NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 1 Nov, 2013 0:00 GMT
Typhoon KROSA (29W) currently located near 19.0 N 119.1 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
the Philippines
probability for TS is 90% currently
China
probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 55% in about 48 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Laoag (18.2 N, 120.7 E)
probability for TS is 75% currently
Vigan (17.5 N, 120.5 E)
probability for TS is 60% currently
Qionghai (19.2 N, 110.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 55% in about 48 hours
Haikou (20.0 N, 110.4 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 50% in about 48 hours
Green Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Hong Kong
probability for TS is 50% in about 36 hours
Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Hong Kong (22.4 N, 114.2 E)
probability for TS is 40% in about 24 hours
Yaxian (18.4 N, 109.4 E)
probability for TS is 40% in about 72 hours
Zhanjiang (21.2 N, 110.3 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 72 hours
Note that
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
Thursday, October 31, 2013
[Tsunami Message - IOC] NWS-NTWC Tsunami Information Statement
WEAK53 PAAQ 312310
TIBAK1
PUBLIC TSUNAMI INFORMATION STATEMENT NUMBER 1
NWS NATIONAL TSUNAMI WARNING CENTER PALMER AK
410 PM PDT THU OCT 31 2013
...THIS IS A TSUNAMI INFORMATION STATEMENT FOR ALASKA/ BRITISH
COLUMBIA/ WASHINGTON/ OREGON AND CALIFORNIA...
EVALUATION
----------
* THERE IS NO TSUNAMI DANGER FOR THE AREAS LISTED ABOVE.
* THIS EVALUATION IS BASED ON EARTHQUAKE INFORMATION AND
HISTORIC TSUNAMI RECORDS.
* AN EARTHQUAKE HAS OCCURRED WITH PARAMETERS LISTED BELOW.
PRELIMINARY EARTHQUAKE PARAMETERS
---------------------------------
* MAGNITUDE 6.6
* ORIGIN TIME 1504 AKDT OCT 31 2013
1604 PDT OCT 31 2013
2304 UTC OCT 31 2013
* COORDINATES 30.3 SOUTH 71.9 WEST
* DEPTH 6 MILES
* LOCATION NEAR COAST OF CENTRAL CHILE
NEXT UPDATE AND ADDITIONAL INFORMATION
--------------------------------------
* THIS WILL BE THE ONLY U.S. NATIONAL TSUNAMI WARNING CENTER
MESSAGE FOR THIS EVENT UNLESS ADDITIONAL INFORMATION BECOMES
AVAILABLE.
* REFER TO THE INTERNET SITE NTWC.ARH.NOAA.GOV FOR
ADDITIONAL INFORMATION.
* PACIFIC COASTAL REGIONS OUTSIDE CALIFORNIA... OREGON...
WASHINGTON... BRITISH COLUMBIA AND ALASKA SHOULD REFER TO THE
PACIFIC TSUNAMI WARNING CENTER MESSAGES AT PTWC.WEATHER.GOV.
$$
TIBAK1
PUBLIC TSUNAMI INFORMATION STATEMENT NUMBER 1
NWS NATIONAL TSUNAMI WARNING CENTER PALMER AK
410 PM PDT THU OCT 31 2013
...THIS IS A TSUNAMI INFORMATION STATEMENT FOR ALASKA/ BRITISH
COLUMBIA/ WASHINGTON/ OREGON AND CALIFORNIA...
EVALUATION
----------
* THERE IS NO TSUNAMI DANGER FOR THE AREAS LISTED ABOVE.
* THIS EVALUATION IS BASED ON EARTHQUAKE INFORMATION AND
HISTORIC TSUNAMI RECORDS.
* AN EARTHQUAKE HAS OCCURRED WITH PARAMETERS LISTED BELOW.
PRELIMINARY EARTHQUAKE PARAMETERS
---------------------------------
* MAGNITUDE 6.6
* ORIGIN TIME 1504 AKDT OCT 31 2013
1604 PDT OCT 31 2013
2304 UTC OCT 31 2013
* COORDINATES 30.3 SOUTH 71.9 WEST
* DEPTH 6 MILES
* LOCATION NEAR COAST OF CENTRAL CHILE
NEXT UPDATE AND ADDITIONAL INFORMATION
--------------------------------------
* THIS WILL BE THE ONLY U.S. NATIONAL TSUNAMI WARNING CENTER
MESSAGE FOR THIS EVENT UNLESS ADDITIONAL INFORMATION BECOMES
AVAILABLE.
* REFER TO THE INTERNET SITE NTWC.ARH.NOAA.GOV FOR
ADDITIONAL INFORMATION.
* PACIFIC COASTAL REGIONS OUTSIDE CALIFORNIA... OREGON...
WASHINGTON... BRITISH COLUMBIA AND ALASKA SHOULD REFER TO THE
PACIFIC TSUNAMI WARNING CENTER MESSAGES AT PTWC.WEATHER.GOV.
$$
[Tsunami Message - IOC] Tsunami Information Bulletin
TSUNAMI BULLETIN NUMBER 001
PACIFIC TSUNAMI WARNING CENTER/NOAA/NWS
ISSUED AT 2308Z 31 OCT 2013
THIS BULLETIN APPLIES TO AREAS WITHIN AND BORDERING THE PACIFIC
OCEAN AND ADJACENT SEAS...EXCEPT ALASKA...BRITISH COLUMBIA...
WASHINGTON...OREGON AND CALIFORNIA.
... TSUNAMI INFORMATION BULLETIN ...
THIS BULLETIN IS FOR INFORMATION ONLY.
THIS BULLETIN IS ISSUED AS ADVICE TO GOVERNMENT AGENCIES. ONLY
NATIONAL AND LOCAL GOVERNMENT AGENCIES HAVE THE AUTHORITY TO MAKE
DECISIONS REGARDING THE OFFICIAL STATE OF ALERT IN THEIR AREA AND
ANY ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN IN RESPONSE.
AN EARTHQUAKE HAS OCCURRED WITH THESE PRELIMINARY PARAMETERS
ORIGIN TIME - 2304Z 31 OCT 2013
COORDINATES - 30.3 SOUTH 71.9 WEST
DEPTH - 10 KM
LOCATION - NEAR THE COAST OF CENTRAL CHILE
MAGNITUDE - 6.6
EVALUATION
NO DESTRUCTIVE WIDESPREAD TSUNAMI THREAT EXISTS BASED ON
HISTORICAL EARTHQUAKE AND TSUNAMI DATA.
HOWEVER - EARTHQUAKES OF THIS SIZE SOMETIMES GENERATE LOCAL
TSUNAMIS THAT CAN BE DESTRUCTIVE ALONG COASTS LOCATED WITHIN
A HUNDRED KILOMETERS OF THE EARTHQUAKE EPICENTER. AUTHORITIES
IN THE REGION OF THE EPICENTER SHOULD BE AWARE OF THIS
POSSIBILITY AND TAKE APPROPRIATE ACTION.
THIS WILL BE THE ONLY BULLETIN ISSUED FOR THIS EVENT UNLESS
ADDITIONAL INFORMATION BECOMES AVAILABLE.
THE WEST COAST/ALASKA TSUNAMI WARNING CENTER WILL ISSUE PRODUCTS
FOR ALASKA...BRITISH COLUMBIA...WASHINGTON...OREGON...CALIFORNIA.
PACIFIC TSUNAMI WARNING CENTER/NOAA/NWS
ISSUED AT 2308Z 31 OCT 2013
THIS BULLETIN APPLIES TO AREAS WITHIN AND BORDERING THE PACIFIC
OCEAN AND ADJACENT SEAS...EXCEPT ALASKA...BRITISH COLUMBIA...
WASHINGTON...OREGON AND CALIFORNIA.
... TSUNAMI INFORMATION BULLETIN ...
THIS BULLETIN IS FOR INFORMATION ONLY.
THIS BULLETIN IS ISSUED AS ADVICE TO GOVERNMENT AGENCIES. ONLY
NATIONAL AND LOCAL GOVERNMENT AGENCIES HAVE THE AUTHORITY TO MAKE
DECISIONS REGARDING THE OFFICIAL STATE OF ALERT IN THEIR AREA AND
ANY ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN IN RESPONSE.
AN EARTHQUAKE HAS OCCURRED WITH THESE PRELIMINARY PARAMETERS
ORIGIN TIME - 2304Z 31 OCT 2013
COORDINATES - 30.3 SOUTH 71.9 WEST
DEPTH - 10 KM
LOCATION - NEAR THE COAST OF CENTRAL CHILE
MAGNITUDE - 6.6
EVALUATION
NO DESTRUCTIVE WIDESPREAD TSUNAMI THREAT EXISTS BASED ON
HISTORICAL EARTHQUAKE AND TSUNAMI DATA.
HOWEVER - EARTHQUAKES OF THIS SIZE SOMETIMES GENERATE LOCAL
TSUNAMIS THAT CAN BE DESTRUCTIVE ALONG COASTS LOCATED WITHIN
A HUNDRED KILOMETERS OF THE EARTHQUAKE EPICENTER. AUTHORITIES
IN THE REGION OF THE EPICENTER SHOULD BE AWARE OF THIS
POSSIBILITY AND TAKE APPROPRIATE ACTION.
THIS WILL BE THE ONLY BULLETIN ISSUED FOR THIS EVENT UNLESS
ADDITIONAL INFORMATION BECOMES AVAILABLE.
THE WEST COAST/ALASKA TSUNAMI WARNING CENTER WILL ISSUE PRODUCTS
FOR ALASKA...BRITISH COLUMBIA...WASHINGTON...OREGON...CALIFORNIA.
TSR Storm Alert - Typhoon KROSA
NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 31 Oct, 2013 18:00 GMT
Typhoon KROSA (29W) currently located near 18.6 N 120.3 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
the Philippines
probability for CAT 1 or above is 100% currently
probability for TS is 100% currently
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Laoag (18.2 N, 120.7 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 100% currently
probability for TS is 100% currently
Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
China
probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 60% in about 48 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Vigan (17.5 N, 120.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% currently
probability for TS is 100% currently
Tuguegarao (17.6 N, 121.8 E)
probability for TS is 80% currently
Haikou (20.0 N, 110.4 E)
probability for TS is 55% in about 72 hours
Qionghai (19.2 N, 110.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 55% in about 48 hours
Yaxian (18.4 N, 109.4 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 45% in about 72 hours
Green Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Vietnam
probability for TS is 40% in about 72 hours
Hong Kong
probability for TS is 35% in about 36 hours
Laos
probability for TS is 35% in about 72 hours
Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Santiago (16.7 N, 121.5 E)
probability for TS is 45% currently
Zhanjiang (21.2 N, 110.3 E)
probability for TS is 40% in about 72 hours
Da Nang (16.1 N, 108.2 E)
probability for TS is 40% in about 72 hours
Maoming (21.9 N, 110.9 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 72 hours
Dong Ha (16.8 N, 107.1 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 72 hours
Quang Ngai (15.1 N, 108.8 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 72 hours
Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
Typhoon KROSA (29W) currently located near 18.6 N 120.3 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
the Philippines
probability for CAT 1 or above is 100% currently
probability for TS is 100% currently
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Laoag (18.2 N, 120.7 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 100% currently
probability for TS is 100% currently
Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
China
probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 60% in about 48 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Vigan (17.5 N, 120.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% currently
probability for TS is 100% currently
Tuguegarao (17.6 N, 121.8 E)
probability for TS is 80% currently
Haikou (20.0 N, 110.4 E)
probability for TS is 55% in about 72 hours
Qionghai (19.2 N, 110.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 55% in about 48 hours
Yaxian (18.4 N, 109.4 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 45% in about 72 hours
Green Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Vietnam
probability for TS is 40% in about 72 hours
Hong Kong
probability for TS is 35% in about 36 hours
Laos
probability for TS is 35% in about 72 hours
Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Santiago (16.7 N, 121.5 E)
probability for TS is 45% currently
Zhanjiang (21.2 N, 110.3 E)
probability for TS is 40% in about 72 hours
Da Nang (16.1 N, 108.2 E)
probability for TS is 40% in about 72 hours
Maoming (21.9 N, 110.9 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 72 hours
Dong Ha (16.8 N, 107.1 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 72 hours
Quang Ngai (15.1 N, 108.8 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 72 hours
Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
TSR Storm Alert - Typhoon KROSA
NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 31 Oct, 2013 12:00 GMT
Typhoon KROSA (29W) currently located near 18.3 N 121.8 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
the Philippines
probability for CAT 1 or above is 100% currently
probability for TS is 100% currently
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Laoag (18.2 N, 120.7 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 95% within 12 hours
probability for TS is 100% currently
Tuguegarao (17.6 N, 121.8 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 65% currently
probability for TS is 100% currently
Vigan (17.5 N, 120.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 55% within 12 hours
probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
China
probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 45% in about 48 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Santiago (16.7 N, 121.5 E)
probability for TS is 85% currently
Qionghai (19.2 N, 110.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 45% in about 72 hours
Haikou (20.0 N, 110.4 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 45% in about 72 hours
Yaxian (18.4 N, 109.4 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 40% in about 72 hours
Green Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Hong Kong
probability for TS is 35% in about 48 hours
Macau
probability for TS is 35% in about 48 hours
Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
San Jose (15.8 N, 121.0 E)
probability for TS is 40% within 12 hours
Zhanjiang (21.2 N, 110.3 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 72 hours
Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
Typhoon KROSA (29W) currently located near 18.3 N 121.8 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
the Philippines
probability for CAT 1 or above is 100% currently
probability for TS is 100% currently
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Laoag (18.2 N, 120.7 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 95% within 12 hours
probability for TS is 100% currently
Tuguegarao (17.6 N, 121.8 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 65% currently
probability for TS is 100% currently
Vigan (17.5 N, 120.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 55% within 12 hours
probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
China
probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 45% in about 48 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Santiago (16.7 N, 121.5 E)
probability for TS is 85% currently
Qionghai (19.2 N, 110.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 45% in about 72 hours
Haikou (20.0 N, 110.4 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 45% in about 72 hours
Yaxian (18.4 N, 109.4 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 40% in about 72 hours
Green Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Hong Kong
probability for TS is 35% in about 48 hours
Macau
probability for TS is 35% in about 48 hours
Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
San Jose (15.8 N, 121.0 E)
probability for TS is 40% within 12 hours
Zhanjiang (21.2 N, 110.3 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 72 hours
Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
[Tsunami Message - IOC] NWS-NTWC Tsunami Information Statement
WEAK53 PAAQ 311212
TIBAK1
PUBLIC TSUNAMI INFORMATION STATEMENT NUMBER 1
NWS NATIONAL TSUNAMI WARNING CENTER PALMER AK
512 AM PDT THU OCT 31 2013
...THIS IS A TSUNAMI INFORMATION STATEMENT FOR ALASKA/ BRITISH
COLUMBIA/ WASHINGTON/ OREGON AND CALIFORNIA...
EVALUATION
----------
* THERE IS NO TSUNAMI DANGER FOR THE AREAS LISTED ABOVE.
* THIS EVALUATION IS BASED ON EARTHQUAKE INFORMATION AND
HISTORIC TSUNAMI RECORDS.
* AN EARTHQUAKE HAS OCCURRED WITH PARAMETERS LISTED BELOW.
PRELIMINARY EARTHQUAKE PARAMETERS
---------------------------------
* MAGNITUDE 6.7
* ORIGIN TIME 0402 AKDT OCT 31 2013
0502 PDT OCT 31 2013
1202 UTC OCT 31 2013
* COORDINATES 23.5 NORTH 121.3 EAST
* DEPTH 6 MILES
* LOCATION TAIWAN
NEXT UPDATE AND ADDITIONAL INFORMATION
--------------------------------------
* THIS WILL BE THE ONLY U.S. NATIONAL TSUNAMI WARNING CENTER
MESSAGE FOR THIS EVENT UNLESS ADDITIONAL INFORMATION BECOMES
AVAILABLE.
* REFER TO THE INTERNET SITE NTWC.ARH.NOAA.GOV FOR
ADDITIONAL INFORMATION.
* PACIFIC COASTAL REGIONS OUTSIDE CALIFORNIA... OREGON...
WASHINGTON... BRITISH COLUMBIA AND ALASKA SHOULD REFER TO THE
PACIFIC TSUNAMI WARNING CENTER MESSAGES AT PTWC.WEATHER.GOV.
$$
TIBAK1
PUBLIC TSUNAMI INFORMATION STATEMENT NUMBER 1
NWS NATIONAL TSUNAMI WARNING CENTER PALMER AK
512 AM PDT THU OCT 31 2013
...THIS IS A TSUNAMI INFORMATION STATEMENT FOR ALASKA/ BRITISH
COLUMBIA/ WASHINGTON/ OREGON AND CALIFORNIA...
EVALUATION
----------
* THERE IS NO TSUNAMI DANGER FOR THE AREAS LISTED ABOVE.
* THIS EVALUATION IS BASED ON EARTHQUAKE INFORMATION AND
HISTORIC TSUNAMI RECORDS.
* AN EARTHQUAKE HAS OCCURRED WITH PARAMETERS LISTED BELOW.
PRELIMINARY EARTHQUAKE PARAMETERS
---------------------------------
* MAGNITUDE 6.7
* ORIGIN TIME 0402 AKDT OCT 31 2013
0502 PDT OCT 31 2013
1202 UTC OCT 31 2013
* COORDINATES 23.5 NORTH 121.3 EAST
* DEPTH 6 MILES
* LOCATION TAIWAN
NEXT UPDATE AND ADDITIONAL INFORMATION
--------------------------------------
* THIS WILL BE THE ONLY U.S. NATIONAL TSUNAMI WARNING CENTER
MESSAGE FOR THIS EVENT UNLESS ADDITIONAL INFORMATION BECOMES
AVAILABLE.
* REFER TO THE INTERNET SITE NTWC.ARH.NOAA.GOV FOR
ADDITIONAL INFORMATION.
* PACIFIC COASTAL REGIONS OUTSIDE CALIFORNIA... OREGON...
WASHINGTON... BRITISH COLUMBIA AND ALASKA SHOULD REFER TO THE
PACIFIC TSUNAMI WARNING CENTER MESSAGES AT PTWC.WEATHER.GOV.
$$
[Tsunami Message - IOC] Tsunami Information Bulletin
TSUNAMI BULLETIN NUMBER 001
PACIFIC TSUNAMI WARNING CENTER/NOAA/NWS
ISSUED AT 1210Z 31 OCT 2013
THIS BULLETIN APPLIES TO AREAS WITHIN AND BORDERING THE PACIFIC
OCEAN AND ADJACENT SEAS...EXCEPT ALASKA...BRITISH COLUMBIA...
WASHINGTON...OREGON AND CALIFORNIA.
... TSUNAMI INFORMATION BULLETIN ...
THIS BULLETIN IS FOR INFORMATION ONLY.
THIS BULLETIN IS ISSUED AS ADVICE TO GOVERNMENT AGENCIES. ONLY
NATIONAL AND LOCAL GOVERNMENT AGENCIES HAVE THE AUTHORITY TO MAKE
DECISIONS REGARDING THE OFFICIAL STATE OF ALERT IN THEIR AREA AND
ANY ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN IN RESPONSE.
AN EARTHQUAKE HAS OCCURRED WITH THESE PRELIMINARY PARAMETERS
ORIGIN TIME - 1202Z 31 OCT 2013
COORDINATES - 23.5 NORTH 121.3 EAST
DEPTH - 10 KM
LOCATION - TAIWAN
MAGNITUDE - 6.7
EVALUATION
NO DESTRUCTIVE WIDESPREAD TSUNAMI THREAT EXISTS BASED ON
HISTORICAL EARTHQUAKE AND TSUNAMI DATA.
HOWEVER - EARTHQUAKES OF THIS SIZE SOMETIMES GENERATE LOCAL
TSUNAMIS THAT CAN BE DESTRUCTIVE ALONG COASTS LOCATED WITHIN
A HUNDRED KILOMETERS OF THE EARTHQUAKE EPICENTER. AUTHORITIES
IN THE REGION OF THE EPICENTER SHOULD BE AWARE OF THIS
POSSIBILITY AND TAKE APPROPRIATE ACTION.
THIS WILL BE THE ONLY BULLETIN ISSUED FOR THIS EVENT UNLESS
ADDITIONAL INFORMATION BECOMES AVAILABLE.
THE JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY MAY ALSO ISSUE TSUNAMI MESSAGES
FOR THIS EVENT TO COUNTRIES IN THE NORTHWEST PACIFIC AND SOUTH
CHINA SEA REGION. IN CASE OF CONFLICTING INFORMATION... THE
MORE CONSERVATIVE INFORMATION SHOULD BE USED FOR SAFETY.
THE WEST COAST/ALASKA TSUNAMI WARNING CENTER WILL ISSUE PRODUCTS
FOR ALASKA...BRITISH COLUMBIA...WASHINGTON...OREGON...CALIFORNIA.
PACIFIC TSUNAMI WARNING CENTER/NOAA/NWS
ISSUED AT 1210Z 31 OCT 2013
THIS BULLETIN APPLIES TO AREAS WITHIN AND BORDERING THE PACIFIC
OCEAN AND ADJACENT SEAS...EXCEPT ALASKA...BRITISH COLUMBIA...
WASHINGTON...OREGON AND CALIFORNIA.
... TSUNAMI INFORMATION BULLETIN ...
THIS BULLETIN IS FOR INFORMATION ONLY.
THIS BULLETIN IS ISSUED AS ADVICE TO GOVERNMENT AGENCIES. ONLY
NATIONAL AND LOCAL GOVERNMENT AGENCIES HAVE THE AUTHORITY TO MAKE
DECISIONS REGARDING THE OFFICIAL STATE OF ALERT IN THEIR AREA AND
ANY ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN IN RESPONSE.
AN EARTHQUAKE HAS OCCURRED WITH THESE PRELIMINARY PARAMETERS
ORIGIN TIME - 1202Z 31 OCT 2013
COORDINATES - 23.5 NORTH 121.3 EAST
DEPTH - 10 KM
LOCATION - TAIWAN
MAGNITUDE - 6.7
EVALUATION
NO DESTRUCTIVE WIDESPREAD TSUNAMI THREAT EXISTS BASED ON
HISTORICAL EARTHQUAKE AND TSUNAMI DATA.
HOWEVER - EARTHQUAKES OF THIS SIZE SOMETIMES GENERATE LOCAL
TSUNAMIS THAT CAN BE DESTRUCTIVE ALONG COASTS LOCATED WITHIN
A HUNDRED KILOMETERS OF THE EARTHQUAKE EPICENTER. AUTHORITIES
IN THE REGION OF THE EPICENTER SHOULD BE AWARE OF THIS
POSSIBILITY AND TAKE APPROPRIATE ACTION.
THIS WILL BE THE ONLY BULLETIN ISSUED FOR THIS EVENT UNLESS
ADDITIONAL INFORMATION BECOMES AVAILABLE.
THE JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY MAY ALSO ISSUE TSUNAMI MESSAGES
FOR THIS EVENT TO COUNTRIES IN THE NORTHWEST PACIFIC AND SOUTH
CHINA SEA REGION. IN CASE OF CONFLICTING INFORMATION... THE
MORE CONSERVATIVE INFORMATION SHOULD BE USED FOR SAFETY.
THE WEST COAST/ALASKA TSUNAMI WARNING CENTER WILL ISSUE PRODUCTS
FOR ALASKA...BRITISH COLUMBIA...WASHINGTON...OREGON...CALIFORNIA.
TSR Storm Alert - Typhoon KROSA
NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 31 Oct, 2013 6:00 GMT
Typhoon KROSA (29W) currently located near 18.0 N 123.0 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
the Philippines
probability for CAT 1 or above is 100% within 12 hours
probability for TS is 100% currently
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Laoag (18.2 N, 120.7 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 85% within 12 hours
probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
Tuguegarao (17.6 N, 121.8 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 85% within 12 hours
probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
Vigan (17.5 N, 120.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 50% within 12 hours
probability for TS is 90% within 12 hours
Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
China
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 40% in about 48 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Santiago (16.7 N, 121.5 E)
probability for TS is 75% within 12 hours
Qionghai (19.2 N, 110.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 40% in about 72 hours
Haikou (20.0 N, 110.4 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 40% in about 96 hours
Green Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Hong Kong
probability for TS is 40% in about 48 hours
Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Hong Kong (22.4 N, 114.2 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 48 hours
Yaxian (18.4 N, 109.4 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 96 hours
Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
Typhoon KROSA (29W) currently located near 18.0 N 123.0 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
the Philippines
probability for CAT 1 or above is 100% within 12 hours
probability for TS is 100% currently
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Laoag (18.2 N, 120.7 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 85% within 12 hours
probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
Tuguegarao (17.6 N, 121.8 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 85% within 12 hours
probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
Vigan (17.5 N, 120.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 50% within 12 hours
probability for TS is 90% within 12 hours
Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
China
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 40% in about 48 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Santiago (16.7 N, 121.5 E)
probability for TS is 75% within 12 hours
Qionghai (19.2 N, 110.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 40% in about 72 hours
Haikou (20.0 N, 110.4 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 40% in about 96 hours
Green Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Hong Kong
probability for TS is 40% in about 48 hours
Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Hong Kong (22.4 N, 114.2 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 48 hours
Yaxian (18.4 N, 109.4 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 96 hours
Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
Wednesday, October 30, 2013
TSR Storm Alert - Typhoon KROSA
NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 31 Oct, 2013 0:00 GMT
Typhoon KROSA (29W) currently located near 17.8 N 124.1 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
the Philippines
probability for CAT 1 or above is 95% within 12 hours
probability for TS is 95% within 12 hours
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Tuguegarao (17.6 N, 121.8 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 85% within 12 hours
probability for TS is 95% within 12 hours
Laoag (18.2 N, 120.7 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 80% in about 24 hours
probability for TS is 90% within 12 hours
Vigan (17.5 N, 120.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 50% in about 24 hours
probability for TS is 85% in about 24 hours
Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
China
probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 45% in about 72 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Santiago (16.7 N, 121.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% within 12 hours
probability for TS is 70% within 12 hours
Qionghai (19.2 N, 110.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 45% in about 72 hours
Haikou (20.0 N, 110.4 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 40% in about 72 hours
Yaxian (18.4 N, 109.4 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 30% in about 72 hours
Maoming (21.9 N, 110.9 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 35% in about 72 hours
Zhanjiang (21.2 N, 110.3 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 35% in about 72 hours
Green Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Hong Kong
probability for TS is 40% in about 48 hours
Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Hong Kong (22.4 N, 114.2 E)
probability for TS is 40% in about 72 hours
Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
Typhoon KROSA (29W) currently located near 17.8 N 124.1 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
the Philippines
probability for CAT 1 or above is 95% within 12 hours
probability for TS is 95% within 12 hours
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Tuguegarao (17.6 N, 121.8 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 85% within 12 hours
probability for TS is 95% within 12 hours
Laoag (18.2 N, 120.7 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 80% in about 24 hours
probability for TS is 90% within 12 hours
Vigan (17.5 N, 120.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 50% in about 24 hours
probability for TS is 85% in about 24 hours
Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
China
probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 45% in about 72 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Santiago (16.7 N, 121.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% within 12 hours
probability for TS is 70% within 12 hours
Qionghai (19.2 N, 110.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 45% in about 72 hours
Haikou (20.0 N, 110.4 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 40% in about 72 hours
Yaxian (18.4 N, 109.4 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 30% in about 72 hours
Maoming (21.9 N, 110.9 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 35% in about 72 hours
Zhanjiang (21.2 N, 110.3 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 35% in about 72 hours
Green Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Hong Kong
probability for TS is 40% in about 48 hours
Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Hong Kong (22.4 N, 114.2 E)
probability for TS is 40% in about 72 hours
Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
TSR Storm Alert - Typhoon KROSA
NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 30 Oct, 2013 18:00 GMT
Typhoon KROSA (29W) currently located near 17.4 N 125.4 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
the Philippines
probability for CAT 1 or above is 75% in about 24 hours
probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Tuguegarao (17.6 N, 121.8 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 65% in about 24 hours
probability for TS is 90% within 12 hours
Laoag (18.2 N, 120.7 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 60% in about 24 hours
probability for TS is 85% in about 24 hours
Vigan (17.5 N, 120.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 45% in about 24 hours
probability for TS is 85% in about 24 hours
Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
China
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 40% in about 72 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Santiago (16.7 N, 121.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 24 hours
probability for TS is 75% in about 24 hours
Haikou (20.0 N, 110.4 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 35% in about 72 hours
Qionghai (19.2 N, 110.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 35% in about 72 hours
Yaxian (18.4 N, 109.4 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 25% in about 72 hours
Maoming (21.9 N, 110.9 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 30% in about 72 hours
Zhanjiang (21.2 N, 110.3 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 35% in about 72 hours
Green Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Hong Kong
probability for TS is 40% in about 72 hours
Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Hong Kong (22.4 N, 114.2 E)
probability for TS is 40% in about 72 hours
San Jose (15.8 N, 121.0 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 24 hours
Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
Typhoon KROSA (29W) currently located near 17.4 N 125.4 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
the Philippines
probability for CAT 1 or above is 75% in about 24 hours
probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Tuguegarao (17.6 N, 121.8 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 65% in about 24 hours
probability for TS is 90% within 12 hours
Laoag (18.2 N, 120.7 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 60% in about 24 hours
probability for TS is 85% in about 24 hours
Vigan (17.5 N, 120.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 45% in about 24 hours
probability for TS is 85% in about 24 hours
Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
China
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 40% in about 72 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Santiago (16.7 N, 121.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 24 hours
probability for TS is 75% in about 24 hours
Haikou (20.0 N, 110.4 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 35% in about 72 hours
Qionghai (19.2 N, 110.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 35% in about 72 hours
Yaxian (18.4 N, 109.4 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 25% in about 72 hours
Maoming (21.9 N, 110.9 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 30% in about 72 hours
Zhanjiang (21.2 N, 110.3 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 35% in about 72 hours
Green Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Hong Kong
probability for TS is 40% in about 72 hours
Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Hong Kong (22.4 N, 114.2 E)
probability for TS is 40% in about 72 hours
San Jose (15.8 N, 121.0 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 24 hours
Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm KROSA
NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 30 Oct, 2013 12:00 GMT
Tropical Storm KROSA (29W) currently located near 17.2 N 126.9 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
the Philippines
probability for CAT 1 or above is 50% in about 24 hours
probability for TS is 75% in about 24 hours
Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
China
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 40% in about 96 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Soliven (17.0 N, 122.4 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% in about 24 hours
probability for TS is 70% in about 24 hours
Laoag (18.2 N, 120.7 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 70% in about 36 hours
Vigan (17.5 N, 120.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 60% in about 24 hours
Zhanjiang (21.2 N, 110.3 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 25% in about 72 hours
Haikou (20.0 N, 110.4 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 30% in about 72 hours
Qionghai (19.2 N, 110.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 30% in about 72 hours
Yaxian (18.4 N, 109.4 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 25% in about 96 hours
Green Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Hong Kong
probability for TS is 35% in about 72 hours
Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
Tropical Storm KROSA (29W) currently located near 17.2 N 126.9 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
the Philippines
probability for CAT 1 or above is 50% in about 24 hours
probability for TS is 75% in about 24 hours
Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
China
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 40% in about 96 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Soliven (17.0 N, 122.4 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% in about 24 hours
probability for TS is 70% in about 24 hours
Laoag (18.2 N, 120.7 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 70% in about 36 hours
Vigan (17.5 N, 120.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 60% in about 24 hours
Zhanjiang (21.2 N, 110.3 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 25% in about 72 hours
Haikou (20.0 N, 110.4 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 30% in about 72 hours
Qionghai (19.2 N, 110.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 30% in about 72 hours
Yaxian (18.4 N, 109.4 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 25% in about 96 hours
Green Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Hong Kong
probability for TS is 35% in about 72 hours
Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm KROSA
NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 30 Oct, 2013 6:00 GMT
Tropical Storm KROSA (29W) currently located near 17.0 N 128.4 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
the Philippines
probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 65% in about 24 hours
China
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 35% in about 72 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Soliven (17.0 N, 122.4 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 24 hours
probability for TS is 60% in about 36 hours
Laoag (18.2 N, 120.7 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 50% in about 36 hours
Haikou (20.0 N, 110.4 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 25% in about 72 hours
Qionghai (19.2 N, 110.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 30% in about 96 hours
Vigan (17.5 N, 120.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 50% in about 36 hours
Zhanjiang (21.2 N, 110.3 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 25% in about 96 hours
Yaxian (18.4 N, 109.4 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 25% in about 96 hours
Note that
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
Tropical Storm KROSA (29W) currently located near 17.0 N 128.4 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
the Philippines
probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 65% in about 24 hours
China
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 35% in about 72 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Soliven (17.0 N, 122.4 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 24 hours
probability for TS is 60% in about 36 hours
Laoag (18.2 N, 120.7 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 50% in about 36 hours
Haikou (20.0 N, 110.4 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 25% in about 72 hours
Qionghai (19.2 N, 110.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 30% in about 96 hours
Vigan (17.5 N, 120.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 50% in about 36 hours
Zhanjiang (21.2 N, 110.3 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 25% in about 96 hours
Yaxian (18.4 N, 109.4 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 25% in about 96 hours
Note that
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
Tuesday, October 29, 2013
TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm KROSA
NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 30 Oct, 2013 0:00 GMT
Tropical Storm KROSA (29W) currently located near 16.2 N 129.6 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
the Philippines
probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 55% in about 36 hours
China
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 20% in about 96 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Soliven (17.0 N, 122.4 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 55% in about 36 hours
Haikou (20.0 N, 110.4 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 20% in about 96 hours
Qionghai (19.2 N, 110.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 20% in about 96 hours
Yaxian (18.4 N, 109.4 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 20% in about 96 hours
Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Laoag (18.2 N, 120.7 E)
probability for TS is 50% in about 36 hours
Vigan (17.5 N, 120.5 E)
probability for TS is 50% in about 36 hours
San Jose (15.8 N, 121.5 E)
probability for TS is 45% in about 36 hours
Note that
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
Tropical Storm KROSA (29W) currently located near 16.2 N 129.6 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
the Philippines
probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 55% in about 36 hours
China
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 20% in about 96 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Soliven (17.0 N, 122.4 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 55% in about 36 hours
Haikou (20.0 N, 110.4 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 20% in about 96 hours
Qionghai (19.2 N, 110.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 20% in about 96 hours
Yaxian (18.4 N, 109.4 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 20% in about 96 hours
Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Laoag (18.2 N, 120.7 E)
probability for TS is 50% in about 36 hours
Vigan (17.5 N, 120.5 E)
probability for TS is 50% in about 36 hours
San Jose (15.8 N, 121.5 E)
probability for TS is 45% in about 36 hours
Note that
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Depression KROSA
NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 29 Oct, 2013 18:00 GMT
Tropical Depression KROSA (29W) currently located near 16.1 N 131.0 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
the Philippines
probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 70% in about 36 hours
China
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 25% in about 96 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Soliven (17.0 N, 122.4 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 70% in about 36 hours
Laoag (18.2 N, 120.7 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 45% in about 48 hours
Vigan (17.5 N, 120.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 45% in about 48 hours
Haikou (20.0 N, 110.4 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 25% in about 96 hours
Qionghai (19.2 N, 110.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 25% in about 96 hours
Yaxian (18.4 N, 109.4 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 25% in about 96 hours
Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
San Jose (15.8 N, 121.5 E)
probability for TS is 45% in about 48 hours
Note that
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
Tropical Depression KROSA (29W) currently located near 16.1 N 131.0 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
the Philippines
probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 70% in about 36 hours
China
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 25% in about 96 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Soliven (17.0 N, 122.4 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 70% in about 36 hours
Laoag (18.2 N, 120.7 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 45% in about 48 hours
Vigan (17.5 N, 120.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 45% in about 48 hours
Haikou (20.0 N, 110.4 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 25% in about 96 hours
Qionghai (19.2 N, 110.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 25% in about 96 hours
Yaxian (18.4 N, 109.4 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 25% in about 96 hours
Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
San Jose (15.8 N, 121.5 E)
probability for TS is 45% in about 48 hours
Note that
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Depression TWENTYNINE
NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 29 Oct, 2013 12:00 GMT
Tropical Depression TWENTYNINE (29W) currently located near 15.6 N 131.9 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
the Philippines
probability for TS is 55% in about 48 hours
China
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 25% in about 96 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Laoag (18.2 N, 120.7 E)
probability for TS is 55% in about 48 hours
Vigan (17.5 N, 120.5 E)
probability for TS is 55% in about 48 hours
Soliven (17.0 N, 122.4 E)
probability for TS is 55% in about 48 hours
Zhanjiang (21.2 N, 110.3 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 25% in about 96 hours
Haikou (20.0 N, 110.4 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 25% in about 96 hours
Qionghai (19.2 N, 110.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 25% in about 96 hours
Yaxian (18.4 N, 109.4 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 25% in about 96 hours
Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
San Jose (15.8 N, 121.5 E)
probability for TS is 45% in about 48 hours
Note that
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
Tropical Depression TWENTYNINE (29W) currently located near 15.6 N 131.9 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
the Philippines
probability for TS is 55% in about 48 hours
China
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 25% in about 96 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Laoag (18.2 N, 120.7 E)
probability for TS is 55% in about 48 hours
Vigan (17.5 N, 120.5 E)
probability for TS is 55% in about 48 hours
Soliven (17.0 N, 122.4 E)
probability for TS is 55% in about 48 hours
Zhanjiang (21.2 N, 110.3 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 25% in about 96 hours
Haikou (20.0 N, 110.4 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 25% in about 96 hours
Qionghai (19.2 N, 110.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 25% in about 96 hours
Yaxian (18.4 N, 109.4 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 25% in about 96 hours
Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
San Jose (15.8 N, 121.5 E)
probability for TS is 45% in about 48 hours
Note that
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Depression TWENTYNINE
NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 29 Oct, 2013 6:00 GMT
Tropical Depression TWENTYNINE (29W) currently located near 15.6 N 133.4 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
the Philippines
probability for TS is 55% in about 48 hours
China
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 25% in about 96 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Laoag (18.2 N, 120.7 E)
probability for TS is 55% in about 72 hours
Soliven (17.0 N, 122.4 E)
probability for TS is 55% in about 48 hours
Maoming (21.9 N, 110.9 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 25% in about 96 hours
Zhanjiang (21.2 N, 110.3 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 25% in about 96 hours
Haikou (20.0 N, 110.4 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 25% in about 96 hours
Qionghai (19.2 N, 110.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 25% in about 96 hours
Yaxian (18.4 N, 109.4 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 25% in about 96 hours
Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Vigan (17.5 N, 120.5 E)
probability for TS is 50% in about 48 hours
San Jose (15.8 N, 121.5 E)
probability for TS is 45% in about 48 hours
Note that
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
Tropical Depression TWENTYNINE (29W) currently located near 15.6 N 133.4 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
the Philippines
probability for TS is 55% in about 48 hours
China
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 25% in about 96 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Laoag (18.2 N, 120.7 E)
probability for TS is 55% in about 72 hours
Soliven (17.0 N, 122.4 E)
probability for TS is 55% in about 48 hours
Maoming (21.9 N, 110.9 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 25% in about 96 hours
Zhanjiang (21.2 N, 110.3 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 25% in about 96 hours
Haikou (20.0 N, 110.4 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 25% in about 96 hours
Qionghai (19.2 N, 110.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 25% in about 96 hours
Yaxian (18.4 N, 109.4 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 25% in about 96 hours
Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Vigan (17.5 N, 120.5 E)
probability for TS is 50% in about 48 hours
San Jose (15.8 N, 121.5 E)
probability for TS is 45% in about 48 hours
Note that
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
Monday, October 28, 2013
TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Depression TWENTYNINE
NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 29 Oct, 2013 0:00 GMT
Tropical Depression TWENTYNINE (29W) currently located near 15.3 N 134.5 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
the Philippines
probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 60% in about 48 hours
China
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 25% in about 96 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Soliven (17.0 N, 122.4 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 60% in about 48 hours
San Jose (15.8 N, 121.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 55% in about 48 hours
Laoag (18.2 N, 120.7 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 45% in about 72 hours
Vigan (17.5 N, 120.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 45% in about 72 hours
Zhanjiang (21.2 N, 110.3 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 25% in about 96 hours
Haikou (20.0 N, 110.4 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 25% in about 96 hours
Qionghai (19.2 N, 110.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 25% in about 96 hours
Yaxian (18.4 N, 109.4 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 25% in about 96 hours
Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Daet (14.2 N, 122.9 E)
probability for TS is 40% in about 48 hours
Manila (14.6 N, 121.0 E)
probability for TS is 40% in about 72 hours
Note that
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
Tropical Depression TWENTYNINE (29W) currently located near 15.3 N 134.5 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
the Philippines
probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 60% in about 48 hours
China
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 25% in about 96 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Soliven (17.0 N, 122.4 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 60% in about 48 hours
San Jose (15.8 N, 121.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 55% in about 48 hours
Laoag (18.2 N, 120.7 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 45% in about 72 hours
Vigan (17.5 N, 120.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 45% in about 72 hours
Zhanjiang (21.2 N, 110.3 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 25% in about 96 hours
Haikou (20.0 N, 110.4 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 25% in about 96 hours
Qionghai (19.2 N, 110.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 25% in about 96 hours
Yaxian (18.4 N, 109.4 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 25% in about 96 hours
Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Daet (14.2 N, 122.9 E)
probability for TS is 40% in about 48 hours
Manila (14.6 N, 121.0 E)
probability for TS is 40% in about 72 hours
Note that
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
Friday, October 25, 2013
[Tsunami Message - IOC] NWS-NTWC Tsunami Information Statement
WEAK53 PAAQ 251722
TIBAK1
PUBLIC TSUNAMI INFORMATION STATEMENT NUMBER 1
NWS NATIONAL TSUNAMI WARNING CENTER PALMER AK
1022 AM PDT FRI OCT 25 2013
...THIS IS A TSUNAMI INFORMATION STATEMENT FOR ALASKA/ BRITISH
COLUMBIA/ WASHINGTON/ OREGON AND CALIFORNIA...
EVALUATION
----------
* THERE IS NO TSUNAMI DANGER FOR THE AREAS LISTED ABOVE.
* THIS EVALUATION IS BASED ON EARTHQUAKE INFORMATION AND
HISTORIC TSUNAMI RECORDS.
* AN EARTHQUAKE HAS OCCURRED WITH PARAMETERS LISTED BELOW.
PRELIMINARY EARTHQUAKE PARAMETERS
---------------------------------
* MAGNITUDE 7.5
* ORIGIN TIME 0910 AKDT OCT 25 2013
1010 PDT OCT 25 2013
1710 UTC OCT 25 2013
* COORDINATES 37.2 NORTH 144.6 EAST
* DEPTH 6 MILES
* LOCATION OFF EAST COAST OF HONSHU JAPAN
NEXT UPDATE AND ADDITIONAL INFORMATION
--------------------------------------
* THIS WILL BE THE ONLY U.S. NATIONAL TSUNAMI WARNING CENTER
MESSAGE FOR THIS EVENT UNLESS ADDITIONAL INFORMATION BECOMES
AVAILABLE.
* REFER TO THE INTERNET SITE NTWC.ARH.NOAA.GOV FOR
ADDITIONAL INFORMATION.
* PACIFIC COASTAL REGIONS OUTSIDE CALIFORNIA... OREGON...
WASHINGTON... BRITISH COLUMBIA AND ALASKA SHOULD REFER TO THE
PACIFIC TSUNAMI WARNING CENTER MESSAGES AT PTWC.WEATHER.GOV.
$$
TIBAK1
PUBLIC TSUNAMI INFORMATION STATEMENT NUMBER 1
NWS NATIONAL TSUNAMI WARNING CENTER PALMER AK
1022 AM PDT FRI OCT 25 2013
...THIS IS A TSUNAMI INFORMATION STATEMENT FOR ALASKA/ BRITISH
COLUMBIA/ WASHINGTON/ OREGON AND CALIFORNIA...
EVALUATION
----------
* THERE IS NO TSUNAMI DANGER FOR THE AREAS LISTED ABOVE.
* THIS EVALUATION IS BASED ON EARTHQUAKE INFORMATION AND
HISTORIC TSUNAMI RECORDS.
* AN EARTHQUAKE HAS OCCURRED WITH PARAMETERS LISTED BELOW.
PRELIMINARY EARTHQUAKE PARAMETERS
---------------------------------
* MAGNITUDE 7.5
* ORIGIN TIME 0910 AKDT OCT 25 2013
1010 PDT OCT 25 2013
1710 UTC OCT 25 2013
* COORDINATES 37.2 NORTH 144.6 EAST
* DEPTH 6 MILES
* LOCATION OFF EAST COAST OF HONSHU JAPAN
NEXT UPDATE AND ADDITIONAL INFORMATION
--------------------------------------
* THIS WILL BE THE ONLY U.S. NATIONAL TSUNAMI WARNING CENTER
MESSAGE FOR THIS EVENT UNLESS ADDITIONAL INFORMATION BECOMES
AVAILABLE.
* REFER TO THE INTERNET SITE NTWC.ARH.NOAA.GOV FOR
ADDITIONAL INFORMATION.
* PACIFIC COASTAL REGIONS OUTSIDE CALIFORNIA... OREGON...
WASHINGTON... BRITISH COLUMBIA AND ALASKA SHOULD REFER TO THE
PACIFIC TSUNAMI WARNING CENTER MESSAGES AT PTWC.WEATHER.GOV.
$$
[Tsunami Message - IOC] Tsunami Information Bulletin
TSUNAMI BULLETIN NUMBER 001
PACIFIC TSUNAMI WARNING CENTER/NOAA/NWS
ISSUED AT 1720Z 25 OCT 2013
THIS BULLETIN APPLIES TO AREAS WITHIN AND BORDERING THE PACIFIC
OCEAN AND ADJACENT SEAS...EXCEPT ALASKA...BRITISH COLUMBIA...
WASHINGTON...OREGON AND CALIFORNIA.
... TSUNAMI INFORMATION BULLETIN ...
THIS BULLETIN IS FOR INFORMATION ONLY.
THIS BULLETIN IS ISSUED AS ADVICE TO GOVERNMENT AGENCIES. ONLY
NATIONAL AND LOCAL GOVERNMENT AGENCIES HAVE THE AUTHORITY TO MAKE
DECISIONS REGARDING THE OFFICIAL STATE OF ALERT IN THEIR AREA AND
ANY ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN IN RESPONSE.
AN EARTHQUAKE HAS OCCURRED WITH THESE PRELIMINARY PARAMETERS
REPORTED BY THE JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.
ORIGIN TIME - 1710Z 25 OCT 2013
COORDINATES - 37.2 NORTH 144.6 EAST
DEPTH - 10 KM
LOCATION - OFF THE EAST COAST OF HONSHU JAPAN
MAGNITUDE - 7.5
EVALUATION
NO DESTRUCTIVE WIDESPREAD TSUNAMI THREAT EXISTS BASED ON
HISTORICAL EARTHQUAKE AND TSUNAMI DATA.
HOWEVER - EARTHQUAKES OF THIS SIZE SOMETIMES GENERATE LOCAL
TSUNAMIS THAT CAN BE DESTRUCTIVE ALONG COASTS LOCATED WITHIN
A HUNDRED KILOMETERS OF THE EARTHQUAKE EPICENTER. AUTHORITIES
IN THE REGION OF THE EPICENTER SHOULD BE AWARE OF THIS
POSSIBILITY AND TAKE APPROPRIATE ACTION.
THIS WILL BE THE ONLY BULLETIN ISSUED FOR THIS EVENT UNLESS
ADDITIONAL INFORMATION BECOMES AVAILABLE.
THE JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY MAY ALSO ISSUE TSUNAMI MESSAGES
FOR THIS EVENT TO COUNTRIES IN THE NORTHWEST PACIFIC AND SOUTH
CHINA SEA REGION. IN CASE OF CONFLICTING INFORMATION... THE
MORE CONSERVATIVE INFORMATION SHOULD BE USED FOR SAFETY.
THE WEST COAST/ALASKA TSUNAMI WARNING CENTER WILL ISSUE PRODUCTS
FOR ALASKA...BRITISH COLUMBIA...WASHINGTON...OREGON...CALIFORNIA.
PACIFIC TSUNAMI WARNING CENTER/NOAA/NWS
ISSUED AT 1720Z 25 OCT 2013
THIS BULLETIN APPLIES TO AREAS WITHIN AND BORDERING THE PACIFIC
OCEAN AND ADJACENT SEAS...EXCEPT ALASKA...BRITISH COLUMBIA...
WASHINGTON...OREGON AND CALIFORNIA.
... TSUNAMI INFORMATION BULLETIN ...
THIS BULLETIN IS FOR INFORMATION ONLY.
THIS BULLETIN IS ISSUED AS ADVICE TO GOVERNMENT AGENCIES. ONLY
NATIONAL AND LOCAL GOVERNMENT AGENCIES HAVE THE AUTHORITY TO MAKE
DECISIONS REGARDING THE OFFICIAL STATE OF ALERT IN THEIR AREA AND
ANY ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN IN RESPONSE.
AN EARTHQUAKE HAS OCCURRED WITH THESE PRELIMINARY PARAMETERS
REPORTED BY THE JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.
ORIGIN TIME - 1710Z 25 OCT 2013
COORDINATES - 37.2 NORTH 144.6 EAST
DEPTH - 10 KM
LOCATION - OFF THE EAST COAST OF HONSHU JAPAN
MAGNITUDE - 7.5
EVALUATION
NO DESTRUCTIVE WIDESPREAD TSUNAMI THREAT EXISTS BASED ON
HISTORICAL EARTHQUAKE AND TSUNAMI DATA.
HOWEVER - EARTHQUAKES OF THIS SIZE SOMETIMES GENERATE LOCAL
TSUNAMIS THAT CAN BE DESTRUCTIVE ALONG COASTS LOCATED WITHIN
A HUNDRED KILOMETERS OF THE EARTHQUAKE EPICENTER. AUTHORITIES
IN THE REGION OF THE EPICENTER SHOULD BE AWARE OF THIS
POSSIBILITY AND TAKE APPROPRIATE ACTION.
THIS WILL BE THE ONLY BULLETIN ISSUED FOR THIS EVENT UNLESS
ADDITIONAL INFORMATION BECOMES AVAILABLE.
THE JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY MAY ALSO ISSUE TSUNAMI MESSAGES
FOR THIS EVENT TO COUNTRIES IN THE NORTHWEST PACIFIC AND SOUTH
CHINA SEA REGION. IN CASE OF CONFLICTING INFORMATION... THE
MORE CONSERVATIVE INFORMATION SHOULD BE USED FOR SAFETY.
THE WEST COAST/ALASKA TSUNAMI WARNING CENTER WILL ISSUE PRODUCTS
FOR ALASKA...BRITISH COLUMBIA...WASHINGTON...OREGON...CALIFORNIA.
TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm FRANCISCO
NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 25 Oct, 2013 12:00 GMT
Tropical Storm FRANCISCO (26W) currently located near 29.8 N 134.7 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Green Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Japan
probability for TS is 40% in about 24 hours
Note that
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
Tropical Storm FRANCISCO (26W) currently located near 29.8 N 134.7 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Green Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Japan
probability for TS is 40% in about 24 hours
Note that
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm FRANCISCO
NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 25 Oct, 2013 6:00 GMT
Tropical Storm FRANCISCO (26W) currently located near 28.9 N 133.0 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Green Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Japan
probability for TS is 35% in about 24 hours
Note that
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
Tropical Storm FRANCISCO (26W) currently located near 28.9 N 133.0 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Green Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Japan
probability for TS is 35% in about 24 hours
Note that
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
Thursday, October 24, 2013
[Tsunami Message - IOC] NWS-NTWC Tsunami Information Statement
WEXX32 PAAQ 241939
TIBATE
PUBLIC TSUNAMI INFORMATION STATEMENT NUMBER 1
NWS NATIONAL TSUNAMI WARNING CENTER PALMER AK
339 PM EDT THU OCT 24 2013
...THIS IS A TSUNAMI INFORMATION STATEMENT FOR THE U.S. AND CANADA
EAST COASTS/ GULF OF MEXICO STATES/PUERTO RICO AND THE VIRGIN
ISLANDS...
EVALUATION
----------
* THERE IS NO TSUNAMI DANGER FOR THE AREAS LISTED ABOVE.
* BASED ON EARTHQUAKE INFORMATION AND HISTORIC TSUNAMI RECORDS
THE EARTHQUAKE IS NOT EXPECTED TO GENERATE A TSUNAMI.
* AN EARTHQUAKE HAS OCCURRED WITH PARAMETERS LISTED BELOW.
PRELIMINARY EARTHQUAKE PARAMETERS
---------------------------------
* MAGNITUDE 6.5
* ORIGIN TIME 1525 EDT OCT 24 2013
1425 CDT OCT 24 2013
1525 AST OCT 24 2013
1925 UTC OCT 24 2013
* COORDINATES 58.7 SOUTH 13.2 WEST
* DEPTH 12 MILES
* LOCATION SOUTHWESTERN ATLANTIC OCEAN
NEXT UPDATE AND ADDITIONAL INFORMATION
--------------------------------------
* THIS WILL BE THE ONLY U.S. NATIONAL TSUNAMI WARNING CENTER
MESSAGE FOR THIS EVENT UNLESS ADDITIONAL INFORMATION
BECOMES AVAILABLE.
* REFER TO THE INTERNET SITE NTWC.ARH.NOAA.GOV FOR
ADDITIONAL INFORMATION.
* CARIBBEAN COASTAL REGIONS OUTSIDE PUERTO RICO AND THE VIRGIN
ISLANDS SHOULD REFER TO THE PACIFIC TSUNAMI WARNING CENTER
MESSAGES AT PTWC.WEATHER.GOV.
$$
TIBATE
PUBLIC TSUNAMI INFORMATION STATEMENT NUMBER 1
NWS NATIONAL TSUNAMI WARNING CENTER PALMER AK
339 PM EDT THU OCT 24 2013
...THIS IS A TSUNAMI INFORMATION STATEMENT FOR THE U.S. AND CANADA
EAST COASTS/ GULF OF MEXICO STATES/PUERTO RICO AND THE VIRGIN
ISLANDS...
EVALUATION
----------
* THERE IS NO TSUNAMI DANGER FOR THE AREAS LISTED ABOVE.
* BASED ON EARTHQUAKE INFORMATION AND HISTORIC TSUNAMI RECORDS
THE EARTHQUAKE IS NOT EXPECTED TO GENERATE A TSUNAMI.
* AN EARTHQUAKE HAS OCCURRED WITH PARAMETERS LISTED BELOW.
PRELIMINARY EARTHQUAKE PARAMETERS
---------------------------------
* MAGNITUDE 6.5
* ORIGIN TIME 1525 EDT OCT 24 2013
1425 CDT OCT 24 2013
1525 AST OCT 24 2013
1925 UTC OCT 24 2013
* COORDINATES 58.7 SOUTH 13.2 WEST
* DEPTH 12 MILES
* LOCATION SOUTHWESTERN ATLANTIC OCEAN
NEXT UPDATE AND ADDITIONAL INFORMATION
--------------------------------------
* THIS WILL BE THE ONLY U.S. NATIONAL TSUNAMI WARNING CENTER
MESSAGE FOR THIS EVENT UNLESS ADDITIONAL INFORMATION
BECOMES AVAILABLE.
* REFER TO THE INTERNET SITE NTWC.ARH.NOAA.GOV FOR
ADDITIONAL INFORMATION.
* CARIBBEAN COASTAL REGIONS OUTSIDE PUERTO RICO AND THE VIRGIN
ISLANDS SHOULD REFER TO THE PACIFIC TSUNAMI WARNING CENTER
MESSAGES AT PTWC.WEATHER.GOV.
$$
[Tsunami Message - IOC] Tsunami Information Statement
TSUNAMI STATEMENT NUMBER 1
NWS PACIFIC TSUNAMI WARNING CENTER EWA BEACH HI
1938 UTC THU OCT 24 2013
THIS STATEMENT APPLIES TO COUNTRIES WITHIN AND BORDERING THE
CARIBBEAN SEA...EXCEPT FOR PUERTO RICO AND THE VIRGIN ISLANDS.
... TSUNAMI INFORMATION STATEMENT ...
THIS MESSAGE IS FOR INFORMATION ONLY.
THIS BULLETIN IS ISSUED AS ADVICE TO GOVERNMENT AGENCIES. ONLY
NATIONAL AND LOCAL GOVERNMENT AGENCIES HAVE THE AUTHORITY TO MAKE
DECISIONS REGARDING THE OFFICIAL STATE OF ALERT IN THEIR AREA AND
ANY ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN IN RESPONSE.
AN EARTHQUAKE HAS OCCURRED WITH THESE PRELIMINARY PARAMETERS
ORIGIN TIME - 1925Z 24 OCT 2013
COORDINATES - 58.7 SOUTH 13.2 WEST
LOCATION - EAST OF THE SOUTH SANDWICH ISLANDS
MAGNITUDE - 6.5
EVALUATION
A DESTRUCTIVE WIDESPREAD TSUNAMI THREAT DOES NOT EXIST BASED ON
HISTORICAL EARTHQUAKE AND TSUNAMI DATA.
HOWEVER - THERE IS THE SMALL POSSIBILITY OF A LOCAL OR REGIONAL
TSUNAMI THAT COULD AFFECT COASTS LOCATED USUALLY NO MORE THAN A
FEW HUNDRED KILOMETERS FROM THE EARTHQUAKE EPICENTER. AUTHORITIES
IN THE REGION NEAR THE EPICENTER SHOULD BE MADE AWARE OF THIS
POSSIBILITY.
THIS WILL BE THE ONLY PRODUCT ISSUED BY THE PACIFIC TSUNAMI
WARNING CENTER FOR THIS EVENT UNLESS ADDITIONAL INFORMATION
BECOMES AVAILABLE.
NWS PACIFIC TSUNAMI WARNING CENTER EWA BEACH HI
1938 UTC THU OCT 24 2013
THIS STATEMENT APPLIES TO COUNTRIES WITHIN AND BORDERING THE
CARIBBEAN SEA...EXCEPT FOR PUERTO RICO AND THE VIRGIN ISLANDS.
... TSUNAMI INFORMATION STATEMENT ...
THIS MESSAGE IS FOR INFORMATION ONLY.
THIS BULLETIN IS ISSUED AS ADVICE TO GOVERNMENT AGENCIES. ONLY
NATIONAL AND LOCAL GOVERNMENT AGENCIES HAVE THE AUTHORITY TO MAKE
DECISIONS REGARDING THE OFFICIAL STATE OF ALERT IN THEIR AREA AND
ANY ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN IN RESPONSE.
AN EARTHQUAKE HAS OCCURRED WITH THESE PRELIMINARY PARAMETERS
ORIGIN TIME - 1925Z 24 OCT 2013
COORDINATES - 58.7 SOUTH 13.2 WEST
LOCATION - EAST OF THE SOUTH SANDWICH ISLANDS
MAGNITUDE - 6.5
EVALUATION
A DESTRUCTIVE WIDESPREAD TSUNAMI THREAT DOES NOT EXIST BASED ON
HISTORICAL EARTHQUAKE AND TSUNAMI DATA.
HOWEVER - THERE IS THE SMALL POSSIBILITY OF A LOCAL OR REGIONAL
TSUNAMI THAT COULD AFFECT COASTS LOCATED USUALLY NO MORE THAN A
FEW HUNDRED KILOMETERS FROM THE EARTHQUAKE EPICENTER. AUTHORITIES
IN THE REGION NEAR THE EPICENTER SHOULD BE MADE AWARE OF THIS
POSSIBILITY.
THIS WILL BE THE ONLY PRODUCT ISSUED BY THE PACIFIC TSUNAMI
WARNING CENTER FOR THIS EVENT UNLESS ADDITIONAL INFORMATION
BECOMES AVAILABLE.
TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm FRANCISCO
NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 24 Oct, 2013 6:00 GMT
Tropical Storm FRANCISCO (26W) currently located near 25.9 N 129.8 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Okinawa (26.3 N, 127.8 E)
probability for TS is 60% currently
Note that
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
Tropical Storm FRANCISCO (26W) currently located near 25.9 N 129.8 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Okinawa (26.3 N, 127.8 E)
probability for TS is 60% currently
Note that
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
Wednesday, October 23, 2013
TSR Storm Alert - Typhoon FRANCISCO
NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 24 Oct, 2013 0:00 GMT
Typhoon FRANCISCO (26W) currently located near 25.2 N 129.7 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Okinawa (26.3 N, 127.8 E)
probability for TS is 90% currently
Green Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Japan
probability for TS is 40% in about 48 hours
Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Shiono-misaki (33.5 N, 135.8 E)
probability for TS is 40% in about 48 hours
Tokyo (35.7 N, 139.8 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 72 hours
Note that
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
Typhoon FRANCISCO (26W) currently located near 25.2 N 129.7 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Okinawa (26.3 N, 127.8 E)
probability for TS is 90% currently
Green Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Japan
probability for TS is 40% in about 48 hours
Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Shiono-misaki (33.5 N, 135.8 E)
probability for TS is 40% in about 48 hours
Tokyo (35.7 N, 139.8 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 72 hours
Note that
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
TSR Storm Alert - Typhoon FRANCISCO
NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 23 Oct, 2013 18:00 GMT
Typhoon FRANCISCO (26W) currently located near 25.0 N 129.8 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Okinawa (26.3 N, 127.8 E)
probability for TS is 80% within 12 hours
Green Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Japan
probability for TS is 35% in about 48 hours
Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Shiono-misaki (33.5 N, 135.8 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 48 hours
Note that
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
Typhoon FRANCISCO (26W) currently located near 25.0 N 129.8 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Okinawa (26.3 N, 127.8 E)
probability for TS is 80% within 12 hours
Green Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Japan
probability for TS is 35% in about 48 hours
Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Shiono-misaki (33.5 N, 135.8 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 48 hours
Note that
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
TSR Storm Alert - Typhoon FRANCISCO
NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 23 Oct, 2013 12:00 GMT
Typhoon FRANCISCO (26W) currently located near 24.6 N 130.2 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Okinawa (26.3 N, 127.8 E)
probability for TS is 65% within 12 hours
Green Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Japan
probability for TS is 35% in about 72 hours
Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Shiono-misaki (33.5 N, 135.8 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 72 hours
Note that
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
Typhoon FRANCISCO (26W) currently located near 24.6 N 130.2 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Okinawa (26.3 N, 127.8 E)
probability for TS is 65% within 12 hours
Green Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Japan
probability for TS is 35% in about 72 hours
Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Shiono-misaki (33.5 N, 135.8 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 72 hours
Note that
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
TSR Storm Alert - Typhoon FRANCISCO
NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 23 Oct, 2013 6:00 GMT
Typhoon FRANCISCO (26W) currently located near 24.4 N 130.6 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Okinawa (26.3 N, 127.8 E)
probability for TS is 65% in about 24 hours
Green Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Japan
probability for TS is 35% in about 48 hours
Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Shiono-misaki (33.5 N, 135.8 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 72 hours
Note that
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
Typhoon FRANCISCO (26W) currently located near 24.4 N 130.6 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Okinawa (26.3 N, 127.8 E)
probability for TS is 65% in about 24 hours
Green Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Japan
probability for TS is 35% in about 48 hours
Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Shiono-misaki (33.5 N, 135.8 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 72 hours
Note that
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
Tuesday, October 22, 2013
TSR Storm Alert - Typhoon FRANCISCO
NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 23 Oct, 2013 0:00 GMT
Typhoon FRANCISCO (26W) currently located near 24.1 N 131.3 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Green Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Japan
probability for TS is 35% in about 48 hours
Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Okinawa (26.3 N, 127.8 E)
probability for TS is 45% in about 24 hours
Note that
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
Typhoon FRANCISCO (26W) currently located near 24.1 N 131.3 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Green Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Japan
probability for TS is 35% in about 48 hours
Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Okinawa (26.3 N, 127.8 E)
probability for TS is 45% in about 24 hours
Note that
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
TSR Storm Alert - Typhoon FRANCISCO
NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 22 Oct, 2013 18:00 GMT
Typhoon FRANCISCO (26W) currently located near 23.6 N 132.1 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Okinawa (26.3 N, 127.8 E)
probability for TS is 40% in about 24 hours
Note that
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
Typhoon FRANCISCO (26W) currently located near 23.6 N 132.1 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Okinawa (26.3 N, 127.8 E)
probability for TS is 40% in about 24 hours
Note that
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
TSR Storm Alert - Typhoon FRANCISCO
NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 22 Oct, 2013 12:00 GMT
Typhoon FRANCISCO (26W) currently located near 23.2 N 133.1 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Okinawa (26.3 N, 127.8 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 36 hours
Note that
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
Typhoon FRANCISCO (26W) currently located near 23.2 N 133.1 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Okinawa (26.3 N, 127.8 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 36 hours
Note that
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
Sunday, October 20, 2013
TSR Storm Alert - Typhoon FRANCISCO
NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 21 Oct, 2013 0:00 GMT
Typhoon FRANCISCO (26W) currently located near 19.8 N 136.2 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Okinawa (26.3 N, 127.8 E)
probability for TS is 40% in about 72 hours
Note that
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
Typhoon FRANCISCO (26W) currently located near 19.8 N 136.2 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Okinawa (26.3 N, 127.8 E)
probability for TS is 40% in about 72 hours
Note that
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
TSR Storm Alert - Super Typhoon FRANCISCO
NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 20 Oct, 2013 6:00 GMT
Super Typhoon FRANCISCO (26W) currently located near 18.4 N 137.3 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Japan
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
probability for TS is 20% in about 96 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Shiono-misaki (33.5 N, 135.8 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
probability for TS is 15% in about 120 hours
Note that
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
Super Typhoon FRANCISCO (26W) currently located near 18.4 N 137.3 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Japan
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
probability for TS is 20% in about 96 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Shiono-misaki (33.5 N, 135.8 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
probability for TS is 15% in about 120 hours
Note that
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
Saturday, October 19, 2013
TSR Storm Alert - Super Typhoon FRANCISCO
NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 20 Oct, 2013 0:00 GMT
Super Typhoon FRANCISCO (26W) currently located near 17.7 N 137.7 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Japan
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
probability for TS is 20% in about 96 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Osaka (34.6 N, 135.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
probability for TS is 15% in about 120 hours
Shiono-misaki (33.5 N, 135.8 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
probability for TS is 15% in about 120 hours
Note that
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
Super Typhoon FRANCISCO (26W) currently located near 17.7 N 137.7 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Japan
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
probability for TS is 20% in about 96 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Osaka (34.6 N, 135.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
probability for TS is 15% in about 120 hours
Shiono-misaki (33.5 N, 135.8 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
probability for TS is 15% in about 120 hours
Note that
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
TSR Storm Alert - Super Typhoon FRANCISCO
NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 19 Oct, 2013 18:00 GMT
Super Typhoon FRANCISCO (26W) currently located near 17.4 N 138.4 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Japan
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
probability for TS is 20% in about 120 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Osaka (34.6 N, 135.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
probability for TS is 15% in about 120 hours
Shiono-misaki (33.5 N, 135.8 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
probability for TS is 15% in about 120 hours
Note that
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
Super Typhoon FRANCISCO (26W) currently located near 17.4 N 138.4 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Japan
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
probability for TS is 20% in about 120 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Osaka (34.6 N, 135.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
probability for TS is 15% in about 120 hours
Shiono-misaki (33.5 N, 135.8 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
probability for TS is 15% in about 120 hours
Note that
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
[Tsunami Message - IOC] NWS-WCATWC Tsunami Information Statement
WEAK53 PAAQ 191801
TIBAK1
PUBLIC TSUNAMI INFORMATION STATEMENT NUMBER 1
NWS WEST COAST/ALASKA TSUNAMI WARNING CENTER PALMER AK
1101 AM PDT SAT OCT 19 2013
...THIS IS A TSUNAMI INFORMATION STATEMENT FOR ALASKA/ BRITISH
COLUMBIA/ WASHINGTON/ OREGON AND CALIFORNIA...
EVALUATION
----------
* THERE IS NO TSUNAMI DANGER FOR THE AREAS LISTED ABOVE.
* THIS EVALUATION IS BASED ON EARTHQUAKE INFORMATION AND
HISTORIC TSUNAMI RECORDS.
* AN EARTHQUAKE HAS OCCURRED WITH PARAMETERS LISTED BELOW.
PRELIMINARY EARTHQUAKE PARAMETERS
---------------------------------
* MAGNITUDE 6.8
* ORIGIN TIME 0955 AKDT OCT 19 2013
1055 PDT OCT 19 2013
1755 UTC OCT 19 2013
* COORDINATES 26.2 NORTH 110.2 WEST
* DEPTH 6 MILES
* LOCATION GULF OF CALIFORNIA
NEXT UPDATE AND ADDITIONAL INFORMATION
--------------------------------------
* THIS WILL BE THE ONLY WCATWC MESSAGE FOR THIS EVENT
UNLESS ADDITIONAL INFORMATION BECOMES AVAILABLE.
* REFER TO THE INTERNET SITE WCATWC.ARH.NOAA.GOV FOR
ADDITIONAL INFORMATION.
* PACIFIC COASTAL REGIONS OUTSIDE CALIFORNIA... OREGON...
WASHINGTON... BRITISH COLUMBIA AND ALASKA SHOULD REFER TO THE
PACIFIC TSUNAMI WARNING CENTER MESSAGES AT PTWC.WEATHER.GOV.
$$
TIBAK1
PUBLIC TSUNAMI INFORMATION STATEMENT NUMBER 1
NWS WEST COAST/ALASKA TSUNAMI WARNING CENTER PALMER AK
1101 AM PDT SAT OCT 19 2013
...THIS IS A TSUNAMI INFORMATION STATEMENT FOR ALASKA/ BRITISH
COLUMBIA/ WASHINGTON/ OREGON AND CALIFORNIA...
EVALUATION
----------
* THERE IS NO TSUNAMI DANGER FOR THE AREAS LISTED ABOVE.
* THIS EVALUATION IS BASED ON EARTHQUAKE INFORMATION AND
HISTORIC TSUNAMI RECORDS.
* AN EARTHQUAKE HAS OCCURRED WITH PARAMETERS LISTED BELOW.
PRELIMINARY EARTHQUAKE PARAMETERS
---------------------------------
* MAGNITUDE 6.8
* ORIGIN TIME 0955 AKDT OCT 19 2013
1055 PDT OCT 19 2013
1755 UTC OCT 19 2013
* COORDINATES 26.2 NORTH 110.2 WEST
* DEPTH 6 MILES
* LOCATION GULF OF CALIFORNIA
NEXT UPDATE AND ADDITIONAL INFORMATION
--------------------------------------
* THIS WILL BE THE ONLY WCATWC MESSAGE FOR THIS EVENT
UNLESS ADDITIONAL INFORMATION BECOMES AVAILABLE.
* REFER TO THE INTERNET SITE WCATWC.ARH.NOAA.GOV FOR
ADDITIONAL INFORMATION.
* PACIFIC COASTAL REGIONS OUTSIDE CALIFORNIA... OREGON...
WASHINGTON... BRITISH COLUMBIA AND ALASKA SHOULD REFER TO THE
PACIFIC TSUNAMI WARNING CENTER MESSAGES AT PTWC.WEATHER.GOV.
$$
[Tsunami Message - IOC] Tsunami Information Bulletin
TSUNAMI BULLETIN NUMBER 001
PACIFIC TSUNAMI WARNING CENTER/NOAA/NWS
ISSUED AT 1800Z 19 OCT 2013
THIS BULLETIN APPLIES TO AREAS WITHIN AND BORDERING THE PACIFIC
OCEAN AND ADJACENT SEAS...EXCEPT ALASKA...BRITISH COLUMBIA...
WASHINGTON...OREGON AND CALIFORNIA.
... TSUNAMI INFORMATION BULLETIN ...
THIS BULLETIN IS FOR INFORMATION ONLY.
THIS BULLETIN IS ISSUED AS ADVICE TO GOVERNMENT AGENCIES. ONLY
NATIONAL AND LOCAL GOVERNMENT AGENCIES HAVE THE AUTHORITY TO MAKE
DECISIONS REGARDING THE OFFICIAL STATE OF ALERT IN THEIR AREA AND
ANY ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN IN RESPONSE.
AN EARTHQUAKE HAS OCCURRED WITH THESE PRELIMINARY PARAMETERS
ORIGIN TIME - 1755Z 19 OCT 2013
COORDINATES - 26.2 NORTH 110.2 WEST
DEPTH - 10 KM
LOCATION - GULF OF CALIFORNIA
MAGNITUDE - 6.8
EVALUATION
NO DESTRUCTIVE WIDESPREAD TSUNAMI THREAT EXISTS BASED ON
HISTORICAL EARTHQUAKE AND TSUNAMI DATA.
HOWEVER - EARTHQUAKES OF THIS SIZE SOMETIMES GENERATE LOCAL
TSUNAMIS THAT CAN BE DESTRUCTIVE ALONG COASTS LOCATED WITHIN
A HUNDRED KILOMETERS OF THE EARTHQUAKE EPICENTER. AUTHORITIES
IN THE REGION OF THE EPICENTER SHOULD BE AWARE OF THIS
POSSIBILITY AND TAKE APPROPRIATE ACTION.
THIS WILL BE THE ONLY BULLETIN ISSUED FOR THIS EVENT UNLESS
ADDITIONAL INFORMATION BECOMES AVAILABLE.
THE WEST COAST/ALASKA TSUNAMI WARNING CENTER WILL ISSUE PRODUCTS
FOR ALASKA...BRITISH COLUMBIA...WASHINGTON...OREGON...CALIFORNIA.
PACIFIC TSUNAMI WARNING CENTER/NOAA/NWS
ISSUED AT 1800Z 19 OCT 2013
THIS BULLETIN APPLIES TO AREAS WITHIN AND BORDERING THE PACIFIC
OCEAN AND ADJACENT SEAS...EXCEPT ALASKA...BRITISH COLUMBIA...
WASHINGTON...OREGON AND CALIFORNIA.
... TSUNAMI INFORMATION BULLETIN ...
THIS BULLETIN IS FOR INFORMATION ONLY.
THIS BULLETIN IS ISSUED AS ADVICE TO GOVERNMENT AGENCIES. ONLY
NATIONAL AND LOCAL GOVERNMENT AGENCIES HAVE THE AUTHORITY TO MAKE
DECISIONS REGARDING THE OFFICIAL STATE OF ALERT IN THEIR AREA AND
ANY ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN IN RESPONSE.
AN EARTHQUAKE HAS OCCURRED WITH THESE PRELIMINARY PARAMETERS
ORIGIN TIME - 1755Z 19 OCT 2013
COORDINATES - 26.2 NORTH 110.2 WEST
DEPTH - 10 KM
LOCATION - GULF OF CALIFORNIA
MAGNITUDE - 6.8
EVALUATION
NO DESTRUCTIVE WIDESPREAD TSUNAMI THREAT EXISTS BASED ON
HISTORICAL EARTHQUAKE AND TSUNAMI DATA.
HOWEVER - EARTHQUAKES OF THIS SIZE SOMETIMES GENERATE LOCAL
TSUNAMIS THAT CAN BE DESTRUCTIVE ALONG COASTS LOCATED WITHIN
A HUNDRED KILOMETERS OF THE EARTHQUAKE EPICENTER. AUTHORITIES
IN THE REGION OF THE EPICENTER SHOULD BE AWARE OF THIS
POSSIBILITY AND TAKE APPROPRIATE ACTION.
THIS WILL BE THE ONLY BULLETIN ISSUED FOR THIS EVENT UNLESS
ADDITIONAL INFORMATION BECOMES AVAILABLE.
THE WEST COAST/ALASKA TSUNAMI WARNING CENTER WILL ISSUE PRODUCTS
FOR ALASKA...BRITISH COLUMBIA...WASHINGTON...OREGON...CALIFORNIA.
Friday, October 18, 2013
TSR Storm Alert - Typhoon FRANCISCO
NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 18 Oct, 2013 6:00 GMT
Typhoon FRANCISCO (26W) currently located near 14.2 N 142.0 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Green Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Guam
probability for TS is 45% currently
Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Hagatna (13.5 N, 144.8 E)
probability for TS is 35% currently
Note that
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
Typhoon FRANCISCO (26W) currently located near 14.2 N 142.0 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Green Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Guam
probability for TS is 45% currently
Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Hagatna (13.5 N, 144.8 E)
probability for TS is 35% currently
Note that
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
Thursday, October 17, 2013
TSR Storm Alert - Typhoon FRANCISCO
NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 18 Oct, 2013 0:00 GMT
Typhoon FRANCISCO (26W) currently located near 13.8 N 142.3 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Green Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Guam
probability for TS is 40% currently
Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Hagatna (13.5 N, 144.8 E)
probability for TS is 40% currently
Note that
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
Typhoon FRANCISCO (26W) currently located near 13.8 N 142.3 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Green Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Guam
probability for TS is 40% currently
Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Hagatna (13.5 N, 144.8 E)
probability for TS is 40% currently
Note that
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
TSR Storm Alert - Typhoon FRANCISCO
NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 17 Oct, 2013 18:00 GMT
Typhoon FRANCISCO (26W) currently located near 13.2 N 142.8 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Guam
probability for TS is 80% currently
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Hagatna (13.5 N, 144.8 E)
probability for TS is 70% currently
Note that
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
Typhoon FRANCISCO (26W) currently located near 13.2 N 142.8 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Guam
probability for TS is 80% currently
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Hagatna (13.5 N, 144.8 E)
probability for TS is 70% currently
Note that
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
TSR Storm Alert - Typhoon FRANCISCO
NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 17 Oct, 2013 12:00 GMT
Typhoon FRANCISCO (26W) currently located near 12.1 N 143.0 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Guam
probability for TS is 95% within 12 hours
the Northern Mariana Islands
probability for TS is 75% within 12 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Hagatna (13.5 N, 144.8 E)
probability for TS is 90% within 12 hours
Note that
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
Typhoon FRANCISCO (26W) currently located near 12.1 N 143.0 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Guam
probability for TS is 95% within 12 hours
the Northern Mariana Islands
probability for TS is 75% within 12 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Hagatna (13.5 N, 144.8 E)
probability for TS is 90% within 12 hours
Note that
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
TSR Storm Alert - Typhoon FRANCISCO
NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 17 Oct, 2013 6:00 GMT
Typhoon FRANCISCO (26W) currently located near 11.4 N 142.7 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Guam
probability for TS is 65% in about 24 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Hagatna (13.5 N, 144.8 E)
probability for TS is 60% in about 24 hours
Green Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
the Northern Mariana Islands
probability for TS is 40% in about 24 hours
Note that
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
Typhoon FRANCISCO (26W) currently located near 11.4 N 142.7 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Guam
probability for TS is 65% in about 24 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Hagatna (13.5 N, 144.8 E)
probability for TS is 60% in about 24 hours
Green Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
the Northern Mariana Islands
probability for TS is 40% in about 24 hours
Note that
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
Wednesday, October 16, 2013
TSR Storm Alert - Typhoon FRANCISCO
NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 17 Oct, 2013 0:00 GMT
Typhoon FRANCISCO (26W) currently located near 11.0 N 142.8 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Guam
probability for TS is 65% in about 24 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Hagatna (13.5 N, 144.8 E)
probability for TS is 60% in about 24 hours
Green Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
the Northern Mariana Islands
probability for TS is 35% in about 24 hours
Note that
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
Typhoon FRANCISCO (26W) currently located near 11.0 N 142.8 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Guam
probability for TS is 65% in about 24 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Hagatna (13.5 N, 144.8 E)
probability for TS is 60% in about 24 hours
Green Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
the Northern Mariana Islands
probability for TS is 35% in about 24 hours
Note that
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm FRANCISCO
NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 16 Oct, 2013 18:00 GMT
Tropical Storm FRANCISCO (26W) currently located near 11.1 N 143.0 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Guam
probability for TS is 65% in about 24 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Hagatna (13.5 N, 144.8 E)
probability for TS is 65% in about 24 hours
Green Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
the Northern Mariana Islands
probability for TS is 40% in about 36 hours
Note that
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
Tropical Storm FRANCISCO (26W) currently located near 11.1 N 143.0 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Guam
probability for TS is 65% in about 24 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Hagatna (13.5 N, 144.8 E)
probability for TS is 65% in about 24 hours
Green Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
the Northern Mariana Islands
probability for TS is 40% in about 36 hours
Note that
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm FRANCISCO
NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 16 Oct, 2013 12:00 GMT
Tropical Storm FRANCISCO (26W) currently located near 11.4 N 143.3 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Green Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Guam
probability for TS is 35% in about 36 hours
Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Hagatna (13.5 N, 144.8 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 36 hours
Note that
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
Tropical Storm FRANCISCO (26W) currently located near 11.4 N 143.3 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Green Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Guam
probability for TS is 35% in about 36 hours
Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Hagatna (13.5 N, 144.8 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 36 hours
Note that
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
[Tsunami Message - IOC] NWS-NTWC Tsunami Information Statement
WEAK53 PAAQ 161040
TIBAK1
PUBLIC TSUNAMI INFORMATION STATEMENT NUMBER 1
NWS NATIONAL TSUNAMI WARNING CENTER PALMER AK
340 AM PDT WED OCT 16 2013
...THIS IS A TSUNAMI INFORMATION STATEMENT FOR ALASKA/ BRITISH
COLUMBIA/ WASHINGTON/ OREGON AND CALIFORNIA...
EVALUATION
----------
* THERE IS NO TSUNAMI DANGER FOR THE AREAS LISTED ABOVE.
* THIS EVALUATION IS BASED ON EARTHQUAKE INFORMATION AND
HISTORIC TSUNAMI RECORDS.
* AN EARTHQUAKE HAS OCCURRED WITH PARAMETERS LISTED BELOW.
PRELIMINARY EARTHQUAKE PARAMETERS
---------------------------------
* MAGNITUDE 7.1
* ORIGIN TIME 0231 AKDT OCT 16 2013
0331 PDT OCT 16 2013
1031 UTC OCT 16 2013
* COORDINATES 6.6 SOUTH 154.9 EAST
* DEPTH 21 MILES
* LOCATION SOLOMON ISLANDS
NEXT UPDATE AND ADDITIONAL INFORMATION
--------------------------------------
* THIS WILL BE THE ONLY U.S. NATIONAL TSUNAMI WARNING CENTER MESSAGE
FOR THIS EVENT UNLESS ADDITIONAL INFORMATION BECOMES AVAILABLE.
* REFER TO THE INTERNET SITE NTWC.ARH.NOAA.GOV FOR
ADDITIONAL INFORMATION.
* PACIFIC COASTAL REGIONS OUTSIDE CALIFORNIA... OREGON...
WASHINGTON... BRITISH COLUMBIA AND ALASKA SHOULD REFER TO THE
PACIFIC TSUNAMI WARNING CENTER MESSAGES AT PTWC.WEATHER.GOV.
$$
TIBAK1
PUBLIC TSUNAMI INFORMATION STATEMENT NUMBER 1
NWS NATIONAL TSUNAMI WARNING CENTER PALMER AK
340 AM PDT WED OCT 16 2013
...THIS IS A TSUNAMI INFORMATION STATEMENT FOR ALASKA/ BRITISH
COLUMBIA/ WASHINGTON/ OREGON AND CALIFORNIA...
EVALUATION
----------
* THERE IS NO TSUNAMI DANGER FOR THE AREAS LISTED ABOVE.
* THIS EVALUATION IS BASED ON EARTHQUAKE INFORMATION AND
HISTORIC TSUNAMI RECORDS.
* AN EARTHQUAKE HAS OCCURRED WITH PARAMETERS LISTED BELOW.
PRELIMINARY EARTHQUAKE PARAMETERS
---------------------------------
* MAGNITUDE 7.1
* ORIGIN TIME 0231 AKDT OCT 16 2013
0331 PDT OCT 16 2013
1031 UTC OCT 16 2013
* COORDINATES 6.6 SOUTH 154.9 EAST
* DEPTH 21 MILES
* LOCATION SOLOMON ISLANDS
NEXT UPDATE AND ADDITIONAL INFORMATION
--------------------------------------
* THIS WILL BE THE ONLY U.S. NATIONAL TSUNAMI WARNING CENTER MESSAGE
FOR THIS EVENT UNLESS ADDITIONAL INFORMATION BECOMES AVAILABLE.
* REFER TO THE INTERNET SITE NTWC.ARH.NOAA.GOV FOR
ADDITIONAL INFORMATION.
* PACIFIC COASTAL REGIONS OUTSIDE CALIFORNIA... OREGON...
WASHINGTON... BRITISH COLUMBIA AND ALASKA SHOULD REFER TO THE
PACIFIC TSUNAMI WARNING CENTER MESSAGES AT PTWC.WEATHER.GOV.
$$
[Tsunami Message - IOC] Tsunami Information Bulletin
TSUNAMI BULLETIN NUMBER 001
PACIFIC TSUNAMI WARNING CENTER/NOAA/NWS
ISSUED AT 1037Z 16 OCT 2013
THIS BULLETIN APPLIES TO AREAS WITHIN AND BORDERING THE PACIFIC
OCEAN AND ADJACENT SEAS...EXCEPT ALASKA...BRITISH COLUMBIA...
WASHINGTON...OREGON AND CALIFORNIA.
... TSUNAMI INFORMATION BULLETIN ...
THIS BULLETIN IS FOR INFORMATION ONLY.
THIS BULLETIN IS ISSUED AS ADVICE TO GOVERNMENT AGENCIES. ONLY
NATIONAL AND LOCAL GOVERNMENT AGENCIES HAVE THE AUTHORITY TO MAKE
DECISIONS REGARDING THE OFFICIAL STATE OF ALERT IN THEIR AREA AND
ANY ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN IN RESPONSE.
AN EARTHQUAKE HAS OCCURRED WITH THESE PRELIMINARY PARAMETERS
ORIGIN TIME - 1031Z 16 OCT 2013
COORDINATES - 6.6 SOUTH 154.9 EAST
DEPTH - 33 KM
LOCATION - SOLOMON ISLANDS
MAGNITUDE - 7.1
EVALUATION
NO DESTRUCTIVE WIDESPREAD TSUNAMI THREAT EXISTS BASED ON
HISTORICAL EARTHQUAKE AND TSUNAMI DATA.
HOWEVER - EARTHQUAKES OF THIS SIZE SOMETIMES GENERATE LOCAL
TSUNAMIS THAT CAN BE DESTRUCTIVE ALONG COASTS LOCATED WITHIN
A HUNDRED KILOMETERS OF THE EARTHQUAKE EPICENTER. AUTHORITIES
IN THE REGION OF THE EPICENTER SHOULD BE AWARE OF THIS
POSSIBILITY AND TAKE APPROPRIATE ACTION.
THIS WILL BE THE ONLY BULLETIN ISSUED FOR THIS EVENT UNLESS
ADDITIONAL INFORMATION BECOMES AVAILABLE.
THE JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY MAY ALSO ISSUE TSUNAMI MESSAGES
FOR THIS EVENT TO COUNTRIES IN THE NORTHWEST PACIFIC AND SOUTH
CHINA SEA REGION. IN CASE OF CONFLICTING INFORMATION... THE
MORE CONSERVATIVE INFORMATION SHOULD BE USED FOR SAFETY.
THE WEST COAST/ALASKA TSUNAMI WARNING CENTER WILL ISSUE PRODUCTS
FOR ALASKA...BRITISH COLUMBIA...WASHINGTON...OREGON...CALIFORNIA.
PACIFIC TSUNAMI WARNING CENTER/NOAA/NWS
ISSUED AT 1037Z 16 OCT 2013
THIS BULLETIN APPLIES TO AREAS WITHIN AND BORDERING THE PACIFIC
OCEAN AND ADJACENT SEAS...EXCEPT ALASKA...BRITISH COLUMBIA...
WASHINGTON...OREGON AND CALIFORNIA.
... TSUNAMI INFORMATION BULLETIN ...
THIS BULLETIN IS FOR INFORMATION ONLY.
THIS BULLETIN IS ISSUED AS ADVICE TO GOVERNMENT AGENCIES. ONLY
NATIONAL AND LOCAL GOVERNMENT AGENCIES HAVE THE AUTHORITY TO MAKE
DECISIONS REGARDING THE OFFICIAL STATE OF ALERT IN THEIR AREA AND
ANY ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN IN RESPONSE.
AN EARTHQUAKE HAS OCCURRED WITH THESE PRELIMINARY PARAMETERS
ORIGIN TIME - 1031Z 16 OCT 2013
COORDINATES - 6.6 SOUTH 154.9 EAST
DEPTH - 33 KM
LOCATION - SOLOMON ISLANDS
MAGNITUDE - 7.1
EVALUATION
NO DESTRUCTIVE WIDESPREAD TSUNAMI THREAT EXISTS BASED ON
HISTORICAL EARTHQUAKE AND TSUNAMI DATA.
HOWEVER - EARTHQUAKES OF THIS SIZE SOMETIMES GENERATE LOCAL
TSUNAMIS THAT CAN BE DESTRUCTIVE ALONG COASTS LOCATED WITHIN
A HUNDRED KILOMETERS OF THE EARTHQUAKE EPICENTER. AUTHORITIES
IN THE REGION OF THE EPICENTER SHOULD BE AWARE OF THIS
POSSIBILITY AND TAKE APPROPRIATE ACTION.
THIS WILL BE THE ONLY BULLETIN ISSUED FOR THIS EVENT UNLESS
ADDITIONAL INFORMATION BECOMES AVAILABLE.
THE JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY MAY ALSO ISSUE TSUNAMI MESSAGES
FOR THIS EVENT TO COUNTRIES IN THE NORTHWEST PACIFIC AND SOUTH
CHINA SEA REGION. IN CASE OF CONFLICTING INFORMATION... THE
MORE CONSERVATIVE INFORMATION SHOULD BE USED FOR SAFETY.
THE WEST COAST/ALASKA TSUNAMI WARNING CENTER WILL ISSUE PRODUCTS
FOR ALASKA...BRITISH COLUMBIA...WASHINGTON...OREGON...CALIFORNIA.
TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Depression TWENTYSIX
NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 16 Oct, 2013 6:00 GMT
Tropical Depression TWENTYSIX (26W) currently located near 12.4 N 144.4 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Guam
probability for TS is 80% in about 36 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Hagatna (13.5 N, 144.8 E)
probability for TS is 65% currently
Green Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
the Northern Mariana Islands
probability for TS is 35% in about 36 hours
Note that
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
Tropical Depression TWENTYSIX (26W) currently located near 12.4 N 144.4 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Guam
probability for TS is 80% in about 36 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Hagatna (13.5 N, 144.8 E)
probability for TS is 65% currently
Green Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
the Northern Mariana Islands
probability for TS is 35% in about 36 hours
Note that
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
Tuesday, October 15, 2013
TSR Storm Alert - Typhoon WIPHA
NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 15 Oct, 2013 18:00 GMT (Final Warning)
Typhoon WIPHA (25W) currently located near 32.7 N 138.9 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Japan
probability for CAT 1 or above is 70% within 12 hours
probability for TS is 100% currently
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Iwaki (37.0 N, 140.8 E)
probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
Tokyo (35.7 N, 139.8 E)
probability for TS is 100% currently
Shizuoka (35.0 N, 138.5 E)
probability for TS is 100% currently
Miyako (39.7 N, 141.9 E)
probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
Sendai (38.3 N, 140.9 E)
probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
Nagoya (35.2 N, 136.9 E)
probability for TS is 95% within 12 hours
Kushiro (43.0 N, 144.4 E)
probability for TS is 85% in about 24 hours
Niigata (37.8 N, 139.2 E)
probability for TS is 80% within 12 hours
Shiono-misaki (33.5 N, 135.8 E)
probability for TS is 80% currently
Sakata (39.0 N, 140.0 E)
probability for TS is 65% within 12 hours
Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Akita (39.8 N, 140.2 E)
probability for TS is 40% within 12 hours
Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html
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This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
Typhoon WIPHA (25W) currently located near 32.7 N 138.9 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Japan
probability for CAT 1 or above is 70% within 12 hours
probability for TS is 100% currently
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Iwaki (37.0 N, 140.8 E)
probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
Tokyo (35.7 N, 139.8 E)
probability for TS is 100% currently
Shizuoka (35.0 N, 138.5 E)
probability for TS is 100% currently
Miyako (39.7 N, 141.9 E)
probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
Sendai (38.3 N, 140.9 E)
probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
Nagoya (35.2 N, 136.9 E)
probability for TS is 95% within 12 hours
Kushiro (43.0 N, 144.4 E)
probability for TS is 85% in about 24 hours
Niigata (37.8 N, 139.2 E)
probability for TS is 80% within 12 hours
Shiono-misaki (33.5 N, 135.8 E)
probability for TS is 80% currently
Sakata (39.0 N, 140.0 E)
probability for TS is 65% within 12 hours
Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Akita (39.8 N, 140.2 E)
probability for TS is 40% within 12 hours
Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
TSR Storm Alert - Typhoon WIPHA
NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 15 Oct, 2013 12:00 GMT
Typhoon WIPHA (25W) currently located near 30.5 N 136.5 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Japan
probability for CAT 1 or above is 100% within 12 hours
probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Tokyo (35.7 N, 139.8 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 100% within 12 hours
probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
Iwaki (37.0 N, 140.8 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 85% within 12 hours
probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
Shizuoka (35.0 N, 138.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 35% within 12 hours
probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Nagoya (35.2 N, 136.9 E)
probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
Shiono-misaki (33.5 N, 135.8 E)
probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
Miyako (39.7 N, 141.9 E)
probability for TS is 100% in about 24 hours
Sendai (38.3 N, 140.9 E)
probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
Niigata (37.8 N, 139.2 E)
probability for TS is 95% within 12 hours
Sakata (39.0 N, 140.0 E)
probability for TS is 90% in about 24 hours
Kushiro (43.0 N, 144.4 E)
probability for TS is 85% in about 24 hours
Akita (39.8 N, 140.2 E)
probability for TS is 75% in about 24 hours
Osaka (34.6 N, 135.5 E)
probability for TS is 70% within 12 hours
Aomori (40.8 N, 140.8 E)
probability for TS is 60% in about 24 hours
Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Obama (35.4 N, 135.8 E)
probability for TS is 50% within 12 hours
Tokushima (34.1 N, 134.6 E)
probability for TS is 50% within 12 hours
Kanazawa (36.8 N, 136.8 E)
probability for TS is 45% within 12 hours
Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
Typhoon WIPHA (25W) currently located near 30.5 N 136.5 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Japan
probability for CAT 1 or above is 100% within 12 hours
probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Tokyo (35.7 N, 139.8 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 100% within 12 hours
probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
Iwaki (37.0 N, 140.8 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 85% within 12 hours
probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
Shizuoka (35.0 N, 138.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 35% within 12 hours
probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Nagoya (35.2 N, 136.9 E)
probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
Shiono-misaki (33.5 N, 135.8 E)
probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
Miyako (39.7 N, 141.9 E)
probability for TS is 100% in about 24 hours
Sendai (38.3 N, 140.9 E)
probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
Niigata (37.8 N, 139.2 E)
probability for TS is 95% within 12 hours
Sakata (39.0 N, 140.0 E)
probability for TS is 90% in about 24 hours
Kushiro (43.0 N, 144.4 E)
probability for TS is 85% in about 24 hours
Akita (39.8 N, 140.2 E)
probability for TS is 75% in about 24 hours
Osaka (34.6 N, 135.5 E)
probability for TS is 70% within 12 hours
Aomori (40.8 N, 140.8 E)
probability for TS is 60% in about 24 hours
Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Obama (35.4 N, 135.8 E)
probability for TS is 50% within 12 hours
Tokushima (34.1 N, 134.6 E)
probability for TS is 50% within 12 hours
Kanazawa (36.8 N, 136.8 E)
probability for TS is 45% within 12 hours
Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
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