probability for TS is 85% within 12 hours
Vinh (18.7 N, 105.7 E)
probability for TS is 55% in about 24 hours
Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Quang Ngai (15.1 N, 108.8 E)
probability for TS is 45% within 12 hours
Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
Typhoon WUTIP (20W) currently located near 17.0 N 109.9 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Vietnam
probability for CAT 1 or above is 65% within 12 hours
probability for TS is 95% within 12 hours
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Dong Ha (16.8 N, 107.1 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 65% within 12 hours
probability for TS is 95% within 12 hours
Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
China
probability for TS is 95% within 12 hours
Laos
probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% within 12 hours
probability for TS is 85% within 12 hours
Thailand
probability for TS is 55% in about 24 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Yaxian (18.4 N, 109.4 E)
probability for TS is 90% within 12 hours
Dong Hoi (17.5 N, 106.6 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% in about 24 hours
probability for TS is 90% within 12 hours
Da Nang (16.1 N, 108.2 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% within 12 hours
probability for TS is 85% within 12 hours
Vinh (18.7 N, 105.7 E)
probability for TS is 55% in about 24 hours
Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Quang Ngai (15.1 N, 108.8 E)
probability for TS is 45% within 12 hours
Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
TSR Storm Alert - Typhoon WUTIP
NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 29 Sep, 2013 12:00 GMT
Typhoon WUTIP (20W) currently located near 16.8 N 110.9 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Vietnam
probability for CAT 1 or above is 35% within 12 hours
probability for TS is 90% in about 24 hours
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Da Nang (16.1 N, 108.2 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 35% in about 24 hours
probability for TS is 85% within 12 hours
Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
China
probability for TS is 90% within 12 hours
Laos
probability for TS is 65% in about 24 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Yaxian (18.4 N, 109.4 E)
probability for TS is 80% within 12 hours
Dong Ha (16.8 N, 107.1 E)
probability for TS is 65% within 12 hours
Dong Hoi (17.5 N, 106.6 E)
probability for TS is 60% in about 24 hours
Quang Ngai (15.1 N, 108.8 E)
probability for TS is 55% within 12 hours
Vinh (18.7 N, 105.7 E)
probability for TS is 55% in about 36 hours
Green Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Thailand
probability for TS is 45% in about 24 hours
Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
Typhoon WUTIP (20W) currently located near 16.8 N 110.9 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Vietnam
probability for CAT 1 or above is 35% within 12 hours
probability for TS is 90% in about 24 hours
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Da Nang (16.1 N, 108.2 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 35% in about 24 hours
probability for TS is 85% within 12 hours
Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
China
probability for TS is 90% within 12 hours
Laos
probability for TS is 65% in about 24 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Yaxian (18.4 N, 109.4 E)
probability for TS is 80% within 12 hours
Dong Ha (16.8 N, 107.1 E)
probability for TS is 65% within 12 hours
Dong Hoi (17.5 N, 106.6 E)
probability for TS is 60% in about 24 hours
Quang Ngai (15.1 N, 108.8 E)
probability for TS is 55% within 12 hours
Vinh (18.7 N, 105.7 E)
probability for TS is 55% in about 36 hours
Green Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Thailand
probability for TS is 45% in about 24 hours
Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
TSR Storm Alert - Typhoon WUTIP
NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 29 Sep, 2013 6:00 GMT
Typhoon WUTIP (20W) currently located near 16.7 N 111.7 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Vietnam
probability for CAT 1 or above is 55% in about 24 hours
probability for TS is 85% in about 24 hours
Laos
probability for CAT 1 or above is 45% in about 24 hours
probability for TS is 80% in about 24 hours
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Dong Ha (16.8 N, 107.1 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 50% in about 24 hours
probability for TS is 85% in about 24 hours
Da Nang (16.1 N, 108.2 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 50% in about 24 hours
probability for TS is 85% in about 24 hours
Dong Hoi (17.5 N, 106.6 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 45% in about 24 hours
probability for TS is 80% in about 24 hours
Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
China
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 24 hours
probability for TS is 90% within 12 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Yaxian (18.4 N, 109.4 E)
probability for TS is 80% within 12 hours
Quang Ngai (15.1 N, 108.8 E)
probability for TS is 60% in about 24 hours
Vinh (18.7 N, 105.7 E)
probability for TS is 55% in about 24 hours
Green Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Thailand
probability for TS is 40% in about 36 hours
Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Qionghai (19.2 N, 110.5 E)
probability for TS is 35% within 12 hours
Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
Typhoon WUTIP (20W) currently located near 16.7 N 111.7 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Vietnam
probability for CAT 1 or above is 55% in about 24 hours
probability for TS is 85% in about 24 hours
Laos
probability for CAT 1 or above is 45% in about 24 hours
probability for TS is 80% in about 24 hours
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Dong Ha (16.8 N, 107.1 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 50% in about 24 hours
probability for TS is 85% in about 24 hours
Da Nang (16.1 N, 108.2 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 50% in about 24 hours
probability for TS is 85% in about 24 hours
Dong Hoi (17.5 N, 106.6 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 45% in about 24 hours
probability for TS is 80% in about 24 hours
Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
China
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 24 hours
probability for TS is 90% within 12 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Yaxian (18.4 N, 109.4 E)
probability for TS is 80% within 12 hours
Quang Ngai (15.1 N, 108.8 E)
probability for TS is 60% in about 24 hours
Vinh (18.7 N, 105.7 E)
probability for TS is 55% in about 24 hours
Green Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Thailand
probability for TS is 40% in about 36 hours
Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Qionghai (19.2 N, 110.5 E)
probability for TS is 35% within 12 hours
Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
Saturday, September 28, 2013
TSR Storm Alert - Typhoon WUTIP
NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 29 Sep, 2013 0:00 GMT
Typhoon WUTIP (20W) currently located near 16.7 N 112.4 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Vietnam
probability for CAT 1 or above is 55% in about 24 hours
probability for TS is 85% in about 24 hours
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Da Nang (16.1 N, 108.2 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 55% in about 24 hours
probability for TS is 85% in about 24 hours
Dong Ha (16.8 N, 107.1 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 45% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 80% in about 24 hours
Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
China
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 24 hours
probability for TS is 80% in about 24 hours
Laos
probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 75% in about 24 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Yaxian (18.4 N, 109.4 E)
probability for TS is 80% in about 24 hours
Quang Ngai (15.1 N, 108.8 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 24 hours
probability for TS is 70% in about 24 hours
Dong Hoi (17.5 N, 106.6 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 60% in about 24 hours
Green Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Thailand
probability for TS is 45% in about 36 hours
Cambodia
probability for TS is 35% in about 24 hours
Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Vinh (18.7 N, 105.7 E)
probability for TS is 45% in about 36 hours
Qionghai (19.2 N, 110.5 E)
probability for TS is 40% in about 24 hours
Kon Tum (14.4 N, 108.0 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 24 hours
Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
Typhoon WUTIP (20W) currently located near 16.7 N 112.4 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Vietnam
probability for CAT 1 or above is 55% in about 24 hours
probability for TS is 85% in about 24 hours
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Da Nang (16.1 N, 108.2 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 55% in about 24 hours
probability for TS is 85% in about 24 hours
Dong Ha (16.8 N, 107.1 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 45% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 80% in about 24 hours
Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
China
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 24 hours
probability for TS is 80% in about 24 hours
Laos
probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 75% in about 24 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Yaxian (18.4 N, 109.4 E)
probability for TS is 80% in about 24 hours
Quang Ngai (15.1 N, 108.8 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 24 hours
probability for TS is 70% in about 24 hours
Dong Hoi (17.5 N, 106.6 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 60% in about 24 hours
Green Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Thailand
probability for TS is 45% in about 36 hours
Cambodia
probability for TS is 35% in about 24 hours
Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Vinh (18.7 N, 105.7 E)
probability for TS is 45% in about 36 hours
Qionghai (19.2 N, 110.5 E)
probability for TS is 40% in about 24 hours
Kon Tum (14.4 N, 108.0 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 24 hours
Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
TSR Storm Alert - Typhoon WUTIP
NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 28 Sep, 2013 18:00 GMT
Typhoon WUTIP (20W) currently located near 16.8 N 113.1 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Vietnam
probability for CAT 1 or above is 45% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 70% in about 36 hours
Laos
probability for CAT 1 or above is 35% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 70% in about 36 hours
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Da Nang (16.1 N, 108.2 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 40% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 70% in about 36 hours
Dong Hoi (17.5 N, 106.6 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 35% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 65% in about 36 hours
Dong Ha (16.8 N, 107.1 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 35% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 70% in about 36 hours
Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
China
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 70% in about 36 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Quang Ngai (15.1 N, 108.8 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 65% in about 36 hours
Yaxian (18.4 N, 109.4 E)
probability for TS is 60% in about 24 hours
Green Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Thailand
probability for TS is 50% in about 48 hours
Cambodia
probability for TS is 45% in about 36 hours
Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Vinh (18.7 N, 105.7 E)
probability for TS is 40% in about 36 hours
Kon Tum (14.4 N, 108.0 E)
probability for TS is 40% in about 36 hours
Yasothon (15.8 N, 104.2 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 48 hours
Ubon Ratchathani (15.2 N, 104.9 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 48 hours
Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
Typhoon WUTIP (20W) currently located near 16.8 N 113.1 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Vietnam
probability for CAT 1 or above is 45% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 70% in about 36 hours
Laos
probability for CAT 1 or above is 35% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 70% in about 36 hours
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Da Nang (16.1 N, 108.2 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 40% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 70% in about 36 hours
Dong Hoi (17.5 N, 106.6 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 35% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 65% in about 36 hours
Dong Ha (16.8 N, 107.1 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 35% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 70% in about 36 hours
Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
China
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 70% in about 36 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Quang Ngai (15.1 N, 108.8 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 65% in about 36 hours
Yaxian (18.4 N, 109.4 E)
probability for TS is 60% in about 24 hours
Green Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Thailand
probability for TS is 50% in about 48 hours
Cambodia
probability for TS is 45% in about 36 hours
Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Vinh (18.7 N, 105.7 E)
probability for TS is 40% in about 36 hours
Kon Tum (14.4 N, 108.0 E)
probability for TS is 40% in about 36 hours
Yasothon (15.8 N, 104.2 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 48 hours
Ubon Ratchathani (15.2 N, 104.9 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 48 hours
Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
TSR Storm Alert - Typhoon WUTIP
NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 28 Sep, 2013 12:00 GMT
Typhoon WUTIP (20W) currently located near 16.8 N 113.9 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
China
probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 70% in about 36 hours
Vietnam
probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 65% in about 48 hours
Laos
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 50% in about 48 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Yaxian (18.4 N, 109.4 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 65% in about 36 hours
Da Nang (16.1 N, 108.2 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 60% in about 36 hours
Quang Ngai (15.1 N, 108.8 E)
probability for TS is 55% in about 48 hours
Dong Ha (16.8 N, 107.1 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 50% in about 48 hours
Dong Hoi (17.5 N, 106.6 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 50% in about 48 hours
Green Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Thailand
probability for TS is 40% in about 48 hours
Cambodia
probability for TS is 35% in about 48 hours
Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Vinh (18.7 N, 105.7 E)
probability for TS is 45% in about 48 hours
Qionghai (19.2 N, 110.5 E)
probability for TS is 40% in about 36 hours
Kon Tum (14.4 N, 108.0 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 48 hours
Note that
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
Typhoon WUTIP (20W) currently located near 16.8 N 113.9 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
China
probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 70% in about 36 hours
Vietnam
probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 65% in about 48 hours
Laos
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 50% in about 48 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Yaxian (18.4 N, 109.4 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 65% in about 36 hours
Da Nang (16.1 N, 108.2 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 60% in about 36 hours
Quang Ngai (15.1 N, 108.8 E)
probability for TS is 55% in about 48 hours
Dong Ha (16.8 N, 107.1 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 50% in about 48 hours
Dong Hoi (17.5 N, 106.6 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 50% in about 48 hours
Green Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Thailand
probability for TS is 40% in about 48 hours
Cambodia
probability for TS is 35% in about 48 hours
Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Vinh (18.7 N, 105.7 E)
probability for TS is 45% in about 48 hours
Qionghai (19.2 N, 110.5 E)
probability for TS is 40% in about 36 hours
Kon Tum (14.4 N, 108.0 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 48 hours
Note that
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm WUTIP
NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 28 Sep, 2013 6:00 GMT
Tropical Storm WUTIP (20W) currently located near 16.7 N 114.1 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
China
probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 60% in about 48 hours
Vietnam
probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 60% in about 48 hours
Laos
probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 60% in about 72 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Yaxian (18.4 N, 109.4 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 60% in about 48 hours
Da Nang (16.1 N, 108.2 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 60% in about 48 hours
Dong Ha (16.8 N, 107.1 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 60% in about 72 hours
Quang Ngai (15.1 N, 108.8 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 55% in about 48 hours
Dong Hoi (17.5 N, 106.6 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 55% in about 72 hours
Green Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Cambodia
probability for TS is 40% in about 48 hours
Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Qionghai (19.2 N, 110.5 E)
probability for TS is 40% in about 48 hours
Kon Tum (14.4 N, 108.0 E)
probability for TS is 40% in about 48 hours
Note that
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
Tropical Storm WUTIP (20W) currently located near 16.7 N 114.1 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
China
probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 60% in about 48 hours
Vietnam
probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 60% in about 48 hours
Laos
probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 60% in about 72 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Yaxian (18.4 N, 109.4 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 60% in about 48 hours
Da Nang (16.1 N, 108.2 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 60% in about 48 hours
Dong Ha (16.8 N, 107.1 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 60% in about 72 hours
Quang Ngai (15.1 N, 108.8 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 55% in about 48 hours
Dong Hoi (17.5 N, 106.6 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 55% in about 72 hours
Green Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Cambodia
probability for TS is 40% in about 48 hours
Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Qionghai (19.2 N, 110.5 E)
probability for TS is 40% in about 48 hours
Kon Tum (14.4 N, 108.0 E)
probability for TS is 40% in about 48 hours
Note that
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
Friday, September 27, 2013
TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm WUTIP
NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 28 Sep, 2013 0:00 GMT
Tropical Storm WUTIP (20W) currently located near 16.2 N 114.0 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Vietnam
probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 60% in about 48 hours
Laos
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 55% in about 72 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Da Nang (16.1 N, 108.2 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 60% in about 48 hours
Quang Ngai (15.1 N, 108.8 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 60% in about 48 hours
Green Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
China
probability for TS is 45% in about 48 hours
Cambodia
probability for TS is 45% in about 48 hours
Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Yaxian (18.4 N, 109.4 E)
probability for TS is 45% in about 72 hours
Qui Nhon (13.8 N, 109.2 E)
probability for TS is 45% in about 48 hours
Dong Ha (16.8 N, 107.1 E)
probability for TS is 45% in about 48 hours
Kon Tum (14.4 N, 108.0 E)
probability for TS is 45% in about 48 hours
Tuy Hoa (13.1 N, 109.3 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 48 hours
Note that
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
Tropical Storm WUTIP (20W) currently located near 16.2 N 114.0 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Vietnam
probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 60% in about 48 hours
Laos
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 55% in about 72 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Da Nang (16.1 N, 108.2 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 60% in about 48 hours
Quang Ngai (15.1 N, 108.8 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 60% in about 48 hours
Green Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
China
probability for TS is 45% in about 48 hours
Cambodia
probability for TS is 45% in about 48 hours
Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Yaxian (18.4 N, 109.4 E)
probability for TS is 45% in about 72 hours
Qui Nhon (13.8 N, 109.2 E)
probability for TS is 45% in about 48 hours
Dong Ha (16.8 N, 107.1 E)
probability for TS is 45% in about 48 hours
Kon Tum (14.4 N, 108.0 E)
probability for TS is 45% in about 48 hours
Tuy Hoa (13.1 N, 109.3 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 48 hours
Note that
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm WUTIP
NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 27 Sep, 2013 18:00 GMT
Tropical Storm WUTIP (20W) currently located near 16.9 N 114.2 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Vietnam
probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 60% in about 48 hours
China
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 50% in about 48 hours
Laos
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 50% in about 72 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Da Nang (16.1 N, 108.2 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 60% in about 72 hours
Quang Ngai (15.1 N, 108.8 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 55% in about 48 hours
Yaxian (18.4 N, 109.4 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 50% in about 48 hours
Green Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Cambodia
probability for TS is 35% in about 48 hours
Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Dong Ha (16.8 N, 107.1 E)
probability for TS is 45% in about 48 hours
Qui Nhon (13.8 N, 109.2 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 48 hours
Dong Hoi (17.5 N, 106.6 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 72 hours
Kon Tum (14.4 N, 108.0 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 48 hours
Note that
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
Tropical Storm WUTIP (20W) currently located near 16.9 N 114.2 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Vietnam
probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 60% in about 48 hours
China
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 50% in about 48 hours
Laos
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 50% in about 72 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Da Nang (16.1 N, 108.2 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 60% in about 72 hours
Quang Ngai (15.1 N, 108.8 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 55% in about 48 hours
Yaxian (18.4 N, 109.4 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 50% in about 48 hours
Green Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Cambodia
probability for TS is 35% in about 48 hours
Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Dong Ha (16.8 N, 107.1 E)
probability for TS is 45% in about 48 hours
Qui Nhon (13.8 N, 109.2 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 48 hours
Dong Hoi (17.5 N, 106.6 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 72 hours
Kon Tum (14.4 N, 108.0 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 48 hours
Note that
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm TWENTY
NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 27 Sep, 2013 6:00 GMT
Tropical Storm TWENTY (20W) currently located near 16.9 N 116.4 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
China
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 30% in about 72 hours
Vietnam
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 25% in about 72 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Yaxian (18.4 N, 109.4 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 30% in about 72 hours
Qionghai (19.2 N, 110.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 25% in about 72 hours
Da Nang (16.1 N, 108.2 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 25% in about 72 hours
Note that
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
Tropical Storm TWENTY (20W) currently located near 16.9 N 116.4 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
China
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 30% in about 72 hours
Vietnam
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 25% in about 72 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Yaxian (18.4 N, 109.4 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 30% in about 72 hours
Qionghai (19.2 N, 110.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 25% in about 72 hours
Da Nang (16.1 N, 108.2 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 25% in about 72 hours
Note that
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
Thursday, September 26, 2013
TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Depression TWENTY
NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 27 Sep, 2013 0:00 GMT
Tropical Depression TWENTY (20W) currently located near 15.5 N 117.0 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
China
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 30% in about 72 hours
Vietnam
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 30% in about 72 hours
Laos
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 25% in about 96 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Yaxian (18.4 N, 109.4 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 25% in about 72 hours
Quang Ngai (15.1 N, 108.8 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 30% in about 96 hours
Dong Hoi (17.5 N, 106.6 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 25% in about 96 hours
Dong Ha (16.8 N, 107.1 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 25% in about 96 hours
Da Nang (16.1 N, 108.2 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 25% in about 96 hours
Note that
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
Tropical Depression TWENTY (20W) currently located near 15.5 N 117.0 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
China
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 30% in about 72 hours
Vietnam
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 30% in about 72 hours
Laos
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 25% in about 96 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Yaxian (18.4 N, 109.4 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 25% in about 72 hours
Quang Ngai (15.1 N, 108.8 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 30% in about 96 hours
Dong Hoi (17.5 N, 106.6 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 25% in about 96 hours
Dong Ha (16.8 N, 107.1 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 25% in about 96 hours
Da Nang (16.1 N, 108.2 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 25% in about 96 hours
Note that
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Depression TWENTY
NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 26 Sep, 2013 18:00 GMT
Tropical Depression TWENTY (20W) currently located near 15.0 N 117.0 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Vietnam
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 25% in about 96 hours
Laos
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 20% in about 96 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Dong Ha (16.8 N, 107.1 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
probability for TS is 20% in about 96 hours
Da Nang (16.1 N, 108.2 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 20% in about 96 hours
Quang Ngai (15.1 N, 108.8 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 20% in about 72 hours
Note that
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
Tropical Depression TWENTY (20W) currently located near 15.0 N 117.0 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Vietnam
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 25% in about 96 hours
Laos
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 20% in about 96 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Dong Ha (16.8 N, 107.1 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
probability for TS is 20% in about 96 hours
Da Nang (16.1 N, 108.2 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 20% in about 96 hours
Quang Ngai (15.1 N, 108.8 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 20% in about 72 hours
Note that
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
Wednesday, September 25, 2013
[Tsunami Message - IOC] NWS-WCATWC Tsunami Information Statement
WEAK53 PAAQ 251714
TIBAK1
PUBLIC TSUNAMI INFORMATION STATEMENT NUMBER 2
NWS WEST COAST/ALASKA TSUNAMI WARNING CENTER PALMER AK
1014 AM PDT WED SEP 25 2013
UPDATES IN THIS MESSAGE INCLUDE A REVISED MAGNITUDE.
THERE IS STILL NO TSUNAMI THREAT FOR THE AREAS LISTED BELOW.
...THIS IS A TSUNAMI INFORMATION STATEMENT FOR ALASKA/ BRITISH
COLUMBIA/ WASHINGTON/ OREGON AND CALIFORNIA...
EVALUATION
----------
* NO TSUNAMI THREAT EXISTS FOR THE AREAS LISTED ABOVE.
* SOME OF THE AREAS LISTED ABOVE MAY EXPERIENCE NON-DAMAGING
SEA LEVEL CHANGES.
* SEA LEVEL OBSERVATIONS INDICATE A WIDESPREAD DESTRUCTIVE
TSUNAMI WAS NOT GENERATED.
PRELIMINARY EARTHQUAKE PARAMETERS - UPDATED
-------------------------------------------
* MAGNITUDE 7.2
* ORIGIN TIME 0843 AKDT SEP 25 2013
0943 PDT SEP 25 2013
1643 UTC SEP 25 2013
* COORDINATES 15.8 SOUTH 74.5 WEST
* DEPTH 12 MILES
* LOCATION NEAR COAST OF PERU
NEXT UPDATE AND ADDITIONAL INFORMATION
--------------------------------------
* THIS WILL BE THE FINAL WCATWC MESSAGE FOR THIS EVENT
UNLESS ADDITIONAL INFORMATION BECOMES AVAILABLE.
* REFER TO THE INTERNET SITE WCATWC.ARH.NOAA.GOV FOR
ADDITIONAL INFORMATION.
* PACIFIC COASTAL REGIONS OUTSIDE CALIFORNIA... OREGON...
WASHINGTON... BRITISH COLUMBIA AND ALASKA SHOULD REFER TO THE
PACIFIC TSUNAMI WARNING CENTER MESSAGES AT PTWC.WEATHER.GOV.
$$
A Call for Teachers! Join us in celebrating
World Teachers' Day on 5 October 2013!
http://www.worldteachersday.org/map/main
http://www.unesco.org/new/en/world-teachers-day
TIBAK1
PUBLIC TSUNAMI INFORMATION STATEMENT NUMBER 2
NWS WEST COAST/ALASKA TSUNAMI WARNING CENTER PALMER AK
1014 AM PDT WED SEP 25 2013
UPDATES IN THIS MESSAGE INCLUDE A REVISED MAGNITUDE.
THERE IS STILL NO TSUNAMI THREAT FOR THE AREAS LISTED BELOW.
...THIS IS A TSUNAMI INFORMATION STATEMENT FOR ALASKA/ BRITISH
COLUMBIA/ WASHINGTON/ OREGON AND CALIFORNIA...
EVALUATION
----------
* NO TSUNAMI THREAT EXISTS FOR THE AREAS LISTED ABOVE.
* SOME OF THE AREAS LISTED ABOVE MAY EXPERIENCE NON-DAMAGING
SEA LEVEL CHANGES.
* SEA LEVEL OBSERVATIONS INDICATE A WIDESPREAD DESTRUCTIVE
TSUNAMI WAS NOT GENERATED.
PRELIMINARY EARTHQUAKE PARAMETERS - UPDATED
-------------------------------------------
* MAGNITUDE 7.2
* ORIGIN TIME 0843 AKDT SEP 25 2013
0943 PDT SEP 25 2013
1643 UTC SEP 25 2013
* COORDINATES 15.8 SOUTH 74.5 WEST
* DEPTH 12 MILES
* LOCATION NEAR COAST OF PERU
NEXT UPDATE AND ADDITIONAL INFORMATION
--------------------------------------
* THIS WILL BE THE FINAL WCATWC MESSAGE FOR THIS EVENT
UNLESS ADDITIONAL INFORMATION BECOMES AVAILABLE.
* REFER TO THE INTERNET SITE WCATWC.ARH.NOAA.GOV FOR
ADDITIONAL INFORMATION.
* PACIFIC COASTAL REGIONS OUTSIDE CALIFORNIA... OREGON...
WASHINGTON... BRITISH COLUMBIA AND ALASKA SHOULD REFER TO THE
PACIFIC TSUNAMI WARNING CENTER MESSAGES AT PTWC.WEATHER.GOV.
$$
A Call for Teachers! Join us in celebrating
World Teachers' Day on 5 October 2013!
http://www.worldteachersday.org/map/main
http://www.unesco.org/new/en/world-teachers-day
[Tsunami Message - IOC] Tsunami Information Bulletin
TSUNAMI BULLETIN NUMBER 002
PACIFIC TSUNAMI WARNING CENTER/NOAA/NWS
ISSUED AT 1711Z 25 SEP 2013
THIS BULLETIN APPLIES TO AREAS WITHIN AND BORDERING THE PACIFIC
OCEAN AND ADJACENT SEAS...EXCEPT ALASKA...BRITISH COLUMBIA...
WASHINGTON...OREGON AND CALIFORNIA.
... TSUNAMI INFORMATION BULLETIN ...
NOTE THE UPDATED EARTHQUAKE MAGNITUDE.
THIS BULLETIN IS FOR INFORMATION ONLY.
THIS BULLETIN IS ISSUED AS ADVICE TO GOVERNMENT AGENCIES. ONLY
NATIONAL AND LOCAL GOVERNMENT AGENCIES HAVE THE AUTHORITY TO MAKE
DECISIONS REGARDING THE OFFICIAL STATE OF ALERT IN THEIR AREA AND
ANY ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN IN RESPONSE.
AN EARTHQUAKE HAS OCCURRED WITH THESE PRELIMINARY PARAMETERS
ORIGIN TIME - 1643Z 25 SEP 2013
COORDINATES - 15.8 SOUTH 74.5 WEST
DEPTH - 20 KM
LOCATION - NEAR THE COAST OF CENTRAL PERU
MAGNITUDE - 7.2
EVALUATION
NO DESTRUCTIVE WIDESPREAD TSUNAMI THREAT EXISTS BASED ON
HISTORICAL EARTHQUAKE AND TSUNAMI DATA.
HOWEVER - EARTHQUAKES OF THIS SIZE SOMETIMES GENERATE LOCAL
TSUNAMIS THAT CAN BE DESTRUCTIVE ALONG COASTS LOCATED WITHIN
A HUNDRED KILOMETERS OF THE EARTHQUAKE EPICENTER. AUTHORITIES
IN THE REGION OF THE EPICENTER SHOULD BE AWARE OF THIS
POSSIBILITY AND TAKE APPROPRIATE ACTION.
THIS WILL BE THE ONLY BULLETIN ISSUED FOR THIS EVENT UNLESS
ADDITIONAL INFORMATION BECOMES AVAILABLE.
THE WEST COAST/ALASKA TSUNAMI WARNING CENTER WILL ISSUE PRODUCTS
FOR ALASKA...BRITISH COLUMBIA...WASHINGTON...OREGON...CALIFORNIA.
A Call for Teachers! Join us in celebrating
World Teachers' Day on 5 October 2013!
http://www.worldteachersday.org/map/main
http://www.unesco.org/new/en/world-teachers-day
PACIFIC TSUNAMI WARNING CENTER/NOAA/NWS
ISSUED AT 1711Z 25 SEP 2013
THIS BULLETIN APPLIES TO AREAS WITHIN AND BORDERING THE PACIFIC
OCEAN AND ADJACENT SEAS...EXCEPT ALASKA...BRITISH COLUMBIA...
WASHINGTON...OREGON AND CALIFORNIA.
... TSUNAMI INFORMATION BULLETIN ...
NOTE THE UPDATED EARTHQUAKE MAGNITUDE.
THIS BULLETIN IS FOR INFORMATION ONLY.
THIS BULLETIN IS ISSUED AS ADVICE TO GOVERNMENT AGENCIES. ONLY
NATIONAL AND LOCAL GOVERNMENT AGENCIES HAVE THE AUTHORITY TO MAKE
DECISIONS REGARDING THE OFFICIAL STATE OF ALERT IN THEIR AREA AND
ANY ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN IN RESPONSE.
AN EARTHQUAKE HAS OCCURRED WITH THESE PRELIMINARY PARAMETERS
ORIGIN TIME - 1643Z 25 SEP 2013
COORDINATES - 15.8 SOUTH 74.5 WEST
DEPTH - 20 KM
LOCATION - NEAR THE COAST OF CENTRAL PERU
MAGNITUDE - 7.2
EVALUATION
NO DESTRUCTIVE WIDESPREAD TSUNAMI THREAT EXISTS BASED ON
HISTORICAL EARTHQUAKE AND TSUNAMI DATA.
HOWEVER - EARTHQUAKES OF THIS SIZE SOMETIMES GENERATE LOCAL
TSUNAMIS THAT CAN BE DESTRUCTIVE ALONG COASTS LOCATED WITHIN
A HUNDRED KILOMETERS OF THE EARTHQUAKE EPICENTER. AUTHORITIES
IN THE REGION OF THE EPICENTER SHOULD BE AWARE OF THIS
POSSIBILITY AND TAKE APPROPRIATE ACTION.
THIS WILL BE THE ONLY BULLETIN ISSUED FOR THIS EVENT UNLESS
ADDITIONAL INFORMATION BECOMES AVAILABLE.
THE WEST COAST/ALASKA TSUNAMI WARNING CENTER WILL ISSUE PRODUCTS
FOR ALASKA...BRITISH COLUMBIA...WASHINGTON...OREGON...CALIFORNIA.
A Call for Teachers! Join us in celebrating
World Teachers' Day on 5 October 2013!
http://www.worldteachersday.org/map/main
http://www.unesco.org/new/en/world-teachers-day
[Tsunami Message - IOC] NWS-WCATWC Tsunami Information Statement
WEAK53 PAAQ 251649
TIBAK1
PUBLIC TSUNAMI INFORMATION STATEMENT NUMBER 1
NWS WEST COAST/ALASKA TSUNAMI WARNING CENTER PALMER AK
949 AM PDT WED SEP 25 2013
...THIS IS A TSUNAMI INFORMATION STATEMENT FOR ALASKA/ BRITISH
COLUMBIA/ WASHINGTON/ OREGON AND CALIFORNIA...
EVALUATION
----------
* THERE IS NO TSUNAMI DANGER FOR THE AREAS LISTED ABOVE.
* THIS EVALUATION IS BASED ON EARTHQUAKE INFORMATION AND
HISTORIC TSUNAMI RECORDS.
* AN EARTHQUAKE HAS OCCURRED WITH PARAMETERS LISTED BELOW.
PRELIMINARY EARTHQUAKE PARAMETERS
---------------------------------
* MAGNITUDE 6.8
* ORIGIN TIME 0843 AKDT SEP 25 2013
0943 PDT SEP 25 2013
1643 UTC SEP 25 2013
* COORDINATES 16.1 SOUTH 74.9 WEST
* DEPTH 21 MILES
* LOCATION NEAR COAST OF PERU
NEXT UPDATE AND ADDITIONAL INFORMATION
--------------------------------------
* THIS WILL BE THE ONLY WCATWC MESSAGE FOR THIS EVENT
UNLESS ADDITIONAL INFORMATION BECOMES AVAILABLE.
* REFER TO THE INTERNET SITE WCATWC.ARH.NOAA.GOV FOR
ADDITIONAL INFORMATION.
* PACIFIC COASTAL REGIONS OUTSIDE CALIFORNIA... OREGON...
WASHINGTON... BRITISH COLUMBIA AND ALASKA SHOULD REFER TO THE
PACIFIC TSUNAMI WARNING CENTER MESSAGES AT PTWC.WEATHER.GOV.
$$
A Call for Teachers! Join us in celebrating
World Teachers' Day on 5 October 2013!
http://www.worldteachersday.org/map/main
http://www.unesco.org/new/en/world-teachers-day
TIBAK1
PUBLIC TSUNAMI INFORMATION STATEMENT NUMBER 1
NWS WEST COAST/ALASKA TSUNAMI WARNING CENTER PALMER AK
949 AM PDT WED SEP 25 2013
...THIS IS A TSUNAMI INFORMATION STATEMENT FOR ALASKA/ BRITISH
COLUMBIA/ WASHINGTON/ OREGON AND CALIFORNIA...
EVALUATION
----------
* THERE IS NO TSUNAMI DANGER FOR THE AREAS LISTED ABOVE.
* THIS EVALUATION IS BASED ON EARTHQUAKE INFORMATION AND
HISTORIC TSUNAMI RECORDS.
* AN EARTHQUAKE HAS OCCURRED WITH PARAMETERS LISTED BELOW.
PRELIMINARY EARTHQUAKE PARAMETERS
---------------------------------
* MAGNITUDE 6.8
* ORIGIN TIME 0843 AKDT SEP 25 2013
0943 PDT SEP 25 2013
1643 UTC SEP 25 2013
* COORDINATES 16.1 SOUTH 74.9 WEST
* DEPTH 21 MILES
* LOCATION NEAR COAST OF PERU
NEXT UPDATE AND ADDITIONAL INFORMATION
--------------------------------------
* THIS WILL BE THE ONLY WCATWC MESSAGE FOR THIS EVENT
UNLESS ADDITIONAL INFORMATION BECOMES AVAILABLE.
* REFER TO THE INTERNET SITE WCATWC.ARH.NOAA.GOV FOR
ADDITIONAL INFORMATION.
* PACIFIC COASTAL REGIONS OUTSIDE CALIFORNIA... OREGON...
WASHINGTON... BRITISH COLUMBIA AND ALASKA SHOULD REFER TO THE
PACIFIC TSUNAMI WARNING CENTER MESSAGES AT PTWC.WEATHER.GOV.
$$
A Call for Teachers! Join us in celebrating
World Teachers' Day on 5 October 2013!
http://www.worldteachersday.org/map/main
http://www.unesco.org/new/en/world-teachers-day
[Tsunami Message - IOC] Tsunami Information Bulletin
TSUNAMI BULLETIN NUMBER 001
PACIFIC TSUNAMI WARNING CENTER/NOAA/NWS
ISSUED AT 1648Z 25 SEP 2013
THIS BULLETIN APPLIES TO AREAS WITHIN AND BORDERING THE PACIFIC
OCEAN AND ADJACENT SEAS...EXCEPT ALASKA...BRITISH COLUMBIA...
WASHINGTON...OREGON AND CALIFORNIA.
... TSUNAMI INFORMATION BULLETIN ...
THIS BULLETIN IS FOR INFORMATION ONLY.
THIS BULLETIN IS ISSUED AS ADVICE TO GOVERNMENT AGENCIES. ONLY
NATIONAL AND LOCAL GOVERNMENT AGENCIES HAVE THE AUTHORITY TO MAKE
DECISIONS REGARDING THE OFFICIAL STATE OF ALERT IN THEIR AREA AND
ANY ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN IN RESPONSE.
AN EARTHQUAKE HAS OCCURRED WITH THESE PRELIMINARY PARAMETERS
ORIGIN TIME - 1643Z 25 SEP 2013
COORDINATES - 16.1 SOUTH 74.9 WEST
DEPTH - 33 KM
LOCATION - NEAR THE COAST OF CENTRAL PERU
MAGNITUDE - 6.8
EVALUATION
NO DESTRUCTIVE WIDESPREAD TSUNAMI THREAT EXISTS BASED ON
HISTORICAL EARTHQUAKE AND TSUNAMI DATA.
HOWEVER - EARTHQUAKES OF THIS SIZE SOMETIMES GENERATE LOCAL
TSUNAMIS THAT CAN BE DESTRUCTIVE ALONG COASTS LOCATED WITHIN
A HUNDRED KILOMETERS OF THE EARTHQUAKE EPICENTER. AUTHORITIES
IN THE REGION OF THE EPICENTER SHOULD BE AWARE OF THIS
POSSIBILITY AND TAKE APPROPRIATE ACTION.
THIS WILL BE THE ONLY BULLETIN ISSUED FOR THIS EVENT UNLESS
ADDITIONAL INFORMATION BECOMES AVAILABLE.
THE WEST COAST/ALASKA TSUNAMI WARNING CENTER WILL ISSUE PRODUCTS
FOR ALASKA...BRITISH COLUMBIA...WASHINGTON...OREGON...CALIFORNIA.
A Call for Teachers! Join us in celebrating
World Teachers' Day on 5 October 2013!
http://www.worldteachersday.org/map/main
http://www.unesco.org/new/en/world-teachers-day
PACIFIC TSUNAMI WARNING CENTER/NOAA/NWS
ISSUED AT 1648Z 25 SEP 2013
THIS BULLETIN APPLIES TO AREAS WITHIN AND BORDERING THE PACIFIC
OCEAN AND ADJACENT SEAS...EXCEPT ALASKA...BRITISH COLUMBIA...
WASHINGTON...OREGON AND CALIFORNIA.
... TSUNAMI INFORMATION BULLETIN ...
THIS BULLETIN IS FOR INFORMATION ONLY.
THIS BULLETIN IS ISSUED AS ADVICE TO GOVERNMENT AGENCIES. ONLY
NATIONAL AND LOCAL GOVERNMENT AGENCIES HAVE THE AUTHORITY TO MAKE
DECISIONS REGARDING THE OFFICIAL STATE OF ALERT IN THEIR AREA AND
ANY ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN IN RESPONSE.
AN EARTHQUAKE HAS OCCURRED WITH THESE PRELIMINARY PARAMETERS
ORIGIN TIME - 1643Z 25 SEP 2013
COORDINATES - 16.1 SOUTH 74.9 WEST
DEPTH - 33 KM
LOCATION - NEAR THE COAST OF CENTRAL PERU
MAGNITUDE - 6.8
EVALUATION
NO DESTRUCTIVE WIDESPREAD TSUNAMI THREAT EXISTS BASED ON
HISTORICAL EARTHQUAKE AND TSUNAMI DATA.
HOWEVER - EARTHQUAKES OF THIS SIZE SOMETIMES GENERATE LOCAL
TSUNAMIS THAT CAN BE DESTRUCTIVE ALONG COASTS LOCATED WITHIN
A HUNDRED KILOMETERS OF THE EARTHQUAKE EPICENTER. AUTHORITIES
IN THE REGION OF THE EPICENTER SHOULD BE AWARE OF THIS
POSSIBILITY AND TAKE APPROPRIATE ACTION.
THIS WILL BE THE ONLY BULLETIN ISSUED FOR THIS EVENT UNLESS
ADDITIONAL INFORMATION BECOMES AVAILABLE.
THE WEST COAST/ALASKA TSUNAMI WARNING CENTER WILL ISSUE PRODUCTS
FOR ALASKA...BRITISH COLUMBIA...WASHINGTON...OREGON...CALIFORNIA.
A Call for Teachers! Join us in celebrating
World Teachers' Day on 5 October 2013!
http://www.worldteachersday.org/map/main
http://www.unesco.org/new/en/world-teachers-day
Tuesday, September 24, 2013
TSR Storm Alert - Typhoon PABUK
NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 25 Sep, 2013 0:00 GMT
Typhoon PABUK (19W) currently located near 28.5 N 138.6 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Green Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Japan
probability for TS is 35% in about 24 hours
Note that
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
Typhoon PABUK (19W) currently located near 28.5 N 138.6 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Green Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Japan
probability for TS is 35% in about 24 hours
Note that
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
Sunday, September 22, 2013
TSR Storm Alert - Typhoon USAGI
NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 22 Sep, 2013 12:00 GMT (Final Warning)
Typhoon USAGI (17W) currently located near 22.9 N 115.2 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
China
probability for CAT 1 or above is 100% currently
probability for TS is 100% currently
Hong Kong
probability for CAT 1 or above is 80% within 12 hours
probability for TS is 100% currently
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Guangzhou (23.1 N, 113.3 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 50% within 12 hours
probability for TS is 85% within 12 hours
Hong Kong (22.4 N, 114.2 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 50% within 12 hours
probability for TS is 95% currently
Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Macau
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% within 12 hours
probability for TS is 85% within 12 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Shantou (23.0 N, 116.2 E)
probability for TS is 95% currently
Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
Typhoon USAGI (17W) currently located near 22.9 N 115.2 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
China
probability for CAT 1 or above is 100% currently
probability for TS is 100% currently
Hong Kong
probability for CAT 1 or above is 80% within 12 hours
probability for TS is 100% currently
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Guangzhou (23.1 N, 113.3 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 50% within 12 hours
probability for TS is 85% within 12 hours
Hong Kong (22.4 N, 114.2 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 50% within 12 hours
probability for TS is 95% currently
Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Macau
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% within 12 hours
probability for TS is 85% within 12 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Shantou (23.0 N, 116.2 E)
probability for TS is 95% currently
Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
TSR Storm Alert - Typhoon USAGI
NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 22 Sep, 2013 6:00 GMT
Typhoon USAGI (17W) currently located near 22.4 N 116.8 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
China
probability for CAT 1 or above is 100% currently
probability for TS is 100% currently
Hong Kong
probability for CAT 1 or above is 95% within 12 hours
probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
Macau
probability for CAT 1 or above is 60% within 12 hours
probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Shantou (23.0 N, 116.2 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 100% currently
probability for TS is 100% currently
Hong Kong (22.4 N, 114.2 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 95% within 12 hours
probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
Guangzhou (23.1 N, 113.3 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 70% within 12 hours
probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Yunxiao (23.9 N, 117.2 E)
probability for TS is 100% currently
Zhangzhou (24.5 N, 117.8 E)
probability for TS is 90% currently
Ganzhou (25.7 N, 115.0 E)
probability for TS is 60% within 12 hours
Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Maoming (21.9 N, 110.9 E)
probability for TS is 50% in about 24 hours
Quanzhou (25.0 N, 118.5 E)
probability for TS is 40% currently
Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
Typhoon USAGI (17W) currently located near 22.4 N 116.8 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
China
probability for CAT 1 or above is 100% currently
probability for TS is 100% currently
Hong Kong
probability for CAT 1 or above is 95% within 12 hours
probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
Macau
probability for CAT 1 or above is 60% within 12 hours
probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Shantou (23.0 N, 116.2 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 100% currently
probability for TS is 100% currently
Hong Kong (22.4 N, 114.2 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 95% within 12 hours
probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
Guangzhou (23.1 N, 113.3 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 70% within 12 hours
probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Yunxiao (23.9 N, 117.2 E)
probability for TS is 100% currently
Zhangzhou (24.5 N, 117.8 E)
probability for TS is 90% currently
Ganzhou (25.7 N, 115.0 E)
probability for TS is 60% within 12 hours
Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Maoming (21.9 N, 110.9 E)
probability for TS is 50% in about 24 hours
Quanzhou (25.0 N, 118.5 E)
probability for TS is 40% currently
Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
Saturday, September 21, 2013
TSR Storm Alert - Typhoon USAGI
NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 22 Sep, 2013 0:00 GMT
Typhoon USAGI (17W) currently located near 21.8 N 117.9 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
China
probability for CAT 1 or above is 90% within 12 hours
probability for TS is 100% currently
Hong Kong
probability for CAT 1 or above is 75% in about 24 hours
probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
Macau
probability for CAT 1 or above is 50% in about 24 hours
probability for TS is 90% in about 24 hours
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Shantou (23.0 N, 116.2 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 85% within 12 hours
probability for TS is 100% currently
Hong Kong (22.4 N, 114.2 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 70% in about 24 hours
probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
Guangzhou (23.1 N, 113.3 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 45% in about 24 hours
probability for TS is 90% in about 24 hours
Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Taiwan
probability for TS is 90% currently
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Yunxiao (23.9 N, 117.2 E)
probability for TS is 100% currently
Zhangzhou (24.5 N, 117.8 E)
probability for TS is 85% currently
Kao-hsiung (22.6 N, 120.3 E)
probability for TS is 85% currently
Maoming (21.9 N, 110.9 E)
probability for TS is 65% in about 36 hours
Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Quanzhou (25.0 N, 118.5 E)
probability for TS is 45% within 12 hours
Beihai (21.6 N, 109.2 E)
probability for TS is 45% in about 48 hours
Zhanjiang (21.2 N, 110.3 E)
probability for TS is 45% in about 36 hours
Nanning (22.8 N, 108.3 E)
probability for TS is 40% in about 48 hours
Ganzhou (25.7 N, 115.0 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 24 hours
Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
Typhoon USAGI (17W) currently located near 21.8 N 117.9 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
China
probability for CAT 1 or above is 90% within 12 hours
probability for TS is 100% currently
Hong Kong
probability for CAT 1 or above is 75% in about 24 hours
probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
Macau
probability for CAT 1 or above is 50% in about 24 hours
probability for TS is 90% in about 24 hours
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Shantou (23.0 N, 116.2 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 85% within 12 hours
probability for TS is 100% currently
Hong Kong (22.4 N, 114.2 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 70% in about 24 hours
probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
Guangzhou (23.1 N, 113.3 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 45% in about 24 hours
probability for TS is 90% in about 24 hours
Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Taiwan
probability for TS is 90% currently
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Yunxiao (23.9 N, 117.2 E)
probability for TS is 100% currently
Zhangzhou (24.5 N, 117.8 E)
probability for TS is 85% currently
Kao-hsiung (22.6 N, 120.3 E)
probability for TS is 85% currently
Maoming (21.9 N, 110.9 E)
probability for TS is 65% in about 36 hours
Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Quanzhou (25.0 N, 118.5 E)
probability for TS is 45% within 12 hours
Beihai (21.6 N, 109.2 E)
probability for TS is 45% in about 48 hours
Zhanjiang (21.2 N, 110.3 E)
probability for TS is 45% in about 36 hours
Nanning (22.8 N, 108.3 E)
probability for TS is 40% in about 48 hours
Ganzhou (25.7 N, 115.0 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 24 hours
Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html
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This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
TSR Storm Alert - Typhoon USAGI
NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 21 Sep, 2013 18:00 GMT
Typhoon USAGI (17W) currently located near 21.4 N 118.9 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
China
probability for CAT 1 or above is 75% in about 24 hours
probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
Hong Kong
probability for CAT 1 or above is 70% in about 24 hours
probability for TS is 100% in about 24 hours
Macau
probability for CAT 1 or above is 35% in about 24 hours
probability for TS is 95% in about 24 hours
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Hong Kong (22.4 N, 114.2 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 70% in about 24 hours
probability for TS is 100% in about 24 hours
Shantou (23.0 N, 116.2 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 65% in about 24 hours
probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
Guangzhou (23.1 N, 113.3 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 40% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 95% in about 24 hours
Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Taiwan
probability for TS is 100% currently
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Yunxiao (23.9 N, 117.2 E)
probability for TS is 100% in about 24 hours
Kao-hsiung (22.6 N, 120.3 E)
probability for TS is 100% currently
Zhangzhou (24.5 N, 117.8 E)
probability for TS is 75% within 12 hours
Maoming (21.9 N, 110.9 E)
probability for TS is 65% in about 36 hours
Zhanjiang (21.2 N, 110.3 E)
probability for TS is 55% in about 48 hours
Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Beihai (21.6 N, 109.2 E)
probability for TS is 50% in about 72 hours
Ganzhou (25.7 N, 115.0 E)
probability for TS is 45% in about 36 hours
Nanning (22.8 N, 108.3 E)
probability for TS is 45% in about 72 hours
Quanzhou (25.0 N, 118.5 E)
probability for TS is 40% within 12 hours
T'aichung (24.1 N, 120.7 E)
probability for TS is 40% currently
Haikou (20.0 N, 110.4 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 48 hours
Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
Typhoon USAGI (17W) currently located near 21.4 N 118.9 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
China
probability for CAT 1 or above is 75% in about 24 hours
probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
Hong Kong
probability for CAT 1 or above is 70% in about 24 hours
probability for TS is 100% in about 24 hours
Macau
probability for CAT 1 or above is 35% in about 24 hours
probability for TS is 95% in about 24 hours
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Hong Kong (22.4 N, 114.2 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 70% in about 24 hours
probability for TS is 100% in about 24 hours
Shantou (23.0 N, 116.2 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 65% in about 24 hours
probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
Guangzhou (23.1 N, 113.3 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 40% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 95% in about 24 hours
Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Taiwan
probability for TS is 100% currently
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Yunxiao (23.9 N, 117.2 E)
probability for TS is 100% in about 24 hours
Kao-hsiung (22.6 N, 120.3 E)
probability for TS is 100% currently
Zhangzhou (24.5 N, 117.8 E)
probability for TS is 75% within 12 hours
Maoming (21.9 N, 110.9 E)
probability for TS is 65% in about 36 hours
Zhanjiang (21.2 N, 110.3 E)
probability for TS is 55% in about 48 hours
Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Beihai (21.6 N, 109.2 E)
probability for TS is 50% in about 72 hours
Ganzhou (25.7 N, 115.0 E)
probability for TS is 45% in about 36 hours
Nanning (22.8 N, 108.3 E)
probability for TS is 45% in about 72 hours
Quanzhou (25.0 N, 118.5 E)
probability for TS is 40% within 12 hours
T'aichung (24.1 N, 120.7 E)
probability for TS is 40% currently
Haikou (20.0 N, 110.4 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 48 hours
Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
TSR Storm Alert - Typhoon USAGI
NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 21 Sep, 2013 12:00 GMT
Typhoon USAGI (17W) currently located near 21.1 N 119.7 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
China
probability for CAT 1 or above is 65% in about 24 hours
probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
Hong Kong
probability for CAT 1 or above is 60% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 100% in about 24 hours
Macau
probability for CAT 1 or above is 50% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 85% in about 24 hours
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Hong Kong (22.4 N, 114.2 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 60% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 100% in about 36 hours
Shantou (23.0 N, 116.2 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 40% in about 24 hours
probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
Guangzhou (23.1 N, 113.3 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 40% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 80% in about 24 hours
Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Taiwan
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% currently
probability for TS is 100% currently
the Philippines
probability for TS is 55% currently
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Kao-hsiung (22.6 N, 120.3 E)
probability for TS is 100% currently
Yunxiao (23.9 N, 117.2 E)
probability for TS is 90% within 12 hours
Zhangzhou (24.5 N, 117.8 E)
probability for TS is 65% in about 24 hours
Maoming (21.9 N, 110.9 E)
probability for TS is 55% in about 36 hours
Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
T'aichung (24.1 N, 120.7 E)
probability for TS is 45% currently
Zhanjiang (21.2 N, 110.3 E)
probability for TS is 45% in about 48 hours
Beihai (21.6 N, 109.2 E)
probability for TS is 40% in about 72 hours
Laoag (18.2 N, 120.7 E)
probability for TS is 35% currently
Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
Typhoon USAGI (17W) currently located near 21.1 N 119.7 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
China
probability for CAT 1 or above is 65% in about 24 hours
probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
Hong Kong
probability for CAT 1 or above is 60% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 100% in about 24 hours
Macau
probability for CAT 1 or above is 50% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 85% in about 24 hours
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Hong Kong (22.4 N, 114.2 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 60% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 100% in about 36 hours
Shantou (23.0 N, 116.2 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 40% in about 24 hours
probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
Guangzhou (23.1 N, 113.3 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 40% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 80% in about 24 hours
Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Taiwan
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% currently
probability for TS is 100% currently
the Philippines
probability for TS is 55% currently
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Kao-hsiung (22.6 N, 120.3 E)
probability for TS is 100% currently
Yunxiao (23.9 N, 117.2 E)
probability for TS is 90% within 12 hours
Zhangzhou (24.5 N, 117.8 E)
probability for TS is 65% in about 24 hours
Maoming (21.9 N, 110.9 E)
probability for TS is 55% in about 36 hours
Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
T'aichung (24.1 N, 120.7 E)
probability for TS is 45% currently
Zhanjiang (21.2 N, 110.3 E)
probability for TS is 45% in about 48 hours
Beihai (21.6 N, 109.2 E)
probability for TS is 40% in about 72 hours
Laoag (18.2 N, 120.7 E)
probability for TS is 35% currently
Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
TSR Storm Alert - Typhoon USAGI
NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 21 Sep, 2013 6:00 GMT
Typhoon USAGI (17W) currently located near 20.8 N 120.8 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Taiwan
probability for CAT 1 or above is 100% currently
probability for TS is 100% currently
China
probability for CAT 1 or above is 65% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 100% in about 36 hours
Hong Kong
probability for CAT 1 or above is 65% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 90% in about 36 hours
Macau
probability for CAT 1 or above is 60% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 90% in about 48 hours
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Hong Kong (22.4 N, 114.2 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 65% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 90% in about 36 hours
Shantou (23.0 N, 116.2 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 55% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 95% in about 24 hours
Guangzhou (23.1 N, 113.3 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 50% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 90% in about 48 hours
Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
the Philippines
probability for TS is 100% currently
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Kao-hsiung (22.6 N, 120.3 E)
probability for TS is 100% currently
Laoag (18.2 N, 120.7 E)
probability for TS is 85% currently
Yunxiao (23.9 N, 117.2 E)
probability for TS is 80% in about 24 hours
Maoming (21.9 N, 110.9 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 65% in about 48 hours
Zhangzhou (24.5 N, 117.8 E)
probability for TS is 55% in about 24 hours
T'aichung (24.1 N, 120.7 E)
probability for TS is 55% currently
Zhanjiang (21.2 N, 110.3 E)
probability for TS is 55% in about 48 hours
Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Vigan (17.5 N, 120.5 E)
probability for TS is 45% currently
Beihai (21.6 N, 109.2 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 48 hours
Haikou (20.0 N, 110.4 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 48 hours
Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
Typhoon USAGI (17W) currently located near 20.8 N 120.8 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Taiwan
probability for CAT 1 or above is 100% currently
probability for TS is 100% currently
China
probability for CAT 1 or above is 65% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 100% in about 36 hours
Hong Kong
probability for CAT 1 or above is 65% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 90% in about 36 hours
Macau
probability for CAT 1 or above is 60% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 90% in about 48 hours
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Hong Kong (22.4 N, 114.2 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 65% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 90% in about 36 hours
Shantou (23.0 N, 116.2 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 55% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 95% in about 24 hours
Guangzhou (23.1 N, 113.3 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 50% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 90% in about 48 hours
Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
the Philippines
probability for TS is 100% currently
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Kao-hsiung (22.6 N, 120.3 E)
probability for TS is 100% currently
Laoag (18.2 N, 120.7 E)
probability for TS is 85% currently
Yunxiao (23.9 N, 117.2 E)
probability for TS is 80% in about 24 hours
Maoming (21.9 N, 110.9 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 65% in about 48 hours
Zhangzhou (24.5 N, 117.8 E)
probability for TS is 55% in about 24 hours
T'aichung (24.1 N, 120.7 E)
probability for TS is 55% currently
Zhanjiang (21.2 N, 110.3 E)
probability for TS is 55% in about 48 hours
Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Vigan (17.5 N, 120.5 E)
probability for TS is 45% currently
Beihai (21.6 N, 109.2 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 48 hours
Haikou (20.0 N, 110.4 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 48 hours
Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
Friday, September 20, 2013
TSR Storm Alert - Typhoon USAGI
NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 21 Sep, 2013 0:00 GMT
Typhoon USAGI (17W) currently located near 20.6 N 121.9 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Taiwan
probability for CAT 1 or above is 90% within 12 hours
probability for TS is 100% currently
China
probability for CAT 1 or above is 60% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 95% in about 24 hours
Hong Kong
probability for CAT 1 or above is 55% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 90% in about 36 hours
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Shantou (23.0 N, 116.2 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 55% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 90% in about 24 hours
Hong Kong (22.4 N, 114.2 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 50% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 90% in about 36 hours
Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
the Philippines
probability for TS is 100% currently
Macau
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 75% in about 36 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Kao-hsiung (22.6 N, 120.3 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% within 12 hours
probability for TS is 100% currently
Laoag (18.2 N, 120.7 E)
probability for TS is 95% within 12 hours
Yunxiao (23.9 N, 117.2 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 85% in about 36 hours
Guangzhou (23.1 N, 113.3 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 70% in about 36 hours
Zhangzhou (24.5 N, 117.8 E)
probability for TS is 65% in about 36 hours
T'aichung (24.1 N, 120.7 E)
probability for TS is 55% within 12 hours
Vigan (17.5 N, 120.5 E)
probability for TS is 55% within 12 hours
Maoming (21.9 N, 110.9 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 55% in about 48 hours
Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Quanzhou (25.0 N, 118.5 E)
probability for TS is 40% in about 24 hours
Zhanjiang (21.2 N, 110.3 E)
probability for TS is 40% in about 48 hours
Ganzhou (25.7 N, 115.0 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 48 hours
Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
Typhoon USAGI (17W) currently located near 20.6 N 121.9 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Taiwan
probability for CAT 1 or above is 90% within 12 hours
probability for TS is 100% currently
China
probability for CAT 1 or above is 60% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 95% in about 24 hours
Hong Kong
probability for CAT 1 or above is 55% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 90% in about 36 hours
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Shantou (23.0 N, 116.2 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 55% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 90% in about 24 hours
Hong Kong (22.4 N, 114.2 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 50% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 90% in about 36 hours
Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
the Philippines
probability for TS is 100% currently
Macau
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 75% in about 36 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Kao-hsiung (22.6 N, 120.3 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% within 12 hours
probability for TS is 100% currently
Laoag (18.2 N, 120.7 E)
probability for TS is 95% within 12 hours
Yunxiao (23.9 N, 117.2 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 85% in about 36 hours
Guangzhou (23.1 N, 113.3 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 70% in about 36 hours
Zhangzhou (24.5 N, 117.8 E)
probability for TS is 65% in about 36 hours
T'aichung (24.1 N, 120.7 E)
probability for TS is 55% within 12 hours
Vigan (17.5 N, 120.5 E)
probability for TS is 55% within 12 hours
Maoming (21.9 N, 110.9 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 55% in about 48 hours
Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Quanzhou (25.0 N, 118.5 E)
probability for TS is 40% in about 24 hours
Zhanjiang (21.2 N, 110.3 E)
probability for TS is 40% in about 48 hours
Ganzhou (25.7 N, 115.0 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 48 hours
Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
TSR Storm Alert - Typhoon USAGI
NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 20 Sep, 2013 18:00 GMT
Typhoon USAGI (17W) currently located near 20.4 N 122.8 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Taiwan
probability for CAT 1 or above is 80% in about 24 hours
probability for TS is 100% currently
China
probability for CAT 1 or above is 55% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 85% in about 36 hours
Hong Kong
probability for CAT 1 or above is 45% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 75% in about 48 hours
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Shantou (23.0 N, 116.2 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 50% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 85% in about 36 hours
Hong Kong (22.4 N, 114.2 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 40% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 65% in about 36 hours
Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
the Philippines
probability for TS is 100% currently
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Kao-hsiung (22.6 N, 120.3 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% in about 24 hours
probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
Laoag (18.2 N, 120.7 E)
probability for TS is 90% within 12 hours
Yunxiao (23.9 N, 117.2 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 75% in about 36 hours
Guangzhou (23.1 N, 113.3 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 65% in about 48 hours
Zhangzhou (24.5 N, 117.8 E)
probability for TS is 60% in about 36 hours
T'aichung (24.1 N, 120.7 E)
probability for TS is 55% in about 24 hours
Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Vigan (17.5 N, 120.5 E)
probability for TS is 50% within 12 hours
Quanzhou (25.0 N, 118.5 E)
probability for TS is 45% in about 36 hours
Maoming (21.9 N, 110.9 E)
probability for TS is 40% in about 72 hours
Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
Typhoon USAGI (17W) currently located near 20.4 N 122.8 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Taiwan
probability for CAT 1 or above is 80% in about 24 hours
probability for TS is 100% currently
China
probability for CAT 1 or above is 55% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 85% in about 36 hours
Hong Kong
probability for CAT 1 or above is 45% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 75% in about 48 hours
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Shantou (23.0 N, 116.2 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 50% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 85% in about 36 hours
Hong Kong (22.4 N, 114.2 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 40% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 65% in about 36 hours
Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
the Philippines
probability for TS is 100% currently
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Kao-hsiung (22.6 N, 120.3 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% in about 24 hours
probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
Laoag (18.2 N, 120.7 E)
probability for TS is 90% within 12 hours
Yunxiao (23.9 N, 117.2 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 75% in about 36 hours
Guangzhou (23.1 N, 113.3 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 65% in about 48 hours
Zhangzhou (24.5 N, 117.8 E)
probability for TS is 60% in about 36 hours
T'aichung (24.1 N, 120.7 E)
probability for TS is 55% in about 24 hours
Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Vigan (17.5 N, 120.5 E)
probability for TS is 50% within 12 hours
Quanzhou (25.0 N, 118.5 E)
probability for TS is 45% in about 36 hours
Maoming (21.9 N, 110.9 E)
probability for TS is 40% in about 72 hours
Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
TSR Storm Alert - Typhoon USAGI
NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 20 Sep, 2013 12:00 GMT
Typhoon USAGI (17W) currently located near 20.1 N 123.7 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Taiwan
probability for CAT 1 or above is 75% in about 24 hours
probability for TS is 95% within 12 hours
China
probability for CAT 1 or above is 50% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 80% in about 36 hours
Hong Kong
probability for CAT 1 or above is 40% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 70% in about 48 hours
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Shantou (23.0 N, 116.2 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 45% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 80% in about 36 hours
Hong Kong (22.4 N, 114.2 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 40% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 70% in about 48 hours
Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
the Philippines
probability for TS is 80% within 12 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Kao-hsiung (22.6 N, 120.3 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% in about 24 hours
probability for TS is 90% in about 24 hours
Yunxiao (23.9 N, 117.2 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 70% in about 48 hours
Guangzhou (23.1 N, 113.3 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 65% in about 48 hours
Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Laoag (18.2 N, 120.7 E)
probability for TS is 45% in about 24 hours
Zhangzhou (24.5 N, 117.8 E)
probability for TS is 45% in about 36 hours
T'aichung (24.1 N, 120.7 E)
probability for TS is 40% in about 24 hours
Maoming (21.9 N, 110.9 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 72 hours
Beihai (21.6 N, 109.2 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 72 hours
Zhanjiang (21.2 N, 110.3 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 72 hours
Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
Typhoon USAGI (17W) currently located near 20.1 N 123.7 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Taiwan
probability for CAT 1 or above is 75% in about 24 hours
probability for TS is 95% within 12 hours
China
probability for CAT 1 or above is 50% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 80% in about 36 hours
Hong Kong
probability for CAT 1 or above is 40% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 70% in about 48 hours
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Shantou (23.0 N, 116.2 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 45% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 80% in about 36 hours
Hong Kong (22.4 N, 114.2 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 40% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 70% in about 48 hours
Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
the Philippines
probability for TS is 80% within 12 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Kao-hsiung (22.6 N, 120.3 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% in about 24 hours
probability for TS is 90% in about 24 hours
Yunxiao (23.9 N, 117.2 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 70% in about 48 hours
Guangzhou (23.1 N, 113.3 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 65% in about 48 hours
Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Laoag (18.2 N, 120.7 E)
probability for TS is 45% in about 24 hours
Zhangzhou (24.5 N, 117.8 E)
probability for TS is 45% in about 36 hours
T'aichung (24.1 N, 120.7 E)
probability for TS is 40% in about 24 hours
Maoming (21.9 N, 110.9 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 72 hours
Beihai (21.6 N, 109.2 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 72 hours
Zhanjiang (21.2 N, 110.3 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 72 hours
Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
TSR Storm Alert - Typhoon USAGI
NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 20 Sep, 2013 6:00 GMT
Typhoon USAGI (17W) currently located near 19.8 N 124.5 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Taiwan
probability for CAT 1 or above is 75% in about 24 hours
probability for TS is 95% in about 24 hours
China
probability for CAT 1 or above is 45% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 75% in about 48 hours
Hong Kong
probability for CAT 1 or above is 40% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 70% in about 48 hours
Macau
probability for CAT 1 or above is 35% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 55% in about 72 hours
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Kao-hsiung (22.6 N, 120.3 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 50% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 90% in about 24 hours
Shantou (23.0 N, 116.2 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 45% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 75% in about 48 hours
Hong Kong (22.4 N, 114.2 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 35% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 70% in about 72 hours
Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
the Philippines
probability for TS is 75% within 12 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Yunxiao (23.9 N, 117.2 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 65% in about 48 hours
Zhangzhou (24.5 N, 117.8 E)
probability for TS is 55% in about 48 hours
Guangzhou (23.1 N, 113.3 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 50% in about 72 hours
Maoming (21.9 N, 110.9 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 35% in about 72 hours
Zhanjiang (21.2 N, 110.3 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 35% in about 72 hours
Beihai (21.6 N, 109.2 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 30% in about 72 hours
Haikou (20.0 N, 110.4 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 30% in about 72 hours
Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
T'aichung (24.1 N, 120.7 E)
probability for TS is 45% in about 24 hours
Laoag (18.2 N, 120.7 E)
probability for TS is 40% in about 24 hours
Quanzhou (25.0 N, 118.5 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 48 hours
Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
Typhoon USAGI (17W) currently located near 19.8 N 124.5 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Taiwan
probability for CAT 1 or above is 75% in about 24 hours
probability for TS is 95% in about 24 hours
China
probability for CAT 1 or above is 45% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 75% in about 48 hours
Hong Kong
probability for CAT 1 or above is 40% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 70% in about 48 hours
Macau
probability for CAT 1 or above is 35% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 55% in about 72 hours
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Kao-hsiung (22.6 N, 120.3 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 50% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 90% in about 24 hours
Shantou (23.0 N, 116.2 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 45% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 75% in about 48 hours
Hong Kong (22.4 N, 114.2 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 35% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 70% in about 72 hours
Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
the Philippines
probability for TS is 75% within 12 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Yunxiao (23.9 N, 117.2 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 65% in about 48 hours
Zhangzhou (24.5 N, 117.8 E)
probability for TS is 55% in about 48 hours
Guangzhou (23.1 N, 113.3 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 50% in about 72 hours
Maoming (21.9 N, 110.9 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 35% in about 72 hours
Zhanjiang (21.2 N, 110.3 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 35% in about 72 hours
Beihai (21.6 N, 109.2 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 30% in about 72 hours
Haikou (20.0 N, 110.4 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 30% in about 72 hours
Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
T'aichung (24.1 N, 120.7 E)
probability for TS is 45% in about 24 hours
Laoag (18.2 N, 120.7 E)
probability for TS is 40% in about 24 hours
Quanzhou (25.0 N, 118.5 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 48 hours
Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
Thursday, September 19, 2013
TSR Storm Alert - Super Typhoon USAGI
NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 20 Sep, 2013 0:00 GMT
Super Typhoon USAGI (17W) currently located near 19.2 N 125.5 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Taiwan
probability for CAT 1 or above is 70% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 90% in about 24 hours
China
probability for CAT 1 or above is 40% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 70% in about 48 hours
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Kao-hsiung (22.6 N, 120.3 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 55% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 85% in about 36 hours
Shantou (23.0 N, 116.2 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 40% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 70% in about 48 hours
Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
the Philippines
probability for TS is 70% in about 24 hours
Hong Kong
probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 45% in about 72 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Yunxiao (23.9 N, 117.2 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 65% in about 48 hours
Zhangzhou (24.5 N, 117.8 E)
probability for TS is 55% in about 48 hours
Hong Kong (22.4 N, 114.2 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 40% in about 72 hours
Guangzhou (23.1 N, 113.3 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 35% in about 72 hours
Maoming (21.9 N, 110.9 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 30% in about 72 hours
Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
T'aichung (24.1 N, 120.7 E)
probability for TS is 45% in about 36 hours
Quanzhou (25.0 N, 118.5 E)
probability for TS is 40% in about 48 hours
Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
Super Typhoon USAGI (17W) currently located near 19.2 N 125.5 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Taiwan
probability for CAT 1 or above is 70% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 90% in about 24 hours
China
probability for CAT 1 or above is 40% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 70% in about 48 hours
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Kao-hsiung (22.6 N, 120.3 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 55% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 85% in about 36 hours
Shantou (23.0 N, 116.2 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 40% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 70% in about 48 hours
Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
the Philippines
probability for TS is 70% in about 24 hours
Hong Kong
probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 45% in about 72 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Yunxiao (23.9 N, 117.2 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 65% in about 48 hours
Zhangzhou (24.5 N, 117.8 E)
probability for TS is 55% in about 48 hours
Hong Kong (22.4 N, 114.2 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 40% in about 72 hours
Guangzhou (23.1 N, 113.3 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 35% in about 72 hours
Maoming (21.9 N, 110.9 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 30% in about 72 hours
Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
T'aichung (24.1 N, 120.7 E)
probability for TS is 45% in about 36 hours
Quanzhou (25.0 N, 118.5 E)
probability for TS is 40% in about 48 hours
Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
TSR Storm Alert - Super Typhoon USAGI
NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 19 Sep, 2013 18:00 GMT
Super Typhoon USAGI (17W) currently located near 18.7 N 126.4 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Taiwan
probability for CAT 1 or above is 65% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 85% in about 36 hours
China
probability for CAT 1 or above is 35% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 65% in about 48 hours
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Kao-hsiung (22.6 N, 120.3 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 55% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 80% in about 36 hours
Shantou (23.0 N, 116.2 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 35% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 60% in about 72 hours
Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
the Philippines
probability for TS is 60% in about 24 hours
Hong Kong
probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 50% in about 72 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Yunxiao (23.9 N, 117.2 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 60% in about 48 hours
Hong Kong (22.4 N, 114.2 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 50% in about 72 hours
Guangzhou (23.1 N, 113.3 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 50% in about 72 hours
Zhangzhou (24.5 N, 117.8 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 50% in about 48 hours
Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
T'aichung (24.1 N, 120.7 E)
probability for TS is 50% in about 36 hours
Quanzhou (25.0 N, 118.5 E)
probability for TS is 45% in about 72 hours
Laoag (18.2 N, 120.7 E)
probability for TS is 40% in about 36 hours
Ganzhou (25.7 N, 115.0 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 72 hours
Maoming (21.9 N, 110.9 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 72 hours
Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
Super Typhoon USAGI (17W) currently located near 18.7 N 126.4 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Taiwan
probability for CAT 1 or above is 65% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 85% in about 36 hours
China
probability for CAT 1 or above is 35% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 65% in about 48 hours
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Kao-hsiung (22.6 N, 120.3 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 55% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 80% in about 36 hours
Shantou (23.0 N, 116.2 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 35% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 60% in about 72 hours
Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
the Philippines
probability for TS is 60% in about 24 hours
Hong Kong
probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 50% in about 72 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Yunxiao (23.9 N, 117.2 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 60% in about 48 hours
Hong Kong (22.4 N, 114.2 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 50% in about 72 hours
Guangzhou (23.1 N, 113.3 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 50% in about 72 hours
Zhangzhou (24.5 N, 117.8 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 50% in about 48 hours
Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
T'aichung (24.1 N, 120.7 E)
probability for TS is 50% in about 36 hours
Quanzhou (25.0 N, 118.5 E)
probability for TS is 45% in about 72 hours
Laoag (18.2 N, 120.7 E)
probability for TS is 40% in about 36 hours
Ganzhou (25.7 N, 115.0 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 72 hours
Maoming (21.9 N, 110.9 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 72 hours
Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
TSR Storm Alert - Super Typhoon USAGI
NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 19 Sep, 2013 12:00 GMT
Super Typhoon USAGI (17W) currently located near 18.2 N 127.3 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Taiwan
probability for CAT 1 or above is 60% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 80% in about 36 hours
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Kao-hsiung (22.6 N, 120.3 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 50% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 75% in about 48 hours
Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
the Philippines
probability for TS is 60% in about 36 hours
China
probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 50% in about 48 hours
Hong Kong
probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 50% in about 72 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Shantou (23.0 N, 116.2 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 50% in about 72 hours
Hong Kong (22.4 N, 114.2 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 50% in about 72 hours
Yunxiao (23.9 N, 117.2 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 50% in about 72 hours
Guangzhou (23.1 N, 113.3 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 45% in about 72 hours
Maoming (21.9 N, 110.9 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 25% in about 96 hours
Zhanjiang (21.2 N, 110.3 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 120 hours
probability for TS is 25% in about 96 hours
Zhangzhou (24.5 N, 117.8 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 50% in about 72 hours
Beihai (21.6 N, 109.2 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 25% in about 96 hours
Haikou (20.0 N, 110.4 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 25% in about 120 hours
Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
T'aichung (24.1 N, 120.7 E)
probability for TS is 50% in about 48 hours
Quanzhou (25.0 N, 118.5 E)
probability for TS is 45% in about 72 hours
Laoag (18.2 N, 120.7 E)
probability for TS is 40% in about 48 hours
Ganzhou (25.7 N, 115.0 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 72 hours
Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
Super Typhoon USAGI (17W) currently located near 18.2 N 127.3 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Taiwan
probability for CAT 1 or above is 60% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 80% in about 36 hours
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Kao-hsiung (22.6 N, 120.3 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 50% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 75% in about 48 hours
Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
the Philippines
probability for TS is 60% in about 36 hours
China
probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 50% in about 48 hours
Hong Kong
probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 50% in about 72 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Shantou (23.0 N, 116.2 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 50% in about 72 hours
Hong Kong (22.4 N, 114.2 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 50% in about 72 hours
Yunxiao (23.9 N, 117.2 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 50% in about 72 hours
Guangzhou (23.1 N, 113.3 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 45% in about 72 hours
Maoming (21.9 N, 110.9 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 25% in about 96 hours
Zhanjiang (21.2 N, 110.3 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 120 hours
probability for TS is 25% in about 96 hours
Zhangzhou (24.5 N, 117.8 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 50% in about 72 hours
Beihai (21.6 N, 109.2 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 25% in about 96 hours
Haikou (20.0 N, 110.4 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 25% in about 120 hours
Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
T'aichung (24.1 N, 120.7 E)
probability for TS is 50% in about 48 hours
Quanzhou (25.0 N, 118.5 E)
probability for TS is 45% in about 72 hours
Laoag (18.2 N, 120.7 E)
probability for TS is 40% in about 48 hours
Ganzhou (25.7 N, 115.0 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 72 hours
Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
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