S Indian Ocean: Storm Alert issued at 1 May, 2015 0:00 GMT
Tropical Cyclone QUANG (24S) currently located near 21.1 S 112.6 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)Australia
probability for CAT 1 or above is 40% within 12 hours
probability for TS is 95% currently
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Exmouth (22.0 S, 114.2 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% within 12 hours
probability for TS is 85% currently
Cardabia (23.0 S, 113.9 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% within 12 hours
probability for TS is 85% within 12 hours
Onslow (21.7 S, 115.0 E)
probability for TS is 55% within 12 hours
Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
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This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.