TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm FRED

N Atlantic: Storm Alert issued at 1 Sep, 2015 3:00 GMT

Tropical Storm FRED (AL06) currently located near 17.9 N 25.2 W is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Cape Verde
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% currently
        probability for TS is 90% currently

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Hurricane strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

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This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

TSR Storm Alert - Hurricane FRED

N Atlantic: Storm Alert issued at 31 Aug, 2015 21:00 GMT

Hurricane FRED (AL06) currently located near 17.2 N 24.6 W is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Cape Verde
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 100% within 9 hours
        probability for TS is 95% currently

Note that
    Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
    CAT 1 means Hurricane strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

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This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

TSR Storm Alert - Hurricane FRED

N Atlantic: Storm Alert issued at 31 Aug, 2015 15:00 GMT

Hurricane FRED (AL06) currently located near 16.4 N 23.7 W is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Cape Verde
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 100% within 9 hours
        probability for TS is 100% within 9 hours

Note that
    Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
    CAT 1 means Hurricane strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

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This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

TSR Storm Alert - Hurricane FRED

N Atlantic: Storm Alert issued at 31 Aug, 2015 9:00 GMT

Hurricane FRED (AL06) currently located near 15.6 N 22.9 W is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Cape Verde
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 100% currently
        probability for TS is 100% currently

Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Praia (14.9 N, 23.5 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% within 9 hours
        probability for TS is 80% within 9 hours

Note that
    Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Hurricane strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

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This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm FRED

N Atlantic: Storm Alert issued at 31 Aug, 2015 3:00 GMT

Tropical Storm FRED (AL06) currently located near 15.3 N 22.4 W is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Cape Verde
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 45% in about 21 hours
        probability for TS is 85% currently

Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Praia (14.9 N, 23.5 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% within 9 hours
        probability for TS is 80% within 9 hours

Note that
    Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Hurricane strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

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This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm FRED

N Atlantic: Storm Alert issued at 30 Aug, 2015 21:00 GMT

Tropical Storm FRED (AL06) currently located near 14.4 N 21.3 W is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Cape Verde
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 45% within 9 hours
        probability for TS is 80% within 9 hours

Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Praia (14.9 N, 23.5 W)
        probability for TS is 60% within 9 hours

Note that
    Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Hurricane strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

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This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm FRED

N Atlantic: Storm Alert issued at 30 Aug, 2015 15:00 GMT

Tropical Storm FRED (AL06) currently located near 13.4 N 19.9 W is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Cape Verde
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% in about 21 hours
        probability for TS is 55% in about 21 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Praia (14.9 N, 23.5 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 21 hours
        probability for TS is 50% in about 21 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Hurricane strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

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This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm FRED

N Atlantic: Storm Alert issued at 30 Aug, 2015 9:00 GMT

Tropical Storm FRED (AL06) currently located near 12.4 N 18.9 W is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Cape Verde
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 33 hours
        probability for TS is 40% in about 33 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Hurricane strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

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This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Depression AL06

N Atlantic: Storm Alert issued at 30 Aug, 2015 5:30 GMT

Tropical Depression AL06 (AL06) currently located near 12.1 N 18.4 W is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Cape Verde
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 31 hours
        probability for TS is 30% in about 31 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Hurricane strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

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This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Depression ERIKA

N Atlantic: Storm Alert issued at 29 Aug, 2015 13:30 GMT (Final Warning)

Tropical Depression ERIKA (AL05) currently located near 21.5 N 75.9 W is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Cuba
        probability for TS is 70% currently

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Hurricane strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

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This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

TSR Storm Alert - Hurricane IGNACIO

NE Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 29 Aug, 2015 9:00 GMT

Hurricane IGNACIO (12E) currently located near 15.7 N 146.0 W is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Hilo (19.7 N, 155.1 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 69 hours
        probability for TS is 30% in about 69 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Hurricane strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

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This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm ERIKA

N Atlantic: Storm Alert issued at 29 Aug, 2015 3:00 GMT

Tropical Storm ERIKA (AL05) currently located near 18.5 N 72.9 W is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Haiti
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    the Dominican Republic
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    the Bahamas
        probability for TS is 85% within 9 hours
    Cuba
        probability for TS is 85% within 9 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Port-au-Prince (18.4 N, 72.3 W)
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    Monte Cristi (19.8 N, 71.6 W)
        probability for TS is 90% currently

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Hurricane strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

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This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

TSR Storm Alert - Hurricane IGNACIO

NE Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 29 Aug, 2015 3:00 GMT

Hurricane IGNACIO (12E) currently located near 15.2 N 145.2 W is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Hilo (19.7 N, 155.1 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 93 hours
        probability for TS is 25% in about 69 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Hurricane strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

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This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

TSR Storm Alert - Hurricane IGNACIO

NE Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 28 Aug, 2015 21:00 GMT

Hurricane IGNACIO (12E) currently located near 14.6 N 144.5 W is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Hilo (19.7 N, 155.1 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 93 hours
        probability for TS is 20% in about 69 hours
    Honolulu (21.3 N, 157.8 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 93 hours
        probability for TS is 15% in about 93 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Hurricane strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm ERIKA

N Atlantic: Storm Alert issued at 28 Aug, 2015 21:00 GMT

Tropical Storm ERIKA (AL05) currently located near 17.9 N 71.2 W is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    the Dominican Republic
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    Haiti
        probability for TS is 85% within 9 hours
    the Bahamas
        probability for TS is 75% within 9 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Santo Domingo (18.7 N, 69.9 W)
        probability for TS is 95% currently
    Monte Cristi (19.8 N, 71.6 W)
        probability for TS is 85% within 9 hours
    Port-au-Prince (18.4 N, 72.3 W)
        probability for TS is 85% within 9 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Hurricane strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

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This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm ERIKA

N Atlantic: Storm Alert issued at 28 Aug, 2015 15:00 GMT

Tropical Storm ERIKA (AL05) currently located near 17.7 N 69.4 W is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    the Dominican Republic
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    Puerto Rico
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    Haiti
        probability for TS is 95% within 9 hours
    the Turks & Caicos Islands
        probability for TS is 70% in about 21 hours
    the Bahamas
        probability for TS is 70% in about 21 hours
    Cuba
        probability for TS is 70% in about 21 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Santo Domingo (18.7 N, 69.9 W)
        probability for TS is 95% within 9 hours
    Grand Turk (21.5 N, 71.5 W)
        probability for TS is 70% in about 21 hours
    Port-au-Prince (18.4 N, 72.3 W)
        probability for TS is 70% in about 21 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Hurricane strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

TSR Storm Alert - Hurricane IGNACIO

NE Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 28 Aug, 2015 15:00 GMT

Hurricane IGNACIO (12E) currently located near 14.1 N 143.8 W is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Hilo (19.7 N, 155.1 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 93 hours
        probability for TS is 20% in about 93 hours
    Honolulu (21.3 N, 157.8 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 117 hours
        probability for TS is 15% in about 93 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Hurricane strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm ERIKA

N Atlantic: Storm Alert issued at 28 Aug, 2015 9:00 GMT

Tropical Storm ERIKA (AL05) currently located near 17.7 N 67.7 W is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Puerto Rico
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    the Dominican Republic
        probability for TS is 95% within 9 hours
    Haiti
        probability for TS is 75% in about 21 hours
    the Bahamas
        probability for TS is 75% in about 21 hours
    the Turks & Caicos Islands
        probability for TS is 70% in about 21 hours
    Cuba
        probability for TS is 55% in about 33 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    San Juan (18.4 N, 66.1 W)
        probability for TS is 95% currently
    Santo Domingo (18.7 N, 69.9 W)
        probability for TS is 95% within 9 hours
    Grand Turk (21.5 N, 71.5 W)
        probability for TS is 75% in about 21 hours
    Monte Cristi (19.8 N, 71.6 W)
        probability for TS is 75% in about 21 hours
    Port-au-Prince (18.4 N, 72.3 W)
        probability for TS is 55% in about 21 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Hurricane strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

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This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm ERIKA

N Atlantic: Storm Alert issued at 28 Aug, 2015 3:00 GMT

Tropical Storm ERIKA (AL05) currently located near 16.6 N 65.3 W is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Puerto Rico
        probability for TS is 95% within 9 hours
    the Virgin Islands
        probability for TS is 95% currently
    the British Virgin Islands
        probability for TS is 90% within 9 hours
    the Dominican Republic
        probability for TS is 75% in about 21 hours
    the Netherlands Antilles
        probability for TS is 55% currently
    the Turks & Caicos Islands
        probability for TS is 55% in about 33 hours
    Haiti
        probability for TS is 55% in about 33 hours
    the Bahamas
        probability for TS is 55% in about 33 hours
    the United States
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 93 hours
        probability for TS is 30% in about 69 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    San Juan (18.4 N, 66.1 W)
        probability for TS is 95% within 9 hours
    St. Croix (17.7 N, 64.9 W)
        probability for TS is 95% currently
    St. Thomas (18.5 N, 64.7 W)
        probability for TS is 85% within 9 hours
    Santo Domingo (18.7 N, 69.9 W)
        probability for TS is 70% in about 21 hours
    Grand Turk (21.5 N, 71.5 W)
        probability for TS is 55% in about 33 hours
    Monte Cristi (19.8 N, 71.6 W)
        probability for TS is 55% in about 33 hours
    West Palm Beach (26.6 N, 80.1 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 93 hours
        probability for TS is 30% in about 93 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Hurricane strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

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This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

TSR Storm Alert - Hurricane IGNACIO

NE Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 28 Aug, 2015 3:00 GMT

Hurricane IGNACIO (12E) currently located near 13.3 N 141.9 W is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Hilo (19.7 N, 155.1 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 93 hours
        probability for TS is 15% in about 93 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Hurricane strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

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This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

TSR Storm Alert - Hurricane IGNACIO

NE Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 27 Aug, 2015 21:00 GMT

Hurricane IGNACIO (12E) currently located near 12.9 N 140.8 W is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Hilo (19.7 N, 155.1 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 117 hours
        probability for TS is 15% in about 93 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Hurricane strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

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This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm ERIKA

N Atlantic: Storm Alert issued at 27 Aug, 2015 21:00 GMT

Tropical Storm ERIKA (AL05) currently located near 16.6 N 64.0 W is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    the Netherlands Antilles
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    St. Kitts and Nevis
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    the British Virgin Islands
        probability for TS is 95% within 9 hours
    the Virgin Islands
        probability for TS is 95% within 9 hours
    Puerto Rico
        probability for TS is 95% within 9 hours
    Anguilla
        probability for TS is 90% within 9 hours
    Guadeloupe
        probability for TS is 90% currently
    Antigua and Barbuda
        probability for TS is 90% currently
    Montserrat
        probability for TS is 80% currently
    the Dominican Republic
        probability for TS is 75% in about 21 hours
    Haiti
        probability for TS is 55% in about 33 hours
    the United States
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 93 hours
        probability for TS is 25% in about 69 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    St. Thomas (18.5 N, 64.7 W)
        probability for TS is 95% within 9 hours
    St. Croix (17.7 N, 64.9 W)
        probability for TS is 95% within 9 hours
    San Juan (18.4 N, 66.1 W)
        probability for TS is 95% within 9 hours
    Monte Cristi (19.8 N, 71.6 W)
        probability for TS is 55% in about 33 hours
    Grand Turk (21.5 N, 71.5 W)
        probability for TS is 55% in about 33 hours
    West Palm Beach (26.6 N, 80.1 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 93 hours
        probability for TS is 25% in about 69 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Hurricane strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

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This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm ERIKA

N Atlantic: Storm Alert issued at 27 Aug, 2015 15:00 GMT

Tropical Storm ERIKA (AL05) currently located near 16.4 N 63.3 W is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    St. Kitts and Nevis
        probability for TS is 95% currently
    Antigua and Barbuda
        probability for TS is 90% currently
    Montserrat
        probability for TS is 90% currently
    the Netherlands Antilles
        probability for TS is 85% currently
    the Virgin Islands
        probability for TS is 85% within 9 hours
    Anguilla
        probability for TS is 75% within 9 hours
    Guadeloupe
        probability for TS is 75% within 9 hours
    the British Virgin Islands
        probability for TS is 75% within 9 hours
    Puerto Rico
        probability for TS is 60% in about 21 hours
    the Bahamas
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 93 hours
        probability for TS is 35% in about 45 hours
    the United States
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 93 hours
        probability for TS is 15% in about 93 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    St. Croix (17.7 N, 64.9 W)
        probability for TS is 85% within 9 hours
    St. Thomas (18.5 N, 64.7 W)
        probability for TS is 75% within 9 hours
    San Juan (18.4 N, 66.1 W)
        probability for TS is 60% in about 21 hours
    West Palm Beach (26.6 N, 80.1 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 93 hours
        probability for TS is 15% in about 93 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Hurricane strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

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This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm ERIKA

N Atlantic: Storm Alert issued at 27 Aug, 2015 9:00 GMT

Tropical Storm ERIKA (AL05) currently located near 16.8 N 61.5 W is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Guadeloupe
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    Antigua and Barbuda
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    the Netherlands Antilles
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% within 9 hours
        probability for TS is 85% within 9 hours
    St. Kitts and Nevis
        probability for TS is 85% within 9 hours
    Montserrat
        probability for TS is 85% within 9 hours
    Anguilla
        probability for TS is 85% within 9 hours
    Dominica
        probability for TS is 80% currently
    the British Virgin Islands
        probability for TS is 60% in about 21 hours
    the Virgin Islands
        probability for TS is 60% in about 21 hours
    Puerto Rico
        probability for TS is 60% in about 21 hours
    the Bahamas
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 93 hours
        probability for TS is 30% in about 69 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    St. Thomas (18.5 N, 64.7 W)
        probability for TS is 60% in about 21 hours
    St. Croix (17.7 N, 64.9 W)
        probability for TS is 60% in about 21 hours
    San Juan (18.4 N, 66.1 W)
        probability for TS is 60% in about 21 hours
    Freeport (26.6 N, 78.6 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 93 hours
        probability for TS is 15% in about 93 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Hurricane strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

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This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm ERIKA

N Atlantic: Storm Alert issued at 27 Aug, 2015 3:00 GMT

Tropical Storm ERIKA (AL05) currently located near 16.7 N 60.2 W is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Antigua and Barbuda
        probability for TS is 85% within 9 hours
    Guadeloupe
        probability for TS is 85% within 9 hours
    St. Kitts and Nevis
        probability for TS is 85% within 9 hours
    Montserrat
        probability for TS is 85% within 9 hours
    Dominica
        probability for TS is 65% within 9 hours
    Anguilla
        probability for TS is 60% in about 21 hours
    the Netherlands Antilles
        probability for TS is 60% in about 21 hours
    the British Virgin Islands
        probability for TS is 60% in about 21 hours
    the Virgin Islands
        probability for TS is 60% in about 21 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    St. Thomas (18.5 N, 64.7 W)
        probability for TS is 60% in about 21 hours
    St. Croix (17.7 N, 64.9 W)
        probability for TS is 55% in about 21 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Hurricane strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

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This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm ERIKA

N Atlantic: Storm Alert issued at 26 Aug, 2015 21:00 GMT

Tropical Storm ERIKA (AL05) currently located near 16.6 N 58.9 W is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Guadeloupe
        probability for TS is 80% within 9 hours
    Anguilla
        probability for TS is 60% in about 21 hours
    the Netherlands Antilles
        probability for TS is 60% in about 21 hours
    Antigua and Barbuda
        probability for TS is 60% in about 21 hours
    St. Kitts and Nevis
        probability for TS is 60% in about 21 hours
    Montserrat
        probability for TS is 60% in about 21 hours
    the British Virgin Islands
        probability for TS is 60% in about 21 hours
    the Virgin Islands
        probability for TS is 60% in about 33 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Hurricane strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

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This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm ERIKA

N Atlantic: Storm Alert issued at 26 Aug, 2015 15:00 GMT

Tropical Storm ERIKA (AL05) currently located near 16.1 N 57.6 W is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Antigua and Barbuda
        probability for TS is 60% in about 21 hours
    Guadeloupe
        probability for TS is 60% in about 21 hours
    the Netherlands Antilles
        probability for TS is 60% in about 21 hours
    St. Kitts and Nevis
        probability for TS is 60% in about 21 hours
    Montserrat
        probability for TS is 60% in about 21 hours
    Anguilla
        probability for TS is 55% in about 21 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Hurricane strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

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This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm ERIKA

N Atlantic: Storm Alert issued at 25 Aug, 2015 15:00 GMT

Tropical Storm ERIKA (AL05) currently located near 15.2 N 51.0 W is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    the Bahamas
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 93 hours
        probability for TS is 15% in about 93 hours
    the Turks & Caicos Islands
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 93 hours
        probability for TS is 15% in about 93 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Grand Turk (21.5 N, 71.5 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 93 hours
        probability for TS is 15% in about 93 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Hurricane strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

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This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm GONI

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 25 Aug, 2015 12:00 GMT (Final Warning)

Tropical Storm GONI (16W) currently located near 36.4 N 131.6 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    South Korea
        probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
    Japan
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    the Russian Federation
        probability for TS is 80% in about 24 hours
    North Korea
        probability for TS is 55% in about 24 hours
    China
        probability for TS is 55% in about 24 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Matsue (35.4 N, 133.0 E)
        probability for TS is 95% currently
    Hiroshima (34.4 N, 132.4 E)
        probability for TS is 70% currently
    Vladivostok (43.1 N, 132.0 E)
        probability for TS is 70% in about 24 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

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This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm ERIKA

N Atlantic: Storm Alert issued at 25 Aug, 2015 9:00 GMT

Tropical Storm ERIKA (AL05) currently located near 14.6 N 49.4 W is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Antigua and Barbuda
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 45 hours
        probability for TS is 35% in about 45 hours
    the Turks & Caicos Islands
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 93 hours
        probability for TS is 15% in about 93 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Grand Turk (21.5 N, 71.5 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 93 hours
        probability for TS is 15% in about 93 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Hurricane strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

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This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

TSR Storm Alert - Typhoon GONI

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 25 Aug, 2015 6:00 GMT

Typhoon GONI (16W) currently located near 35.3 N 131.0 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Japan
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 100% currently
        probability for TS is 100% currently

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    South Korea
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% within 12 hours
        probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
    North Korea
        probability for TS is 60% in about 36 hours
    the Russian Federation
        probability for TS is 60% in about 36 hours
    China
        probability for TS is 60% in about 36 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Hiroshima (34.4 N, 132.4 E)
        probability for TS is 95% currently
    Matsue (35.4 N, 133.0 E)
        probability for TS is 85% within 12 hours
    Fukuoka (33.6 N, 130.4 E)
        probability for TS is 85% currently
    Pusan (35.2 N, 129.1 E)
        probability for TS is 70% currently
    Saga (33.3 N, 130.3 E)
        probability for TS is 60% currently
    Vladivostok (43.1 N, 132.0 E)
        probability for TS is 60% in about 36 hours

Note that
    Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

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This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

TSR Storm Alert - Typhoon GONI

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 25 Aug, 2015 0:00 GMT

Typhoon GONI (16W) currently located near 34.0 N 130.7 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Japan
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 100% currently
        probability for TS is 100% currently
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Fukuoka (33.6 N, 130.4 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 100% currently
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    Saga (33.3 N, 130.3 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 100% currently
        probability for TS is 100% currently

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    South Korea
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% within 12 hours
        probability for TS is 85% within 12 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Kumamoto (32.7 N, 130.7 E)
        probability for TS is 90% currently
    Hiroshima (34.4 N, 132.4 E)
        probability for TS is 85% currently
    Nagasaki (32.8 N, 129.9 E)
        probability for TS is 85% currently
    Matsue (35.4 N, 133.0 E)
        probability for TS is 75% within 12 hours

Note that
    Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

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This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

TSR Storm Alert - Typhoon GONI

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 24 Aug, 2015 18:00 GMT

Typhoon GONI (16W) currently located near 31.5 N 129.9 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Japan
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 100% currently
        probability for TS is 100% currently
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Kagoshima (31.5 N, 130.5 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 100% currently
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    Nagasaki (32.8 N, 129.9 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 95% within 12 hours
        probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
    Fukuoka (33.6 N, 130.4 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 95% within 12 hours
        probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
    Saga (33.3 N, 130.3 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 95% within 12 hours
        probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
    Kumamoto (32.7 N, 130.7 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 95% within 12 hours
        probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    South Korea
        probability for TS is 80% in about 24 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Hiroshima (34.4 N, 132.4 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% within 12 hours
        probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
    Matsue (35.4 N, 133.0 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 24 hours
        probability for TS is 90% in about 24 hours
    Pusan (35.2 N, 129.1 E)
        probability for TS is 55% within 12 hours

Note that
    Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

TSR Storm Alert - Typhoon GONI

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 24 Aug, 2015 12:00 GMT

Typhoon GONI (16W) currently located near 29.6 N 128.8 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Japan
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 85% within 12 hours
        probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Nagasaki (32.8 N, 129.9 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 75% within 12 hours
        probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
    Saga (33.3 N, 130.3 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 70% within 12 hours
        probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
    Kumamoto (32.7 N, 130.7 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 70% within 12 hours
        probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
    Kagoshima (31.5 N, 130.5 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 70% within 12 hours
        probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
    Fukuoka (33.6 N, 130.4 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 50% within 12 hours
        probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    South Korea
        probability for TS is 65% in about 24 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Hiroshima (34.4 N, 132.4 E)
        probability for TS is 70% in about 24 hours

Note that
    Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

TSR Storm Alert - Typhoon GONI

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 24 Aug, 2015 6:00 GMT

Typhoon GONI (16W) currently located near 27.8 N 127.3 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Japan
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 85% in about 24 hours
        probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Nagasaki (32.8 N, 129.9 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 75% in about 24 hours
        probability for TS is 90% in about 24 hours
    Saga (33.3 N, 130.3 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 70% in about 24 hours
        probability for TS is 90% in about 24 hours
    Fukuoka (33.6 N, 130.4 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 65% in about 24 hours
        probability for TS is 90% in about 24 hours
    Kagoshima (31.5 N, 130.5 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 55% in about 24 hours
        probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
    Kumamoto (32.7 N, 130.7 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 55% in about 24 hours
        probability for TS is 90% in about 24 hours

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    South Korea
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 36 hours
        probability for TS is 80% in about 24 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Okinawa (26.3 N, 127.8 E)
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    Pusan (35.2 N, 129.1 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 36 hours
        probability for TS is 80% in about 24 hours
    Taegu (35.9 N, 128.6 E)
        probability for TS is 60% in about 36 hours
    Hiroshima (34.4 N, 132.4 E)
        probability for TS is 55% in about 24 hours

Note that
    Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

TSR Storm Alert - Typhoon GONI

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 24 Aug, 2015 0:00 GMT

Typhoon GONI (16W) currently located near 26.2 N 125.8 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Japan
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 60% in about 24 hours
        probability for TS is 90% in about 24 hours
    South Korea
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 35% in about 36 hours
        probability for TS is 75% in about 36 hours
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Nagasaki (32.8 N, 129.9 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 50% in about 24 hours
        probability for TS is 90% in about 24 hours
    Fukuoka (33.6 N, 130.4 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 45% in about 36 hours
        probability for TS is 75% in about 36 hours
    Saga (33.3 N, 130.3 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 45% in about 36 hours
        probability for TS is 80% in about 24 hours
    Kumamoto (32.7 N, 130.7 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 35% in about 36 hours
        probability for TS is 85% in about 24 hours

Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Okinawa (26.3 N, 127.8 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% within 12 hours
        probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
    Kagoshima (31.5 N, 130.5 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% in about 24 hours
        probability for TS is 90% in about 24 hours
    Pusan (35.2 N, 129.1 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% in about 36 hours
        probability for TS is 70% in about 36 hours
    Taegu (35.9 N, 128.6 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 48 hours
        probability for TS is 60% in about 36 hours

Note that
    Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm DANNY

N Atlantic: Storm Alert issued at 23 Aug, 2015 21:00 GMT

Tropical Storm DANNY (AL04) currently located near 15.6 N 59.0 W is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Guadeloupe
        probability for TS is 55% within 9 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Hurricane strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.